Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-04-18 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
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08-03-18 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 171 | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream enter this tilt winning nine of their last 11 contests. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 79 points on 41.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.8 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Defense is the key to the Dreams successes of late, and nothing will change here tonight as they force the pace of this game, and slow down a Chicago side with grindem out basketball . Chicago likes to run with wreck-less abandon, and that won't come easily tonight, which will effect the Total combined points to register on the low side of the number. Under is 6-0 in Dream last 6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 12-2 in Dream last 14 home games. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-02-18 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 8 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Reds RH Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.30) Mahle the Reds starter is in a funk right now and is 0-2 his last three trips to the hill while permitting 16 runs on 20 hits , including five homers . His ERA in his L/3 overall starts is a ugly 14.00 , along with a nasty looking 2.889 WHIP. The way Mahle is pitching, and the way the Nats are hitting having scored 30 runs in their L/2 games, I won't be surprised if the Nats eclipse this number all by themselves. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Nats ace, is in top form at the moment, but despite of winning his L/3 games, has still seen each game go over the number, as his team continually backs him with run support, something that I'm betting happens again today. Note: SCHERZER is 9-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 8-0 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in Reds last 10 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 home games.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The Reds are 21-1 OU as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers.The only game in the L/21 that finished under was their last game, where a total of 7 runs were scored. Previous to that tilt no game had seen less than 9 runs scored. The average combined score of the 21 games clicks in at 13.38 rpg. Play OVER |
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08-01-18 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Last night the Yankees beat the Orioles 6-3 but previous to that game, the Os bats were on fire scoring 15,11,11 runs in the last three consecutive games of their series vs the TB Rays. They did not matchup all that well against Tanaka yesterday, but todays pitching matchup vs Gray suits this current Os batting lineup much better and my projections estimate they should flourish this afternoon offensively. Gray the Yankees starter has pitched his very worst at home this season as is evident by his 6.80 ERA at Yankees stadium over 10 starts . Meanwhile, the Yankees have been consistent all season long with their offence, and have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their L/9 including 4 straight, and have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season, and here today vs Cobb the Orioles struggling righty and bullpen the Yanks should once again come close to putting at least that many runs on the board. Cobb has pitched his worst ball on the road this season where he has garnered a ugly 6.20 ERA. Over is 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 starts vs. American League East.Everything points to this Total be eclipsed. GRAY is 15-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record).GRAY is 18-8 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Over is 7-1 in Grays last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Grays last 13 home starts.Over is 25-4-1 in the last 30 meetings.Over is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings in New York.Over is 20-7-1 in Yankees last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 14.5 rpg going on the board with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs go on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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07-31-18 | Storm v. Mercury UNDER 166.5 | 102-91 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
Now with the top teams in the WNBA making the final drive towards the play offs , paying more attention to defence becomes of paramount importance. Today I expect both these play off bound teams to start revving up for the post season, with some physical hoops, that will see this total combined score fail to be eclipsed. SEATTLE is 23-8 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 160.1 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 11-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 160.6 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-2 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 with a combined average of 147.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-7 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 17-4 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 155.6 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 19-5 UNDER in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.4 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.5 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-31-18 | Phillies v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (8-6, 3.45 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-4, 6.91) Neither of these pitchers inspire me, but both are capable hurlers that can do their part in help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season with a combined average of 4.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. POMERANZ is 28-9 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Note:Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed just 11 earned runs over 70 1/3 innings (1.41 ERA) in their last 12 contests. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 interleague games.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gameUnder is 10-4-1 in Phillies last 15 road games. Under is 35-15-4 in Phillies last 54 games following a loss.Under is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 32-15-5 in Phillies last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.Under is 9-3 in Red Sox last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Red Sox last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 interleague gamesUnder is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 12-2 in Red Sox last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 home games.Under is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Under is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Under is 12-3 in umpire Nelsons last 15 games behind home plate and his last 4 games behind home plate have gone under. BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season and is 22-7 UNDER at home when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) These teams have struggled against LHP starters this season, with the Blue Jays averaging 3.8 rpg via a lowly .234 BA, while the White Sox have averaged 3.6 rpg via a ugly .226 BA vs southpaws. I'm betting their struggles continue today vs two viable hurlers Rodon and Borucki, which help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. CHI WHITE SOX are 30-14 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. WHITE SOX are 25-11 UNDER after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Boruckis last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rodons last 10 Sunday starts.Under is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous gameUnder is 17-8-2 in White Sox last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts during game 3 of series. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh recent resurgence has been predicated on strong two way play, but their defense has really stood out, as was the case yesterday when they shutout the Mets. The Pirates have allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/9 games and have only allowed more than 4 runs , one time during their L/9 tilts. Today Im betting on the Mets offence struggling vs a hurler in Musgrove that my own current power rankings suggest matches up well vs the Mets current 9, and for Wheeler the Mets hurler to do just enough vs the Pirates offence to help keep this total combined score on the low side of the number. Add to that we have a home plate umpire in Bellinno that has only seen 13 of his L/53 games eclipse the Total. Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 4 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 47.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -102 | 109 h 9 m | Show | |
Calgary's defence has been brilliantly amazing to this point in the season. The Stamps have allowed an average of just 9.2 ppg, and today vs a Stampeders team, that is averaging just 22 ppg overall and 20.7 ppg at home on offence, I'm betting more of the same smash mouth stopping action will be featured once again. Meanwhile, the Stamps despite of not scoring on a consistent basis this season, have played solid D, and in 3 home games have allowed just 18.3 ppg this season. With that said, everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the Total. Note: The L/5 meetings in this series have remained on the low side of the Total with a combined average score of 35.4 ppg scored, with the last 2 in Saskatchewan seeing 24, and 29 Total points go on the board. CALGARY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 41.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. CALGARY is 7-0 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 44.9 ppg scoredCALGARY is 9-2 UNDER versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 10-1 UNDER inches career in home games after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 41 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 9-1 UNDER in his career in home games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-26-18 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Milone Nats vs Marlins RH Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. |
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07-24-18 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 171 | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams have already played each other 3 times this season, with the last two featuring high offensive shooting percentages by both sides. However, the way both sides have trending of late, with Connecticut staying under in 9 of their 11 , as they pay more attention to defense, and Washington going under in 3 of their L/4 thanks in part to decent defensive stances, I'm betting this total combined score will fall under the Totals plateau that the lines makers have released. It must also be note that both these coaches know playing a tough defensive brand of hoops as the play offs approach is of the utmost importance. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored and is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 158.1 ppg going on the score board. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 154.8 ppg. HC Thibault of Washington is 16-5 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better with the combined average of 158.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 49-18. UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors and 10-3 UNDER this season. Play UNDER |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 6-7 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards. meanwhile, Orioles rookie Ramirez, despite of being a hard luck pitcher and not garnering enough support for wins, is a solid hurler who began his career in the majors with 4 1/3 innings of three-run ball against the BoSox on June 13 this season. Ramirez is allowing opposition batters to a .224 average and has 24 strikeouts through his first 23 1/3 innings. I'm betting the kid does just enough to limit the explosive Boston offence from bombing away and embarrassing him in this spot. With that said, look for a combined score that fails to eclipse the bloated number. POMERANZ is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 13-2 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 23-8 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. .BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 19-7-3 in Orioles last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games.Under is 25-10-2 in Orioles last 37 games following a loss.Under is 35-16 in Orioles last 51 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Tuesday games. Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overallUnder is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts overall. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 4-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. Orioles. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 31-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season-AL are 52-18 UNDER L/21 season for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-22-18 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 177 | 92-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-22-18 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) Both teams decided not to go with Saturday's starters after yesterdays cancellation/postponement -- Atlanta's Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) and Washington's Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72) -- and instead stay with Sunday's scheduled pitchers.All-Stars Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) of the Braves and Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) of the Nationals. Scherzer the Nationals starter today is 1-1 against the Braves this season and has allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves man on the hill owns a decent achievement chart against the Nationals this season, allowing three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a stingy 1.40 ERA . The Braves righty ranks fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while holding opposition batters to a .146 average in nine tries. I expect after yesterdays day off, that the offences could find themselves starting slow while the pitchers dominate, as they are well rested and rejuvenated after the break. Under is 7-2-3 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts vs. National League East.Under is 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game . WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.
Play UNDER |
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07-22-18 | Storm v. Dream UNDER 163.5 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-21-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) These teams took part in a 11-10 slugfest yesterday with Colorado winning. I'm betting on more of the same action in this spot. Arizona's starter Godley (11-6, 4.61 ERA) has been ingot form of late, but has been inconsistent this season, as is evident by his slightly bloated ERA. His 1.56 WHIP is the highest among the 39 NL qualifiers, but he has been supported by 4 1/2 runs per game. I expect Colorado's sometimes explosive bats to do some damage against him here today. Over is 8-1-2 in Rockies last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Freeland the Rockies starter is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA in five career starts against Arizona and despite of being a quality pitcher my own power rankings suggest the Backs should do well against him here today in the desert heat. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.82 ERA and a 4.58 ERA away from Coors Field. Over is 5-1-1 in Godleys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times after a game as a home favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 15.08 rpg scored, with no game seeing less than 10 runs scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 37-12 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-20-18 | Wings v. Sky UNDER 180 | 99-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Chicago losers of 17 of their 23 games this season know they need to slow this game down against the super explosive Wings' to have any chance at victory, and I'm betting as a result will be very physical here . The Sky enter the game losers of their last four contests, with each of those losses coming by double digits and in no way shape or form feel confident in turning this into a run and gun affair. Meanwhile, the Wings are off a nationally televised game vs the Mystics and will now be on tired legs and less than capable of running and gunning themselves. This I'm betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers expect. It must be noted that only two of Dallas's last 14 games have eclipsed this current total being offered. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 153.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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07-19-18 | Liberty v. Dream UNDER 160.5 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
New York goes into the Atlanta off a 104-87 loss at Dallas on Tuesday that ended the Liberty's two-game winning streak. The Liberty after scoring 107 points in a win in their previous game now a much needed attention to playing better D,. With that said, I'm betting on a more physical game plan this time around that focuses on paying attention to their transitional play and taking care of business in their own end . New York beat the Dream 79-72 at home on June 19 and a repeat type total combined score is not out of the question in this spot. NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta has won 5 straight thanks to playing solid defence, allowing an average of 78.6 ppg in those tilts. Nothing changes tonight in a tilt I have pegged to fail to eclipse the Total. Note: ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a close win by 3 points or less , which happened in a 86-83 loss to the Connecticut Sun last time out. The combined average score of those games was 151.3 ppg. |
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07-17-18 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 167 | 87-104 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
New York is off an explosive offensive game last time, scoring 107 points, and I'm betting they will now revert back to their mean average of 78 ppg overall, and 76.2 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Dallas is in a emotional letdown state after a hard fought loss to the Seattle Storm last time out. I know Dallas can play some big time offence , but overall their coaching staff preaches a defence first mentality and they have an ability to slow teams down, which I'm betting they do tonight against the Liberty. Considering the above mentioned situations I expect a muted total score here that fails to eclipse the number. NEW YORK is 7-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored . NEW YORK is 16-5 UNDER after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better with the average combined score 127.4 ppg. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 27 games clicking in at 153 ppg. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-15-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed. TANAKA is 13-2 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Cleveland is 15-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R) Padres starter Perdomo's will make his third start since he returned from Triple-A El Paso on July 4. He is 0-1 in his first two outings back, allowing eight runs on 14 hits and seven walks with three strikeouts over 12 2/3 innings and could easily get lit up by the Cubs batting order here today.PERDOMO is 10-1 OVER in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Cubs starting hurler Hendricks is 1-2 with a 5.20 ERA during the past month and has given up 17 runs (16 earned) on 30 hits and 12 walks in 27 2/3 innings.I expect the Padres 9 will also do some damage here and will help to contribute to this total being eclipsed. SAN DIEGO is 10-0 OVER in home games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons, (which happened yesterday ) with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA of 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 64-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. The Cubs have gone OVER the Total 7 straight times as a road 160-plus favorite off a game as a favorite that was tied at the end of the sixth inning. The average final score averaged out to 12.28 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 54 | 17-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
With Jonathon Jennings struggling, the Lions have promoted veteran Travis Lulay to the No. 1 spot for Saturday’s home game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. I'm betting he will be worth one more score and that that this combined total score will be eclipsed. The Lions are going to need it , as they are allowing more than 30 ppg, and were clobbered 41-19 last week vs these same Bombers. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has a great deal of depth on offence, and it is their strength and I'm betting they will do some damage today as well, as teams have a hard time preparing for the different talented options. Winnipeg has averaged 36 ppg this season, and I won't be surprised, if they come close to equaling those numbers here. These teams have gone OVER in their L/3 meetings in BC overall, with the Lions scoring 35,31,42 points in closely contested back and forth battles, that also saw 67,63, and 87 combined points going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games in July.Over is 13-4 in Blue Bombers last 17 road games.Over is 18-7-2 in Blue Bombers last 27 vs. West.Over is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last 7 games overall.Over is 15-6 in Blue Bombers last 21 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in July.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. West.Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games overall.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games. WINNIPEG is 15-6 OVER in road games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.3 ppg scored. O'Shea is 12-4 OVER off a home win as the coach of WINNIPEG with combined average of 60.1 ppg going on the board. WINNIPEG is 21-8 OVER versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 58 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the OVER |
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07-14-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 173.5 | 84-91 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Wings are averaging 87.3 points per game, and their opponents the Storm average 87 ppg. However, both these coaches preach a defence first system, and that I'm betting will be at the forefront of this contest as both know how explosive each others offences are. With that said, I'm expecting a lower scoring tilt then the line offered. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 home games. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 153.4 ppg going on the board. SEATTLE is 20-7 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or less ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (DALLAS) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) Newcomb (8-4, 3.44 ERA) Is struggling of late as is evident by going a combined 6 1/3 innings and giving up 10 runs in his last two trips to the hill. I'm betting the Backs bats don't let him off easily and accumulate some runs here that will help get us over the total. Meanwhile, Zack Greinke (9-5, 3.39 ERA) comes into the start with momentum, having won six of his past seven , but has still not been his usual dominant self despite of getting all star allocation this season. I expect the Braves a team that have averaged 4.9 rpg this season do also do some damage with this total getting eclipsed. ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. (Arizona beat the Braves yesterday 2-1) Over is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 15-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 42-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or fewer and won with a combined average of 10.28 rpg scored, with no game failing to reach the 8 point totals plateau. Play OVER |
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07-12-18 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.33 ERA) vs. Mets LH Steven Matz (4-6, 3.31) This will be Scherzer's first start of the season against the Mets. Although he has been solid this month, he has not been his usual dominant self in his last two outings with a 4.85 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 13 innings and looks ripe to be taken advantage of by a Mets order that despite of struggling to score have on occasion mustered enough talent to light up opposing hurlers. A few added runs will be a totals breaker here, to the upper side of the number. I also know Matz the Mets starter is in top form, but the Nationals cannot be underestimated in their offensive abilities as recently they put up 14 and 18 runs in two separate tilts. Over is 3-1-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. National League East.Over is 15-7-1 in the last 23 meetings.NY Mets In their L/24 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg go on the board.WASHINGTON I L/66 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 7.7 rpg get scored.The Nationals have gone OVER 15 of the L/16 times in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings.All games have at least reached the 7 run plateau , with the average combined score of those 16 games clicking in at 10.88 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-10-18 | Aces v. Sky UNDER 174.5 | 98-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago played good defense in this last tilt, and got the win by a 73-66 count vs the defending league champion Lynx. Needless to say HC Stocks is happy with their play , and I;'m betting they will be out to slow the fast paced wide open attack of the visiting Aces in this spot. Aces veteran HC Lambeer in retaliatory fashion will push his ladies to be equally physical, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS is 13-5 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.5 ppg going on the board. Las Vegas HC Lambeer is 34-17 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games in his career something the Aces just achieved.( A Combined average of 153.2 ppg were scored in those tilts) Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80%or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons . Play UNDER |
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07-10-18 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 168 | 72-101 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 163 -163.5 , thus we are getting a two possession advantage according to my line. This is a value play based on a inflated line that will be bet down from the opener. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 149.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-08-18 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.53 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (11-2, 2.25) Lester has been in fine form this season, but my power rankings suggest the potent Cincinnati Reds batting lineup matches up well against him. Lester in his career is 6-1 vs the Reds but , owns a slightly bloated 4.07 ERA in those meetings. Lesters two last starts overall have been wins, but a combined 21 and 13 runs went on the board in those tilts, ( 11-10) (9-4). His team is backing him with support and I'm betting nothing changes today as the Cubs take care of business vs the up and down right hurler Luis Castillo who isles than dependable as is evident by his 5.53 overall ERA and 6.70 road ERA in 10 starts. Note: The Cubs have averaged 7.9 rpg in their L/7 trips to diamonds. Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7-3 in Cubs last 30 Sunday games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-5 in Cubs last 18 games following a win.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 overall.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 on grass.Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 home games.Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Lesters last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-2-1 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3-1 in Lesters last 12 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4 in Lesters last 14 home starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1-1 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 Sunday games.Over is 8-2-1 in Reds last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-2 in Reds last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 overall.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 on grass.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 games following a loss.Over is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Castillos last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-1 in Castillos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 Sunday starts.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Castillos last 8 road starts.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts overall. Over is 8-1-2 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. Reds.Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Reds.Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.Over is 35-13-3 in the last 51 meetings. The Cubs have gone OVER 8 straight times with Jon Lester as a favorite when they won his last three starts. Chicago has gone over the total by an average of 5.81 runs in these 8 tilts and Im betting on more OVER action today. Play on the OVER |
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07-08-18 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Newcomb the Braves lefty starter had a bad outing last time out, but the heat was unbearable as was a swirling wind. Prior that outing he was 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA in the 11 previous starts and I'm betting he will revert back to that form Sunday when he faces Milwaukee. The Brewers have struggled vs southpaws this season, hitting .20 points under the Mendoza line, .230 while collecting just 138 hits in 600 AB . Meanwhile, The Twins couldn’t solve Guerra the Brewers starter when he hurled five shutout innings of two-hit ball. Guerra has allowed more than three runs in a start just once since May 9 and continues to be in top form for the Brewers and Im expecting more top tier work again. He is also backed with a solid bullpen that will aid in his start limiting the Braves offence. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 4 of a series.Under is 40-19-1 in Brewers last 60 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts vs. National League East.Under is 13-2 in Guerras last 15 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Guerras last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 14-3 in Guerras last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-4 in Guerras last 22 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Guerras last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in Brewers last 26 Sunday games.Under is 21-7-1 in Brewers last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 during game 4 of a series.Under is 55-22-1 in Brewers last 78 games following a loss.Under is 44-18-1 in Brewers last 63 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game There is a good umpire on board for a low scoring game: Under is 7-1-2 in Wolcotts last 10 games behind home plate. GUERRA is 17-6 UNDER L/23 in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game . (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 6.3 rpg. GUERRA is 7-0 UNDER in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored.GUERRA is 15-4 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 96-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-08-18 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) Roark the Nationals starter has not looked all that great of late, but according to my power rankings pitcher vs offence charts matches up well vs Miami, and could have a fast reversal of fortunes in this spot. It must be noted Roark has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts against the Marlins and I'm betting he keeps that momentum alive in this rematch. Meanwhile, Trevor Richards is a pitcher that continues to gain confidence and has shown composure of late. He is not easily rattled, and I expect he will temper the Nats offence here today, as the home teams comes off an offensive explosion yesterday, and could experience a battery draining reversion to the mean that has seen them average just 3.9 rpg in day time games this season. Under is 6-2-1 in Roarks last 9 starts vs. Marlins.Under is 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yesterday the Nationals unloaded the Marlins in a big way winning by a 13-4 count. Previous to that they won 3-2, after winning the first game of the series by a 14-12 count. With that said, the it must be noted that the Nationals have gone UNDER in the last 9 game of a home series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, staying under by an average of 3.72 rpg. The last 7 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored and none of these 9 games have eclipsed the 9 run totals plateau offered here today by the books. Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 9 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival, in July games are 88-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-18 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7 | 4-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R) LHP Wei-Yin Chen (2-5, 5.55) starts for the Marlins and has a 9.85 ERA in seven road starts this season and looks like cannon fodder once again, and could easily all by himself facilitate a score that eclipses this beatable number. In his last seven starts, Chen is 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA. Meanwhile, Scherzer has lost four consecutive decisions for the first time since 2009-10, with complaints about of lack of run support. Today he should finally get the help he needs, why he himself may not do all that well vs a Marlins offence that according to my own power rankings actually matches up well against him.MIAMI is 11-2 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored.MIAMI in 28 games as a road underdog of +150 or more this season have seen a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 13-2 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Chens last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 road games.Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. Marlins. The Marlins have gone OVER 16 straight times by an average of 4.88 rpg as a road 170+ dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 runs/game or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 roles earned runs in his last 2 outings are 46-19 OVER L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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07-07-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Two top tier starting pitchers Severino (13-2, 1.98 ERA) and Happ (10-4, 4.03) go to the hill today to face each other in a tilt I have pegged as a pitcher duel.Severino has looked good vs the Blue Jays this season going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two starts and has currently on a 13 2./3 scoreless innings streak. In 17 career starts against the Yankees, Happ is 8-3 along with a 3.53 ERA. Yesterday the Blue Jays started the series with a 6-2 victory , and chased the Yankees starter from the game early. Its very important to note however, that The Yankees have gone under 18 in a row as a road favorite of more than 120 after a game in which their starter pitched less than three innings and it is not a series opener.The last 17 have only seen three games reach the 8 run Totals plateau and non eclipsing it. The average combined score clicked in a 6.89 rpg. NY YANKEES are 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average score of 7.2 rpg scored.TORONTO is 21-9 UNDER against division opponents this season with the average score of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on astroturf.Under is 24-5 in Yankees last 29 overall.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 road gamesUnder is 35-16-2 in Happs last 53 starts vs. American League East.Under is 36-17-3 in Happs last 56 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 21-10-3 in Happs last 34 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Play UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 7 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
RYAN STANEK (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Stanek the Mets starter today vs the struggling offence of the NY Mets has been in top form in spot starts as an "opener" for the Rays. he recently had a streak of 12 consecutive scoreless trips to the hill halted in a relief loss at Miami this past Monday . But the confident hurler bounced back quickly with two shut out innings of relief the next day against the Marlins, striking out three in the process. Note: Stanek is the only pitcher in history with seven straight scoreless starts, something I have taken into consideration as have the lines makers. Meanwhile, his Mets pitching opponent Jacob DeGrom, despite of owning the best ERA in the National League, continues to be frustrated, thanks to a lack of run support and clutch hitting by a offence that is averaging just 3.2 rpg on the season at home via a ugly .215 BA. He has made eight starts at home, posting a 2-2 record despite a 1.90 ERA and .199 batting average against. I expect he will be in top form again, vs a TB side that has averaged just 3.2 rpg in interleage action this season. Im expecting both pitchers and their bullpens to highlight what I'm betting will be a lower scoring fair that fails to eclipse the total. Note:The Mets have gone 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest as a home favorite off a game as a dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost ( That happened to Degrom last time out). The L/13 have not seen more than 7 runs scored, with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. The L/8 have seen 4 shutouts, and a combined average score of 3.5 rpg scored. The Rays had a day off yesterday: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following an off day. Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15Under is 12-4 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague home games.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games. Play UNDER |
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07-03-18 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) The Dodgers smashed the Pirates yesterday by a 17-1 count and now I'm expecting a natural letdown situation to occur offensively for the Dodgers here , which I'm betting helps facilitate a lower scoring affair.Note: The Pirates have gone under 10 straight times on the road after they allowed 12+ hits which happened in their last game. No score eclipsed the 7 run plateau, and the 10 games went under by an average of 3.8 rpg. The Pirates are 2-16-1 O/U as a road dog off a road game in which they lost by 5+ runs with no game over the 19 game span eclipsing the 7 run plateau. Two pitchers who have recently come of the DL go head to head tonight in LA as Clayton Kershaw of LA takes on Ivan Nova of the Pirates. In four starts since coming off the DL because of a sprained right finger, Nova is 2-0 with a 1.75 ERA.Nova ince coming off the DL and has given up one or no runs in three of those outings. Note:Under is 15-2 in Novas last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Meanwhile, Kershaw will be making his third start since coming off the disabled list for his most recent back injury and is showing upward momentum and strength and owns a 2.77 ERA since his return, and I'm betting this will be his strongest start to date as the rust will now completely worn off. .KERSHAW is 17-5 UNDER in his career in home games in July . (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 home starts vs. Pirates. Under is 24-9-4 in Pirates last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (PITTSBURGH) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), in the second half of the season are 73-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( The que numbers are even better at 7.5) Play UNDER |
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07-02-18 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
In his first 14 starts this year, Kluber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Royals was 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA. But in his last three starts, Kluber is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA and struggling mightily. Meanwhile,Junis the Royals starter has lost his L/6 starts along with a bloated 6.30 ERA and was beaten around for five runs on seven hits , including three homers - and three walks over five innings of sub standard work vs the Brewers last time out.Junis' last start against Cleveland came May 13. In a 6-2 loss to the Indians, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing four runs and six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.In three career appearances against Cleveland, Junis is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and could easily get beaten around again vs a side that my power rankings suggest does not matchup well against. I won't be surprised if the sometimes explosive Indians offence puts enough runs on the board to eclipse this total all by themselves. KLUBER is 8-0 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average score of 11.5 rpg scored.KLUBER is 39-22 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with an average of 10 rpg scored. Im betting a struggling KC offence does just enough damage here to help us eclipse the total. . KANSAS CITY is 54-32 OVER L/86 as a home underdog of +175 or more with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLBRoad teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-21 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-30-18 | Indians v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Plutko the Tribes starter today vs Oakland limited Detroit to two runs on six hits over six innings on Sunday, ending with four strikeouts and no walks. The right-hander has held righty batters to a .186 average with a .620 OPS in six outings this season. I'm expecting he does just fine vs Oakland offense that has struggled offensively at home this season generating just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .223 BA. Meanwhile, the Athletics will respond with Jackson who gave the A’s six innings in his 2018 debut, holding the Tigers to one run on Monday. He allowed just six hits and didn’t walk a batter, while striking out seven in the 80-pitch outing. I expect he gets even stronger today, and continues his past top tier efforts vs the Tribe, as is evident by 9-1 W/L career record along with a solid 2.81 ERA. The Indians have been a Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde offense home and away this season. On the road Cleveland has averaged just 3.8 rpg behind a lackluster .224 BA and I'm betting on Jackson and a stable As bullpen 2.66 ERA at home to keep the Tribe for erupting, thus helping see this game score finish on the low side of the Total. JACKSON the As starter is 11-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.
MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-18 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Skaggs the Angles starter this afternoon took the loss in his last start on Monday despite holding the Royals to one run over seven innings. He has posted a 0.67 ERA over 27 innings in four June starts and I'm betting will make life difficult for the Os offense. Meanwhile, Baltimore's starter Cashner took a no-decision in his last start, against the Mariners, despite going six innings for the third time in four outings. The righty has a 3.68 ERA in June but is winless in four starts, thanks to a lack of clutch hitting and run support by the Os struggling batting order that has produced more than 3 runs only twice in their L/9 games. LA ANGELS are 9-1 UNDER after a win by 6 runs or more this season with the average combined score clicking at 6.4 rpg.BALTIMORE is 14-4 UNDER in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 20-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored and is 16-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. CASHNER is 9-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average scoring ringing in at 6.5 rpg. CASHNER is 12-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. CASHNER is 15-4 UNDER (+10.8 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 17-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-29-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankee starter tonight has lost his last two starts, both to the Rays, despite limiting them to five runs (four earned) with 14 strikeouts over 13 innings. I'm betting he keeps his team in this game as well and limits the Beantown offense to limited run producing opportunities. Meanwhile, Rodriguez the BoSox starter , despite of a rare substandard effort Mariners, when he allowed 5 runs in 4 innings, the southpaw has been solid, with a 2.97 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in the past seven games. Against the Yankees on May 10, he struck out eight over five scoreless innings. Both hurlers are backed by quality bullpens, and I'm betting on these hurlers providing up with quality work, which will help contribute to us cashing a under ticket here. Under is 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 home starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. Yankees. Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 23-9-2 in Rodriguezs last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record. SABATHIA is 26-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 17-7 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 22-8 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined 5.5 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-4 UNDER L/26 in June games as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOONE is 27-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. The Red Sox are 3-17-2 OU L/22 by an average of 1.73 rpg in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after they used 5+ pitchers. The Red Sox are 9-27 OU since Jun 15, 2004 on the road off a game as a favorite vs a lefty when they won the last three times they faced a lefty with a combed average of 8.3 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board. NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are a long term good bet for under bettors and are 138-64 to the UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-28-18 | Liberty v. Mystics UNDER 160 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
"It's amazing when you play really good defense what kind of things can happen," Mystics coach Mike Thibault told the Washington Post after their recent win vs the Connecticut Sun . With that said, I now expect the Mystics to continue to stay focused on their defensive game, which will have a direct effect on the to total combined score of this game to the low side of the number. It must be noted that the Liberty have averaged barely 70 ppg in their L/5 overall, and struggling with their offensive flow. Meanwhile, I know the Mystics have been lighting the board up of late, but WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.8 ppg going on the board and is 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 UNDER L/31 in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with the combined average score of 140.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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06-26-18 | Wings v. Sparks UNDER 163.5 | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played on June 22, the Dallas Wings were shooting the lights out, and the Sparks were playing uncharacteristically bad defensive basketball , as was evident in a 101-72 loss while allowing their opponent to average 53.1 % conversion rate from the Field. Now you can bet the Sparks will be primed to play much better D, and thwart the attack of the Wings. Two of the last three trips to the hardwood have seen the Sparks hold opponents to 55 and 54 points and they are more than capable standing tall here in this rematch in a tilt that I am betting see the total combined score stay on the low side of the number. |
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06-25-18 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Cleveland and their bats have come to life of late, scoring 50 runs in their L/6 games and could put enough runs on the board vs the Cards starters in bullpen today to eclipse this weak total all by themselves.Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. CLEVELAND is 17-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.( The Tribe just played 9 straight as hosts) The Cardinals have gone 7 straight times in the first game of a series with no rest as a underdog after a game as a road pup in which they used 5+ pitchers going over the total by an average of 8 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-22-18 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R) Padres left-hander Clayton Richard (6-6, 4.31), enters this game in top form and has allowed just six earned runs in his L/ 20 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Stratton the Giants starter threw seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit, in a 7-0 victory over the Padres in April and in his career owns a solid 2-1 record along with a stable 3.21 ERA against them in three games, including two starts. Under is 4-1 in Strattons last 5 starts overall. Both pitchers are backed by solid bullpens with SF relievers garnering a 2.87 home ERA and the Padres relievers recording a 2.79 overall ERA. The Giants have struggled against LHP this season like Richards averaging 4 rpg, via a lowly below the Mendoza line .241 team BA. The Fathers, 3.4 rpg on he road, while hitting just .225. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.6 rpg. Under is 8-2 in Padres last 10 overall.Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Everything points to this being a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse this total. Play UNDER |
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06-20-18 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R) There are two very average pitchers on the hill today, but two below average offenses will face them. Texas has averaged 3.9 rpg on the road via a lowly .229 BA while KC has averaged 3.4 rpg on a .234 BA. The Royals have scored more than 3 runs just once in their L/11 games, and struggle with their bats at the best of times and even against the worst of pitchers. My projections once again suggest that topping 3 runs for the this futile KC offense will be hard to achieve, while, Texas will not be far behind or ahead in production , which makes for a viable under wager in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 17-6 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 road games. Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win. Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 6-2 in umpire Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 72-36 UNDER L/21 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-19-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R) Milwaukee will recall right-hander Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.72 ERA) from Triple-A Colorado Springs and give him his third career start Tuesday, against Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA). In his earlier recall, Peralta, , made his major league debut on Mother's Day, recording 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Colorado, while allowing just one hit and setting a Brewers record for a debut with 13 strikeouts. The kid looks good and should have the confidence for a good start here .Meanwhile, Taillon the Pirates starter pitched on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. I'm expecting both hurlers to do their part in what I'm betting will be another low scoring game in this series. Yesterday the Pirates took a 1-0 victory. Note: MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite dating back to last season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.9 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. These teams have stayed under in 13 of their L/19 games here in Pittsburgh. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Taillon has stayed under in his L/4 meetings vs the Brewers and his L/4 here at home. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 46-15-1 in Brewers last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 road games.Under is 53-18-1 in Brewers last 72 games following a loss/. Under is 30-12 in Brewers last 42 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 79-34-4 in Brewers last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 35-16-1 in Brewers last 52 vs. National League Central.Under is 36-17-1 in Brewers last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 33-15-3 in Pirates last 51 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-0 in Taillons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1 in Taillons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Play UNDER |
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06-19-18 | Sky v. Mystics UNDER 171 | 60-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington after taking part in a grueling run and gun and high anxiety physical affair in a 95-91 win vs Connecticut on the 13th than flew out to the West coast to play the LA Sparks and looked exhausted, in a loss( 97-86), and than after that affair, they then flew all the way back east (DC) on the 16th and now after a couple days off I still don't think they will have gotten over their jet lag or recuperated from their heavy schedule , and it will show on the court today vs a Chicago side that is also on tired legs with this being their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Everything points to this being a closely contested lower scoring tilt that stays on the low side of the number. |
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06-17-18 | Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) Buchholz faced the Mets in his first start for Arizona, giving up one run on two hits in five innings in a 4-1 Mets victory at Citi Field on May 20. He is good form this season, as is evident by garnering 2.25 ERA in 5 starts. According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the Mets light hitting and inconsistent offensive lineup that has scored a total of 20 runs in their L/11 games. Meanwhile, the Mets Wheeler is 2-1 with a 2.13 ERA in four career games against Arizona, giving up 25 hits but only six earned runs while striking out 20 and walking five in 25 1/3 innings. Thanks to the Mets inability to score consistently and Wheelers ability to limit damage, I'm betting this tilt stays on the low side of the total. NY METS in their L/19 games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season have seen a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 Under is 4-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 6 games behind home plate.Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 4 of a series. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 71-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-16-18 | Marlins v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Chen of Miami and Cobb of Baltimore are two hurlers that have struggled recently. But going against respective offenses that must be looked at as lower tier attacks, these two sometimes very capable hurlers could easily look like Cy Young award candidates. COBB team when he starts is 15-4 UNDER in home games in day games in his career, with a combined average score of 5.6 rpg scored.BALTIMORE in 22 games vs. a starting pitcher that gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season have seen a combined average of just 7.5 rpg scored. CHEN is 44-23 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season in his career with a combined average score 7.7 rgg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are 49-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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06-15-18 | Twins v. Indians OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Two pitchers Gibson( Min) and Kluber ( Indians) with strong ERAs are on the mound, but according to my projections 8 or more runs could easily go on the board here today based on my offensive estimates relating to the Tribes out put. According to my pitcher vs offense power rankings the Indians matchup very well vs Gibson and could come close to eclipsing this Totals number all by themselves. In 14 career starts against Cleveland, Gibson is 2-6 with a 5.60 ERA. He goes against a home team that has averaged 5.8 rpg at home this season. Note: Whether this is anomaly or not it is still interesting to note- GIBSON is 10-1 OVER when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Kluber is a stud, but his bullpen has been a little tainted, and when and if he comes out, things could roll out of hand . MINNESOTA is 31-13 OVER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2couple of seasons. The Indians have gone OVER 10 straight times at home after they had a higher team-left-on-base % than their opponent, going over by an average of 7.1 rpg Cleveland s 15-4 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average offensive output of 11.8 rpg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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06-14-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) Seattle starter tonight King Felix is 6-5 this season with a career-worst 5.70 ERA. He has given up four or more runs in five of his past seven starts and now goes against a BoSox team that has averaged 5.3 rpg vs RHP this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox will return fire with David Price a hurler in top form at the moment. but it must be noted that PRICE in 16 career games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) has seen his team back him with an average of 6.3 rpg and while the opposition has scored an average of 3.9 rpg , for average combined score of 10.2 rpg going on the board. Also Seattle's offense has revved up recently and has scored an average of 5.33 rpg in their L/9 trips to the field and is 17-8 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season . My own projections estimate the Mariners will at least score 4 runs while, the Red Sox should also put that many runs on the board, which will I'm betting result in score that eclipsed this beatable total. Note: Seattle has gone over in 5 straight games and have gone over 12 Straight times by 3+ runs off a game as a dog in which they had more than one multiple-run innings. Over is 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts vs. American League West.Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-3 in Prices last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 8-2 in Hernandezs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts vs. Red Sox. Play OVER |
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06-11-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. JUNIOR GUERRA (R) Quintana the Cubs starting thrower struck out a season-high 10 batters over 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Philly, but got a no-decision. He's pitched his best ball on the road where he is 4-2 with a 2.62 ERA , and will be making his second start at Miller Park this season.. Quintana has been dominant against the Brewers, going 4-1 along with a microscopic 0.63 ERA in six meetings - including two wins this season in which he has allowed only five hits over 13 scoreless innings. Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts vs. Brewers.Under is 5-1-1 in Quintanas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record Meanwhile, the Brewers starting hurler Guerra surrendered a total of just five runs in his last three starts combined (18 IP). Guerra is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in seven games (four starts) against the Cubbies, and on April 28 at Chicago gave up one run and three hits over six frames but still lost.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 18-3 in Guerras last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game. ( Brewers lost 4-3 to Philly yesterday) The Brewers have struggled against LHP this season and own a sub par below the Mendoza line .233 BA vs southpaws. The Brewers inconsistent offense has contributed to them seeing 17 of their 27 home games stay on the low side of the Total. The Cubs have also been sub par at vs right handers producing just 4.7 rpg and a 391 strike outs and have been particularly unproductive on the road averaging just 4.2 rpg in offense. This has attributed to them going under in 18 of their 29 road games this season. Both these pitchers are backed by very viable bullpens. Chicago owns a stingy 1.99 road ERA, while the Brewers own a 2.54 home ERA. Considering the starting pitching matchup and the bullpen and offensive power rankings we have value with an under wager in this spot. Add to that both teams are in race for division supremacy and you have a post season type atmosphere at Miller Park that could translate into a play off style low scoring affair. I-94 rivalry = low scoring. QUINTANAs team when he starts is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 5.4 rpg scored and is 9-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 rpg gong on the board.QUINTANA is 15-3 UNDER L/18 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. GUERRA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 6.1rpg scored and is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 27-10 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg going on the board. Under is 34-15-2 in Cubs last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record..Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, in June games are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-10-18 | Mariners v. Rays OVER 7 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R) Mariners starter Paxton is a top tier hurler in good form , but I;m betting the Rays do enough damage today vs him and his bullpen to get us over the number. PAXTON team when he starts is 11-1 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career, with the combined average score of 10.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the Rays starter back in the rotation after Tommy John surgery looked off in his second start and gave up four runs on four hits and a walk across five innings to take the loss at Washington. Today I'm betting a Mariners offense that has done its best work on the road this season averaging 4.9 rpg lights this vulnerable hurler up and possibly eclipse this total all by themselves. Over is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 road starts and is 4-1 OVER in Paxtons last 5 starts overall.Over is 8-3-2 in Paxtons last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays have gone OVER 13 straight times by an average of 1.73 RPG as a dog off a home game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings. SEATTLE is 30-17 OVER in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game dating back to last season with a combined average score of 11 rpg going on the board.SEATTLE is 14-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate and MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - revenging 5 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, starting a pitcher who walked 1or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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06-09-18 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) My own projections estimate that the total of this tilt should be closer to 9 to 9.5 runs thus giving us value according to my data on a over wager. I know Cubs starter John Lester is a stable fixture in the Cubs rotation, but the Pirates have done some of their best offensive work vs lefty starters this season averaging 5.1 rpg of production behind a solid .274 BA.Over is 11-4 in Pirates last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter and they have gone over in 4 of their L/5 vs LHP on the road. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 home start vs a team with a below .500 record and he is 5-0 in his L/5 starts vs the Pirates and 9-2 OVER in his L/11 home starts overall. The Cubs have gone OVER when Jon Lester starts as a home favorite when they won in his last start against the current opponent, going over by an average of 9.56 runs per game. The combined average score of those tilts clicked in at a whopping 18.3 rpg. Meanwhile, Nick Kingman the Pirates starter owns a bloated 6.10 ERA in 10 innings of road action this season, and almost always has looked to be on the verge of imploding, and is not in good overall form and very susceptible to being lit up by the Cubs today. Everything points to this being a fairly high scoring affair. Play OVER |
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06-07-18 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R) After starting their season with inconsistent offensive results the Colorado Rockies are now hitting on all cylinders and averaging 6.7 rpg over their L/11 .Their saving grace earlier on the season, was their pitching but now suddenly that has gone in reverse as well, as is evident by allowing 9.8 rpg in their L/5 overall. They have not seen less than 9 combined runs scored in any of their L/11 overall, and I'm betting nothing changes this afternoon in Cincinnati. Meanwhile, the Reds are also partaking in a some high scoring affairs and only one of their L/11 has seen less than 9 runs scored. The Reds have allowed 6.7 rpg in their L/11 overall, and have averaged 5 rpg in offense in their L/5 overall and have shown some offensive explosive this season behind a under rated group of hitters. Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. National League West.Over is 6-0-2 in Rockies last 8 overall. Considering todays pitching matchup featuring Tyler Anderson and Tyler Mahle, and their sub par supporting bullpens another high scoring tilt is not out of the question and offers up a viable over wagering investment option. Over is 6-1-2 in Reds last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts.Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CINCINNATI is 14-3 OVER in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 12.5 rpg. Anderson is off a non quality start going five innings and allowing seven hits and five runs and owns a bloated 7.16 ERA in his L/3 overall starts and a overall 5.07 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starter is off a good effort, but that was his best start since April 2nd and according to my power rankings is not a stable nor consistent hurler at the moment and vulnerable to being lit up vs a Rockies batting order in red hot form coming into this tilt. Hs last two starts have seen 11 and 9 combined runs go on the board. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Play OVER |
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06-05-18 | Sun v. Dream UNDER 165 | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun have been running and gunning with their offensive attack since game 1 of this season. Atlanta knowing what coming their way will out to make sure that they slow this game down to crawl in order to compete. With that said, look for this to effect the combined score of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. CONNECTICUT is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in road games off a road win against a division rival since 1997 with the combined average score 147.1 ppg going on the board. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off a road win by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 53-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average combined score clicking in at 150 ppg. Play UNDER |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - WAS leads 2-1
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06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - Golden St. leads 1-0 Both sides actually played decent defense in game 1 in an intense affair, where LeBron James stood tall as the Cavaliers top scorer and two way threat. The Cavs played well and still lost, so now I'm expecting the Cavs to take a no prisoners nothing to lose attitude and go balls to the walls in an all out attack mode here ere in game 2 . I'm also betting defense takes a back seat and instead an all out offensive explosion based on a fast transitional game to be the this agenda. Note: Cleveland has gone OVER 6 straight times as a underdog off a game as a pup where Lebron James was the high scorer, eclipsing the number by an average of 18 ppg with the total combined score clicking at 239+ ppg. Meanwhile, the Warriors have gone over 8 straight times by more than 14 ppg with more than one day of rest off a 10 plus point victory as home chalk when facing a team they have beaten at least two straight times. CLEVELAND is 30-17 OVER off a road loss over the last couple of seasons with a combined average score of 221 ppg getting scored.CLEVELAND is 17-8 OVER after allowing 115 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 60-24 OVER L/21 years for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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06-02-18 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) TBs starter tonight Archer has notched three consecutive quality starts. On Monday, he held the A's scoreless on four hits in six innings, but he came away with a no-decision. Opposition batters are hitting just .204 against Archer in his last six starts. Under is 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-1 in Archers last 6 starts overall.Under is 8-1 in Mariners last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm expecting both these pitcher to long and strong and for this Total not to be eclipsed.
Play UNDER |
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06-02-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) Tanaka has won back-to-back starts, and he's coming off an outing against the Angels where he allowed a run on three hits over six innings. Tanaka struck out eight, including Shohei Ohtani twice. He did lose to the Orioles on April 5. and will now be primed for a big bounce back here vs an offense that has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs righties this season via a ugly .217 BA. I'm betting the Os having a hard time getting runs on the board in this spot.Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play UNDER |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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05-30-18 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R) Keuchel is the only Astros starter with a losing record but he leads the American League with a groundball rate of 57.7 percent and never an easy pitcher face for any offense. .The southpaw is also 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA in his last five outings, including May 2 when he was on the losing end of a 4-0 decision to the Yankees in Houston. Meanwhile, the Yankees return fire with starter Luis Severino (7-1, 2.28) who pitched lights out vs the Astros four weeks ago in Houston. In that tilt he pitched a five-hitter with 10 strikeouts on 110 pitches. The Yankees and Astros took part in a higher scoring game yesterday, which saw the Yanks win 6-5, but this one has the ear markings of a much lower scoring affair. Note: HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored , , and overall 9-0 UNDER after a one run loss this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Keuchels last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-2 in Keuchels last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in Keuchels last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. HOUSTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Game 7 - Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets (Tied 3-3) |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I'm betting this deciding game 7 will be an all out nasty physical affair that stays on the low side of the number. Boston will be out to pressure James and with Love out with an injury concentrate on making the super stars life miserable. In this series, James has averaged 39 points per game at home, 27.7 per in the three games in Boston, which is more than 11 ppg less. .Cleveland's veteran core has struggled with their offensive game in Boston and the defense I expect to be ready to compete in what should be an all out hard-core defensive tit for tat punchem out battle. note: BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over dating back to last season with the average combined score of 195.3 ppg scored. The Celtics have also gone UNDER 8 straight times, when the line is within 3 of pick off a defeat as an away dog when going against an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game, staying under by more than 20 ppg. Also the Celtics have gone under 8 straight times by more than 14 points off a game as a underdog in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws .Meanwhile, Cleveland has gone under 9 straight times as a pup off a win as a home chalk in which their opposition shot under 60% from the free throw line. Shooting badly from the charity stripe is sometimes related to exhaustion issues , which both sides will exhibit here this evening and this will also contribute to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers might expect. Under is 4-1 in the L/5 meetings here in Boston. Cleveland has gone under in 15 of their 21 after an ATS win which happened in game 6. Play UNDER |
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05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU Leads 3-2 This series is becoming intense and defense and not offense I'm betting will win this series. Golden State needs this game badly, or a surprising elimination from the post season will be on tomorrows media agenda. With that said, you can bet the Dubs will come out with all guns blazing, but the Rockets under rated D, will be primed to slow them down. On the other end of the court , Houston 's offense has been sputtering , and James Harden is slumping offensively and Chris Paul is out, so great deal of emphasis for the Rockets will center on their defense. Under the total is my call this evening. Golden State has gone under 16 straight times as a rested favorite of at least five points when they are off a game in which they rebounded 15% or less of their own misses. Houston has gone UNDER 11 straight times by an average of more than 13 ppg after a game with 8+ lead changes and has stayed under 8 straight times by more than 17.6 ppg with less than two days rest off a home win when they are facing a side that is averaging more than five blocks per game. HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with the combined average score of 201.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined score of 203.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER in home games in all playoff games since 1996 with t combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 48-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | 99-109 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3- This is a big game, and neither of these teams want to make mistakes here. With that said, I'm betting on a methodical and very physical game especially from the Celtics as they look to slow down the Cavaliers sometimes explosive offensive attack via newly implemented bigger lineup. But don't underestimate the Cavs ability to push back and push back hard as is evident by the following trends.Cleveland have gone under 16 straight times with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. In their last eight tilts under those perimeters the Cavaliers have allowed an average of just 90.9 ppg. BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER in the 6th game of a playoff series since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 182.4 ppg. Boston has gone UNDER 10 straight times by an average of more 12 ppg as a dog with rest after a game as a home favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points . Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 90 points or less are 87-48 UNDER L/21 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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05-25-18 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) After a pair of scoreless outings to start May, Teheran has given up 10 runs in his last two starts (11 innings), and his ERA jumped, from 3.14 to 4.17. He allowed a season-worst six runs in five innings against the Marlins during his previous start.He has not been great in two career outings against the Red Sox, one of them at Fenway, going 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA and yielding 19 hits in 13 1/3 innings. His ERA at Fenway is 8.53.The current Red Sox are a collective 14-for-40 (.350) with two homers against Teheran. Mookie Betts is 4-for-8 (.500), Brock Holt 3-for-6 (.500) with a homer and Xander Bogaerts 3-for-7 (.429). look for the BoSox do some damage here in this spot and come close by themselves to eclipsing this Total. TEHERAN in 6 games with when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season has seen a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. Rodriguez I believe is very over rated as was evident last time out, giving up nine hits but no runs over 5 2/3 innings while throwing 110 pitches. He's not efficient, and teams like Atlanta I'm betting can take advantage of him. The lefty walked none and struck out just seven. In 37 career starts at Fenway, Rodriguez is 10-9 with a 4.64 ERA. Atlanta has done their best offensive work vs LH starters this season averaging 6.3 rpg on a strong .288 team BA which includes 19 HRs and overall vs all pitching 37 HRS on the road so far this season. I'm betting The fans standing on the Green Monster will get a workout here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts on grass Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts.Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox have gone OVER 10 straight imes by an average of 6 rpg as an unrested home favorite in a series opener after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led which happened yesterday . Play on the OVER |
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05-25-18 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Eflin since being placed in the Phillies rotation has done well , but he showed some chinks in armour last time out as he struggled vs the Cardinals. The Blue Jays have been inconsistent offensively , but according to my power rankings matchup well vs Eflin . Note: The Jays have averaged 5 rpg vs RHP like Eflin this season. It must also be noted that Eflin gave up eight earned runs, nine hits (three homers) and three walks against the Blue Jays on June 14, 2016 in MLB debut. Some of the effects of the PTSD he suffered after that set back might come into his head here this evening. Meanwhile, Gaviglio the Jays pitcher, has to small a sample size to really get a grasp of his overall form, but from scouting reports he is average at best and susceptible to being lit up by a Phillies offense that has scored an average of 5.1 rpg at home this season. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-2 in Blue Jays last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-3 in Blue Jays last 16 vs. National League East.Over is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 interleague road games. Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies have gone over 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest off a game as a favorite in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.The Blue Jays have gone OVER 12 straight times as a dog with no rest in a series opener when they are off a game as a dog and facing a team with a better record. Both trends went over by just under 5rpg. TORONTO is 8-0 OVER L/8 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.TORONTO is 9-1 OVER against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.TORONTO is 10-1 OVER in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The last two meetings in this series have stayed under by more than 20 points. At the start of this series I suggested that the series would be won by the team that exhibited the best ability to control the others explosive offense. I'm expecting both sides to be physical tonight when defending and for them to move the ball around a lot when in the offensive end , which will result in a lot of clock eating taking place which I'm betting will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers are obviously expecting. HOUSTON is 15-4 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 201.7 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 209.2 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg getting scored. Houston's HC D'Antoni is 30-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. Golden States HC Kerr is 18-5 UNDER L/23 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more with the combined average score clicking in at 209.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 27-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-23-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Freeland the Rockies starter held the Giants to one run in 6 2/3 innings and notched his fifth straight quality start. He has a 1.59 ERA over that stretch.Freeland has won all three of his starts in May, posting a 1.35 ERA in that stretch. Freeland 4 lifetime starts vs the /dodgers have all gone under the total. FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER L/10 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse with the average combined score clicking at 6.5 rpg. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER L/7 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored.FREELAND is 16-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 12-3 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting hurler Maeda gets an extra day of rest for Wednesday night’s start against the Rockies and Kyle Freeland. He now well rested and fresh and he is coming off his best start of the year -- eight scoreless innings on two hits against Miami. Maeda (3-3, 3.89) and has had plenty of success against the Rockies in seven appearances (five starts), going 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA. Maeda faces a Colorado offense that despite of looking good on paper before the season began, are hitting just .217 on the road as a team. Under is 4-1 in Maedas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 5-1 in Maedas last 6 home starts. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm betting for both of these hurlers to go long and strong tonight and to help keep this score on the low side of the Total. Play UNDER |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 206 | 83-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Cleveland had a hard time finding their scoring touch in the first two games of this series, here in Boston, but I'm betting they solved their offensive problems and the way Celtics HC Stevens was playing them. With that said, I now expect the Cavs to continue with a cohesive attack, and for the Celtics to come back with some offensive fire works of their own here in their own building, where they play their best hoops, in a tilt I have pegged to go over the number. Note: Cleveland has seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored on the road this season while the Celtics have seen a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored on their won home court. I'm betting on the combined score to fall in between these to totals parameters tonight. Note: BOSTON is 15-4 OVER when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game this season with the combined average score clicking in at 208.8 ppg. The Cavaliers have gone OVER 15 straight times by more than 18 ppg with rest off a home game when their last four games are L-L-W-W and their opponent is off a loss. The Celtics have gone OVER 17 straight times off a loss in which they had a basket-assisted percentage (BAP) of 80% or less, and at least nine percentage points higher than their opponent's BAP. BOSTON is 22-10 OVER in home games versus below defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 221.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON is 14-4 OVER in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-22-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. BROCK STEWART (R) Despite of finding ways to win the Colorado Rockies offense, has really struggled, especially on the road, averaging 3.8 rpg on a lowly .218 BA, and ranks 26th in K% against RHP (24%), 25th in RPG on the road (3.8), and 27th in WOBA over the last 2 weeks (.269) . the Rockies team OPS of .703 was 23rd in baseball before todays tilt. I'm betting who ever starts for the Dodgers will find a way to keep their very inconsistent offense from unloading in any big way. Their only saving grace is a pitching staff that has been in top form on the road, and todays starter for the Rockies Bettis is part of this qualifying data as he owns a stingy 1.83 ERA in 6 games a visitor. He will face a Dodgers nine, that owns a equally ugly .222 BA while scoring an average of 3.6 rpg at home in Chez Ravine. Everything points on a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse the number. Under is 4-0-1 in Bettis' last 5 road starts. Under is 20-5-1 in Bettis L/26 starts. Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Rockies starter CHAD BETTIS is 11-0 UNDER L/11 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%). Play UNDER |
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05-20-18 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 159 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Phoenix looks set to play much better defense than many might give them credit for being able to do. I watched portions of their opening win vs a potent Dallas offense, and feel confident they matchup well vs Seattle and have the ability to slow them down offensively and clamp down a side that takes way to many three pointers to compete. I'm betting on this game staying on the low side of the number. My own Totals projections set this numbers at 154 to 156 so we have value on this line. Play UNDER |
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05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 205 | 86-116 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 I finally expecting for the Cavaliers to come out here in front of their own fans and leave everything on the floor as they make an effort to make a comeback in this series down 2-0. Last time out James had 42 points for the Cavs, and Love 22 ,but the rest of team looked old bored and worn out. Its not like they cant wake up as a group on occasion, as was evident vs the Pacers and Raptors , because they can. With that said, tonight I'm now betting the Cavs as a whole after that embarrassment will be firing on all cylinders offensively and that they will force the Celtics into reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. My own projections estimate that both teams will hit the 105 point plateau. Note: BOSTON is 20-1 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season and CLEVELAND is 24-7 OVER in home games when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last few seasons and are 35-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. CLEVELAND is 21-12 OVER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 16-6 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND in 20 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen a combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 22-11 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-13 OVER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 49-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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05-18-18 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - VGS Leads 2-1 During these play offs the Vegas Knights have rarely been taken out of their comfort zone as evident by storming back from 1 game down to take a 2-1 lead in this series.. Their aggressive and methodical robot like demeanour and defensive prowess are to be respected. Look for nothing to change tonight. Knowing the importance of this pivotal tilt, I'm betting we will see both teams take part in a very physical , and conservative game plan that bases scoring chances on transitional hockey. This will limit goal scoring and will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of their shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-18-18 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 8-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
JON LESTER (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R) Bailey the supposed ace of the Reds is struggling , with a 5.59 ERA and a .285 opponent batting average. He's allowed 12 homers in 48 1/3 innings of sub par work. He got a win last time but gave up 10 hits and is fortunate . Bailey last faced the Cubs in successive starts last season Aug. 16 and 22, allowing six runs in 8 2/3 innings. According to my own cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs, and could easily get blasted again. Note: Chicago has drawn 47 walks over the past 10 games after earning only 18 free passes in its previous 11 contests and they should continue to get base runners in scoring positon here vs this type of pitcher and score above their season average of 5 rpg, and help eclipse this total.Over is 8-2 in Baileys last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-3-1 in Baileys last 17 starts vs. Cubs. I also expect the Reds capable hitters to do just enough damage vs Lester a Cubs hurler that must be respected, but that has also shown some inconsistencies over the last couple of seasons especially against sub par teams. Over is 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 12-5 in Lesters last 17 starts overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Lesters last 6 road starts vs. Reds. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 starts overall vs Reds. CINCINNATI is 16-5 OVER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 20-7 OVER (+12.9 Units) as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 36-8 OVER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 | 105-127 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State ratcheted up their D in game 1 and showed us how tough they really are. I cant bring myself to bet against the Dubs SU, no matter what the circumstances are if their completely healthy, which they are. Meanwhile, Houston must also come out and play physical D, if they have any chance of getting back into this series, which I also have my doubts about. What I am confident about is that this game will be more grinding then game one and much more physical. Houston owns the 6th ranked Defensive effecnicy in the league, and Golden State is very under rated from a defensive perspective but must be respected behind a boat load full of talent. Look for the Rockets to leave everything on the floor here and for Golden State to break the Rockets by slowing their opponents offensive flow down. This will result in a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are anticipating. HOUSTON is 13-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with the combined average score of 205.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-3 L/18 UNDER in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better ) with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. Golden State in their 27 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER off a road win this season with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON/GOLDEN STATE ) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 114-98 L/5 UNDER seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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05-15-18 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. TY BLACH (L) |
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05-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 2-12 | Win | 108 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Blue Jays left-hander Jaime Garcia (2-2, 5.40 ERA). These pitchers are being a little over rated here by the linesmakers here tonight, and despite of both the Mets and Jays struggling a bit with their offenses of late , my own power rankings suggest these batting lineups should under nominal circumstances to do well enough to be breach this total. The Blue Jays have scored an average of 5.2 rpg vs RHP this season, and the Mets have averaged 4.1 rpg overall, but should up these numbers vs a Jays pitcher in Garcia that has garnered a 8.36 road ERA this season, and a ugly 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts overall allowing 13 runs in 13 unlucky innings. Market moved this Totals line from a 7 to 7.5 very quickly after opening. I'm betting the market has it right. I know we are now dealing with having to win by more run , but in the recent past Toronto is 21-3 OVER when the total is 7 or less . Note: The Blue Jays entered Monday ranked fourth in the majors with 56 homers. TORONTO is 9-1 OVER in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Over is 12-2 in Blue Jays last 14 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 interleague road games.Over is 6-2-2 in Blue Jays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 17-5 in Mets last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Mets last 19 vs. American League East. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 55-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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05-14-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 | 119-106 | Push | 0 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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05-13-18 | Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0 The Capitals came at the Lightning in game 1, and took them out of their flow with aggressive fore-checking for a 4-2 win . I'm betting the Bolts will be more prepared to play in transition tonight, and for this to be a fast paced offensive style game with a take no prisoners mentality attached to it. TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (TAMPA BAY/WASH) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 55-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-13-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) Jeremy Hellickson, the Nationals starter is currently in top form, and owns a minuscule 1.02 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and I once again expect he will provide his team, with a another strong effort vs a struggling Arizona offense, that has only twice in their L/9 games scored more than 3 runs, and have averaged just 3.7 rpg at home this season. Hellickson has seen his L/5 starts vs the DBacks stay under the total. HELLICKSON is 20-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall. Meanwhile, the DBacks starter Zack Godely has pitched his best ball at home this season where has garnered a stingy 1.96 ERA in 3 starts, allowing just 4 ERs in more than 18 innings of work. He goes against a Nationals offense that has a .246 BA that registers under the Mendoza line . Under is 3-1-1 in Godleys last 5 home starts..Under is 5-0 in Godleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. ARIZONA is 15-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. ARIZONA is 13-0 UNDER in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. .ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. ARIZONA is 15-4 UNDER in home games this season. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER in home games in May games this season . Arizona games have seen a combined average 6.8 rpg scored this season. WASHINGTON is 32-14 UNDER against NL West opponents over the last couple seasons. WASHINGTON in 14 games against the vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season have seen a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Home plate umpire Foster has seen 5 of his L/7 appearances go under the set total. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-13-18 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L) Wainwright comes off the DL for his first start since April 17 when he looked great vs the Cubs. His surgically repaired elbow was sore but his effort was a quality one. Wainwright is 6-3 in his career against the Padres with a 2.07 ERA and a .238 opponents' batting average. . His ERA against the Padres is the second lowest among active starters to Clayton Kershaw's 1.94.He is only 1-3 against the Padres at Petco Park, but he does own a stingy 2.63 ERA in those games. Under is 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. National League West. Under is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 8-2-2 in Cardinals last 12 overall. Meanwhile, the Padres starter. Richards despite of a tepid start to his season, has produced top tier results vs the Cards going 3-0 with a miniscule 0.95 ERA in his three starts against the Cardinals at Petco Park. Richards numbers may not be inspirational overall, but the hurler has pitched well outside of the National League West as was evident vs the Washington Nationals when he allowed three runs on seven hits and no walks with eight strikeouts over eight innings Tuesday for his longest outing the of the season and his best performance since Opening Day. Note: RICHARD is 17-4 UNDER in his career at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 . RICHARD in his L/25 games overall when the total is 8 to 8.5 has seen a combined average score of 6.8 rpg scored. Richards L/4 games vs a winning team have gone under. These teams have gone UNDER in 4 of the L/5 meetings here and I'm betting another low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 125-68 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UNDER |
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05-12-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights are the most successful first-year franchise in the history of professional sports with the key to their success being an ability to play a hard core structured defensive system that scores a lot in transition. Its pretty obvious to anyone that watches them in action, that you cant intimidate them, and or take out of their system. Winnipeg was able to take Nashville out of their comfort zone, and won their last series, but I'm betting a more difficult task awaits the Jets here. Vegas is also fresh after being off for a week, after quickly disposing of San Jose .Meanwhile, Winnipeg might be a little let down, after their grueling 7 game series vs Nashville and will be out to make sure mistakes are not made here in game 1 that will put them immediately behind the eight ball. With that said, I'm expecting these two big punchers to take part in a respectful hard hitting conservative affair that stays on the low side of the Total. VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in home games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. NHL team against the total (WINNIPEG) - off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 46-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-12-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.52 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Troy Scribner (2017: 2-1, 4.18) Strasburg the Nationals starter has recorded back-to-back quality starts after going 0-2 over his previous three trips to the hill. Strasburg owns a 3.59 ERA in 10 career starts. He goes against , a Arizona team that has scored more than 3 runs only twice in their L/8 games, and that averages just 3.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Scribner the DBacks expected starter at Triple A-Reno this season has struck out 24 in 25 1/3 innings of work. "I'm anxious to show everybody what I can do," Scribner told reporters, "and hopefully I can show them why I belong here and can stay here to help the team." He will be primed to perform, and should provide a decent deterrent to a struggling group of hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total. ARIZONA is 14-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 9-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Strasburgs last 10 road starts. Under is 24-11-3 in Nationals last 38 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-1, 4.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Domingo German (0-1, 2.66) These starters today have looked capable this season, but both according to my power rankings are susceptible to being lit up by two explosive offenses. Yesterday, the Athletics smashed out 14 hits - four home runs - to romp to a 10-5 win in the series opener. I'm expecting more fireworks this afternoon. Note: Oakland has averaged 5 rpg on the road this season , while the Yankees have scored an average of 6.4 rpg at home. The Athletics are 8-0 OVER in franchise history with Triggs on the hill when he had more K's than hits allowed in his last start which happened last time out. NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season with a combined average score of 12.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 8-0 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 13-4 OVER in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-11-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.74 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Matt Koch (2-0, 2.13) Koch the DBacks starter tonight vs the Washington Nationals made his season debut in relief but has made four starts since, allowing fewer than three earned runs in each while working at least six innings three times. Meanwhile, Three time Cy Young award winner Scherzer is in top form and continues to be a strike out king, as is evident by reaching double digits in strikeouts in five of his eight trips to the hill this year, and should once again give his opposition the DBacks fits here tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a pitcher duel in the desert tonight and for this combined score to stay on the low side of the number. ARIZONA is 13-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.ARIZONA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 4-0 in Kochs last 4 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 34-16-6 in Nationals last 56 road games.Under is 23-11-3 in Nationals last 37 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings including last nights 2-1 Nationals 11 inning win. Play UNDER |
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05-11-18 | Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 These two explosive offenses are well rested and ready to run and gun tonight in the opening game of their best of 7 eastern conference finals series. With that said, I expect this total to be eclipsed. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with an average of 7.3 gpg scored. ( The caps wrapped up their last series vs the Pens with a 2-1 road win)Over is 21-7-1 in Capitals last 29 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. TAMPA BAY is 42-24 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Anomaly or not its still interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning last 30 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play OVER |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 10-9 | Win | 104 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Jason Hammel the Royals starter is in struggling form and has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. He faces a Indians side that has done its best offensive work at home this season, averaging 5.4 rpg via stable .272 BA .It must be noted that the Indians are 7-0 OVER at home after a game in which Francisco Lindor had multiple hits.( He had two vs the Brewers last time out in a 6-2 road win) The Tribe have gone over the total by an average of 7 runs per game in this situation. I'm betting the Indians will do some damage here tonight and almost single handily eclipse this number. CLEVELAND is 31-10 OVER vs. a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-1 in Indians last 13 home games.Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) are 50-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-08-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 226 | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - GSW Leads 3-1 The explosive Golden State Warriors with a chance to clinch this series vs the New Orleans Pelicans will come out here with all guns blazing, and the Pelicans who can also score in bunches will have no other choice but to open up with some offensive fire works of their own or be blown of the court. This game either goes back and forth as both feed off each others energy, or the Warriors romp and the Pelicans chase. Which ever of these likely scenarios emerges , the end result I'm betting will see the combined score eclipse this Total. It must also be noted that both teams are well rested , 2 days off, which bodes well for a high energy run and gun affair. My own projections estimate that both sides will score north of +105 points. GOLDEN STATE is 35-11 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 52-14 OVER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 232 ppg going on the board . Play OVER |
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05-08-18 | Twins v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) Martinez the Cards starter this afternoon vs the visiting Minnesota Twins has allowed just three runs over 40 2/3 innings in his L/6 starts, and currently is in top form. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter despite of some inconsistent efforts is a stable pitcher that can produce quality starts.Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts versus the Cardinals. I'm betting both these starting pitchers go long enough and strong enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. MARTINEZ is 13-3 UNDER after giving up 1or less earned runs in his last 2 outings.ST LOUIS is 63-33 UNDER in home games against AL Central opponents Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 3-0-1 in Martinezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-1 in Martinezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games. Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. Under is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-07-18 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 9 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) I'm betting the San Francisco Giants will continue their dominance against the National League East this week in Philadelphia at least from a offensive output perspective. They just beat up on the Braves scoring 24 runs in a 3 game sweep, and have scored , 9,9, 11, 4 respectively in their L/4 games overall. They go against a starter in Eflin that has looked good in 6 innings of work sicne being recalled from the minors, but Eflin in 22 major league starts before this season as been sub par at best. Three of those games were against the Giants. Eflin is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in those trips to the hill, and I'm betting he gets beat up on today. Meanwhile, the giants starter Samardzija who has been injured this season, and still getting 100% healthy has a negative history in this park, as is evident by a 15.43 ERA in four career appearances (one start) at Citizens Bank Park, allowing 12 hits and 12 runs in seven innings. Samardzija also has an 8.18 ERA against the Phillies in 11 career appearances and could also get roughed up in this spot. Over is 11-4 in Eflins last 15 starts overall.Over is 8-3 in Giants last 11 overall.Over is 8-0 in Eflins last 8 starts vs. National League West.Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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05-05-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R) The Chicago Care struggling to score, and just because they are going against a pitcher in Weaver that is currently not in top form in no way guarantees much in the run production from their end. The Cubs are hitting just under the Mendoza line with a .249 BA vs righty starters this season. Meanwhile, Tyler Chatwood (2-3, 2.83) takes the ball for the Cubs. He goes against a Cards offense that hasn't scored more than three runs in five straight games. Note:ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games and is 16-3 UNDER ( in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games . Chatwood is backed by an bullpen that owns a solid 1.57 ERA in road games this season. Everything points to a combined score that should stay below the posted total. CHICAGO CUBS are 38-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-2 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-2 in Cardinals last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 overall.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 27-12-2 in Cubs last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 17-4 in umpire Hernandezs last 21 games behind home plate. MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs in his last 2 outings and are 45-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-04-18 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R) There were some offensive fireworks in the first game of this series , as Texas took a TEXAS is 20-6 L/26 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with an average of 12 rpg scored.TEXAS is 43-20 OVER L/63 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.TEXAS is 17-8 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 overall. Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 vs. American League West.Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-03-18 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. ERIC SKOGLUND (L) Skoglund KCs starter is 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA this season, allowing 15 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. His opponents today the Detroit Tigers have done their best offensive work vs southpaws like himself this season, as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg vs LHP. Skoglund is backed by a struggling bullpen that owns a bloated 6.33 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, In three career starts at Kauffman Stadium, Fiers the Tigers starter is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA, giving up 10 earned runs over 14 1/3 innings.FIERS is 20-8 OVER L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. The tigers have struggled to score of late, but their is just to much offensive talent on this team for them to stay down for long. Note:DETROIT is 8-0 OVER L/8 after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Celtics and the Sixers will resume to long time rivalry in the first game of this 2nd round play off matchup this Monday night. I'm expecting the Celtics to make this a physically, grinding series as they look to slow down their opponents explosive offensive attack, and to be hell bent on controlling the boards, especially in their own end, where the Sixers have been rebound behemoths on offense this season. The Celtics base their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here in game one with key contributor Jaylen Brown expected to miss or be less than 100% the Celtics are really going to depend on their superior defending capabilities vs the run and gun Sixers. It must also be noted that the Sixers have been off since Tuesday, and may show some rust here vs a side that I'm betting will be physical with them. Meanwhile, the Celtics are off a grueling 7 game series with the Bucks and will not have the legs or emotional drive to run here tonight. The above combinations should see this tilt remain on the low side of the Total. Asked Sunday for keys to defeating the Celtics, Sixers coach Brett Brown said, "Just how you're gonna score. ... They're an excellent defensive team. We respect them with what they do defensively and I think they're clever offensively BOSTON is 11-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg scored.Brown is 33-17 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average score of 199 ppg scored. Stevens is 42-17 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-16 UNDER l/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 222.5 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Three of the four games these teams played against each other this season resulted in high scoring affairs. The two most recent games have seen 246, and 240 points scored. These teams are electric offensively and feed off of each others attacks in transition. I'm betting if Golden State wants to beat the streaking Pelicans their going to have to score in bunches, and I am equally confident that the Pelicans can produce some offensive fireworks of their own in a opening game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. Note: New Orleans has scored 111, 119, 131 in their L/3 games. NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 227.7 ppg.NEW ORLEANS is 22-12 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored ( NO beat PORT 131-123 L/time out) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 54-14 OVER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 233 ppg going on the score board. Play on the OVER |
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04-28-18 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (4-0, 1.89 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 4.50) Patrick Corbin the DBacks starting hurler today has been excellent at home, but has not looked good in his one road start this season, allowing 3 runs in 5 1/3 innings of work, while accumulating a 5.07 ERA. He h history of sub par road performances, even against struggling offensive sides like the Nationals. Corbin,is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA in four career starts against Washington. Meanwhile, Hellickson the Backs starter looked good in his last start, but despite of his vast MLB experience, is highly inconsistent and is just 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA in four career starts against the Diamondbacks. ARIZONA is 9-1 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. CORBIN is 20-6 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 with a combined average of 10.3 rg scored. Over is 23-4-1 in Corbins last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. team MLB teams like (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 45-14 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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04-27-18 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 8 | 4-6 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L) |
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04-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 7.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
TB is producing on offense of late and have scored 8 runs or more in 4 of their L/6 games and should be able to do some offensive damage vs the Orioles starting pitcher Bundy. Baltimore has been struggling to score of late, but they go against a pitcher in Archer that is struggling as is evident by a 6.58 ERA on the season. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 6.11 ERA. I expect they should do enough damage here to help our OVER cause in this spot. Over is 6-2 in Bundys last 8 starts vs. American League East.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-0 in Bundys last 4 starts vs. Rays. Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Archers last 5 starts overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
TAMPA BAY is 18-5 OVER L/23 on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER L/18 vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) are 66-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-26-18 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) |
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04-22-18 | Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) The Nationals offense has averaged 5.9 rpg on the road this season., while the bullpen has registered a hefty 7.50 ERA. Alex Wood the Dodgers starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in his last three trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder in his current from. Meanwhile the Dodgers offense has done their best work vs right handed starters like Hellickson averaging 5.4 rpg . Hellickson (1.713 WHIP) has had limited work this season but his L3 starts dating back to last season have seen 14,15,12 combined runs scored in his starts and this tilt looks to be another high scoring affair . LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.WOOD is 13-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 10-2 OVER against right-handed starters this season with a coined 11.2 rpg scored. PLAY over |