Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-04-22 | Astros -157 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units José Urquidy will be getting the start on the mound for Houston. He has been solid this season, as he is 12-5 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He did struggle in his last start, though. He only pitched for 5.0 innings, and he gave up four hits and three earned runs. The Orioles got to him early, as the Astros were forced to turn to their bullpen. But he has been even better on the road this season. He is currently 7-2 away from home with a 4.24 ERA, as he will be looking to bounce back in this one. Luckily, Houston also has the lowest overall bullpen ERA in the MLB, as their relievers have been getting the job done all season. |
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09-04-22 | Blue Jays -200 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pirates are struggling to win games at home, losing seven consecutive home games including defeats on Friday and Saturday. Blue Jays’ starter Ross Stripling has been outstanding, sporting a stifling 1.96 ERA in his last three starts. Toronto has won five out of the last six games started by the veteran. The Blue Jays’ potent offense should feast on JT Brubaker. The veteran squandered a whopping six runs last time out and especially has trouble at PNC Park where he has fielded a 5.07 ERA. The Jays have won eight out of their last nine road games. |
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09-03-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -207 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pitching matchup alone tells you that the Dodgers are going to win this game. Urias has been lights out this season, especially since June, when he has allowed 19 total runs over his last 86.2 innings, with a 1.97 ERA. He has faced San Diego one time this season (April 22), allowing one run in five innings. Manaea is getting hammered. He has faced the Dodgers two times this season. The first was on April 24 when he gave up six earned runs in 4.1 innings, and that was back when he was pitching well. In his August 5 start against them, he allowed eight runs in 4.0 innings. This could get ugly early. |
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09-03-22 | SMU v. North Texas +10 | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Texas HC Littrell is a solid 8-4 SU and 7-3-1 ATS record at home when coming off a win. There’s also the fact that SMU has taken out the N. Texas three straight years, making this a triple-revenge affair for UN – a role in which N. Texas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in since 2017. In the same vein, teams in Game One of the season are 0-4 ATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a win seeking triple revenge when not favored by more than 10 points. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
5* CFB Blowout The tale of the ATS tape tonight doesn’t strongly favor either side. Ohio State is 34-1 SU in season openers, including 22 wins in a row, and 4-0 SUATS of late in the series (average win 15.5 PPG). The Irish counter with a recent 14-5 SU record versus Big Ten opponents, and in the last 115 games in which ND has tackled the Big Ten, they’ve lost by more than 17 points only 10 times. The bottom line is this many points is simply too much to pass up with a quality team like the Irish. Buckeyes win on the scoreboard, but Notre Dame cashes the ticket. |
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09-03-22 | Marlins v. Braves -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marlins’ starter Edward Cabrera just surrendered six runs against the Dodgers in his latest effort. Braves’ starter Jake Odorizzi has been effective since arriving in a trade last month, allowing two or fewer runs in four out of his last five outings. Five of the Braves' last six wins have been by two or more runs. |
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09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +3 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 75 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Utes are just 4-9 SU in one-score contests the past five seasons, including 1-6 SU on the road. They’re also 1-5 ATS as non-conference favorites the last four years, numbers that pale next to Florida’s 3-0 ATS run as a home dog, and its 3-0 ATS effort against the Pac-12. Consider that new Florida head coach Billy Napier is 12-6 ATS as a dog, including 7-1 SUATS as a dog of 5 or fewer points. |
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09-03-22 | Blue Jays -160 v. Pirates | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Ross Stripling is expected to start for Toronto on Saturday. He allowed three runs on seven hits across six innings against the Angels his last time out, striking out six. The 32-year-old has posted three consecutive quality starts and has a 2.94 ERA this season. Pittsburgh is virtually unbackable in this spot, as the Pirates are in a free fall heading towards the finish line of the season. They have the worst lineup in the majors and are facing one of the top offensive teams. |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF Game of the Week 5 Units Appalachian State stands 11-1 SU at home under third-year head coach Shawn Clarke, and 32-3 SU on the Mountain since 2016. FYI: the Apps are also 40-11 ITS (In The Stats) the last four years, including 21-3 at home. To seal the deal, consider that Appalachian State is 23-1 SU in regular season games in which they win the stats the past two seasons. |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado +13.5 | 38-13 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Head coach Karl Dorrell revamped his offensive coaching staff with four new hires. Despite Dykes owning a money-burning 8-17 ATS as a road favorite, including 3-16 ATS the last nineteen outings, the public is still enamored with the Horned Frogs (now at -13.5). But with a Rocky Mountain high home field advantage, looks for the Buffs to trade scores with TCU and keep the game tight throughout. |
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09-02-22 | Twins -134 v. White Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sonny Gray takes the ball for his 21st start of the season for the Twins in this contest. On the season, he is 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA, a 1.113 WHIP, 32 walks and 99 strikeouts over 100.2 innings of work. Gray didn’t earn the decision in his last start, which came against the Giants at home Sunday. He threw five frames, allowing one run on one hit with four walks and four strikeouts in a game the Twins went on to win 3-2 in 10 innings. In his last three starts, Gray is 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, six walks and 20 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. Gray makes his 10th career appearance and 9th start against the White Sox in this contest. He comes in 4-2 with a 4.47 ERA, a 1.221 WHIP, 20 walks and 46 strikeouts over 48.1 innings of work. Gray is 2-1 with a 5.47 ERA, a 1.338 WHIP, 11 walks and 25 strikeouts over 24.2 innings in five career appearances, four starts, at Guaranteed Rate Field. |
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09-02-22 | Illinois +3 v. Indiana | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 52 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units The Hoosiers gave up 384 yards of offense per game, as the Fighting Illini are going to have multiple opportunities to score throughout this game. Tommy Devito and Chase Brown carried their offense last week, as I wouldn't be surprised if they went off in this one again. Indiana also gave up 33.3 points per game. This was the most in the Big Ten, as I don't see their upgrades completely changing this team. They still have a long way to go and I loved the way the Fighting Illini looked against Wyoming. I understand that they are a weaker opponent, but the offense was humming and they were putting pressure on the opposing quarterback. They will do that again in this one, as Illinois will be able to keep the Hoosiers off the scoreboard for the majority of this game. |
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09-02-22 | Rangers v. Red Sox -174 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game could get real ugly, real quick. Keuchel has been a disaster as the former Cy Young Award winner has struggled mightily, bouncing around to three different teams this season alone. He got pummeled in his last start and has an ERA over 8. Against a hard hitting Red Sox lineup, filled with right handed power, he won't last long. |
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09-02-22 | Mariners -136 v. Guardians | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mariners continue to be one of the hottest teams in the majors, winning six of their last seven games. They are coming off a series sweep over Detroit and just won three out of four against Cleveland last weekend. Castillo has been on fire since joining the Seattle rotation, and he has now posted a 2.85 ERA this year. Plesac continues to struggle for Cleveland |
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09-02-22 | Yankees v. Rays -125 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With the way these two teams are playing right now, I have to go with the Rays. Domingo German does not have a great track record against Tampa Bay, and the Yankees have also dropped 11 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Rays' offense has come alive recently, and their pitching and defense has been getting the job done as well. The Rays are a hard team to go against right now, and the Yankees are hard to trust. Go with Tampa Bay. |
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09-01-22 | Rangers +160 v. Red Sox | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At home this season, the Red Sox are 31-34 while the Rangers are 30-33 on the road. While both pitchers are pitching well at the moment, Hill has struggled with an ERA over 5.00 at Fenway Park this season. Meanwhile, Otto has an ERA of 3.53 on the road this season. Boston has not been the dominant home team they have been in the past and have struggled against right-handers this season, going just 44-58. The Rangers are 22-19 vs. left-handed pitching this season which should give them another edge in this matchup. |
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09-01-22 | West Virginia +8 v. Pittsburgh | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units West Virginia is 9-3 SUATS away in the series, including 5-1 SUATS as underdogs. By comparison, Pitt has posted a 1-6 SU effort versus Big 12 opponents, and a 2-6 ATS record as a non-conference favorite of 8 or fewer points. To cap it off, Coach Brown’s solid 14-7-2 ATS mark as a road dog tells us West Virginia can keep this one close. |
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09-01-22 | Dodgers -128 v. Mets | 3-5 | Loss | -128 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers will have Clayton Kershaw make his return from the IL on Thursday. Kershaw last pitched on August 4th, allowing two runs (one earned) in four innings against the Giants, and finished with a no-decision. The southpaw has been on the IL a few times this season but is having another fine year, recording a 2.64 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP accompanied by a 7-3 record in 85.1 innings pitched. Kershaw has completely dominated the Mets in his career, amassing a 2.19 ERA and a 10-0 record. |
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09-01-22 | Mariners v. Tigers +141 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating 2 units Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Tigers on Thursday. Rodriguez, a left-hander, is 3-3 on the season with an ERA of 3.60 in 10 starts. He has 41 strikeouts and 23 walks in 50 innings pitched. He got a win in his last start, an 11-2 victory over the Rangers. Rodriguez allowed just 1 run on 6 hits in 6 innings with 2 strikeouts and 3 walks. In his last five starts versus the Mariners, Rodriguez is 3-1 with an ERA of 1.82, allowing 5 runs in 24.2 innings with 18 strikeouts and 15 walks. The Tigers have a team ERA of 4.03, which ranks 19th in the league. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.39, which is tied for 8th in baseball. |
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08-31-22 | Mariners -151 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tyler Alexander will take the mound for his 21st appearance for the Tigers and 11th start, having gone 3-8 with a 4.83 ERA over 63.1 total innings. The 28-year-old was shelled by the Texas Rangers last Friday, allowing seven runs on eight hits and three walks in just three innings, walking one. Marco Gonzales will be on the mound for Seattle for the 26th time, looking to follow up a brilliant outing as he held the Cleveland Guardians to one run on four hits and one walk over six innings on Thursday, striking out four in a win. The 30-year-old has been solid this year, going 9-12 with a 3.97 ERA over 140.2 total innings. |
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08-31-22 | Rays -164 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drew Rasmussen has been on fire as of late, as he will be able to keep the Marlins off the base paths and the scoreboard for the first four or five innings of this game. He is currently 9-4 with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. He has also won four straight games, as he is on fire right now. Miami is also only hitting .198 against RHP in their last 10 games played. |
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08-31-22 | Padres -135 v. Giants | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Alex Wood is going to start for San Francisco in this game. He allowed eight earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out four across three innings against Minnesota last week. Wood has allowed six-plus runs in three of his five appearances this month, posting an 8.53 ERA in August. He is 8-11 with a 5.00 ERA overall this season. San Diego has won eight of the last 11 meetings between these teams |
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08-30-22 | Astros -145 v. Rangers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros are dominating the Rangers this season, winning 10 of the 14 meetings. Texas continues to struggle. They just lost two of three against the Tigers and the pitching continues to be a total disaster, allowing a stunning 26 runs in their last three games. Astros’ starter Framber Valdez has been spectacular against Texas this season, limiting them to only two runs in 20.2 innings. He also features a stifling 1.98 ERA this month. Texas has only averaged 3.21 runs against the Astros this season and I definitely can’t see them breaking out at the plate considering Valdez’s dominance. |
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08-30-22 | Dodgers v. Mets +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Taijuan Walker takes the hill for the Mets as he logs his 23rd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 10-3 with a 3.38 ERA, a 1.202 WHIP, 35 walks and 88 strikeouts over 117.1 innings of work on the year. Walker didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came last Tuesday on the road against the Yankees. He threw five innings, allowing two runs on four hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a game the Mets eventually dropped 4-2. In his last three starts, Walker is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, seven walks and eight strikeouts over 13 innings of work. Walker makes his 11th career start against the Dodgers in this contest. He is 3-3 with a 4.25 ERA, a 1.321 WHIP, 18 walks and 48 strikeouts over 53 innings of work against them. Walker has an 8-5 record, a 3.34 ERA, a 1.087 WHIP, 44 walks and 125 strikeouts over 145.1 innings in 26 career appearances, 25 starts, at Citi Field. |
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08-30-22 | Orioles v. Guardians -142 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has been installed as the rightful favorite to win this game. The Guardians have quietly been one of the most consistent teams in the majors since the All-Star break, avoiding a series loss until last week against Seattle. They also have a sizeable pitching advantage on Tuesday night. Quantrill has been on fire in the month of August, posting three scoreless outings in his last four appearances. Watkins has only gone six innings in four of his 17 starts, which is going to put Baltimore’s bullpen in a tough spot. Cleveland has won six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams. |
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08-29-22 | Cardinals v. Reds +1.5 | 13-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cardinals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas (10-10, 3.35 ERA) will try to rebound from his 7-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs in his last outing. He allowed five runs (three earned) on six hits in 6 2/3 in innings. Mikolas is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA against the Reds this season and 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA in 14 career outings against them, including 12 starts. Jonathan India (3-for-8, two homers, three RBIs) and Colin Moran (8-for-29, two doubles, homer, four RBIs) have hit well against Mikolas. Reds are expected to give veteran Chase Anderson his first major league start this season. Anderson was 7-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 27 games, including 16 starts, with the Triple-A Toledo Mud Hens and Double-A Durham Bulls this season. |
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08-29-22 | Red Sox v. Twins -115 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dylan Bundy will toe the rubber for Minnesota to start this three-game set. He has been solid over his last five starts, going 1-2 but with an impressive 2.96 ERA. He has allowed just 16 hits in 24.1 innings pitched over that stretch. He is 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA against the Red Sox this season. |
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08-28-22 | Lions v. Steelers -4 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 122 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lions have been famous for sleeping on the job this time of the season (1-11 SU and 2-9 ATS in previous preseason play entering this August slate of games this year). Consider that the Lions were 7-70-1 ATS in SU preseason losses since 1983 upon entering this year’s fake games – including 7-45-1 ATS as underdogs. To cap if off, consider that playing against any team in Game Three if they won three or fewer preseason games last season is 11-1-1 ATS since 2002. |
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08-28-22 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox -174 | 3-2 | Loss | -174 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dylan Cease will make his 26th start of the campaign, hoping to continue a historically good run as he's 12-6 with a 2.27 ERA and 182 strikeouts across 139 innings. Cease has been terrific all season and gives them some value in thus matchup. Just about the only strength for Arizona has been parts of the starting rotation, but Davies will have too much trouble matching zeros with Cease, and the White Sox still have more talent than their record might indicate. |
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08-27-22 | Guardians v. Mariners -171 | 4-3 | Loss | -171 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Castillo has pitched very well since coming over from Cincinnati and has one of the game's best put-away pitches in the game with his changeup. Plesac has really struggled as of late and could be in for a long night against Seattle's power hitting lineup. The Mariners are 54-39 against right-handed pitching this season and have traditionally been one of the better home teams in baseball. Cleveland has played very well but have had a hard time winning with Plesac on the hill. In his last ten starts, losing four out of his last five starts and scoring a total of 11 runs in those five starts. |
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08-27-22 | Nevada v. New Mexico State +10.5 | 23-12 | Loss | -110 | 467 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF Upset Special Nevada has managed to win only seven of its 26 games away from Reno by more than 10 points the past four seasons – and those were all with bowl teams. New NMSU head coach Jerry Kill takes over for the Aggies. His presence alone guarantees an uptick in NMSU stock this season. Kill is 7-1 SU in home openers in his college career, with the only loss coming by seven points. Consider that Aggies head coach Jerry Kill is 17-8 ATS as a double-digit dog in his career, including 6-1 ATS at home (6-0 ATS the last six). |
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08-27-22 | Orioles v. Astros -169 | 3-1 | Loss | -169 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Astros will be starting Jose Urquidy on the mound. He is currently 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Reaching base consistently against him has been difficult for his opponents, as he has looked great this season. Urquidy has also been incredible at home, as he is 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings and only allowed two earned runs against the Atlanta Braves. The Houston bullpen has also been one of the best in the MLB. They are allowing 3.01 runs per game, as this is the lowest bullpen ERA in the league. |
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08-27-22 | Washington Commanders v. Ravens -6 | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units We’re continuing to focus on quarterback play to help project preseason matchups. Baltimore has the advantage here with Huntley, but Heinicke and Howell are a strong combination for the preseason. We’re also likely to see some of Wentz, while it’s unlikely that Jackson plays. Huntley has been able to run the Ravens’ offense at a high level, evidenced by his efficient play through the air. There’s a good chance that he keeps up his great play against a Commanders defense that just got shredded by Patrick Mahomes. Baltimore has an added incentive to go for the win, given their record-breaking winning streak during the preseason (21-0 SU, 20-1 ATS). We’re likely to see them get it done at home against a struggling Commanders team. |
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08-27-22 | Rams v. Bengals -2.5 | 7-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Rams are not winning preseason games with any consistency. Coach Sean McVay is 7-10 in his career in preseason action and the Rams have now dropped four out of their last five preseason games. The Bengals have received outstanding production from backup QB Brandon Allen. He is sporting a 10:6 TD to INT ratio in his limited career action in regular season play. I also like Jake Browning who was a star QB in college. He tallied 190 passing yards against the Cardinals in the first preseason bout and 89 last week. The Rams' defense is giving up several points. They have allowed 22 and 24 points respectively in their two preseason games against the Chargers and Texans. |
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08-27-22 | Angels v. Blue Jays -138 | 2-0 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The middle game of the series will feature a good pitching matchup. Angels right-hander Shohei Ohtani (10-8, 2.83 ERA) will start against Blue Jays right-hander Alek Manoah (12-6, 2.66) today. In two career outings against Toronto, Ohtani is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA. He took a loss against the Blue Jays on May 26 when he allowed five runs in six innings, though he struck out 10. Manoah owns a 1-0 record and a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Angels. He allowed three runs (two earned) and fanned nine over six innings during a no-decision against Los Angeles on May 27. |
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08-27-22 | Jaguars +4 v. Falcons | 12-28 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Atlanta rides a 0-5 SUATS mark in Game Three of the preseason into this contest. Additionally, the dirty birds have a 3-8 SU and 3-7-1 ATS preseason series record against Jacksonville. We seal the deal with the fact that the Jaguars are 12-1 ATS away versus NFC South opponents during the preseason. |
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08-26-22 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox -165 | 7-2 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cueto has been on a roll in August, getting better with each start. He allowed three runs in his first outing in August (August 4), then allowed two earned runs on August 10, before allowing one earned run on August 15. He shut out Cleveland for 8.2 innings in his last outing. The right-hander has a 1.76 ERA in August, allowing six runs in 30.2 innings. |
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08-26-22 | Giants v. Twins -122 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco starts left-hander Alex Wood, who is 8-10 with a 4.54 ERA in 24 starts. Wood was wracked by Colorado in his last start, giving up seven runs in 4.2 innings. He had given up six runs in 5.1 innings in his first start of the month, and has now allowed 16 runs in 22.1 innings in August. Minnesota starter, Ryan is 9-6 with a 3.86 ERA in 20 starts. He has allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts and has given up two or fewer earned runs in seven of his last nine starts. |
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08-26-22 | Tigers v. Rangers -154 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers have not been stellar at home this season, as the team has performed slightly better on the road with a 30-33 mark compared with just 27-34 at home. However, they will be welcoming a Detroit team that is just 19-42 away from home in 2022. The Rangers have also played very well behind Otto as of late. After losing seven straight games started by Otto, the Rangers have now won each of his last three starts. Those numbers have been helped by Otto's stats in the three games as he has allowed just three earned runs total in the three wins. The Tigers, meanwhile, have lost seven out of Alexander's last eight appearances on the season. Finally, Texas is 21-17 against southpaws this season so I expect a strong outing from the hot-hitting Rangers lineup. |
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08-26-22 | Bills +7 v. Panthers | 0-21 | Loss | -135 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating; 4 Units One might think that road teams coming off consecutive home games during the preseason are primed for a letdown. However, teams in this role are a rock-solid 53-47 SU and 60- 38-2 ATS (61%) ATS when taking to the preseason road and coming off a pair of home victories since 1990. Better yet, bring these same teams in off a win of more than 3 points and they zoom to 13-3 SU and 14-1-1 ATS. Take the Bills |
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08-25-22 | Twins v. Astros -165 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both pitchers have thrown well against the opposition in their career but that’s where the similarities end. Archer is barely averaging four innings a start on the year and that puts a lot of pressure on the Minnesota bullpen. The Twins placed Byron Buxton on the IL Tuesday, taking a key cog out of their lineup and making things more challenging offensively. We saw how the Astros shut down the Twins in the opener behind Verlander’s gem. Houston is coasting in the AL West and they have climbed past the Yankees in the race for home field advantage in the postseason. Garcia is the better pitcher and that, coupled with the game being at Minute Maid Park, gives the Astros the advantage on getaway day. |
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08-25-22 | Blue Jays -161 v. Red Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units On the mound tonight for Toronto will be Kevin Gausman. Gausman leads the team in strikeouts and is second in wins, ERA, quality starts and WAR. In his last five starts, Gausman is 2-2 in his last five starts with an ERA of 2.97. He has allowed 28 hits in 30.1 innings pitched and is striking out 9.79 batters per nine innings in this span. Against Boston this season, Gausman has been dominant. He is 3-0 in four starts with an ERA of 1.38. Boston's Crawford has been thrust into a starter's role that he doesn't appear to be quite ready for this season. In his last five starts, Crawford is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA. He has allowed 28 hits in 26.1 innings pitched in that span and has given up six home runs in the five games. Crawford is 0-1 in one start against Toronto this season, allowing five hits in six innings pitched with an ERA of 4.50. |
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08-25-22 | Angels v. Rays -176 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Drew Rasmussen is going to start for Tampa Bay today. He allowed two runs on two hits and one walk across 5.2 innings against the Royals last Saturday. Rasmussen has been excellent at home this year, posting a 1.99 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 58.2 innings. He came within three outs of throwing a perfect game two starts ago, with his first allowed hit being a double in the ninth inning. |
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08-24-22 | Cardinals -201 v. Cubs | 1-7 | Loss | -201 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals send Miles Mikolas to the hill. The right-hander has accrued a dazzling 2.22 career ERA against the foes and the Cards have won in all three of his starts against the Cubs this season. The Cardinals’ bats will dazzle against Cubs’ starter Luke Farrell who is making his season debut. The right-hander struggled in Triple-A this season, amassing a poor 5.03 ERA and the Cards' offense should feast on him as a result. The bats are hot and they love playing at Wrigley Field where they have scored 46 runs in their last eight games. |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays -141 v. Red Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston has seen things fall apart and their chances of making the postseason are slim. Putting Nathan Eovaldi on the IL thins the rotation further than it was as Chris Sale barely pitched this season due to injury issues. Toronto has had their fair share of struggles but they have had Boston’s number this season, winning 10 of the first 13 matchups entering Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are still battling in the wild card picture and every win is important at this stage. Boston has fallen into the basement of the AL East and they have work to do if they have any prayer of making a move. With their struggles, you can’t back them, even at home. |
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08-24-22 | White Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -159 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Giolito has struggled most of the season and the White Sox have continued to underachieve given their expectations coming into the year. He was clobbered in his previous contest against Houston and has had issues against the Orioles in his career. Baltimore had their issues of late but they did get back in the win column on Sunday to stay in the thick of the wild card race. Watkins has been up and down of late but he pitched well in the tough loss to the Cubs in his last start. The Orioles play solid ball at home and with the issues Giolito has had, give the upper hand to the hosts in this contest as the Orioles earn the win. |
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08-23-22 | Brewers v. Dodgers -138 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tony Gonsolin is lighting up every batting lineup in sight in recent outings. He has won in his last four straight starts, which all feed into his ridiculous 15-1 record. The 28-year-old righty is throwing a 2.12 ERA with 113 strikeouts to his name. That latter stat should be one of the scariest for the Brewers considering their averaging the fifth-most strikeouts so far this season. It could be a long and disappointing night for them if Gonsolin gets on a roll. |
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08-23-22 | Blue Jays -131 v. Red Sox | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto is also 9-1 in their last 10 games following a game off. Ross Stripling has pitched well in his last three post-All-Star games starts, posting a 2.45 ERA and 0.82 WHIP., allowing a home run in those games. Josh Winckowski has a 6.46 ERA since the All-Star break, having allowed six home runs while only recording 10 strikeouts in23.2 innings during the recent five-game stretch. |
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08-23-22 | Cardinals -171 v. Cubs | 0-2 | Loss | -171 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wainwright was outstanding in his previous start, tossing seven shutout innings against the Rockies, and collected the win to improve his record to 9-8. The veteran right-hander continues to contain his foes, sporting a 2.33 ERA this month and has reported a 3.11 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 150.1 innings pitched on the season. Wainwright has held the Cubs to only two runs in 14 innings this season and is 18-13 with a 3.88 ERA in his career against the rivals. The Cardinals are taking control of the NL Central. They have built a large four-game lead ahead of the Brewers. The squad has won seven games overall including a series win against Milwaukee in that span. They issued the three-game sweep in Arizona last weekend, scoring 27 runs. |
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08-22-22 | Cardinals -153 v. Cubs | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Trade acquisition Jordan Montgomery will make his 25th start overall and fourth in a Cardinals uniform, hoping to continue a solid season as he's 6-3 with a 3.29 ERA across 131.1 innings. The 29-year-old has been great since joining the Cardinals, and beat the Colorado Rockies with 5.2 innings of one-run ball, allowing six hits and no walks while piling up eight strikeouts. Chicago's offense is in the bottom 10 at 4.21 runs per game despite posting an above average .713 OPS as a team. It hasn't gone as well for the pitching staff, which owns a 4.21 ERA including a mark of 3.98 out of the bullpen. |
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08-22-22 | Rangers v. Twins -200 | 2-1 | Loss | -200 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays have won their last four home games against left-handed starters and 37 out of their 52 home games against losing teams overall. The Angels are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games against winning teams. The Angels also could be without Ohtani, which is a big blow to their lineup. |
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08-22-22 | Mets -148 v. Yankees | 2-4 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mets are on the road, but they still have the clear advantage in this one. The Mets will have Max Scherzer on the mound, as he is (9-2) on the season with a 2.15 ERA and a .93 WHIP. The Yankees have been horrible at the plate over the last few weeks, as I don't see them scoring enough runs to keep this game completive. Scherzer is also (5-1) with a 2.56 ERA on the road. He is stepping into his opponent's ballparks and completely shutting them down. I see him doing that again in this one, as well. Scherzer will pitch deep into this game and he will give his team the best chance of winning. |
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08-21-22 | Ravens -5 v. Cardinals | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units I just can't bet against the ravens in the preseason. They have now won 21 straight preseason games (19-1-1 ATS), as they won't lay down for anyone. They will want to win this game, as well. Even without their starters, I still have faith in the Ravens in this one. Tyler Huntley looked great last week and I see him having a huge day against this Arizona secondary. Arizona gave up 277 yards through the air last week, as the Ravens will be able to air it out in this one. I also see the Raven's defense putting more pressure on the Cardinal's starting QBs, as they won't be able to pick apart the Baltimore secondary. The Ravens finished last week's game with three sacks and three turnovers, as they were putting pressure on the Titans throughout that entire game. It didn't matter who was in the game, as they continued to dominate. Baltimore also showed their experience last week, as they went 2-3 in the red zone. They capitalize on their opportunities and they put pressure on their opponents. I don't expect to see either team's stars on the field and the Ravens are going to want this more than the Cardinals. |
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08-21-22 | Rangers v. Twins -185 | 7-0 | Loss | -185 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rookie right-hander Joe Ryan (9-5, 3.92 ERA) will make his first career start against Texas today in the game in Minneapolis. The Rangers will counter with right-hander Kohei Arihara (0-1, 4.76), who will make just his second start of the season. Ryan, who leads the Twins in wins this season, helped push Minnesota to a 4-2 victory over Kansas City in his last start on Monday, allowing two runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings while striking out six. Arihara, who is 2-4 with a 6.64 ERA in 10 big league starts, has never faced the Twins. He made his first start of 2022 on Tuesday, taking the loss in a 5-1 setback to Oakland by allowing three runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings. |
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08-21-22 | Royals v. Rays -159 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Royals continue to stumble, losing seven out of their last nine games. The Rays are in a groove, recording the victory in six out of their last eight clashes including series wins against the Orioles and Yankees. The pitching has been remarkable. They have limited the Royals to three or fewer runs in all three games of this series. Royals’ starter Zack Greinke is a completely different pitcher on the road. The veteran is 0-6 with a horrible 6.48 ERA in his 10 road starts. Rays’ starter Ryan Yarbrough has been effective recently, conceding only five runs in his last 16.1 innings of work. |
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08-21-22 | Angels -182 v. Tigers | 0-4 | Loss | -182 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohtani should dominate the Tigers' porous lineup on Sunday. He is 5th in baseball in strikeouts this season and now faces a Tigers team that ranks as the 8th worst team in baseball in strikeouts per game. As for the Angels, while they haven't been tearing the cover off the ball, they should have some success against Rodriguez given his long absence from a big-league mound. Rodriguez will likely be on a pitch count and will likely be rusty and throw a lot of pitches early on. The beleaguered Tigers bullpen will once again likely be tasked with getting more than nine outs in this game. In addition, the Tigers are just 3-7 in their last ten games while the Angels are a more respectable 5-5. Expect Mike Trout, two games now under his belt, to get some good swings against Rodriguez tomorrow afternoon. |
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08-20-22 | Cowboys v. Chargers -155 | 32-18 | Loss | -155 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chargers welcome the Cowboys to SoFi Stadium looking to even the score |
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08-20-22 | Cardinals -139 v. Diamondbacks | 16-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Struggling left-hander Madison Bumgarner (6-12, 4.37 ERA) will start for the Diamondbacks today and right-hander Dakota Hudson (6-6, 4.17) will pitch for the Cardinals. Bumgarner is 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA over his past four starts. He has allowed 34 hits and walked eight in 23 1/3 innings during the stretch. The 33-year-old lost to the Giants on Monday when he gave up a season-worst six earned runs as well as eight hits over 5 2/3 innings. Bumgarner defeated the Cardinals on April 29 after allowing one run and three hits in five innings. He is 5-6 with a 5.26 ERA in 14 career starts against St. Louis. Goldschmidt is batting .342 with four homers, 15 RBIs and 12 walks in 73 career at-bats against Bumgarner. Arenado has three homers while hitting .262 in 65 at-bats. Hudson is winless in his past six starts and has a 5.10 ERA during the stretch. The 27-year-old last pitched Aug. 11 when he gave up two runs and four hits over five innings in a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies. Hudson beat Arizona on April 28 when he gave up one hit over six scoreless innings. He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two career starts versus the Diamondbacks. |
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08-20-22 | Mariners -176 v. A's | 3-4 | Loss | -176 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kaprielian will be seeing the Mariners for the fourth time this season, having pitched the A's to a pair of wins in Seattle but to an 8-2 home defeat in June. He's 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA in eight games, including five starts, in his career against the Mariners. The 28-year-old lost his past two starts to the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers, games in which he got a total of two runs of support. Right-hander Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.51) is the scheduled starter for the Mariners, who will take a four-game winning streak into Saturday's rematch. Gilbert will be facing the A's for the second time this year. He beat them 8-6 at home in June, allowing four runs in six innings. He's never lost in five career starts against the A's, going 1-0 with a 4.44 ERA. |
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08-20-22 | Washington Commanders +5 v. Chiefs | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Chiefs are unquestionably the stronger team, they have far less to play for in this battle other than individual positional battles. For the Commanders, they will continue to try and grow the chemistry between Wentz and his new wideouts so I expect to see Wentz play at least through the first half. With the reduced preseason schedule the last two seasons, game two of the preseason takes on a much grander scale as teams try to tighten things up before resting their starters entirely in the final week. The Chiefs know what they have at quarterback and they also know that it is imperative that Mahomes is upright and ready to go for the regular season, not a meaningless preseason game in August. I expect Mahomes to play perhaps an additional series in this game but not much more than that. Andy Reid will keep it simple and keep his MVP signal-caller out of harm's way in this one. |
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08-20-22 | Red Sox -118 v. Orioles | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox are 4-5 against the Orioles this season but are also just 2.5 games behind the Orioles since the May 17th date I referenced earlier. Boston will be sending their most productive lineup on the field on Saturday with Hernandez available and Pham hitting at the top of the order. The Red Sox have even got an unexpected boost from newly acquired catcher Reese McGwire, who is hitting .379 in nine games with Boston since the trade deadline deal. Boston is an impressive 10-4 in games started by Wacha this season and he looked to be in top form in his last outing against the Yankees. Boston wisely space out his next start and Wacha will be pitching on five full days of rest on Saturday. The Orioles are 5-5 in their last ten games heading into the series opener on Friday and are just 11-24 against Boston at home over the past five seasons. Boston has handled Bradish well in both his appearances against them this season as well. |
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08-20-22 | Broncos v. Bills -6 | 15-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units The Bills are seemingly all in with this game being treated as their legitimate dress rehearsal ahead of the regular season. Coach Sean McDermott has already stated that his starters will play a “healthy amount” on Saturday. So this isn’t a situation where Josh Allen and company play in a series or two and go have a seat on the bench. Buffalo is unleashing the hounds on Denver in this game. Additionally, the Bills are 6-1 their L7 NFLX game twos. |
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08-19-22 | Cardinals -172 v. Diamondbacks | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a much cheaper price than I was expecting to get on St. Louis, especially considering the team’s performance on Thursday afternoon. The Cardinals were dominant in their win over the Rockies, shutting out one of the league’s best offenses in a 13-0 blowout. They have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB since the All-Star break, and their starting pitcher has thrown quality starts in six of his last eight outings. Mikolas should have more success against an Arizona offense that ranks No. 26 in the majors in batting average. Henry is an unproven starter, which gives me even more confidence in taking the Cardinals to win this game. |
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08-19-22 | Saints v. Packers -150 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 101 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFLX Game of the Week Saints welcome new head coach Dennis Allen to the team knowing he is 1-4 ATS in his preseason career against NFC North opponents, as well as 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away during the exhibition campaign. With the Saints just 1-5 ATS in Game Two of the preseason and Green Bay 6-0 SUATS in this preseason series the pick is Green Bay. |
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08-19-22 | White Sox v. Guardians -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lynn has struggled mightily this season and hasn’t lived up to what the White Sox were hoping to get from him. He’s been absolutely brutal on the road, going 0-3 with a 7.46 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 25.1 innings in five starts. McKenzie has pitched well at home, going 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 51.1 innings this season. The Guardians had Thursday off, giving their bullpen a break, while the White Sox saw Lucas Giolito get shelled early Thursday, putting their bullpen into the game early. Look for the Guardians to take advantage to earn the victory here |
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08-19-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles +102 | 10-15 | Win | 102 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This season series has been close to even, with the Orioles holding a one-game edge. The Orioles do have the starting pitching and bullpen advantage in this game when considering how well Lyles has performed at home this season. The Orioles have won 20 of their last 27 games at Camden Yards, and they are also 10-2 in their last 12 games overall following a loss. The Red Sox are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games against winning clubs. I will back the Orioles here. |
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08-16-22 | Royals v. Twins -185 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Greinke is third on the team in innings pitched and WHIP this season thus far. In his last five starts, Greinke is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA. Greinke has thrown 25 innings and given up 32 hits over this span and struck out 18 batters while walking six. Greinke is 0-2 in two starts against the Twins this season while giving up 12 hits in nine innings with a 6.00 ERA. Twins will turn to Sonny Gray to slow down the Royals an pick up the win. In his last five starts, Gray is 2-1 with a 4.07 ERA. He has thrown 24.1 innings and allowed 24 hits in that span and struck out 25 batters while walking ten. Gray is 1-0 in one start against the Royals this season with an ERA of 1.50. He went six innings and allowed a run on just two hits in a 7-3 Twins win on May 29th. |
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08-16-22 | Cubs -156 v. Nationals | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Patrick Corbin will get the ball as he turns around what has been the worst season in his career. The lefty and former World Series hero, comes in with a 4-16 record, while the 7.02 ERA tells the rest of the story. He hasn't allowed fewer than four runs in a start since July 4th and with Chicago coming to town, those struggles could certainly continue. Justin Steele will get the ball as the rangy lefty aims to build off his impressive marks. The record hasn't been overly impressive, coming into this one 4-7, though his 3.63 ERA has turned some heads. He's only allowed more than two runs once across his last seven starts, including a gem of performance the last time out against Washington. Cubs are 4-0 in Steele's last four starts against NL East opponents, while the Nationals are 0-5 in their last five home games against a team with a losing record. |
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08-16-22 | Phillies -175 v. Reds | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units T.J. Zeuch will be getting the start on the mound. He has only started one game this season, as he is (0-1) with a 13.50 ERA. The Mets lit him up, as he only pitched for 4.0 innings and gave up six hits and six earned runs. He will be looking to bounce back from that start, as this will only be his second appearance of the season. The Reds will need him to pitch deeper into this game, though. Their bullpen has also had issues this season. They are allowing 4.98 runs per game, which is the most in the MLB. Phillies will start Kyle Gibson on the mound. He has been solid as of late, as he is (7-5) with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Reaching base has been difficult for his opponents and his team has won three of his last five starts. The last time he was on the mound he pitched for 6.0 innings, but only gave up two earned runs to the Marlins. |
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08-15-22 | Astros -124 v. White Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Johnny Cueto is solid, but he isn’t pitching anywhere close to his best at home this season. He’s throwing a 3.71 ERA with a 1-3 record. The veteran starter is struggling the same as everyone else in Chicago. Jose Urquidy is rolling, and he’ll be entering this game as the starting pitcher for an Astros team with the No. 1-ranked bullpen. That isn’t even close to being the White Sox’s situation. |
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08-15-22 | Dodgers -160 v. Brewers | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers are definitely the hottest team and the best team in the big leagues. They have won 12 out of their last 13 games. The Brewers have been inconsistent recently and have fallen out of first place. They just lost two of three to the Cardinals and are having trouble scoring runs. They have only plated 16 runs in their last five games. Dodgers’ starter Julio Urias has been incredible, conceding either zero or one run in four out of his last five outings. I can’t see the Brewers solving him, especially when considering Urias is sporting a stifling 2.29 career ERA against the foes. Freddy Peralta is solid but hasn’t been nearly as dominant as Urias. |
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08-15-22 | Phillies -174 v. Reds | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units On the mound for Cincinnati in the opener will be veteran lefty Mike Minor. Minor has struggled this season with just a 1-9 record and is winless in nine starts. Minor has allowed 69 hits in 62 innings of work over 12 starts this season and he has given up a whopping 18 home runs this year. On the mound for the Phillies in the series opener will be newly acquired right-hander Noah Syndergaard. This will be his third start for the Phillies since being acquired at the trade deadline. He is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA in his two starts for Philadelphia and has given up 17 hits in just 11 innings of work. However, Syndergaard is an impressive 5-0 with a 2.11 ERA in six career starts against the Reds. |
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08-14-22 | Brewers v. Cardinals -137 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have the upper hand in this matchup. They are averaging 5.7 runs in their last 10 home games, and Miles Mikolas has a 2.48 ERA in 11 home starts this season. On the other side, the Brewers are averaging just 3.9 runs in their last 10 road games and have lost the last five starts made by Aaron Ashby, with each loss coming by at least two runs or more. I like the Cardinals as they have been playing better baseball recently and are 27-10 in their last 37 games against left-handed starters. The Cardinals have also won by at least two runs in five of their seven victories against the Brewers this season. |
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08-14-22 | Braves -124 v. Marlins | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves have been a streaky team and fortunately are in a groove now, winning four games in a row. This includes two wins against the Red Sox and victories in the first two games of this series. Miami just isn’t scoring enough runs to win games, plating an average of only two runs in their last ten games which is not even nearly enough production. The Braves should excel against Marlins’ starter Braxton Garrett. The rookie is scuffling, allowing 10 earned runs in his last three performances spanning only 15.1 innings. The Marlins have lost in each of the last three games started by the rookie and only have one win in their last five games. |
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08-14-22 | Cubs -145 v. Reds | 5-8 | Loss | -145 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has the advantage on the mound, as Keegan Thompson has been on fire as of late. He completely shut down the Nationals in his last start and I see him doing the same in this matchup with the Reds. Cincinnati is scoring the 19th least amount of runs per game and they have the 21st lowest overall team batting average. The Reds' bullpen is allowing the most runs per game, as they have continued to get shelled all season. The Cubs are scoring 4.16 runs per game and they have the 15th highest overall team batting average. |
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08-13-22 | Twins v. Angels +100 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota sends Dylan Bundy to the mound today. Bundy is 6-5 with a 5.01 ERA in 19 starts. Since July 10, he has really struggled, allowing 17 earned runs in 23.1 innings. The Angels send Detmers to the mound who is 4-3 with a 3.44 ERA in 17 starts. He allowed one run in seven innings in his last outing against Seattle and has allowed four total runs over his last five outings, a span of 31.0 innings. He is definitely catching fire at a time this team desperately needs him to do so, especially if they are going to climb the wildcard standings. |
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08-13-22 | Cowboys v. Broncos -160 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The reality is that these preseason games mean very little to most teams. Especially the first one. Very few of the starters see any real action, as clubs are trying to evaluate what their depth is like heading into the regular season. However, this may be different for the Broncos. They have a first-year head coach who is trying to establish himself and get this offense in rhythm. So, he is not only going to be looking to try to get his team off on the right foot but wants to ensure that he gets some buzz going surrounding the club. While Wilson shouldn’t see much time in this contest, expect starting running backs, wide receivers, and offensive lineman to see at least a full quarter of action. That helps Denver to win this contest. |
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08-13-22 | Saints v. Texans +1 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Smith's teams have generally done fairly well in the preseason and he certainly comes in with a handle on his defense after spending 2021 coaching the unit. In addition, I am confident that Mills sees more action than your typical #1 quarterback in this game as he tries to familiarize himself with new OC Pep Hamilton's playbook. I envision him playing at least two series if not close to the entire first half as the rebuilding Texans work out their new system. The Texans also have far more young players than the Saints that will see and need to see game action while the Saints will likely rest several key veterans. Look for Allen to sit Winston out in this one as there is no need to risk injury to the recovering quarterback. Dalton should give the Saints some solid looks in the first half at QB but, again, Allen may limit his snaps as well because he doesn't want to risk a position that hampered the Saints for much of 2021. Expect to see a lot of 2nd-year quarterback Ian Book for New Orleans. With that in mind, I like the Texans to come out on top in a game that should be a defensive struggle for two teams that should be far ahead of the curve on that side of the ball at this early stage. |
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08-13-22 | Mariners +100 v. Rangers | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In his career, Dunning has pitched well at Globe Life Field but he’s had issues putting games in the win column this season. The Rangers are just 6-15 in games that he has pitched in this season and had dropped 11 straight outings before rebounding to win the last two. Seattle is still in the thick of the AL wild-card picture and they are playing solid baseball over the last six or seven weeks, going 32-13 in their last 45 games entering Friday. The Mariners also got Julio Rodriguez back from the IL before Friday’s game, adding another bat to their lineup. Give Seattle the upper hand in this one as they get the victory on the road. |
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08-13-22 | Guardians +105 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Trade acquisition Mitch White will make his second start in a Blue Jays uniform after taking a loss to the Minnesota Twins in his Toronto debut last Saturday, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk over 4.2 innings, striking out two. The 27-year-old, who came over from the Los Angeles Dodgers, has made 16 appearances and 11 starts, going 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA across 60.2 total innings. Triston McKenzie is set to make his 22nd appearance and 21st start of the season, hoping to follow up a brilliant outing against the mighty Houston Astros last Sunday when he tossed eight scoreless frames, allowing two hits and a walk while striking out eight. The 25-year-old is having an impressive season, going 8-8 with a 3.16 ERA over 128 innings of work. |
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08-12-22 | Packers +1 v. 49ers | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 218 h 0 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFLX Game of the Year Green Bay was sent packing in the 2021 playoffs by a 13-10 home loss to the Niners in the Division Round in a game in which the Cheeseheads held Frisco to a season-low 212 total yards of offense – their fewest in 87 games under Kyle Shanahan – yet were STILL booted from the postseason. In addition, we like the fact that the Pack is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in preseason openers. Given the fact that San Francisco is one of only two teams (Atlanta the other) that will face all three preseason foes that they downed in real games last season, expect the Packers to give the 49ers the boot tonight. Consider that Green Bay is 5-0 SUATS this time of the year against NFC West opposition. |
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08-12-22 | Mariners -154 v. Rangers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All told, the Mariners have won eight in a row against Texas and 11 of 13 meetings this season. That dominance even extends back to last season, too, as Seattle has won 16 of the last 18 meetings with its division rival. Seattle rookie right-hander George Kirby (3-3, 3.40 ERA) will look to add to those totals when he takes the mound today. Kirby, 24, allowed one run on six hits with eight strikeouts over six innings in a 2-1 victory versus the visiting Los Angeles Angels on Saturday. He has permitted just three runs on 11 hits in 15 innings over three starts since being optioned to Tacoma on July 9 as a means to limit his workload. Kirby owns a 1.64 ERA and has limited Texas to a .180 batting average while posting two no-decisions versus the club this season. The Rangers fell for the seventh time in 10 games following a 7-3 setback against the Houston Astros on Thursday afternoon. |
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08-12-22 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -150 | 8-0 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The road struggles have been apparent throughout the season for the Guardians’ starter, and they’ll continue in a head-to-head clash with a Blue Jays offense capable of smacking the stuffing out of the ball. There’s a reason why Toronto is 34-21 at home this season. It’s because they’re bats come alive, and in Jose Berrios’ case, the pitching does as well. The Blue Jays starting pitcher is unbeaten at home so far this season. And it isn’t a situation of his teammates bailing him out, either. Berrios has legitimately dominated at Rogers Centre with a 6-0 record and 70 strikeouts to his name. It’ll be another day at the home office for the veteran pitcher as he punishes the Guardians on the mound and help lead the Blue Jays to victory. |
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08-12-22 | Braves -130 v. Marlins | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Marlins have struggled out of the gate after the all-star break, going 6-12 in that span. They are hitting just .228 as a team in that span and are scoring a paltry 2.5 runs per game. On the mound on Thursday will be the team's #2 starter, Pablo Lopez. Lopez is second on the team in every major pitching category behind Alcantara. He has 8 quality starts among his 22 so far this season but has yet to face Atlanta. After dominating for the first half of the schedule, Lopez has come back down to earth. In June, he had an ERA of 5.34 in five starts and followed that up with a 4.65 ERA in six starts in July. Lopez has made one start in August, going five innings against the Cubs and giving up nine hits and four runs in a 4-0 shutout loss. |
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08-11-22 | Titans v. Ravens -4.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 193 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore’s John Harbaugh. Winner of 20 consecutive exhibition contests (18-1-1ATS) and counting, Harbaugh puts an emphasis on winning during the preseason like no other coach in the league. Sure, the Ravens placed 6 players on the PUP list prior to training camp, but it likely means more playing time for healthy vets. Remember, the Ravens are looking to bounce back from a 2021 season that saw them finish last in the AFC North with an 8-9 record. It all begins here when they improve to 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in preseason game ones against a Titans team that has lost and failed to cover four straight preseason contests against AFC North foes. |
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08-11-22 | Orioles +113 v. Red Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston looked like they were going to turn things around at the beginning of this month when they took two out of three from the Astros in Houston, but the club traveled to Kansas City where they dropped three of four against the Royals and lost Tuesday night’s contest against the Atlanta Braves. That has them at 3-5 through the first eight games of August. Meanwhile, Baltimore is picking up right where they left off in July, going 7-1 through their first eight August games. The pitching staff has been spectacular, giving up 27 runs in those eight games, and eight of those came in their only loss of the month. The pitching matchup does not favor either team, but the bullpen for Boston has been abysmal (4.41 ERA) while the Orioles have one of the best in the game (3.10 ERA). |
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08-11-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -174 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pittsburgh has struggled all season long and their inability to put runs on the board on the road has been problematic. The Pirates now run into a hot pitcher in Kelly, who was allowed just two earned runs in his last three starts. Arizona entered Wednesday with four wins in their last five games and they have been decent at home this season despite being a sub-.500 team on the year. Meanwhile, Brubaker has sputtered all season long and was roughed up in his recent outings. It’s tough to back a lousy team that doesn’t score and who has a starting pitcher with two wins against double-digit losses. Back the Diamondbacks in this contest as they take the finale and the series. |
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08-11-22 | Cardinals -110 v. Rockies | 6-8 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in the big leagues after winning eight out of their last nine games including a convincing sweep of the Yankees in that span and a 9-5 win on Wednesday. The Rockies are stumbling, losing seven out of their last ten games overall. Cards’ starter Dakota Hudson has limited the Rockies to only five runs in 14.1 career innings. Rockies’ starter Marquez can’t be trusted at home where he has logged a 2-5 record and a 6.11 ERA on the season. Colorado hasn’t been quite as strong at Coors Field either, winning only three out of their last seven home bouts. |
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08-09-22 | Blue Jays -147 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kyle Bradish is slated to take the mound and make his 13th start of the season for the Orioles in this contest. He comes in 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA, a 1.651 WHIP, 21 walks and 58 strikeouts over 56.1 innings of action this season. Bradish has no record with a 5.65 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, four walks and 15 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work. Bradish was roughed up in his lone career start against the Blue Jays, which came on the road back on June 13. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing five runs on nine hits with one walk and three strikeouts in an 11-1 Orioles defeat. Bradish is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA, a 1.83 WHIP, 16 walks and 30 strikeouts over 33.1 innings in seven career starts at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Alek Manoah is on the mound for the Blue Jays as he makes his 22nd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 12-5 with a 2.45 ERA, a 0.992 WHIP, 30 walks and 119 strikeouts over 132 innings of action. Manoah makes his fifth career start against the Orioles in this contest. He is 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA, a 0.672 WHIP, five walks and 29 strikeouts over 22.1 innings of work against them. |
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08-08-22 | Giants v. Padres -176 | 1-0 | Loss | -176 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After struggling for two months, Wood finally put things together in July. It is true that he had a tough outing his last time on the hill, but that came against the Dodgers. No shame in struggling against that club. However, now he has to do battle with the San Diego Padres, who became a whole lot better at the trade deadline. This team has the talent to be able to compete with any in baseball, and they have a starter who is red-hot of late. Snell is clearly going to be the difference in this game. Not only has he been shutting down opponents over his last five games, but he faces a Giants team that is only hitting .232 against left-handers this season. The Padres can hit home runs as well after acquiring Soto and Bell. |
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08-08-22 | Angels v. A's -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Irvin has been strong all season long and over the last month has built consistency that makes it hard to imagine him struggling in this one. Adding in the injuries that Los Angeles is facing, especially as they hit the road, it seems like it could be a challenge for them to find much success in this one. Additionally, the Athletics are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings between the two teams in Oakland and 15-7 in the last 22 meetings overall. |
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08-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +127 | 4-7 | Win | 127 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After showing flashes of great stuff while never quite putting it together in Seattle, the change of scenery hasn't done much for Kikuchi, who has just a 139 FIP- while walking a whopping 13% of opposing batters. Another issue is he can't go deep into games at this point, and the Blue Jays are only a middling bullpen by most stats. The Orioles can afford to pull Lyles early if needed, as this deep bullpen leads the Majors in reliever WAR while ranking third in ERA. Toronto is the better team overall, but Kikuchi can't be trusted and the Orioles just keep winning in what was supposed to be a rebuilding year. |
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08-07-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -130 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers are 14-3 since the All-Star break. They are 7-2 this season against their wannabe Southern California rivals and 19-9 against the Padres since the start of the 2021 season. The Dodgers have won 16 of their last 18 games against the Padres. Tonight, the Dodgers-Padres series gets national television attention. Right-hander Yu Darvish (10-4, 3.30 ERA) will start for the Padres against Dodgers left-hander Tyler Anderson (12-1, 2.89). Anderson will make his 21st appearance and 19th start of the year. He has a 1.03 WHIP and a .226 opponents' batting average. In 115 1/3 innings this season, Anderson has allowed 39 runs (37 earned) on 96 hits and 23 walks with 94 strikeouts. Anderson will make his third start against the Padres this season. He is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA after giving up three runs on 10 hits and five walks with 10 strikeouts in 11 innings. Overall, Anderson owns a 5-3 record with a 2.53 ERA in 13 career appearances (12 starts) vs. San Diego. This also will be Darvish's third start against the Dodgers in 2022. He is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA after surrendering five runs on nine hits -- including three homers -- and three walks with 17 strikeouts in 12 innings. Darvish is 2-4 with a 2.76 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Dodgers. |
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08-07-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +120 | 9-12 | Win | 120 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have absolutely caught the Yankees at the right time. They are hot themselves, are an outstanding home team, and the Yankees are hurting and adjusting to new pieces. Wainwright is a veteran pitcher who will stay out of hitter's counts, particularly against the parts of the Yankee lineup that can do him the most damage. He will mix his pitches and keep them guessing. Wainwright is 4-3 in ten home starts this season and given up 54 hits in 65 innings. As for his opponent, Montas will be making not only his first start as a Yankee but his first start since July 26th. He went just five innings in that start as he was held back slightly following shoulder stiffness earlier in the month. I expect him to give the Yankees similar innings in this game as well, once again forcing New York to rely on its middle relief in crucial innings. The Cardinals will take advantage. |
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08-07-22 | Pirates v. Orioles -170 | 8-1 | Loss | -170 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bryse Wilson is expected to make his 15th appearance and 12th start of the season for the Pirates in this contest. He comes in 1-6 with a 6.20 ERA, a 1.574 WHIP, 18 walks and 42 strikeouts over 61 innings of work this season. Wilson didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Brewers Tuesday at home. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing three runs on six hits with one walk and two strikeouts in a game the Pirates won 5-3. In his last three starts, Wilson is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, two walks and seven strikeouts over 14.2 innings of work. Spenser Watkins takes the ball for his 15th start of the season for the Orioles in this contest. He comes in 4-1 with a 3.80 ERA, a 1.359 WHIP, 20 walks and 40 strikeouts over 64 innings of work on the year. Watkins earned the win in his last start, which came Monday on the road against the Rangers. He threw six innings, allowing one run on five hits with no walks and five strikeouts in a 7-2 Orioles victory. In his last three starts, Watkins is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, two walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of action. |
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08-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -172 | 3-2 | Loss | -172 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona will start Merrill Kelly on the mound. He has been solid this season, as he is (10-5) with a 2.87 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. He has been one of the top pitchers on the Diamondbacks roster, as he has continued to sit batters down this season. He pitched for 7.0 innings against the Atlanta Braves and only allowed three hits and zero earned runs in his last start. Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela on the mound. He has been up and down this season, as he is currently (3-6) with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP. He is allowing his opponents to reach base too consistently and he hasn't been strong enough to keep them from scoring. He has also had issues on the road this season, as he is (0-4) with a 6.16 ERA. |
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08-06-22 | Red Sox -139 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -139 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Eovaldi should be able to keep the depleted Royals lineup at bay on Saturday night. The Royals have lost their main two table setters in Benintendi and Merrifield and the veteran right-hander should be able to utilize his five-pitch arsenal to get deep into this start. The Red Sox have been very good against left-handed pitching this season, going 17-9 on the season thus far. That number will improve in this one, particularly with the Red Sox's recent addition of Pham, who should get some good swings against Lynch. Look for Boston to put up a couple of big innings and roll to a win in this game. |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Phillies will start Ranger Suarez on the mound. He has been solid this season, as he is (7-5) with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings and didn't allow an earned run to the Pittsburgh Pirates. He kept them off the scoreboard and allowed his team to win the game late. Nationals will start Patrick Corbin on the mound. He has struggled this season, as he is (4-15) with a 6.57 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He was lit up in his last start, as well. He only pitched for 4.1 innings but surrendered seven hits and four earned runs. The Mets hit him early and often, as he stood no chance in that matchup. |
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08-05-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Padres and Dodgers are built for postseason success. While the Padres are clicking, the Dodgers are also one of the hottest teams in the Major Leagues, winning eight out of their last nine games overall. They have defeated San Diego in five of the seven meetings this season. Padres’ starter Sean Manaea has trouble against L.A. They scored seven runs in 4.1 innings against him in the only meeting this season and the veteran has surrendered 15 runs in 18 career innings against the rivals. Dodgers’ starter Tony Gonsolin has shut down the Padres bats, posting a 3-0 record and a minuscule 1.75 ERA in 26 career innings. |
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08-05-22 | White Sox -172 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dylan Cease is on the mound for the White Sox as he makes his 22nd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 11-4 with a 2.01 ERA, a 1.174 WHIP, 50 walks and 161 strikeouts over 116.2 innings of work on the year. Cease picked up the win in his last start, which came in the Sunday at home against the A’s. He threw six innings, allowing one run on four hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a 4-1 White Sox victory. In his last three starts, Cease is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA, a 0.84 WHIP, four walks and 19 strikeouts over 19 innings of work. Cease makes his fourth career start against the Rangers in this contest. He is 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA, a 1.186 WHIP, six walks and 24 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work against them. |