Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -168 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto is tough at both ends of the ice, as the Maple Leafs are scoring an average of 3.34 (10th) goals per game and are allowing an average of just 2.61 (4th) goals per game. Toronto has received excellent goaltending from three goalies. No. 1 goalie Ilya Samsonov has a 2.33 goals against average, while Matt Murray has a solid 2.56 goals against average and Erik Kallgren, who has filled in when one of the other two have been injured, has a 2.67 goals against average. Florida has lost six of the last seven when playing against a team that has a winning record and on the road and the Panthers have lost five of the last seven overall. Florida will be playing its second straight game in as many nights on the road when facing Toronto. The Maple Leafs have won 13 of their last 18 games overall. |
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01-17-23 | Ducks v. Flyers -193 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ducks look to pull off the upset but the Flyers look to bounce back from a rough loss and control this game from the first period. The Flyers should pile on the goals with Travis Konecny, Kevin Hayes, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Flyers should also limit a Ducks offense that is scoring only 2.26 goals per game with Travis Sanheim, Ivan Provorov, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Samuel Ersson to make plenty of big saves. The Flyers should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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01-17-23 | Jets -220 v. Canadiens | 1-4 | Loss | -220 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canadiens have won two of their last three games and look to win the upcoming game and provide great odds in the process. The problem is that the Jets look like one of the best teams in the league and look to control this game on both ends of the ice. The Jets, who average 3.34 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against a Canadiens defense that allows 3.68 goals per game, with Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Jets, who allow only 2.59 goals per game, should limit the Canadiens' offense with Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a dominant performance on the road. |
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01-17-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Tulane | 80-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Cougars have a crazy talented team on both sides of the ball. They are equipped with players who are dominant when it comes to scoring and aggressive when it comes to defense. On offense, they are averaging 75.9 points per game while defensively they are only allowing 52.9 points per game. I expect the Cougars to win this matchup because of their ability to stop their opponents from scoring. Each of these offenses can score but only one defense is elite and that's Houston's defense. With this being said, I expect the Cougars' offense to have a larger time of possession and more points because the defense will force Tulane's offense to turn over the ball or miss shots. Along with that, Sasser is coming off a 31-point performance, so expect him to come in with some energy and perform well again. Take Houston's consistent offense and high-caliber defense coming out on top. |
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01-17-23 | Boston College +14.5 v. North Carolina | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This spread gives too much credit to a Tar Heels team undeserving of a large spread. The Eagles have been through a tough stretch of games against ranked Duke and Miami teams, plus a 13-5 Wake Forest team. Prior to that, they beat Notre Dame and played hard against a solid Syracuse team until the closing minutes and beat a ranked Virginia Tech team in the prior game. The Tar Heels have a winning record, but they're 6-11-1 ATS. The Eagles won't win this game on offense, but they can slow the pace and get necessary defensive stops to keep it close. |
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01-16-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -5 | 132-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams play on Sunday so that would definitely seem to favor Los Angeles. However, the Lakers did not need much to be favored in this game. Houston is a terrible team, not only losing nine straight games entering Sunday’s contest but has lost 14 of their last 15 games. They will be the underdog against just about anybody this season. |
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01-16-23 | CS-Northridge v. Hawaii -16 | 51-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s tough to back the Matadors despite a huge 16.5-point spread. They are one of the worst offensive teams in the country and will have a mountain to climb against the Warriors’ defense. Also, CSUN struggles on the defensive glass (275th in the country in defensive rebound percentage), and Hawaii ranks 83rd in offensive rebound percentage, so I’m going with the Rainbow Warriors to win and cover. It’s a tough wager, and I’m looking for Hawaii’s defense to make a difference. The Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall, though they’ve gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six showings as double-digit favorites. On the other side, the Matadors are 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games in the conference play. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Prescott was 14-for-37, while the Cowboys’ rushing game averaged just 2.4 yards per rush on 27 total attempts in last week’s uninspiring loss at Washington. Note that Tom Brady is a 19-time division champion and is 7-0 outright in his career against the Cowboys. We realize that losing teams are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS in the postseason, but they are 3-0 ATS at home. If fact, hosts are 6-0 ATS in games involving losing squads. Sealing the deal is the fact that playing against any away team in the NFL Wild Card Round of the playoffs if they are coming off a loss of 14 or more points (Dallas) is 14-1 ATS since 1980. |
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01-16-23 | Senators v. Blues -103 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St Louis has not played that well this season, but the Blues take advantage of opponents with a losing record, winning 20 of the last 29 in that situation. St Louis has also won nine of its last 12 when their opponent gave up five goals or more in the previous game. Ottawa has struggled when playing away from home as the Senators are 8-10-2 on the road this season. Ottawa has lost 43 of its last 64 when facing an opponent from the Central division. St Louis has won six of the last eight meetings overall against Ottawa. Ottawa is coming off a disappointing loss in which the Senators gave up seven goals to Colorado and Ottawa has been outscored over the last four games by a combined 21-7 and shut out twice during that stretch. St Louis is 2-2 over its last four and has been outscored just 11-10 over that period. |
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01-16-23 | Syracuse +7.5 v. Miami-FL | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Syracuse has been underrated since its rough start to the season, winning nine of its last 11 games. The Orange have one of the youngest rosters in college basketball, so it took them time to get into a rhythm. They have won four of their last five games coming into this matchup, and they are catching nearly double digits on Monday. Miami has lost two of its last three games and has only covered the spread twice in its last nine home games against Syracuse. The Orange are going to have a big advantage in the paint on Monday, creating even more value on this spread. |
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01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -10.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Considering that Phoenix won the last time these teams met, one would be inclined to lean toward the Suns. But it is time to be real. There is a reason why Memphis is on this long winning streak. The team is getting spectacular play across the board, especially from Morant, who is shooting 46.6% percent, averaging 27.4 points per game. Phoenix is just not the same without Paul. He is the guy that gets this team going, and his absence against a hot Memphis team is not a recipe for success. Look for the Grizzlies to wear down the Suns on their way to victory. |
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01-16-23 | Jazz v. Wolves -130 | 126-125 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz will likely play without Olynyk, who re-injured his ankle against Memphis on Jan. 8. Sexton should play after sitting out the last game for injury management. Markkanen didn't play versus Philly, and it's unclear if he's healthy enough to suit up on Monday. Gobert missed the second half of Minnesota's last game, which seems serious enough to expect he won't play on Monday. Even if he does, it's likely his minutes would be restricted. With that said, I'm riding with the home team to cover the spread. Minnesota has been playing much better as of late, beating Cleveland, Phoenix, and Denver. Edwards has been a force to be reckoned with, carrying the T-Wolves with Towns sidelined. Minnesota's bench also proved it could be a factor last game, picking up the slack with Gobert and McDaniels out. |
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01-16-23 | Devils -180 v. Sharks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’ve seen New Jersey handle business on this road swing, dusting both Anaheim and Los Angeles by multiple goals in their last two games on the road. The Devils are a dangerous team on both ends of the ice as they are top five in both goals per game and goals against per game this season. San Jose has been brutal in their own end this season as they are fifth-worst in the league when it comes to stopping opposing teams from denting the twine this season. The Sharks are a below average team on the offensive end of the ice and they are a miserable 4-12-6 on home ice this season. New Jersey rolls to another road win here as they take care of business. |
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01-16-23 | Red Wings v. Avalanche -185 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings look to win on the road but the Avalanche look to build off a dominant win and control this game from the first period. The Avalanche look to build off a seven-goal game and constantly find the back of the net with Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement to overwhelm a Red Wings defense that allows 3.34 goals per game. The Avalanche, who allow only 2.83 goals per game, should limit the Red Wings' offense with Cale Makar, Devon Toews, and the rest of the defensive unit crashing turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alexandar Georgiev to make plenty of big saves. The Avalanche should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-15-23 | 76ers v. Lakers +3.5 | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 76ers started a five-game road trip on Saturday and will have to deal with fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back. Hereof, I’m going with the Lakers whose last three home defeats have come by exactly four points. The Lakers have played well over the last couple of weeks, and I think they will keep it close against the Sixers. Philadelphia has dropped five of its previous eight road contests excluding that Saturday night game against the Utah Jazz. The Sixers are only 1-5 ATS in their last six showings on the road when favored by four or more points. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +9.5 v. Bengals | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ravens are 13-2 ATS away in same-season division revenge affairs. Meanwhile, a closer look at the ultra-hot Bengals shows they’ve been outgained in 5 of the 6 games they played this season against fellow playoff teams. Not good news for a team that was a Super Bowl Loser last year and considering they are 6-14-2 ATS in playoff openers when coming off win. Coupled with teams in right-back-same season revenge being 6-3 SU and 6-2-1 ATS when coming off a loss of 5 or fewer points. |
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01-15-23 | Thunder v. Nets -4 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn is currently holding their opponents to the fifth least amount of points scored per game and the fourth-lowest shooting percentage from the field. They will contest shots near the rim and on the perimeter and slowly pull away throughout this game. OKC will struggle to find consistent open shots throughout this game and they won't cash in enough to keep this game within five points. The Thunder also struggle on the defensive end of the court, as they are surrendering the 22nd most points per game. The Nets have a ton of talent littered throughout their roster, as they will be able to make just enough plays to cover this spread. The Nets have the highest team shooting percentage and they have multiple players that can light up the scoreboard from deep. They will find open shots consistently throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants return to the postseason for the first time since 2016 but bring a 22-8 ATS playoff record since 1982 into this scrum – including 15-4 ATS as a dog. On the fl ip side, the Norsemen are 8-17 SU and 9-15-1 ATS in the postseason since 1989, including 0-9 ATS when facing foes coming off a loss. Vikes’ QB Kirk Cousins has made three starts in the playoffs during his NFL career, going 1-2 SUATS, including 0-1 SUATS as a favorite. Note that Wild Card round dogs of 3 or fewer points, seeking same-season revenge, are 12-4-1 ATS. With it, Big Blue certainly remembers dropping a 27-24 decision here just three weeks ago on a 61-yard field goal at the final gun, a game in which they outstated the Vikes by 92 yards. Look for the G-Men to improve on their 10-2 ATS dog log under head coach Brian Daboll. Go ahead and grab the points |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fish have gone 0-4 SUATS in postseason games since and are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS on the playoff road by an average loss margin of 22 PPG. We certainly don’t want any of that, not in frigid Buffalo as the Dolphins are 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS away in outside stadiums in January since 1990, as well as 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in Buffalo when arriving off a SUATS home win. You can rest assured the Bills will play the Damar Hamlin card throughout the postseason. In addition, Buffalo is the only team in the playoffs that out-yarded each of the other playoff teams they faced this season. With Bills Mafia backers 31-9-4 ATS in games Buffalo wins outright as a favorite behind Josh Allen. |
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01-15-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut -13.5 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UConn Huskies have won two of their last five matchups and are looking to get a winning streak going. They currently hold a winning record in the Big East and are sitting in fourth place. The Huskies have an overall better team with the offense averaging 80 points per game while the defense is conceding just 62.6 points per contest. With this being said, the Huskies' offense is explosive and talented enough to put a lot of points on the boards, so expect them to do that against a defense that is surrendering over 70 points per game. The Huskies' defense has been unbreakable this season, giving up just 62.6 points per game, so watch out for them to make huge plays and cause chaos for the St. John's offense. With the elite defense and successful offense, take the Huskies. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units AFC South champion Jaguars, the first team since the 2008 Dolphins to win a division the season after having the league’s worst record. Pederson also shines in the postseason, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS, including 5-0 ATS as a playoff dog. Coupled with the fact that Wild Card home pick or dogs are 12-3 ATS, look for the Bolts to short-circuit here. |
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01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -6.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks have continued to struggle over the last week, as they are currently (3-7) in their last 10 games played. They aren't playing good basketball right now and I don't see them showing up on the road. I also see the Raptors having the advantage on the offensive end of the court. According to dunksandthrees.com, they have the 13th-highest adjusted offensive rating. Siakam has been playing like a man on a mission, as I see Toronto scoring just enough points to cover this spread. The Hawks have been unimpressive on the defensive end of the court, as they are surrendering the 22nd most points per game and they have struggled to defend the paint. The Raptors will continue to attack the basket and score enough points to cover this spread at home. |
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01-14-23 | Penguins v. Hurricanes -190 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins won their last two games, but they have struggled on the road, losing four of their last five road games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only 10 goals in their last five road games. Even though they play well on special teams, converting over 23 percent of their penalties. They won’t be able to take advantage of their chances in this game because the Hurricanes are very good at killing penalties and they don’t give up a lot of goals, especially at home where they have allowed only 10 goals in their last four games, so expect the Penguins to struggle offensively in this game. The Hurricanes struggled in recent games, but they have played well at home where they have won eight of their last 10 games. They’ve been on a roll offensively, scoring 12 goals in their last three games, and the Penguins aren’t playing well defensively, giving up 13 goals in their last four road games, so expect them to score a lot of goals in this game. Go with Carolina to cover the spread. |
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01-14-23 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -145 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the league's best teams. The Maple Leafs look to win on the road but the Bruins look to step up and control this game on both ends of the ice. The Bruins, who average 3.76 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.15 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting passing lanes to force direct shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson +1.5 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One player that wasn't mentioned in the write-up for Clemson was P.J. Hall. At 6-10, 245, he gives the team the size to help keep Duke off the boards. Ben Middlebrooks (6-10, 232) can also add size off the bench so Clemson won't get crushed on the boards in this one. Duke has struggled on the road and without Roach, this is going to be a very tough place to play. Littlejohn Coliseum will be up for this game as much as any in years. Clemson's tough defense and that atmosphere will cause another 15+ turnover game for the Blue Devils and a win for the Tigers to keep them undefeated in the conference. Duke is also a bit overvalued as they have covered just once in their last six games. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home teams in their initial NFL playoff game who lost at home in a conference championship game last season are 27-2 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in Game One in these contests if they won a dozen of more games last season. The Seahawks enter as one of seven playoff teams this year that missed the postseason in 2021. However, double digit dogs in the Wild Card round with same-season revenge are just 1-5 ATS – which makes for only one way to look here. |
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01-14-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -7 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has won 15 straight games at home and hasn't lost to a Big 12 opponent at home since the 2019-20 season. The Jayhawks can defend the ball very well and are a far superior offensive team than Iowa State. Iowa State will get its share of stops in this game but it will come down to each team's ability to create second shots. In that regard, the 54th-ranked rebounding unit of Kansas far trumps the 254th-ranked rebounding team of Iowa State. Kansas will get second chances and more possessions than Iowa State. Kansas also protects the ball better than Iowa State, as evidenced by the Jayhawks' six turnovers against Oklahoma in their last outing. It will be a dogfight but Kansas will pull away late with its ability to create offense. |
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01-14-23 | Flames v. Stars -111 | 6-5 | Loss | -111 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Calgary Flames are playing the fourth game of a five-game road trek. They have only won eight of their 22 road games on the season. Dallas is stellar at home where they are 12-4-3 on the year. They will be eager to hit the ice after they allowed the Rangers to force overtime with one second remaining in the 3rd period in Thursday's loss. The Stars remember last year’s playoff. This is the first meeting between these rivals since last year’s opening round where the Flames eliminated Dallas in seven games. I expect the Stars to have extra motivation to win this one. Dallas continues to excel, posting a 6-2-1 record in their last nine games, and have won five out of their last six home bouts. |
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01-14-23 | North Carolina v. Louisville +12.5 | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Carolina is 0-4 on the season on the road and 3-2 in neutral-site games. The Tar Heels have yet to beat anyone by more than eight points away from Chapel Hill this season. In addition, the Heels' major advantage in this game, rebounding, will likely be hampered with the questionable availability of both Bacot and Nance. The Heels will win this game, but they will not likely win this game going away without two key interior weapons on offense and likely more reliance on a perimeter offense that has been marginal at best. |
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01-13-23 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah offense is one of the most explosive and dominant offenses in the NBA this season, averaging 117.5 points per game (3rd). With Markkanen being consistent scoring-wise and on the boards, the Jazz has someone they can rely on. In addition, Clarkson has been hot and is coming off a 32-point game. With these two scorers, the Magic will really need to do something special to slow them down but that will be difficult with the amount of talent Utah has when moving the ball around and shooting. Orlando relies on Banchero (21.2) and Wagner (20.2) to put points on the board but other than them the Magic don't have much scoring talent. Expect the Utah defense to contain Banchero and prevent Orlando from scoring a lot. |
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01-13-23 | Knicks -180 v. Wizards | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Knicks are entering this matchup with a healthy squad while the Wizards are entering with some injured players. This will be a pretty big advantage for the Knicks, considering the Wizards will now likely need to put in less experienced players. Less experienced players against the Knicks will allow the Knicks' offense to be more explosive in the paint and on the boards. In addition, the Knicks have been playing strong basketball lately, winning four of their last five contests. A win against the Wizards will extend their win streak to two games. With injuries starting to infect the Wizards, I expect the Knicks to do what they do best and score. Defensively, they are conceding 111 points per game, so expect the defensive side of the ball to be pretty competitive as the Washington offense is averaging 111.8 points per game. |
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01-13-23 | Nebraska v. Purdue -14.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Purdue Boilermakers have been unstoppable this season, mowing down teams left and right. They have lost just one game this season and don't seem to have another loss scheduled anytime soon. They are averaging 75.9 points per game while conceding 61.5 points per game, so expect them to crush Nebraska on both sides of the ball. The Cornhuskers are in for a treat when they face the Purdue defense, so I expect the Boilermakers to easily earn another win with Nebraska unable to be productive on offense. Loyer is coming off a 22-point performance and I expect him to have a similar performance against a defense that is allowing 66.8 points per game. Edey is a solid impact player who leads Purdue on the boards and in points per game, so I also expect him to dominate in this game. Take Purdue with their successful offense and elite defense. |
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01-10-23 | Mavs v. Clippers -120 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers are defending the 3-point line very well, and I think they have enough firepower to outlast the Mavericks even if Paul George remains on the sidelines. Kawhi Leonard is slowly building up his form, scoring 20-plus points in three of his last four appearances, while Ivica Zubac should dominate the Mavs in the paint. Dallas will be in trouble if Luka Doncic misses his second straight game. The Mavs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and 1-5 ATS in their previous six outings on the road. The Clippers haven’t covered in five straight games, but they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Mavericks. |
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01-10-23 | Panthers v. Avalanche -126 | 5-4 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have been inconsistent all season. They are 3-6 in the last nine games overall and 1-4 in the last five outings on the road. The Panthers own a lot of dangerous offensive weapons, but their defense is far away from an elite level. Also, the Panthers are tallying 11.9 penalty minutes per game, enough for the third-most in the NHL. On the other side, the Avs have defended well for most of the season, but they’ve yielded 25 goals over their last six outings. After holding the Oilers’ mighty offense to just two goals, the Avs will be fired up to stay on the right track, and their offense will have a nice opportunity to improve in a favorable matchup against Florida. Hereof, I’m going with the reigning champs, who have won 14 of their last 20 home games against the Eastern Conference. |
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01-10-23 | Cavs -145 v. Jazz | 114-116 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland comes into Utah having won four of its last five games, including two wins over the Phoenix Suns. Jan. 2 proved a historic night for Mitchell, who sparked the Cavaliers to an overtime win over Chicago by scoring 71 points, with 11 assists and eight rebounds. Mitchell scored 23 points and sat out the fourth quarter of a 122-99 win over Utah in his first game against former team in Cleveland on Dec. 19. Consider that the Cavaliers are 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 games following a ATS win. |
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01-10-23 | Thunder v. Heat -175 | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road where not only do they have trouble winning, they are rarely covering on the road. They are 0-5 in their last five road clashes and covered in just one of them. Miami is playing well, having won five out of their last eight games. While Thunder are scoring a ton of points, they still only rank 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging only 1.5 more points per 100 possession than Miami. When it comes to defense, Miami has the better numbers. The Heat have allowed an average of only 103 points in their last four games and I expect their defense to be the difference here. The Heat earned a road win against the Thunder in the lone meeting last month. |
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01-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres -110 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres have won eight of their last nine games and four of their last five home games. They have one of the best offenses in the league and they’re playing very well at the moment, scoring at least four goals in seven of their last nine games. They are also very good on special teams, converting 29 percent of their power play opportunities, and they’re facing a Seattle team that is one of the worst in the league at killing penalties and is giving up more than three goals per game, so expect them to play well offensively in this game. The Kraken have won four straight games, but they split their last six road games. They have played well offensively and play just as well on the road. They aren’t as good as the Sabres on special teams, converting 21 percent of their power play opportunities. The Sabres aren’t great defensively, but they’ve done a good job killing penalties and played good defense in recent home games, giving up eight goals in their last three home games, so expect them to keep Seattle’s offense in check. |
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01-10-23 | Canucks v. Penguins -175 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks have lost four of their last five games and three of their last four road games. They usually play well offensively, but they’re struggling at the moment, scoring 14 goals in their last five games. They have played well on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. Unfortunately for them, the Penguins are great at killing penalties and they play well defensively at home, holding opponents under three goals per game, so expect them to keep Vancouver’s offense in check. The Penguins have also struggled in recent games, but they’ve played well at home where they have won six of their last nine games. They continue to play well offensively, scoring more than three goals per game at home. They have also played well on special teams, converting more than 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Canucks are terrible at killing penalties and they have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 3.5 goals per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Penguins in this game. Go with Pittsburgh to cover the puck line. |
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01-10-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one, essentially, is a clash between the two best teams in the Metropolitan Division at the moment. The edge, though, firmly lies with the Hurricanes here! The Devils arguably carry the best road record in the whole league (14-2-1), but have been so inconsistent lately that they have failed to follow up a victory with another win on the past four occasions, going with just four triumphs in their previous 14 matchups overall. New Jersey has also failed to beat the ‘Canes in any of their last five head-to-head clashes, losing each of its most recent four trips to North Carolina. The Hurricanes, meanwhile, have posted a whopping 42 victories in their past 57 domestic outings, going 9-2 in their previous 11 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The fortuitous Bulldogs, who are 28-3 with QB Stetson Bennett behind center, will be looking to become the first team to repeat as a national champion since the inception of the CFP nine years ago. However, the double-digit line leaves some wiggle room for TCU backers, as the favorite in CFP championship games is 3-5 ATS all time, including 0-2 SUATS versus non-undefeated foes coming off a SU underdog win. Then there’s the 0-4 SUATS failure of the four defending champions who found their way back to the championship game the following season (see Alabama last year). Additionally, Dykes is 10-5 SU and 11-3-1 ATS when his team sports a .900 or greater win percentage and are taking on undefeated foes, including 7-0-1 ATS after scoring 39 or more points in their last game. Let’s also not forget that .750 or greater double-digit bowl dogs coming off a SU underdog win are 5-0 ATS the last fifteen years, and bowl dogs of more than 12 points are 7-0 ATS versus .900 or greater opponents the last ten years. |
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01-09-23 | Flyers v. Sabres -200 | 4-0 | Loss | -200 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The rebuilding Philadelphia Flyers are far from a finished product. Following a promising four-game winning streak, their best since a 3-0-0 start, the Flyers were thumped 6-2 by the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday. There won't be much time to dwell on the loss as Philadelphia will travel to Western New York to face the host Buffalo Sabres today. Travis Konecny scored his team-leading 21st goal and Nicolas Deslauriers also scored against Toronto. Konecny has registered points in eight consecutive games and has scored at least one goal in a career-high six straight games. But there wasn't much positive news otherwise. Too many costly turnovers proved to be the difference in the frustrating loss. The Sabres will look for their third consecutive win when they battle the Flyers. After a 5-4 overtime victory over the Washington Capitals, the Sabres followed with a stirring 6-5 overtime win over the Minnesota Wild on Saturday. |
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01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit walks onto Lambeau Field having won seven of their last nine games, and at 8-8 on the season will not only need to beat the 8-8 Packers today but will also need the 8-8 Seahawks to lose against the 5-11 Rams. Sure, while this happening is unlikely, either way the 2022 season has been a resounding success for Dan Campbell and the Lions. Adding to the karma, the Lions are 9-0 ATS in their last nine division dukeouts, but the Packers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS as a host in this series when Detroit is coming off a win. Given the fact that no team has ever made the NFL playoffs after a 1-6 start, and the Packers own the clearest path to the playoffs (they own the tiebreaker over Seattle), we don’t see them losing this contest. Covering it is another matter. |
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01-08-23 | Mavs v. Thunder -160 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder won two of their last three games and three of their last four home games. They have been on a roll offensively in recent games, scoring more than 130 points per game while making over 50 percent of their shots and 46 percent of their three-pointers. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities, and they also cut back on their turnovers and won’t give the Mavericks a lot of easy scoring opportunities. The Mavericks have struggled defensively on the road and they aren’t playing well at the moment, giving up more than 118 points per game in their last three games. They are also playing on consecutive nights and will be dealing with fatigue, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Thunder in this game. |
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01-08-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -165 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chargers are just 9-27 SU as visitors in this series, including 5-23 outright when they sport a win percentage of less than .666. Couple that with a deeply disappointed Denver crew looking to end a sour season on an uptick that stands17-8 SU and 21-3-1 ATS as a home dog when coming off a division contest, including 14-1-1 ATS versus sub .700 opponents, and we have your winner. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers -140 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
AFC Division Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Pickett pulled another rabbit out of the hat in last week’s thrilling comeback win over the Ravens in Baltimore to keep alive their aforementioned chances outlined above. The trends work in the Burghers favor today, too, as Pittsburgh is 30-8 SU and 24-12-2 ATS at home with a .500 or fewer record when coming off a home game, as well as 7-1 SUATS with revenge in this series, including 6-0 ATS when the Browns sport a losing record. On the other side of the fi eld, Cleveland is 1-11 ATS when coming off a non-division road game and 0-8 ATS in games when both teams are coming off a win. With that, we’ll side with the Black and Gold against Big Brown as they get their revenge today. Finally, consider that Mike Tomlin is 19-5 SU and 18-6 ATS at home in his career in games when both teams are coming off a SUATS win, including 9-0 SUATS from Game 12 out. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs +4 v. Falcons | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady is clearly programmed to break every NFL passing record in the book. In his best outing of the year – 432 yards and three TDs passing, one rushing TD – he completed 34 passes Sunday, adding yet another record to his seemingly endless collection. In the process he won his 19th division title, as the Bucs are now back-to-back division champs for the fi rst time in team history. Atlanta enters as a team playing out the string, just 2-6 SUATS and ITS in its last eight games while throwing green QB Desmond Ridder to the wolves. With the Dirty Birds just 2-13 ATS at home coming off a home game and Brady 3-0 ATS in his career as a dog in season finales, and finally NFL .500 dogs are 5-0 ATS in final games of the season when coming off a win |
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01-08-23 | Patriots +8 v. Bills | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What we know for sure is that the Bills’ mental frame of mind is not where it needs to be today. That and the fact they are just 6-16 ATS as a division favorite of 7 or more points, including 1-11 ATS versus greater than .250 opponents. With the Pats 6-1 ATS off a home game against foes coming off a road game, as well as 5-1 ATS when coming off a division home contest, we also know that Bill Belichick is 15-7 SU and 16-6 ATS in final games of the regular season with New England, including 4-0 ATS as a dog. |
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01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -5.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Scarlet Knights are 14th in the nation according to KenPom. The defense is excellent rated third in adjusted efficiency, and top-six in three-point percentage, field goal percentage, and points allow. The offense is 113th in adjusted tempo. The Scarlet Knights have four players on the team averaging double-digits, led by 6'11 junior Clifford Omoruyi averaging 14.1 ppg, 10 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks per game. |
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01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors -6.5 | 115-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State is 17-3 inside their arena this season, as I don't believe the Magic have enough talent to cover this spread on the road. Golden State is currently scoring the fifth most points per game and they have the sixth-highest three-point shooting percentage. They will find open shots consistently throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Orlando is not a great team, as they are only scoring the 27th most points per game and they have the 25th lowest adjusted offensive rating, according to dunksandthrees.com. They will struggle to put the ball in the basket and the Warriors will slowly pull away. Golden State is also holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the field, as they will continue to contest shots and make it tough for the Magic to score. I am also expecting Poole and Thompson to play well, as they should be the most aggressive offensive players in this game. They will dominate on the offensive end of the floor and the Warriors will cover this spead. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact of the matter is Stidham sliced up the NFL’s best defense. Given the Chiefs’ 0-6 ATS mark of late against sub .500 division foes, while also understanding since winning Super Bowl LIV, the Kansas City Chiefs are 2-27-1 ATS in one-score games, including 0-18-1 ATS against avenging foes., look for the Raiders to improve on their 9-1 ATS record at home against AFC West foes who are not coming off a win of more than three points. If that doesn't seal the deal consider that playing on any NFL division home dog in its final game of the season if they were a playoff team last season and if they are seeking revenge from a .600 or greater opponent is 15-2 since 1980. |
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01-07-23 | Creighton v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Creighton Bluejays have had UConn's number over the years, beating them twice last year and four times in a row. Given that fact, and the fact that the Huskies have lost two straight, I love the Huskies to get a bounce-back win. Make no mistake, this will be a great game as the Bluejays are an excellent basketball team and they match up very well with the Huskies. But I just can't see a team this good losing three straight, particularly coming home after two road losses, Gampel should be rocking and carry the Huskies to a long-overdue win over Creighton. take UConn to cover. |
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01-06-23 | Hawks v. Lakers +2.5 | 114-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta’s interior defense is far away from an elite level, and the Lakers will attack the rim all night long. With LeBron in the lineup, the Lakers will torture the Hawks’ D. Last Friday, he dropped a season-high 47 points on Atlanta, and the Lakers erased a 15-point deficit. Both teams have been inconsistent, and their ATS record tells the story. The Hawks are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference. The Lakers, on the other side, have gone 4-1 ATS in their past five tilts overall and 4-2 ATS in their previous six meetings with the Eastern Conference. |
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01-06-23 | Cavs v. Nuggets -6 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland hits the road where the team is three-games under .500 this season. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at 2-2 on the second leg of back-to-back games this season but has lost each of its last two. In the past, Denver would have had difficulty matching up with a scoring two-guard of Mitchell's caliber. However, the addition of the likes of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Bruce Brown gives the Nuggets much more defensive flexibility and allows Aaron Gordon to stay at his more traditional power forward position and not have to cover the opponent's best scorer. Jokic is a nightmare matchup for most bigs and he will certainly draw Cleveland center Jarrett Allen away from the basket which should help nullify Cleveland's rebounding advantage. Despite the back-to-back, Denver will show off its home court dominance while the Cavs will leave Denver still trying to find a way to gain more consistency away from home. |
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01-06-23 | Coyotes +110 v. Blackhawks | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have looked awful this season but I like the Coyotes to step up and control this game against a Blackhawks team that has lost their last five games. The Coyotes should find the back of the net at will against a Blackhawks defense that allows 3.76 goals per game with Clayton Keller and Lawson Crouse controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Coyotes should also eliminate a Blackhawks offense that has only scored five goals in their last five games with Jakob Chychrun, Shayne Gostisbehere, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Ingram to make plenty of big saves. The Coyotes should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs. |
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01-06-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -169 | 126-112 | Loss | -169 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While Chicago rolls in off a win over Brooklyn that snapped the Nets’ 12-game win streak, that game was at the United Center. The Bulls now have to travel to Philadelphia to take on a 76ers team that has been rolling of late with 11 wins in their last 13 games. Chicago has sputtered on the road this season, posting a 7-12 mark, while Philadelphia has put together a solid 16-5 home mark to this point of the year. The 76ers have a variety of weapons to do damage on the offensive end of the floor and if Embiid returns to play in this game, that merely makes them that much more dangerous. Philadelphia is the better team here and they earn the home victory over a game Bulls squad |
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01-06-23 | Predators v. Capitals -158 | 3-2 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Credit where credit’s due - the Predators have been going strong lately, posting a 5-1-2 record in their past eight contests after losing six matchups on the trot prior (0-4-2). They have, however, managed to win just three of their previous eight road outings and are a disappointing 2-7 in their most recent nine fixtures played without a breather. The Capitals, on the other hand, have already triumphed in seven of their last 10 domestic games and will be facing off against a Nashville team they have already beaten on the very last three occasions, outscoring it 12-4. |
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01-06-23 | Pennsylvania v. Cornell -165 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one is going to be a highly entertaining contest between a pair of good teams. Penn has the nation’s highest scoring backcourt while the Big Red is a high-powered offense that will bury teams from beyond the three-point line. The Quakers have rebounded from three straight losses in Big Five games but stand 3-4 on the road while Cornell is a perfect 6-0 at home on the year. Both teams are below average on the defensive end of the floor so when you get down to brass tacks, you have to look at a couple key factors. The Big Red is the better offensive team and they have enough weapons to take advantage of a Penn team that is 322nd in the country by allowing 8.7 triples a night to earn the win here. Take Cornell at home as they earn a hard-fought win. |
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01-03-23 | Kings v. Jazz -135 | 117-115 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings outlasted the Jazz last Friday thanks to Kevin Huerter’s 3-pointer with 9.2 seconds remaining. It was a proper high-scoring affair, and both teams shot above 54.0% from the field. I’m looking for another tight contest when Utah hosts Sacramento, and it could easily go either way. Both teams struggle to defend, especially in the paint, but they also lean on 3-point shooting a lot. Keep your eyes on Lauri Markkanen, who dropped 36 points on the Kings in that heartbreaking defeat. Markkanen went 16-for-24 from the field and will torture Sacramento’s leaky defense once more. Utah is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four outings at home, whereas Sacramento is 2-3 SU and ATS in its previous five showings on the road. |
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01-03-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers -150 | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers have had a torrid time while skating on own ice since mid-December, going with four consecutive defeats at Rogers Place. That trend, however, is bound to change sooner rather than later. Especially with the Oilers hosting a team that is yet to win a single contest in Edmonton. The Kraken have paid three previous visits to Rogers Place (one - during the last regular campaign, two - in pre-season), losing all of them with a combined score of 16-5. Seattle has also managed to beat the Oilers just once in their past four regular-season meetings and has recorded just a single victory in its previous five road outings. Edmonton, meanwhile, is a solid 5-0 in the most recent five fixtures after scoring no more than two strikes in its previous game. |
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01-03-23 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +6 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia might be off to an excellent start this season, but it has been massively overvalued in the betting market. The Cavaliers have only covered the spread once in their last eight games, so I have no interest in backing them right now. Pittsburgh has been a completely different story, covering the spread in nine straight games. The Panthers are coming off a solid win over a ranked team, giving them some additional momentum coming into this matchup. They are going to be playing in front of a raucous crowd, so I am thrilled to back them as home underdogs. Virginia has only played three true road games this season, with one of them being a loss at Miami. |
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01-03-23 | Flames v. Jets +124 | 2-3 | Win | 124 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Connor Hellebuyck's value to the Winnipeg Jets has been obvious for years, but they received a huge reminder the past few weeks as they head into Tuesday's home game with the Calgary Flames on a bit of a roll. Amidst a difficult wave of injuries, the Jets struggled through half of December but finished the month with a pair of victories, the latest a 2-1 win over the Edmonton Oilers on New Year's Eve. In that outing, Hellebuyck -- who won the Vezina Trophy for the league's top goalie in the 2019-20 season -- sparkled while making 31 saves. The Jets were outshot 32-17, killed all five penalties and snapped the point-scoring streak of the league's leading scorer, Connor McDavid, at 17 games. Consider that the Flames are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg. |
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01-03-23 | Hurricanes -123 v. Rangers | 3-5 | Loss | -123 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers are looking to win on their home ice the Hurricanes, who have won 11 games in a row, look to control this game from the first period. The Hurricanes, who have scored nine goals in the last two games, should pile on the goals with Sebastian Aho, Martin Necas, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Hurricanes, who allow only 2.54 goals per game, should also limit the Rangers' offense with Brady Skjei, Brett Pesce, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Pyotr Kochetkov to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win the game with a strong performance on the road to win their 12th game in a row. |
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01-03-23 | Sabres v. Capitals -155 | 5-4 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After rolling through the month of December, the Washington Capitals will try to keep it going in January when they host the Buffalo Sabres. The Capitals closed out 2022 with a 9-2 throttling of the Montreal Canadiens on New Year's Eve, finishing the month with an 11-2-2 record in 15 games. Conor Sheary is one of those players who have stepped up. His 11 goals are second on the team after Alex Ovechkin (26), while his 26 points rank fourth among all Capitals. Sheary finished December with 15 points (four goals, 11 assists), third-most for the month on the team behind Ovechkin (22) and Evgeny Kuznetsov (17). Consider that the Sabres are 25-60 in their last 85 vs. a team with a winning record. |
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01-03-23 | Syracuse -8.5 v. Louisville | 70-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points, and the Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Louisville is also 0-4 ATS in its last four Tuesday games. The Orange are prepared for the Cardinal's best shot. They, too, know what it's like to be desperate for wins after losing four of their first seven, including three consecutive to St. John's, Bryant, and Illinois. Now that they're back on track, keeping focus is crucial, particularly with a game against #11 Virginia looming. Syracuse looked solid in its win over Boston College, holding the Eagles to 65 points on 40.4 percent shooting, including 33.3 percent from long range. I believe the Cuse defense will swarm and suffocate a Cardinals offense that's 307th nationally in offensive efficiency and turns the ball over far too often. |
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01-03-23 | Western Michigan v. Kent State -17.5 | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kent State Flashes are off to an excellent start at 10-3 straight up and an impressive 10-1 against the spread while in contrast Western Michigan is only 4-9 straight up and 5-5 against the spread. Home court is big during conference games and Kent State will use that to its advantage on Tuesday. The Golden Flashes will use their tough man to man in your face defense that is allowing an average of only 60.8 points per game to shut down a Western Michigan offense that is generating only 68.4 points per game while shooting just 44.2%. Western Michigan has covered each of its last two games but were 20-point and 23.4-point underdogs, losing each of the two outright. However, the spread for this matchup will be much less and the Broncos failed to cover the spread in each of the six games prior to the two most recent with much smaller spreads. |
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01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -120 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors should get Andrew Wiggins back. Wiggins, who’s averaging 19.1 points per game on 45.0% shooting from deep, has missed 13 straight games due to a right adductor strain, and his presence would be a huge boost for the Warriors’ offense. It’s hard to trust the Hawks defense if Clint Capela remains sidelined, so I would take the Warriors to cover. I’ve mentioned how good the Warriors have been on the home court lately. On the other side, the Hawks are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last ten showings on the road. The Hawks have also covered the spread in three of their past ten games overall. |
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01-02-23 | Spurs +12.5 v. Nets | 103-139 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio is 6-6 in its past 12 games since an 11-game skid Nov. 14-Dec. 4. The Spurs have produced their best four shooting performances in that span, including Saturday when they shot 55.3 percent in a 126-125 loss to the visiting Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio was unable to stop Luka Doncic, who scored 51 points as the Mavs shot 58.1 percent. It was the fifth time an opponent made at least 58 percent from the floor against San Antonio and 21st instance of the Spurs allowing at least 50 percent shooting. Despite allowing a big night from Doncic, the Spurs nearly erased a 17-point deficit over the final 17-plus minutes thanks to big games from Keldon Johnson (30 points) and rookie Jeremy Sochan (20 points). Consider that the Nets are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers -120 | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units VanVleet's uncertainty does not help the Raptors cause for many reasons, not the least of which is his ability to knock down long range shots. Indiana can shoot the long ball with the best of them and they put pressure on the opposition to match shots with them instead of falling into a 3 points for two points rut. The Pacers are also catching a Toronto team that is not playing great basketball at the moment. Toronto is just 20th defending the three point shot so they will have to particularly protective of the basketball in this one to avoid wasting possessions. While the Raptors are ranked #1 in turnovers per game, the loss of VanVleet would be a blow to their ability to protect the basketball. Keep in mind, Toronto has been terrible on the road this season, 5-12 coming in. |
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01-02-23 | Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pelicans are just 7-9 on the road and have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. Philly is 14-5 at home and Joel Embiid has averaged almost 35 points per game in Philly. The sixers have won five straight home games against New Orleans by an average of 7.5 points. |
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01-02-23 | Rutgers +8.5 v. Purdue | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a legit contender propelled by the stifling defense. They beat #10, Indiana by 15 points in their first Big Ten action and only lost by one point on the road against ranked Ohio State in their next one. Purdue is obviously a great squad but has only covered the spread four times all season. Rutgers has an incredible defense that will keep Purdue in check. The Scarlet Knights are only conceding 84.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency according to Ken Pomeroy's ratings while Purdue is conceding 91.7 points. Purdue relies on center Zach Edey heavily and Rutgers has an answer for Edey in Clifford Omoruyi who is elite defensively. |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The three-loss Utes actually improved their numbers on both sides of the ball in 2022; yet fell short of their targeted goal of being the fi rst PAC12 school since 2016 to make their way to the College Football Playoff. And while the Nittany Lions were never a real threat to make the CFP this season, they have a chance to close out the campaign with their fourth 11-win season in the past seven years with a victory against Utah today. It’s been a season of two tales for James Franklin’s troops who started the 2022 season 5-0 and closed it out going 4-0. The one thing that jumps off the page in this contest is PSU’s penchant for staying on a roll as they ride a jaw-dropping 16-3 SU and 17-1 ATS mark into this game when coming off a pair of SUATS wins. It’s numbers like those, and incentive to boot, that puts them on our playlist today. |
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01-02-23 | Penguins v. Bruins -165 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins look to pull off the upset but the Bruins have looked phenomenal this year and look to step up and control this game. The Bruins, who average 3.78 goals per game, should pile on the goals with David Pastrnak, Patrice Bergeron, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement and strong centering passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.19 goals per game, should also limit the Penguins' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Connor Clifton, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a remarkable performance at Fenway Park. |
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01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units In his lone season at Oklahoma, Heisman Trophy winning QB Caleb Williams recorded 1,912 passing yards, 21 passing touchdowns, four interceptions, 442 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns in 11 games. This season with the Trojans, Williams threw for 4,075 yards, 37 touchdowns (tied for most in the nation), and four interceptions, while running for 372 yards and 10 touchdowns on 109 carries. Consider that first year coaches favored in bowl games are just 16-32 ATS against foes coming off a win, and Pac-12 bowlers who allow over 25 PPG are 20-42 ATS, including 0-14 ATS the last 14. With that, finally review that the bowl team with the Heisman Trophy winner is 0-8 SUATS off SUATS loss since 1980. |
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01-02-23 | Purdue +16 v. LSU | 7-63 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If Brohm DNA runs through brother Brian’s veins it should prove fruitful as big brother Jeff is 11-0 ATS as a dog when coming off a loss – including 10-0 with Purdue. Conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. The biggest hurdle the Makers need to get over is the lack of success by teams in bowl games that won as a dog of more than 6 points in a bowl game the previous season. Meanwhile, LSU enters behind high profile boss Brian Kelly who is 6-0 SU and 2-3-1 ATS in his career against Purdue. The bad news is BK is also just 5-8 ATS in bowl games, including 0-3 ATS when favored by 7-plus points. So, while a huge coaching mismatch is in the making, the fact also remains that the Tigers were one win from capturing the SEC championship and will likely look at this contest as little more than a full uniform scrimmage. Expect the ‘Brohm factor’ to lead to another payday |
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01-02-23 | Mississippi State v. Illinois +2.5 | 19-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All things being equal, we’d be ordering up a big fade against the Bulldogs in this bowl game were it not for the sudden passing of Leach, and the feeling here is the effect of the Grim Reaper’s presence will outweigh any notion of “winning one for the Gipper”. Don’t consider an Over play, either, not with Illinois owning the nation’s No. 1 Scoring Defense (12.25), and the Bulldogs holding four opponents to season-low yardage in 2022. The bottom line is we see Illinois playing up to the standard of excellence they achieved the season in a big win for head coach Bret Bielema. |
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01-01-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -6.5 | 118-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks are currently (15-3) at home this season and the Wizards aren't good enough offensively to cover this spread. The Wizards could also be without Bradley Beal in this game, which would be a huge loss. The Bucks have continued to dominate on defense, as they have the third lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA and they are holding their opponents to the sixth least amount of points scored per game. They will lock the Wizards up and efficiently score on the other end. Washington has been average on both ends of the court, but I don't see anyone on their team stopping Giannis in the paint. He will continue to score throughout and allow his team to slowly pull away. The Wizards are close, but they aren't healthy enough to challenge the Bucks on the road. |
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01-01-23 | UCLA -10 v. Washington | 74-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units UCLA has played very well over the last few weeks. The Bruins possesses great depth, and the Huskies will have a mountain to climb in front of the home fans. Washington lacks a quality scorer besides Keion Brooks. The Huskies defend the 3-point line at a high level, but their interior defense cannot contain the Bruins, who have gone 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with Washington. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in its last five games played in January, whereas Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -180 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 53 h 17 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units QB Aaron Rodgers is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS at home when the Packers are riding a three game win streak. He’s also 32-7-1 SU and 28-12 ATS at home in division games in his NFL career (4-0 SUATS this season), including 18-1 SU and 15-4 ATS in games in which the Packers sport a sub .666 win percentage. Toss in his 29-19-1 ATS mark in games when the Packers own a losing record, including 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS versus .750 or greater foes (5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS at home) and the task looks almost insurmountable for the Vikings today. Sure, Minnesota holds down the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoff picture, but the fact remains they rank DEAD LAST in the league in overall defense and – remember this - no team has ever won an NFL playoff game that owned the worst defense in the league. And don’t fall asleep on the fact that the Vikings are 1-15 ATS in their last sixteen conference losses. Speaking of which, QB Aaron Rodgers is 15-1 SU from Game Thirteen out during the regular season. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +1.5 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game. |
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01-01-23 | Cornell -8 v. Dartmouth | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cornell has gotten off to a hot start, namely with a high octane and efficient offense. They are slightly stronger on the glass than Dartmouth, so they won't be controlled in terms of pace. They are very effective with the basketball, while Dartmouth turns the ball over frequently. While Dartmouth has been fairly effective protecting against the 3pt shot, they will be facing a Big Red team that is ranked 89th in the country shooting the long ball. Cornell isn't great on the perimeter but Dartmouth doesn't have the shooters to take advantage of that. The Big Red will roll in their first Ivy matchup of the season and make it four straight wins. |
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01-01-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots -145 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units So, while the Dolphins control their playoff chances with wins in each of their final two contests, it will all likely be dependent on the status of Tagovailoa who has entered concussion protocol for the second time this season. Meanwhile, Teddy Bridgewater will assume the reins, with the tune “Bridge over Troubled Waters” never more prevalent than it is here. While he brings a 42-23 ATS overall career record in NFL starts into this contest, including 23-8 ATS away, the fact of the matter is he is just 4-8 SUATS in his last twelve starts, including 0-1 SUATS with the Fish this season. Should the winner of this game win next week they will nail down a playoff berth. With that, consider that Pats head coach Bill Belichick is 20-6 SUATS in Last Home Games, including 7-0 ATS with revenge. |
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01-01-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +4 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jags enter 13-6 ATS in games with quintuple-plus division revenge as they have now lost 9 straight times to Houston. Unlike years past, Jacksonville controls its playoff destiny, as a loss here will not matter since next week’s home contest against Tennessee will ultimately decide the AFC South title. What arguably matters more is head coach Doug Pederson would like to extend the Jags win skein to four in a row. But the fact of the matter is each of their last three wins came in underdog roles and today they change clothes. Teams in this role are just 7-16-2 ATS since 1999, including 3-11-1 ATS from Game Ten out. So, while Jack’s muscles are bulging at the moment, we can’t ignore the elephant in the room, namely that the Jacksonville Jaguars are 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win. |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG. |
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12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia guard Tyrese Maxey will take some time to return to form after missing more than a month of action, 76ers coach Doc Rivers said. After a nine-point outing in his return on Friday, Maxey may or may not be on the court Saturday as the 76ers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. Philadelphia lost its second game in a row on Friday, falling 127-116 to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Maxey came off the bench to hit 4 of 10 shots while adding one rebound and one assist in 19 minutes. Consider that the Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs +7.5 | 126-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have won two of their past three games, including a 122-115 home victory over New York on Thursday. Keldon Johnson scored 30 points and Romeo Langford added a career-high 23 as San Antonio Spurs built a 17-point lead in the third quarter and had all the answers late to send the Knicks to a fifth consecutive loss. Tre Jones scored 13, Jeremy Sochan had 12 and Jakob Poeltl took 12 rebounds for the Spurs, The win was without Devin Vassell, who missed the game with a sore left knee. With Vassell, the Spurs' second-leading scorer this season (19.6 points per game), listed as doubtful for Saturday's game, San Antonio will need to rely on Langford to pick up the slack. He was more than up to the task in Thursday's win. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. |
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12-31-22 | Nets v. Hornets +7 | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets opened their homestand with Thursday night's 121-113 victory against Oklahoma City. The Hornets need to start producing in home games. They had lost five in a row on their home court until the result against Oklahoma City. If there's a new surge of excitement stemming from the Hornets it might revolve around point guard LaMelo Ball, who was one assist shy of a double-double Thursday night with 27 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. The Hornets also are bound to be pumped up about rookie center Mark Williams, who has spent most of the season in the G League. He came off the bench to rack up 17 points (7-for-7 shooting), 13 rebounds, two blocked shots and two steals Thursday night. Consider that the Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-31-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -115 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one feels like a coin flip. The Mountaineers are arguably a better offensive team, but the Wildcats have enough weapons to contain West Virginia. Kansas State defends the 3-point line well and will have strong support from the stands, so I’m going with the Wildcats. K-State is 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS in its last six meetings with West Virginia, but the Wildcats beat the Mountaineers 78-73 in their last encounter at Bramlage Coliseum. The Wildcats are undefeated in five straight showings at home. They’ve covered in eight of the last 12 games overall. |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units No Alabama, Tennessee, Clemson, Utah, etc, but the only 4 teams in the land with less than 2 losses (Michigan & Georgia, the only perfect squads. When Harbaugh took over the reins at Ann Arbor in '15, great things were expected, & realized with 7 straight bowl seasons, with 42-27, 45-23 wins over archrival Ohio St L2 yrs, but couldn't close the deal: 0-5 SU/ATS (-8, -15½, -30, -11½, -15½ pts) in L5 bowls. TCU Horned Frogs were hosed from the playoffs in '14, despite their 11-1 log, proving it with 42-3 (-3½) Peach Bowl rout of Ole Miss. Frog QB Duggan (2nd in Heisman voting) at 30/4, with Wolves' McCarthy at 20/3. No RB Corum (1,436 yds) for Mich, but note UM's #3 "D" vs Tcu's #74. Take the TD. |
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12-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers +3.5 | 130-131 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana looks for its third consecutive win and fifth in the last six games as it continues a home stretch. The Pacers are playing the third of four straight at home, a run that will include eight of 10 overall in Indianapolis. They opened this stretch with a pair of high-scoring wins, beating Atlanta 129-114 on Tuesday, and then 135-126 against Cleveland on Thursday. Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers in scoring with 29 against the Cavs. He dished nine assists to maintain his NBA-leading pace of 10.2 assists per game. Buddy Hield shot 5 of 6 from 3-point range en route to 25 points, Aaron Nesmith scored 22 points and Bennedict Mathurin finished with 23 points off the bench. Finally, the Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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12-31-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10 | 67-69 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas defense has been the strength of their team, but their offense has been nothing to slouch at either. They are shooting 35.9% from 3-point range and are knocking down 54.5% of their 2-point tries. Their lone weakness on that end of the court has been their free throw shooting, as they are knocking down less than 70% of their tries. This will be a strong test for them, as Oklahoma State is fifth nationally in defensive field goal percentage. Star forward Jalen Wilson leads Kansas with 21.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Freshman guard Gradey Dick (15.4) and senior guard Kevin McCullar Jr. (11.9) are both in double figures as well. Consider that the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa -130 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Levis, who was 17-7 in his starts for the Cats since transferring from Penn State in 2021, having left the team, redshirt FR Kaiya Sheron will fill in. Complicating matters, UK head coach Mark Stoops fired offensive coordinator Rich Scangarello after just one season. He sure as hell won’t hire Iowa OC Brian Ferentz for a replacement, not when Ferentz presided over an offense so horrible in 2022 that one fan showed up for a game holding a sign that read, “I’m only here for the punter.” So how did a 17 PPG offense ranked No. 130 in First Down Offense land a bowl game? A bad-to-the-bone Hawkeyes defense, that’s how. Iowa is tied for No. 2 nationally in Defensive TDs (5) and holds the No. 4 spot in overall Total Team Defense. Jack Campbell won the Butkus Award as the nation’s top linebacker and the ‘D’ held 5 foes to season-low yards. Kentucky’s defense also came to play this season, holding 5 foes to season-low yards. We’ll summon the ‘R’ word to cement our pick: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 6-1 ATS with revenge off a loss of 7 or more points, while Wildcats HC Stoops is just 4-9 ATS versus a foe off a loss. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Always an unusual season, when the Crimson Tide of Alabama is not a participant in the Final Four Playoffs (just the 2nd time in 8 seasons). Years of excellence continue on, scoring 30+ pts in 46 of their last 53 games, with their only SU losses TY: 52-49 in L0:00 at Tenn, & 32-31 on 2-pt OT conversion at Lsu. Heisman winner Young: just 2/0 & 1/1 in those losses. Can 'Tide prepare properly for this, after such close misses, along with multiple transfer portal cases? Kansas State Wildcats took TCU for Big12 Title in OT. QBs Howard & Martinez are more than capable, as is the 2nd coming of Darren Sproles in Deuce Vaughn. Take the TD. |
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12-31-22 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There's a lot to like about the Hokies, but how will they respond if they fall behind early? They've played just two road games, at Charleston and Boston College, and lost both times. With upcoming road matchups versus Syracuse, Virginia, and Clemson, it's time for VA Tech to figure it out on the road. They might have to go without Cattoor (9.6 PPG), who is questionable after leaving the BC game with a left forearm injury. With that said, I'll side with the home team in this ACC matchup. |
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12-30-22 | Jazz v. Kings -150 | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Domantas Sabonis is playing through a fracture in his thumb, and the Kings desperately need their best frontcourt player on the floor. Over his last nine games, Sabonis has averaged 21.8 points, 15.8 rebounds, and 7.0 assists, and I’m expecting him to dominate Utah’s fragile interior defense. On the other side, the Jazz will look to take advantage of Sacramento’s 3-point defense. We should see a tight battle between a couple of bad defensive teams, and I’m backing the Kings to win and cover. Sacramento won’t take a ton of shots from downtown. The Kings will attack the rim and try to exploit Utah’s bad defensive rebounding. The Jazz are 28th in the league in defensive rebound percentage, whereas Sacramento paces the NBA in this category. |
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12-30-22 | 76ers v. Pelicans +1.5 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has an adjusted offensive rating of 114.7, which is the eighth-highest rating in the NBA. The 76ers have struggled against top teams and they fell to the Wizards in their last outing. They will struggle in this game, as I don't see them efficiently scoring enough points to cover this spread. Philadelphia is only scoring the 21st most points per game and the Pelicans have the size down low to make it difficult for Embiid. They will challenge him every time he gets the ball, which will hurt the 76ers' offense. New Orleans also has the second-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the second-lowest three-point shooting percentage. They will defend on the perimeter and in the paint, as they won't allow the Sixers to score enough points to cover this spread. The Pelicans are sitting at the top of the Western Conference standings for a reason. |
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12-30-22 | Clemson -5.5 v. Tennessee | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It took Dabo Swinney the entire season to pull the plug on erratic starter D.J. Uiagalelei for Cade Klubnik, a former 5* recruit for the Tigers. Swinney must have informed all parties concerned that the move was permanent, causing Uiagalelei to immediately hit the transfer portal. For the Vols from Rocky Top, backup QB Joe Milton, who transferred in from Michigan, takes over for Hendon Hooker, who was enjoying a marvelous season until suffering an ACL tear against South Carolina. Tennessee does boast the No. 1 ranked offense in the nation (538 YPG), but that was largely behind QB Hooker. In addition, WR Jalin Hyatt, who won the Biletnikoff Award, is undecided. We know the Volunteers have played on some big stages this year, but this sort of thing is ‘been there, done that’ for the Tigers, as Swinney stands 29-9 ATS away off a double-digit SUATS win, including 12-1 ATS the last 13. Both teams have played their share of undisciplined football in 2022, but Tennessee takes the trophy as the nation’s No. 124 team in most Penalties Per Game (8.00). Yes, we know Clemmie is just 3-4 ITS (In The Stats) in its last seven games of the season; however, that’s not enough to keep us off the striped cats. |
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12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks -6 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee is just 22nd in the NBA in offensive efficiency, but that has a lot to do with them being dead last on the road. In-home games, Milwaukee has been more explosive, where they are fourth in offensive efficiency. The Bucks have also won five of their last six games at home, with each of those wins coming by at least nine points or more. Both teams want to snap their four game losing streak, but the home court advantage will make a huge difference tonight. I will take the Bucks to cover. |
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12-30-22 | Devils v. Penguins -110 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils look to snap out of their slump but the Penguins look to bounce back on their home ice and control this game. The Penguins look to build off a four-goal game and pile on the goals with Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Penguins should also limit a Devils offense that has only scored four goals in their last two games with Marcus Pettersson, Pierre-Oliver Joseph, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net while goaltender Tristan Jarry steps up and blanks the shots on the net. The Penguins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First-year coaches favored in bowl games are 16-32 ATS vs. foes coming off a win, including 2-12 ATS against those off a SU underdog win. Uh oh. Then there’s the matter of Notre Dame’s negligent 7-15 SUATS failure in its last 17 bowl games, including 3-14 ATS vs. foes off a win. And we wouldn’t be doing our job if we left out this damning stat: the Irish are ranked No. 129 in Red Zone Defense, worst of all bowler. Head coach Shane Beamer owns a solid 6-1 ATS record vs. non-conference foes and his team won four games SU as underdogs this campaign. Head coach Marcus Freeman will have the Irish back in the thick of it before long, but it’s a little early to back them here considering SC has gone 6-2 SUATS in its previous 8 bowl games. |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a cross country trip for the U.C.L.A. Bruins & the Pittsburgh Panthers, but that didn't keep them from facing each other 14 times, many in season openers, from 1958 thru 1972, with the Bruins holding a 9-5 edge. For Pitt, this makes it 13 bowls in 15 years (4-8 SU, 3-9 ATS), while for the Uclans, this is their first such holiday affair since '17 (35-17 Cactus Bowl loss to Kansas St). Similar seasons for these 2, with Bruins reaching 9th in the polls off their 6-0 start, flattening out, with nary a cover since Nov 5th. Panther in a 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) windup, but have lost QB Slovis, as well as AA DL Kancey. Simply cannot ignore such significant turns. |