Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-17-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 2-10 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R) Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh ha allowed 36 runs in their L/6 games ( 6.00 rpg) and Im betting the bleeding won end today. I know the Nationals offence is sometimes inconsistent but they matchup well here vs the Pirates pitching staff. Also its obvious that the Bucks dont do alot of scoring and or HR hitting but, it must be noted that MARTINEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 12.1. rpg scored. The Nationals are 11-0 OVER past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin is searching for his first win has gone 0-4 in his last five start and despite of some brilliance has been generally sub par lately and susceptible to be smacked around by a powerful Dodger batting order and could easily contribute to the Dodgers eclipsing this total all by themselves. Note: EFLIN is 17-4 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LA Dodgers starter URIAS is 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record) as he continues to get run support . URIAS is 16-1 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 10-0-1 OVER when Julio Urias starts after a quality start in his last start with a combined average of 12.27 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bolts now down 1-0 in this series will come out here all guns blazing and eventually Im betting they will drag the Islanders out of their defensive shell and that will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect. ' TAMPA BAY is 22-8 OVER L/30 when trailing in a playoff series . Over is 5-0-1 in Islanders last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS/TB ) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Nats starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-5, 6.21 ERA, 48 SO) and Pirates starting hurler Tyler Anderson(LHP3-6, 4.52 ERA, 61 SO) have in general terms been very hittable throwers. PITTSBURGH is 44-23 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board. ANDERSON is 14-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.7 rpg. The Nationals are 10-0 OVER L/10 past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined 14.5 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners starter GONZALES is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.251 and according to my pitcher vbs batting order power rankings matches up badly here vs the Twins batting order. Meanwhile Twins Manaea has totaled a season-high 111 pitches in each of his last two starts and despite of being strong in those starts fatigue could easily rare its ugly head in this tilt. The Mariners are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 at home off a road game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. MINNESOTA is 19-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MINNESOTA is 22-11 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings in this series overall. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Habs star goalie Carey Price enters this semifinals series leading all playoff net-minders with a .935 save percentage and will be key here for a Montreal side that plays a strong defensive system behind strong physical play. This Im betting will help them keep the Knights from exploding offensively here in game 1, and aid in this game staying under the total. Note: Vegas goalies Fleury and Lehner won the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed in the regular season. In the playoffs, Fleury has registered a .923 GAA and will not be an easy roll over for the Habs limited attack strategy. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Royals starter Keller owns a ugly 7.20 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Meanwhile, Boyd the Tigers starter owns a equally nasty 5.47 ERA in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 9-0 OVER L/9 when Matthew Boyd starts when their opponent is on a 3+ losing streak with a combined average of 13.8 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 97-44 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 8-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Angels have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs right handers like Smith and they could almost all by themselves eclipse this number. The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. ARIZONA is 17-4 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 11-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting he shuts the Pirates down here this evening. Note: Pittsburgh has average just 2 rpg in their L/4 overall. Meanwhile, the Brewers have allowed more than 2 runs just twice in their L/6 games. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. The Brewers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start. Under is 20-7 in Pirates last 27 during game 1 of a series. Play on the UNDER |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
We have two quality hurlers to start this game, but my power rankings suggest the both offenses matchup well against these pitchers. Note: Giants starter ANTHONY DESCLAFANI owns a 9.45 road ERA this season. SCHERZER is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.144 WHIP. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games as a road underdog. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Play OVER |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total. LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-09-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Angels starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-4, 5.82 ERA, 50 SO) is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, allowing four runs over 3 1/3 innings. He has an 8.74 ERA over his last three starts and in his current form could contribute this total being eclipsed all by himself. The Angels are 11-0-2 OVER L/13 when Griffin Canning starts after they lost in his last start. A ANGELS are 12-4 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note: 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah was able to run over the Memphis Grizzlies in their first round series, but Im betting their offensive flow will not be as fluid here vs a LA Clippers team that can ramp things up defensively . Im betting on hardcore action on the inside to be key for the Clippers and for a very physical series to manifest itself in game 1 of their competition vs a explosive Utah side that they know they must handle with kid gloves. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 20-5-2 in Clippers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 182.6 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/LAC /UTAH) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 40-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Salt Lake City. Play UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Game 1 in this series was a high octane affair thanks to the Sixers slow start and that saw them try to catch up furiously by chasing a DD deficit . Im now looking for the experienced Sixers who key to success is top tier D, to come out here with a more physical game plan, that will center on taking the young Hawks out of a steady flow. This will result in a lower scoring affair than the Totals offering might indicate. Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 playoff games as an underdog. ATLANTA is 9-0 L/9 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 182.9 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 23-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 184.1 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 L/52 UNDER in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average score of 212.2 ppg scored. Under is 13-4 in 76ers last 17 games following a ATS loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Tuesday nights are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 Tuesday games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (RHP4-4, 3.84 ERA, 78 SO) became the ninth pitcher in Phillies history to record 1,000 strikeouts. He is the third Phils pitcher to reach 1,000 before turning 28 . He continues to be a consistent hurler for the Phillies and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Braves.NOLA is 17-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, Drew Smyly (LHP 2-3, 5.98 ERA, 43 SO) will make his second start against the Phillies, and despite of some inconsistent numbers could easily The Braves are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog after they did not give up a walk last game . Play on the UNDER |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The two most recent meetings in this series have eclipsed the number, with a combined average of '244 ppg going on the board. Rinse and repeat for an over wager. PHOENIX is 23-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 12-4 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.Malone is 17-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 24-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 48-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series here in Phoenix have gone over the total. Play OVER |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Watching the first game of this series, and than applying pace numbers, and the fact that the play off hoops between top tier teams are usually more physical than regular season games, than a projected combined score of the high 220s makes this total beatable according to my estimates.
Budenholzer is 38-23 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 222.5 ppg. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 Im betting on both these defenses ramping up and for play to be extremely physical and close with both sides not wanting to make mistakes. This Im betting translates into a very low scoring game 5. NY ISLANDERS are 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. division opponents this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-4 UNDER in road games off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 UNDER in home games off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will play host to Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks with a spot in the second round, and a matchup against the Utah Jazz, on the line and because of what's at stake they will both leave everything on the floor in what Im betting will be a much higher scoring affair than some of the previous games in this series. If the game is close down the stretch and one teams pulls ahead late expect a boatload full of fouls and points, and if one side is up big dont expect them to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal at which point the game will open up. Other variables including OT, also take precedence for me in making this an over wager on a fairly low total according to my projections which make the number 216 which is a 2 possession difference.
LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored. Clippers in their L/9 home games as a favorite have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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06-06-21 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Dunning has put up a 2.33 ERA in five home starts where he has pitched his best baseball. Meanwhile, TB defense and pitching has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11, and Im betting they once again hold form here vs a Texas side that averages just 3.7 rpg vs a lowly .222 BA at home. TEXAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against AL East opponents this season. The Rays are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 239.5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Its obvious both these sides are obvious with explosive offenses, but at this time of year during the post season, a much more physical brand of hoops is going to be played. With that said, Im betting these two heavyweights slowly accustom themselves to their opposition, and for the inside action to take the form of a ufc battle zone. Edge under. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 21-10 in Bucks last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 25-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 144 career games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these teams play a very strong brand of defensive hockey. In an intense environment like this Im betting on another low scoring affair. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 UNDER in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting on these two long time rivals to keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Note: The Red Sox are 0-10 UNDER L/10 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.BOSTON is 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox stater RODRIGUEZ is 20-7 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 16-3 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
This series has been very tightly played from the very beginning and there is no reason for same very disciplined defensive hockey to continue here with all offense being played out of transition which Im betting results in combined score that stays under this total. 8 of 8 games in this series in TB have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Rays v. Rangers OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rays hurler Hill is in top form but the Rangers have done fairly well vs the southpaw pitching this season averaging 4.1 rpg. Meanwhile, TB continues to be explosive offensively away from home averaging 6.1 rpg on the road. Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.500 (spanning 4 innings of relief). TAMPA BAY is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 11-1 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Rays are 13-0 OVER L/13 as a road favorite. Play OVER |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
After being blasted 7-1 in the opening game of this series, the Knights Im betting learned their lesson and will not want to open this series up as was evident in the 2nd game when they payed special attention to transition ,in a close 3-2 loss. Nothing changes tonight as Vegas will be out to make this a physical grinding affair in the hopes of getting a win here this evening. VEGAS is 10-2 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season with z combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. VEGAS is 20-9 UNDER in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER in home games off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 22-11 UNDER in road games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons NHL Home teams against the total (VEGAS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 216.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 According to the overall pace of this series and style of play my projections suggests a tilt where both teams score 107+ points which gives us an edge to the over on a total that I have projected at 219 which gives us a full possession plus advantage on this offered number, Note: DALLAS is 33-7 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.9 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 32-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS in 42 games when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. Clippers HC Lue is 17-5 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 47-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Jon Gray the Rockies starter owns a sting 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and has also recorded a solid 3.06 ERA against American League teams. Meanwhile, Montas has pitched well lately garnering a viable .3.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and a 2.50 ERA in his L/3 road starts this season. The Rockies are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. COLORADO is 17-6 UNDER in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 32-9 UNDER when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
If the Lakers have any chance of salvaging this series, they are going to have to come out of their defensive shell and open up. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring game affair than the lines-makers expect. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.4 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 78-41 OVER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-03-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Central Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 The first two games in this series ended in 2-1 decisions for the TB Lightning. More tough physical defensive minded play off hockey Im betting is once again on tonights agenda. CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival this season. NHL Road teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 24-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. The last 7 games in this series have gone under the total in Carolina. Play UNDER |
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06-03-21 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
These are two very inconsistent offense and my projections using multiple data points estimate a lower scoring game. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 UNDER L/9 on the road after they lost by one run last game.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road gamesUnder is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 225 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams have been playing back forth high scoring hoops this entire series and nothing will change tonight. All 4 games in this series have gone over with the L/3 showing a combined average score of 245 ppg scored. Rinse and repeat. MEMPHIS is 16-7 OVER in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 238.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 13-3 OVER in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS/UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 4 or more consecutive overs are 43-18 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Todays under call is based on two very inconsistent offenses. The Rangers are 0-8-1 L/9 UNDER off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average 6.2 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. TEXAS is 8-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season with a combined 4.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 22-10 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with an average of 8.1 rpg . Play on the UNDER |
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06-02-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229.5 | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wizards went full tilt last time out, and avoided elimination ,behind the No.1 pace in the league, and now on the verge of elimination Im betting they attack in all out fashion which in turn will force the Sixers to open up , which will than result in what I project will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this offered number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 OVER in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average . Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games as a favorite. WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 16-6 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 244.4 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-4-1 in Wizards last 16 playoff games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 100-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 215 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 404-271 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the OVER |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The first 3 games of this series , saw this offered total eclipsed and despite of a lower combined score ,last time out, Im betting on a overall pace increase here as Denver in energized form will look to run the Blazers out of building in the thin air of the mile high city in what will be a fast paced affair. PORTLAND in 31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season have seen a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 19-9 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 36-13 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 53-26 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-01-21 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Yanks starter Domingo German(RHP4-3, 3.06 ERA, 47 SO) faced the Rays on April 10 in St. Petersburg, taking a loss after permitting four runs in four innings. My pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he does not matchup well and should give the Rays an opportunity to explode offensively which will aid this being a high scoring affair. The Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a road favorite with a combined average of 15.54 rpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 13-4 OVER in road games in night games this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 22-9 OVER vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. He is off a strong start last time out, but is MINOR in his L/6 after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored with his team allowing an average of 7.7 rpg. Pirates starter KUHL is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 ppg. KUHL is 11-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. The Pirates are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they lost by one run with a combined average of 13.6 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 23-10 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Bruins and Islanders took part in a closely contested game in the first two periods of game 1 in this series, before the Bruins exploded for 3 third period goals for a 5-2 victory. NYI HC Barry Trotz was not happy by his teams late breakdown and will now be making sure that his team gets back to what has made them a viable contender, and that is a top tier defensive system . Tonight Im betting on a very physical game from the Islanders and for them to pay special attention and transition, and for the Bruins to morph into the same style of play , which Im betting results in a very low scoring affair. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 3.2 gpg scored.NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games following a win. Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 114-122 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sixers clobbered the Wizards last time out 132-103 and by the end of that game you could see the DC group was in a dejected mood, which Im betting will carry into this game. Meanwhile, Philly Im betting will regress offensively while continuing to play a top teir brand of defense that ranks 6th in the league in ppg allowed. WASHINGTON is 15-7 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 223.4 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 18 road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 209.5 | 100-92 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a pivotal game in this series and /Im betting the Suns down 2-1 in this series will have to be more aggressive offensively and try to push the Lakers out of their comfort zone. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the first 3 games of this series saw. LAKERS in 33 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season have seen a combined average of 214 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 21-12 OVER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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05-30-21 | Phillies v. Rays UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Zach EflinRHP2-4, 3.84 ERA, 63 SO has pitched six or more innings in each of his 10 starts this season. It is the longest streak by a Phillies pitcher since a 12-start streak by right-hander Aaron Nola from April 10-June 12, 2018 and Im betting he puts another solid effort in this spot play vs the Rays. Meanwhile, the Rays COLLIN MCHUGH and a bullpen that owns a solid 2.95 ERA will Im betting also limit offensive productions from a inconsistent Philly offense with a .224 team BA . The Rays are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. Play on the UNDER |
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05-30-21 | Knicks v. Hawks UNDER 209.5 | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The opus Morandi of the NY Knicks has been a grinding defensive style of hoops and nothing changes here today. The Knicks rank 26th in ppg offense No.1 in ppg defense and No.30 in pace in the NBA. With that said, Im betting on a very physical game here as NY will continue to try to disrupt the Hawks flow. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered number. NEW YORK lost game 2 here in Atlanta in this series and are also 16-4 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Mike Foltynewicz (RHP1-4, 4.53 ERA, 42 SO) is coming off his best start of the season, a seven-inning shutout outing vs. the Astros on Sunday . Im betting his current momentum transferring into tonight tilt vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Justin Dunn (RHP 1-2, 3.40 ERA, 37 SO) kept the Padres' potent offense in check in his last start, allowing just one earned run across five innings with four strikeouts and looks like a viable option here to keep the inconsistent Mariners offense at bay as well. The Mariners are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a favorite after they scored in at most two separate innings last game with a combined score of 6 rpg scored with none of the games seeing more than 8 runs scored. Under is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a home favorite.Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The last game in this series was a high scoring offensive slugfest , but now in game 3 Im expecting regression from these offenses and for the Grizzlies to step up their defensive play here at home and for Utah to follow suit behind the No.3 ranked ppg D in the NBA . UTAH is 31-10 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. MEMPHIS is 19-4 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. Jenkins is 13-2 UNDER after allowing 130 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 211.9 ppg going on the board. Jenkins is 13-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.Jenkins is 9-0 UNDER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 219 ppg going on the score board.Jenkins is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 37-15 in Grizzlies last 52 home games. Under is 21-10 in Grizzlies last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - averaging 9 or more steals/game on the season, on Saturday games are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 69-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 31-9 in the last 40 meetings in Memphis. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
East Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 These teams play similar styles of tough physical defensive transitional hockey . Both also have talented offenses , but they play within in their systems well and know how to back check. NY ISLANDERS are 13-3 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5 or more shots on goal per game this season. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season. former KHL super star Sorokin started four games in Round 1 for the Isles and posted a .943 save percentage. He gets the nod tonight. Bruins starter tonight Rask post .941 save percentage in round 1. UNDER 6-1-2 L/9 meetings in this series in Boston. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards OVER 227 | 132-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Down 2 -0 in this series the Wizards 3rd ranked ppg offense and 1st ranked pace will have to open up and play the type of hoops they were built to play and because of their 30th ranked ppg defense the edge goes to what Im betting will be a high scoring game. I know the Sixers are a defense first team but they will also be forced to open up which they can do well when pushed. This game projects to be in the 230s (combined score). This total is still relevant even if Russell Westbrook does not play for the Wizards tonight.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 OVER (+7.4 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined score of 245.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 34-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-29-21 | Reds v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-10 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
MLB Zach Davies(RHP2-2, 4.96 ERA, 26 SO) continued the string of strong outings by Cubs starters by tossing five innings of scoreless ball on Sunday. He'll face the Reds on Saturday, against whom he allowed two runs (one earned) in just four innings on May 1. DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Castillo the Reds hurler despite of struggling this season, does matchup well vs the Cubs according to my pitcher vs batting order ratings, and the last time he pitched a Wrigley he struck out 10 and earned the win. Note: Cubs batters are averaging just .217 vs right handed starters this season like Castillo. Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 30-11-3 in Cubs last 44 vs. National League Central. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-4 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CINCINNATI REDS/ CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Vegas was shutout in game 6 of this series, which saw Minnesota tie this series and for a game 7 finale. Im betting both sides will continue to be very careful in transition. However, there are multiple variables situations at play here which includes open netters late if one team is up and the strong possibility of OT. edge to the over. MINNESOTA is 7-1 OVER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season. Over is 17-7 in Wild last 24 road games. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (VEGAS) - revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 49-21 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 119-125 | Win | 101 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Boston is now down 2-0 in this series after 130-108 loss last time out. Unfortunately now for the Celtics they are going to have to open up if they have any chance of competing , which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair here in game 3. Note: Over is 20-8-1 in Celtics last 29 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 home games. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER in home games after allowing 120 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 OVER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN in 70 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 23-11 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 218 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a dangerous opponent for all comers as this season has progressed and their aggressiveness has. been obvious, for anyone watching. Nothing will change tonight as they will come right back at the talented Jazz and force their opponent to open up in what Im betting will be a high scoring affair. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.MEMPHIS in 24 road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season have seen a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Jenkins is 14-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored.Jenkins is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 237 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are built for post season hoops and Im betting their top tier defense and physical style of play will try to slow down the run and gun Wizards which will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect here in game 2 of this series. I know game one saw a higher scoring final result but Im betting the Wizards will feel the effects of a grueling schedule and the physical tenacity of game one which will result in a less explosive offensive effort. PHILADELPHIA iin 22 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more are 53-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 41-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 27-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 109-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Denver will play this game with desperation as they do not want to go down 2-0 to Portland and completely obliterate their home court advantage. Finally adjustments will be made especially from a defensive perspective and their game will take on a stronger defensive focus which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total. Note:DENVER is 8-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of these tilts ringing in at 212.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record for 110-71L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-58 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Brandon Woodruff(RHP2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO) 1.58 runs of support per nine innings is the lowest in the Majors for a qualifying pitcher. That explains how he's winless in four May starts despite having gone at least six innings with no more than two runs allowed in those games which Im betting will help contribute to another lower scoring affair here today. Meanwhile, Padres southpaw Blake Snell(LHP1-0, 3.79 ERA, 60 SO) is coming off his best start as a Padre and his first outing of at least six innings since 2019. Snell's stuff has been electric all year, but he hasn't been in the strike zone enough. On Tuesday, however, he K'd 11 with one walk. WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Team's Record.. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 UNDER ( vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.WOODRUFF is 10-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. ) SNELL is 19-6 UNDER in road games after giving up 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record) Play UNDER |
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05-23-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
West Division Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 The Colorado Avs are in top form and have been pressing the action, as is evident by scoring 26 goals in their L/5 games and if the Blues want to avoid elimination will have to come out here with an equally aggressive mindset which Im betting leads to a tilt that eclipses this total. ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 8-0 OVER after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ST LOUIS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 42-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NHL road teams against the total (COLORADO) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, second half of the season are 61-31 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Angels starter Dylan Bundy(RHP0-5, 6.02 ERA, 46 SO) has been dealing with a foot issue, but was cleared on Friday for his next start. He has a 10.13 ERA in three starts in May, allowing 15 runs in 13 1/3 innings and Im betting him and sub par bullpen will be responsible for helping this total get eclipsed. LA ANGELS are 7-0 OVER in home games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 17.2 rpg. (S.Manaea the As starter is a southpaw. )LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. The Angels are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored with each game eclipsing this offered total. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 213 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Lakers opus Morandi has been based on playing solid defense this season, but this team with players like James and Davis can gear it up with the best of teams offensively and today Im betting their going to have to do just that , vs a Suns side that Im betting will be very aggressive in transition . The suns in their 72 games this season have seen a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 8-1 OVER in home games after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LAL/PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 30-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 8 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Red starter fell to 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA in nine starts this season, including a seven-start winless streak and five straight losing decisions despite of 11 SOs last time out. Hes in a groove to be hard luck pitcher in his current form , and Im betting because of some glitches in this delivery his previous strong effort could easily be derailed here vs a Brewers batting order that my pitcher vs offense power ranking suggest is a bad matchup for him. The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when their starter Freddy Peralta starts as a favorite when they won in his last start with a combined average of 13.67 rpg scored. PERALTA is 13-3 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 21-10 OVER in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
This play off game is being played early in the afternoon here on the west coast, and Im expecting a slower grinding game that will result in a lower scoring affair. Add to that the Clippers modus operandi is based on a more physical precise game plan behind the 28th ranked pace and the 4th best ppg defense and the 10th ranked ppg offense. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 playoff games as a favorite. Meanwhile, Dallas , is 13-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored and are 8-0 UNDER vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored and 12-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 216 .6 ppg scored.DALLAS is also 10-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 212.5 ppg scored. So what Im getting at here is that Mavs HC Carlisle adjusts his game against teams like the Clippers which always look has me look at the offered total with a lower scoring result in mind. With that said, Im betting this number is beatable with an under wager. Note: Dallas ranks 9th in ppg defense, and 17 in ppg offense, and run at a slow 24th ranked pace. Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 20-6 in Mavericks last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-4 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play UNDER |
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05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 9-12 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Two pitchers with alot to play. for as they try to solidify their standing in their rotations makes for what Im betting will see them limit two very inconsistent offences outputs. Both sides have viable bullpens so mop up action should be generally successful. Note: Nationals starter LESTER is 15-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.272. The Orioles are averaging just .224 BA on the road this season. MARTINEZ is 32-18 UNDER against AL East opponents as the manager of WASHINGTON with an average of 8.2 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 14 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON Colorado won the first two games in this series by 4-1 and 6-3 counts and Im betting on even more offensive fireworks here as the Blues must open up or be blown out again.
ST LOUIS is 14-4 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg.
NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 27-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Indiana plays a one way style of hoops, and cannot adapt to what can sometimes be a grinding style play off basketball in any way shape or form. Its not an attack on them its just the way their built to run and gun, and thats what they will do. The Pacers rank 5th in pace in the league, 25th in ppg allowed and 6th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Washington ranked No.1 in pace and 30th in ppg allowed and 3rd in offensive ppg output , and run their attack in a very similar way to the Pacers, and operate a game paln that is suited for high octane action. With that said, Im betting on both sides, to come out here and blaze a trail on the court and for this combined score to eclipse this offered number. Yes, the first game only saw 218 combined points but this game Im betting sees the Wizards attack from the beginning and for the Pacers to have to follow suit or be blown off the court. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 41-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 37-17 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-2 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. Bjorkgren is 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of INDIANA. Over is 11-1 in Wizards last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play OVER |
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05-20-21 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Braves will send veteran left-hander Drew Smyly (2-2, 5.23 ERA) to the mound against Pittsburgh right-hander Wil Crowe (0-2, 4.35). both hurlers have been highly inconsistent so far this season. Over is 21-8-2 in Pirates last 31 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Smyly. The Braves are 9-0 OVER L/9 as a favorite off a home game in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits with a combined average 15.56 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 20-8 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-5 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. SNITKER is 25-11 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 Memphis ranks 6th in defensive rating in the league and in the middle of the pack in offensive output ppg and as the season was winding down began to play alot more attention to defensive play and ended going under in 6 of their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, The Spurs rank 15th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg efficiency and in 3 of their L/9 games failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau against similar type systematic teams ( NYK and twice vs Utah) . Im betting the Spurs one again struggle with flow vs a Grizzlies group that has become well adapted at suffocating their opponents flow. MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 215.7 ppg going on the score board in those 22 games. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 218 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/MEMPHIS ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-18-21 | Indians v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Both these starting hurlers have deficiencies and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings this total should be closer to 8.5 to 9. LA ANGELS are 35-14 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 32-14 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons with 11.1 rpg scored. The Indians are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road after they struck out at least ten times last game. MLB Road teams where the opening total is 8 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. are 53-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors . Play OVER |
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05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington plays a one way style of wide open hoops, and are not not suited to play off basketball in my humble opinion and will have issues operating in a more physical grinding environment. Meanwhile, the Celtics now without the services Jaylen Brown will need to readapt their game, and pay alot more attention to defense in transition which Im betting will help keep this game total combined score stay on the low side of the the total. UNDER is 5-0 L/5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON/BOSTON ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-16-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 217 | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
DETROIT is 11-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a road favorite and have gone over in 4 straight in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games. Over is 13-3 in Heat last 16 games as a favorite. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-16-21 | Liberty v. Fever UNDER 164.5 | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total should be closer 160 which gives us a two possession advantage on this offered total. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 154-97 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Lakers who are ranked No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency opus operandi bases it successes and failures on playing a tough defensive system that plays a great deal to transitional play. Considering Indiana runs a all out take no prisoners style of hoops its obvious that two different styles will go head to head here. However Im betting on the superior side solidifying that future play off game plan by making sure their will is imposed, which will see this game grind at a slower pace than the lines-makers expect or project. Also generally speaking afternoon action has a way of being slower paced than games played later in the day or night, thus adding to my belief that this combined score fails to eclipse the total. Note: Indiana is off a big time offensive slugfest last time out losing 143-132 to the Bucks , and Im betting they will regress here with less energy and offensive efficiency. INDIANA is 21-8 L/29 UNDER after scoring 130 points with the average combined score clicking in at 210.6 ppg. INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 130 points with a combined average of 201.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 28-11 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the combined average score of 212.1 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 32-15 UNDER (+15.5 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score clicking at 215.1 ppg . LA LAKERS are 22-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 68-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 150-96 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets UNDER 235 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has solidified its defensive play of late as they prepare for post season hoops and nothing changes here today vs the Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bulls continue to play good defense and have held 3 of their L/5 opponents to 99 point ore less. This afternoon Im betting on a continuation of this type of top tier D by both sides in a games that Im betting stays under the the offered total. CHICAGO is 13-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. CHICAGO is 12-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Under is 9-0 in Bulls last 9 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-4 in Nets last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, on Saturday games are 42-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 45-18 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate of bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-14-21 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers have been inconsistent this season, but both bullpens have shown alot of consistency and will supply ample support vs two offences that have shown alot of inconsistencies. San Diego team batting average at home is .213 while the Cards batting order has garnered a sub par .215 BA in on the road. SAN DIEGO is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for 88% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-14-21 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves starter Smyly will be starting with three extra days of rest which will help him greatly here. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Houser had quite a night in his previous start at Miami matching a career-high 10 strikeouts and now with that momentum behind him should be in top form here in this spot. The Brewers are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite after they had 6 or fewer hits last game with a combined average of 5.59 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 38-22 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The Suns have gone over 7 straight times and their L/6 games have eclipsed this offered total. Meanwhile, the visiting Blazers are currently in high octane over drive, ranking 5th in the league on ppg offense and 4th in offensive rating, but just 22nd in ppg defense and a ugly 29th ranking in defensive rating. Looking at current form, and the overall data, it becomes obvious that in general terms that this game should be a high scoring slugfest. Play OVER |
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05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 218.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Heat have had great success of late pushing the tempo of their games, and as a result have gone over 10 straight times. Im betting that the Sixers if they are keen on winning this game , will have to match the Heats pace and that will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this season with the average combined score clicking in at 232.5 ppg.MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with a. combined 224.9 ppg scored.MIAMI is 12-1 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. Philadelphia dating back to last season in their L/68 road games have seen a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-13-21 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin since joining Washington he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts vs. the Phillies and is well suited to go against this group of Phillies hitter.s Meanwhile, Zach Eflin continues to pound the strike zone, which is a big reason for his strong start. He has walked only three batters in 45 1/3 innings in his first seven starts. And one of those walks was an intentional walk. He has struck out 42. Im betting on both hurlers doing decent work here and for the combined score of this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. WASHINGTON is 10-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.WASHINGTON is 15-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.Washington has gone under in 3 straight and 7 of his L/8 games. Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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05-12-21 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 223 | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Rockets obviously have nothing left to play for, but an opportunity to upend the defending champs Im betting is something that will motivate them and push them into action. They have been playing a wide open brand of hoops lately and nothing should change here at Staples tonight Note: Houston has combined with their opponents to average of 250+ ppg in tier L/5 games overall. Meanwhile, at this time of year teams like the Lakers are gearing up for the play offs and looking to gain momentum. I know the Lakers D has been key to their successes this season, but they also need to generate some offense , and will push forward here aggressively either out of need or greed which will see this tilt turn into a higher scoring game than the pundits might expect.HOUSTON in 7 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 245 ppg scored.Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 overall. Play OVER |
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05-12-21 | Spurs v. Nets UNDER 233 | 116-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Nets continue to play a much better brand of hoops of late as they pay special attention to their defensive responsibilities as the play offs approach. After playing last night the Nets will not be in a run and gun formation anyway and their tired legs could easily see them trying to grind this game down a bit to a slower pace vs the Spurs which should limit wide open back forth action which will relate to a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Nets are 5-1 UNDER L/6 games. The Nets are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 199.1 ppg going on the board. Under is 16-5 L/21 meetings in Brooklyn. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 28-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls UNDER 233 | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are playing a strong brand of defensive hoops of late holding three straight opponents to less than 99 points, with all 3 affairs generating wins for them. Im betting that because of their recent successes that type of basketball will continue to be played tonight vs the talented high flying Brooklyn Nets which will directly effect the pace of this game. Also with the play offs approaching the Nets have noticed are staring to pay attention to a better brand of defensive hoops that has resulted in the under cashing in 8 of their L/12 overall. CHICAGO is 10-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 215 ppg scored. In 33 home games this season the Bulls have seen a combined average score of 220.4 go on the score board. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 11-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-11-21 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 218 | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Clippers are gearing up for play off basketball by playing a top tier brand of D that has resulted in 8 straight unders.With Toronto playing short handed here Im betting Nurse will employ a conservative posture that will see a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 13-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 206.9 ppg scored.TORONTO is 20-7 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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05-11-21 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Erick Fedde(RHP2-3, 5.27 ERA, 28 SO) is 2-4 with a 5.26 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) in his career against the Phillies. He allowed five runs in as many innings in his last start on Wednesday vs. the Braves. Meanwhile, Chase Anderson the Phillies starter still has not pitched more than five innings in any of his first six starts and owns a bloated 5.54 ERA on the season, and does not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-21 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden States Curry has averaged 37.7 per game in his past 15 contests as the Warriors offense goes into warp speed when he is on the floor behind the leagues 2nd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Utah a team that ranks 1st in ppg offense in the league is more than capable of responding with offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will deliver a higher scoring affair that will see this totals number eclipsed. Over is 4-1-1 in Jazz last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Warriors/ Jazz 6-0 OVER L/6 meetings . The last 2 meetings this season, have seen 235 and 250 combined points go on the board. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-21 | Lightning v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Two top tier sides go head to head here in a game Im betting will resemble play off style hockey. As we come closer to the post season teams headed to the play offs pay special attention in transition which generally results in tighter lower scoring games. FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games . TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 34-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game. are 32-11 L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-21 | Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Chicago is off a rare good defensive effort taking a 2-1 win Carolina CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER in home games off a road win by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 14-2 OVER in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Note: Previous to that above mentioned good D effort, the Hawks had allowed 7, 4,4.5 and 6 goals. Meanwhile, Dallas opened up last time out with a 5 goal output and with that offensive momentum enter this game in a good position to do some damage. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Play OVER |
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05-09-21 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
The Clippers recently completed a three-game season sweep over their crosstown rivals, rolling the Los Angeles Lakers 118-94 on Thursday and its obvious their defense is rolling in top gear, and knowing the Knicks opus operandi is based on top tier defense and nothing changes today as Im betting on a low scoring grinder. NEW YORK in 62 games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. The Knicks are 0-12 UNDER L/12 with rest coming off a loss in which they led by double digits. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 222 | 130-124 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
The Celtics are 16-0 OVER L/16 off a road loss in a in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 27-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.
Play OVER |
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05-09-21 | Nationals v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Nats starter ROSS is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 in his career. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Nationals are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when Joe Ross starts on the road when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets UNDER 231.5 | 125-119 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Denver has the 9th ranked ppg defense in the NBA and owns the 26th ranked pace. So needless to say they are fairly methodical in their approach considering their successes. Nothing will change tonight at home in the Mile High city against a talented Nets group that despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches knows playing a better brand of defense as the post season approaches is very important. With that said, Im betting that this game will see some special attention to playing good transitional hoops which will reflect a muted response on the score board then the pundits might expect. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 24-11 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored in those 35 titls. DENVER is 10-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 227 | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston has been opening up of late, and are off a big time back and forth tilt vs Milwaukee last time out losing by a 141-131 count. However today Im betting on regression from the Rockets offense and energy depletion to rare its ugly head as they play their 5th game in 8 nights. Meanwhile, Utah is off a hard fought tilt vs Denver last night, and will also find them selves playing on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state which Im betting produces a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-11-1 in Rockets last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. HOUSTON is 25-6 UNDER L/31 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 22-12 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored. UTAH is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Spurs are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game in 7 days and off a game last night. That will effect their pace, vs a Portland side that has allowed their opposition 109 points or less in 4 of their L/6 games. The Spurs are 0-14 UNDER L/14 off a game as a favorite in which they committed fewer than 15 fouls. Under is 7-2 in Trail Blazers last 9 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 60-28 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. |
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05-07-21 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP4-0, 4.18 ERA, 31 SO)is coming off a shaky outing . Facing the Rangers, he allowed eight hits and four runs over five innings. Lacking his usual velocity and command, he was lifted after 67 pitches and he looks vulnerable here to a down performance which adds credence to this total being eclipsed. Meanwhile, Harvey the Orioles starter despite of some decent efforts does not matchup well against this BoSox batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. RODRIGUEZ is 13-0 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ is 11-0 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 10-1 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play OVER |