08-15-23 |
Liberty v. Aces UNDER 177.5 |
Top |
82-63 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
NY Liberty vs Las Vegas 10-Unit best bet on the UNDER, currently at 177 points and is likely to trend higher throughout the afternoon. So, consider betting 7-units preflop before the game start at the best price you can find, then look to add 1.5 units at 182.5 points and 187.5 points during the first half of action only. Betting the Under in a game with a total of at least 140 points and with the road team coming off two consecutive ats wins priced as the favorite and with their foe coming off a home win has produced a 37-21 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2011. If the total is priced at 160 or more points, this system has produced a 23-9 UNDER record good for 72% winning bets since 2011.
Betting the UNDER in a game with a total of 140 or more points and the home team has covered three of their last four games ATS and is a team that has won 75% or more of their games and is taking on a winning record foe after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned an outstanding 33-14 record for 70% winning bets since 2011. If the total is 150 or more points, the Under has gone 30-13 for 70% winning bets since 2011. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Liberty to score 80 or fewer points and shoot 37.5% or lower from beyond the arc. In past games road games priced as the dog and matching or exceeding these performance measures, they have seen the Under go 71-30-2 for 70% winning bets. The Under has gone 34-12-1 Under for 74% winning bets when the Aces have been home favorites and have allowed 80 or fewer points and held the foe to 37.5% shooting or lower since 2019.
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08-10-23 |
Dream -5 v. Storm |
Top |
67-68 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
Thursday: Atlanta Dream vs Seattle Storm 8-Unit best bet on the Dream plus the points. Betting on teams that are facing a losing record team that are coming off a double-digit home loss and is non-conference foe have earned a solid 49-17 SU (74%) record and 43-21-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. If our team is on the road, they have then gone 23-10 SUATS for 70% winners. Plus, if more than 15 or more games of the regular season have been completed the record improves to 16-7 (70%) and 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets.
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08-10-23 |
Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +12.5 |
Top |
38-29 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks (Thursday) 8-UNIT BEST BET on the Elks plus the double-digit amount of points I recommend placing 85% of your normal bet size on the Elks pre flop (before the game starts) and is currently offered at 12 points and then add the remaining 15% if the Blue Bombers score first during the first half of action. Betting on winless teams that are coming off a horrid game scoring nine or fewer points have gone 6-9 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% covering the spread by an average of 6.7 PPG.
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08-10-23 |
Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
Thursday – Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox 8-Unit best bet on the Red Sox using the -1.5-run line currently with -125 juice. Start Time is 7:10 PM EST. Consider splitting this 8-Unit amount into two parts consisting of a 6-Unit amount using the -1.5-run line and then add a 2-Unit amount on the -1.5-run line if the Red Sox fall behind at any point during the first three innings of action. Betting on home teams using the -1.5-run line that has an on-base-percentage of 0.260or lower spanning their last three games and with their bullpen struggling to an ERA of 7.00 or worse over their last 10 games has produced an outstanding 50-26-1 record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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08-10-23 |
Lynx -2 v. Fever |
Top |
73-91 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Thursday: Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever 8-Unit best bet on the Lynx minus the points Betting on road favorites in matchup of faster than average pace with both teams coming into the game averaging 62 or more shots per game, after game number 20 has been played and with our road favorite coming off a game in which they made 50% or more of their shot attempts has produced a 67-27-2 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets since 2011. This algorithm betting system has never had a losing record season.
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08-10-23 |
Texans v. Patriots +3.5 |
Top |
20-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
New England Patriots vs Houston Texans August 10, 2023 | 10-Unit Best Bet on the Patriots plus the three points and this bet is valid if the Patriots remain an underdog of not greater than 6.5 points Betting on NFLX dogs between one and 6.5 points that are form the AFC Conference and facing a team from the AFC South have earned an outstanding 38-17-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since 2004 or 20 years. It has not lost, though, since 2016, going a remarkable 16-0 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 9.81 points-per-game.
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08-01-23 |
Dream +14 v. Aces |
Top |
72-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces
10-Unit best bet on Atlanta Dream plus the double-digit of points over the Aces. Betting on a road team that played Over the total by 18 or more points in each of their two previous games in games played from May 1 to the end of the regular season has earned a 17-17 record, 22-11-1 ATS for 67% winning bets, and a solid 21-13 Over-Under record for 62%. If our road dog is priced at 6 or more points, they have gone just 3-9 SU, but 9-2-1 ATS for 82% winning bets and 8-4 Over for 67%. I four road dog is priced at any size dog and the total is at least 165 points, their record has gone 3-5 SU and 6-2 ATS and 7-1 Over-Under for 88% cashed tickets. Last, if our road dog played Over the total by 20 or more points in each of their last two games, they have produced a 3-8 SU record and 8-2-1 ATS mark good for 80% cashed tickets.
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08-01-23 |
Mets v. Royals +136 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
136 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
Tuesday – Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
The Astros are an 8-Unit best bet using the run line over the Guardians. The recommended strategy is to place 6-unit son the run line and then add 2-units using the money line if the Guardians score first during the first three innings of this game.
Betting on home favorites in a non-divisional clash that have scored 25 or more runs over their last three games and with a total between seven and nine runs and the game is NOT the last game of a series has earned a 64-17 ML record (79%) averaging a -200 wager and earning a 24% ROI and a 52-29 record for 64% averaging a 105 wager on the -1.5 run line and earning a 25% ROI since 2011.
Bet the Astros as an 8-Unit best bet Tuesday night using the run line. Kansas City vs NY Mets Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets (This play has been upgraded to an 8-Unit from the 5-Unit play released yesterday) 8-UNIT BEST BET on the Kansas City Royals using the money line.I recommend placing 85% of your normal bet size on the Royals pre flop (before the game starts) and then add the remaining 15% at any point over the first three innings that the Royals are trailing. This means adding at that moment, not when the ½ inning concludes, that the Mets take the lead in the first three innings. Betting on teams that are coming off a three-game sweep against a divisional foe and now playing in an inter-league game have gone a quite impressive 46-11 averaging a +105 wager and earning a 52% ROI over the last five seasons.
Betting on all underdogs of +140 or more that is starting a pitcher in poor form sporting an ERA of 7 or higher over his last five starts and taking on a foe that is allowing an average of just 4.5 or more RPG has earned a solid 45-35 record averaging a +171 wager and earning a 35% ROI over the last five seasons. The veteran and seemingly ageless Zack Greinke will be on the hill for the Royals tonight.
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08-01-23 |
Reds v. Cubs -159 |
Top |
9-20 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 8-Unit best bet on the Chicago Cubs using the money line.
Let’s get right into the numbers. The following betting also has produced a 92-41 record averaging a -161 wager and earning a solid 21% ROI in games played over the last five seasons. The requirements to get a qualified betting opportunity are to bet on home favorites in the month of August that are facing a divisional foe and with that foe starting a pitcher with a solid season-to-date WHIP of 1.25 or lower.
If our foe has a winning record the system record soars to a remarkable 29-11 averaging a -153 wager and earning a 24% ROI.
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07-27-23 |
Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 |
Top |
10-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Thursday Night Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals 10-Unit best bet on the UNDER
Betting the Under in game with a total of 9 or 9.5 runs and with the home team evening a road loss priced as the favorite has earned a solid 67-32-7 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game is a matchup of divisional foes, the Under has posted a 28-13-3 record for 68% winning bets and if the game occurs after game numb er 81, the Under has gone 15-5-3 for 75% winning bets.
The Cubs have bounced back and are finally just one-game under 0.400 and revised their playoff hopes. They have scored 6.6 RPG and batted 0.292 over their past seven games and are prone to regression in this game tonight. The Cardinals are playing better too, scoring 5.7 RPG and batting 0.270 over their last seven games and also are prone to regression tonight. Cubs skipper Ross is 22-10 Under when on a four or more-game win streak. Cardinals skipper Marmot is 37-15-1 Under after having played five or more road games.
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07-25-23 |
Mets v. Yankees OVER 8.5 |
Top |
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
New York Mets vs New York Yankees 8-Unit best bet Over the posted total of 8.5 runs
A Highly Profitable Situational Betting System The following betting system has earned a 38-24-3 Over record good for 61% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet the Over with an AL team that is scoring between 4.3 and 4.6 RPG and is starting a pitcher with solid control sporting a WHIP of 1.200 and facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower. Two of the most disappointing teams square off in the Bronx when the Yankees host the Mets. The Yankees have won three straight games, but are tied for last place in the AL East division standings trailing the Baltimore Orioles by nine games. The Mets are second-to-last in the NL East standings and possess a losing record on the season despite their owner spending $800MM dollars in off-season contracts resulting in a 2023 payroll of $365MM. Justin Verlander is the starter tonight for the Mets and he may be making an audition for those teams looking to acquire a veteran starter with a monster contract too. The Mets are 6 games under .500 and trail the first place Atlanta Braves by a whopping 18.5 games in the NL East race.
How ironic that the last time the Subway Series last arrived in the Bronx on Aug. 22, the New York Mets and New York Yankees were division leaders and a combined 61 games over .500, resulting in buzz about the possibility of the intracity rivals meeting in the World Series. The Yanks are 2.5 games out of a possible wild card berth and with the trading deadline looming, it will be quite interesting to see if they do become buyers in the market and specifically go after Ohtani. Player Prop Bets Bet German Over 2.5 earned runs allowed -120 Bet Verlander Over 2.5 earned runs allowed -110
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07-23-23 |
Dodgers -113 v. Rangers |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-113 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
The Dodgers Are Who We Thought They Are Despite the large number of injuries to the Dodger’s pitching staff, they are taking control of the NL West Division race. They are 17 games over .500 with a 57-40 record and have stretched their division-leading lead to four games over the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants. The Dodgers have won 69% of their games played in July ranking third-best behind the surging Boston Red Sox (73%) and Milwaukee Brewers (71%). Even more impressive is that the Dodgers have won road series against the first-place Baltimore Orioles and now the first-place Texas Rangers that concludes a 9-game road trip today. The Dodgers starting rotation includes names no one expected to see lumped together this season. Bobby Miller started Saturday’s 16-3 blowout win over the Rangers and completed six innings allowing three earned runs for a quality start. In 10 starts, Miller is 6-1 with a 4.28 ERA allowing 49 hits, 16 walks, and striking out 53 batters spanning 54 2/3 innings of work. Sunday’s starter is scheduled to be Emmet Sheehan, who is 3-0 in five starts with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.169 WHIP including 11 walks and 18 strikeouts spanning 25 2/3 innings of work. He has a 95 MPH fastball, 87 MPH slider, and a 82 MPH changeup used against left-handed batters. He throws the fastball 65% of all pitches and you can expect the Rangers lineup to be looking at attacking that first pitch offering. Sheehan may get into trouble early, but the Dodgers bullpen has been expectational posting a 1.03 ERA and a 0.949 WHIP spanning 26 1/3 innings of work over their last seven games. Their best relievers are all available today having needed none of them in yesterday’s blowout win. The Rangers will send left-hander Martin Perez to the hill to make his 19th start of the season. He has posted a mediocre 4.84 ERA and 1.500 WHIP with 36 walks and 62 strikeouts spanning 96 2/3 innings of work. However, he has struggled in his three most recent starts posting an 8.03 ERA and a 1.865 WHIP including eight walks and just six strikeouts over 12 1/3 innings of work. He will be making his ninth day start of the season and has posted a terrible 7.54 ERA and a 1.865 WHIP with 15 walks and 19 strikeouts over 37 innings of work. The Rangers and Dodgers rank first and second respective in scoring offense at 5.78 RPG and 5.71 RPG on the season. Both starters may not even make it into the fifth inning and for that reason I like the Dodgers will the monumentally better bullpen in this matchup.
A Highly Profitable Situational Betting System The following situational betting system has earned a 43-30 record for 59% winning bets that have averaged a +118 wager for a 24% ROI in bets made over the past five seasons. The requirements are to be on NL road teams that are averaging at least 4.5 RPG on the season and facing a foe from the AL that is scoring at least 5.4 RPG. Drilling down a bit further, if the game is the last game of the series, the road teams have gone 16-10 for 62% winning tickets averaging a +114 wager and earning highly profitable 28% ROI in games bet over the past five seasons.
Player Prop Bets Bet Under Martin Perez 1.5 outs records -115 at BetMGM
Bet Martin Perez Over 2.5 walks allowed +127 at Caesars Bet Max Muncy to hit a home run +310 at PointsBet Bet Chris Taylor Over 0.5 RBI +195 at BetMGM
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07-18-23 |
Padres -126 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
9-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
10-UNIT Best Bet on the San Diego Padres using the money line when take on the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday.
Let’s get right to the powerful and highly profitable analytics that support this 10-Unit play produced by the predictive models. Betting on a NL team in an inter-league matchup that has a starter on the hill has made six consecutive quality starts and is priced between a -125 favorite and a 125 underdog has earned a solid 30-23 record (57%) averaging a -103 wager and earning a 14% ROI over the past 18 seasons. If our NL team is on a tow or more-game losing streak (padres are on a current 3-game losing streak) the record soars to 9-3 for 75% averaging a +104 dog and earning a 54% ROI. If our team is on the road no matter what the pricing is in the market, our teams has gone an amazing 11-1 averaging a +115 wager and earning a highly profitable 92% ROI.
Betting on any team that is starting a pitcher in excellent form posting a WHIP of lower than 1.000 spanning his last five starts and taking on a foe that has batted 0.350 or better over their last three games has earned a 21-11 record (66%) averaging a -120 wager and earning a solid 17% ROI over the past five seasons. If the game is played after the all-star break the record improves to a quite impressive 9-2 (82%) averaging a -125 wager and earning a 44% ROI over the past five seasons.
Joe Musgrove has been one of the best starters in baseball especially over the past several weeks. Since May 26, Musgrove has gone 7-0 in nine starts, allowing just 11 earned runs, two home runs, 8 walks, and 54 strikeouts spanning 55 1/3 innings of work. Over his last three starts he has posted a 1.42 ERA and a 0.789 WHIP including two walks and 24 strikeouts spanning 19 innings of work. His spin rates for all his pitches are at elite levels, which makes it nearly impossible for any hitter to identify the pitch thrown. He ranks second among starters that have had a minimum of 200 batted ball events with a 30.5% hard-hit percentage, 4th with a 10.9% swing percentage, third allowing just 68 batters to hit the ball with an exit velocity of 95 or more-MPH, and second posting a 90% fly ball to line drive ratio.
The Blue Jays will have Alek Manoah on the hill and he is not in good form by an type of analysis sporting a 7.84 ERA and a 1.839 WHIP spanning just 10 1/3 innings of work. However, he is coming off his first start since June 5 in which he wen t six innings allowing an earned run on five hits with eight strikeouts. Despite this solid outing, he is not at Musgrove’s elite level of pitching and the Padres bats are expected to get to him early and often. Manoah is 4-9 losing 11 units on the money line in home games when the total has been between 8.5 and 10 runs in starts made over the past two seasons.
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07-17-23 |
Dodgers v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
Monday – Dodgers vs Orioles Under 9.5 runs.
Betting the Under in a game with a total of 8.5 or fewer runs and with a one of the teams (Dodgers) averaging four or more walks per game and following two straight games in which they allowed three or fewer in each game has earned a 119-66-5 record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. Moreover, it has produced profits in nine of the past 10 seasons. Orioles are 41-25 Under when facing a NL foe that si scoring at least 4.5 RPG in games played in the second half of the season over the past 25 seasons. The Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding posting a 1.61 ERA and a 0.965 WHIP over their past seven games. The Orioles have been quite goods too, sporting a 2.25 ERA and a 1.149 WHIP over their last seven games
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07-13-23 |
Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +1 |
Top |
37-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
Hamilton vs Edmonton (CFL) 8-Unit best bet on Edmonton plus the 1.5 points or the money line when they take on Hasmilton tonight in CFL action. Betting on underdogs that are coming off a loss of seven or fewer points to a divisional rival and is now facing a foe that is coming off an upset win has earned an outstanding 38-15-1 ATS for 72% winners over the past 10 seasons. A second system has gone 12-12 SU on the money line and 16-8-1 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet on underdogs in July that are facing a foe coming off a win over a divisional foe. From the predictive models, we are expecting Edmonton to score at least 21 points and have fewer turnovers than the Tiger Cats. In past home games when they have achieved this has sent to a highly profitable 37-3 SU record for 93% wins and 31-9 ATS for 78% winning bets.
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07-09-23 |
Dream v. Sky UNDER 167.5 |
Top |
88-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
WNBA: Atlanta Dream vs Chicago Sky 8-Unit best bet on the Under, currently priced at 169.5 points and is valid down to and including 167.5 points.
Betting the Under in a game with a total of at least 140 points and with the home team revenging two consecutive double-digit losses to the current opponent and has won between 140 and 49% of their games in the current season has earned an outstanding 29-13-2 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total is 167.5 or more points, the Under record soars to 7-2 for 78% winning bets.
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07-09-23 |
Montreal v. BC OVER 45.5 |
Top |
19-35 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
Montreal vs British Columbia 8-Unit best bet OVER the posted total.
From the predictive models, we are expecting Montreal to score at least 28 points. In past road games when they have, has seen the Over go 39-8 for 83% winning bets. When the BC Lions have allowed 28 or more points in a home game has seen the Over produce a 38-12 record from 76% winning bets.
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07-09-23 |
Braves v. Rays OVER 8.5 |
Top |
4-10 |
Win
|
105 |
2 h 20 m |
Show
|
8-UNIT Best Bet OVER the total when the Atlanta Braves take on the Tampa Bay Rays, Sunday. 2-Unit best bet (Optional) Over the Rays team total The Rays are still the second-best-record team in all of MLB despite losing seven consecutive games. Favorites after game number 81 of the regular season, who are at least 15-games over 500 and enduring a 6 or more-game losing streak have seen the Over go 14-9 for 61% winners since 2008. If they are 20 or more games over 500, the Over has improved to 9-4 fort 69% winning bets. The Rays have scored just 18 runs during the 7-game losing streak and six of those game in one game. Teams that have won at least 60% of their games, have scored just 18 or fewer runs over their last seven games and are now priced as the favorite in a game with a total of 8.5 or more runs has seen the OVER go 11-5 for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
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07-06-23 |
Orioles -117 v. Yankees |
Top |
14-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
10-Unit best bet on the Baltimore Orioles using the money line when take on the New York Yankees Thursday with the first pitch set for 7:05 PM EST. Despite playing in the early evening, the weather temps will be just off the highs of the days in the region. I like playing this 10-Unit best bet using 7.5-units or 75% of your 10-Unit betting amount on the money line preflop and then look to add 25% more using the money line if the Yankees score first during the first three innings only. Also, make that second bet if it presents itself at the end of the inning given that the Yankees are the home team.
The Yankees will have Luis Severino on the hill and he is coming off a dreadful start allowing 9 runs, 7 ER including two home runs in just four innings of work in an 11-4 loss to the last place St. Louis Cardinals. Moreover, Severino is just 10-25 losing 17 units per unit wagered in games where he has been priced between a 125 dog and 125 favorite. None of the stat cast measures have been favorable for Severino this season. He has walked 9.5% of the batters faced while striking out just 18%. Batters have averaged a 90.5 MPH exit velocity on batted balls in play and 46% of them have been measured as hard-hit types. Last, he is getting just 20% whiffs on all his pitches throws.
The Orioles will have Kyle Bradish on the hill and he has excellent control of all pitches and can throw fastball, sinker, slider, and curve balls at any point during an at-bat. In fact, he uses the slider the most at 30% of pitches thrown. His curve has elite spin rates and makes it impossible for any hitter to identify and the result is that 23% of pitches thrown to right-handed batters seen chasing it out of the strike zone.
He is coming off an excellent start against the Minnesota Twins and completed six innings allowing one ER on seven hits with one walks and seven strikeouts on 94 pitches. Despite being a RH starter, he threw 11 curve balls to LH batters and not one batter made contact. His average spin rate was 2675 RPM, which is truly elite at the MLB level.
So, betting on road teams (Orioles) in the second half of the regular season that have won two or fewer of their last 8 games, in a matchup of winning record teams and are favored between -100 and -140 using the money line has earned a highly profitable 11-5 record fort 69% averaging a -111 wager and earning a highly profitable 33% ROI.
The Orioles are 7-3 earning a 35% ROI coming off a game in which they scored in only two innings, but both innings were multiple-run innings. From my predictive models, the Orioles are 8-0 averaging a -140 wager as a road favorite and had two or more multiple run innings.
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07-05-23 |
Mariners v. Giants OVER 8 |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
8-Unit Best bet on the Over in the finale of the inter-league matchup between the Seattle Mariners and San Francisco Giants. Betting the OVER with a AL team that is scoring 4.3 to 4.6 RPG and is starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.200 or lower and is facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with a 3.75 or lower ERA has earned a 36-22-3 record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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07-05-23 |
Fever v. Lynx -1.5 |
Top |
83-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
WNBA: Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever 8-Unit best bet on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points. Betting on teams that are revenging a hoe loss to the current opponent and are also coming off an upset win against a conference foe have earned a 23-8-2 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.
The Lynx are in third place in the Western Conference with a 7-9 record while the Fever is in last place in the Eastern Conference with a 5-11 SU record. The Fever are on a four-game losing streak and have failed to cover the spread in the last two games. The Lynx have won four of their last five games and are riding a current three-game SUATS win streak.
The predictive models expect the Lynx to score at least 80 points, make 43% or more of their shot attempts and get at least 10 offensive boards and in past games when they have met these performance measures in a home game has seen them go 61-4 SU and 50-14-1 ATS for 78% winning bets.
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07-05-23 |
Braves v. Guardians OVER 10 |
Top |
8-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
8-Unit best bet on the OVER in the Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians matchup. We got the win yesterday in extra innings with the Guardians winning a dramatic walk-off win. Bet the Over in a game in which the home team won the previous game in walk-off fashion and now playing the last game of their series and priced as a dog between 135 and 160 has earned a 44-22-5 record for 67% winning bets. Despite the loss the Braves continue to hit well and on any given day any of the batters in the starting lineup can step up and hit big shots and run scoring extra-base hits. The Braves have hit more home runs in 23 games then the Guardians have hit in 84 games. The Braves have hit at least one home run in each of their last 20 games, which is the longest streak they have enjoyed since 2006 (23 games) and is second in MLB thi season to the Rays, who started out the season with 22 straight games. Over the past two seasons, the Braves have seen the OVER go 26-12-1 in road games after having won five or six of their last seven games spanning the past two seasons.
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07-05-23 |
Phillies +114 v. Rays |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
114 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
8-Unit best bet on the Philadelphia Phillies using the money line when they take on the Tampa Bay Rays The Phillies are on a league-high 10-game road winning streak and will look to extend that streak with one of the hottest starters in all of MLB on the hill. Taijuan Walker has come into top form. In the six starts made in June, Walker posted a 5-1 record with a 1.50 ERA, allowing six runs, allowing 22 hits and two home runs while striking out 34 batters in 36 innings of work. Moreover, the Phillies bullpen has been outstanding posting a 0.00 ERA and 0.571 WHIP over their previous seven games. The Phillies offense is batting 0.276 and scoring 6.1 RPG over their previous seven games. Betting on NL road teams that are scoring 4.5 or more RPG and facing a host from the AL that is scoring 5.4 or more RPG has gone 38-28 for 68% averaging a +117 wager and earning a highly profitable 23% ROI over the past five seasons.
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06-29-23 |
Marlins v. Red Sox OVER 9 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
10-Unit best bet OVER the total, currently priced at 9 runs and is valid at any price you are offered when the Boston Red Sox take on the Miami Marlins set to start at 6:40 PM EST, Thursday. I also like a run getting scored in the first inning using a pizza money sized bet. Red Sox are 11-5 that a run is scored in the first inning the past two seasons following a loss and now priced as a favorite of no more than -150.
Let us start with a betting system that has done quite well producing a 47-30-3 for 61% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet the OVER in an inter-league game in which one of the teams (Red Sox) is averaging 4.4 to 4.95 RPG and is starting a pitcher that has posted a WHIP of 1.200 or lower and facing a foe whose starter has posted a 3.70 or lower ERA. If the total is between 9 and 10.5 runs, the record improves to 14-4-1 for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons. Jesus Lazardo is starting for the Marlins and is 6-5 in 16 starts posting a 3.77 ERA and a 1.191 WHIP including 23 walks and 103 strikeouts spanning 90 2/3 innings of work. This will be his 7th start on turf where he has been a not-so-good 3-3 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.517 WHIP including seven home runs allowed. Seven of his 11 home runs allowed have come when he started on grass this season. The Red Sox will have Brayan Bello on the hill and has been quite good over his last three starts posting a 1.74 ERA and a 0.919 WHIP. In seven home starts the Over has gone 5-2 this season. The Sox are 8-3 Over this season in home games following a home game that played Under. The Marlins are 5-2 Over when they have played Under in four or more of their previous games in an inter-league matchup this season. They are also 21-12 Over following two straight road games this season.
From the predictive models, we are expect both teams to have at least one multiple-run inning. In previous home games at Fenway, the Red Sox are 46-17-1 (73%) when they and their foe had at least one MRI in games played over the past two seasons. In road games, the Marlins have seen the OVER produce an exceptional 35-12 for 75% winning bets over the past two seasons.
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06-27-23 |
Twins v. Braves OVER 9 |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
8-Unit best bet on the OVER in the Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves matchup starting Tuesday. Betting the OVER with a NL team that is scoring between 4.3 and 4.6 RPG and starting apitcher with a 1.200 or lower WHIP and facing an AL team starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower has earned a solid 36-20-3 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. Since 2016, there has been just one losing record season and that was in 2018 when it went 5-6, which is barely losing.
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06-27-23 |
Reds v. Orioles OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
Orioles vs Reds OVER for 8-UNITS Betting the OVER with an NL team that is averaging 4.4 to 4.9 RPG and is starting a pitcher with a season-to-date WHIP of 1.200 or lower and facing an AL team that is starting a pitcher with a 3.70 or lower ERA has earned a 47-28-3 record for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these situations has been 9 or more runs, the OVER is a sparkling money-making 15-4-1 for 79% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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06-25-23 |
Nationals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
Washington vs San Diego 8-Unit Best Bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under with a total of 8.5 or more runs and with a team (Padres) averaging four or more walks per game and has allowed three or fewer runs in each of the past two games has earned a solid 118-63-5 record for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. This system has had profitable seasons in every one of the past five seasons. Now, if the game is the last game of any series, the Under has gone 36-15-3 for 71% winning bets.
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06-25-23 |
Mets v. Phillies -163 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line 1-unit bet that Kyle Schwarber will hit a home run
This betting opportunity is reinforced by a gross mismatch of starting pitchers, The Mets will send Carlos Carrasco to the hill to make his 10th start and he has posted a 6.34 ERA and a 1.545 WHIP including 21 walks and 28 strikeouts in only 44 innings of work. This will be his sixth day start of the season and in his previous five days starts he has posted a horrid 8.43 ERA and a 1.828 WHIP with more walks (14) than strikeouts (13).
Even though the Phillies have a higher-than-average chase rate of pitches thrown out of the strike zone you can be sure that they will be selective on every first pitch delivery. For instance, right-handed batters will be shrinking the strike zone to only pitches that are thrown middle-in to them. That location is the best hot zone for RH batters. For left-handed batters like Kye Schwarber any pitch throw over the inner third and just above the knees is going to hit with an exit velocity around 110 MPH. Moreover, Schwarber has a great batting eye as evidenced by his 0.323 OBP percentage.
Zack Wheeler will be on the hill for the Phillies and he is 6-4 in 15 starts with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.114 WHIP including 20 walks and 98 strikeouts spanning 88 innings of work. He has pitched remarkably well over his last three starts posting a remarkable 0.47 ERA and a 0.776 WHIP including four walks and 19 strikeouts spanning 19 1/34 innings of work.
Wheeler is a traditional 3-pitch power starter with an excellent fastball that has late-breaking arm-side movement with heavy sinking action averaging 96 MPH. What makes his fastball one of the best in MLB is that he averages a very tight and high spin rate of 2450 RPM. His slider averages 91 MPH and even higher spin rate at 2550 RPM. Then he will throw a curve with one of the highest spin rates in MLB at 2700 RPM. The spin rates are so high that it makes it nearly impossible for the batter to identify the pitch thrown. If the ‘red dot’ that can be seen on below average curve balls is invisible with Wheeler’s curve ball offerings. Moreover, just 4.5% of all pitches thrown have found the barrel of the bat this season.
Phillies skipper Thomson is 50-18 when facing a team that is averaging 2.75 or fewer extra-base hits per game and 9-3 in the 2023 season.
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06-25-23 |
Twins -133 v. Tigers |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
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Minnesota vs Detroit 8-Unit best bet on the Minnesota Twins using the money line to defeat the Detroit Tigers Sunday. The AL Central is a mishmash of five struggling teams with the Twins leading with an even 39-39 record and the only team that has outscored their opponents. Four of the five teams are within six games of each other and will have to decide in the next few weeks if they are going to be buyers or sellers ahead of the trading deadline. The Boston Red Sox are last in the AL East division, but would be leading the AL Central division.
The following betting system has earned an outstanding 120-43 record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Requirements are to be on: AL favorites between –125 and –175 The favorite has an OBP of 0.320 or lower The favorite is starting a pitcher who did not walk a batter in his last start The foe has a solid bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.30 or lower.
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06-17-23 |
Reds +107 v. Astros |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
107 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
10-UNIT Best Bet on the Cincinnati Reds to defeat the Houston Astros using the money line. The Reds will start Hunter Greene, who is making his 14th start and has posted a 2.08 ERA and 0.866 WHIP including 28 strikeouts over the past three starts spanning 17 1/3 innings of work. He has struck out an amazing 33% of the batters faced using a dominating 99 MPH fastball that has significant arm-side movement. He is a traditional three-pitch power pitcher with an elite 88 MPH slider and 91 MPH changeup. His fastball is extremely tight spinning averaging a 2350 spin rate, which is the same spin rate most starters get on their curve balls – not their fastballs. He works ahead in the count and batters swing 67% of the time on his first pitch offering. Overall, batters have whiffed on 32% of his pitches this season. Reds skipper Bell is 20-12 making 15 units when facing AL teams allowing fewer than 4 RPG. The Reds are 14-9 for a 29% ROI when facing a left-handed starter this season. They are hammering left-handed starters batting 0.285 with a 0.l354 OBP and scoring 5.4 RPG. The Red's bullpen has come together recently and has posted a 3.29 ERA over their last seven games. Astros are batting just 0.235 with a terrible 0.293 OBP and scoring only 4.1 RPG when facing right-handed starters this season.
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06-12-23 |
Marlins v. Mariners OVER 7.5 |
Top |
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners 10-UNIT BEST BET Over the posted total We have a situational betting system that has done quite well posting a solid 34-18-3 record good for 65% winning bets and earning a 27% ROI since 2019. The requirements are to be the Over with an AL team scoring between 4.3 and 4.6 RPG and is starting a pitcher with solid control posting a 1.200 or lower WHIP and facing an NL foe that is starting a pitcher with a 3.70 or lower ERA. Drilling down a bit further if the foe (Marlins) is coming off an OVER result, the OVER in the current game has gone 17-7-2 for 71% winning bets since 2019. Bryce Miller will be on the hill for the Mariners and he has been shelled over his last three starts posting a 10.38 ERA and a 1.846 WHIP and averaging just 4 1/3 innings per start. In his most recent start, he went 2 2/3 innings allowing seven earned runs in a 12-3 loss to the Yankees. In his second to last start, he completed 4 2/3 innings and allowed eight earned runs in a loss to the Texas Rangers. The Marlins are playing their best baseball of this season and their best in many seasons. They are 7 games over .500 and have won nine of their last 11 games and riding a two-game win streak. During these 11 games, they are averaging 5.36 RPG. The Seattle bullpen is also struggling recently and has posted a terrible 6.75 ERA and 1.637 WHIP including 33 hits, 6 HR, and 15 BB spanning 29 1/3 innings of work. From my predictive models, we expect both starters to combine for 11 or fewer innings of work and for the two teams to have a combined 2 or more innings in which they scored multiple runs. Over the past three seasons, the Marlins are 119-38-9 OVER for 76% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these measures. Similarly, the Mariners are 141-39-8 OVER for 78% winning bets.
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06-10-23 |
Dodgers v. Phillies +101 |
Top |
9-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
Los Angeles vs Philadelphia 8-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line The Phillies were on a frive game losing streak and 7-games under .500 with the season at stake and suddenly they have won six straight games. Last night they took the first of a 3-gamne series against the Dodgers and will Aaron Nola on the hill today. He haqd a no-hitter going into the 8th inning in his last start walking three batters and striking out 12. He is in top form and expect him to complete at least 6 innings and allow three or fewer earned runs. The Phillies are 13-6 over the past two seasons in home games and facing a NL starting pitcher that has an ERA of 2.75 or lower on the season. Dodgers are just 4-12 when on the road and having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games spanning the past three seasons.
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06-10-23 |
Diamondbacks v. Tigers +115 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
Arizona vs Detroit 8-Unit Bet on the Detroit Tigers using the money line Betting on home teams in a game priced between a –120 favorite and a 120 underdog that is starting a pitcher that averages five or fewer innings per start and has an anemic offense averaging 3.75 or fewer RPG on the season has earned a highly profitable 56-35 record for 62% and earning a 24% ROI spanning the past five seasons. If involving an inter-league matchup the record improves to an impressive 8-2 mark for 80% winners and earning a 60% ROI spanning the past five seasons.
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06-07-23 |
Royals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 23 m |
Show
|
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres (Wednesday) 8-Unit Best Bet Over ther posted total This is on eof the thirty-three betting situations that comprise the fully automated and 100% OBJECTIVE betting portfolio that has been selling for just $99.00 for the rest of the MLB season and since you are already a subscriber, I will take off another $20 bucks today only and the cost to you is a paltry $79.00 for all of baseball to the all-star break! Betting the Over with an AL team that is scoring between 4.3 and 4./6 RPG on the season and is starting pitcher with excellent control posting a season-to-date WHIP of 1.200 or lower and facing an NL foe that is starting a pitcher that has posted a solid 3.70 or lower ERA on the season has gone 33-18-3 over the past five seasons and earning an excellent 27% ROI. If the game is not the first game of a series, the Over has produced a 25-10-2 record for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive models we are expecting the Mariners and Padres to each have at least one multiple-run inning and for the starters to combine for fewer than 11 innings of work, In past road games, the Over is 156-24-3 for 87% winning bets when the Mariners have met these performance measures and in home games, the Padres are 128-21-5 Over for 86% winning bets.
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06-04-23 |
A's v. Marlins OVER 7.5 |
Top |
5-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
Okland vs Miami 10-Unit best bet OVER the Total There are many statistical aberrations each MLB season that moves the market and value of the teams that offer highly profitable betting opportunities. The A’s have been outscored by 210 runs on the season, scoring an anemic 201 runs while allowing 411 runs. The following betting system exploits specific opportunties betting against these teams in games played in June. The system supports bets on the Overs and has earned a 10-4-1 record for 71.4% winning bets. The requirements are to bet the Over with a team that is favored by no more than –195 on the money line and facing a foe that has been outscored by 150 or more runs with the game played in the month of June. The Starting Pitchers in this Matchup The Marlins will have their ace, Sandy Alcantara, on the hill, and has struggled mightily this season. He threw an enormous number of pitches over the past two seasons and has the most complete games of any other starter in MLB. He has posted a 2-5 record in 11 starts with a terrible 5.06 ERA and a 1.269 WHIP including 25 walks and 60 strikeouts spanning 69 1/3 innings of work. Since pitching a complete game 9-0 shutout against Minnesota on April 4, he has allowed two earned runs in nine consecutive starts. Alcantara maintains an electric fastball that ranks in the 95th percentile of all starters, but the movement and spin rates are down from his average amounts this season. This is reflected in the fact that he is allowing a 41% hard hit percentage, which is the highest since his rookie season. Don’t ever forget that the A’s despite having just 12 wins have MLB caliber players on their roster. They would not be at this level or even Triple-A ball if they were not talented players. So, I do see the A’s scoring a few runs today facing Alcantara. Paul Blackburn will be on the hill for the A’s and making his second start of the season. He was the starting pitcher in the A’s 7-2 win over the Braves. His fastball averages 91 MPH and has an array of other pitches that keep batters on their toes. My take is to watch the first inning or two and look for the Marlins to be looking to take his offerings to the opposite field. If they are, and there is no score at the end of the first inning, then adding an additional bet on the Over using the money line is an exceptional opportunity. The Betting Strategy for this Game My plan is to bet 60% preflop Over the posted total currently offered at 7.5 runs paying –115 vig by FanDuel. If the first inning is scoreless then the total will drop to 7 or preferably 6.5 runs. I will add 20% more at a price of 6.5 runs. Then if the scoring continues to be anemic and we will get a chance to bet Over 5.5 runs at any point during the first five innings. If the scoring erupts., then we will not get the 20% remaining bet placed, but we will have 80% placed at exceptional price levels. Player Props I am Betting Pizza Money On When I mention a pizza money bet, it is just that, betting the cost of a single pizza $15 to $25 depending on how toppings you may like on your pizza. Points is these are small bets, but ones that will add to your total profits over the course of the season. Bet Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 earned runs allowed +127 at Caesars Bet Luis Arraez Over 1.5 hits +150 at DraftKings Bet Jesus Sanchez to hit a home run +475 at DraftKings Bet A’s Seth Brown to record an RBI +185 at BetRivers
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05-31-23 |
Yankees +130 v. Mariners |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners 10-Unit Best Bet on the Yankees using the money line Yes, this is a powerful dog we have in place for the 10-Unit best bet. A strategy I like and have done may times already this season is to be 7-units on the money line preflop and then look for Seattle to score first and then add the remaining 30% using the money line or in this case since it is a dog, using the +1.5-run line. If the game is 0-0 through five innings, then just keep the 70% amount in place. Betting on any AL team that is batting no better than 0.260 for the season and has scored seven or more runs in three consecutive games has earned a highly profitable 154-94 averaging a –103 wager and earning a 17.25% ROI since the start of the 2004 season. If our team is priced as the dog, the record improves to 54-46 averaging a +139 wager and earning a 26% ROI. Moreover, if our dog is priced between 125 and 175 on the money line, they get even better producing a 26-15 record averaging a +151 wager and earning a 59% ROI. The Dime bettor has made $67,200 betting on this situational system and has not had a losing season ever. Here is a second situational betting system that has earned a 58-25 record averaging a +142 wager and earning an outstanding 33% ROI. The requirements are to bet on road dogs between 125 and 175 that is facing a starter in solid form posting a WHIP of 1.100 or lower spanning his last ten starts and has posted as 1.100 or better WHIP for the current season.
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05-28-23 |
Lynx v. Aces OVER 169.5 |
Top |
73-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs Las Vegas WNBA 8-Unit Best bet on the OVER From the predictive models, the Aces is expected to score 84 or more points. The Aces are 74-31 in games in which they have scored 84 or more points spanning the last five seasons. When the Lynx allowed 84 or more points in a road game has produced a 47-5-1 Over record good for 90.4% winning bets spanning the past five seasons. Betting the Over in a matchup in which the road team is coming off a loss to a divisional foe while the host is coming off a win over a divisional foe and with a total of at least 140 points has earned a highly profitable 40-15-3 Over record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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05-23-23 |
A's +220 v. Mariners |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
Oakland A’s vs Seattle Mariners 8-Unit best bet on the A’s using the money line. You can also reduce the risk to a 6-Unit bet to account for the 200 money line wager. These huge dogs have done quite well over the course of a season-spanning the last 10 seasons, so even if this one loses, we know to keep playing on them when they are active as defined by the following system. Betting on dogs of 165 and higher that have played five consecutive games getting 9 or fewer hits in each of the five games, and are averaging just 2.75 or fewer extra-base hits per game has produced a 71-109 record for 39% winning tickets, but by averaging a 2-3 underdog bet has earned a highly profitable 18.7% ROI.
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05-23-23 |
Celtics v. Heat OVER 215.5 |
Top |
116-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 58 m |
Show
|
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 10-Unit best bet on the OVER The Celtics gave up. Period. They scored 63 points through three quarters. A team with a high payroll and those high-priced players had no chance of containing FOUR undrafted Heat players. So, just five days ago, a franchise picked as heavy favorites to advance to the NBA Finals, and now a franchise in chaos. Blame will be assigned to many within the organization and players and moves and firings will take place. Jaylen Brown, who is just 2-for20 from beyond the arc in the first three games of this series will most assuredly be traded. He will command a $280MM extension and there will be many teams, the 76ers one of the leaders, that would welcome Brown with open arms to pair up with Maxey. So, the Celtic launched 98 shot attempts and made 40% of them in Game 3. The Heat took 81 shots and made 57% of them. The Celtics were outscored in the paint 52-42. The Celtics' biggest lead was three points and that occurred early in the first quarter. The Heat led by as many as 33 points in a game that Boston was highly expected to show up and get a huge dominating win. Thank goodness we were on the Heat again. So, the OVER is 12-3 for 80% in the NBA playoffs when a team (Miami) is coming off a game attempting 15 or fewer shots but making at least five or more shots. If the game is played at home, the Over has gone a perfect 8-0! From the predictive model, the Heat has seen the OVER post a 25-5 record for 83% cashed tickets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in home games spanning the past three seasons. Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money-sized bets unless otherwise noted Jimmy Butler OVER rebounds+ assists 13.5 -102 at FanDuel Jayson Tatem OVER 3.5 turnovers +110 at BetMGM Jaylen Brown OVER 33.5 PRA –120 at DraftKings Gabe Vincent OVER 16.5 PRA -110 at FanDuel
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05-23-23 |
Giants v. Twins OVER 8 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
San Francisco vs Minnesota 8-Unit best Bet OVER the posted total The same betting algorithm that applied to this game yesterday is also active again today. Betting the Over in a game with an AL foe scoring an average of 4.3 to 4.6 RPG and starting a pitcher with excellent control sporting a WHIP of 1.200 or lower, and facing a NL foe starting a pitcher with a 3.7 or lower ERA has earned a 30-15-3 record for 67% and earning a highly profitable 25% ROI over the past five seasons.
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05-23-23 |
Sun v. Mystics OVER 159 |
Top |
88-81 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
Connecticut vs Washington 8-Unit best bet on the OVER These two team squared off Sunday and was a winning 8-Unit best bet on Washington, who defeated Connecticut as a 1-point dog by the final score of 80-74. Both teams shot poorly from the field with both shooting under 40% for the game. However, the game total of 154 points was played Under by just five points (159 Total). With two games under their belts, the flow of the game will be much smoother and the game goes over the 159.5-point posted total. From my predictive models, both teams are projected to score at least 80 points each. In past games, Connecticut is 103-4-1 for 96% winning bets when they and their opponent both score 80 or more points. Washington is 100-5-1 Over in the same role. Connecticut is 138-42-2 Over with a posted total of 159 or more points and both teams scoring 75 or more points. Washington is 81-36 for 69% winners when they and their foe both score 75 or more points in games with a posted total of 159 or more points.
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05-23-23 |
White Sox +120 v. Guardians |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
120 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
CWS vs Cleveland 8-Unit best bet on the CWS using the money line Betting on road teams priced between a –125 favorite and a 125 underdog following two consecutive games leaving 6 or fewer batters on base on each game and having an overworked bullpen has thrown 13 or more innings spanning their past three games. Despite the excessive workload, the CSW pen has posted a 1.25 ERA and a 0.692 WHIP over their last seven games spanning 21 2/3 innings of work. Both teams struggle to score runs, but especially the Guardians, who are second worst only to the Oakland A’s scoring an average of 3.6 RPG and batting 0.225 on the season. They are scoring 3.6 RPG and batting a horrid 0.212 over their past seven games.
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05-19-23 |
Heat +9 v. Celtics |
Top |
111-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
Miami vs Boston 8-Unit best bet on the Heat plus the points The Boston Celtics fell apart again, this time in Game 1 holding a 12-point lead early in the third quarter only to squander the lead and fall 12 points behind at the end of the stanza. Marcus Smart had 10 assists in the first quarter, none in the second, just one in the third, and mome in the fourth. Celtics head coach failed to even call a timeout during the third quarter collapse and his inexperience really showed against one of the best veteran head coaches in the NBA in Spoelstra. Jimmy Butler is not going to let his team think they accomplished what they set out do by earning a split in the first two games. From the predictive model, we are expecting Miami to shoot better than Boston and to have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which Miami met these performance measures has earned them a 63-11 SU record, 64-10 ATS mark (87%) winning bets in road games played in the past five seasons. In road playoff games, the Heat have gone 20-0 SU and 18-2 ATS for 90%. In playoff games, the Celtics are 1-11 SUATS when not shooting better than their foe and having the worse assist-to-turnover ratio spanning the past five seasons. Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money sized bets unless otherwise noted Max Strus Over 2.5 made 3-pointers –123 at BetMGM Jimmy Butler to record a double-double +390 at DraftKings Al Horford to commit at least 1 turnover –125 at BetMGM
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05-19-23 |
Cubs v. Phillies -122 |
Top |
10-1 |
Loss |
-122 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies 10-Unit Best Bet on the Phillies using the money line, currently priced at –123. An alternative wager is to bet 7-Units money line and 3-Units -1.5 run line +150. Both of these National League clubs have had a rough stretch over the past two weeks. The Phillies have lost four straight games after winning the first two games of their recent six-game road trip. They lost the finale of the three-game series agfainst the Colorado Rockies and then were swept by the San Francisco Giants. The Cubs have lost five straight games and eight of their last 10 games. They are comig off a three game sweep to the Houston Astros in which they were outscored 20-13. During the first six games of their current nine-game road trip, ther Cubs have been outscored 47-17. The Cubs will have Marcus Stroman on the hill, who has posted a 2-4 record with a 3.24 ERA and 1.18 WHIP including 19 walks and 47 strikeouts over 50 innings pitched. The Phillies will counter with Ranger Suarez, who will be making his secod start of the season after returning from the injury list. He allowed three earned runs over four innings of work in the loss to the Coloardo Rockies. The Phillies are 19-11 in home games when on a two game losing streak averaging a –137 wager when Bryce Harper has had two or fewer hits over his two previous games played spanning the last three seasons. When Harper and fellow teammate Kyle Schwarber are coming off a game in which both had no more than a single hit, the Phillies are 24-13 averaging a –136 favorite in home games played over the past three seasons. A Highly Profitable Situational Super System The following situational super system has produced a 75-39 record for 66% winning bets averaging a –115 wager and earning a highly profitable 24% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team winning between 45 and 50% of their games that has lost four or five of their last six games and is playing a struggling team winning between 40 and 45% of their games. Drilling deeper into the data if the guest is a divisional foe the record soars to 44-16 for 73% winning tickets averaging a –117 wager and earning a 37% ROI over the past five seasons. Bet the Phillies Friday.
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05-15-23 |
Twins v. Dodgers -112 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs LA Dodgers 8-Unit best bet on the Dodgers using the money line Betting on teams that allowed two or fewer runs in each of their past two games and facing a foe coming off a slugfest in which 15 or more runs were scored has earned a 52-32 record averaging a –100 bet and earning a 17% ROI over the past five seasons. If our team ws the host, the record soars to 33-9 for a 44% ROi over the past five seasons. Dodgers are rolling coming off a 3-game sweep fi the division-rival Padres and winners of five straight games. They won in a 4-0 shutout Sunday and allowed two runs each in the first games of the series. The Twins are coming off a 16-3 destruction of the Chicago Cubs Sunday.
|
05-15-23 |
Mariners v. Red Sox +107 |
Top |
10-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
Seattle vs Boston 8-Unit best bet on Boston using the money line if priced at +100 or greater underdog. Boston is 28-9 making 19.8 units per unit wagered when facing a team from the Al West in games played over the past two seasons. Tanner Houck is on thehill for the Red Sox and is 9-1 at night starts. Boston skipper Cora is a solid 73-34 when facing a team with a slugging percentage of 0.400 or lower.
|
05-15-23 |
Angels v. Orioles +115 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles 8-Unit best bet on the Orioles using the money line The Orioles are a home dog because they are facing the amazing Shohei Ohtani, who is 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA including 66 strikeouts over 46 innings of work. In his last start, the right-hander held the reigning World Series champion Houston Astros to three runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks in seven innings in the Angels' 3-1 loss on Tuesday. However, Ohtani set a MLB record and joined Babe Ruth as the only two players to hit 100 or more home runs and strikeouts 500 or more batters. Only five current players on the Orioles roster have faced Ohtani but have batted a combined 0.500 against him. Adam Frazier has 8 at bats and four hits, Cedric Mullins is 2-for 3 with a homerun and Anthony Santander is 2-for-2 with a home run. The Orioles have the second-best record in MLB and are flying under the radar in the major media outlets. Despite striking out 17 times Sunday, they rank 9th overall averaging 8.23 strikeouts per game. Baltimore ranks 12th averaging 1.83 doubles per game while the Angels are a distant 27th averaging 1.39 per game. Doubles are mostly hit in the gaps or down the foul lines and nothing starts or keeps a multiple run inning intact then does the double. Baltimore’s bullpen is far superior to the Angles. They allow 31% of inherited runners to score. The Angels pen allows 50% ranking third worst in MLB. Betting on home teams priced between a 125 dog and –125 favorite that have won four of their last five games in the first game of a series has earned a 28-16 record for 64% and earning a highly profitable 27% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. Bet on the Baltimore Orioles using the money line.
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05-12-23 |
Warriors +3 v. Lakers |
Top |
101-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
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Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too. LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series. The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In a series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored. Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.
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05-12-23 |
Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
101-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
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Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too. LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series. The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored. Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.
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05-12-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -6 |
Top |
92-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
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Knicks vs Heat 8-Unit Best Bet on the Heat minus the points. My in-game LIVE strategy is to bet 75% on the Heat preflop and then look to add 25% more on the Heat at pick-em or better. From my predictive models, we are expecting the Heat to shoot 48% or better from the field and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games, in which the Heat met these performance measures has earned an outstanding 50-5 SU record and 45-10 ATS record for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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05-10-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -7.5 |
Top |
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
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LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the points. I like the strategy of betting 60% preflop at the current price and then looking to add 20% more at Warriors – 4.5 and Warriors –1.5 points. Betting on any team off a loss of three or fewer points to a divisional foe and with that foe having covered the spread in their last two games priced as a favorite has earned an outstanding 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. Betting on any playoff team trailing in the series 3 games to one, coming off a heart-breaking loss by three or fewer points and is now the favorite up to and including -9.5 points has earned a perfect 7-0 SUATS record. Take the Warriors
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05-05-23 |
Devils +110 v. Hurricanes |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
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NJ Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes 8-Unit best bet on the Devils using the money line Betting on road teams in the second half of the season that are revenging a road blowout loss of 4 or more goals and is a matchup of two elite teams winning between 60 and 70% of their matches has earned an outstanding 26-21record averaging a +128 dog bet and producing a 20% ROI since 2008. If a playoff game, these road warriors have earned a 10-7 record averaging +125 wager and producing a 28% ROI. Bounce back time for the Devils.
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05-05-23 |
Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 |
Top |
114-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
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Boston vs Philadelphia Game-3 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced at +2 points. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at +5.5 points and 15% more at +7.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS revenging a road loss in games played this season, and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss in which the foe scored 110 or more points this season. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 114 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 116-13 SU (90%) record and 97-31-1 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 34-3 SU and 28-8-1 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS record (29%) when allowing 114 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons. Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours!
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05-05-23 |
Orioles v. Braves -1.5 |
Top |
9-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
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Baltimore vs Atlanta 8-Unit best bet on the Braves using the –1.5 Run line Betting on any team that is coming off a three-game sweep of a divisional rival and is facing a foe from the other league (inter-league) has earned a solid 30-12 record averaging a –111 wager and producing a 33% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. The Run line is 15-9 63% averaging a –103 bet and a 30% ROI.
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05-05-23 |
Twins v. Guardians OVER 8.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
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Minnesota vs Cleveland 8-Unit best bet OVER 8.5 runs From the predictive models, the two starters in this matchup will not complete more than 11 innings of work and both offenses will combine for three or more multiple-run innings. In past games, the Twins are 163-24-7 Over for 87% when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Similarly, the Guardians are 143-6-2 Over for 96% winners.
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05-05-23 |
Red Sox +139 v. Phillies |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
139 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
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Red Sox vs Phillies 8-UNIT best Bet on the Red Sox using the money line currently at +125 Betting on any team that is coming off a three-game sweep of a divisional rival and is facing a foe from the other league (inter-league) has earned a solid 30-12 record averaging a –111 wager and producing a 33% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. The 76ers will be hosting the Celtics a few hundred yards from Citizen’s Bank Park at the same time so the atmosphere will be more than just festive. However, the Phillies are not closing games well and the Red Sox offense has been steadily getting better and more consistent since the start of the season. Again, we are betting numbers and not mascots and not if the other’s city’s NBA franchise is playing at the same time. It is noteworthy however. Boston is scoring 6.1 RPG and batting .286 against RH starters and over the past seven days has averaged 7 RPG and batted 0.350. So, Wheller will have his hands full even if he is in top form tonight
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05-03-23 |
76ers +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
87-121 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
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Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at –9.5 points. (Repeat from yesterday) For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what. Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours!
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05-02-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 |
Top |
117-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
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LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 5-Unit best bet on the OVER 228.5 points. Live In-Game Strategy: With a total above 220 points, the volatility of scoring is going to be significant in this game tonight and is expected to provide excellent LIVE game betting opportunities. So, the strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% at 222.5 points and 20% more at 218.5 points. You may not get one or both 20% bets placed at your book, But if that occurs, it also implies that the 60% preflop is winning comfortably. These price levels re calculated specifically using a modified version of the implied volatility metric commonly used in options trading. Again, this is all for another show. Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0. Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly.
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05-02-23 |
Heat v. Knicks -6 |
Top |
105-111 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
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Miami Heat vs NY Knicks 8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points, currently priced at –6.5 points. For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what. Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. Bet on the Miami Heat and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours!
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04-29-23 |
Devils v. Rangers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
115 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
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New Jersey vs NY Rangers 10-Unit best bet OVER the total of 5.5 goals getting +115 money Betting the Over with a total of 5.5 goals and involving a road team that allowed no more than one goal in their previous two games and facing a foe that has lost their last two games by two or more goals has earned a 33-18 record for 65% winning bets since 2006. If our game takes place in the playoffs, the Over has gone 7-2 for 78% winning bets. Rangers are 18-9 Over in home games and facing a team that is outshooting their foes by 3 or more shots-on-goal in games played over the past two seasons. The Devils are 22-12-2 Over 65% winning bets after having won three of their last four games in games played this season.
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04-22-23 |
Devils +130 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
130 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
NJ Devils vs NY Rangers 8-Unit bet bet on the Devils using the money line Betting on road dogs between +100 and +180 on the money line and has sallowed four or ore goals in each fo their past two games and facing a foe that allowed just one goals has produced an exceptinoal 107-116 record, averaging a 142-dog bet, making the dime bettor a profit of $39,000 good for a 14% annual ROI since 2011. If this situation is in a playoff game, the record has been 9-3 on the money line averaging a 144 bet good for a 76% ROI. New Jersey, seeded second in the Metropolitan Division, dropped the first two games to the third-seeded Rangers by identical 5-1 scores on home ice. The Devils are a young team, who owned a 3-0-1 mark against the Rangers in the regular season. They are losing the special teams battle badly and still seeking their first five-on-five goal in this series. In the playoffs, teams that lost their two previous games by 2 or more goals and are now on the road have gone an impressive 33-40 averaging a whopping +149 dog bet making the die bettor a 17,000 profit and a solid 16% ROI over the past 15 playoff seasons.
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04-18-23 |
Cubs v. A's +170 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
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Chicago Cubs vs Oakland A’s 8-Unit best bet on the Oakland A’s using the money line currently priced at +150 Betting on home dogs whose bullpen allowed four or more runs in their last game and were out hit by that foe by 10 or more hits has earned an outstanding 44-28 SU record averaging a +150-betting line for a solid 47% ROI since 2015. It has also produced a solid 50-22 on the +1.5-run line for 69% winning bets averaging a –118 wager and a 38% ROI since 2016. So, consider a combination wager consisting of 3 units on the money line and 5-Units on the run line, but I am making this a flat money line bet at +150.
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04-18-23 |
Twins v. Red Sox -105 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
Minnesota vs Boston 8-Unit best bet on the Boston Red Sox using the money line Betting on home teams that has a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 or lower for the season and hosting a foe that is scoring 4.25 or fewer runs per game and is coming off two straight games stranding five or fewer runners on base in each game has earned an outstanding 34-5 over the past five seasons and is 3-0 this season and 29-4 over the past three seasons. Bet the Red Sox
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04-18-23 |
Phillies -117 v. White Sox |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia vs CWS 8-Unit best bet on the Phillies using the money line and boxed with Zack Wheeler. Phillies skipper Thomson is 23-7 making 16 units on the money line when his team has lost four or five of their last 6 games. Phillies are 45-25 making 19 units following a game in which the bullpen did not allow an earned run in games played over the past two seasons. Zack Wheller will be on the hill for the Phillies and despite being 0-1 in 3 starts, he has pitched deeper into each of these three starts. In his last start he went 6 innings allowing just one earned run on three hits with three walks and six strikeouts. The CWS will have Lance Lynn on the hill and he is nowhere close to top form sporting a 7.31 ERA and 1.625 WHIP over his three starts and is now facing the strongest hitting team in the NL and perhaps all of baseball in the Phillies.
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04-15-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 |
Top |
101-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 44 m |
Show
|
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15) 10-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers minus the points The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios.
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04-15-23 |
Nets v. 76ers -8 |
Top |
101-121 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 32 m |
Show
|
Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15) 8-Unit best bet on the Sixers minus the points Betting on home teams in the playoffs facing a 6th seed or higher seed that has the lower opponent effective field goal percentage during the regular season are 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets. Also, seeds 1 through 4 in the first two games of a playoff series that have the better season-to-date effective field goal percentage are 72-51-1 ATS for 59% winners since 2017. Moreover, the top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% winners since 2017. The 76ers had the third-highest scoring fourth-quarter scoring differential in the NBA this season. Playoff home favorites that outscored their foes by an average of 1.75 or more PPG in the fourth stanza are 87-58-2 ATS for 60% winners. Overall, the 76ers went 54-28 SU and an impressive 48-34 ATS for 59% winning bets and in home games went 29-12 SU and 25-16 ATS for 61% winning bets this season.
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04-14-23 |
Angels -110 v. Red Sox |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
LA Angels vs Boston Red Sox 8-Unit best bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under with a total of 8.5 or more runs with a team that is averaging four or more walks per game and allowed 3 or fewer runs to each of their last two opponents has yielded a 104-52-3 Under record good for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive models, I am expecting both starters, Patrick Sandoval and Tanner Houck, to complete at least 11 innings and for the teams to combine for no more than two multiple run innings. In past home games, the Red Sox are 53-11 Under for 83% winners when meeting these performance measures and in road games, the Angels are 63-12-5 Under for 84% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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04-14-23 |
Guardians -151 v. Nationals |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Cleveland vs Washington 8-Unit best bet on Cleveland Guardians on the money line The preferred strategy is to bet 4-Units on the Run Line –1.5 and 4 units on the money line, but if you can also bet all 8-Units on the money line, but given the price, I would suggest cutting back the amount to 7-Units. Betting on road money line favorites of –130 or more in a non-divisional matchup and with the favorite having lost four consecutive times to the current host has earned the road team a highly profitable 55-34 record on the Run Line averaging a +110 wager and producing a 31% ROI. Just one losing record season since 2010.
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04-14-23 |
Bulls +5.5 v. Heat |
Top |
91-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls plus the points. I lik betting this matchup with a 70% bet preflop on the Bulls plus the current points available. Then during the first half of action only, look to add 15% more at 7.5 and 16% more at 9.5 points. From my predictive models, we are looking for the Bulls to score 111 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers than the Heat. In past games in which the Bulls met or exceeded these performance measures has led to a 17-9 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Miami has been home they are 4-20 ATS for 17% when having more turnovers and allowing 111 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.
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04-11-23 |
Hawks v. Heat -4.5 |
Top |
116-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 4 m |
Show
|
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors 8-Unit best bet on the Bulls plus the 5.5 points Live In-Game Strategy Bet 80% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Bulls preflop, then add 15% more at 8.5 points preflop and then 5% on the money line if the in=game betting line moves to +10 or higher during the first half of action only. Situational Betting System The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs. Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win. Player Prop Best Bet Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds
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04-11-23 |
Marlins v. Phillies -136 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-136 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Miami vs Philadelphia 8-Unit best bet on the Philadelphia Phillies using the money line. Right on queue, the Phillies offense exploded ironically against the reigning NL Cy Young award winner Sandy Alcantara in their 15-3 home win yesterday. The Phillies hav e a pair of aces in Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler and they will pitch the next two games in this three-game series. Also, take a moment and review my article on Rotowire detailing how to be the next few weeks of Phillies action. Situational Betting Angles Betting on home favorites up to and including –155 on the money line in a divisional matchup and not the first game of a series, that are coming off a game priced as a home dog in which they scored at least 5 runs in a single inning and won the game are 43-22 for 66.2% winning bets averaging a –127 wager, making the Dime bettor a profit of $16,125 for a robust 22% ROI. Aaron Nola led the league with a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 meaning he recorded more than 8 strikeouts for every free pass he issued on the season. His ERA was 3.25 over 32 starts, but had a 2.58 fielding independent pitching stat. The fact that the FIP is significantly lower than his true ERA reflects an above average of plays, like errors and dropped third strikes, that he had no control over while on the mound. So, he was even better than many of his metrics and I believe he will steadily pitch better over his remaining starts in Aril and start off May in Cy Young-contender form. Bet the Phillies.
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04-06-23 |
Hurricanes -175 v. Predators |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-175 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
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Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators 6-Unit bet on the Hurricanes using the money line, currently –175 This is an 8-Unit graded bet, but because of the higher than usual money line price, I recommend reducing the amount wagered to your 6-unit amount. Betting on winning record road favorites facing a winning record opponent coming off a home win has earned an 84-43 record for 66% winning bets and averaging a –130 bet that has produced a 24% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. 8-UNIT NHL Best Bet Total JR has endured an NHL 2-8 losing streak over his 10 releases and this is the best time to get on board with this proven 28-year veteran. This NHL 8-Uniy graded best bet is backed by a stellar set of situational angles combining for an 84-43 record and 66% winning bets. Get the best bet and the betting system for just $11.00
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04-03-23 |
San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
59-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
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NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet 8-Unit Best bet on San Diego State plus the 7.5 points and do believe you will see 8 and 8.5 potentially prior to the tip off. LIVE Betting Strategy We have reached the final 40 minutes of the NCAA Tournament and two unlikely programs have navigated the March madness maze to reach this distinguished event set to start at 9:20 PM EST at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. The Aztecs know they can come from behind and were down 14 points in the second half to FAU before rallying for the first-ever buzzer beater shot that was scored with the team trailing and not tied. In the third game of the season, Stanford was up 10 points and the Aztecs won by 12. They were down 13 points to Coastal Carolina before winning by six points. They were down 11 to the College of Charleston in the first round of the Tournament before rallying for a 6-point win. So, I like betting 70% preflop at +7.5 points and then adding 15% at 9.5 points and 15% at 11.5 points during the first half of action only. Although unlikely prior to the tournament, these two teams are the two best teams right now in the nation by many measures. They both prefer a slow, grinding, and physically tough style of game with UCONN ranking 252nd nationally averaging 66.7 possessions per game and SDST ranking 254th averaging 65.7 possessions per game. The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes. Teams playing in the Finals that have the lower defensive 3-point shooting percentage are 4-1 ATS for 80%. Teams like the Aztecs that three of their five previous opponents led by three or more points are 8-4 ATS for 67% in the Championship game. The Aztecs are 12-1 ATS when facing a foe that makes 8 or more 3-point shot attempts per game this season. 1-UNIT Player Props Darrion Trammell Under 9.5 points Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points
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04-03-23 |
Twins -119 v. Marlins |
Top |
11-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
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MLB Minnesota vs Miami 8-Unit best bet on Minnesota using the money line Betting on teams fresh off a three-game series sweep over a divisional rival and now playing an opponent from the other league (inter-league) has gone 36-10 for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons. It is on a 14-3 run over the past three seasons.
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04-02-23 |
76ers +5.5 v. Bucks |
Top |
104-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
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76ers vs Bucks 10-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points LIVE Betting Strategy If you will be watching this game, then the following strategy is recommended. Place 50% of your 10-Unit bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at Sixers plus 7.5 points and 25% more at Sixers plus 10.5 points. Betting on winning record underdogs that are facing a winning record host that is fresh off a 20 or more-point loss priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 18-10 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons and a 40-22 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. In Thursday's 41-point home loss, Giannis Antetokounmpo posted a -32 plus-minus, his worst in any game of his career. Prior to this game, Antetokounmpo posted a -30 or worse plus-minus twice with a -31 against the Indiana Pacers on December 12, 2018, and a -31 against the LA Clippers March 29, 2021. The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.
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04-01-23 |
Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
59-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
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Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport. Live Betting Strategy: This is a game that is going to a much faster pace than the first semifinal game. Betting 70% preflop on Miami at +5.5 and then add 30% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action. There will be scoring streaks by both teams. Overall, I do like Miami to pull off the uspet win here and move on the Finals – against FAU if everything works out there for us too. As a precursor I believe the line will be very close to pick-em if Miami and FAU meet in the Finals. Head coach Hurley is just 9-18 ATS in games away from the UCONN campus after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Miami head coach Larranaga is 28-14 ATS away from home after scoring 80 or more points in two consecutive games. Player Prop Bets: 1-UNIT MAX each recommended San Diego State’s Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points Miami’s Nigel Pack Over 13.5 points –110 Miami’s NorchardOmier Over 22.5 points, assists, rebounds –110 UCONN’s Andre Jackson Under 5.5 assists –110 UCONN’s Alex Karaban Under 4.5 rebounds +100
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04-01-23 |
Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. San Diego State |
Top |
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
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Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State 8-Unit best bet on Florida Atlantic plus the points. 3-Unit Parlay on FAU and Miami (FLA) money lines 5-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total This matchup is the first game of the two NCAA Tournament semifinals taking place at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. First, I do not see the backdrops and backgrounds hindering shooting performances in either of these semifinals as we had seen in recent games taking place in Indianapolis, for instance. The first national semifinal of the Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston on Saturday will feature a pair of first-time participants: Florida Atlantic (35-3) and San Diego State (31-6). And while the Owls and Aztecs made surprising runs to Houston, their season-long success belies the notion that their appearances are an aberration. The Owls are currently riding an 11-game winning streak that isn't even their longest of this season. FAU had its 20-game win streak snapped by an 86-77 road loss to UAB on Feb. 2. To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister. FAU uses their bench better than any other program and no player is averaging more than 30 minutes per game. At 13.1 points per game, Martin is one of three Owls averaging double figures in points with five-plus rebounds alongside fellow sophomores Johnell Davis and Vladislav Goldin. FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons. Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years.
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04-01-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 |
Top |
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years.
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03-29-23 |
Wolves v. Suns -4.5 |
Top |
100-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
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NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns 10-Unit best bet on the Phoenix Suns –5.5 points. 5-Unit bet Over the posted total, currently priced at 235 points. An alternative wager is to bet 70% of your 5-unit amount at the current price preflop and then look to add 30% more at 226.5 points during the first half only. The higher the total, the greater the potential scoring volatility can be in an NBA game. I do not recommend a parlay unless you do it with pizza money amounts. The Suns are 19-6 ATS for 76% winning bets coming off a game shooting less than 43% from the field and facing a foe that is coming off a sharp shooting game hitting more than 50% from the field over the past five seasons. Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets.
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03-28-23 |
Magic v. Grizzlies -7 |
Top |
108-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
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Magic vs Grizzlies 8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies minus the 7 points Betting on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and defeated the current opponent in their previous same-season meeting, has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a foe that has won betw3een 40 and 50% of their games on the season has earned a solid 11-5 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1996. From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018.
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03-28-23 |
Heat +3.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
92-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
Heat vs Raptors 8-Unit best bet on the Miami Heat plus the 3.5 points Betting on road teams that are coming off a double-digit home loss and lost to the current foe in their previous same-season meeting have gone a solid 162-100-3 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and 107-64-2 ATS over their past five seasons. This set of parameters has produced profits for nine consecutive seasons. From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons.
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03-28-23 |
Celtics -11.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
111-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
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Celtics vs Wizards 8-Unit bet on the Celtics minus the 11.5 points Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a solid 79-42-2 ATS for 65.3 % winning bets since 2015. If the game is taking place after the all-star break the record has gone 34-18 ATS for 65.4% winning bets and if after the break and priced as double-digit favorites 7-3 ATS for 70% winning bets. From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.
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03-27-23 |
Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 226.5 |
Top |
124-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
New Orleans vs Portland 8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points Betting the OVER with a total between 220 and 229.5 points with one of the teams, New Orleans, having led at the half by five or more points at the half in each of their past three games and facing a foe that has allowed 115 or more points in each of their past two games has produced a 48=25=3 Over record good for 65.8% winning bets. If the team has won each of their past three games that they led at the half by five or more points, the OVER improves to 36-15 OVER for 71% winning bets.
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03-27-23 |
Rockets +14.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
115-137 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
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Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks 8-Unit bet on the Rockets plus the 12.5 points Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets.
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03-27-23 |
Mavs +1.5 v. Pacers |
Top |
127-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks +1 point or the money line whichever is cheaper for you. Betting on teams that are coming off back-to-back losses priced as the favorite and facing a foe that that lost to in the previous same-season meeting, priced between the 3’s and with a total between 225 and 235 points have gone 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2017.
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03-25-23 |
Connecticut v. Gonzaga OVER 153 |
Top |
82-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
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UCONN vs Gonzaga Elite-8 Round Bet the OVER 153 points currently. My strategy will be to bet 75% preflop OVER the total. As you may have seen on this Tweet and heard on the ERSPN Syracuse shows and Sports Map Radio shows, games that have played UNDER the first half total by 10 or more points have gone a perfect 4-0 OVER since last Saturday alone using the LIVE in game bet that can be executed during the half time break. So, if this first half does play Under by 10 or more points, add the 25% remaining bet amount on the OVER. Plus, this one, from the Elite 8 on through the Championship game, DOGS that led at the half went on to a 17-6-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. So, if Gonzaga is leading at the half, look to get a pizza money size bet on the books at pick-em during the first 7 minutes of the second half only. Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career. Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Bulls -2 v. Blazers |
Top |
124-96 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
Chicago vs Portland 8-Unit best bet on the Bulls minus 2 points Betting on losing record favorites after going under the total by 30 or more points in total spanning their last three games, facing a losing record foe, and with the game occurring in the second half of the season has earned a 62-30-1 ASTS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our losing record favorite is on the road, the record goes to 23-7-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons.
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03-24-23 |
Suns +3.5 v. Kings |
Top |
127-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings 8-Unit best bet on the Suns plus 4.5 points Betting on teams that have failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, has a winning record and taking on a winning record opponent has produced a 189-125-6 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total is 235 or more points, our team improves to 15-6 ATS for 75% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Bucks -9 v. Jazz |
Top |
144-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz 8-Unit best bet on the Bucks minus the 9 points Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets.
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03-24-23 |
Miami-FL v. Houston UNDER 139 |
Top |
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
Miami (Fla) vs Houston 8-Unit best bet on the Under 138 points. Betting the Under in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament with a dog 3 or more points being a member of a Major Conference (B10, B12, SEC, ACC, PAC-12, BEAST) and the favorite not from the Major Conferences has seen the Under go 9-0 Under. Miami is 11-3 Under in road games facing a foe that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game in games played this season. Houston is 21-11 Under when facing a non-conference foe in games played over the past two seasons. Miami head coach Larranaga is 47-26 Under after having won four of the last five games for his career.
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03-24-23 |
San Diego State v. Alabama OVER 137.5 |
Top |
71-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
San Diego State vs Alabama 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 137 points Betting the Over in the NCAA Tournament with a total between 130 and 139.5 points, one of the teams (Alabama) has won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has earned a highly profitable 14-8 Over good for 64% winning bets. If the line for the game is at least a –2 favorite, the record is 8-2 Over for 80% winners. Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season.
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03-22-23 |
Spurs v. Bucks -17.5 |
Top |
94-130 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks 8-Unit best bet on the Bucks –17.5 points Betting on home favorites playing on two or more days of rest, coming off a win in which 40% or more of their points came from made 3-pointers, and hosting a foe that is playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 24-11 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. If the game occurs after the all-star break the record soars to 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.
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03-22-23 |
Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
NHL: Pittsburgh vs Colorado 8-Unit best bet Under the posted total of 6.5 goals Betting the Under with a home team that is on a five game win streak, a total between 6 or 7 goals, and the game being played in March has earned a near- perfect 7-1-1 Under record good for 88% winning bets and a 70% ROI over the past five seasons. Bet the Under with a home team that is revenging a loss to the current opponent in which they scored just one goal and coming off a win of 3 or more goals has earned a 94-55 record, averaging a –116 wager and producing a 21% ROO over th4e past give seasons. If our home team won that previous blowout win at home, the record improves to 62-32 averaging a –124 favorite and producing a 28% ROI over the past five seasons.
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03-22-23 |
Nuggets -6.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
118-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards 8-Unit best bet on the Nuggets minus 7 points. Bettig on favorites between 3.5 and 7.5 points, has seen their last three games play Under by a combined total of 30 or more points, and the game is taking place in the second half of the season has earned a 125-73-6 ATS record for 63% wining bets over the past five seasons. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is 225 or more points and our team is playing on at least one day of rest, the record becomes quite impressive at 48-23-1 ATS for 68% winning bets.
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03-21-23 |
Pistons +14 v. Hawks |
Top |
107-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
Tuesday March 21, 2023 Pistons vs Hawks 8-Unit best bet on Pistons plus the points, currently 12.5 Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins.
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03-21-23 |
Cavs v. Nets OVER 218.5 |
Top |
115-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
Cleveland vs Brooklyn 8-Unit bet on the OVERR, currently priced at 218.5 points Bet OVER the total in games played in March and when the total is between 215 and 225 points, with a home team priced as 7 or fewer point underdog, who has gone Under the total of 30 or more points spanning their last three games has earned a 16-6 Over mark for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Keep in mind that NBA scoring started increasing in a linear trend back in 2017, so there are few totals this high prior to 2017. Brooklyn is 23-8 Over when the total has been between 210 and 219.5 points in games played over the past two seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Maple Leafs v. Islanders +100 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
Toronto Maple Leafs vs NY Islanders 8-Unit bet on the Islanders using the money line, currently priced at +115 Betting on home winning record dogs between 120 and 180 facing a foe coming off a road win over a divisional rival and has won at least 60% of their games has earned a 28-27 record, averaging a 138-money line bet and producing an exceptional 22% ROI since the 2015 season. If our home dog is playing on 1 or 2 days of rest the record soars to 22-18, averaging a 137-dog bet and resulting in a highly profitable 33% ROI since 2015.
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03-21-23 |
Wizards -105 v. Magic |
Top |
112-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
Washington vs Orlando 8-Unit bet on the Washington Wizards The Wizards are 33-14 ATS in road games following back-to-back games in which they trailed by double digits at the half. The Magic are just 5-14 ATS in home games when coming off a road game in which they shot 42% or worse from the field over the past five seasons. Wizards are 14-7 ATS in road games after covering the spread in three or fewer of their last 10 games and allowed 50% or higher shooting in their previous game spanning the past five seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Lightning -1.5 v. Canadiens |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Tuesday, March 21, 2023 Tampa Bay vs Montreal 8-Unit best bet on Tampa Bay using the puck line, currently priced at TB is 35-6 making 20 units using the puck line when facing a struggling team that is outscored by their foes by at least 0.5 goals per game in games played over the past two seasons. Montreal is 0-8 on the puck line losing 10 units following two consecutive games in which 8 or more goals were scored in each one spanning the past three seasons. Montreal is 1-10 on the puck line losing 14 units in home games after returning from a 3 or more-game road trip spanning the past two seasons.
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03-21-23 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers -115 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Carolia vs NY Rangers 8-Unit bet on the Rangers using the money line, currently priced at +100 Betting against favorites coming off a road win over a divisional foe and has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a host that has a winning record has produced a 61-68 record, but has averaged a +130 dog bet and resultig in an outstanding 21% ROI in games played since 2015.
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