Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs UNDER 48 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 66 h 6 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have to play at least this week and likely more weeks without start QB Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes hurt his knee against the Broncos last week and is expected to miss some time. Mahomes is back at practice though and may return sooner than many have expected. The starting job will fall to Matt Moore. Moore will face a very good Packers defense that ranks 11th overall in the league. The Packers are now 6-1 after a big win over Oakland last week, 42-24. QB Aaron Rodgers has been red hot, throwing 5 TD's last week and over 400 yards. He will face a Chiefs defense, that while ranked only 25th overall, has yet to allow a 300 yards passing in a single game. The Chiefs are a good under team at home in their very loud stadium, evidenced by a 25-51-1 O/U record their last 77 home games. Without Mahomes here I expect to see a much more conservative effort by the Chiefs. And as such, I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Raiders v. Texans OVER 51 | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 62 h 11 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders were hit hard last week by Aaron Rodgers who wracked-up the yards and Touchdowns against them in a 42-24 loss. The Raiders had no answer for Rodgers who threw five TD's and over 400 yards. It's not surprising, given the Raiders have the 24th ranked defense. The Raiders also have the third worse pass defense, allowing 289 yards per game. Offensively, the team isn't bad, ranked 13th in the NFL behind QB Carr and a good RB in Jacobs. The Raiders defense will once again be tasked here on Sunday against the league's 4th ranked offense in Houston. The Texans are coming off a loss at Indianapolis, 23-30. These clubs have gone over the last four meetings. Houston has also gone over in 16 of their last 23 vs the AFC. I expect a lot of points in this one. The total is high at around 51, but I don't think these clubs will have any problem going over that. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 45 m | Show | |
Carolina playing very well under new QB Kyle Allen. Since Cam Newton went down in game two, the Panthers have won four straight games. Allen has benefited from one of the best all purpose players in the game in Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers last played on October 13th in London where they beat Tampa Bay, 37-26. The Panthers have had plenty of rest for the 49ers today. San Francisco improved to a perfect 6-0 with their win at Washington last week, 9-0. The 49ers defense is one of the best in the league, but the offense could muster just three 2nd half field goals in the win. Now they face a tough stretch of games with Carolina, Seattle, Green Bay, Baltimore and New Orleans on tap in five of the next seven weeks. For this game, I'm going to take the points here with the Panthers. They have had plenty of rest and time to prepare for this game. I expect a tough defensive battle that should be a field goal either way. Take Carolina. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
The Giants fully expected to win last week. They were at home against a weak Arizona club and they were getting back star running back Saquon Barkley. But, things didn't quite work out as they fell behind early and never could catch up, losing 21-27. Barkley performed well in his return from an ankle injury rushing 18 tim3es for 72 yards and a TD. Barkely has been limited in practice this week, but is expected to play on Sunday.The Giants have now lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off a loss at home to the Vikings, 30-42. The loss snapped a four game spread win streak for Detroit. The Giants offense is now ranked 24th in the league and their defense is ranked 28th. The Lions offense is ranked 8th overall and the defense is 31st. This game looks to be fairly high scoring as both teams rank low in defense. The Giants have done well on the road, covering eight of their last 10 away games. The road team has also done well in this series, covering seven of the last nine meetings. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday. Play the Giants. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Giants v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
The Giants fully expected to win last week. They were at home against a weak Arizona club and they were getting back star running back Saquon Barkley. But, things didn't quite work out as they fell behind early and never could catch up, losing 21-27. Barkley performed well in his return from an ankle injury rushing 18 tim3es for 72 yards and a TD. Barkely has been limited in practice this week, but is expected to play on Sunday.The Giants have now lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off a loss at home to the Vikings, 30-42. The loss snapped a four game spread win streak for Detroit. The Giants offense is now ranked 24th in the league and their defense is ranked 28th. The Lions offense is ranked 8th overall and the defense is 31st. The Giants have gone over in their last five road games, including all three away games this season. Detroit is 4/2 O/U on the season and have gone over in two of their three home games. I expect a lot of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 14 m | Show |
The San Diego State Aztecs look to be the best team in this Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs are 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Aztecs have covered three straight games now, mainly because of their defense. SDG State's defense now ranked 8th in the nation in total defense. The clubs only loss came three weeks ago at home to Utah State where they lost to the Aggies, 17-23. Meanwhile, UNLV has a 2-5 S/U on the season and 3-4 ATS. The Rebels do not have a good defense, giving up 30 or more points in four of their six games. UNLV's defense ranked a poor 106th in the nation. UNLV has three of their five remaining games at home, so they do have an outside shot at a record that will make them bowl eligible. However, I don't feel this club will attain that after they lose this week to the Aztecs. Take San Diego State this week. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
Marquee matchup here on national television Saturday as the 8th ranked Notre Dame Irish travel to take on the 19th ranked Michigan Wolverines. Notre Dame is 5-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at Georgia, 17-23 as a 15.5 point dog. The Irish have the 30th ranked offense in the country and the 37th ranked defense. Michigan ran into a defensive buzzsaw last week, losing at Penn State in a white-out, 21-28. The Wolverines were down 7-21 at half, but did make a rally in the 2nd half but came up short. Michigan is ranked 13th in defense and 80th in offense. Notre Dame covered the last two meetings between these teams over the last five years, including last year 24-17 at home as a 2.5-point home dog. This game is basically a win and cover the spread with the line around Notre Dame laying 1-point. I like the Irish here today against a Michigan team that at times has trouble scoring. Play Notre Dame. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11 | 63-21 | Loss | -116 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
A couple of 5-2 teams matchup here in Philadelphia as Temple hosts Central Florida. Even though these teams have identical records, the Owls are double-digit dogs here. UCF has failed to cover the spread now in four straight games after starting the season 3-0. UCF is coming off a win at home over East Carolina, 41-28, but failed to cover the 32.5-point favorite line. Temple is coming off a loss on the road to SMU, 21-45. The Owls have covered four of the seven games they have played. Temple is a very up tempo team and will run and gun with this UCF team. Don't know why Temple is a double-digit dog here when I think they can actually win this game outright. But, I will take the points. Play Temple. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Western Kentucky +5 v. Marshall | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has been using a stubborn defense to help them to a 5-2 ATS mark and 5-2 ATS mark. The Hilltoppers have covered four straight games. During that process they have allowed no one to score more than 14 points and held two of those under 10 points. WKY now has the 15th ranked defense in the country. Marshall is 4-3 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at home over Florida Atlantic, 36-31 as a 5.5-point dog. Marshall has the 60th ranked defense in the country and the 48th ranked offense. Marshall won this matchup last season on the road, 20-17, but failed to cover the 3.5-point chalk line. The Hilltoppers have now covered the last five years against Marshall. I like that to happen here again on Saturday. I'm taking Western Kentucky. |
|||||||
10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Minnesota improved to 5-2 both S/U and ATS with a win last week over the Detroit Lions, 42-30. The Vikings offense was clicking with 166 yards rushing and 337 yards passing by Kirk Cousins. The offense improved to 6th ranked overall in the NFL. The 6th ranked defense didn't perform as well, allowing 352 yards through the air to the Lions and 81 yards on the ground. It was the third straight win and cover for the Vikings, who have scored at least 28 points in four of their five games this year. The Redskins covered the spread last week, but barely. And considering they were shutout by the 49ers 0-9, that's even more amazing. But the 10-point line was their savior. The Skins covered their first game of the season last week against four losses. The managed just 154 total yards of offense in the loss and the ranking dropped to 29th overall. These teams last met in 2017 when the Vikings won in Washington, 38-30. The last three meetings have all gone over the total. That's what I'm sticking with here tonight. If we can get 10 points out of Washington then this one should go over. Play OVER. |
|||||||
10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New England Patriots look like they are making another run at the NFL Super Bowl as their defense has just been outstanding this year. Last week the Pats beat the other New York team, the Giants, 35-14. The Pats defense held the Giants to just 213 total yards and had four takeaways. The Pats defense is ranked 1st overall in the NFL with the Jets at 19th. The last six games in this series have gone UNDER. The Patriots are 1-7 O/U as a road favorite of seven or more points their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-5 O/U when coming off a S/U home dog win as they did last week vs the Cowboys. I'm going to take the UNDER tonight in this one. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost three straight games after starting the season 3-0. Now there are accusations being thrown around about play calling and such. Bottom line is that this Dallas team is having some issues. They lost at the Jets last week, 22-24 as a touchdown favorite. Still, despite losing three straight games this game with the 3-3 Eagles is for the division lead. The Eagles lost last week at Minnesota, 20-38. That snapped a two-game win streak for Philly. Dallas has the 2nd ranked offense in the league while Philly comes in at 20th. The Cowboys are ranked 9th defensively with the Eagles being 14th. There must be some internal issues in Dallas with a team ranked as high as they are in both offense and defense, yet with just a 3-3 record and on a 3-game losing streak. I'm not going to play Dallas until I see some unity on this club. Tonight, I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Philadelphia. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears UNDER 37.5 | 36-25 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Reason: Two teams having to play with backup QB's meet today as The Saints clash with the Bears. The Saints will continue here with Teddy Bridgewater at QB as Drew Brees is still out with a hand injury. The Bears could see QB Mitchell Trubisky back this week as he's listed as questionable right now. The Saints also have their star RB Alvin Kamara listed as questionable with an ankle injury. With all this offensive power sidelined, this looks to be a low scoring game. The Bears have the 6th ranked overall defense but the 30th ranked offense. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense and the 22nd ranked offense. So we can see these teams have suffered offensively this year. The Bears had last week off to stew over their beating by the Raiders in London two weeks ago, 21-24. After falling behind big, the Bears came back to lead 21-17 before losing late. The game was just the club's second over in five games. In addition, it was the most points the Bears have allowed this year. The Saints offense has scored less than 14 points two times in the last three weeks, including last week's win at Jacksonville, 13-6 . The team has covered four straight though with half of their games going under. I'm taking the under here today. Both teams have good defenses and both offenses are hurting. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston Texans bring their 4-2 record to Indianapolis to the play Colts on Sunday. The Texans are fresh off that win at Kansas City, 31-24. They not only dominated on the scoreboard, but dominated the ball in time of possession. The Texans had 472 total yards compared to the Chiefs 309 yards. Meanwhile, the Colts had last week off after also beating the Chiefs the prior week, 19-13. Houston has the 6th rated offense and the 18th ranked defense. The Colts rank 23rd offensively and 16th defensively. The Colts have covered the last two times they have played the Texans, winning last year at Houston 24-21. That makes four covers for the Colts against the Texans in the last five meetings. The Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has thrown 10 TD's this year with just three INT's. Marlon Mack leads all rushers on the Colts with 470 yards and two TD's. Deshaun Watson has 12 TD's for the Texans with three INT's and adds 5 more rushing TD's. This is a pretty even matchup, but I'm taking the home team here on Sunday. Play the Colts. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Boise State -7 v. BYU | 25-28 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 39 m | Show | |
Boise State comes into today's contest with a perfect 6-0 record and a national No.14 ranking. The Broncos have also covered four straight and five of six games. Their only non-cover came in week two against Marshall at home. They dominated that game statistically, but just failed to cover the 12-point line. Boise ranks 18th offensively in the nation and 33rd defensively. BYU is 2-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have failed to cover in three straight games after losing last week at South Florida, 23-27 as a 6-point chalk. BYU ranks 87th in offense and 83rd in defense. Boise looking for another undefeated season has to weather four of its last six games here on the road. I like Boise though in this one. BYU isn't a very good team and Boise should have little trouble in this one. Play Boise State. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State OVER 71.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -114 | 104 h 53 m | Show | |
Colorado and Washington State meet here in Saturday in a PAC-12 matchup. I'm expecting a big scoring game here on Saturday. Colorado is 3-3 S/U and ATS this season and 3-2-1 Over/Under. Colorado coming off its worse performance of the year at Oregon, losing 3-45. The Buffaloes have not held any of its five opponents to fewer than 30 points this season. Colorado's last week performance dropped their offensive ranking to 58th. The problem here though is their defense, which ranks 123rd in the country. Now they face the 5th ranked offense in Washington State. Colorado has gone over in five of their last seven games and I expect the Buffs to allow a lot of points to the Cougars here on Saturday. If Colorado can keep pace or even close, then this one should easily go over the 70-71 point total. Play OVER. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | 45-27 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
18th ranked and 6-0 Baylor puts its perfect record on the line today at Oklahoma State. This looks to be the Bears biggest test thus far, as they have only played on the road at Rice and Kansas State. They did get a scare at home against Iowa State, pulling out a late win on a field goal back on Sept 28th, 23-21. Oklahoma State is 4-2 this year and 4-1-1 ATS. The Cowboys have only played two home games, beating McNeese State and Kansas State. Ok State had the benefit of a week off last week to prepare for this game. That for me is big. Oklahoma State is a 3.5 point home favorite against an undefeated team. That should tell you something, that these teams are pretty evenly matched. I won't be convinced Baylor is as good as its record until the Bears can win this kind of road game. As for today, I'm taking the home club. Play Oklahoma State. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Oregon -2.5 v. Washington | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday between two ranked teams as No 12 Oregon takes on No. 25 Washington. Oregon is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Ducks are coming off an easy win at home over Colorado, 45-3. It's the offense and their QB Justin Herbert that you think of when it comes to the Ducks. However, the defense has been a start this year. Oregon has the 8th overall ranked defense and has held each of its last five opponents to a touchdown or fewer points. The only team to score more was in the season opener at Auburn where they lost 21-27. Should be interesting today for this defense against a Washington team that has scored 40 or more points in four of its seven games. Strangely, despite their big scores, the offense is ranked only 57th in the country in total yards. Moreover, they have a fairly low offensive red-zone efficiency of just 69.2%. Oregon's offense ranks 30th and has a red-zone efficiency of 72.3%. I believe that this Washington team is a bit over rated and will drop out of the rankings after today. I like Oregon, they have a solid defense and Hebert running that offense. Take Oregon. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 41-43 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
North Carolina had last week off to prepare for this game. The previous week they won on the road at Georgia Tech, 38-22 as a 10-point favorite. The Tar Heels have covered four of their six games and are 3-3 S/U. Virginia Tech played at last last week against Rhode Island, an easy win 34-17. The Hokies are now 4-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS. Their only cover of the season came two weeks ago at Miami Florida. Tech is ranked just 90th in the nation in total offense and 59th in defense. NCU is 53rd in offense and defense. I'll be laying the small points here on the road. Take North Carolina. |
|||||||
10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4 | 30-6 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos playing very good all of a sudden with another win on Sunday over Tennessee, 16-0. The Broncos defense held Tennessee to just 39 yards rushing and 165 yards passing. That's two games in a row with outstanding defense. They got their first win two weeks ago at the Chargers, holding them to 35 yards rushing and 211 yards passing. Meanwhile the Kansas City defense has been horrible. They can't stop anyone and proved it again Sunday losing at home to Houston, 24-31. The allowed the Texans 192 yards rushing and 280 yards passing. Their loss two weeks ago at home to the Colts they allowed 180 yards rushing and 151 yards passing. They have now allowed 180 or more yards rushing in four of their five games. That is absolutely horrendous. Add to that fact that QB Patrick Mahomes is banged-up with a ankle injury and the Chiefs look very ordinary at the moment. The Broncos could easily have four wins this season. Vic Fangio finally has this team playing the way he wants, great defense and a conservative offense. Take advantage of the Broncos at +4 or better because I feel this line will go down by gametime. Play Denver. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos -2 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 117 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver finally got in the win column last week and they did it on the road at the Chargers. Denver jumped out to a big lead and pretty much cruised the rest of the way for a 20-13 win over the Chargers. Denver held LA to just 246 total yards while controlling the ball on the ground with 191 rushing yards. Tennessee ran into the defensive buzzsaw called Buffalo, losing to the Bills 7-14. The Titans scored just seven points against the league's second ranked defense and totaled just 252 yards. Denver's defense isn't what it used to be, but they have improved to 7th in the league now while Tennessee is 9th in the league. Both teams struggling on offense though, as Denver ranks 19th and Tennessee 27th. Titans have not done well on the road against losing teams, going 5-15-1 their last 21 vs the spread. These clubs have met just once in the last five years and that was at Tennessee where the Titans won a low scoring game, 13-10. If we look back to the last six meetings between these teams, the Broncos have covered five of those. I expect a defensive game here with two better than average defenses. But now that Denver got that first win, I like them to get another here on Sunday. Play Denver. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Browns | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. This is no way to run a football team and that's why I will be betting against them this week. This is a perfect situation for Seattle. They are playing great and now face a team and franchise in disarray. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns UNDER 47.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 23 m | Show | |
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. There might be some higher winds in this game, which will further effect Mayfield and his inconsistency of late. But what I believe winds will really do is have Seattle continue to run the ball as they have done so well this season. Seattle will control the ball on the ground and for me that will lead this game to go under the total. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 40 h 18 m | Show | |
The 3-2 Carolina Panthers travel to Florida to take on the 2-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina has been playing without QB Cam Newton, who is out with a foot injury. However, since Newton went out the Panthers have won three straight games with QB Kyle Allen. Allen has won all three of his starts for Carolina. But the star of this team is RB Christian McCaffrey who is involved in more offensive plays than anyone in the league. McCaffrey has 587 yards rushing this year and 279 yards receiving with seven total TD's. He ranks first in total yards from scrimmage. McCaffrey is the center of this offense and Allen is just the supporting cast at this point. Tampa Bay pulled the huge upset two weeks ago at the Rams, 55-40, then last week lost at New Orleans, 24-31. This team has been very inconsistent. The Bucs managed just 252 yards in the loss last week. That performance dropped the Bucs to 17th in total offense with Carolina coming in at 14th. The difference here is defense, where the Panthers continue to improve and now rank 8th in the league compared to the Bucs 25th ranking. I expect McCaffrey to give the Bucs all kinds of problems here on Sunday. I'll lay the small price with Carolina on Sunday. take the Panthers. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Bailout Game of the Week: Navy is 3-1 S/U and ATS this season and travels to Tulsa tonight who is 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Navy is always one if not the top rushing team in the nation, and this year is no different. The Middies average 312 yards on the ground and 125 yards through the air. This offense ranks 47th in the country overall. Tulsa's 68th ranked defense will have its hands full of the Navy rushing game. The Golden Hurricanes allow 167 yards per game rushing and that won't be good for them here today. The Tulsa offense only ranks 82nd in the country. I look at this game as a Navy ground attack that Tulsa won't have an answer for. Navy will control the ball against this poor Tulsa rush defense and when they have the ball, Tulsa won't be able to convert enough of those touches into points. Take Navy. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Fresno State +3.5 v. Air Force | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
Fresno State comes into tonight's contest with a 2-2 S/U mark and 1-2-1 ATS record. They will face an Air Force team that is 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Bulldogs of FSU started the season with a loss at USC, 23-31, and then a lost at home to Minnesota, 35-38. They then hosted Sacramento State and won 34-20 and won two weeks ago at New Mexico State, 30-17. The Bulldogs will have two weeks off to prepare for Air Force today. Air Force is coming off a loss at Navy, 25-34. Th Falcons have failed to cover their last three games after a 2-0 start. With Air Force it's all about the running game with over 200 yards rushing in four of their five games. Air Force ranks 59th in the nation in total offense while Fresno is 69th. Fresno's defense isn't bad ranking 47th in the country. I like the points here today with the visitor. Take Fresno State. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Michigan State +11 v. Wisconsin | 0-38 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Michigan State is 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS and takes on Big 10 foe Wisconsin today. Wisconsin is 5-0 S/U and 4/1 ATS. Wisconsin has the nation's top ranked defense and a defensive red-zone efficiency of just 49.2%. Michigan State is no slouch on defense either, ranked 22nd in the nation and a defensive red-zone efficiency of 57.1%. Offensively Wisconsin is 32nd in the nation and Michigan State is 81st. Wisconsin laying double digits here today is what concerns me. This Wisconsin team relies on its defense more than offense and Michigan State should give them enough competition to stay close here. I'll take the double digits with Michigan State. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 38 m | Show | |
Two nationally ranked teams meetup in this storied rivalry as No 6 Oklahoma takes on No 11 Texas from Dallas, TX. Oklahoma improved to 5-0 last week with a win over Kansas, 45-20. Oklahoma has the overall top offense in the nation, averaging 644 yards per game. They also have a 89.3% redzone efficiency. Texas will be a big dog here today, currently 11-points. The Longhorns offense ranks 19th overall in the nation. Oklahoma covered this matchup last year, winning 39-27 as a 9.5-point favorite. However, that was the first time the Sooners have covered this Red River Rivalry in the last seven years. Texas has also covered 10 of the last 15 in this series. Texas beat West Virginia last week, 42-31 and improved to 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Texas defense is not very good and that means a lot of Oklahoma points here on Saturday. However, Texas has a offense that can also produce points and with a double-digit line I'm going to take the dog here. Play Texas. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show |
Two very good teams meet in Philadelphia today as Temple hosts Memphis. Memphis is 5-0 on the season S/U and 4-1 ATS. This will be the Tigers first real test of the season after wins over LA Monroe, Southern, South Alabama, Navy and Ole Miss. Their biggest test came at home vs Ole Miss where they just got the win, 15-10. Temple plays an upbeat offense that can produce points. They should have got the cover last time vs East Carolina, but poor coaching with the clock at the end of the game gave E.Carolina the back-end cover. Still, this Temple team is tough at hoe where they beat Georgia Tech 24-2, Maryland 20-17 and Canisius 56-12. Temple has a solid defense, ranked 20th in the country. They also have an excellent red-zone efficiency rating of 46.6%, well below the national average. Memphis is ranked 36th in the nation defensively, but has a 74.7% red-zone efficiency. Both teams are also in the top 43 in offense yardage. Not sure why Memphis is this big a favorite as I like Temple to win this game outright. Play Temple. |
|||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
Virginia travels South to take on Miami Florida. The Cavaliers are 4-1 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS on the season. Miami is 2-3 S/U and ATS on the season. Virginia had last week off to prepare for this game after suffering their first loss of the season at Notre Dame, 20-35. The Cavs have already beat Florida State, 31-24 as they now turn to another powerhouse Florida team. Miami having a sub-par year so far, opening with a loss at Florida 20-24 and then losing at North Carolina, 25-28. They did destroy Bethune Cookman, but then barely beat Central Michigan at home, 17-12. Virginia has an excellent defense, ranked 13th in the country while Miami comes in at a 15th. Miami is 39th offensively, but a lot of that came in a 63-0 win over Bethune Cookman. 23rd ranked Virginia getting two-points is great to me since I look for an easy win out of the Cavaliers. Play Virginia. |
|||||||
10-10-19 | Giants v. Patriots UNDER 43 | 14-35 | Loss | -109 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
Thursday night football has the Patriots hosting the Giants from Gillette Stadium. The first thing that hits me in this game is that there could be some winds over 10 mph in this one. That's significant because at Gillette you can get those winds swirling and that effects QB's and their throwing. This could be an issue for Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones. With both Barkley and Gallman out for this game at Running back, more pressure will be on Jones shoulders to make things happen. And he'll be asked to do it with those winds and against one of the best defenses in the league in the Patriots. The Pats allowing just 78 rushing yards and 160 passing yards per game. None of the Pats five opponents have score more than 14 points and three have scored fewer than 10 points. The Pats are a perfect 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season with a over/under record of 1-4. The Giants had won two in a row under Jones, but three wasn't to be as they lost at Minnesota last week, 10-28. They have gone under in their last two games and three of their last four. The Patriots have now gone under in five of their last seven home games and 19 of their last 26 against a team with a losing record. The last five meetings between these teams at Gillette Stadium have gone UNDER. I believe the combination of any swirling winds with the Patriots stingy defense will keep this game under. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers OVER 47 | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record in tact here on Monday night football as they host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland pulled the upset win last week at Baltimore, 40-25. They have now covered both road games and not covered both home games. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS. The entire offense was clicking last week at Baltimore with 337 yards passing and 193 yards rushing. The Browns offense now ranked 12th in the league with the defense ranked 13th. The 49ers had last week off to prepare for this game. Jimmy Garoppolo has a 9-2 record in his starts for the Niners. Shanahan is an offensive specialist and now you give him an extra week to prepare for this game? To me that means we'll be seeing plenty of points here on Monday. I'm expecting to see a high scoring contest in this one. take the OVER. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos might be the best 0-4 team in the NFL. They could easily be 2-2 and should have won the Bears game if not for a bad call at the end. Then last week another late rally by the Jagaurs resulted in a last second loss. The Broncos brought in Joe Flacco to play QB and he hasn't played badly. They also brought in HC Vic Fangio from the Bears and he hasn't performed up to their standards yet. Could a loss here today make Fangio the first fatality of the head coaching ranks this year? We'll see. The Denver defense isn't what it used to be. That's an understatement. It's even been rumored that Von Miller is on the trading block. Star LB Bradley Chubb was injured in the Jags game and is out the rest of the year. As for the Bolts, RB Melvin Gordon returns from his holdout and should start this week. Ekeler has been very good in his place. I think one thing is for sure in Denver this year, we are going to see QB Drew Lock around week 8 when he returns from his injury. The Chargers had the week off last week, also known as playing the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers rolled to a 30-10 win over the Dolphins and evened their season record at 2-2. While I don't see the snake bitten Broncos winning, I think this line is too high for a rivalry game. I'm taking the visiting Broncos plus the points. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
If there was a game Khalil Mack had circled on his calendar, it was this one. Mack gets to face down the team that traded him, the Oakland Raiders. This will be the first of four games being played in London England this year. Chase Daniel looks to get the start at QB for the Bears here today as Mitchell Trubisky is out with his shoulder injury. But that's not a bad thing, I actually like Daniel better than Trubisky. He's a much smarter QB and I think brings a whole other dimension to an offense that Trubisky still has trouble running. The Bears defense dominated Minnesota last week in a 16-6 win. They held the Vikings to 222 yards and took two turnovers from them. The Bears have the fifth rated overall defense with Oakland coming in at 22nd. Where the Bears lack is on offense, as they are just 30th in total yards. However, I see that improving with Daniel at the helm today. Oakland is 21st in total yards and led by QB Derrick Carr. They will be without LB Vontaze Burfict who has been suspended for the rest of the year - a huge blow to this defense. Overall, I love the Chicago defense to shut down Carr and the Raiders today. Lay the 5-points with Chicago. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bills v. Titans UNDER 39.5 | 14-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo saw it's perfect season end last week, but they put up a valiant fight and kept Tom Brady and the Patriots frustrated with a very good defense. They held the very good Patriot offense to just 224 total yards and Brady to just 150 yards passing. It was turnovers that killed Buffalo with four in the game as they lost 10-16, but covered the 7-point dog line. The Bills boast the league's 2nd rated overall defense, allowing just 281 total yards per game. Tennessee had a fairly easy time last week at Atlanta, winning 24-10. They got the win despite being out-gained in total yards 365-422. Atlanta threw for 364 yards in the loss. Tennessee has just the 25th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense this year. The Bills have gone under now in their last four road games and are 0-5 in their last five on grass. I love the defense here in this game. The Bills are the only team in the league that hasn't allowed a 2nd half point this season. And while Buffalo is 10th on offense, I don't see them getting a lot of points on the road after that tough game last week. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
I really learned something last week, that this Baltimore Ravens team is a fraud. Everyone watched in week one as they demolished an overmatched and winless Miami Dolphins team. Then in week 2 we saw that effort get tougher as the winless Arizona Cardinals covered the 13 point dog line and almost won the game outright, 17-23. Then in week 4 when the real competition started, they lost at Kansas City, 28-33 failing to cover the 4-point dog line and then got killed at home last week by the Cleveland Browns, 25-40. This team is not nearly as good as they are now getting credit for. Meanwhile, the Steelers defense and offense both looked very good last Monday night for the win over the Bengals, 27-3. They have now covered two-straight games and now that Mason Rudolph is getting more action from the coach, he's looking like a real NFL quarterback. Let's throw out stats in this one because the Ravens are still inflated by that Miami game. Instead, lets look at who's real and who's a fraud. The Ravens are a fraud and should not be favored at Pittsburgh here in week 5. I personally will have my biggest bet of the NFL season so far on this game. Good luck and GO Steelers! |
|||||||
10-05-19 | San Diego State -7.5 v. Colorado State | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West action here late on Saturday evening. San Diego State (3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS) travels to Fort Collins to take on Colorado State (1-4 S/U, 3-2 ATS). The Aztecs lost their first game of the season last week at home vs Utah State, 17-23. The defense has been very good for the Aztecs, holding each of their first three opponents to 14 points or fewer before Utah State scored 23 last week. The rush defense has not allowed more than 82 yards in any game. CSU Rams only win came at home over Western Illinois, 38-13. They have covered their last two games at Utah State and at home against Toledo. The defense is terrible, ranking 105th in the nation and allowing 440 yards on average. The offense ranks 16th with 501 yards per game. This one comes down to the SDG State defense against the CSU offense. I believe the Aztecs excellent rush defense will shut down CSU and force them to throw more here. I'm going to lay the points with San Diego State. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Nebraska | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup as Northwestern travels to Lincoln to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Northwestern gave ranked Wisconsin all it could handle last week, losing on the road, 15-24, but covering the 24-point dog line. In fact, the NW defense held Wisconsin to just one touchdown as special teams and the defense accounted for the other 14 Badger points. Nebraska got buried at home last week by Ohio State, 7-48 as a 17.5-point dog. The Huskers are now 1-4 ATS on the season. The Huskers defense has taken a beating this year, with the Black Shirts ranked just 78th in the country. The offense ranks 46th. Northwestern's defense ranks 31st and the offense is 126th. We're getting a TD here with the visitor and I just don't trust this Nebraska defense enough to see them laying that kind of number. I'm taking the dog here today. Play Northwestern. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -4 | 27-20 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
Both these MAC teams in desperate need of a win after both clubs have started the season 1-3 S/U. Ball State Cardinals are 2-2 ATS after covering last week at NC State as a 19-point dog, 23-34. The Ball State defense is very poor, allowing at least 29 points in each of their four games. The defense is ranked 94th overall, while the offense is much better at 28th. This is a passing team with over 300 yards in three of their four games through the air. Northern Illinois Huskies have covered three of their four games including last week at Vandy as 7.5-point dogs, 18-24. NIU has the 64th ranked defense in the league and 105th offense. NIU won this game last year at home, 24-16 and covered the three-point chalk line. Home field important in this matchup and NIU has it again today. I'm taking the home team again in this one. Play Northern Illinois. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Texas v. West Virginia +10.5 | 42-31 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here in West Virginia as the No 11 Texas Longhorns take on the Mountaineers. Texas is coming off a win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 36-30, but failed to cover the 7-point chalk line. The Longhorns are now 2-2 vs the number on the season. Problem here today is that the Longhorns might be in a bit of a look ahead spot as they have Oklahoma up next week in their annual meeting in Dallas. West Virginia has won two straight games with a 44-27 win over NC State and then last week a win at Kansas, 29-24, covering both. This game was a shootout last year, with WVU taking an exciting contest, 42-41 as a 1.5-point home dog. Texas has the 19th ranked offense compared to the WVU 118th ranked offense. WVU has a good enough defense to stay close in this contest, with 56th ranked offense. WVU getting 10.5-points here today. I'm going to take the home team with Texas looking past this game to Oklahoma next week. Play West Virginia. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Utah State +28 v. LSU | 6-42 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah State brings it's 3-1 record down to the Big Easy to take on fifth ranked LSU in an early start game. Utah State opened the season with a loss at Wake Forest, 35-38 and since then has won three straight games including last week against Colorado State, 34-24. The Aggies defense will have their work cut out for them against the 3rd rated offense in the country. Utah St is no slouch on defense, ranked 58th overall. The Aggies offense is what might keep them close here today, ranking 9th in the country. LSU has been a scoring machine this year, with at least 45 in every game and over 60 points the last two games. The defense does give up some points, as they did last week to Vandy (38) and vs Texas (38). That is what I'm counting on here today as they face a very good Utah State offense. We're getting 27+ points with the Aggies and with Florida coming to town next week they might be looking past this Utah State team. Play Utah State. |
|||||||
10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
The LA Rams looked like an easy winner last week after the Bucs came to town on the heels of a 18-point come from ahead loss the week before to the Giants. But it was the Bucs that shocked the Rams, 55-40 as 9-point dogs. The Rams trailed at the half 28-17 and cut the lead to 28-20 before the Bucs built another big lead to 45-27 in the 4th. A late rally by the Rams fell short though when Goff was stripped of the ball by Shaq Barrett and returned for a TD by Ndamukong Suh for a 55-40 win. Now the Rams travel to Washington to face the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won at Arizona last week, 27-10, holding the Cardinals to 321 total yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked defense and the 13the ranked offense. The Rams are 7th ranked on offense and 11th on defense. The last two years these clubs have met four times, with Seattle covering three of those and winning one outright. Last year Seattle lost at home to the Rams, 31-33 as a 7.5 point dog. The key here is for Seattle to control the clock and keep the ball out of the Rams hands. LA will have to do a much better job defensively, especially against arguably the best QB in the league in Russell Wilson. Seattle has performed well on Thursday's, going 7-0-2 ATS their last nine times in the early game. LA is only 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The difference for me here is that 12th man of Seattle and the home advantage. The Rams defense is struggling and I look for that to continue here on Thursday. I'm taking the Seattle Seahawks. |
|||||||
09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
One of these teams should come away with their first win of the season here on Monday Night (barring a OT tie). Both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are both 0-3 S/U to start the season. The Bengals looked great in their opener at Seattle, losing 20-21. The defense held Seattle to 72 yards rushing and 161 yards passing. Since the it's been downhill with a blowout loss at home to San Francisco, 17-41, and then a loss at Buffalo, 17-21. The Bengals have gone UNDER in two of their three games. Pittsburgh opened with a loss at New England, 3-33, then lost at home to Seattle, 26-28 and last week lost at San Francisco, 20-24. They have also gone under in two of their three games. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in both offense and defense. Cincy has the 27th ranked defense and the 18th ranked offense. Pittsburgh is ranked 29th in defense and 30th in offense. For me, I'm looking UNDER here on Monday. The Bengals are 0-4-1 O/U in their last five road games. They are also 2-7-1 O/U the last 10 vs the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 2-5 O/U in their last seven games and now without Big Ben that should even be more magnified. The last 10 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh has seen these teams go under eight time. Poor matchup here, so I'm sticking just with the UNDER. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 105 h 3 m | Show | |
The undefeated Dallas Cowboys travel to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. The Cowboys looks rather lethargic in their first half against a very overmatched Miami team. However, they exploded in the 2nd half to cover the 22.5-point line, 31-6. Dallas now has wins against the Giants, Redskins and Miami. Really, this matchup here today is their first real test as those previous three games were all against very poor teams. The Saints are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS after a very nice win on the road last week at Seattle, 33-27. The offense hasn't been all that good since Drew Brees went out with a hurt thumb. The Saints had 265 total yards last week and only 244 totals yards the previous week at the Rams. Teddy Bridgewater is now the starting QB and in his two games he has 342 total yards and two TD's with no INT's. This team still has plenty of weapons with Alvin Kamara at RB and Michael Thomas at Wide Receiver. The Saints should give Dallas their best game of the young season here on Sunday night and I won't be surprised by a Saints straight-up win here. I'll take the 2.5-points with the home team. Play New Orleans. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 47 h 16 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS to start the season. Seattle opened with wins over Cincinnati (21-20) and at Pittsburgh (28-26), then loss last week at home to the Saints, 27-33. The Arizona Cardinals are 0-2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season. They opened with that OT tie against Detroit and then back-to-back losses to Baltimore and Carolina. Seattle lost to the Saints despite out gaining them in yards 515 to 265. Both clubs had one turnover and the Hawks had 406 yards passing by Russell Wilson. The Hawks were even down 14-33 in the 4th quarter. The Saints returned a Chris Carson fumble for a touchdown in this game and the defensive line got no sacks of Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints also got a punt return for a touchdown. It was just an ugly game all around for the Seahawks special teams and turnovers. Arizona lost at home to a Newton-less Panthers team last week, 20-38. They were outgained 413 yards to 248 yards. Arizona has the 30th ranked defense in the league allowing 443 yards per game and the 25th ranked offense with just 328 yards per game. Russell Wilson and the Hawks offense should have little trouble against this struggling Cardinals defense here on Sunday. Have to lay 5 1/2 points here with the Hawks, but I won't mind with Wilson on my side against rookie Tyler Murray. Play Seattle. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 42.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
Two undefeated teams matchup here in Buffalo as the Bills take on the defending champion Patriots. The Patriots haven't even been tested at all yet, winning each game very easy. They opened with a 33-3 win over the Steelers, then demolished Miami 43-0 and last week beat the Jets 30-14. They failed to cover the Jets game, but were shutting out New York at the half. They have now outscored their opponents 106-17. Not surprising that the Patriots have the top ranked defense in the league. Buffalo would love to pull the upset here on Sunday and will use their 5th ranked defense to do just that. Buffalo beat the Jets in their opener, 17-16 and then the Giants 28-14 and last week over Cincinnati, 21-17. Both these clubs rank in the top 10 of the league in offense and defense. Personally, I'm going to take the under here and just enjoy this one. I think the Bills defense is good enough to keep the Pats in check here today. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Stanford v. Oregon State +3.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
It's been a very disappointing season for Stanford. They started the season with a home win over Northwestern, but were lucky to cover, scoring the covering TD with just seconds left on a fumble recovery. Since then, they are 0-3 both S/U and ATS. The offense is ranked 118th. But of particular concern is the defense, ranked 75th. They have allowed 45 points twice this season and the passing defense has allowed 259, 347 and 377 the last three games. Oregon State won its first game of the season last time out over Cal Poly, 45-7. That followed their two losses at Hawaii (28-31) and vs Ok State (36-52). Oregon State ranks 110th in defense and and 31 offensively. OSU has a very balanced offense, with 229 yards average on the ground and 247 yard through the air. For me, the difference in this game is the offenses. OSU has the much better offense while both teams are struggling defensively. I'm taking Oregon State here today. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Georgia Tech v. Temple -8 | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
Temple got upset last week at Buffalo, 22-38 as a 14-point favorite. The Owls might have had letdown after beating ranked Maryland the week before. This for a team that ranks 33rd in the country offensively with 470 yards per game. Meanwhile Georgia tech still looking for its first cover of the season after a 0-3 start. Tech's defense isn't the best, ranked 86th in the nation while the offense ranks a dismal 126th in the country with just 284 yards per game. Tech had last week off to stew over its loss to The Citadel, losing 24-27 as a 27-point favorite. GT managed just 118 yards passing in the lass and allowed 320 yards rushing. Temple may have lost to Buffalo last week, but I believe that was in part due to a letdown. This Temple club returns home where they will demolish this Georgia Tech team. Play Temple. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | BYU v. Toledo +2.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
BYU is 2-2 S/U & ATS after four weeks of their season. The Cougars play their fourth game of five away from Provo this week. In their lone home game, they beat Tennessee, 29-26, covering the 3.5-point dog line. In their three away games they are 1-2 SU & ATS. BYU has the 94th ranked defense and the 105th ranked offense in the country. Toledo comes into this game with a 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS record. The Rockets lost their opening game of the season at Kentucky, 24-38, and have since beaten Murray State (45-0) and last week at Colorado State, 41-35. Toledo is ranked 119th defensively, but has the 28th ranked offense. Expect a lot of ground and pound by this Toledo team, as they average 269 yard on the ground. Toledo is a slight home dog here and I think that's a bad line as BYU should not be a road favorite over many teams. I'm taking the points here today. Play Toledo. These teams have met once in the last five years (2016) with BYU winning a shootout, 55-53 but failing to cover the 3-point chalk line. |
|||||||
09-27-19 | Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
Duke comes into today's contest with a 2-1 record both S/U and ATS. Duke opened with a loss to Alabama, 3-42 and failed to cover the 33.5 point dog line. Then they rebounded with a 45-13 win over NC A&T and then two weeks ago winning at home over Mid Tenn State, 41-18 and covering both the last two games. The offense has been very balanced the last two games with 436 yards rushing and 601 yards passing.Duke has the 72nd rated offense right now and Virginia Tech is 81st. Defensively, Tech comes in at 40th and Duke is 63rd. Virginia Tech has yet to cover a spread in their three attempts. They lost their opening game to Boston College, 28-35 and then beat Old Dominion 31-17 but didn't cover the 29.5 points spread. Then they had last week off after beating Furman 24-17 as 24.5 point favorites. Looks like Tech gets their best test here today against a very good Duke team. I look for Duke to win this one outright today, but I'll take the small points anyways. Play Duke. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers UNDER 45 | 34-27 | Loss | -100 | 67 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia looks to rebound from their home loss to the Lions on Sunday with an early turnaround here on Thursday at Green Bay. The Eagles had a chance late to win, but dropped balls played a big part in the Eagles loss. Philly takes to the road for the second time this season. Their first was a road game at Atlanta where they lost 20-24 and went under. That's what I'm looking at here on Thursday, the under. The 3-0 Green Bay Packers have been anything but an offensive juggernaut this year. They have been relying more heavily on their defense holding their three opponents to 16 points or fewer. Meanwhile, the offense has scored 10, 21 and 27 points and they are 0-2-1 O/U on the season. The Packers offense has a high of 335 yards this season, very uncharacteristic of a Aaron Rodgers led team. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here on Thursday. I look for the Packers defense to once again play a big role in this game and not ask as much from Rodgers as year's past. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins UNDER 41 | 31-15 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
To say the Bears were fortunate to escape Denver with a win is an understatement. After leading the entire game, Denver took a 14-13 lead late in the 4th. Chicago got one last chance with just seconds on the clock and was driving when Trubisky was sacked for what looked like the game ending play. However, a very controversial roughing the passer was called on Denver and allowed play to continue and thus a Chicago field goal with just a few seconds on the clock. The Bears defense might not be as good as last year, but they are still very good. They held Green Bay to 47 yards rushing and Denver to 90. The problem has been the offense. The Bears had just 254 yards against Green Bay and 273 against the Broncos. The Redskins are 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start the season. They looked great the first half against the Eagles, but it's been downhill since. Last week the Redskins were beaten by Dallas, 21-31. The offense hass struggled to run the ball, with just 47 yards and 28 yards respectively. The loss of RB Derrius Guice has been a big blow. Yes, they have Peterson, but he really doesn't fit into this offense that the Redskins have developed. So don't expect many yards today against this Bears defense. That means Case Keenum will feel the pressure to make things happen and again, I just don't see that. The only good news for the Redskins, they should be able to keep this anemic Bears offense in check too. I'm taking the UNDER here on Monday night. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Texans +3 v. Chargers | 27-20 | Win | 105 | 64 h 55 m | Show | |
Both the Houston Texans and the LA Chargers come into this game 1-1 S/U and ATS. Houston lost a exciting game in the opener against the Saints, 28-30. They did cover the spread in that game. Then last week just got by the Jaguars at home, 13-12, but failing to cover the 7-point chalk line. After amassing over 400 yards vs the Saints, the Texans barely got over 250 yards in their second game vs the Jags. The Chargers opened with a win over the Colts, 30-24 and then lost last week at Detroit, 10-13. The Chargers led 10-3, but couldn't score in the 2nd half and lost. The Chargers defense lost S-Adrian Phillips to the IR last week. The injury list is growing as S-Teamer Jr, CB-Davis and CB-Williams all are hurt. This Chargers secondary is really banged-up and I expect to see the Texans take advantage of those injuries here today. I'm taking the field goal with the visitor. Play Houston. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 43.5 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 88 h 4 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos were the subject of controversy last week after taking a 14-13 late in the 4th over the Bears. Chicago got the benefit of a very controversial roughing the passer call that extended their last second drive and set them up for the game winning field goal with second left in the game. Now Denver has to take its 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS mark on the road to undefeated Green Bay. The Packers jumped out to a 21-0 lead over the Minnesota Vikings and had to hold on for the win 21-16. The Packers scored all their points in the first half and then nothing. Both the Packers games have now gone under thanks to a decent defense. Though, the Vikings did rush for 198 yards against them last week. Is there concern for the offense? So far the Packers have scored 31 total points and less than 350 yards in both games. The Broncos Joe Flacco has looked good so far, throwing for 249 yards vs the Raiders and 282 yards against the Bears stingy defense. Today, I like this game under. Both teams have decent defenses and neither offense has shown any kind of explosiveness thus far. I'm taking UNDER. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Falcons v. Colts | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show | |
Both these clubs come into today's contest with 1-1 S/U records and 1-1 ATS marks. The Falcons opened with that bad loss at Minnesota, 12-28. They rebounded last week at home against the Eagles with a win, 24-20, covering the one-point line. QB Ryan has thrown for 310 and 272 yards. However, the ground game has not been good with 57 and 73 yards. The Colt opened the season with a loss at the Chargers, 24-30 and then last week at Tennessee they won 19-17. They return for their first home game in the post-Luck era. The offensive stats have not been very impressive, with 376 yards against the Chargers and 288 vs the Titans. Colts laying just one-point at home here. They have been in each game while the Falcons haven't looked all that good - especially on the road. I'm going to lay the points with the Colts today. Play Indianapolis. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -21 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 4 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins look like a team that has no desire to compete. The Dolphins have been blown out in both games, losing in the opener to the Ravens, 10-59 and then last week to the Patriots, 0-43. The offense has been horrendous, totaling 63 rushing yards combined for both games. The Passing game has 179 and 142 yards. As for defense, it's been shredded by the Ravens and Patriots. Won't get any easier today as the Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliot should just run all over this Miami team. Dallas has won and covered both games thus far, scoring 35 against the Giants and last week beating the Redskins, 31-21. This is one of the biggest lines we've seen in the NFL in ages and realistically, it should be higher. That being said, if the Cowboys want to cover this game they will. The Dolphins likely won't score again this week. I'm going to take a chance and lay the big number with Dallas |
|||||||
09-21-19 | UCLA v. Washington State -18 | 67-63 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 33 m | Show | |
UCLA still looking for that first win of the season will be hard pressed to get it here on Saturday night as they have to travel and face No 19 and undefeated Washington State. UCLA is both 0-3 S/U and ATS after their resounding loss last week at home to Oklahoma, 14-48. Oklahoma just piled-up the yards with 309 rushing and 302 passing for 611 total yards of offense to just 311 for UCLA. UCLA has scored 14 points in each of their first three games as the offense has not been clicking. Meantime, Wash State has been an offensive juggernaut with 58, 59 and 31 points in their three games. The passing attack has been potent, with 507 yards against New Mexico State, 481 yards against Northern Colorado and 440 yards against Houston. I normally don't like laying this many points, but I see this a a late night massacre for the Bruins. Play Washington State. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Temple -13.5 v. Buffalo | 22-38 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 53 m | Show | |
Temple improved to 2-0 S/U with their win last week over ranked Maryland, 20-17. The Owls were a 5.5-point home dog to the Terapins, who had been rolling up the yards and points against their competition thus far. Temple held Maryland to just 179 yards passing and 161 yards rushing. The Owls take to the road for their first away game. Buffalo is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS thus far in the season. The Bulls opened with a win over Robert Morris, lost to Penn State and then were shocked last week by Liberty, failing to cover the 5.5-point chalk line on the road. Liberty passed for 325 yards against Buffalo and scored 35 points. Temple definitely the class of this matchup today. We have to lay 14 points on the road with the Owls, but this Buffalo team has come way down from last year. Play Temple. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Ohio -3 | 45-25 | Loss | -111 | 68 h 23 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette brings their 2-1 S/U and 2-0 ATS record to Ohio today to play the Bobcats. The Rajin Cajuns have three games under their belt after wins vs Liberty and Texas Southern. They outscored the last two opponents by a 112-20 margin. The Cajuns also ran up the yards with 748 yards vs Tx Southern and 594 vs Liberty. Their one loss came at home over Mississippi State, 28-38, though they did cover the 18.5-point dog line. Now, the Cajuns take to the road for the first time this year. Ohio opened with a win over Rhode Island, followed by losses to Pitt and last week to Marshall, 31-33. Ohio has played the last two games on the road and played well really, though they didn't cover vs Pitt and did vs Marshall. The Cats have rushed for 223 yards vs Marshall and 278 vs Rhode Island. I know this Lafayette team has been an offensive powerhouse, but against very good competition and at home. Now they are tested on the road and for me, laying 3 or 3.5 points with Ohio is the way to go. Play Ohio. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse -5 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 66 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Michigan improved to 2-1 S/U & ATS with a win at home over Georgia State last week, 57-10. This was after the pummeling they took the week before at Michigan State, 17-51. The Broncos are a passing team with 244 or more yards in each of their first three games. Syracuse is 1-2 S/U & ATS after three games. They started with a softball against Liberty, which they won 24-0. Then they got beat badly at Maryland, 20-63 and then lost to top ranked Clemson last week, 6-41. You can't fault the Orange for their loss last week, it's difficult to play in Death Valley, let alone against the top team in the nation. Syracuse only laying about 5 to 6 points here today, which to me is a gift. This Syracuse team is much better then they have shown thus far and they are in need of a big win today after a pair of humbling losses. I'm taking the home team, play Syracuse. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State (2-1 S/U 1-2 ATS) takes on Big 10 foe Northwestern (1-1 S/U 0-2 ATS) early on Saturday. Michigan State opened with a win over Tulsa, then demolished Western Michigan, 51-17. Last week the Spartans fell completely apart, losing at home to Arizona State, 7-10 as a 15.5-point favorite. The Spartans played very good defensively, allowing ASU just 140 yards passing and 76 yards rushing. ASU scored the winning TD with just 50 seconds left in the game over the 19th ranked Spartans. MSU had over 400 yards of offense in the game, but managed just seven points. They also managed just four scoring opportunities. Northwestern, a 9-point dog in this game, lost its opener to Stanford 7-17 and then beat UNLV last week, 30-17. The Wildcats lost QB TJ Green (foot) for the year in the Stanford game. I have to wonder if this offensive mystery that hit MSU last week will cover over today. MSU hits the road and now lays almost double digits. Northwestern is good enough to stay in this contest, especially if we see any near repeat of what the Spartans did last week. Take the points here, play Northwestern. |
|||||||
09-20-19 | Air Force +7.5 v. Boise State | 19-30 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Two undefeated teams matchup here in Idaho on Friday as the 2-0 Air Force Falcons take on the 3-0 Boise State Broncos. Air Force opened with a softball game at home against Colgate, an easy 48-7 win. Then last week, the Falcons had to go to OT, but they got the upset over their neighbor to the North, Colorado, 30-23. The Falcons are as usual, a rushing machine. They had 423 yards vs Colgate and 289 yards against Colorado. However, they also added 155 yards of passing vs the Buffaloes. The defense has been very good, allowing Colgate 161 total yards and Colorado 325 total yards. Boise State beat Florida State to open the season, 36-31. Then came back at home against Marshall and beat them, 14-7. Last week it was an easy win for the Broncos at home against Portland State, 45-10. The defense has been very good, especially in the 2nd half of games. Today though they play an equally talented defense and must find a way to stop the Air Force ground attack. I believe that a TD is just too much for this Boise State team to be laying to a very good Air Force club. I'm taking the points. Play Air Force. |
|||||||
09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 42 h 29 m | Show | |
Two teams looking for a big win meetup here on Thursday as the 1-1 S/U Tennessee Titans take on the 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags opened the season with a loss to Kansas City, 26-40, and in the process lost their starting QB Nick Foles. Foles had surgery to repair his collarbone after a controversial hit in that game by Chris Jones. Gardner Minshew has taken over now at QB and played very well in that game, going 22-for-25 with 275 yards and two TD's. The timetable for Foles return could be by week 11 vs the Colts. Tennessee is 1-1 S/U & ATS and 1-1 O/U after two weeks. Marcus Mariota is probable with a quad injury. Last week the Titans lost to the Colts, 17-19 as a 3-point favorite. The game went under as both teams had under 300 totals yards of offense. These teams both playing much better defense right now then offense. Because of that, I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday night. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +1.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Sunday night action as the Falcons host the Eagles. The Eagles started last week's home game against the Redskins looking pretty bad and getting many boos from the home crowd, as they trailed at the half. But a 2nd half rally by the Eagles got them the win, but not the cover as a 10-point favorite, 32-27. Now they take to the road to play the Falcons who also struggled last week. Atlanta lost at Minnesota, 12-28 and was never in the game as they scored a TD with just seconds left to make the score more respectable. The defense was good though, holding Minnesota to just 97 yards passing, though they did give up a lot on the ground with 172 yards. I don't expect the Eagles to be able to run the ball like the Vikings did last week. Basically we just need Atlanta to win here tonight as they are a 1 or 2 point home dog. I like the Falcons to bounce back and take the win. Play Atlanta. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
Chicago lost their opener and has had plenty of time to stew over the loss with the extra time off. The Chicago defense was outstanding, as we expected. They held the Packers to just 47 yards rushing and 166 yards passing. Still, they lost 3-10. It was the offense that seemed stagnant. The offense had just 46 yards rushing and 208 yards passing with some key turnovers in the red zone. Denver also lost last Monday night and will return on the short week here. The defense wasn't as good as expected, with 259 yards passing allowed and 98 yards rushing. The offense played from behind the entire night and that took them out of their normal rush first game. Still, they had 95 yards rushing and 249 yards passing out of Joe Flacco. For me, this game will be a defensive battle. I don't see the Broncos scoring much against this Bears defense and the the Bears offense will need major improvements. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these clubs opened the season with wins, but what was really impressive was each team's defense. The Vikings beat the Falcons 28-12, but the Falcons scored on a meaningless TD with time running out. The Vikings had the Falcons shutout for a good part of the game. They held Atlanta to 73 yards rushing and 272 yards passing, with most of those passing yards coming in garbage time. The Packers looked very impressive on defense last Thursday in their win over the Bears, 10-3. The offense really only had one good quarter in the 2nd, but that's all they needed because the defense was so good. The Green Bay defense is the best improvement in this year's club. They held a good Bears rushing team to just 46 yards. Today's game, this should be two defenses that will control this game. The team that makes the offensive mistake will likely lose. For me, I'm taking the UNDER. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | 49ers v. Bengals | 41-17 | Loss | -125 | 83 h 9 m | Show | |
Both these teams looked very good in their openers, the 49ers winning at Tampa Bay and the Bengals losing at Seattle. The 49ers benifited from two, pick-six returns that ended up being the difference in a 31-17 win over Tampa Bay. The 49ers offense wasn't sharp though, rushing for 98 yards and passing for just 158 yards. They didn't need to do much though as the defense stiffened when needed. The Bucs outgained the 49ers with 121 yards rushing and 174 yards passing, but turnovers where the difference in this one. As for Cincinnati, they could have and really should have won at Seattle. The Bengals lost 20-21, but dominated the stats with 429 yards to just 233 yards for the Seahawks. The Bengals had three big fumbles though and lost the turnover battle 1-3. That was the difference in this one. Still, the Bengals looked the more complete offense and defense compared to the 49ers who really just benefited from those pick-six returns. I like the Bengals here at home today. The 49ers again make the long trip East, two weeks in a row now and that's tough on any team. Play Cincinnati. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bills v. Giants +2 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Buffalo has knocked off one New York team as they look to be the best so far in the state as they take on the other New Yorker here today in the Giants. Buffalo looked lost in their game vs the Jets, trailing 0-6 at the half and by 16-points in the 2nd half. But, QB Josh Allen led the Bills on a comeback and their defense stiffened up for a 17-16 win, scoring 17 unanswered points. Meanwhile, the Giants ran into the Dallas buzzsaw, losing 17-35 in Texas. The Giants had 151 yards rushing and 319 yards passing and really were also even with Dallas in total yards. But, fumbles were the difference as the Giants committed two turnovers to none for Dallas. I'm a bit surprised that Buffalo is a road favorite here, laying from 1 to 2 points. I know they had a nice comeback last week, but the Giants ran up the yards against a very good Dallas defense. I'm taking the Giants and needing nothing more than a straight up win here. Play New York Giants. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida -7 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 40 m | Show | |
Stanford showed us they might not be as good as what was previously believed. They struggled in game one vs Northwestern and while they covered, they only did so because of a last second fumble recovery in the end zone that got them the cover. Then last week they were in the game with USC at the half before getting blown out in the second half and losing, 20-45. They gave up 377 yards passing to a USC true freshman at QB. In addition, the Cardinal are forced to play a true freshman after losing their starting QB against Northwestern. Now they make the West to East coast travel to play Central Florida today. The Central Florida offense is clicking, beating Florida A&M 62-0 and then last week beating Florida Atlantic, 48-14. That's a 110-14 scoring margin for UCF. UCF got 356 yards passing in game one and 262 yards passing in game two. But this is a balanced team as they have 650 total rushing yards in the two games. I think the loss of the Cardinal QB is bigger than they think and they will have trouble staying with this UCF team here today. Play Central Florida. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | USC v. BYU +4 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
USC is 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS after two games. USC opened with a win at home over Fresno State, 31-23 and then last week beat Stanford, 45-20. The Trojans shut out the Cardinal in the 2nd half after leading 24-20 at the break. USC playing with a true freshman at QB after their starting QB was hurt against Fresno. Still, they passed for 377 yards last week vs Stanford. BYU opened their season against rival Utah, losing 12-30 but staying much closer than the final reflected. Then last week went to Tennessee and won outright 29-26 as 3.5-point dogs. Now they return home for a huge game against undefeated USC. The BYU defense has been good against the pass, allowing Utah 106 yards and last week 176 to Tennessee. They will be tested here today against this true freshman of USC. But again, USC plays on the road for the first time and for me that's a big test. Much easier for the freshman QB to play before the home crowd. How will he do here against a raucous BYU fan base? I like the home dog here today. Play BYU. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Air Force +4 v. Colorado | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Two Colorado teams that aren't all that far apart meet up here today as Colorado hosts their rival Air Force. Air Force is 1-0 S/U and 1-0 ATS after their initial win over Colgate, 48-7. Hard to get a gauge on how good AF is against a team of Colgate's level. Air Force does what they do, run the ball. They got 423 yards on the ground vs Colgate and just 41 yards passing while holding them to just 161 yards. Colorado opened with a win over Colorado State, 52-31 and then played Nebraska in week two. Nebraska dominated that game in the first half, but things changed in the 2nd half as Colorado rallied for a 34-31 win and their 2nd cover of the season. The Buffaloes passed for 375 yards against Nebraska and rushed for 89. But they played from behind most of the time which took away a lot of their run attack. Against CSU, they rushed for 243 yards, so we know they can run the ball. This game really comes down to ball control. Air Force will run, run and run and so far Colorado hasn't done well vs the run. Nebraska got 179 yards and CSU got 131 yards against them. So I fully expect Air Force to pile up the yards on the ground. I'm taking the points here with Air Force as I don't see Colorado being able to hold this Falcons rushing game down. Play Air Force. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Kansas State off to a 2-0 start this season after wins over Nicholls State and then last week against Bowling Green. The Wildcats are a big running team, with 361 yards on the ground vs Nicholls and then 333 yards last week vs Bowling Green. The defense has been very good, but gets there first test this week vs Miss State. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-0 with wins over La Lafayette and then last week vs Southern Miss. They did struggle vs La Lafayette, winning by just 10 as a 18.5-point favorite. The offense is balanced with 471 yards total rushing and 412 yards passing. The defense hasn't been all that good as they allowed 164 yards on the ground to Lafayette and 110 yards on the ground to Southern Miss. They might have trouble today against the Wildcats ground game. Getting TD here with Kansas State is too much to pass on for me. This K State running game could control this game today. Take the points with Kansas State. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +7.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams undefeated early in the season as Maryland is 2-0 S/U and ATS so far while Temple is 1-0 S/U and ATS. Maryland has been a scoring machine thus far, with 79 points against Howard in their opener and then 63 against a ranked Syracuse last week. Maryland has now outscored their two opponents 142-20. However, both those games have been at home and now they must travel to Philly to take on Temple. Temple got little push back against an overmatched Canisius club last week. Temple passed for 507 yards and rushed for another 188 in the win while holding Canisius to just 21 yards rushing in the 56-12 win. Today, Temple is getting a TD at home. Maryland has been good, but they get a big test here on the road today. This Maryland club isn't the same team away from home and laying points on the road is now what they should be doing. I'll take the points and won't be surprised at all by an outright Temple win. Take Temple. |
|||||||
09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these clubs opened with losses in week one. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the SF 49ers,17-31. The Bucs had issues with turnovers, allowing two pick-6 returns that ended up being the difference in the score. Defensively, the Bucs played well, holding San Fran to 98 yards rushing and 158 yards passing for 256 total yards. Meanwhile, Carolina lost to the Rams, 27-30. This game went over the total, but most of those points came in the 2nd half. Carolina held the Rams to 347 total yards, but had trouble keeping the LA ground game under control with 166 yards. Don't let last week's scores scare you off the under here tonight. Both defenses played well enough to keep the games under. I'm taking this Thursday game UNDER the total. |
|||||||
09-09-19 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 173 h 37 m | Show | |
Monday Night football and we get an AFC divisional clash between two hated foes, the Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders. Both teams have high expectations for the year. First, the Broncos have lots of new faces beginning with Head Coach Vic Fangio who created that excellent Bears defense of recent years. Fangio should also stress defense and hopefully bring back the Broncos defense that was the backbone of this team. Also new is QB Joe Flacco, who comes over from the Baltimore Ravens. Right now the Broncos don't have a backup QB with Drew Lock nursing a hurt thumb and the team having releases the other two backups. They wanted to get Hoyer, but Hoyer was snatched up earlier this week. So the Broncos had to sign Brandon Allen to backup Flacco. Allen has been with the Rams and Jagaurs in recent years. Allen did play against the Broncos in the preseason and apparently impressed them enough to be signed by Denver. The Raiders have high hopes also with Jon Gruden entering his second year. They went out and got Antonio Brown to play Wide Receiver, though he didn't play a snap in the preseason. Brown was nursing injured feed and then he had the much publicized helmet issue with the league. Both of these teams should be much better this year, but I'm siding with the Broncos here. I like Flacco at the helm and the Broncos defense will be much better than Oakland's. Take Denver. |
|||||||
09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 57 h 41 m | Show | |
The Saints are arguably one of the favorites in the NFC to go to the Super Bowl as they take the field for the first time since the infamous "no-call" in the playoffs vs the Rams. Expectations are high in the Big Easy as the season begins and any thing less than a Super Bowl appearance could be a disappointment. Gone is RB Mark Ingram who departed for the starting position in Baltimore. The Houston Texans are the defending AFC South champions and hope to improve on what they did last year. Bill O'Brien has done wonders in Houston, getting the team past .500 in four of the last five years and finishing first in the division three times. DeShaun Watson is a great starter with a 14-8 record under his belt. He hopes to take advantage of a Saints secondary that was not good last year. In fact, the Saints finished 6th from the bottom of the league in passer rating allowed. The Texans play well on the road, going 5-1 in their last six away games. With JJ Watt and Jackson and I like the points here and really wouldn't be shocked by an outright Texans win. This is too many points to lay to a very good Houston team. Play the Texans. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
The post Andrew Luck season begins today after the high profile QB retired suddenly a few weeks ago. Jacoby Brissett takes over the helm as the new, regular QB for the Colts. Keeping Chargers DE Joey Bosa off Brissett will be of the utmost importance here today. Bosa looks to be healthy after missing time last year and is arguably the best defensive player on the Chargers side of the ball. The Chargers will be without RB Melvin Gordon who has been a holdout with a contract dispute. The Chargers have been trying to trade the disgruntled running back and are looking for a first round draft pick in return. The Chargers will have QB Phillip Rivers back though and that is the mainstay of this offense. His best days might be behind him, but he's still one of the best. I think the Colts will be fine without Luck. They've done it in the past and now can move forward knowing he won't be back. I think Gordon's absence is what really will hurt the Chargers here on Sunday. The Colts are getting 6.5 or 7 points and for me that's just too many. I'm taking the dog and looking for a close game that could come down to a last second field goal. Play Indianapolis. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 139 h 21 m | Show | |
The LA Rams would like to put that terrible Super Bowl performance out of their minds as they enter the 2019 season. We aren't sure though about the starters in this one since none of the starters played in the preseason. You have to wonder if it will take a few games to get those "game legs" under them. WR Cooper Kupp is back after suffering that ACL tear last year and that will be big for the Rams. Back also are QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. The defense should be even better this year with the addition of Clay Mathews at linebacker. There had been questions of Cam Newton playing today for the Panthers as he's had a foot injury. However, Newton took all the reps in practice this week and will likely be ready for today's game. The Panthers have five of the last six meetings with the Rams and Newton is 2-0 against them. Christian McCaffrey is a huge part of the Panthers offense both rushing and catching balls out of the backfield. I think the Panthers can match the Rams here point for point. Since we are getting points here at home with the Panthers, that is who I will take. Play Carolina. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are the Kings of the NFL preseason. They haven't lost a preseason game since 2015 and again this year were not only undefeated but covered every game. Their only setback was a game called due to weather and they were covering that when it was called. The Ravens went out and got RB Mark Ingram from New Orleans in the offseason. They also settled on a QB, with Joe Flacco leaving for Denver in the offseason. The Dolphins are in a rebuilding mode as they enter the season. One of the biggest concerns for Miami is the offensive line, which lost tackle Lareny Tunsil and Ja'Wuan James. This to me is one of the keys here today. The Ravens lost some of their key defensive players, namely Terrell Suggs and C.J. Mosely, but they will still dominate this Miami offensive line today. The Ravens have a deep secondary and a good one, so expect them to shut down Miami's air attack today. Lamar Jackson won't be looking over his shoulder and seeing Flacco there this year. This is his team and while you can expect this team to still be a run oriented offense, Jackson will give them that double threat of pass/run. It's no surprise the Dolphins have one of the youngest and least experienced teams in the NFL. The Ravens have won seven of their last eight vs the Dolphins and that is fully what I expect again here today. Play Baltimore. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 395 h 25 m | Show |
Arizona's offense not producing much in the preseason with just 200 yards average per game thus far. That's bodes bad for them here today against a Minnesota team that is 19-4 in preseason under HC Mike Zimmer. Zimmer is 5-0 with the Vikings in week 3 of the NFL preseason. That tells me that the Vikes take this dress rehearsal game serious. I'm looking at a big mismatch here on Saturday with the Vikes holding this Arizona team to low yards and score. I'm making a big play here on Minnesota. This will be my Preseason Game of the Year. Take Minnesota. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Minnesota v. Fresno State +3.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show | |
Late action here on Saturday has Fresno hosting Minnesota. The Minnesota Golden Gophers hosted South Dakota State last week and won, but just barely at 28-21 as a 14-point favorite. The offense managed just 308 total yards while allowing 367 yards. Meanwhile, Fresno State gave ranked USC all it could handle last week in Southern Cal, losing 23-31 but covering the 14-point dog spread. The Bulldogs rushed for 206 yards and passed for another 256 against a good USC defense. That doesn't bode well for the Gophers here tonight who were outgained last week by South Dakota State. Step up in class and the long road trip doesn't make for a good night for Minnesota. I'm taking Fresno State as a late winner. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Tulane +17.5 v. Auburn | 6-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these clubs opened with wins last week and both covered their respective spreads. Tulane hosted Florida International and won easily, 42-14 as 3-point favorites. The Green Wave rushed the ball for 350-yards in the win and allowed just 59-yards to FIU. Meanwhile, Auburn came from behind to beat Oregon last week, 27-21. The Tigers were behind the entire game until late in the 4th quarter and ended up covering the 4-point spread. Today the Tigers are laying around 17-points to Tulane. If the Green Wave can control the rushing game like they did last week they can cover this spread. Plus, Auburn might be in for a bit of a letdown after that emotional win over Oregon. I'm taking the points here with Tulane. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Wyoming v. Texas State +7 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
Wyoming pulled a mild shocker last week at home with a win over Missouri, 37-31 as a 15.5-point dog. The Cowboys gave up a ton of yards, but somehow still pulled out the win. Missouri rushed for 114 yards and passed for 423 yards for a total of 537 yards to Wyoming's 411 yards. Meanwhile, Texas State was pummeled at Texas A&M last week, 7-41. They did manage a spread push though as 34-point dogs. TSU rushed for just eight yards in that game. Texas State getting points here today, seven points in fact. I'm not convinced Wyoming is all that good. Or at least good enough to lay a touchdown on the road. I'm taking the home club here plus the points. Play Texas State. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Nebraska -4 v. Colorado | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
Colorado had its hand full last week with rival Colorado State, but pulled away late for the win and the cover. Still, CSU played with them for most of the first half and into the 2nd half before winning 52-31. However, the final score wasn't indicative of how the Buffs played in that game. Nebraska hosted South Alabama last week and won the game 35-21, but failed to cover the 35-point line. Have to wonder how interested the Huskers were in that game with Colorado up here this week. This game used to be a rivalry when both were in the same conference. Still, these teams look at this matchup as a rivalry. The Huskers ranked No 24 in the polls make their first visit to Folsom Field since 2009. Nebraska only laying 4.5-points here on Saturday. The Colorado defense needs work after allowing CSU to go up and down the field on them. I'm taking Nebraska here on Saturday. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Northern Illinois v. Utah -21.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois won their opener last week at home against Illinois State, 24-10, covering the 6.5-point favorite line. The Huskies allowed just 238 total yards to Illinois State in the win. Now, they make the trip west to take on a very good Utah club. Utah won last week in Salt Lake over their in-state rivals, BYU. The Utes pulled away in the fourth quarter for the win, 30-12 as 5-point chalks. Utah held BYU to 300 total yards. Utah has to lay around 3-td's here tonight. However, I don't see that as a problem with Northern Illinois' offense looking very sluggish against a much weaker opponent last week. Wouldn't be surprised by a Utah shutout here on Saturday. Play Utah. |
|||||||
09-05-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show | |
A key divisional matchup right out of the gate for these two powerhouse NFC teams. The Packers hoping that a now healthy Aaron Rodgers will make a big difference to their playoff hopes this season. Rodgers played most of last year with that leg injury suffered against this Bears defense. This Bear's defense won't be as good with some key departures. This will also debut new Packers' head coach Matt LeFleur, who takes over for Mike McCarthy. Matt Nagy's bears should be good again this year with Khalil Mack on defense and a more season Mitch Trubisky behind center. But I'm taking the points here tonight with a healthy Rodgers at the helm for the Pack. Play Green Bay. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. Texas | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
Texas had its string of 17 straight home opening wins broken a few seasons ago, but rebounded back last year to beat Tulsa by just seven points as a 22 1/2 point chalk. The Longhorns return just eight starters (three on Defense). The good new though is the return of QB Sam Ehlinger. Tech returns 11 starters including QB J'Mar Smith who is a 1st Team all conference player. Tech getting 20 1/2 points is too many for Texas to lay. We saw last season how they barely survived their opening game over a much less talented Tulsa club. I'm taking the points here with Louisiana Tech. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Northwestern +6.5 v. Stanford | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Northwestern is one of those teams with two QB's that could switch playing time. Hunter Johnson and Sr TJ Green look to split time at signal caller for Northwestern. Not so for Stanford, who returns Costello at QB after a 2018 campaign where he tossed 29 TD's and 11 INT's. The Cats have covered the last three vs the Cardinal. My only issue with this Stanford team is that they return just 9-starters and have to replace three wide receivers that Costello must now gel with. Northwestern as a dog is too much for me to pass on here. Play Northwestern. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | South Carolina -10 v. North Carolina | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 28 m | Show | |
This game being played in Charlotte, NC has the Tarheels of NCU taking on the Gamecocks of South Carolina. NCU has had back-to-back bad seasons of 2-9 and 3-9. Meanwhile, South Carolina off that shutout loss in the Bowl to Virginia, 0-28. The Gamecocks have won the last three in this series straight-up and covered two of those. This will be the fourth meeting between these clubs in the last seven year. The difference for me in this game is that South Carolina returns a lot more experience compare to NCU. The Tarheels are also having issues at QB and that will show here today. Take South Carolina. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
Toledo won seven games last year and you might think that's not bad, but not for a Toledo club that saw those seven wins as their lowest win total in the last five years. The Rockets have their top two QB's back this year and 11 starters returning. Kentucky will be hurting early on defense as they return just four starters on defense. The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last seven vs FBS teams. So why in the world is Kentucky laying double digits here? I don't know, but I do know I'll be taking the points with Toledo. Play Toledo. |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Utah State +3.5 v. Wake Forest | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 59 m | Show | |
The Utah State Aggies had an excellent season last year and returns seven starters to a defense that allowed a stingy 22.2 ppg last season. Wake Forest returns 12 starters including their top rusher, Cade Carney. QB Newman also returns to Wake. Utah State has just two starters on offense, but one of them is QB Jordan Love who tossed 32 TD's and just 6 INT's last year. Wake Forest hasn't been good at covering at home, evidenced by their 1-6 mark at home their last 7-games. I like Utah State in this one getting points with a very good defense an especially Love returning at QB. Take Utah State. |
|||||||
08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +7 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
This is the 94th edition of what has become known as the "Holy War" between these Utah schools. BYU looking to snap an 8-game losing streak to Utah here on Thursday. Both teams have decent returning starters with the Utes returning 14 and the Cougars return 17 starters. BYU QB Zach Wilson and his top 3 wide outs return. The Cougars are 23-11 as a dog. The dog in this series is 7-2. I'm taking the home dog here on Thursday. Take BYU. |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii +11 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 83 h 48 m | Show | |
Arizona HC Kevin Sumlin hopes to wipe the slate clean after a horrific 2018 campaign. This is the second season for Sumlin and likely a key one if he hopes to stick around. Now the Cats have to travel the long distance to play at Hawaii to open the season. The Hawaii Warriors return QB Cole McDonald, who threw for 3,800 yards last year. The 6-foot-4 QB threw for 36 touchdowns and just 10 interceptions. The Wildcats are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Hawaii has done well vs the Pac-12, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 tries. Hawaii getting 11-points here with a big, strong QB who can play. I don't think so. I'm taking the points and wouldn't be surprised by an outright Hawaii win. |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL +7.5 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 28 m | Show | |
TV matchup here from Orlando, Florida has two old rivals facing each other as Miami-Florida takes on Florida. Expect these teams to be chippy here on Saturday as they meet to open the season. I also expect this game to be high scoring. Early games are usually not defensive battles, despite both of these teams being in the top 25 defensively last year. No 8 Florida is a 7-point favorite here on Saturday. The Gators begin their second season under HC Dan Mullen and return QB Franks. Former Dan Mullen assistant, Manny Diaz, begins his first season as the Miami head coach. Both teams return a lot of talent, but I just can't pass on the points here with the Hurricanes. Play Miami Florida. |
|||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots -131 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 153 h 39 m | Show | |
The Patriots had an exciting finish to their Championship game with the Chiefs, winning in OT on the opening touchdown drive. The Patriots blew a 14-0 first half lead and needed some more Tom Brady magic in the fourth quarter for two late drives to win over the Cheifs. The Rams, well we all know what happened there with the call at the end of the game. Either way, the Rams were good enough to win that game. It's sad when games come down to calls or missed calls by the referees. That being said, we get a great matchup here in the Super Bowl. The Rams still having a bad taste from the cheating allegations the last time these teams met in Super Bowl XXXVI. Will this be the last stand for Brady and Bellichick? I believe we'll get at least one more Super Bowl notch on their belt here in this game. You can make a case for both teams statistically, but only the Patriots have Brady and Bill at the helm. I'm taking the Patriots here in the Super Bowl. |
|||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 56 | 13-3 | Loss | -108 | 153 h 39 m | Show | |
We're talking about four of the best offenses in the league that went into the Championship weekend. The Patriots and Chiefs had a slow first half, but exploded in the 4th quarter to go over. The Rams and Saints didn't come close to their first matchup, but they are both still great offenses. The bottom line for me is that the Patriots with Brady and Bill are 7-1 O/U in their last eight postseason games. They scores points, bottom line. The Rams should be able to stay with them and score too. Super Bowls historically are good over plays and this one maybe one of the best. Play the Super Bowl game OVER. |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 141 h 32 m | Show | |
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. We have Brady and Bellichick once again in the title game. They rolled by one of the best road teams in the playoffs last week in the Chargers. Now they face rookie and likely NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes. If there is one thing the Patriots have done and done well is win these types of games. Now, you are giving Brady points? That's too much for me to pass on. I'm taking the Patriots and these points as I fully expect them to what they have been doing for years now, win big games. Play New England. |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 56 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 32 m | Show | |
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. The total in this game is 56 1/2 so I'm going UNDER with the cold weather. PLAY UNDER. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 69 h 52 m | Show |
Divisional Series Game of the Year: It wasn't that long ago that these teams met and the Saints pummeled the Eagles, 48-7. So what's different this time? The Eagles are a different team this time around. The Eagles still have the third worst pass defense in the league and now have to face Drew Brees and Company. Even QB Mitchel Trubisky threw for 303 yards in the Bears loss to the Eagles last week. Last time Brees threw for 363 yards vs the Eagles and could easily eclipse that this time. But this time, the Eagles have a rejuvenated Nick Foles. Foles seems to come alive come playoff time. The Saints haven't faced Foles since 2013. Foles has won nine of 10 starts in this late season period. Plus, RB Darren Sproles is going to play this time, something the Eagles lacked last time. So for this game, I'm going to take the OVER. The total is right at 51 or 51 1/2. Last time these teams met the game went under the 56.5 total as they came up just short with 55 points. This time, I expect the Eagles to get much more points the way the team is playing with Foles. And, Brees will still put up points for the Saints with that explosive offense they have. My best play of this round is the OVER. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -4 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 71 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a bad spot for the Chargers. First, another cross country trip. Last week it was to Baltimore then back home then back to New England for this week's game. That's not the only reason for the selection the weather will not be what the Chargers are used to. The high will be in the 20's and the low in the teens with a 10% chance of some snow. Meanwhile, HC Bill Belichick and team have had a week off to prepare. They have outscored opponents at home this year by 16 points a game. The reign of Bellichick and Brady will soon be coming to an end as father time creeps up on them. But in this matchup, I have to go with Belichick against head coach Anthony Lynn of the Chargers. I just think the line is too short and I might get shorter so I'm going with the New England Patriots to win this game by a touchdown or more. Take New England. |