Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-25-17 | Washington v. Arizona State -160 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Both the Huskies and the Sun Devils sit near the bottom of the PAC-12 standings with a 2-5 record. The Huskies have played two road games so far, losing at Stanford and California. Arizona State will look to snap a four game losing streak, coming off a tough stretch where they lost to UCLA, USC, Arizona and Utah. They've been quite good at home, scoring an average of 91.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting. The Huskies have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and seven of their last eight as an underdog. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. I don't think Washington will be able to keep up with Arizona offensively. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Alabama v. Georgia -5.5 | Top | 80-60 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
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01-25-17 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 | Top | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Rockets -155 v. Celtics | Top | 109-120 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Houson Rockets.
The Rockets have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, and they are coming off a 127-114 at Milwaukee. They will look to get back on track in Boston tonight, and the Celtics are in rough shape. Boston has lost three straight, and they've been brutal defensively during that stretch. They play their second game of a back to back without Avery Bradley, who they have really missed. The Rockets are 6-1 straight up in the last seven in this series, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at Boston. James Harden should put up some big numbers tonight against this struggling Celtics defense. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
The Florida State Seminoles are sitting at the top of the ACC standings, and they are a big road favorite at Georgia Tech tonight. The Seminoles have only played two road games this season, winning by two points at Virginia, and getting blown out at North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels. The Seminoles won at Georgia Tech last year, but it was a close game decided by a score of 57-53. In fact three of the last four meetings between the two teams have been decided by six points or less. Not surprisingly, with so many close games in this series, taking the points has paid off in a big way. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -165 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
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01-24-17 | Villanova v. Marquette OVER 152.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Villanova@Marquette to go OVER the total.
The Marquette Golden Eagles have scored at least 80 points in five straight games. Their most recent game was a 102-94 win at Creighton. Earlier this month they gave Villanova a run for their money, losing 93-81 in Philly. The Wildcats will visit the Bradley Center tonight, and Villanova has only lost once this season, losing 66-58 at Butler. Marquette also lost to Butler, but led by a whopping 16 points at halftime in that game. When the Wildcats visited Marquette last year, it was a shootout. Villanova won that game by a score of 89-79, but this year's Marquette team appears to be a lot more talented than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 87.2 points per game on 51.8 percent shooting at home this season, and I think Villanova will have to score plenty of points to avoid another loss. The over is 8-1 in Marquette's last nine games as an underdog, and these teams have gone over in four straight meetings in Milwaukee. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-17 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois -165 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NIU.
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01-24-17 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7 | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
The Bonnies will host St. Joe's on Tuesday, and they are coming off back to back wins by combined 39-point margin. St. Bonaventure has been a beast at home over the last decade, but they haven't been as dominant on their own floor so far this season. While they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, their most recent home win came by a whopping 20 points in a 73-53 win over Fordham. The Bonnies have covered the spread in five straight meetings versus St. Joe's, and they won all five of those games by at least eight points. The Red Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to St. Bonnies, and they have averaged just 66 points per game while losing four of seven on the road. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 85 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and they should blow the doors off here in this one. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-17 | Thunder v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
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01-23-17 | Quinnipiac +10 v. Iona | Top | 74-84 | Push | 0 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois -1 | Top | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
At first glance, this looks like a classic let down spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners last game was an upset win at West Virginia, with Jordan Woodard scoring the game winning bucket just before the end of overtime. Woodard leads the Sooners in scoring, and when he was sidelined for four games due to injury, Oklahoma struggled. He played just 24 minutes in a home loss to Kansas, and scored just seven points on 2-of-8 shooting. The Sooners led that game at the half by a score of 36-27, but couldn't hold off the mighty Jayhawks in the second half. Woodard has totaled 47 points in back to back wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. The Sooners host the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Cyclones have lost three of their four road games this season, and are coming off back to back losses to Kansas and TCU. I don't expect Oklahoma to suffer a let down here at home, I think they'll be full of confidence and looking to build on some positive momentum. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -3 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
The Louisville Cardinals scored 92 points in a blowout win over Clemson at home on Thursday, but I think they are primed to suffer a let down on the road at Florida State today. The Cardinal played their last game without starting PG Quentin Snider, who is the team's assist leader. They shot out the lights, hitting 56.3 percent from the field, and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Tigers. They can't count on such a high shooting percentage here in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are 13-0 at home this season, and have scored an average of 91.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting in those games. They've won five of six in conference play, with the only loss coming on the road at North Carolina. Even more impressive is the fact that five of their last eight wins have come against ranked teams. That includes an upset win at #12 ranked Virginia. Louisville has failed to cover in 11 of it's last 15 road games, while FSU is 12-5 ATS in it's last 17 home games. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-17 | Wolves v. Clippers -135 | 104-101 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAC.
The Clippers were dealt some bad news following their 120-98 win over Oklahoma City on Monday. Chris Paul suffered a thumb injury that will keep him out for 6-8 weeks. Even without Blake Griffin and Chris Paul, the Clippers are still a slight favorite at home versus Minnesota, and for good reason. The Wolves are just 5-15 on the road this season, and four of those five wins came against Eastern Conference teams. The only Western Conference team that Minnesota has beaten on the road, is the last place Phoenix Suns. The Clippers are currently riding a six game winning streak, and they were without Chris Paul for two of those games (home wins over Memphis and Phoenix). The Clippers relied on their depth after Paul left in the first half of Monday's game. They out-scored the Thunder 56-51 in the second half, and backups Marreese Speights, Kevin Felton, Brandon Bass and Austin Rivers all scored in double digits. Rivers will see increased minutes with the absence of Paul, and he's proven to be up to the task, averaging over 18 points in his last three games played. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their last seven overall, and Chris Paul missed three of those games. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-17 | Davidson v. La Salle -135 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the La Salle Explorers. |
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01-18-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Wake Forest -1 | Top | 79-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
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01-17-17 | Ohio v. Akron -5 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
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01-16-17 | Thunder v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LAC. |
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01-16-17 | Marquette v. Butler -7.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
The Bulldogs are 10-0 at home so far, and their last three wins have come against Big East rivals Xavier, Villanova and Providence. The average margin of victory in those games was 10 points. They host the Marquette Golden Eagles tonight, and Marquette has been blown out by 20+ points in each of it's last two road games in this series. The Eagles has lost two of three road games this season, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and the line here looks reasonable. Marquette scores it's fair share of points, averaging 78.7 points per game on the road. That's only a few points less than Butler averages at home (80.1). Butler is far superior defensively though, holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game at home. The Eagles have given up over 80 points per game on the road. Marquette has only covered in one of the last eight meetings in this series, and I don't think they'll hang with the Bulldogs at Butler.
Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -135 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU. The Buckeyes have lost four straight, and they are still looking for their first win in conference play. They host the Michigan State Spartans Sunday, and this is a "must win" for the home team. The Buckeyes are 9-2 at home this season, and they were 14-5 at home last year. The Spartans have only played two road games, winning by a single point at Minnesota, and losing 78-69 at Duke. The Buckeyes last home game was a one-point loss to Purdue. Ohio State has scored an average of 76.2 points per game on 47.7 percent shooting at home, which perhaps isn't that impressive (slightly better than MSU averages on the road). What is impressive is that they've held opponents to just 61.7 points per game on 37.4 percent shooting. The home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in his series, and that's a trend that is likely to continue today.
Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 56-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. |
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01-14-17 | Duke v. Louisville -4 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals.
Duke is reeling, coming into Louisville off an 88-72 loss at Florida State. Coach K is recovering from back surgery, and assistant coach Jeff Capel has his work cut out for him as the interim bench boss. He's going to be shorthanded here at Louisville, with senior forward Amile Jefferson unavailable for today's game. Jefferson is Duke's leading rebounder, and without him they got killed on the glass in the loss to Florida State. Louisville is one of the more dominant rebounding teams in the country, averaging 39.6 rebounds per game. The Cardinals are 9-1 overall at home this season, and 7-2 ATS. They have won two of their last three home meetings versus Duke, and the Blue Devils have only covered the spread once in their last eight road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-17 | Heat v. Bucks -7 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat are two teams trending in opposite directions. The Heat have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and their lost five losses have all come by at least nine points. The Bucks on the other hand have won four of their last six, with their last win coming on the road at San Antonio. The Greek Freak (Giannis Antetokounmpo) did not score a single point in the win, his first game back after sitting out Sunday with an illness. He should be back at 100% here three days later, and that's not good news for the Heat. He had scored 20 or more points in 14 straight before he got sick. The Heat are in a tough spot here, playing their final game of a six game road trip with four of those games in California. Miami is just 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing on two day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-17 | Quinnipiac +8.5 v. Siena | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
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01-11-17 | Butler v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Creighton Blue Jays.
It was just one week ago that Butler knocked off #1 ranked Villanova at home, and since then the Bulldogs won at Georgetown by a score of 85-76 in OT. They are just 2-2 on the road this season, and playing at Creighton will be their toughest road game to date. They lost 72-64 at Creighton last year, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. Creighton is 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming to the #1 Wildcats. Among those eight wins they've beaten Wisconsin and Seton Hall, with both wins coming by a double digit margin. The Blue Jays are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 as a favorite. They have scored an average of 84.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Bulldogs to match that. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-17 | St. Louis v. Duquesne -10.5 | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
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01-10-17 | Duke v. Florida State -1.5 | Top | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
Duke gave Coach K a proper send off in his final game before taking time off to have back surgery, beating Georgia Tech by over 50 points. They followed up that impressive performance with a lackluster 93-82 win over Boston College. The Eagles out-scored the Blue Devils 48-40 in the second half of that game, but Duke held on for the double-digit win. Grayson Allen had 12 points and 11 assists, but highlights showed that he might have been guilty of another trip. Whether or not it was intentional, you can bet that Allen isn't going to be getting the benefit of the doubt from officials at this point. Amile Jefferson scored 11 points before leaving in the first half with a foot injury, and the Blue Devils leading rebounder will not be available here tonight. The Seminoles are coming off back to back wins over Top 25 teams, including an upset win at Virginia. Duke has failed to cover the spread in six of it's last seven road games, and is 0-5 ATS in it's last five as an underdog of five points or less. This looks like a tough spot for the banged up Blue Devils. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-17 | Celtics v. Raptors -175 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
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01-10-17 | Xavier v. Villanova -7.5 | Top | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
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01-09-17 | Thunder v. Bulls -113 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls.
The Thunder will play nine of their next 11 games on the road, and they've lost four in a row away from home. They come into Chicago off a 121-106 home win over Denver, and they've scored over 110 points in four of their last five overall. The Bulls are also surging offensively, they've scored an average of 115 points during a three game winning streak. Jimmy Butler went off for a combined 94 points in Chicago's last two home games, and he should be full of confidence ahead of this matchup opposite MVP candidate Russell Westbrook. The NBA's leading scorer (Westbrook) recorded his 17th triple-double of the season in the win over Denver on Saturday. He's scored 30 or more points in four straight games, and he's averaging 32 points per game on the road this season. All those points have done little in the way of manufacturing wins though, as OKC has a record of 8-10 on the road. The Bulls are hot, with wins over the top 2 teams in the East in their last two games. I'll take the home team. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-17 | Quinnipiac +7.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
The Bobcats have lost a lot of games this season, but they rarely get blown out. The've won two of their last three, and the one loss was an 83-77 defeat at Canisius, a game that Quinnipiac led until midway through the second half. The Bobcats are getting a bunch of points on the road at St. Peters tonight, and the Peacocks are just 3-3 at home. They are coming off a 56-54 loss to Sienna on Saturday, and it was the fifth time in seven games that they failed to score 60 points. They lost all five of those games, and I think that a team that is struggling offensively is going to have a hard time covering such a big spread here in tonight's game. The Bobcats have scored an average of 74.8 points on 43 percent shooting over their last five games, while the Peacocks have averaged just 59 points on 37 percent shooting during the same span. The last meeting between the two teams was a 56-55 home win for the Bobcats, and I expect a similar result here in this game. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-17 | Pistons v. Blazers -3 | Top | 125-124 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
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01-07-17 | Utah v. Arizona State +4.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Utah Utes have lost two of three road games so far this season, and their one win came at Hawaii. They are on the road at Arizona State this afternoon, and the Utes are actually asked to cover a four points spread. Arizona State has had a tough schedule, but they've played pretty well at home, winning six of eight. The Sun Devils are averaging a whopping 92.4 points per game on 48.3 percent shooting at home, and they've scored 84.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have shot the ball well from three-point range during that span, hitting 38.2 percent of their attempts. The Utes have really struggled to score on the road, averaging just 63.7 points per game, and they've shot just 24.1 percent from three point range in their three road games. The Sun Devils are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-17 | Montana v. Eastern Washington -130 | 65-59 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. This is what I said about the Eagles before they played Montana State: "Eastern Washington is 7-0 at home so far, and they've won four straight home games against conference rivals Montana State. The Eagles have won seven of the last nine meetings in this series, going 7-1-1 ATS in those games. Last year the Bobcats lost by a whopping 24 points at Cheney. The Eagles are averaging 86 points per game on better than 46 percent shooting at home this season, while the Bobcats are scoring just 75 points on 37.4 percent shooting on the road. After finishing first in the Big Sky two years ago, the Eagles had an off year last season. They still won 10-of-12 home games, and they are now 30-4 at home over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 0-5 on the road this season, and it doesn't seem very likely that they'll get a positive result here in Cheney." |
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01-07-17 | Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -2 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
I had the Bobcats as a nine point dog in their last game at Canisius, and they covered the spread losing by a score of 83-77. They are back home hosting Manhattan Saturday, and the Jaspers are reeling after losing four straight to start conference play. Manhattan is coming off a blowout home loss to Fairfield, allowing the Stags to score a whopping 97 points on almost 60 percent shooting. The Jaspers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Bobcats played well in their loss to Canisius, leading at halftime and holding that lead until well past the midway point in the second half. If they play with the same passion today, at home against an inferior opponent, they should hang on for a win. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-17 | Montana State v. Eastern Washington -5 | 64-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. |
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01-04-17 | Virginia Tech +1 v. NC State | Top | 78-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
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01-04-17 | Bucks -120 v. Knicks | Top | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
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01-04-17 | Georgia Tech +19 v. Duke | Top | 57-110 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Duke and Georgia Tech appear to be teams trending in opposite directions. The Blue Devils were upset by Virginia Tech in their opening game of conference play, while the Yellow Jackets upset the #9 ranked UNC Tar Heels. Duke has not looked sharp in it's last three games, beating Elon and Tennessee Tech by a combined 21 points. They were favored by more than 25 points in each of those games, but were fortunate enough just to get the outright victories. There could be tough times ahead for Duke, with Coach K scheduled to take time off after back surgery following this game, and Grayson Allen suspended indefinitely. This line appears to be extremely inflated, especially when you consider that over the last three years these teams have played three times, with Duke winning two of those three games by just a single digit margin. The Blue Devils have won nine straight in this series, but they are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in any of those previous nine games. The Yellow Jackets have been a solid bet when getting at least 13 points, covering in four straight such situations. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-17 | Pacers v. Pistons -186 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -186 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
8* |
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01-02-17 | Siena v. Canisius -2 | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
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12-27-16 | Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-16 | Wizards v. Bucks -150 | Top | 96-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After winning back to back games in a home and home series versus Chicago, The Bucks dropped both games in a two game series versus the Cavs. They were competitive in both those games against the defending champs, and on their home court they forced overtime before falling by a score of 114-108. They should get back on track against Washington here, a team that is just 3-9 on the road. The Wizards could be shorthanded, after Otto Porter sat out the second half of their 107-97 win over the Bulls due to back spasms. The Bucks are feeling good about themselves despite coming up short against Cleveland: "If we play like we've played the last week, regardless of our wins and losses, we'll be fine," forward John Henson said. "We're not beating ourselves. We're playing the right way for the most part." They've covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games when playing on 1 day's rest.
Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-16 | Spurs -120 v. Clippers | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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12-22-16 | LSU v. Wake Forest -8 | Top | 76-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
8* |
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12-22-16 | William & Mary v. Rhode Island -10 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
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12-22-16 | Canisius +11.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. |
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12-22-16 | Central Arkansas v. Arizona State -18 | Top | 62-98 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Sometimes wins and losses don't tell the real story, and I think that's the case with this 6-6 Arizona State team. The Sun Devils have lost to #1 Kentucky, #9 Creighton, #18 Purdue, Davidson, Northern Iowa and New Mexico State. Despite their .500 record, they've scored plenty of points. They are averaging a staggering 93.8 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting at home. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. They host the 1-11 Central Arkansas Bears in a matinee Thursday, and this really looks like it should be a massacre. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they've only covered the spread once in their last seven road games. Three of their last four road losses came by 20+ points. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-16 | Georgia State v. Middle Tennessee -12.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders.
Georgia State is 0-4 on the road, and three of those four losses came by double digits (at Old Dominion, at Mississippi State, and at Auburn). The Blue Raiders at 10-2 have more wins than any of those teams, and they have beaten some good teams by a wide margin. They have double digit wins over Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Evansville, Belmont, and Toldeo. They are coming off a 80-77 loss at VCU, covering the spread for the sixth straight game. It's only a matter of time before this team becomes overvalued, but I think we are still getting a reasonable price here on the home favorite, as this game should be a blowout. The Panthers have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 road games, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Take MTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-16 | Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers.
The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-16 | Butler v. Indiana -143 | Top | 83-78 | Loss | -143 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Indiana Hoosiers.
The Hoosiers are 8-1 with wins over #3 ranked Kansas and #3 ranked North Carolina. They play state rivals Butler in Indiana Saturday, and the Bulldogs are 9-1 so far. Both teams are shooting close to 50% from the field, but the Hoosiers have averaged 87.6 points per game, 10 more than Butler. Indiana's biggest advantage should be on the boards, averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (13 more than Butler). The last time these two teams met in the Crossroads Classic, the Hoosiers won 82-73, out-rebounding Butler 48-40. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby scored 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting in the Hoosiers win over the Tar Heels, but missed the last three games with an ankle injury. He's expected to be back for this game, and I like the Hoosiers to prove to be too much for Butler. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-16 | Portland State v. San Francisco -8.5 | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons.
San Francisco has impressed so far, starting the season 7-1, and winning all five home games. The Dons host Portland State tonight, and they are just a single digit favorite. The Vikings have lost four of five road games, including double-digit losses at Arizona State and Loyola Marymount. Junior forward Braxton Tucker leads the Vikings in scoring averaging 16.8 points per game, but he's missed the last three games with a knee injury. Tucker missed all of last season with a knee injury, and his return to the lineup is questionable. The Vikes are getting killed on the boards, averaging just 27 rebounds per game, and giving up an average of 35.5. Rebounding won't be the only advantage for the Dons here tonight, as they are shooting 51 percent from the field this season, and 40.7 percent from beyond the arc. While San Francisco has the more efficient offense, there is an even bigger separation on defense. The Dons have allowed an average of just 70.4 points per game, while the Vikes are allowing a whopping 85.3 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot better than 50 percent from the field. This looks like a complete mismatch from top to bottom, and I like the Dons to win by double digits. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-16 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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12-14-16 | St. Joe's +8.5 v. Princeton | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Joe's Hawks.
After suffering four straight losses, the Hawks bounced back with a solid road win at Drexel on Sunday. Their losses came against some very good teams: Villanova, Temple, N.C. State and Ole Miss. They will be getting a generous amount of points here on the road at Princeton Wednesday. The Tigers have an identical 4-4 record, but their wins aren't all that impressive. They just barely beat Liberty by a score of 67-64 in their last game, and they shot a woeful 3-of-12 from the free throw line in that game. The loss of senior forward Hans Brase has really hurt Princeton, he led the team in rebounding and averaged over 11 points per game in each of his last two full seasons. The Tigers have been losing the battle on the boards all year, averaging under 30 rebounds per game so far. These teams played last year in Philly, and the Hawks won 62-50. They out-rebounded Princeton 43-39, and held the Tigers to just 28.8 percent shooting. The Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog, while the Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. I'll take the points here in a game that looks quite winnable for the Hawks. Take JOES. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-16 | South Carolina v. Seton Hall -145 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The Gamecocks will be without leading scorer, and leading rebounder Sindarius Thornwell when they face Seton Hall on Monday night at Madison Square Garden. South Carolina is undefeated, but seven of their eight wins came at home. They really missed Thornwell in their last game, shooting just 41 percent from the field and getting outrebounded by an inferior Florida International team. The Pirates come in averaging 78.3 points per game on 49.9 percent shooting, and they should feel at home at Madison Square Garden. Not only has Seton Hall won seven of nine games to start the season, their last three games of last season were wins over Creighton, Xavier and Villanova in New York. They have four of five starters from the team that won the Big East Tournament last year. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | NC-Wilmington v. St Bonaventure -4 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure.
The Bonnies come into Saturday's home game against UNC Wilmington as winners of five straight. They are undefeated at home, and they scored a whopping 90 points in a win over Buffalo in their last home game. The Seahawks are in first place in the CAA, and they were the top team in their conference last year. They didn't fare all that well in non conference road games though, dropping four of their first five. The Bonnies are always tough at home, and they were 14-2 on their home floor last season. They shoot the ball particularly well at home, and have a significant edge when it comes to free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Over their last five games, the Bonnies have shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc, while the Seahawks have hit just 32.1 percent of their three-point attempts during that span. Given how well the Bonnies have played at home in recent seasons, it seems a little odd that they are asked to cover such a low number here. We can see that they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games, but they won those six games by an average margin of more than six points. I think the bookmakers have perhaps overcompensated based on that trend, giving us great value betting the home team as such a short favorite. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | Mercer v. Clemson -13 | Top | 47-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
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12-10-16 | Wisconsin -185 v. Marquette | 93-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers will play at Marquette Saturday, in the latest edition of this in-state rivalry. Marquette won last year by a score of 57-55 at Madison, while the Badgers won at Milwaukee by a score of 49-38 the previous year. Those are some pretty low scores for college basketball, which makes it surprising that the total for this game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings in this series. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 overall. Marquette comes in averaging a whopping 86.7 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting, but they have yet to face a ranked opponent. They scored in average of just 68 points in their two losses (vs Pittsburgh and Michigan). Wisconsin will be by far the best defensive team they've seen this season, as the Badgers are allowing just 59.1 points per game. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | Wisconsin v. Marquette UNDER 147.5 | Top | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
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12-07-16 | Blazers v. Bucks -130 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. |
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12-07-16 | Harvard v. Boston College | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles.
After suffering consecutive double digit losses to Richmond and Kansas State, the Eagles won big at home by a score of 88-70 over Dartmouth. They host another Ivy League team tonight, and While Harvard should prove to be a tougher opponent than Dartmouth, the Crimson are no longer the class of their conference. These teams played last November, and the Eagles won by double digits on their home court. Boston College has won four of it's five home games so far, scoring an average of 79.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting. The Crimson have played just one true road game, losing 70-66 at Massachusetts. They committed 19 turnovers in that game, and shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Eagles leading scorer Jerome Robinson has been feeling the hot hand, totaling 27 points in each of his last two games. He was 10-of-16 from beyond the arc in those two games. This looks like a tough spot for a struggling Harvard team playing on back to back nights. Take B.C. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-16 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-16 | Celtics v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. |
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12-03-16 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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12-01-16 | Bucks -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 111-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | St. Mary's -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | Pacers v. Blazers -7.5 | Top | 109-131 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-29-16 | Rhode Island v. Valparaiso OVER 134 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on URI@VALPO to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-29-16 | Pistons v. Hornets -3 | Top | 112-89 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. |
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11-28-16 | Boise State v. Oregon OVER 136.5 | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
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11-28-16 | Butler v. Utah OVER 142 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
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11-28-16 | Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
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11-28-16 | Minnesota v. Florida State UNDER 155.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINN@FSU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-27-16 | San Francisco -125 v. Eastern Washington | 90-96 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
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11-27-16 | Nevada -6 v. Iona | 73-75 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. These two teams played just last week in Reno, and Nevada won that game by double digits. Here is what I said before the game: "The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona." I expect a similar result here in the Final of the Great Alaska Shootout. Take Nevada. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-16 | Denver v. Eastern Washington OVER 152.5 | Top | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@EWU to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
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11-24-16 | Wichita State -115 v. Louisville | 52-62 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. |
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11-24-16 | Oakland v. Nevada -5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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11-21-16 | Coppin State v. Ball State -17.5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time |
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11-20-16 | Iona v. Nevada -10.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona. Jesse Schule |
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11-19-16 | St. Mary's +1 v. Dayton | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-16 | Coppin State v. Utah -26 | Top | 51-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Utah. The Utah Utes have played twice this season, winning both games by 40+ points. They are a huge favorite at home tonight against Coppin State, but I don't think 26 points is a big enough number all things considered. The Eagles are playing a rare third game in three nights, and fourth game in five nights. They are coming off back to back 30+ point losses at BYU and Coastal Carolina. Last night in Provo they shot just 25.9 percent from the field, and made just 50% of their free throws. They've given up an average of more than 80 points per game, and this Utah team is as good as anybody they have faced so far. The Utes are well rested, and this looks like it should be a complete mismatch. Utah ranks 3rd nationally averaging 56 rebounds per game, and they have held opponents to an average of 45 points during their 2-0 start. The home team should win this game by 30+ points. Jesse Schule |
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11-15-16 | Wisconsin +1 v. Creighton | 67-79 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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11-14-16 | Princeton v. BYU -4 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars open the season at home versus the Princeton Tigers, and BYU is just a short favorite. Princeton finished second in the Ivy League behind Yale last year, and the Tigers are favored to win the Ivy League this season. Playing on the road against a WCC powerhouse like BYU is a far cry from the competition the Tigers normally face in conference play. Princeton lost two of their first three road games last year, and both those losses came by double digits at Stonybrook and St. Joseph's. They were 0-2 versus Top 25 teams, losing by double digits to Miami and Maryland. BYU returns three starters from last season's team that was 14-2 at home. The Cougars upset Gonzaga, and recorded signature wins over teams like New Mexico, Northern Iowa, St. Mary's and Creighton. Their season ended with a semi-finals loss to Valparaiso in the NIT Tournament, and they look primed to be a contender in the WCC this year. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-16 | Nevada v. St. Mary's -10 | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-10-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -4 | Top | 112-106 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Jesse Schule. |
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11-08-16 | Mavs v. Lakers -4.5 | 109-97 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
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11-06-16 | Suns v. Lakers -145 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-16 | Kings v. Bucks -125 | Top | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
10* |
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10-29-16 | Pacers v. Bulls -150 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. Jesse Schule |
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10-27-16 | Clippers v. Blazers +2 | 114-106 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Portland Trailblazers. |