Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-07-15 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 85-91 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4.5 Bottom Line: Washington somehow didn't cover last night against the Heat at home after jumping out to a 35-point lead. The most important thing was they got the win and showed signs of life after an awful stretch of basketball. I look for the Wizards to come out with that same intensity against a Milwaukee team that is in the middle of a major slump, having lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Washington is 25-14 ATS in their last 39 road games after playing their last game at home, while Bucks are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 hoem games when revenging a home loss. Pound the Wizards +4.5! |
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03-07-15 | St. John's v. Villanova -12 | 68-105 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on Villanova -12 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a class above the rest of the Big East and I look for them to have no problem disposing of the Red Storm at home by more than 12-points. Villanova is a perfect 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS at home and each of their last 5 home games have come by 16+ points. Not to mention they already went on the road and crushed St John's 90-72. Villanova is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after 7 or more straight wins. Pound the Wildcats -12! |
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03-07-15 | St. Joe's v. Rhode Island -9 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rhode Island -9 Bottom Line: The Rams should have no problem winning at home by more 10+ points. Rhode Island is 12-2 at home and will be taking on a St Joseph's team that is a mere 3-12 on the road. Most importantly the Rams will be extra motivated with this being their final home game of the season and the fact they come in off a blowout loss at Dayton and will be looking to make up for a loss to Davidson in their last home game. St Joseph's beat LaSalle 55-50 as a 2-point favorite in their last game and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 points or less and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road after a game where they covered the spread. Pound Rhode Island -9! |
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03-06-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Brooklyn Nets -2.5 | Top | 108-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -2.5 Bottom Line: Value here is clearly with the Nets, who are being undervalued due to losing by 24-points at home in their last game. Brooklyn was in a major letdown spot after a big win over the Warriors and I look for them to come out extremely motivated and cash in an easy cover against a Phoenix team that has trailed by at least 15-points in each of their last 3 games. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive overs, who are averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is allowing 98-102 ppg are just 13-38 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Nets -2.5! |
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03-05-15 | Utah v. Washington State +13 | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Washington St +13 Bottom Line: Utah is primed for a major letdown after losing at home to Arizona on Saturday in arguably their biggest game of the season. The Cougars will be the more motivated team and I look for them to keep it surprisingly close against the Utes. Washington State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Pound the Cougars +13! |
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03-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 199 | Top | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks/Blazers UNDER 199 Bottom Line: The books have set the mark too high for this one. Portland isn't going to be looking to push the pace after laying everything they had on the line in last night's overtime win at Los Angeles and Dallas is not the same dynamic offense since acquiring Rondo. Not to mention the Mavericks will be without one of their top offensive weapons in Chandler Parsons and we can expect max effort defensively here in a nationally televised game on TNT. UNDER is 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 road games and 9-2-1 in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 games played on Thursday and 5-1 in their last 6 playing on 0 days rest where the starting 5 accounted for more than 160 minutes. Pound the UNDER 199! |
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03-04-15 | San Diego State -4.5 v. UNLV | 60-58 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on San Diego St -4.5 Bottom Line: The Aztecs are a perfect 6-0 following a loss this season and I look for them to keep that streak alive with an easy win on the road against UNLV following that ugly 10-point loss at home where they scored just 46 points on 32.7% shooting. San Diego St is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 following a double-digit loss at home and 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Pound the Aztecs -4.5! |
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03-04-15 | Phoenix Suns -4 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH* on Suns -4 Bottom Line: Phoenix is being way undervalued here due to the fact that they come in off back-to-back blowout losses to the Spurs (74-101) and Heat (98-115). This is a perfect spot for them to bounce back against a Magic team that isn't any good and is playing with zero confidence off 3 straight losses. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 (79%) ATS since 1996! Pound the Suns -4! |
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03-04-15 | Duquesne v. Fordham -2.5 | 81-66 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Fordham -2.5 Bottom Line: The Rams have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 overall and are showing great value here as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Duquesne. Not only will Fordham be motivated in their final home game of the regular season, but the Dukes are a miserable 1-11 on the road this season. Rams will be playing with revenge from a tough 6-point loss at Duquesne earlier this season, while the Dukes will have a difficult time coming in 100% focused with their home finale against Davidson on deck. Pound the Rams -2.5! |
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03-03-15 | Kentucky v. Georgia +10 | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Georgia +10 Bottom Line: The Bulldogs lost by just 11-points on the road as an 18-point dog against Kentucky earlier this season and did so without the services of leading scorer Marcus Thorton. With Thorton back in the lineup and Georgia coming out extremely motivated to not only upset the No. 1 ranked team, but close out the regular season with a win in their final, the value is clearly with the home team in this one. Kentucky is a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while Georgia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU win. Pound the Bulldogs +10! |
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03-03-15 | Houston Rockets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 199 | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Hawks UNDER 199 Bottom Line: The Rockets are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league, averaging 103.3 ppg, but that's largely been due to the play of Harden, who is in the running for the league MVP. Harden won't be in action tonight and I believe it's created some great value here on the total. Atlanta is only giving up 95.1 ppg at home and offensively are averaging just 93.8 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 5-0 in the Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 or more in their last game and 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 after a SU win. Pound the UNDER 199! |
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03-02-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets +6.5 | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5 Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-3 SU and just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games, which goes to show the book are clearly inflating their lines. I believe that's the case again tonight, as Golden State should not be laying 6-points on the road in this spot. The Warriors are coming off a draining 106-101 win at Boston yesterday, which saw them rally from 26 down. Plus, Golden State is playing their 4th game in 5 days, which should have them lacking any sort of motivation or energy for this road game. Brooklyn has played much better since the break going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS, plus are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 in the 2nd half against teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the Nets +6! |
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03-01-15 | Purdue +9 v. Ohio State | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Purdue +9 Bottom Line: The books are overvaluing the Buckeyes homecourt edge in this one, as they should not be laying near double-digits against the Boilermakers. Purdue has been a completely different team of late, but are still undervalued. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall, which includes road wins at Northwestern, Rutgers and Indiana. Ohio State comes in off a 81-57 blowout win at home against Nebraska, which is also causing some inflation on the line. The Buckeyes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 20 or more points. Pound the Boilermakers +9! |
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03-01-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -3.5 Bottom Line: Even without Westbrook and Durant sidelined, I look for the Thunder to have no problem leaving Los Angeles with an easy victory over the Lakers. The fact that Oklahoma City is short-handed is going to take away a lot of motivation for Los Angeles to play hard, which is a key factor that often times gets overlooked. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a poor defensive team (98-102 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after 42+ games and after a game where both teams in their last contest scored 105+ are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Thunder -3.5! |
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02-28-15 | Arizona v. Utah -1.5 | Top | 63-57 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Utah - Bottom Line: The Utes are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge on the Wildcats and move into a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 standings with a win tonight. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a blowout win by 30+ points against an opponent that scored 80+ in their last game are 92-47 ATS since 1997. Utah is also a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games at least 16 games into the season against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points game. Pound the Utes -1.5! |
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02-28-15 | Atlanta Hawks -5.5 v. Miami Heat | 93-91 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks - Bottom Line: This is a great price to back Atlanta. The Hawks are returning to form after a minor slump and are the more equipped team out of these two excel in a back-to-back set. Miami is not a good team and have really struggled at home this year, going just 10-16 SU and 9-17 ATS. Atlanta is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after winning 3 of their last 4 and should have no problem here winning by 6+ points against the Heat. Pound the Hawks -5.5! |
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02-28-15 | Mississippi State +9.5 v. South Carolina | 68-81 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Mississippi St + Bottom Line: South Carolina continues to be overvalued, as this is too many points for them to be laying at home against a Mississippi State team that has been playing a lot better of late. Gamecocks are also in a tough spot off a big road game at Alabama and another big home game against Arkansas on deck. South Carolina is just 3-12 ATS inside SEC play and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Bulldogs +9.5! |
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02-27-15 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets +4 | 104-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Nuggets + Bottom Line: As bad as the Nuggets have been playing of late, they should not be a home dog to the Jazz, especially with Utah coming in off a bad home loss to the Lakers. Denver will be getting back both Kenneth Faried and Wilscon Chandler from injury, which I believe will be enough to not only have them covering the spread, but winning this game outright. Pound the Nuggets +4! |
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02-27-15 | Brooklyn Nets +6.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5 Bottom Line: The Nets are being undervalued here at home off a 96-102 road loss at New Orleans as a 2.5-point favorite. Brooklyn has quietly been playing much better of late and that's evident by their 7-4 ATS record over their last 11 games. This is a great spot to back the Nets, as Houston could be missing both Harden and Beverley (questionable) and are in a major lookahead spot with a nationally televised home games against the Cavs on deck. Pound the Nets +6.5! |
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02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 197 | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Cavs/Pacers UNDER 197 Bottom Line: The Cavaliers will be without point guard Kyrie Irving and aren't going to have the legs to run up the score after playing a huge home game against the Warriors last night. Indiana has quietly won 6 of 8 and have done so with their defense. These two teams recently played on Feb. 6, so there's some familiarity with each others offense, adding value to the under. Not to mention the UNDER is 9-2 in the Cavs last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and 22-10 in their last 32 overall. UNDER is also 5-2 in Pacers last 7 off a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 100+. Pound the UNDER 197! |
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02-26-15 | Rutgers +14 v. Purdue | Top | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rutgers +14 Bottom Line: Purdue has covered the spread in 8 straight games and as a result find themselves extremely overvalued at home. The Boilermakers haven't laid this many points in a game since they hosted Arkansas State in non-conference play. There's no denying Rutgers is a bad team, but that actually aids in backing the Scarlet Knights. Purdue isn't going to come out with the same energy as they have in recent matchups against a bad team, especially given the fact that they just gone done playing a huge game on the road against in-state rival Indiana and have another big game on the road against Ohio State looming on Saturday. Rutgers is 51-32 ATS in their last 63 off a loss by 15 points or more, but most importantly are only losing in this spot by an average of 1.9 ppg. Pound the Scarlet Knights +14! |
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02-26-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE TNT WINNER* on Cavaliers -3.5 Bottom Line: This will likely be the last time during the regular season where we will find the Cavaliers this small a home favorite. Cleveland got off to a slow start, but have quickly turned things around and have shown no signs of slowing down. The Cavaliers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cleveland lost at GS earlier this year, but were without James. They aren't going to lose the rematch at home, especially in a nationally televised game. Pound the Cavaliers -3.5! |
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02-25-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +7 | 90-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Kings +7 Bottom Line: The Kings come into this one well rested off a 3-day break and have recently got a renewed sense of energy with the addition of George Karl as their new head coach. Sacramento will be highly motivated here off a 27-point road loss to the Clippers and are catching the Grizzlies in a big letdown spot after two huge road wins against the Trail Blazers and Clippers. Kings are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games as an underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and the Grizzlies are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams who are getting outscored by 3 or more points/game. Pound the Kings +7! |
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02-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets OVER 214.5 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Clippers OVER 214.5 Bottom Line: Whenever the Rockets match up against a team that likes to play at a fast pace, there's a good chance it will go over the total. In fact, the OVER is 24-13 in Houston's last 37 games against up-tempo teams who are averaging 83 or more shots per game. OVER is also 4-1 in the Clippers last 5 against an opponent that just allowed 100+ points and 6-1 in the Rockets last 7 after a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the OVER 214.5! |
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02-25-15 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +19 | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Mississippi St +19 Bottom Line: As good as Kentucky has been, this is too many points for them to be laying on the road against a team that they aren't going to be all that excited to play. That becomes an even bigger factor when you consider they have a huge home game against Arkansas on deck, who is 2nd in the SEC at 12-3 and the only other ranked team int he conference. Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against poor offensive teams that are scoring 64 or fewer points/game, while Mississippi State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game. Pound the Bulldogs +19! |
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02-24-15 | Indiana Pacers +7 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 92-105 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Pacers +7 Bottom Line: The Pacers have won 6 of 7 and come in off an impressive 104-98 home win over the Warriors. While that win may appear to put Indiana in a letdown spot, they aren't going to get a big head due to Golden State being without Steph Curry. I look for them to take the same approach against the Thunder, who will be without Durant. Key here is the Pacers are on a roll offensively, hitting 47% from the field while averaging 102.4 ppg over their last 5. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have shot 47% or better from the field in 3 straight games are 79-46 (63%) ATS over the last 5 seasons! Pound Indiana +7! |
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02-24-15 | Texas +4 v. West Virginia | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Texas +4 Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on the Mountaineers here as a small home favorite against a Texas team that has been struggling to get anything going. The key here is that the Longhorns matchup extremely well with West Virginia and that's evident in the fact that they have won 4 straight in the series, including a 27-point win at home earlier this season. Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games on the season. Pound Texas +4! |
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02-23-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9 v. Houston Rockets | 102-113 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Timberwolves +9 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have won 4 of their last 6 games and have been playing much better basketball since getting Rubio back healthy. However, Minnesota is still be valued based on their overall record, which makes them an easy play tonight against the Rockets. Houston is coming off a big home game against the Raptors and have an even bigger game on deck against the Clippers on Wednesday, which they will be out for revenge from a 15-point loss at LA just a couple weeks ago. Timberwolves are a profitable 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games revenging a home loss. Pound Minnesota +9! |
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02-23-15 | Louisville v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +6.5 Bottom Line: Louisville should not be this big of a road favorite here. After returning to the team on Saturday against Miami following a 1-game suspension, senior guard Chris Jones was dismissed from the team. Louisville lost by double-digits at Syracuse without Jones and I look for them to struggle to beat Georgia Tech by more than the spread listed. The Yellow Jackets have just 4 losses inside conference play by more than 6 points. All 4 came on the road and one of those was a 7-point double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. Pound Georgia Tech +6.5! |
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02-22-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Orlando Magic -8 | Top | 98-103 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic -8 Bottom Line: The 76ers got worse at the trade deadline, shipping away two of their best players in Carter-Williams and McDaniels. Philadelphia doesn't have the talent to keep up on the road, even against an average team like the Magic. Orlando has looked a lot better since making a change at head coach and I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. Road underdogs who are averaging 16+ turnovers/game are just 133-204 (39%) ATS in the month of February since 1996. Pound Orlando -8! |
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02-22-15 | Western Kentucky +4 v. Middle Tennessee | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on WKU +4 Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction in this line due to the fact that the Hilltoppers have lost 4 straight against the number, while Middle Tennessee comes in off a surprising 39-point win over Marshall at home. Blue Raiders had lost 5 of their previous 6 and are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games off a blowout win by 20 or more points. Pound Western Kentucky +4! |
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02-21-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 105-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH* on Pelicans +1.5 Bottom Line: The Heat returned from the All-Star break with an impressive 111-87 road win over the Knicks, which might make it appear like Miami is a safe bet at home against a Pelicans team that has lost 4 straight, including a 84-95 loss at Orlando last night. However, the Heat are not nearly as good at home as they are on the road. Miami is 9-15 at home, compared to 14-15 on the road. New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when playing on no rest and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 off a road loss. Pound the Pelicans +1.5! |
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02-21-15 | Penn State +2 v. Northwestern | 39-60 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn State +2 Bottom Line: Northwestern has came out of nowhere to pull off back-to-back upset wins, as they knocked off Iowa 66-61 as a 6-point home dog and followed it up with a 72-66 win at Minnesota as a 11-point dog. The Wildcats good luck ends here, as I look for them to revert to the team that lost 10 straight prior to their recent surge. Penn State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when they have lost at least 5 of their last 7, while Northwestern is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home when the line is +3 to -3. Pound the Nittany Lions +2! |
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02-20-15 | Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 211 | Top | 100-111 | Push | 0 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: Each of the last 3 times these two teams have faced off in Dallas, they have combined for at least 220 points and I see no reason why that trend won't continue tonight. Both of these teams like to play at a fast pace and shouldn't have any problem pushing the pace given the long All-Star break. OVER is 15-4 in the Mavs last 19 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days and 8-1 in the Rockets last 9 road games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound the OVER 211! |
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02-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -3 v. Washington Wizards | 127-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR WIZ/CAVS NBA *ESPN SUREFIRE* Bottom Line: The Cavaliers won 14 of their final 16 games before the All-Star break and I don't see any reason why Cleveland won't carry over that success down the stretch. The Cavaliers did lose their last game before the break 98-113 at Chicago, but were without Kevin Love and didn't seem all that interested. The key thing here to keep in mind is that Washington is a 1/2 game up on Cleveland in the standings, so the Cavs won't be taking this one lightly. Wizards are without one of their top players in Beal and are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. Roll the Cavaliers -3! |
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02-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs -3 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 115-119 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs -3 Bottom Line: The Spurs will be out for revenge after losing by 20-points at home to the Clippers in the last meeting (had won previous 4) and I fully expect them to get it. Blake Griffin had 22 points in that last contest and he's out with an injury, while the Spurs will have the services of Kawhi Leonard, who missed the last meeting. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who have beat the spread by 18 or more points in their last 3 games (Clippers) against an opponent who has gone UNDER the total by 42 or more combined points in their last 7 games are just 21-47 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Spurs -3! |
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02-19-15 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State OVER 137 | Top | 71-65 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Ole Miss/Miss St OVER 137 Bottom Line: These two teams combined for 152 points at Ole Miss back on Jan. 28 with a total of 138. The books have failed to make the proper adjustments here and it's time to take advantage. If you go back over the history of this series, you will see that these two teams have combined for at least 139 points in each of the last 6 meetings. OVER is 16-4 in Mississippi State's last 20 home games off an upset win and 11-3 in Ole Miss' last 14 off a loss by 6 points or less. Pound the OVER 137! |
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02-18-15 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on UCLA +3.5 Bottom Line: The Bruins have really came on strong in the last month, going 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games with the only defeat a 62-64 loss at Cal. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 78-68 win at Washington, but the Sun Devils have won back-to-back conference games just once all season. UCLA has won 3 straight and 7 of the last 8 overall in the series and I look for them to find a way to win this one on the road. Bruins are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a conference home win, while ASU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3. Pound UCLA +3.5! |
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02-18-15 | Missouri +16.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Missouri +16.5 Bottom Line: The books have inflated this line on Arkansas, due to the Razorbacks having won 5 straight against the spread. Had Missouri made a couple of free throws they would have upset the Razorbacks at home (60-61) and I look for them to have no problem keeping this close enough to cover this massive spread. Favorites who have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 21-49 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Missouri +16.5! |
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02-17-15 | South Carolina +6.5 v. Georgia | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK* on South Carolina +6.5 Bottom Line: The Gamecocks cruised to a 67-50 home win over Georgia earlier in conference play, but aren't going to take the Bulldogs lightly after suffering an embarrassing 34-point loss at Kentucky over the weekend. Georgia lost 68-69 at home to Auburn as a 11-point home favorite last time out and that sets up a solid system to fade the Bulldogs. Home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss, who are coming off a home loss by 3-points or less are just 30-68 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Gamecocks +6.5! |
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02-17-15 | Kentucky v. Tennessee +13.5 | Top | 66-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +13.5 Bottom Line: Kentucky is coming off a blowout 77-43 win at home over South Carolina, which I believe sets up a perfect spot to fade the Wildcats. Kentucky had failed to cover the number in each of their previous 5 games and Tennessee is going to be extremely motivated against the No. 1 team in the country, especially off an ugly 55-73 home loss to LSU. Road teams off a blowout conference win by 20 or more points against and opponent off a upset loss of 10 or more as home favorite are 11-31 (26%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Volunteers +13.5! |
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02-16-15 | Kansas v. West Virginia +2 | Top | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG 12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on West Virginia +2 Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have been vulnerable on the road. Both of their conference losses have come away from Lawrence and were fortunate to escape with a win at TCU (64-61). Kansas lost their last trip to Morgantown, 86-92 as a 5-point favorite. The Mountaineers are due for big game after losing 3 of their last 4 and are being undervalued here due to losing 4 straight against the spread. Home team has covered each of the last 4 in the series and Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Monday. Pound West Virginia +2! |
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02-15-15 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Indiana | Top | 71-90 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY MINN/IND NCAAB *BEST BET* on Minnesota +3.5 Bottom Line: The Golden Gophers got off to a rough start to Big 10 play, but have since turned things around. Minnesota has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, including an impressive 64-59 win at Iowa last time out. Indiana on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 and are fresh off a heartbreaking 66-68 loss at Maryland. Teams who have scored 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with 2 or more returning starters than their opponent are 213-140 (60%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +3.5! |
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02-14-15 | South Carolina +18 v. Kentucky | Top | 43-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on South Carolina +18 Bottom Line: Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games, simply due to the fact that the books are inflating their lines knowing the public is going to blindly back the No. 1 team in the country. The Wildcats couldn't play any better defensively against South Carolina in the previous matchup this season, limiting the Gamecocks to just 22.6% shooting, yet only won by 15-points. Don't see Kentucky bringing that same intensity the second time around and I look for South Carolina to cover this one rather easily. Gamecocks are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 when road games when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound South Carolina +18! |
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02-13-15 | Arizona v. Washington +10 | Top | 86-62 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY AZ/WASH NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +10 Bottom Line: We are getting an inflated line here on Arizona with this being one of the few big games on the slate for Friday, plus the game will be aired on ESPN. I'll take my chances on the Huskies as a double-digit home dog in a game you can assure they are going to give max effort against a highly ranked opponent. Arizona failed to cover their next game after getting upset at Oregon State earlier this season, beating Colorado at home by just 14 as a 16.5-point favorite. I look for the Wildcats to have an even harder time bouncing back on the road after Saturday's surprising loss to in-state rival Arizona State. Pound Washington +10! |
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02-12-15 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Iowa | Top | 64-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG 10 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Minnesota +6.5 Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here on Iowa due to them coming in off back-to-back blowout wins over Michigan and Maryland. The Hawkeyes barely escaped with a 2-point win at Minnesota earlier in the season and have struggled to put away the Gophers at home. Road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home wins that are revenging a same season loss are 53-26 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +6.5! |
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02-11-15 | Oregon State v. UCLA -8.5 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY PAC-12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UCLA -8.5 Bottom Line: UCLA lost 55-66 at Oregon State in the previous meeting this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge in a blowout win at home. The Bruins are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS at home, with 3 double-digit wins out of 4 conference home games. The Beavers on the other hand are a completely different team on the road than they are at home. Oregon State is 14-0 at home, but just 2-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. Pound UCLA -8.5! |
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02-11-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Toronto Raptors | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE ATS SMASH* on Wizards +5 Bottom Line: Washington will be out for revenge against the Raptors after losing in overtime at home against Toronto just 11 days ago. The Wizards come in off two dominant performances and this will be their last crack at the Raptors in the regular season. Washington is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points, while Toronto is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games when they come in having won at least 8 of their last 10. Pound Washington +5! |
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02-10-15 | Xavier v. Marquette +3 | Top | 64-44 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: Marquette is being way undervalued here due to their poor record both overall and inside conference play. However, the Golden Eagles come in off an impressive 57-54 road win at Seton Hall and are a dominant 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Xavier is just 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS on the road and should not be laying points away from home against a quality opponent. Pound Marquette +3! |
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02-10-15 | Brooklyn Nets +12.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NETS/GRIZZLIES NBA *BEST BET* Bottom Line: While the Nets will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the books have over adjusted this line with the public going to be all over the Grizzlies off that big home win against the Hawks. Brooklyn is 23-6 ATS in their last 29 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against at team that's won more than 60% of their games. Memphis is just 14-31 ATS in their last 45 when listed as a favorite of 10 or more points. Pound Brooklyn +12.5! |
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02-09-15 | Brooklyn Nets +5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NETS/BUCKS NBA *BEST BET* Bottom Line: Brooklyn will be out to make a statement against their former coach and also motivated from an ugly 37-point loss at Washington on Saturday. The Nets also have revenge on their minds, as they blew a 8-point halftime lead in a 118-122 triple-overtime home loss to the Bucks. Brooklyn is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 straight games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after trailing in their previous game by 15+ points at the half, while Milwaukee is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after a SU win. Pound the Nets +5! |
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02-09-15 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor -6 | 74-65 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR OKLAHOMA ST/BAYLOR *NO DOUBT ATS ROUT* Bottom Line: Oklahoma State is coming off an emotional and hard fought win at home over Kansas and I look for the Cowboys to struggle to bounce back with the kind of effort needed to keep it close against a Baylor team that is playing their best basketball of the season. Baylor won 87-69 at West Virginia on Saturday and prior to that had rolled TCU (77-57) and Texas (83-60) at home. Pound the Bears -6! |
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02-08-15 | Clemson v. Miami (FL) -6 | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CLEMSON/MIAMI NCAAB *BEST BET* Bottom Line: This line is begging for you to take Clemson. The Tigers have won 4 straight and covered each of their last 3, while Miami has gone 0-3 SU and ATS over their last 3. I think the smart play is to back the Hurricanes at home. Miami is going to come out extremely motivated to get back on track and let's not forget that this team has some pretty impressive wins on their resume, including a 90-74 win at Duke. Clemson is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road win, while Miami is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 after failing to cover the number in 3 or more consecutive games. Pound the Hurricanes -6! |
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02-08-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Hornets +1 | Top | 103-102 | Push | 0 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: The Hornets are getting way undervalued here due to losing yesterday to the 76ers. Charlotte has won 5 straight and 6 of 7 at home, including a 80-71 victory over these Pacers. Teams revenging a loss to an opponent off a road loss with a line of +3 to -3 are 144-288 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Hornets +1! |
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02-07-15 | Kentucky -8 v. Florida | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY KENTUCKY/FLORIDA *SEC GAME OF THE MONTH* Bottom Line: When an opponent has the Wildcats full attention, they seem to play their best basketball. Kentucky isn't going to mess around in this one and Florida simply doesn't have the offensive talent to keep this one close. Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have allowed 60 points or less in 4 straight games against an opponent that has scored 65 or fewer in 3 straight are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Kentucky -8! |
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02-07-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 207 | 101-111 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Mavs/Blazers UNDER 207 Bottom Line: The books have set this number too high. These two teams combined for just 195 points in their previous matchup this season and both come in off strong defensive efforts. The Blazers held the Suns to just 87 points and the Mavs limited the Kings to only 78. UNDER is 20-7 in the Blazers last 27 games with a total set at 200 or more and 8-1 in the Mavs last 9 when revenging a road loss. Pound the UNDER 207! |
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02-06-15 | Denver Nuggets +6.5 v. Detroit Pistons | Top | 88-98 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +6.5 Bottom Line: Denver has lost 4 straight and 11 of 12 overall, which I believe has them showing great value here as a 6.5-point dog against the Pistons. Detroit has lost 5 of 7 and are simply not the same team without Jennings in the lineup. Pistons have gone just 12-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. They are also just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games played on Friday nights and 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Pistons +6.5! |
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02-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +6.5 | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *UNDERDOG ATS SMASH* Bottom Line: The books are begging for you to take the Cavaliers in this one. Cleveland has won 12 straight and are coming off an impressive blowout victory over the Clippers last night on TNT. Indiana will be the more motivated team in this one and I look for them to give the Cavaliers all they can handle on their home floor. Keep in mind that Cleveland is just 9-14 ATS on the road, where they are getting outscored on the season. Only 4 of their 12 wins during their current stretch have come on the road and 3 of those were by 8 points or fewer. Indiana is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. Pound the Pacers +6.5! |
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02-06-15 | New York Knicks +7 v. Brooklyn Nets | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *RIVALRY ATS ANNIHILATOR* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: New York has won 3 of their last 5 trips to Brooklyn and wouldn't be surprised if they pulled off the upset in this one. We are seeing a major overreaction on Brooklyn, who comes in off back-to-back wins over the Clippers and Raptors. This will be the first time the Nets have been favored since laying 10-points at home in a 88-90 loss to the 76ers. It's also worth noting that New York has been playing much better of late. While they lost their most recent matchup, they are 5-3 in their last 8. Brooklyn is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Pound the Knicks +7! |
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02-05-15 | Washington Wizards -1.5 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -1.5 Bottom Line: Washington will be out for revenge after losing at home to the Hornets 88-92 on Monday. Revenge in the NBA is at it's strongest in the short-term and the Wizards are primed for a win after losing 4-straight. Home underdogs off 2 or more consecutive road wins are a mere 8-26 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Washington -1.5! |
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02-05-15 | Tulsa -6.5 v. Houston | 57-44 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NEVER LOST 21-0 AAC *BLOODBATH* Bottom Line: Tulsa crushed Houston 72-54 at home earlier this season and come in with a perfect 9-0 record inside the AAC. The Cougars are getting way too much respect at home against a far superior team, as they are off a upset win over UConn. Tulsa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games played in February, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponent and Houston is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 with a total of 130 to 139.5. It all adds up to a perfect 21-0 system. Pound Tulsa -6.5! |
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02-04-15 | Denver Nuggets +3 v. Boston Celtics | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +3 Bottom Line: This may seem like an opportune time to back the Celtics as a small home favorite against a Nuggets team that is just 1-10 in their last 11 games, but the smart money here will be on Denver. Boston has struggled to put back-to-back games together and we see that home favorites who have lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games that are also playing at least their 9th game in the last 14 days are just 38-71 ATS since 1996. Nuggets are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Pound Denver! |
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02-04-15 | Georgia Tech +17.5 v. Duke | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY ACC *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +17.5 Bottom Line: This is a horrible spot for Duke to be motivated against a bad team like the Yellow Jackets. The Blue Devils are coming in off an emotional and hard fought win over previously undefeated Virginia and will have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday's rematch against Notre Dame, who they lost a heartbreaker to on the road last Wednesday. Georgia Tech is also better than their 1-8 record in the ACC would indicate and I look for them to easily keep this within the number. Yellow Jackets are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after losing 4 of their last 5 games. Pound Georgia Tech +17.5! |
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02-03-15 | Utah Jazz v. Portland Trail Blazers -8 | Top | 102-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA NORTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH on Trail Blazers -8 Bottom Line: This is a huge bounce back spot for Portland, who comes in having dropped 3 straight on the road. Utah on the other hand is primed for a letdown after knocking off Golden State at home 110-110 as a 10-point underdog. Underdogs off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 7-24 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons against an opponent that's off an upset loss as a favorite. Pound the Trail Blazers! |
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02-03-15 | Indiana +16 v. Wisconsin | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG 10 *SUREFIRE* on Indiana +16 Bottom Line: Wisconsin is being way overvalued here as a 16-point favorite against the Hoosiers. While Indiana has failed to cover each of their last 3, they were able to snap a two-game skid with a 72-64 win over Rutgers. Hoosiers come in averaging 80.3 ppg and their ability to score is going to make it difficult for Wisconsin to turn this into a blowout. Indiana is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against top notch teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game and have won these contests by an average score of 74.1 to 71.8. |
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02-02-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Toronto Raptors -5.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* Bottom Line: The Raptors have won 6 straight in the series with all 3 of their home wins during this stretch by at least 10-points. That includes a 124-83 home win over the Bucks earlier this season back on Nov. 21. Toronto also comes in playing some of their basketball of the season, as they have won 6 straight. Raptors are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 against the NBA Central and 31-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when the books set a total of 200 to 209.5. Additionally, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have a +3 to +7 ppg differential against an opponent with a +/- 3 ppg differential are 32-8 ATS since 1996 after 42+ games and after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Pound Toronto! |
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02-01-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks -3 | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3 Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season. They lost by 21 at Indiana last time out, but that loss came a night after a big win over the Thunder so it was a letdown spot. New York is 3-0 SU and ATS in its last 3 at home, and I expect this trend to continue. The Lakers are now in a letdown spot following a big upset win over the Bulls. They've lost 9 of their last 10 and have really struggled on the road where they are 0-6 in their last 6. LA is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games. The home team has had a significant edge in this series of later, going 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings with all 6 wins coming by at least 6 points. |
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01-31-15 | Butler v. Marquette +2.5 | Top | 72-68 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +2.5 Bottom Line: With Steve Wojciechowski at the helm, Marquette is 7-0 ATS versus teams that outscore their opponents by 8.0 ppg or more. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound Marquette. |
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01-31-15 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR ACC *SUREFIRE* on Pitt +5.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Notre Dame being just 2 days removed from a gigantic victory over Duke. The Irish haven't been reliable when laying points at just 8-17 ATS as chalk since the start of last season. The Panthers are 41-29 ATS when catching points under Dixon, and the dog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. |
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01-31-15 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +5.5 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa +5.5 Bottom Line: Iowa will be out for blood at home, where it is 10-2, following back-to-back losses on the road. One of those was a brutal 82-50 loss at Wisconsin. That game was an aberration as Iowa had won or lost by fewer than 5.5 points in each of the previous 7 battles. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Badgers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Iowa. Pound the Hawkeyes. |
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01-30-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Phoenix Suns -5 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* (ESPN) on Suns -5 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for the Bulls, who are playing their 2nd road game in as many nights and 3rd in 4 days. To make matters worse, each of Chicago's last two games have gone to OT, and it played a double-OT game last night. I just don't see Chicago having enough left in the tank to keep this one within the number against a Phoenix squad that has been at home and is rested. The Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 versus Eastern Conference opponents. Pound the Suns. |
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01-29-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +8.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Bulls who are off a thrilling upset victory over the Warriors. It's also a look-ahead spot with a game in Phoenix tomorrow night on deck. Chicago will want to make sure it has something left in the tank for that one. The Bulls are 3-13 ATS following a road win this season. They are 26-47 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. They are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a losing record and 18-37-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. |
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01-29-15 | UAB v. UTEP -11 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY C-USA GAME OF THE YEAR on UTEP -11 Bottom Line: UTEP fits into an extraordinary situation tonight. Consider that home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 consecutive upset defeats or more, provided they return 4 starters from last year's team, are 30-8 ATS the last 18 years. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 14.0 points. Making this play even stronger is the fact UTEP is 6-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons when check in off an upset defeat to a conference for. It has won these games by 15.5 points on average. The Miners are 9-1 ATS in home games following any upset defeat under coach Floyd and have won by an average of 15.0 points in these games. Pound UTEP. |
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01-29-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies -10 | 69-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *PRIME TIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -10 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Denver, which will be playing its 4th game in 5 days and has had to travel after its last 2. Playing road games on consecutive nights is one of the toughest situations in the NBA. The Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing without a day of rest. To make matters worse for Denver, Memphis will be motivated. The Grizzlies were embarrassed in Denver earlier this month, and they will be looking for payback. We saw the way they paid back Dallas on the road last game, crushing the Mavs 109-90 as 6-point dogs. That win is worth mentioning because the Grizzlies are 16-3 ATS in home games when checking in off a double-digit upset victory on the road since 1996. |
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01-28-15 | Sacramento Kings +7 v. Toronto Raptors | 102-119 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +7 Bottom Line: I like the Kings catching a fair amount of points as they will be the much fresher side. Sacramento has been off since Friday while Toronto just played last night in Indiana. I also expect to see a stronger defensive effort from the Kings after allowing Klay Thompson to set records for points and 3-pointers in a quarter. The Raptors are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home. Playing on road teams that have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in an 85-45 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they average 98-102 ppg and are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. |
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01-28-15 | South Carolina +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB UNDERDOG SHOCKER OF THE WEEK on South Carolina +4.5 Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost 5 of 6 in league play, including 3 straight, but I like its chances of pulling off the upset tonight. Home court is huge in CBB, but it hasn't mattered in this series as the home team is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings with the losses coming by an average of 9.6 points. I really believe the Gamecocks are the better team. Their record doesn't show it, but they've played a much tougher schedule. They will also be the more motivated team tonight as they look to end their skid. Pound South Carolina. |
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01-27-15 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -4 | Top | 53-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State -4 Bottom Line: I love the Cowboys at home in this highly motivated spot. Not only are they off a 10-point loss at K-State, but they lost both meetings with Baylor last season. They'll be out for some serious revenge tonight. Oklahoma State is a ridiculous 50-28 ATS in lined home games under Travis Ford and has won these by 10.3 points on average. It is 44-23 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under Ford, winning these by 12.1 points on average. Additionally, the Cowboys are 25-12 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread under their current coach and have won these contests by 12.4 points on average. Pound Oklahoma State. |
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01-27-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers +4 | 104-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4 Bottom Line: The Raptors have been struggling for a month. They've lost 8 of 13 SU and are just 2-10-1 ATS during this span. The Pacers have been struggling too, but largely because they've been spending a lot of time on the road. They have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 6 of their last 7 home games against Eastern Conference opponents, including 4 straight. They've also won or lost by fewer than 4 points in each of their last 11 home games against the Raptors. Grab the points. |
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01-26-15 | Orlando Magic +12.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +12.5 Bottom Line: Memphis won in Orlando by 10 points Jan. 16 so it will be looking right past the Magic and onto tomorrow night's revenge game at Dallas. The Grizzlies just lost to Dallas Jan. 19 and will be looking for payback. That gives us a good opportunity here. The Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus teams with a winning home record. The Grizzlies are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Orlando is 17-8 ATS as a road underdog this season while Memphis is on a 14-30 ATS slide as a double-digit favorite. |
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01-25-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns +3 | Top | 120-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK on Suns +3 Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here, and the Clippers have been a terrible play as small road chalk. LA is 8-20 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has lost these games by an average of 2.0 points. Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of their schedule following a game where they shot 55% or better, provided it is a matchup of teams that have held opponents to an average of 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season, has resulted in a 22-4 ATS mark since 1996. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the Suns are 34-19 ATS as an underdog the last 2 seasons and 27-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Pound Phoenix. |
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01-25-15 | Indiana v. Ohio State -8 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Ohio State -8 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Indiana as it heads out on the road following a big win over Maryland. This is just the 4th true road game of the season for the Hoosiers, so based on the line, odds makers are telling us Indiana's record wouldn't be nearly as good had they stepped out on the road a few more times. This is a big revenge spot for Ohio State, which lost by 3 at Indiana earlier this month. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home on the season where they have a ridiculous 28.3-point average margin of victory. Indiana is 14-30 ATS in road games following a cover under Crean, including 5-14 ATS in this spot the last 3 seasons. Ohio State is 26-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points under Matta. |
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01-24-15 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 185.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 185.5 Bottom Line: Charlotte is a terrific defensive team. It's held 8 of its last 11 opponents to below 40% shooting. However, it allowed Cleveland to shoot 51.7% last night. This team is not happy with that effort and will tighten the screws defensively tonight. The Knicks had been playing exceptional defense over a 3-game stretch and then allowed Orlando to shoot better than 50% last night. They know they'll have to be much better at the defensive end in this one if they're going to avenge back-to-back losses to Charlotte. The under is 4-0 in the Hornets' last 4 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks' last 6 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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01-24-15 | Illinois v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota -5 Bottom Line: Illinois has been a completely different team away from home and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road/neutral floor games. The 6 SU losses during this span all came by at least 7 points. Minnesota has been at its best at home where it is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 21.0 points. Minnesota is off to a 1-6 start in Big Ten play and was upset on this floor by Illinois last season so it will not be lacking any incentive. Pound the Golden Gophers. |
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01-24-15 | Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5 Bottom Line: Denver has really struggled on the road where it is 1-6 this season. It is 11-25 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pickem under coach Scott. Nebraska-Omaha has lost 5 straight and was swept by Denver last season so it will be very, very hungry. |
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01-24-15 | Boise State v. Air Force +6.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR MOUNTAIN WEST MASSACRE on Air Force +6.5 Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Boise State following a 50-point win over San Jose State. Huge bounce-back spot for Air Force following a 32-point loss to San Diego State. Boise Sate is 0-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is 0-7 ATS off a home win of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-24-15 | South Dakota v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2 | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR on IUPUI -2 Bottom Line: Terrible spot for South Dakota, which is playing its 3rd consecutive road game and 2nd in 3 days. IUPUI is off a loss but is an outstanding 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following defeat. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-24-15 | DePaul v. Xavier -12 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Xavier -12 Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points but Xavier is 10-0 at home on the season and has won these games by an average of 18.3 points. DePaul upset the Musketeers in the first meeting, but they are 12-3 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-23-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Minnesota Timberwolves +7 | 92-84 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: This is too many points for New Orleans to be laying on the road given its weak 8-16 road record. The Pelicans destroyed Minnesota by 48 at home in the season's first meeting and will be looking right past the Wolves and onto Sunday's showdown with Dallas because of it. You can bet Minnesota hasn't forgotten about that brutal defeat, and it will be out to save face. New Orleans took care of business against the Lakers last time out but is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a win. The home team has enjoyed a nice edge in the series as it is on a 7-0 SU and ATS run. 4 of these were in Minnesota. |
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01-23-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder +4.5 Bottom Line: This line in an overreaction to Atlanta's unexpected run. The Thunder are more talented and starting round into shape now that they're healthy. The Thunder are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 versus the Eastern Conference and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the NBA Southeast division. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Thunder are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta. |
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01-23-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Raptors/76ers OVER 194 Bottom Line: Toronto has had no trouble controlling the pace against poor teams. The Raptors are 12-3 OVER the last 2 seasons versus teams that have a win percentage of 25% or less. We have seen an average of 208.0 total points scored in these games. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams with 6 of the meetings totaling 199 points or more. We've seen an average of 207.6 total points scored in these 7 matchups. Pound the OVER. |
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01-22-15 | Maryland v. Indiana -1.5 | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Indiana -1.5 Bottom Line: This line opened as a pickem and has since been bet up which is the right move. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS as a home dog of 3 points or less or pickem under coach Crean and have won these 6 by an average of 8.0 points. While this trend is in play because of the opening line, it is also worth mentioning that Indiana is 26-9 ATS at when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. It is 16-6 ATS during this span as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. Maryland went off from deep in its rout of Michigan State, but it is 0-7 ATS in road games after a game where it made 50% of its 3 point shots or better under coach Turgeon, and it has lost these 7 by an average of 17.5 points. |
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01-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +6.5 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +6.5 Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Bulls. Look for them to put forth an outstanding effort tonight in a highly motivated spot. The Bulls haven't lost 3 consecutive games all season. They are 11-5 following a loss and 3-0 following 2 straight losses. They are an impressive 50-33 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under Tom Thibodeau. Grab the points. |
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01-22-15 | DePaul v. Seton Hall -10 | Top | 64-60 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -10 Bottom Line: The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games while the Blue Demons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Pirates are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Pirates are also 8-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Seton Hall is off its first home loss of the season, which can't be sitting well. Plus, it lost its last meeting with DePaul so it will have no problem getting up for this one. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Blue Demons with the wins coming by an average of 12.4 points so there is plenty of value in Seton Hall here. |
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01-21-15 | Purdue v. Illinois -3 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -3 Bottom Line: This is a highly motivated spot for the Fighting Illini. Illinois just suffered its first home loss of the season and will be looking to bounce back tonight. It gets further incentive from a home loss to Purdue in last season's meeting. The Illini is 8-1 at home where it has a nice win over Maryland, so it has shown the ability to take down a better team on this floor than the one it will see tonight. The Fighting Illini are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a losing road record. |
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01-21-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 | Top | 98-75 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK on T-Wolves +8.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Dallas following Monday's big win at Memphis. The Mavs have a matchup with Chicago on Friday and are very likely already peeking ahead to that one mentally. It will be hard for Dallas to get up for the lowly T-Wolves, but it won't be hard for Minnesota to get up for this one. It's finally home after a week on the road, and it will be out for revenge for a 131-117 November loss in Dallas. The Mavericks are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games versus Western Conference opponents. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Western Conference foes. Pound Minnesota. |
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01-20-15 | Utah State v. Nevada +1 | 70-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR CBB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nevada +1 Bottom Line: Look for the Wolf Pack to come storming back following an ugly 98-42 loss at Colorado State. They are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Nevada has also been a nice play in games odds makers expect to be close. It is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-20-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets +8.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +8.5 Bottom Line: Look for Denver to come storming back at home following last night's brutal 122-79 loss at Golden State. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home in recent seasons against good teams, going 25-12 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3.0 PPG or more. Denver has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Spurs are off a dominant 89-69 win over Utah, but they are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Denver. |
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01-20-15 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -6.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on South Carolina -6.5 Bottom Line: The Gamecocks check in having lost 3 of their last 4. They have also dropped 14 in a row to the Volunteers. Yet, they are laying quite a few points tonight. Clearly books want the money coming in on Tennessee. We won't take the bait. It is significant that the Gamecocks have been installed as favorites since the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. I fully expect this trend to continue. Look for South Carolina to finally break through against the Vols. |
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01-20-15 | Dayton v. Davidson -2.5 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MAJOR A-10 *SUREFIRE* on Davidson -2.5 Bottom Line: Look for Davidson to hand Dayton its first conference loss. The Wildcats are 8-0 at where they are winning by an average of 24.9 points. Dayton has found its way into the Top 25 behind 8 straight victories. It has even covered the spread in its last 5 but is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1997 and has lost these by an average of 10.0 points. Davidson is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season. |
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01-19-15 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 57-55 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
5* WISEGUY SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5 Bottom Line: Louisiana-Lafayette got off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt play but has since lost its last 2. Despite the losses, it can pull even with UL Monroe for first place in the league with a win here, and I expect it to take care of business. The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-1 in their last 8 at home versus Monroe with the 7 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Despite the bad loss to South Alabama last game, ULL's high scoring output is a good sign. The Ragin' Cajuns are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons after scoring 80 points or more last game. They have won by a ridiculous average margin of 25.3 points in these contests. Pound ULL. |