Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-13-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the 'under' in this matchup last night as the Avs poured it on early and cruised to a 6-0 victory, eclipsing the total by a half-goal. I'll go back to the well here, however, as I do expect the Kings to show some pride off an embarrassing loss and playing their regular season finale. Note that the Kings have allowed just 2.1 goals per game after losing their last game by three goals or more this season. Of course, the Avs are locked in defensively right now, having allowed two goals or less in four consecutive games, with three of those coming against the Kings. There's still reason for them to go all out here as they look to secure top spot in the West Division and draw an easier first round matchup against St. Louis (instead of Minnesota). With that being said, they will continue to be cautious with Nathan MacKinnon as he is expected to miss this game due to an undisclosed injury. Note that the 'under' is 20-8 with the Kings playing on the road revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of just 5.2 goals. Despite last night's 'over' result, the 'under' remains 4-2 in the last six meetings in this series here in Colorado and nine of the last 13 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The 'under' has ruled this series, cashing in four of the last five meetings in Colorado and nine of the last 12 matchups between these two teams overall. The Avs are absolutely locked in right now as they battle for top spot in the West Division - and the entire league. They've allowed two goals or less in three straight games, including consecutive 3-2 victories over the Kings in Los Angeles last week. Note that Colorado is allowing just 2.0 goals per game on home ice this season, where it has gone 19-6. The Kings check in having scored two goals or less in six of their last eight games. The 'under' has cashed in eight of their last 10 contests. Note that the 'under' has gone 32-17 the last 49 times the Kings have played on the road after losing three of their last four games, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 5.2 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go 25-12 with the Kings heading on the road following two or more straight home games over the last two seasons, with that spot resulting in an average total of only 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Avs have given up just 2.2 goals per game after winning three of their last four games this season, with the 'under' going 15-7 in that spot with an average total of just 5.1 goals. Colorado has also posted a 10-22 o/u record when playing at home off a one-goal win over the last two seasons. As much as the Kings would like to play spoiler here, they've managed to score just one goal in two previous games in Colorado this season. Take the under (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
North Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 5:05 pm et on Wednesday. Monday's matchup between these two teams found its way 'over' the total as the Oilers prevailed 4-3 in overtime. That marked Edmonton's third straight 'over' result which is worth mentioning as it hasn't posted more than three consecutive 'overs' since a five-game streak back in the last week of January. While the Oilers are known for their offense, they can play some defense as well, having allowed three goals or less in eight of their last nine games overall. The Canadiens have scored three goals or less in six straight and 10 of their last 11 games overall and average just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. While they would certainly like to right the ship here off of four consecutive losses, that hasn't been a favorable spot for them in recent years, averaging just 2.5 goals per game while going 4-10 in that situation over the last two seasons. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Oilers playing on the road after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons, with that situation totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' cash at an 11-3 clip with Edmonton playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games this season, with an average total of just 4.9 goals in that spot. For Montreal's part, it has posted a 9-17 o/u record when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent this season with that situation producing an average total of 5.4 goals. The Habs have done a fairly solid job containing the Oilers offense in eight previous meetings this season, allowing just 2.3 goals per game. The 'under' has gone 4-2 in the last six meetings in Montreal and 7-5 in the last 12 matchups between these two teams overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-11-21 | Canucks v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Last night's meeting between these two teams got off to a fast start with three goals in the first period but fizzled from there as Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko stood on his head turning aside 39 of 40 shots in a 3-1 Vancouver victory. The Jets are struggling mightily right now but I do expect them to display some push-back here tonight and they should catch a break with Braden Holtby likely to get the nod in goal for Vancouver (the Canucks have yet to give a goaltender consecutive starts in a back-to-back spot this season). Of course, the veteran Holtby has struggled this season with a GAA well north of three and a save percentage under .900. We've seen the Canucks score three goals or more in three straight games and eight of 13 contests since returning to the ice following a long Covid-induced layoff last month. The 'over' checks in 18-8 with the Jets coming off a home loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.7 goals. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-11 with the Canucks following a game where four total goals or less were scored, with that spot producing an average total of 6.6 goals. We've seen the Canucks run out of gas defensively on long road trips in recent years, allowing 4.0 goals per game when playing a fourth consecutive road game over the last two seasons, with that situation producing 6.5 total goals on average. While the 'under' has cashed in six of the last seven meetings in this series, it's certainly worth noting that we've seen a number of 6's and 6.5's over that stretch. We're dealing with a more reasonable total here tonight. Take the over (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We're likely only seeing a 5.5 here due to the fact that both teams are coming off 'over' results on Saturday and have generally been trending in that direction over the last week or so. I'm not anticipating a 'high-event' game on Monday night as the Isles wrap up their regular season schedule in Boston. New York snapped its three-game losing streak with a 5-1 victory over New Jersey on Saturday (we won with the Isles) but has still scored three goals or less in seven of its last nine games overall and checks in averaging a miserable 2.0 goals per game on the road this season. Boston has scored exactly four goals in back-to-back games and that plays into our favor here, noting that the 'under' has gone a perfect 5-0 after the B's have put up four goals or more in consecutive games this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.4 goals. The 'under' also checks in 8-2 with the Bruins playing at home following an 'over' result, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Isles have posted a 1-7 o/u mark when heading on the road following a home game this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' cash at a 15-5 clip with the Isles coming off a victory by four goals or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of only 4.7 goals. Finally, the 'under' has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams in Boston and eight of their last 11 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames UNDER 6 | 1-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Calgary at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. The 'under' has cashed in four straight games involving the Flames and I look for that trend to continue on Sunday in Calgary. The Flames have gone 6-5 over their last 11 games, allowing four goals or less in all 11 of those contests and two goals or less in eight of those games. Offensively, Calgary has scored a grand total of just five goals over its last four games and faces a Sens squad that has played better defensively of late, giving up three goals or less in six straight and 11 of their last 12 games overall. While the Sens did score four goals in last night's victory in Winnipeg, they check in averaging only 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. I don't see this as a peak performance spot for Ottawa here, also noting that Calgary allows only 2.4 goals per game after giving up four or more goals over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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05-08-21 | Ducks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a relatively high-scoring affair between these two teams last night as the Wild skated to a 4-3 overtime victory. The Ducks set the tone for that one with an early goal in the game's first eight minutes but I look for a different story to unfold on Saturday night. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-5 with the Ducks coming off consecutive games in which they scored three goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.7 goals. Also note that the 'under' is 14-5 with the Ducks coming off an 'over' result this season. They average just 1.7 goals per game in that spot with an average total of only 4.9 goals. On a positive note, Anaheim does check in allowing just 1.6 goals per game when playing on the road after losing two of its last three games this season. That situation has come up nine times with those games averaging only 3.8 total goals. The Wild have performed well offensively in recent weeks but off six consecutive one-goal games - with the last two decided in overtime - I certainly feel a letdown could be in order here. Minnesota would like nothing more than to jump ahead early and manage the game the rest of the way, noting that it has allowed just 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season. Despite last night's result, the 'under' has still cashed in five of the last six meetings in this series here in Minnesota and eight of the last 13 matchups overall over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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05-07-21 | Coyotes v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' and the Sharks on the puck-line in their 3-2 upset victory over the Avalanche on home ice two nights ago. Here, I'll go the other way and back the 'over' as defense has been optional in this series so far this season. The 'over' has actually cashed in 10 of the last 13 meetings in this series, including three of the last five here in San Jose. We've seen four of six meetings in this series this season reach at least seven total goals. The Coyotes check in off three straight losses, scoring exactly two goals in each game. They should be able to improve on that production here, however, noting that they average 3.6 goals per game when coming off a home loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons and face a Sharks squad that has allowed 3.5 goals per game on home ice this season. San Jose has scored at least four goals in three of its last six contests, averaging 3.3 goals per game over that stretch. Note that the 'over' has gone 14-5 with the Sharks coming off a one-goal victory on home ice, with those contests totaling an average of 6.9 goals. Arizona has struggled to keep the puck out of its net on the road all season, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game. With both teams simply playing out the string at this point and both surprisingly healthy up front at this late stage of the season, I'm anticipating some offensive fireworks on Friday night in Silicon Valley. Take the over (10*). |
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05-07-21 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Friday. It's desperation time for the Stars even if their odds of overtaking the fourth-place Predators in the Central Division are slim with only three games left on their schedule. After an ugly 6-2 loss here in Tampa two nights ago I do expect them to put up more of a fight on Friday. Note that Dallas has allowed just 1.9 goals per game when playing on the road off a loss by four goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons. The problem is they've managed to score just 2.0 goals per game themselves in that situation, with the 'under' cashing at a perfect 7-0 clip. Also note that the 'under' is 11-3 with the Stars coming off consecutive games in which they gave up three goals or more this season with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. While the Lightning are known for their offense, outbursts like we saw from them two nights ago have been few and far between recently as they've scored three goals or less in 18 of their last 22 games overall. Of course, they've been stout defensively here at home all season, allowing just 2.2 goals per game. In three home matchups against the Stars they've given up a grand total of just two goals. Take the under (10*). |
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05-06-21 | Devils v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Islanders are coming off consecutive stunning losses against the lowly Sabres in Buffalo but find themselves well-positioned to bounce back at home on Thursday night. While my first look would generally be to the 'under' with New York coming off consecutive losses, here I'll go the other way and call for a relatively high-scoring affair against the Devils. Note that New York is averaging a whopping 5.1 goals per game when playing at home after losing two of its last three games this season. That situation has come up seven times and has resulted in an average total of 6.8 goals. Keep in mind, the Isles rested their top gun Mat Barzal two nights ago in Buffalo but I would expect him to be back in the lineup tonight. He is of course the team's leading point scorer by a longshot this season. The Devils have been a much higher-scoring team on the road this season with the 'over' going 15-9-1 with those games averaging 6.4 total goals. Note that New Jersey is averaging 3.4 goals per game when heading on the road following two or more consecutive home games this season. The Devils have been scoring with some consistency of late, putting up three goals or more in eight of their last 11 games and four or more in four of their last five. They've had to play a more wide-open style with their young stud defenseman Ty Smith sidelined. He re-aggravated an injury on Monday and could be shut down for the remainder of the season. While a key offensive contributor as well, Smith has been steadying force in the defensive zone for the Devils this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-06-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 103 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. Carolina has cruised to consecutive wins over the Blackhawks with both games going 'over' the total. Here on Thursday, I'm anticipating a reversal of sorts with a lower-scoring affair. Note that we've seen the Canes suffer a bit of a lull in similar situations, having averaged just 2.4 goals per game when coming off consecutive victories by two goals or more over the last two seasons. That situation has produced an average total of just 5.2 goals on the last 16 occasions it has come up. Note that the Blackhawks are averaging just 2.4 goals per game on the road this season and have been fortunate to score five goals in the first two games of this three-game set, noting that the Canes have been incredibly stout defensively at home this season, allowing only 2.1 goals per contest. I'm not convinced we see a real high-energy game here from either team as both teams wind down the regular season - the Blackhawks looking forward to hitting the golf course and the Canes preparing for what they hope will be a deep playoff run. We've seen similar situations this season where two teams play one another three times or more in the same location and by the end of the stretch, the intensity tends to wane. I expect a similar story to unfold in a potentially low-event contest on Thursday in Raleigh. Take the under (10*). |
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05-06-21 | Rangers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Rangers are coming off consecutive emotional losses against the Capitals and I really question how much they have left in the tank for this one, playing their third game in four nights and the second of back-to-backs. The Bruins will be looking to tighten things up after blowing a third period lead in an eventual 4-3 loss to the Devils last time out. Note that the B's have been stout defensively here at home this season, allowing just 2.5 goals per game. Already in a foul mood following the loss in New Jersey, Boston will also be seeking revenge after dropping its last matchup with the Rangers by a 4-0 score here on home ice back on March 13th. Note that the 'under' has cashed in eight of the last 12 meetings overall and four of the last five here at TD Garden. The Rangers were completely distracted by the Tom Wilson fiasco over the last two games, allowing a whopping 10 goals in consecutive losses to the Caps. Note that prior to those two contests, New York had held 11 of its last 13 opponents to three goals or less. Offensively, the Rangers will without question missing Artemi Panarin - keeping in mind, this is a team that has already been held to three goals or less in five straight games, averaging just 1.6 goals per game over that stretch. Also note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Rangers coming off four or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 3.7 goals. We have seen the Rangers tighten things up off a home loss this season, allowing an average of just 2.1 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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05-05-21 | Jets v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
NHL North Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the Jets on Monday night as they suffered a 2-1 loss in Ottawa - their seventh consecutive loss. We probably deserved a better fate as Winnipeg dominated possession and scoring chances in a game where they just as easily could have had four or five goals were it not for the exploits of Sens 22-year old goaltender Filip Gustavsson. We've certainly seen signs of the Jets offense breaking out as two games back they scored three goals in a loss in Montreal. Now we find Winnipeg averaging 4.1 goals per game when playing on the road after scoring one goal or less in its previous game over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 7.2 goals. We've seen the 'over' go 9-2 with the Jets coming off a game where four goals or less were scored, with an average total of 7.1 goals in those contests. Meanwhile, the Flames check in off a 4-1 loss against the rival Oilers on Saturday. In spite of that, they have been playing better hockey lately, scoring three goals or more in three of their last five games, going 3-2 over that stretch. Here, we find the Flames in a situation where the 'over' has gone 11-2 over the last three seasons, when they revenge a home loss by three goals or more, with that situation producing an average total of 8.2 goals. We've seen the Jets bounce back from poor offensive performances this season, but it's often come at the expense of their own defensively play as they've allowed 3.8 goals per game after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest this season, with that situation producing an average total of 6.9 goals. Finally, note that the 'over' checks in 4-3 in this matchup so far this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-05-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 104 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Wild have now seen the 'over' cash in six straight games but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday night. Note that the 'under' is 3-2 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Minnesota and 7-4 in their last 11 matchups overall. This one sets up well as a potentially low-scoring game following Monday's wild (no pun intended) 6-5 result. The 'under' is 9-1 the last 10 times the Knights have played on the road following a road game where both teams scored at least three goals, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.8 goals. We've certainly seen Vegas tighten things up after a poor defensive showing in recent years as it has given up just 2.0 goals per game with the 'under' going 13-5 with an average total of just 4.6 goals when playing on the road after allowing five goals or more in its previous game. It's a similar story for the Wild as they've given up just 1.5 goals per game after allowing three goals or more in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-03-21 | Ducks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Blues have played 14 consecutive games against teams in the West Division playoff race so a letdown could certainly be in order here on Monday as they return home from Minnesota to host the lowly Ducks. With that being said, I'm not about to back Anaheim in this one. Instead, I'll go with the 'under' as I'm anticipating a relatively low-event contest on Monday night in St. Louis. The Ducks check in off a rare six-goal outburst in a win over the Kings on Saturday. Note that prior to that game, Anaheim had scored a grand total of nine goals over its last seven games. The 'under' has gone 24-9 with the Ducks coming off a win by two goals or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 4.9 goals. Also note that the Ducks average a miserable 1.6 goals per game after winning two of their last three games this season, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the Blues check in sporting a 3-12 o/u mark when playing at home after consecutive games where seven or more total goals were scored over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.7 goals. Finally, we'll note that the 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings between these two teams here in St. Louis. Take the under (10*). |
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05-03-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in the Blackhawks 5-4 loss to the Panthers on Saturday - a game that saw seven goals scored in the final 25 minutes. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however, as the Blackhawks travel to Carolina to face the Hurricanes. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 with Chicago coming off six or seven losses in its last eight games this season, with that situation producing an average total of just 3.9 goals. It's also interesting to note that the Blackhawks have allowed just 2.1 goals per game the last eight times they've come off three straight contests where seven or more total goals were scored, with those games averaging just 5.4 total goals. The Canes have posted an 8-15-2 o/u record on home ice this season, where they've allowed just 2.0 goals per game. Carolina has won three straight meetings with Chicago here in Raleigh, with the 'under' cashing in two of those three games. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-21 | Panthers v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring contest between these two teams two nights ago in Chicago as the Panthers rallied to secure a 4-3 overtime victory. Of course, that game would have stayed 'under' the total were it not for Florida tying things up at three goals apiece with 18 seconds remaining in the third period. Note that the 'under' has gone 7-1 the last eight times the Panthers have come off consecutive games where both teams scored three goals or more over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of just 5.1 goals. With the loss on Thursday, the Blackhawks now check in having posted an 8-1 'under' record after dropping five or six of their last seven games this season, with that spot producing just 4.4 total goals on average. We've seen the Blackhawks tighten things up defensively in similar situations this season, allowing just 2.0 goals per game when playing at home off a one-goal loss. While the Panthers are certainly known for their offense, they actually average only 1.2 goals per game after winning six or seven of their last eight contests this season, as is the case here. On the flip side, they're allowing just 2.4 goals per game after giving up three or more goals in three consecutive games this season. Prior to Thursday's result, the last two meetings between these two teams here in Chicago had totaled five goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-21 | Blues v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. We've seen consecutive high-scoring games between these two teams with the Blues prevailing in both. That actually sets us up for a low-scoring affair on Saturday, however, noting that the 'under' has gone 15-4 with the Wild coming off consecutive games totaling seven goals or more over the last three seasons with that situation producing an average total of just 4.9 goals. The 'under' is 12-2 in the same situation with the Blues over the last two seasons with an average total of 4.5 goals. Also note that the 'under' is 16-5 the last 21 times the Blues have played on the road off two or more consecutive 'over' results, as is the case here, with that spot producing an average total of 5.0 goals. The Wild will of course be out for revenge here after dropping four straight meetings in this series. The 'under' is 21-7 the last 28 times the Wild have been in a quadruple-revenge situation with those games totaling an average of only 4.4 goals. There's reason to believe the Wild can tighten things up here, noting that they allow just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season. Prior to scoring at least four goals in each of their last four games the Blues had been held to three goals or less in 12 of their last 13 contests. Finally, keep in mind the 'under' has still cashed in four of the last seven meetings here in Minnesota. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-21 | Sabres v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a relatively high-scoring affair between these two teams two nights ago as the Bruins cruised to a 5-2 victory. Note that the 'under' has still cashed in five of the last seven meetings here at TD Garden and I look for that trend to continue on Saturday afternoon. After a brief surge, the Sabres offense has gone back in the tank, scoring a grand total of six goals during its current three-game slide. The Sabres average just 2.7 goals per game on the road this season and don't figure to break through against a Bruins squad that allows just 1.9 goals per game when playing at home off a home victory this season. The 'under' has gone 8-2 in that situation with an average total of just 4.5 goals scored. Also note that the 'under' is 8-1 with the Sabres coming off three straight losses by two goals or more over the last two seasons, with that situation producing just 4.9 total goals on average. It's interesting to note that the Bruins average just 1.8 goals per game when playing at home after winning two of their last three games this season - a situation that has come up 10 times previously and produced an average total of only 4.6 goals. The Bruins enter this contest having allowed two goals or less in five of their last six games and three goals or less in nine of their last 10 contests. Take the under (9*). |
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04-30-21 | Golden Knights v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Arizona at 10:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have trended to the 'over' this season but I'll go the other way and back the 'under' as they square off in the desert on Friday night. Vegas has scored exactly five goals in three straight games and has put up four or more goals in seven of its last eight contests overall. I certainly don't feel that level of offensive success is sustainable. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 with the Knights coming off three consecutive 'over' results over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of just 3.4 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go 30-17 with the Coyotes coming off consecutive 'over' results, with that spot averaging 5.3 total goals. Better still, the 'under' is 14-4 with the Coyotes coming off consecutive games in which they allowed four goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here. That situation has led to an average total of just 4.6 goals with Arizona allowing only 2.2 goals per game. Note that the Coyotes are allowing just 1.8 goals per game when playing at home off two or more straight losses this season. The Knights have of course been incredibly stout defensively on the road this season, where they allow just 2.1 goals per contest. Finally, the 'under' has cashed in three of the last five meetings in this series here in Arizona. Take the under (10*). |
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04-30-21 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 0-3 | Win | 101 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Sharks have seen the 'over' cash in each of their last four games - their longest such streak of the season. The last time they posted four consecutive 'over' results, their next game stayed 'under' the total in a 4-0 loss at the hands of the Avalanche right here in Colorado. The Sharks check in having scored 13 goals over the course of a three-game homestand. The road hasn't been nearly as kind as they average just 2.7 goals per game away from home this season. Prior to their last three games they had been held to two goals or less in seven straight contests. The Avalanche should be in a foul mood after dropping three straight games at the tail-end of their most recent road trip that included four straight games in in St. Louis. After giving up a whopping 14 goals over their last three games I would certainly look for them to tighten the screws a little bit here. Mikko Rantanen could return from the Covid list on Friday which would obviously give the Avs a boost, but it remains to be seen how much he can contribute in his first game back after an extended layoff. Note that the 'under' has gone 6-1 with the Sharks playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games this season with those contests totaling just 4.3 goals on average. Take the under (10*). |
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04-29-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vancouver and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in the Canucks 6-3 loss in Ottawa last night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and go the other way and back the 'under' as they continue their road trip in Toronto on Thursday. This is of course a rematch of two games played in Vancouver last week, as the Canucks returned to the ice following a long layoff following a Covid outbreak and stunningly defeated the Leafs in consecutive games. Since then, Vancouver has gone 1-3 in four games against the Senators, scoring just eight goals in those four contests. Scoring will likely continue to be an issue on this trip as the Leafs are allowing just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season and will certainly be up for this rematch with Vancouver. Note that the 'under' has gone 9-2 with the Leafs seeking revenge for a loss where they allowed four goals or more this season, as is the case here, with those games totaling just 4.6 goals on average. Toronto has allowed just 2.3 goals per game on average when in a revenge situation this season. Of course, it's been a struggle at the best of times for the Canucks when playing on the road this season, where they average just 2.7 goals per contest. Note that the 'under' has cashed in four of the last five meetings here in Toronto and nine of the last 11 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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04-28-21 | Coyotes v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams two nights ago as the Sharks snapped their long losing streak with a 6-4 win on home ice. I'm expecting a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however, as the two teams wrap up a two-game set in San Jose. The Coyotes have scored four goals in each of their last two games but I'm not sure that level of production is sustainable given they had managed three goals or less in their six previous contests. Prior to potting six goals on Monday, the Sharks had been held to three goals or less in eight consecutive games. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-6 with the Sharks playing at home after losing four of their last five games over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 5.2 goals. We've also seen San Jose post a 15-33 o/u mark when playing at home after allowing four goals or more in its last game over the last two seasons, with the Sharks averaging just 2.4 goals per game in that spot. Arizona checks in allowing just 2.1 goals per game after giving up five goals or more in a game this season, as is the case here, with that situation totaling just 5.1 goals on average. On the flip side, the Coyotes average just 2.6 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more. Take the under (10*). |
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04-28-21 | Canucks v. Senators OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Ottawa at 5:35 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams were involved in a low-scoring affair on Monday night as the Senators skated to a 2-1 victory in the third straight meeting between them. The 'under' has now cashed in each of the last three meetings here in Ottawa but I'll go the contrarian route and back the 'over' in this early start matchup on Wednesday. Note that the 'over' has gone 11-2 with the Canucks having lost two of their last three games this season, with that situation producing an average total of 7.2 goals. We've also seen the 'over' go 13-5 the last 18 times the Canucks have come off a game where three goals or less were scored, as is the case here, with that spot resulting in an average total of 7.1 goals. While the Senators aren't going to blow the doors off of anyone offensively, they do check in playing fairly consistent hockey in that regard, having scored an average of 3.25 goals per game over their last eight games. Take the over (10*). |
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04-26-21 | Avalanche v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and St. Louis at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We've seen three straight relatively high-scoring affairs between these two teams with 7, 6 and 8 total goals scored. Here, I'm anticipating a lower-scoring contest as the Avs and Blues wrap up their three-game set in St. Louis. Note that you would have to go all the way back to February 2nd and 4th to find the last time the Blues posted consecutive 'over' results on home ice. While they certainly haven't been great defensively, they do check in having allowed four goals or less in seven consecutive games, which is encouraging after they had given up five goals or more four times during their previous 12-game stretch. The Avs are obviously in a prime bounce-back spot here but since we're looking at the total, consider that the 'under' has gone a perfect 5-0 the last five times Colorado has played on the road off a loss, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.2 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go 19-9 the last 28 times the Avs have played on the road revenging a loss against an opponent, with those games reaching an average total of 5.3 goals. For their part, the Blues have posted an 18-30 o/u record when playing at home following a game where seven or more total goals were scored over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 5.5 goals. While the last three games here have been high-scoring, the 'under' is actually 26-20 in the last 46 meetings between these two teams here in St. Louis. While Colorado's explosive offense is concerning, especially in a foul mood off a loss, it's worth noting that the Avs are still missing one of their top offensive threats in Mikko Rantanen as he deals with Covid protocols. Take the under (10*). |
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04-25-21 | Devils v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Philadelphia at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. We were fortunate to get a 'push' with the 'over' in the Devils 4-2 loss in Pittsburgh yesterday. I'll come right back with the same play on Sunday as New Jersey draws a more favorable matchup to possible snap its nine-game losing streak, and certainly to pad its stats offensively. While the Devils have been losing game after game, they haven't had too much difficulty scoring goals, putting up 15 goals in their last five contests. They probably deserved more than two goals in yesterday's affair as they fired 36 shots on goal in the loss. Here, they draw a Flyers squad that has allowed at least four goals in four of its last seven games and gives up an average of 3.4 goals per game on home ice this season. Note that the Devils have averaged an impressive 4.3 goals per game when playing on the road off three or more straight road losses, as is the case here, over the last three seasons. New Jersey has all but throw in the towel defensively, allowing at least four goals in six straight and 10 of its last 12 games overall. Not helping matters has been the absence of defensemen P.K. Subban and Ty Smith. The Flyers are well-positioned to bust out here noting they average 3.4 goals per game after being held to one goal or less in their last game over the last two seasons. On the flip side, Philadelphia has given up a whopping 4.3 goals per game when playing its third game in four nights this season with that situation producing 6.8 total goals on average. We won with the 'over' when these two teams last squared off here in Philadelphia on March 23rd as the Devils stole a 4-3 victory. Expect a similarly high-scoring affair on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-25-21 | Bruins v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 109 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
NHL on NBC TV Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Pittsburgh at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. When these two teams last met on they combined to score 12 games in a wild 7-5 Bruins victory in Boston back on April 3rd. Here, I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair as the scene shifts to Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. Boston got caught flat-footed in its last game, suffering a 6-4 loss against the lowly Sabres. Keep in mind, that loss came after the Bruins had easily handled the Sabres in their previous two games. The 'under' has gone 25-10 with the Bruins coming off consecutive 'over' results over the last three seasons with those contests totaling an average of 5.3 goals. The Bruins average 2.9 goals per game in that situation but could be hard-pressed to reach that here against a Pens squad that allows just 2.3 goals per game on home ice this season. Boston could be without top line center Patrice Bergeron for this game after he missed Friday's game in Buffalo due to a lower-body injury. Note that the Pens have given up just 2.1 goals per game with the 'under' cashing at an 11-3 clip when playing at home off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here. The 'under' has also gone a perfect 5-0 with the Penguins coming off three straight wins this season, with those games totaling an average of just 3.8 total goals. Pittsburgh's offense has been rolling lately but that's had a lot to do with the level of opposition it has faced as it is coming off five straight games against the Devils and Sabres - two of the league's worst teams. This is by no means an ideal spot as they play the second of back-to-back days against a Bruins team coming off a loss, noting that Pittsburgh has been held to two goals or less in three of six meetings in this series this season. Finally, keep in mind that the 'under' has cashed in three of the last five meetings here in Pittsburgh. Take the under (10*). |
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04-24-21 | Coyotes v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. The Kings have somewhat inexplicably seen the 'over' cash in six of their last seven games overall but I'll go the contrarian route and back the 'under' as they host the struggling Coyotes on Saturday. Arizona has lost seven of its last eight games and checks in having scored three goals or less in six consecutive games. We do find the Coyotes in a favorable spot here as they've allowed just 1.7 goals per game the last six times they've come off consecutive home losses, as is the case here, with that situation producing just 4.7 total goals on average. There's little reason to expect an offensive breakout from Arizona, however, as it averages just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season. Despite its extended 'over' run, Los Angeles has actually been held to two goals or less in seven of its last 10 games overall. The Kings average just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season and score only 2.3 goals per game at home after losing two of their last three contests over the last two seasons with the 'under' cashing at an 18-8 clip. That latter situation has produced an average total of just 5.0 goals. Finally, note that the 'under' has cashed in four of the last six meetings in this series in Los Angeles. Take the under (10*). |
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04-24-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the front half of this two-game set on Thursday night and I'll go back to the well with the same play on Saturday as we're once again set up for a high-scoring affair. Note that the 'over' has already cashed in five of eight meetings in this series this season. The Leafs check in averaging 3.8 goals per game after losing five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 6.3 goals. Meanwhile, the Jets are averaging 4.0 goals per game when coming off a home loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons with the 'over' cashing at a 16-5 clip. Those games have totaled an average of 7.0 goals. While the Leafs have been fairly stout defensively on the road this season, where they allow only 2.7 goals per game, they should get everything the Jets have in this one with Winnipeg coming off consecutive losses in which it scored a grand total of three goals, and considering the Jets will be playing just their third game in the last eight nights. Note that Toronto is giving up 4.0 goals per game after losing four of its last five contests over the last two seasons. Take the over (10*). |
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04-24-21 | Devils v. Penguins OVER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Saturday. This will be the third straight game between these two teams here in Pittsburgh with the Penguins winning the last two by 7-6 and 5-1 scores. I'm anticipating another high-scoring affair on Saturday. The Devils are actually set up reasonably well here as they average 3.9 goals per game when playing on the road following a loss in which they allowed four goals or more over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 6.5 goals. We also find New Jersey averaging 3.5 goals per game when playing on the road after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, with that spot averaging a total of 6.7 goals. The Penguins have been dominant on home ice this season, where they average 3.8 goals per game. They check in averaging 4.1 goals per game when playing on home ice following an 'under' result over the last two seasons, with an average total of 6.4 goals scored in that situation. Finally, note that the 'over' has gone 20-11 with the Devils seeking revenge for a loss in which they scored one goal or less over the last two seasons. New Jersey is simply playing out the string at this point but it is healthy again, up front at least, with Pavel Zacha and Jesper Bratt returning in the last week. Take the over (10*). |
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04-23-21 | Canadiens v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 102 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday. This is the classic 'playoff-like atmosphere' game where many will look to play the 'under' anticipating a tight-checking affair. Perhaps even moreso when you consider just how low-scoring this series has been with the 'under' cashing in five straight meetings in this series since the Habs skated to a 4-2 victory in their first matchup of the season back in late January. I believe this one sets up as a relatively high-scoring affair, however, as the Habs shook out of their offensive slump with a 4-3 win over the Oilers two nights ago and the Flames should play a high-energy game in desperation mode off consecutive losses in which they scored just three goals. Note that the 'over' has gone 23-10 with the Flames at home revenging a loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 7.2 goals. The Canadiens have allowed 3.1 goals per game off a win this season while the Flames average 3.3 goals per contest after giving up four goals in their last game over the last two seasons. Finally, note that the Flames have given up 3.3 goals per game when playing at home off three or more straight 'under' results over the last three seasons, with that spot producing an average total of 6.4 goals. Both teams are in their preferred situation from an offensive standpoint with the Habs averaging 3.1 goals per game on the road and the Flames putting up 3.1 goals per game at home. Take the over (10*). |
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04-22-21 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Florida at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Hurricanes managed to earn a 1-1 split in a two-game set in Tampa and now make the short trip to face the Panthers in another key two-game series. I'm anticipating plenty of offense in Thursday's contest. Note that the Hurricanes have averaged 3.9 goals per game when playing at least their third consecutive road game over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 6.6 goals. Meanwhile, the Panthers average 3.6 goals per game when revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less this season and even more impressive, average a whopping 5.4 goals per game when at home revenging consecutive losses against an opponent by two goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, with that latter situation leading to an average total of 8.3 goals. We also find the Panthers as a strong positive momentum play here, having averaged 3.9 goals per game after scoring four goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. Finally, it's worth noting that four of the last five meetings between these two teams in Florida have gone 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-22-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This situation sets up well for a high-scoring affair as the Leafs and Jets are both in bounce-back mode on Thursday night. Toronto is coming off stunning back-to-back losses against the Canucks, who were coming off a long layoff due to a Covid outbreak within the team. We do find the Leafs in good position to rebound here, noting that they average 3.8 goals per game after losing five or six of their last seven contests over the last three seasons. They also average an identical 3.8 goals per game when revenging a home loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, with that situation producing 7.3 total goals on average. The Jets are coming off a 3-0 shutout loss on home ice against Edmonton on Saturday. Perhaps that poor showing was to be expected as they were returning home following a successful five-game road trip on just one day of rest - a situation they had previously struggled in this season. Here, we note that the Jets average 4.0 goals per game following a home loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 6.9 goals. Winnipeg has been a terrific bounce-back team this season, averaging 3.9 goals per game off a loss. Also note that the Jets average a whopping 4.7 goals per game the last seven times they've come off a shutout loss. While the 'under' has cashed in three of the last four meetings between these two teams in Winnipeg, the 'over' checks in 6-5 in the last 11 matchups in the series. Take the over (10*). |
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04-21-21 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Chicago at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a relatively high-scoring game between these two teams last time out as the Preds skated to a 5-2 victory on home ice two nights ago in Nashville. Now the scene shifts to Chicago for the second of three straight meetings between these Central Division foes, noting that the 'under' has cashed in four of the last six games between these two here at the United Center. It's been 'feast or famine' for the Preds offense lately as they've scored five goals or more on three occasions over the last two weeks, but outside of that have been held to three goals or less in 10 of their last 13 games overall. Note that the Preds average just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. They've posted a 1-8 o/u record after scoring four goals or more in their last game this season, averaging just 1.7 goals per game with those contests averaging a total of just 4.1 goals. Also note that the 'under' is 14-4 with the Preds playing on the road off a win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling just 4.5 goals on average. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are giving up just 2.1 goals per game when playing at home off a loss this season. We're not seeing many true offensive explosions from the Blackhawks this season, noting they haven't scored more than four goals in a game since back on February 28th. They've been held to two goals or less in seven of their last 12 games overall. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-21 | Ducks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Kings will be back on the ice following an extended layoff, noting that the 'over' had cashed in their last six games prior to that. That's not a sustainable streak for a Los Angeles squad that averages just 2.7 goals per game and I expect the tide to finally turn against the Ducks on Tuesday. Note that Anaheim has actually held its own defensively on the road this season, allowing just 2.7 goals per contest. The Ducks enter tonight's game off consecutive home losses against the Golden Knights, allowing nine goals in the process. Note that the 'under' has gone 17-4 with the Ducks having lost two of their last three games this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. Meanwhile, the Kings check in sporting an 18-37 o/u record when playing at least their third consecutive home game, with those games reaching an average total of just 4.9 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go a perfect 7-0 the last seven times the Kings have played at home on three days or more of rest, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of just 4.4 goals. Finally we'll note that three of the last four meetings between these California rivals in Los Angeles have stayed 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-21 | Senators v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Monday. I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair between the Senators and Flames on Monday night after we saw a couple of grind-it-out contests between them in Ottawa back in late March. Those two games totaled just 3 and 4 goals as the Senators swept the two-game set. It's interesting to note that the first of those two contests actually saw a closing total of 6.5 goals. We've already seen the two previous matchups between the Sens and Flames in Calgary produce 10 and 7 goals this season and I expect to see plenty of offense on display on Monday as well. Note that Calgary averages a whopping 4.8 goals per game when seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent in which it was held to one goal or less, as is the case here as I noted above. That situation has produced an average total of 7.4 goals. Meanwhile, the Sens have allowed 4.7 goals per game when coming off a win by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with that spot producing 7.0 total goals on average. Of course, Ottawa checks in allowing a miserable 4.5 goals per game on the road this season, despite Saturday's shutout win in Montreal. The Flames are back home where they've been considerably better offensively this season, averaging 3.1 goals per game with their contests here totaling an average of 6.1 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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04-19-21 | Red Wings v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Dallas at 7:35 pm et on Monday. The Stars are coming off a rare offensive outburst last time out, recording a second straight win over the reeling Blue Jackets and scoring five goals in the process. While Dallas does average 3.3 goals per game here on home ice it's largely been a case of 'feast or famine'. Here, the Stars offense is set up rather poorly, having averaged just 2.2 goals per game when playing at home off two or more consecutive home wins over the last two seasons, with the 'under' going 9-2 in that situation, totaling an average of just 4.4 goals. The Red Wings average just 2.2 goals per game on the road this season and have seen the 'under' go 13-2 when seeking revenge for a loss by three goals or more this season, as is the case here. That situation has produced an average total of just 4.6 goals as well. Finally, it's worth noting that Dallas averages a miserable 1.8 goals per game when coming off two wins in its last three games this season with that spot resulting in an average total of 5.0 goals. The 'under' has cashed in four of the last seven meetings in this series and I look for that trend to continue here. Take the under (10*). |
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04-18-21 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 6:35 pm et on Sunday. The Flyers are coming off a high-scoring game yesterday as they allowed five goals or more for the third time in their last four games in a 6-3 loss to the Capitals. Note that Philadelphia has allowed just 2.3 goals per game when coming off a loss by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons and faces an Islanders squad that has been held to three goals or less in seven straight games. Also note that the Flyers have allowed just 2.2 goals per game when playing at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last two seasons. The Isles check in off consecutive losses to the Bruins and are set up in an interesting situation here as they've posted an 0-6 o/u mark the last six times they've played on the road off a shutout loss, with those contests averaging just 2.7 total goals. The 'under' is also 6-0 when New York comes off a loss by three goals in its last game this season, with those games producing an average total of just 3.7 goals. Going back further, the 'under' is 14-3 with the Isles playing on the road off a road loss by three goals or more over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 4.5 goals. This series started off high-scoring this season with three of the first four meetings totaling exactly seven goals. Since then, we've seen the 'under' go a perfect 3-0 with all three contests totaling five goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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04-18-21 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and New Jersey at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. We've missed with the Devils on the puck-line in the last two games, just falling short yesterday with the Rangers tacking on a couple of last minute empty net goals. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as the scene shifts to Newark for Sunday's fourth consecutive game between these two teams. Note that the 'under' is 7-1 with the Devils playing with double-revenge this season, with those contests totaling just 4.6 goals on average. Better still, the 'under' is 6-0 with the Devils revenging consecutive losses against an opponent in which they allowed three goals or more, as is the case here. That situation has produced an average total of just 3.9 goals. Also note that the 'under' is 7-1 with the Rangers coming off three straight games scoring three goals or more with that spot totaling an average of only 4.8 goals. The 'under' is 15-7-1 when the Rangers play on the road this season, with their games totaling an average of 5.5 goals. Take the under (9*). |
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04-17-21 | Oilers v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
North Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. With the 'over' having cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams in Winnipeg and the Oilers itching to get back on the ice following an extended layoff, I'm expecting a high-scoring game on Saturday night. Note that Edmonton will be playing for the first time in a week due to Covid-related postponements against the Canucks. The 'over' is a perfect 7-0 the last seven times the Oilers have played on three or more days' rest over the last two seasons with those games averaging a whopping 9.0 total goals. Meanwhile, the Jets check in averaging 3.9 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more this season, as is the case here. When we last saw Edmonton play, it suffered a 5-0 loss at the hands of rival Calgary last Saturday. That actually sets up the Oilers quite well here as they average 3.7 goals per game after allowing five goals or more in their last game over the last two seasons. The 'under' has gone 2-0-1 in the last three meetings in this series but all three of those games were played in Edmonton. As I mentioned at the top, this has been a considerably higher-scoring matchup in games played in Winnipeg recently with two meetings here this season totaling 7 and 10 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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04-16-21 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday. We missed with the 'under' in Vegas' 6-2 win in Los Angeles two nights ago as the Kings long 'over' streak remained intact. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however, as the Golden Knights continue their California road trip in Anaheim on Friday night. The Ducks are coming off consecutive four-goal outbursts in victories over the Sharks in San Jose. That sets them up poorly here, however, noting that they've averaged just 1.8 goals per game when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 5.1 goals. Of course, that's pretty much par for the course for Anaheim here at home this season, where it averages just 1.9 goals per game. The Golden Knights average 3.1 goals per game on the road but check in averaging just 2.2 goals per game when playing their third game in five days over the last two seasons, as is the case here. That situation has produced an average total of just 4.7 goals with the 'under' cashing at a 14-5 clip. We've also seen the 'under' go 18-9 with the Knights playing on the road following a game where seven or more total goals were scored over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Ducks have posted an 0-6 o/u mark when at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent this season, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.0 goals. I'll also point out that three of the last five meetings here in Anaheim stayed 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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04-15-21 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Blackhawks are coming off consecutive 4-3 wins in Columbus while the Red Wings check in off back-to-back surprising victories in Carolina. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair, noting that the Blackhawks average just 2.4 goals per game on the road this season while Detroit has managed only 2.3 goals per game here at Little Caesar's Arena. It's also worth noting that three of the last four meetings in this series in Detroit have stayed 'under' the total. The Red Wings check in sporting a 2-12 o/u mark when coming off a win this season, with those games averaging a total of just 4.8 goals. The 'under' is also a perfect 6-0 with the Red Wings playing on home ice off a win by two goals or more with that situation producing 4.6 total goals on average. Finally, the 'under' is 8-1 with the Wings revenging a road loss by three goals or more against an opponent this season, as is the case here, with that spot averaging a total of 4.7 goals. For Chicago's part, it has posted a 2-9 o/u record when playing on the road off a one-goal win away from home over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average of 4.6 total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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04-15-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. With the Hurricanes coming off stunning back-to-back losses against the lowly Red Wings I expect to see them tighten things up against the surging Predators on Thursday, noting that Carolina has allowed just 2.2 goals per game on home ice this season. Nashville checks in with the 'under' having gone 8-1 when playing on the road off a home win by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those games averaging just 3.6 total goals. For its part, Carolina has posted a 1-10 o/u record when playing at home after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons, allowing just 1.9 goals per game in that situation with an average total of just 4.4 goals. Also note that the 'under' has cashed in two of the last three meetings between these two teams in Carolina. Take the under (10*). |
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04-14-21 | Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in the front half of this two-game set on Monday night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Wednesday. The Golden Knights have been a stout defensive team away from home this season, allowing just 2.3 goals per game with their road contests totaling an average of only 5.2 goals. Also note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Knights coming off a road win by two goals or more this season, as is the case here following Monday's 4-2 victory. That situation has produced only 3.1 total goals on average. For their part, the Kings have seen the 'under' go 29-17 when playing on home ice after losing two of their last three games overall, as is the case here. They've averaged just 2.3 goals per game in that spot and have generally been subpar offensively here at home all season, averaging 2.8 goals per game. On the flip side, we have seen the Kings tighten things up defensively in similar situations, allowing only 2.4 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more this season. It's worth noting that we saw the Knights skate to a 4-2 victory here in Los Angeles back on March 19th before the Kings answered with a low-scoring 3-1 win two nights later. While five of seven meetings this season have gone 'over' the total this season that only serves to give us value with the 'under' here as we're currently being offered a plus-money return (at the time of writing). Take the under (10*). |
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04-14-21 | Flames v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 102 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'm willing to take a flyer on the fact that the Flames are on a legitimate uptick defensively right now, having allowed just two goals in their last two games after getting torched (no pun intended) for 17 goals in their previous four contests. Note that Calgary checks in averaging just 2.5 goals per game when coming off a road win over a division opponent over the last two seasons and averages a miserable 2.2 goals per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have seen the 'under' cash in seven straight games when revenging a loss by two goals or more against an opponent, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.1 goals. For its part, Montreal averages just 2.1 goals per game when playing at home off a home win by two goals or more over the last two seasons. The last time these two teams met in Montreal the Flames skated to a 2-0 victory on January 30th. The 'under' has gone 3-0-1 in this series this season with the last three meetings totaling four goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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04-14-21 | Coyotes v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Minnesota at 2:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Coyotes were on quite a scoring tear prior to hitting a wall in their last two games, scoring just two goals combined in losses against the Golden Knights and Avalanche. This doesn't figure to be a great bounce-back spot as they wrap up a long nine-game road trip that will have taken them to five different cities. Note that the Coyotes have averaged a miserable 1.3 goals per game when playing their eighth game in the last 14 days over the last two seasons, with the 'under' cashing at an 8-1 clip in that situation and those games totaling just 4.0 goals on average. This doesn't figure to be an ideal breakout spot for the 'Yotes offense as they average just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season and face a Wild squad that allows only 2.1 goals per game on home ice. It's worth noting that Arizona has won just three of its last 30 games when revenging consecutive losses against an opponent by two goals or more, as is the case here, averaging just 1.9 goals per game in the process. It's been an interesting week for the Wild as they had Monday's game against St. Louis postponed due to unrest over a police shooting in the city and now play this rare midweek matinee affair. While Minnesota did score 12 goals in a two-game set against the Avalanche last week, that could be considered an outlier as the Wild have scored three goals or less in 12 of their last 14 games overall. This isn't an ideal spot for the Wild offensively as they've averaged just 2.0 goals per game when returning home off a one-goal road loss over the last three seasons. While the first two meetings in this series this season did find their way 'over' the total, the 'under' has now cashed in the last three and five of the last six matchups between these two teams in Minnesota. Take the under (9*). |
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04-12-21 | Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Monday. The Kings are inexplicably coming off four consecutive 'over' results but I look for a different story to unfold as they return home to host the Golden Knights on Monday. We won with the 'under' in Vegas' 1-0 victory over Arizona yesterday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Note that Vegas has averaged just 1.8 goals per game when coming off a shutout victory over the last two seasons. The Knights haven't been nearly as potent offensively on the road compared to at home this season, averaging 2.9 goals per game in the visitors role with the 'under' cashing at a 10-7-1 clip. Meanwhile, the Kings have seen the 'under' go 19-5 when playing at home off a win by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those games totaling just 4.4 goals on average. The 'under' is also 31-16 when Los Angeles comes off a game in which it scored four goals or more, as is the case here, with those contests totaling 5.0 goals on average. The last time the Golden Knights were in revenge mode in this series they posted a 4-1 victory back on March 29th, with that game cruising 'under' the total. They're in a similar position here after dropping a 4-2 decision against the Kings on March 31st. Look for another relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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04-11-21 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 103 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Vegas at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. We're going to go the contrarian route with this one given the 'over' has cashed in four of five meetings between these two teams this season, including a wild, high-scoring 7-4 Knights victory in the front half of this two-game set on Friday night. The Coyotes have now seen the 'over' cash in each of their last three games as they've uncharacteristically scored 12 goals while giving up 13 over that stretch. Note that Arizona has allowed just 2.0 goals per game after giving up five goals or more in a game this season. The Coyotes have averaged 3.8 goals per game themselves in that spot but I wouldn't count on that level of offensive production against a Knights squad that allows just 2.4 goals per game on home ice this season and prior to Friday's contest had given up three goals or less in four straight and six of their last seven games overall. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-3 with the Coyotes playing on the road off consecutive games where at least seven goals were scored, as is the case here, with those contests totaling just 4.8 goals on average. Take the under (10*). |
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04-10-21 | Kings v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Saturday. We saw a relatively high-scoring affair between these two teams last night even though the scoring did settle down over the game's final two periods. Still, the 'under' has cashed in five of the last seven meetings here in San Jose. Note that the Kings have allowed just 2.1 goals per game when coming off a loss by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons. While they've averaged 3.3 goals per game themselves in that situation, they just haven't scored with any consistency on the road this season, averaging just 2.6 goals per game while the Sharks have given up two goals or less in four of their last five contests overall. For San Jose's part, the 'under' has gone 25-15 when it comes off a game where seven goals or more were scored over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Look for a return to 'normal' in this series on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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04-10-21 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 103 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams last night with the Blues doing virtually all of the damage in a 9-1 victory. I would count on a repeat performance in tonight's rematch, noting that the Wild have allowed just 2.1 goals per game on average the last 28 times they've come off a loss by five goals or more. The 'under' has gone 13-3 with the Wild coming off consecutive games where seven total goals or more were scored over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling just 4.7 goals on average. The Blues scoring explosion last night could be considered an anomaly as they average just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. The 'under' has cashed in six of the last nine meetings in this series, including a 2-0 Wild victory in the lone previous meeting this season (prior to last night). Take the under (10*). |
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04-10-21 | Senators v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 5-6 | Win | 108 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. This game has true high-scoring potential as the Senators head to Toronto to face the rival Maple Leafs on Saturday. We actually won with the 'under' in the Sens last game - a 3-2 loss to the Oilers on Thursday. Here, Ottawa is in a tough spot as it hits the road, where it has allowed a ridiculous 4.6 goals per game this season. Worse still, the Sens give up 5.2 goals per game when on the road revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons with those contests totaling an average of 8.2 goals. There's reason to be confident in the Sens offense here though as well as Toronto has given up 3.8 goals per game when playing at home off a one-goal victory over a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those games producing an average total of 6.9 goals. Five of the last seven meetings between these two Ontario rivals in Toronto have gone 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-10-21 | Bruins v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Philadelphia at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the Bruins last game - a 4-2 victory in Washington on Thursday. Here, I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' as Boston faces Philadelphia for the third time in the last week. Note that the Flyers are coming off a 3-2 shootout loss against the Islanders on Thursday and have now been held to three goals or less in 10 of their last 11 games overall. On a positive note, we have seen Philadelphia's leaky defense and goaltending show some signs of improvement, allowing just 10 goals in regulation time over its last four games. Note that the 'under' is 24-10 when the Bruins come off consecutive 'over' result over the last three seasons with those contests totaling 5.3 goals on average. Better still, the 'under' is 23-12 when the Bruins play on the road off a division win over the last two seasons with those games reaching just 5.0 total goals. This has generally been a high-scoring series but I'll go the contrarian route here in this matinee affair on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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04-09-21 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Friday. We missed with the 'under' in the Coyotes most recent game - a 4-3 loss to the Kings on Wednesday night. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however, as I expect to see things to return to 'normal' after an extended stretch of Arizona 'over' results. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-2 with the Coyotes on the road after consecutive games that totaled seven goals or more over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.3 goals. While the 'Yotes have scored 18 goals over the first five games of this long road trip, they still average just 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. Vegas checks in off a 3-1 loss against the slumping Blues in St. Louis two nights ago. Note that the Golden Knights have allowed just 1.7 goals per game when coming off a road loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons. Of course, they've been terrific defensively at home this season, giving up just 2.3 goals per game. Conversely, the Knights have scored more than two goals just once in their last five contests. The 'under' has cashed in five of their last seven games overall. We've also seen the 'under' go 9-7 in the last 16 meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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04-08-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Capitals are back home after dropping three of five games on the road and are coming off a 1-0 setback against the Islanders two nights ago. Here, they're set up well for a high-scoring result, noting that they average 4.3 goals per game when returning home off at least four straight games on the road, with the 'over' cashing at a perfect 7-0 clip in that situation over the last three seasons. Those contests totaled an average of 7.9 goals. The Bruins have scored at least four goals in three of their last five games and face a Caps squad that has allowed 3.6 goals per game when revenging a loss against an opponent as a road favorite over the last two seasons, as is the case here. The 'over' has gone 18-6 in that situation with an average total goals scored of 7.1. Three of the last five meetings between these two teams here in Washington have gone 'over' the total. Take the over (9*). |
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04-08-21 | Oilers v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. We saw six total goals scored between these two teams last night with the Oilers scoring a couple of goals late including an empty-netter with just 1.5 seconds remaining in the third period. Here, I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair, noting that the 'under' has gone 8-1 this season when the Oilers play at home after losing four or five of their last six games, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. The 'under' is also 20-10 when the Senators play at home after giving up three goals or more in three consecutive games, as is the case here, over the last three seasons. That situation has produced an average total of 5.5 goals. Meanwhile, the Oilers average just 2.3 goals per game coming off a road win over a division opponent over the last three seasons. Edmonton checks in having allowed just 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. Take the under (9*). |
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04-07-21 | Coyotes v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Coyotes skated to a 5-2 victory in the front half of this two-game set in Los Angeles on Monday night. I look for things to return to 'normal' on Wednesday, however, in terms of offensive production. Note that Arizona averages just 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. Here, it faces a Kings squad that has allowed just 1.7 goals per game when coming off three consecutive losses on home ice over the last three seasons. Also note that the Coyotes average just 2.2 goals per game when playing on the road off a road win over the last three seasons, with the 'under' cashing at a 19-7 clip with an average total of just 5.0 goals in that situation. This hasn't been a particularly high-scoring series with the 'under' cashing in four of the last five meetings here at Staples Center. Take the under (9*). |
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04-07-21 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a high-scoring affair between these two teams on Monday night as the Avalanche stayed hot with a 5-4 victory. The 'over' has now cashed in four straight meetings in this series but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' has still cashed in four of the last seven meetings here in Minnesota. The Avs have posted a 4-12 o/u record when playing on the road off a one-goal road win over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 15-6 with the Wild playing at home following an 'over' result over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling just 4.9 goals on average. I'll also point out that the 'under' has gone 8-1 with the Wild playing with triple-revenge on home ice over the last three seasons, with those games reaching an average total of only 3.9 goals. The 'under' has cashed in 10 of Minnesota's 17 home games this season with the Wild allowing only 2.1 goals per game. This is certainly a tough challenge based on how well the Avs have been playing, but I'm anticipating a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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04-07-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Leafs are coming off a relatively high-scoring two-game set in Calgary on Sunday and Monday, with 14 total goals scored in those two contests. I look for the scoring to settle down on Wednesday, however, as they return home to host the rival Canadiens. Note that Toronto has now allowed three goals or less in eight straight games. The 'under' has gone 11-3 with the Leafs coming off a win by two goals or more this season with those games totaling an average of just 4.9 goals. Toronto has been solid defensively at home this season, giving up just 2.6 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have posted a 3-12 o/u record when revenging a loss against an opponent in which they gave up five goals or more over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of just 5.2 goals. Montreal isn't set up particularly well offensively here, even as it has scored 3.3 goals on the road this season, noting that it averages just 2.5 goals per game after winning four of its last five games over the last two seasons. Take the under (9*). |
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04-07-21 | Oilers v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Ottawa at 5:05 pm et on Wednesday. Note the early start time for this Wednesday matchup. The Senators are coming off consecutive high-scoring affairs, splitting games in Montreal and Winnipeg. We've seen a considerable home-road dichotomy when it comes to the Sens this season as they've posted a 7-12 o/u record here on home ice, with those games totaling just 5.6 goals on average. While Ottawa is thought of as one of the league's worst defensive teams, it has actually held its own here in Kanata, allowing just 2.8 goals per game. The Sens do of course have their issues between the pipes, with Marcus Hogberg potentially returning on Wednesday, following a conditioning stint. Keep in mind, the Oilers high-octane offense hasn't exactly been lighting it up lately, failing to score more than three goals in a game since potting four at home against the Jets back on March 20th. The 'under' has gone 10-7-1 in Edmonton road games this season and it has certainly held its own defensively in those games, giving up just 2.7 goals per contest. Note that the Sens have posted a 1-9 o/u mark when playing at home after losing two of their last three games, as is the case here today. The 'over' has cashed in the last two meetings in this series but both of those games were played in Edmonton. In their last two matchups here in Ottawa, the 'under' has cashed on both occasions. Take the under (9*). |
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04-06-21 | Predators v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Red Wings are coming off a stunning 5-1 win over the Lightning in Tampa on Sunday afternoon but I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair as they return home to host the Predators on Tuesday. The Predators are hot right now, winners of seven of their last eight games overall. Note, however, that they've scored more than three goals just once over their last seven contests, that coming in a seven-goal outburst against these same Red Wings back on March 25th. The Preds aren't set up particularly well here, noting that they average just 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road off a win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, with the 'under' going 12-3 in that situation with an average total of just 4.1 goals. For their part, the Wings have seen the 'under' go 10-2-1 off a win this season, with those games averaging a total of 4.8 goals. For all of its struggles, Detroit has actually been fairly tough in its own end here at home this season, allowing just 2.6 goals per game. The problem has been the Wings lacking offense as it scores just 2.4 goals per game here at Little Caesar's Arena. With both teams missing a number of key cogs up front due to injury, I'll call for a reasonably low-event game on Tuesday night in the Motor City. Take the under (10*). |
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04-06-21 | Penguins v. Rangers OVER 6 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Rangers are coming off consecutive low-scoring games in Buffalo, grabbing three of a total of four points in the process as they continue to fight to reach the postseason. Perhaps we can chalk up the fact that they managed to score only four goals in regulation time in those two games in Buffalo to New York's youth. It would have certainly been easy for the Rangers to overlook the lowly Sabres, especially coming off a hard-fought two-game split against the Capitals in which New York scored nine goals. Here, I look for the Rangers offense to get back on track at home, where they've averaged 3.3 goals per game this season, and square off against a Penguins squad that has given up a less than impressive 3.2 goals per game on the road. Perhaps not surprisingly, three of the last five meetings between these two teams in New York have gone 'over' the total. The Pens would like to tighten things up after suffering a wild 7-5 loss against the Bruins in Boston on Saturday. However, the trends don't point to that as they've posted a 10-2 o/u record when coming off a loss by two goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.7 goals. Also note that the 'over' is a perfect 6-0 when the Penguins come off a road loss by two goals or more this season with those games totaling an average of 7.3 goals. Meanwhile, the Rangers average 3.5 goals per game off a loss over the last two seasons. Take the over (10*). |
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04-04-21 | Coyotes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Anaheim at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. The Coyotes took the front half of this two-game set in Anaheim by a 4-2 score on Friday night but I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair in Sunday's rematch. Note that the Coyotes average just 2.3 goals per game when playing on the road after notching a road victory in which they scored four goals or more over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of 4.6 goals. The 'under' has cashed at a perfect 7-0 clip in that situation. Meanwhile, the Ducks average a miserable 1.6 goals per game when revenging a home loss by two goals or more this season. They've also allowed a whopping 4.1 goals in that situation but I do expect them to tighten things up tonight and Arizona is unlikely to turn in another high-scoring effort, noting it averages just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. Finally, Anaheim has posted a 4-12 o/u record after losing two of its last three games this season with those contests totaling just 4.8 goals on average. Take the under (10*). |
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04-04-21 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
NHL North Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. The Leafs are coming off back-to-back low-scoring victories in Winnipeg to open this road trip but I expect a different story to unfold in Calgary on Sunday. Note that Toronto averages 3.1 goals per game on the road this season so the fact that it scored just four goals in regulation time in those two games in Winnipeg could be considered an anomaly. Here, they should find the going a little easier against a Flames squad that isn't getting good goaltending right now and allows 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. Note that the 'over' has gone 16-6 when the Leafs come off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last three seasons with those games averaging 6.8 total goals. The Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game when coming off consecutive 'under' results this season. Meanwhile, the Flames have seen the 'over' go 22-9 when playing at home revenging a loss against an opponent over the last three seasons with those contests averaging 7.3 total goals. Two of the last three meetings in this series in Calgary have gone 'over' the total including a 4-3 Leafs victory here back on January 26th. Take the over (10*). |
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04-03-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Nashville at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw two low-scoring games between these two teams in Chicago last weekend but I look for a different story to unfold as the scene shifts to Nashville on Saturday afternoon. The Blackhawks fell just short against Carolina on Thursday (we won with the Hurricanes), scoring three goals in the process. They now fall into a situation that has seen the 'over' cash at a 33-17 clip when they play on the road following a loss over the last three seasons, with those games averaging 6.8 total goals. Meanwhile, the Preds haven't posted an 'over' result since March 25th. Note that the 'over' is 8-1 when Nashville comes off at least three consecutive 'under' results over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling 7.3 goals on average. I should also point out that the Blackhawks average 4.1 goals per game when seeking revenge for three straight losses against an opponent, as is the case here, over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.6 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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04-03-21 | Penguins v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. These two teams were involved in a low-scoring affair in the front half of this two-game set in Boston on Thursday night and I'm anticipating more of the same on Saturday afternoon. Note that Bruins home games are averaging just 5.1 total goals this season, with the 'under' cashing at a 10-5 clip. The 'under' has gone 12-4 with the Penguins allowing just 2.1 goals per game when playing on the road off a win by two goals ore more over a division opponent in their last game over the lats two seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 4.9 goals. On the flip side, the Bruins have given up just 1.8 goals per game when playing at home after scoring just one goal in their previous contest over the last three seasons. The 'under' has cashed in five of the last six meetings in this series played here in Boston and all five previous matchups this season. Take the under (10*). |
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04-02-21 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 108 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Friday. We got burned by two goals in the final 12 seconds to spoil our 'under' play in the Sharks most recent game - a 4-2 victory over the Wild on Wednesday night. Undeterred, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as San Jose heads out on the road to face the rival Kings. Los Angeles is coming off a somewhat surprising 4-2 win in Las Vegas on Wednesday. That sets up the Kings rather poorly here, however, noting that they average just 2.2 goals per game when coming off a win over a division opponent over the last three seasons. The 'under' has cashed at a 25-11 clip in that situation, with an average total of just 5.0 goals scored. Better still, the 'under' is 12-2 when the Kings play at home off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average of just 3.7 total goals. Also note that the 'under' is 9-2 when Los Angeles plays with revenge for a road loss against an opponent by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those contests totaling just 4.5 goals on average. San Jose averages only 2.2 goals per game following an 'over' result over the last two seasons. Finally, we've seen the 'under' cash in six of 10 meetings between these two teams over the last three seasons. Take the under (9*). |
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04-02-21 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Friday. This might be one of our last opportunities to play 'over' 5.5 goals in a game involving the Avs for a while given the way they've been performing lately. There's little reason to expect the Blues to knock them off stride here, noting that St. Louis has allowed 4.2 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored five goals or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Colorado is an excellent positive momentum play here having averaged a whopping 5.1 goals per game after winning its last two games by two goals or more this season, with that situation producing 7.4 total goals on average. The Avs are averaging an impressive 4.0 goals per game on home ice this season. Interestingly, St. Louis has been a better offensive team on the road than at home, scoring 3.1 goals per game. The Blues check in having scored just four goals combined over their last four games but have averaged a solid 3.3 goals per game when coming off an 'under' result over the last two seasons, and I wouldn't expect this offense to stay down for too long. Take the over (9*). |
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04-01-21 | Hurricanes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We saw a tightly-contested, low-scoring game between these two teams two nights ago at the United Center but I look for a much different story to unfold on Thursday. The Canes offense got a boost with the return of Victor Trocheck on Tuesday and he wasted no time contributing, chipping in with an assist on their lone goal in over 18 minutes played while also firing six shots on goal. Look for the Canes offense to get rewarded here on Thursday as they face a Blackhawks squad that has allowed a whopping 3.9 goals per game when playing at home after a one-goal victory over the last three seasons, with that situation producing 7.7 total goals on average with the 'over' cashing at a 12-3 clip. The 'over' has gone 25-13 when the Blackhawks play at home off a win over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.8 goals. Carolina averages 3.1 goals per game on the road this season and prior to Tuesday's game had been playing well, scoring 11 goals during a three-game winning streak. Note that Tuesday's 'under' result was the first of its kind in this series this season with the previous three meetings totaling 7, 10 and 8 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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03-31-21 | Wild v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the front half of this two-game set between the Wild and Sharks on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' on Wednesday. Minnesota has now been held to three goals or less in seven consecutive games and doesn't figure to break out of that scoring slump here, noting that it averages just 2.3 goals per game when revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Likewise, the 'under' is 35-21 and the Wild average 2.3 goals per game when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of 5.1 goals. Despite Monday's four-goal outburst, the Sharks are still averaging just 2.7 goals per game on home ice this season. They average just 2.2 goals per game when playing at home off a game where seven or more goals were scored over the last two seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-31-21 | Coyotes v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Avalanche have served 'over' bettors very well lately, posting a 7-1 o/u record over their last eight games. Likewise, the Coyotes have seen the 'over' cash in four of their last five contests overall. I look for a reversal of sorts here, however, as the Avs look for some revenge for a 5-4 loss in Arizona on March 23rd. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 when Colorado revenges a road loss against an opponent this season, giving up just 1.2 goals per game in that situation with an average total of just 4.0 goals scored. We've also seen the Avs allow just 2.0 goals per game when coming off a home win by two goals or more over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Arizona has proven to be a streaky team offensively, noting it averages just 2.0 goals per game following an 'under' result this season, as is the case here. The 'under' has gone 34-17 when the Coyotes follow a game where four total goals or less were scored over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.9 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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03-30-21 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Blue Jackets simply aren't scoring right now, managing three goals or less in each of their last seven games and one goal or less in three of their last four. While the Lightning are known for their offense, they've been even sharper defensively here at home, where they allow just 2.0 goals per game on the season. Tampa Bay has reason to tighten things up here as it returns home off consecutive 4-3 losses in Dallas and Carolina. The loss in Carolina was particularly frustrating as it grabbed an early 2-0 lead before a disastrous second period that saw it give up three unanswered goals. While Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed four goals in back-to-back games that is largely due to Tampa giving up 40+ shots in those two contests. I'm confident we'll see a strong bounce-back performance from Vasilevskiy and the Lightning here. Note that Columbus has allowed just 1.6 goals per game after losing two or more games in a row on the road over the last three seasons, posting a 2-10 o/u record in that spot. Conversely, the Blue Jackets average just 2.1 goals per game when playing a third consecutive game on the road over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with the 'under' going 21-6 in that situation with an average of just 4.4 total goals scored. The Lightning average just 2.8 goals per game off consecutive 'over' results over the last two seasons, which is significant considering they average 3.7 goals per game overall this season. Take the under (10*). |
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03-30-21 | Capitals v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams combined to score nine goals thanks to a wild third period on Sunday in Washington (the Capitals led the game 3-0 entering the third period before hanging on for a 5-4 win). I expect a lower-scoring affair in Tuesday night's rematch in Manhattan. The Caps have now scored four goals or more in three straight games but should face a tough challenge keeping that streak alive here, noting that the Rangers have allowed just 2.3 goals on average following a loss this season and have given up just 2.1 goals per game in 14 situations coming off a game where 9+ goals were scored over the last three seasons. Keep in mind, they held the Caps to just three goals combined in splitting a two-game set in Washington a couple of weeks ago. The Capitals will be venturing out on the road for the first time since March 15th. They boosted their scoring average away from home thanks to their last four road games coming against two of the league's worst defensive teams in Philadelphia and Buffalo. Here, they'll face a Rangers squad that allows just 2.7 goals per game on home ice this season. Take the under (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Wild v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Monday. While both of these teams are coming off relatively low-scoring affairs last time out I'm expecting a different story to unfold on Monday night in San Jose. The Wild are coming off a perfect 3-0 homestand that also saw the 'under' go a perfect 3-0. They shut out the Blues 2-0 the last time they took the ice on Thursday. Note that the road hasn't been quite as kind to Minnesota this season as it has allowed 3.0 goals per game in a visitors role. I'll also point to the fact that the 'over' is a perfect 6-0 when the Wild come off six or seven wins in their last eight games this season, allowing a whopping 4.5 goals per game in that spot with those contests totaling an average of 6.7 goals. The Sharks couldn't keep the positive momentum building off consecutive home wins over the rival Kings, dropping back-to-back games in Arizona on Friday and Saturday. They were held off the scoreboard entirely in Saturday's 4-0 drubbing but I do expect a solid bounce-back performance here. Note that San Jose is averaging 3.4 goals per game following an 'under' result over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.5 goals. Playing at home off a shutout loss, the Sharks have averaged 3.3 goals per game in the long-term picture, with the 'over' cashing at a 41-21 clip. The three previous meetings between these two teams this season have averaged 7.0 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Islanders v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While the Islanders have managed to take four of a possible six points on their current road trip, head coach Barry Trotz can't be happy with his team's performance over the last two games as they've given up a whopping nine goals, including a 6-3 loss to these same Penguins on Saturday. That sets us up well to play the 'under' in Monday's rematch, noting that the 'under' is 11-3 when the Isles play on the road revenging a loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the last two seasons, with those games totaling just 4.8 goals on average. Also note that New York has allowed just 1.6 goals per game after allowing three goals or more in consecutive games this season, with the 'under' going 9-2 in that spot and those contests totaling an average of just 4.1 goals. For their part, the Pens have posted an 0-6 o/u record when playing at home off three straight wins by multiple goals, as is the case here. That situation, albeit with a small sample size, has produced an average of just 4.1 total goals. Finally, the Isles check in having given up a minuscule 0.8 goals per game when coming off consecutive 'over' results this season. That situation has only come up six times with the 'under' going a perfect 6-0. Take the under (10*). |
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03-29-21 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
NHL North Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The front half of this two-game set found its way 'over' the total no Saturday night as the Leafs delivered a 4-3 victory on home ice. I see value with the 'under' on Monday, however. While both teams are known for their offenses, both have also proven capable defensively, with Edmonton allowing just 2.7 goals per game on the road and Toronto giving up 2.6 goals per game on home ice. Note that the 'under' has gone 13-4 when the Oilers play on the road off a road game where both teams scored at least three goals over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with those games producing an average total of 5.3 goals. The 'under' has also gone 50-29 when the Oilers come off a game where there were seven or more goals scored over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 5.8 goals. Edmonton has generally been a solid bounce-back play on the road, giving up just 2.3 goals per game when playing away from home off a loss over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Toronto averages only 2.3 goals per game coming off a one-goal win at home over the last two seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-21 | Panthers v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Dallas at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Panthers last night as they pulled out an overtime victory to snap their three-game losing streak. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as I anticipate a low-scoring affair in Big D. While Florida does average an impressive 3.6 goals per game on the road this season it remains undermanned with Sasha Barkov unlikely to return to the lineup on Sunday and Patric Hornqvist sidelined for an extended period. Note that the Stars have given up just 2.3 goals per game when coming off a loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons with those games totaling an average of just 4.8 goals. On the flip side, the Stars average just 2.1 goals per game following consecutive contests where both teams scored three or more goals over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Prior to last night's contest, the first three meetings between these two teams this season all produced five goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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03-26-21 | Jets v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Calgary at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Flames ran into a wall offensively on their most recent road trip, scoring just two goals over their last three games in Toronto and Ottawa after opening the trip with a four-goal outburst against the Leafs. At the face of it, scoring two goals in two games against the Senators looks awful. However, the Sens have been doing a much better job of keeping the puck out of their net, clearly placing a major emphasis on playing sound defense during their homestand. Just ask the Leafs, who scored just two goals in regulation time before escaping with an overtime win in Ottawa last night. Now Calgary finally returns home, where it averages 3.3 goals per game this season. It catches the Jets in a favorable situation here, noting that Winnipeg has allowed 3.9 goals per game when coming off a division road win over the last two seasons, with the 'over' going 12-2 in that situation, and those games averaging 7.3 total goals. Winnipeg has also allowed 3.7 goals per game following a win by four goals or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here following Wednesday's 5-1 win. The Jets have been one of the best offensive teams on the road this season, averaging 3.2 goals per game in enemy territory. Winnipeg averages 3.5 goals per game when revenging a loss against an opponent this season, with those games totaling just north of six goals on average. Take the over (10*). |
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03-25-21 | Red Wings v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in this matchup two nights ago and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Thursday. Detroit has been shutout in each of its last two games and checks in averaging a miserable 2.0 goals per game on the road this season. There's little reason to anticipate much progression here, noting that Detroit averages just 1.7 goals per game when playing on the road off a road loss over the last two seasons and 1.9 goals per game when revenging a road loss by two goals or more against an opponent over the same period. While the Wings are by no means a good defensive team, the Predators aren't likely to run it up on them, noting that Nashville averages only 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season and has scored more than three goals in regulation time just once in its last eight games. It's worth noting that Nashville averages just 2.2 goals per game after winning four of its last five games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. We've seen the 'under' cash in three of the last five meetings between these two teams in Nashville. Take the under (10*). |
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03-25-21 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This will be the fourth consecutive game between the Hurricanes and Blue Jackets with the previous three all staying 'under' the total. I look for that trend to continue on Thursday. After Tuesday's 3-0 shutout loss, it's worth noting that the Jackets haven't exactly thrived in a bounce-back role, averaging just 2.4 goals per game when revenging a loss by three goals or more over the last three seasons, with those games averaging a total of just 5.3 goals. The 'under' has gone 25-9 when Columbus plays at home after winning two of its last three games, with those contests totaling an average of 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes average a miserable 1.7 goals per game when playing on the road following a game where three goals or less were scored, as is the case here, with those games averaging only 4.8 total goals. That same situation has produced a 3-12 o/u record over the last two seasons. I always like to say that familiarity lends itself to low-scoring games and with this being the seventh meeting between these two teams this season, I'm anticipating another relatively low-scoring affair here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-24-21 | Kings v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Rivalry Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams were involved in a low-scoring affair two nights ago as the Sharks skated to a 2-1 victory on home ice. I'm expecting a higher-scoring contest on Wednesday night. Note that while San Jose gave up just one goal in Monday's game, it has still allowed 3.6 goals per game on home ice this season. The 'over' is 19-9 when the Sharks come off a game in which they allowed one goal or less over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.5 goals. I'll also point out that the 'over' is 16-6 when San Jose plays at home off a win over a division opponent over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of 7.0 goals. The Kings average a respectable 2.9 goals per game when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent over the last two seasons but also allow 3.6 goals per game coming off a game where four goals or less were scored over the last three seasons. Prior to Monday, the two previous meetings between these two rivals this season both produced at least seven goals. Take the over (10*). |
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03-23-21 | Lightning v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in this same matchup last week but I'm going to come back with the same play in the rematch on Tuesday night. We won with the Lightning on Sunday as they poured it on late for a 5-3 victory over the Panthers. While they're certainly the superior team in this matchup, Dallas is set up reasonably well having allowed just 2.2 goals per game coming off a loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, and giving up just 2.6 goals per game on average at home this season. Note that the 'under' is 20-6 when the Stars play at home off of three losses in their last four games over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.9 goals. This will mark the 10th meeting between these two teams since the start of 2020 with Tampa holding Dallas to three goals or less in seven of the last nine matchups. Take the under (10*). |
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03-23-21 | Red Wings v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Obviously the looming possibility of Thomas Greiss getting the start in goal for the Red Wings is concerning (Greiss has been awful this season) but I think it is offset by the way this situation sets up in general, supporting a play on the 'under'. The Predators are coming off an encouraging road trip that saw them win four games while also grabbing a point in an overtime loss over the course of eight games. This quote from Ryan Johansen has me concerned a letdown could be in order on Tuesday, however. "This was a make-or-break trip for us. We had to find a way to get points and win some games, and then we did that." Note that the 'under' has gone 10-2 with the Preds returning home following a road win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.0 goals. Better still, the 'under' is 10-1 when the Preds return home following a road win in which they scored four or more goals over the last three seasons, as is the case here. That spot has produced an average total of just 3.8 goals. Meanwhile, the Red Wings scoring woes have been well-documented. They average just 1.9 goals per game when playing on the road following a division game over the last two seasons. On a positive note for Detroit, Nashville averages just 2.1 goals per game after winning three of its last four games over the last two seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-23-21 | Devils v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 112 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Devils are coming off six consecutive 'under' results but it's worth noting that five of those games were played at home (where they've been involved in mostly low-scoring affairs this season) and the lone road game came in Pittsburgh against a Penguins team that has been involved in a string of low-scoring games lately. We've seen quite a contrast in the Devils results at home compared to on the road. Note that New Jersey is averaging 3.2 goals per game away from home this season while giving up 3.0 goals per contest on a whopping 35.6 shots on goal per game. The 'over' has cashed at an 8-4 clip when New Jersey plays on the road compared to a 4-13 o/u mark on home ice. We won with the 'under' in the Flyers overtime loss here at home against the Islanders last night, snapping Philadelphia's streak of seven straight 'over' results. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 7-0 when the Flyers come off two straight losses against division opponents over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of 8.3 goals. The 'over' is also a perfect 7-0 when Philadelphia checks in having lost three of its last four games over the last two seasons with that situation producing 8.4 total goals on average. After being held to just six goals in a three-game set with the Penguins, the Devils should be excited at the prospect of facing a Flyers squad that has given up at least four goals in six of their last eight games overall. Take the over (10*). |
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03-22-21 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While I don't generally play a lot of Flyers 'unders' (for obvious reasons), I do like the way the spot sets up on Monday night. The Isles have of course shown a strong home-road dichotomy when it comes to totals this season. The 'under' has gone 14-2 in their 16 road games to date, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. Also note that the 'under' is a perfect 8-0 when the Isles play on the road after a home win against a division opponent over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of just 3.7 goals. Meanwhile, the Flyers have posted a 1-8 o/u mark when at home revenging a loss by 4+ goals against an opponent over the last three seasons with those games totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. The 'under' is also 11-3 when the Flyers play on home ice after three consecutive games that saw at least seven goals scored, as is the case here. That situation has totaled an average of 4.8 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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03-21-21 | Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Los Angeles at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in this matchup on Friday night as the Knights skated to a 4-2 win to send it 'over' the total. I'll make the same play again on Sunday, however, noting that the 'under' has gone 24-12 when the Kings play at home after losing three of their last four games over the last two seasons. The Knights are giving up just 2.1 goals per game following an 'over' result this season. The 'under' is a solid 56-36 when they play for the fourth time in the last seven days over the last three seasons as well. With the 'over' having cashed in three straight meetings, we're seeing the total shaded to the over again here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-19-21 | Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Friday. We've somewhat surprisingly seen a pair of high-scoring games between these two teams this season but I look for a return to 'normal' on Friday night as Vegas puts its four-game winning streak on the line in Los Angeles. Note that Vegas is giving up just 1.5 goals per game when going on the road off a one-goal victory over the last two seasons, with the 'under' cashing at a 10-2 clip in that situation. The Knights are of course coming off consecutive one-goal wins over the Sharks earlier this week (we won with San Jose on the puck-line in both of those games). Meanwhile, the Kings have posted a 1-11 o/u record when playing at home off a win by 2+ goals against a division opponent over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of just 3.6 goals. The Kings posted a 4-1 victory over the reeling Blues two nights ago after that game was postponed on Monday with L.A. stuck in Denver due to a snowstorm. The Knights are allowing just 2.2 goals per game on the road this season but the Kings have been no slouches at home either, giving up just 2.7 goals per contest. They haven't given up more than three goals in a game here at Staples Center since back on February 9th against San Jose. Take the under (10*). |
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03-18-21 | Stars v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Detroit's most recent game - a 4-2 victory over Carolina on Tuesday night. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however, as the Wings host the Stars on Thursday night. Dallas suffered a 4-3 shootout loss against Tampa Bay two nights ago as it continues to struggle to post consecutive victories. Now the Stars head back on the road where they average just 2.4 goals per game this season. While the Red Wings are coming off a four-goal outburst on Tuesday, their offensive struggles have been well-documented. Note that they've posted an 0-6 o/u record when revenging a loss where they gave up 5+ goals this season, averaging just 1.3 goals per game in that situation. The 'under' is also 9-2 when the Wings come off a home win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, with those games averaging just 5.1 total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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03-18-21 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Hurricanes will undoubtedly be in a foul mood on Thursday night after dropping a 4-2 decision against the lowly Red Wings in Detroit on Tuesday. That game saw three power play goals scored in the first 13 minutes but only three more were scored the rest of the way including a Wings empty net goal. I look for a strong bounce-back performance from the Canes here at home against the Blue Jackets, who average just 2.1 goals per game on the road this season. Columbus is also looking to bounce back after suffering a 2-1 shootout loss against the Stars on Sunday. Note that the 'under' is 30-16 when the Blue Jackets come off a one-goal loss in their last game over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-16-21 | Lightning v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Lightning finally saw their 'over' streak come to an end at five games in yesterday's 4-1 home loss to the Predators. While Tampa Bay had been lighting it up offensively prior to that contest, that had a lot to do with its schedule, having faced only the Blackhawks, Red Wings and Predators since the beginning of March. The last time the Lightning faced the Stars was on February 27th, when they skated to a 5-0 victory. That actually sets up the 'under' well in this spot, noting that Dallas has posted a 3-12 o/u record at home when revenging a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those games averaging just 4.4 total goals. While Dallas has been a general disappointment this season, it has performed reasonably well at home, where it gives up just 2.4 goals per game. Also note that the Stars have posted a 3-13 o/u record when returning home off a road game over the last two seasons, giving up just 2.2 goals per game in that situation. Take the under (10*). |
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03-15-21 | Oilers v. Flames UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Flames went back to basics against the Canadiens over the last two games and it paid off as they posted consecutive low-scoring victories, 2-1 and 3-1. They'll host the rival Oilers on Monday night and I'm anticipating another relatively low-scoring affair. The Oilers had a couple of offensive explosions against the Senators last week but outside of that, they've had a bit of a tough time offensively, scoring three goals or less in seven of their last nine games overall, including a 2-1 loss in Vancouver on Saturday. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-3 when the Oilers play on the road off a loss over the last two seasons, with those games averaging just 5.2 total goals. Better still, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 when Edmonton plays on the road after scoring one goal or less in its last game over the last two seasons, with those contests averaging just 4.3 total goals. Calgary has been pretty tough defensively on home ice this season, allowing just 2.6 goals per game and 27.2 shots on goal per game. Both numbers represent vast improvements over how they've performed on the road. Take the under (10*). |
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03-15-21 | Bruins v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll call for a relatively low-scoring game between these two rivals on Monday night as the Bruins look to rebound following Saturday's 4-0 drubbing at the hands of the Rangers while the Penguins aim to keep rolling off five straight victories. Note that the previous two meetings between these two teams this season have both stayed 'under' 5.5 goals. The 'under' is 8-1 when the Bruins play on the road off a loss by two goals or more against a division opponent over the last two seasons with those games totaling just 4.9 goals on average. The Pens have been outstanding at home this season, going 11-2 while averaging an impressive 3.9 goals per game. However, they average just 2.4 goals per game when coming off a win by three goals or more against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling just 4.8 total goals on average. Take the under (10*). |
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03-15-21 | Capitals v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Sabres are in dire straights right now, having lost 10 consecutive games with no signs of turning things around. On a positive note, they did hold the Penguins to a single goal before giving up a pair of empty-net goals late in Saturday's 3-0 loss. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 8-0 when the Sabres come off a shutout loss over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of just 4.7 goals. The Capitals have won four games in a row and check in having scored exactly five goals in three straight games. That's obviously not a sustainable trend, noting that prior to that stretch the Caps had scored a grand total of nine goals in their last four games. The 'under' has gone an incredible 41-14 when a team that has allowed three goals or more in four straight games faces an opponent coming off three straight games where eight or more total goals were scored. Take the under (10*). |
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03-14-21 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Detroit at 5:05 pm et on Sunday. The Red Wings have been involved in some improbably high-scoring games lately (considering how many low-scoring contests they were involved in during the first month of the season. The 'over' actually checks in 6-1 in the Wings last seven games. I believe we're in line for a low-scoring affair in the Motor City on Sunday, however, with the Hurricanes rolling into town. This is obviously a bit of a tough spot for the Canes from a motivation standpoint. They come in on the heels of seven straight wins and a four-game homestand. That homestand is notable as they average just 1.0 goal per game (you read that right) the last seven times they've gone on the road following four consecutive games at home over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the Red Wings have averaged just 1.7 goals per game when playing at home revenging a loss where they gave up five goals or more (as is the case here) over the last two seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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03-12-21 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Ducks have now seen the 'over' cash in three straight games but I look for that streak to come to an end on Friday night. Note that the last 11 times the Ducks have come off three consecutive 'over' results, the 'under' has gone 9-2 with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. The 'under' is also a stellar 10-1 when the Ducks play at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, with those games totaling a ridiculously low average of 4.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Sharks notched a win over the Blues last time out but that sets them up poorly here as they average just 1.8 goals per game off a victory this season. The last two meetings in this series have totaled just five and three goals. Take the under (10*). |
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03-11-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -122 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Tuesday's matchup between these two teams but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Thursday. Note that the Stars are allowing just 2.1 goals per game at home off a home win by two goals or more over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. Dallas' six-goal outburst on Tuesday was uncharacteristic, noting that it has averaged just 2.4 goals per game after losing four or five of its last six games over the last two seasons. As far as the Blackhawks go, virtually all signs point to a high-scoring result as that has been the long-term trend. However, this season they're averaging just 2.4 goals per game on the road. They've scored a grand total of 10 goals in the last six meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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03-11-21 | Rangers v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Bruins are coming off consecutive low-scoring results with a grand total of just three goals scored in regulation time in losses against the Devils and Islanders. I look for a different story to unfold on Thursday as they welcome the Rangers to TD Garden. Note that the Rangers have seen the 'over' go 5-2-1 over their last eight contests. The main reason we're dealing with a reasonably low total here is the fact that three of four meetings between these two teams this season have totaled five goals or less. This one sets up well as a high-scoring affair, however, noting that the 'over' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Bruins come off consecutive games where four goals or less were scored with those games totaling an average of 7.8 goals. Also note that the Rangers have posted a 9-1 o/u record when coming off a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of 7.6 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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03-10-21 | Kings v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in this matchup on Monday night as the Kings and Ducks were involved in an uncharacteristically high-scoring affair. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday night, however. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Ducks follow two consecutive games in which they scored four goals or more over the last three seasons. In those games, Anaheim averaged just 1.6 goals with the games reaching an average total of just 4.4 goals. Meanwhile, the Kings have posted a 2-13 o/u mark after scoring five goals or more in their previous contest over the last three seasons, averaging just 2.1 goals per game with those games totaling an average of only 4.4 goals. Keep in mind, prior to Monday's game, the last three meetings in this series had produced no more than four total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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03-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. We were involved in a couple of games involving these teams over the weekend, cashing with the Stars in Saturday's 5-0 victory over Columbus and successfully fading the Blackhawks in Sunday's 6-3 loss to the Lightning. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair between these division rivals. Note that the Blackhawks are averaging just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. Interestingly, playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games the Blackhawks have played to an average total of just 3.4 goals. The Stars have posted a 3-12 o/u mark when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. This series has been an 'under' bettors dream in recent years with each of the last five matchups, including both this season, totaling three goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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03-08-21 | Kings v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -128 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off relatively high-scoring results last time out with the Kings defeating the Blues 4-3 and the Ducks upsetting the Avalanche by a 5-4 score. Here, I look for a return to 'normal' for both teams as they tangle in what figures to be a low-scoring affair on Monday night. Note that the Kings have averaged just two goals per game when on the road after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. They're averaging an identical two goals per game after scoring four goals or more in a home victory over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Ducks average a miserable 1.9 goals per game as well after recording a one-goal win in their last game over the last two seasons. The last three meetings in this series have totaled just three, four and four total goals, with the latter coming in the lone previous matchup this season. Take the under (10*). |
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03-03-21 | Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Blues are coming off two straight high-scoring games, including a 5-4 win here in Anaheim two nights ago. I'm expecting a reversal of sorts on Wednesday night as the Ducks look to bring an end to their seven-game losing streak. Note that the 'under' is 11-2 when the Blues come off consecutive games where at least seven goals were scored, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-1 when the Ducks look to revenge a one-goal loss against an opponent, with those games reaching an average total of only 3.9 goals. Finally, the Ducks have posted a 4-14 o/u mark following five or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons, with those games averaging exactly five goals. This could certainly be seen as a flat spot for the Blues off back-to-back wild, one-goal road wins while Anaheim needs to ratchet up the intensity and snap their long skid before a tough two-game set in Colorado. Take the under (10*). |