Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-25-21 | Devils v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 109 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New Jersey and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. After seeing a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams two nights ago I look for a reversal of sorts on Thursday as the scene shifts to Buffalo for the rematch. The Devils have been held to three goals or less in four straight games but despite scoring just once in Tuesday's loss, they did manage to fire 42 shots on goal in what was actually a fairly wide-open affair despite only five goals being scored (79 combined shots on goal). Note that the 'over' has gone 23-9 when the Devils come off three losses in their last four games over the last three seasons with those games reaching an average total of 6.9 goals. The 'over' is a perfect 6-0 when the Devils come off a home loss against a divisional opponent over the last two seasons with New Jersey allowing a whopping 4.8 goals per game in that situation and those contests totaling an average of 7.5 goals. While the 'under' has gone 18-8 when the Sabres are coming off five or six losses in their last seven games over the last two seasons, those contests have actually totaled an average of six goals. The total has quite simply been set too low for this one. Take the over (10*). |
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02-19-21 | Panthers v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the Red Wings most recent game - a 2-0 home loss to the Blackhawks on Wednesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the Red Wings host the Panthers. Florida has won consecutive games but has been playing with fire a little bit, giving up seven goals in those two victories and a whopping 13 goals over its last three games overall. Look for the Panthers to make a concerted effort to settle things down here on Friday and the Red Wings should oblige them. Detroit has struggled to score goals all season and a breakout doesn't figure to be anywhere in sight. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 when the Panthers come off consecutive games where both teams scored three or more goals over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 7-1 when the Red Wings revenge a loss versus their opponent this season, with those games reaching an average of 4.5 total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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02-18-21 | Kings v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in the Kings 4-0 win over the Wild two nights ago and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Thursday. Note that the 'under' is 13-1 when the Kings come off a home win by three goals or more over the last three seasons with those games averaging just 4.5 total goals. When you consider only road games in that particular situation, the 'under' has gone 8-1 and those games totaled an average of only four goals. While the Coyotes have posted a 4-4-1 o/u record at home this season, games here in Glendale are averaging just 4.8 total goals. Also note that six of the last seven meetings in this series have stayed 'under' the total. We'll stick with the trends here. Take the under (10*). |
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02-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams skated to a low-scoring game two nights ago with the Blackhawks emerging victorious by a 2-1 score in overtime. I believe we're in for another low-scoring contest on Wednesday as Chicago aims for its third straight win. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 when the Blackhawks have won two of their last three games this season, with those games averaging just four total goals. The 'under' is also a perfect 6-0 when the Red Wings follow a one-goal home loss over the last two seasons, with those contests averaging just 4.1 total goals. Detroit has been one of the league's best 'under' bets this season and I look for that trend to continue tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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02-16-21 | Wild v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. With the Kings coming off four straight 'over' results, I look for things to return to 'normal' on Tuesday night with a low-scoring contest in Los Angeles. Note that the Kings fall into a 12-1 'under' situation here where they come off a win by three goals or more. That situation has produced games averaging just 4.6 total goals over the last three seasons. Factor in the fact that the blowout win came against a division opponent and that scoring average in the next game drops to just 4.3 goals. Note that the Wild have gone 3-2 on the road this season with those games totaling an average of just 4.6 goals. This will be Minnesota's first game in two weeks due to Covid protocols. We saw what happened when the Avalanche returned to the ice following a long layoff on Sunday as they were shutout 1-0 in Las Vegas. Take the under (10*). |
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02-10-21 | Maple Leafs v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I think bettors had come to expect high-scoring results from the Leafs every night after they drummed the Canucks to the tune of 12 goals in consecutive games last week. However, on Monday night, Toronto scored just three times, albeit in another victory over Vancouver. As the Leafs schedule toughens up I expect to see a continued reversion to the mean offensively. The last time these two rivals met was on opening night when the Leafs rallied from 3-1 and 4-3 down to secure a 5-4 overtime victory. Since then, the Canadiens have given up more than three goals in a game only once - and that was in a shootout victory over the aforementioned Canucks. Like the Leafs, the Habs had been on fire offensively but have since cooled, scoring just four goals in their last two games, against the lowly Senators no less. Sure, these two teams have the potential to light up the scoreboard, but I'll take the contrarian route and call for a lower-scoring affair than we saw in the season-opener. Take the under (10*). |
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02-10-21 | Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
NHL TV Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rangers may have plenty of offensive firepower on paper but that hasn't translated to much success on the ice, noting that they rank 24th in the league in goals per game. They'll be in tough looking for a breakout performance against a Bruins squad that ranks T2nd in goals per game allowed and tops in the league in shots per game allowed. That's not to mention their second overall rank in terms of penalty kill percentage. Perhaps the Rangers saving grace here will be that the B's have been idle for nearly a week due to a couple of Covid-related postponements and the fact that they rank in virtually the middle of the pack in terms of goals per game. New York ranks in the league's top 10 in goals per game allowed and should hold its own in this Original Six matchup. Take the under (10*) |
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02-09-21 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -121 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. Incredibly, 14 of the last 16 regular season meetings between these two California rivals (dating back to the start of the 2016-17 season) have topped out at five goals or less with only one of those contests surpassing the six-goal mark. Thanks to Covid-related postponements, the Sharks will be playing just their third game in February on Tuesday night. Note that they've been held to a goal or less in two of their last three games overall. Meanwhile, the Kings are coming off a tough winless two-game jaunt to Las Vegas and have now dropped four games in a row overall. Los Angeles has one of the league's most punchless offenses by most accounts. The Kings check in ranked T19th in goals per game and 23rd in shots on goal per game. Take the under (10*). |
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02-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a low-scoring affair between these two teams last time out as the Blackhawks prevailed by a 2-1 score in overtime. Of course, that's not par for the course when it comes to the Blackhawks as they've proven to be one of the league's most vulnerable defensive teams and have certainly been involved in their share of high-scoring games. Offensively, it's only a matter of time before Chicago breaks out and shows some consistency, noting that it ranks 11th in shots on goal per game but 21st in shooting percentage. On the flip side, the Stars are second in shooting percentage and third in goals per game. Both of these teams check in top four in the league in power play percentage. It all adds up to a relatively high-scoring contest in Big D on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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02-06-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. These two teams are coming off a high-scoring affair on Thursday night but what else is new? The Canucks have seen their last three games total eight, eight and 10 goals. 10 of their 14 games this season have totaled at least seven goals. Meanwhile, the Leafs haven't been involved in a game totaling less than seven goals since January 24th against Calgary. With the Canucks desperate to snap a three-game losing streak, I'm expecting them to get baited into another high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-31-21 | Stars v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Carolina at 5:05 pm et on Sunday. We saw a fairly 'low event' game between these two teams last night as the Hurricanes skated to a 4-1 victory. That contest featured just 37 shots on goal, including only 11 from the Blackhawks. Carolina has been a rock defensively in the early going this season while Dallas' offense has only been good in fits and starts, scoring seven goals on two occasions but a grand total of just five goals in regulation time in their other three contests. Take the under (10*). |
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01-27-21 | Senators v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em. The Canucks have been involved in high-scoring game after high-scoring game this season and there's little reason to anticipate a shift as they host the Senators for the second time in three nights on Wednesday. I am higher on the Sens than some, even after a tough start to the season. I certainly expect them to punch back here tonight after getting routed by a 7-1 score on Monday. With that being said, I'm not convinced that they can keep the Canucks surging offense at bay. Vancouver got off to a slow start this season but we've seen its best players begin to round into form in recent contests. Even with Elias Pettersson struggling a bit, there's a lot of upside right now. Let's call this one 4-3 either way. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-21 | Senators v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I'll go the contrarian route and back the 'under' as the Sens and Canucks do battle in the only game on Monday's NHL board. Both teams have been involved in their share of high-scoring games out of the gate this season. Keep in mind, they've both faced very high-scoring opposition. I expect a different story to unfold on Monday as both teams look to bounce back after disappointing losses on Saturday night. Expect a tightly-contested affair. Take the under (10*). |
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01-23-21 | Flyers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams on Thursday night as the Bruins prevailed by a 5-4 score in a shootout. It's worth noting that we didn't see a goal in that game until around 26 minutes in, however. Flyers goaltender Carter Hart has struggled in the early going this season but it's only a matter of time before he settles in, and Thursday's performance was positive in the sense that he did keep the Bruins off the scoresheet for the first two periods. Hart faced a barrage of shots in that contest but I expect the Flyers to do a better job of defending in this one. Thursday's game marked the B's first real offensive breakthough of the season after three games in which they scored a grand total of three goals in regulation time. They're undoubtedly missing puck-moving defenseman Torey Krug (who is now with St. Louis) and superstar forward David Pastrnak. Take the under (10*). |
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01-20-21 | Wild v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a true 'low-event' game between these two teams on Monday (we won with the Ducks) and I expect more of the same in Wednesday night's rematch in Anaheim. It might only be a matter of time before we start seeing 5's on the board in games involving both the Wild and Ducks - harkening back to the 'dead puck' era of the NHL. I just don't see a breakout offensive performance coming from either squad here, with Minnesota getting ready to head home following four straight road games to open the season and Anaheim aiming to collect at least a point in a third straight game before a tough two-game set against the Avalanche. Take the under (10*). |
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01-16-21 | Islanders v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between the Islanders and Rangers at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw just four total goals in the season-opener between these rivals on Thursday night, with a big goose egg in the third period. The Rangers will need to regroup after showing little spark in that one, outshot by a 12-3 margin in the third period. I do think we'll see some improvement from the Blueshirts offensively - there's really no other option after getting shutout after all. Keep in mind, they did have one goal called back and numerous other quality scoring chances during a strong second period in that contest. It's not as if the Islanders are a rock between the pipes with veteran Semyon Varlamov. The Isles certainly appeared to be in midseason form offensively on Thursday, with their best players living up to expectations. Look for them to find continued success here, helping this one 'over' the relatively low total (by today's NHL standards). Take the over (10*). |
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09-25-20 | Lightning v. Stars UNDER 5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Friday. Game 3 was an anomaly in this series as the contest quickly got away from the Stars and it ultimately turned out to be a high-scoring affair. I expect a return to 'normal' on Friday as I don't see the winning side topping out north of three goals. I've noted throughout this series that some regression was coming from Stars goaltender Anton Khudobin given all the hockey he's played in the last two months. Well, we finally saw him lay an egg in Game 3 but I'm confident he'll come back strong on Friday. Meanwhile, the Stars have yet to show that they can really hang with the Bolts offensively. Dallas is here thanks to a stingy style of play that has worked throughout these playoffs. Look for the Stars to get back to that in a tightly-contested, low-scoring Game 4. Take the under (10*). |
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09-19-20 | Stars v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Stanley Cup Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Tampa Bay at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams are coming off tight, low-scoring series' and as a result we're dealing with a relatively low posted total on Saturday. I believe we'll see this series get off to a high-scoring start, and it may not be long before 5.5's are back on the board. While I have a lot of respect for both goaltenders in this series, there's also no question that they've played a tremendous amount of hockey over the last seven weeks or so. At some point you have to feel that they're going to suffer a bit of a lapse, even if it's brief. Meanwhile, both squads are loaded with offensive talent. We've also seen both teams show a knack for coming up with clutch goals and performances from their star players. I'm confident the losing side gets at least two goals in this contest, setting us up well with a play on the 'over'. Take the over (10*). |
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09-14-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Vegas at 8:10 pm et on Monday. I really think it's only a matter of time before the Golden Knights break through against Anton Khudobin and the Stars. Vegas once again peppered Khudobin, particularly late in the game when they were trailing by a single goal on Saturday night. You have to think Khudobin will show some cracks in his armor at some point considering just how much hockey he has played and how much rubber he has faced over the last month-and-a-half. Meanwhile, the Stars have really impressed me with their ability to come up with big goals when they need them. I simply feel this is the game where the floodgates open a little bit, as this one gets 'over' the relatively low total. Take the over (10*). |
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09-13-20 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 3:10 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Islanders in Game 3 of this series on Friday but I'll shift my attention to the total and back the 'under' in Game 4 on Sunday. The Lightning were without Brayden Point in Game 3 and regardless whether he plays on Sunday, I'm still anticipating a tightly-contested low-scoring affair. The Lightning got away from their game on Friday but that wasn't all that unexpected given they owned a 2-0 series lead heading in. New York obviously wants to play a tighter-checking low-scoring style under Barry Trotz. While the Isles did get back in this series with a win on Friday, this is another pivotal contest. Take the under (10*). |
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09-09-20 | Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. Game 1 of this series was a complete landslide as the Lightning's top line absolutely went off and helped them roll to an 8-2 victory. Here, I expect a much different type of game to play out. It's important to realize that it was just one game. The Islanders are a well-coached team that has really come together during this playoff run and are certainly capable of bouncing back. With that being said, it's tough to stand in the way of the Lightning right now, given they're in top form having won five games in a row. I also have a lot of respect for Tampa Bay goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy who is quite simply one of the best goalies in the world right now. With all of that being said, I look for the Isles to make the necessary adjustments and do a much better job of containing Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point in particular on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay knows this isn't going to be a cakewalk and won't let down its guard defensively after the Game 1 blowout win. Take the under (10*). |
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09-05-20 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 7:25 pm et on Saturday. This series has very much become a toss-up thanks in large part to the stellar goaltending of Carter Hart for the Flyers. While I do still give the Islanders the slight edge entering Game 7, I'll instead focus on the total and call for a tightly-contested, low-scoring affair on Saturday night. While the Flyers did manage to score five goals in Game 6, they actually didn't look all that dangerous offensively for much of the game. We know Isles head coach Barry Trotz will have his players ready to defend and frustrate Philadelphia here. Take the under (10*). |
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09-02-20 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 109 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Dallas at 8 pm et on Wednesday. The last two games in this series have featured big early leads, first with Dallas jumping ahead 3-0 in Game 4 and then with Colorado roaring out to a shocking 5-0 first period lead in Game 5. Here, I look for both teams to tighten things up defensively. The Avs will still be in desperation mode facing elimination but they can ill afford to get involved in another wild, high-scoring affair. Even when spotted a 5-0 lead, the Stars were still able to make the Avs feel uncomfortable, ultimately scoring three goals in the contest. It's not easy to play an 'under' the way this series has played out, but here I simply feel it's the right call. Take the under (10*). |
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09-01-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vancouver and Vegas at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. The Golden Knights have certainly proven capable of shutting down the Canucks offense for stretches in this series, having posted two shutout victories and also not allowing a single goal in a pivotal third period on Game 4. With an opportunity to close out the series on Tuesday night, I look for the Knights to tighten up defensively once again. Meanwhile, the Canucks know that they're up against it now, needing three consecutive wins to rally to win this series. They'll obviously need to be stronger defensively after allowing three unanswered goals in the third period of Game 4. Take the under (10*). |
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08-29-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Vancouver at 9:45 pm et on Saturday. The Knights simply didn't come to play in Game 2 of this series, dropping a 5-2 decision to even the series at a game apiece. I look for Vegas to tighten things up considerably on Saturday night, resulting in a relatively low-scoring affair. After the winner in each of the first two games of this series scored exactly five goals, it's obviously paramount for both squads to perform better defensively in Game 3 and I believe we'll see exactly that. Take the under (10*). |
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08-17-20 | Bruins v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Carolina at 8 pm et on Monday. The Canes are going to need a much bigger push than we saw from them on Saturday afternoon if they're going to even this series up at a game apiece on Monday night. The Bruins are now without goaltender Tuukka Rask after he opted out of the NHL Playoffs earlier on Saturday. Jaro Halak is certainly a capable backup and turned aside 29 of 30 shots on Saturday. I'm just not sure we'll see that same level of performance against a more desperate Canes squad on Monday. Boston hasn't had a great deal of trouble breaking down the Canes defense in this series, mounting a huge attack with 39 shots on goal on Saturday. Expect the B's to find continued success. The Canes have one of the weaker goaltending tandems of all playoff teams. Take the over (10*). |
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08-12-20 | Canadiens v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Philadelphia at 8 pm et on Wednesday. |
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08-11-20 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Vegas at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday. I simply feel we're going to see a much tighter series between these two teams than we did with the Blackhawks against the Oilers in the play-in round. I have a lot of respect for the Golden Knights defensively and fully expect them to do a good job of locking down the Blackhawks admittedly explosive offense. On the flip side, we really haven't seen the Knights get rolling offensively yet and to be honest, I don't think they're built to win many 5-4 or 6-5 type contests. Look for this to be the highest posted total we see all series. We'll take advantage in Game 1. Take the under (10*). |
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08-08-20 | Flyers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the under between Philadelphia and Tampa Bay at 8 pm et on Saturday. We won with the under in the Flyers last game and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with same play here. Carter Hart should be back between the pipes for Philadelphia and I’m confident he’ll turn in another stellar performance. In fact, this game features two of the world’s absolute best goaltenders in Hart and Andrei Vasilevskiy. With the number one overall seed (and a date with the Canadiens) hanging in the balance look for a tightly-contested affair on Saturday night. Take the under (10*). |
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08-07-20 | Penguins v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Montreal at 4:08 pm et on Friday. With Montreal coming off a stunning come-from-behind 4-3 victory in Game 3 of this series I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair on Friday afternoon. We have the heavily favored Penguins facing elimination in this one which alone should help tighten things up on their end. Meanwhile, the Habs have received all-world goaltending from Carey Price in this series, even if Game 3 wasn't his best performance. I fully expect that to continue here as the Habs look to close things out. Look for the winner to score three or less in this one. Take the under (10*). |
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08-06-20 | Capitals v. Flyers UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 4:08 pm et on Thursday. I simply feel that this total will prove too high as the Caps and Flyers continue round robin action in Toronto. Washington is coming off a hard-fought loss against the Lightning in their opener. I look for them to tighten things up here after digging an early 2-0 hole that they had a tough time recovering from in that one. Brian Elliott is expected to start in goal for the Flyers over Carter Hart in a bit of a surprise move. I do expect the Flyers to react accordingly and play this one a little closer to the vest. Hart has moved into elite status in the NHL while Elliott is certainly on the downside of his career but you have to think he'll be motivated off Hart's 34-save performance last time out. What this boils down to is I don't think we'll see the same level of offensive output from the Flyers after potting four goals against Boston. Take the under (10*). |