This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. New Mexico is coming off a huge win over North Dakota St. last week to gain control in the Mountain West Conference with a 3-0 record but this is where the letdown comes into play. The markets are catching up as the Lobos are favored by their biggest number on the road and it is over a key number where we can also sell high. The lone loss on the season came at Oklahoma 14-6 but that defeat has not aged well as the Sooners are not as good as advertised. San Jose St. is now 4-4 following a loss at Nevada and comes back home following a two-game roadtrip and there will be full focus here with a game against Northern Illinois on deck so there is no chance of a lookahead. The offense rebounds as the Spartans have been great here. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points allowing 3.25 or fewer ypc and after outrushing their last opponent by 125 or more yards. This situation is 60-25 (70.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (182) San Jose St. Spartans

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. We played against Air Force last Friday as it lost to Wyoming by two touchdowns which snapped a four-game winning streak and now we will back the Falcons in a good bounce back spot. If they had won, this would be a no play as they have Army on deck and a win there secures their first Commander-in-Chief's Trophy since 2022 but they need to get that momentum back before heading east. They were held to 304 yards rushing on 4.8 ypc, both of which are the third lowest outputs on the season. Connecticut has won two straight games after a tough overtime loss at home against Syracuse and now comes their longest travel spot of the season and this only adds to the bad spot. Here, we play on home teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams outrushing opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 20-4 (83.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (178) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. The Big 12 is wide open with five teams within a game of each other, Texas Tech now being one game back following a bad loss at Cincinnati last week. The Red Raiders were positioned well coming into that game so it was not a debilitating loss but in order to have a shot for conference championship game and a spot in the playoff, they have to win out. Now back home, they have to take care of business here and we like the bounce back spot and the line is shortened. Arizona is arguably the hottest team in the conference as it has won five straight games, all by double digits, while one of the other teams sitting at 3-1. The Wildcats only loss came at BYU but the three B ig 12 wins were against nothing like what they will see here. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg and after scoring 31 points or more in four straight games going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg. This situation is 26-6 (81.3 percent) since 2017. 10* (172) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. The 99th meeting between Notre Dame and Navy are on a neutral field, taking place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts and we are fading the Irish again. We played against them in their last game where they lost to BYU and while this would typically be a great bounce back spot and even more so with a bye week in-between but there is more important t things on deck. Notre Dame hosts Miami next week in what is a mut win game as two losses likely knocks the Irish out of the playoff as the 10 victories on the other side have nothing of quality. Navy has lost two straight games to fall to 2-5 despite winning the yardage battle in both of those and they have won the yards in three of their losses. The record shows 2-5 but they have played better and are the third unluckiest team in the country. Here, we play on teams on a neutral field after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc. This situation is 36-14 (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (160) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. Boston College opened the season 2-3 with the two wins coming against Rutgers and Maine by just 13 points combined but it has won its last two games to move over .500. However, those were against Pittsburgh who has lost its starting quarterback and a bad Georgia Tech team. The Eagles found their running game with 399 yards on 47 carries (8.5 ypc) but will be presented with a tough matchup here. The Blue Devils limited Virginia quarterback Beau Pribula to 3.1 ypc last week and North Carolina’s Billy Edwards to just 2.2 ypc the week prior so the Boston College strength is negated here. Duke is coming off a big win over Virginia which snapped a two-game losing streak with those two losses coming by only seven combined points. Here, we play on home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg and after a win by three or less points going up against a team allowing between 21 and 28 ppg. This situation is 59-16 (78.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (150) Duke Blue Devils

This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our Sun Belt Game of the Year. Appalachian St. left it all on the field as it defeated rival James Madison in overtime to hand the Dukes their first loss of the season. Now the Mountaineers have to hit the road after that primetime nationally televised game and has to face another strong opponent. They are 2-1 on the road with the two wins coming against East Carolina and Coastal Carolina by three points each and those two teams are not on this same level. Georgia Southern is just 3-4 with two of the losses coming against Clemson and Houston, the only two games the Eagles have been outgained in, and the other two coming against Jacksonville St. and James Madison by a combined seven points. There is still a shot for the Sun Belt Conference championship game appearance which makes this one huge. Here, we play on home teams after allowing seven points or less in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six or less points. This situation is 27-6 (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (140) Georgia Southern Eagles

This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is an awful spot for Michigan and it is overvalued here just because of jersey names. The Wolverines are coming off a battle against Indiana and it had every shot to win it but ended up losing in overtime. The defense led the way by allowing just 212 yards but the offense could not take advantage as they managed just 224 yards and a putrid 3.0 yppl. Now comes the big letdown despite coming off a loss as there is no interest in going to New Jersey to play this team as at 4-3, they are deflated. Rutgers is coming off a blowout loss at Northwestern to fall to 2-5 and now it is a desperate time for the Scarlet Knights which needs to win four of its last five games and has to take advantage at home. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after scoring 14 points or less last game going up against an opponent after scoring nine points or less last game. This situation is 73-41 (64 percent) since 1992. 10* (138) Rutgers Scarlet Knights