Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Baltimore Orioles +117

The Baltimore Orioles have been disrespected all season despite legitimately being one of the best teams in baseball.  They are 36-21 this season and you'd be up 16.1 units backing them every game.  They should not be underdogs to the San Francisco Giants tonight.

Kyle Bradish is 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.94 ERA in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Alex Cobb, who is struggling coming into this one.  Cobb is 1-1 with a 7.54 ERA and 1.954 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.

The Giants have scored a total of 7 runs in losing three consecutive games to the Pirates and Orioles.  The Orioles are 11-5 (+9.7 Units) in Bradish's last 16 road starts.  San Francisco is 0-8 in its last eight interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Orioles Saturday.

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20* Yankees/Dodgers FOX No-Brainer on OVER 9

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  Plus, 10 MPH winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  These teams just combined for 12 runs yesterday and it will be more of the same today.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 15 of their last 24 games overall.  The OVER is 17-7 in those 24 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  The OVER is 12-3 in those 15 games.

Gerrit Cole has faltered of late allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles and Padres.  Michael Grove has struggled all season, going 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts allowing 15 earned runs in 16 innings.  Cole is 3-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in seven career starts against the Dodgers.

The OVER is 12-3-1 in Dodgers last 16 interleague games.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +153

The San Diego Padres have been grossly overvalued this season.  They are 26-31 on the season and you'd be down -14.6 units backing them every game.  They are once again overvalued as massive favorites over the Chicago Cubs tonight.

Drew Smyly has been one of the most underrated starters this season for the Cubs.  He is 5-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three career starts against the Padres, who are hitting .230 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Yu Darvish is getting too much respect tonight for a guy that is really struggling coming into this game.  Darvish is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings.  That's really poor when you consider two of those starts came against the Royals and Nationals.

The Cubs are 21-12 (+12.6 Units) in Smyly's last 33 road starts.  The Padres are 2-8 (-10.5 Units) in home games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Smyly's teams are 12-1 (+12.0 Units) in his last 13 road starts vs. a NL team with a .390 or worse slugging percentage.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves have lost three of their last four coming in and will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  With their massive advantage on the mound, they should win this game by two runs or more with ease.

Spencer Strider is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 11 starts this season with a whopping 106 K's in 63 2/3 innings.  He is virtually untouchable when he is on his game.

Ryne Nelson is a weak link in this Arizona rotation.  He is 2-2 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in six home starts.

The Braves are 22-6 in their last 28 games after losing four or five of their last six games coming in and winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Atlanta is 70-27 in it last 97 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.