Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-04-19 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 10 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 8* on the OVER The Nationals absolutely stunned the Mets last night, scoring seven times in the bottom of the ninth to win 11-10. So much for a low-scoring game with deGrom and Scherzer as the two starting pitchers. Now, to be fair, over half the total runs scored in the game came in the 9th inning. (The Mets actually scored five in the top half!) and the game was only 4-2 heading into the 8th. While still technically in playoff contention, last night's result had the vibe of a "season-killer" for the Mets. As for the total, it won't be the likes of deGrom or Scherzer starting tonight, but rather Wheeler and Sanchez instead. Both have seen each of their last three starts go Over. In the case of Sanchez, it's four straight. We obviously know what both bullpens are "capable of" here. As bad as the Mets bullpen was last night, Nationals' relievers actually have the lowest ERA in the National League (5.95). (The Mets are 3rd worst). Let's also not forget what Washington has done at the plate over the last few weeks. Last night was the 5th time they went for 11+ runs since August 14th. They've scored at least seven runs in 15 of their last 21 games, a stretch which has seen them go 17-4. Expect a high-scoring affair Wednesday afternoon. Play OVER Mets-Washington AAA |
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09-02-19 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 10 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER Cleveland has sustained some serious attrition over the last week or so, losing three key hitters from the everyday lineup. They are Jose Ramirez, Tyler Naquin and Jason Kipnis. The former two are going to be out for an extended period of time with Naquin done for the year. These injuries have come at a most inopportune time for the Indians as they are in a tight race for the Wild Card. Getting swept over the weekend in Tampa Bay was a worst case scenario. But thankfully they get to play the White Sox this week. There is one key return for Cleveland and that's Carlos Carrasco, who was diagnosed with Leukemia and will now pitch in a relief role. Chicago has lost six in a row. So this should be a bounce back game for the Indians. But bet the Over instead. Even with the injuries, Cleveland's lineup should have its way with Ross Detweiler, who has been pretty bad this year. He gave up five runs in four innings his last start. Monday's starter for the Indians, Aaron Civale, has looked great. But we don't think he'll be able to maintain his current numbers. The Over is 8-2-2 in Chicago's last 12 road games as they'd given up 31 runs in the three games before yesterday's 5-3 loss. The Over is also 10-3 in the Indians last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play OVER Chicago-Cleveland AAA |
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09-02-19 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Arizona had won six in a row before falling in extra innings Sunday. Despite the losing streak coming to an end yesterday, nearly sweeping a four-game series from the Dodgers is impressive. Monday sees the Dbax welcoming in the Padres, who are obviously a much weaker opponent, though San Diego also won 3 of 4 in its last series (against the Giants). We look for Monday's game to be pretty low scoring. The last series between the teams, a Padres sweep, resulted in all Unders as well. It's Cal Quantrill going for San Diego today. After being roughed up in his most recent start, we look for him to bounce back. It was the Dodgers that roughed Quantrill up, which happens to a lot of pitchers. His last seven starts have seen the Under go 5-2 as his ERA and WHIP are 3.69 and 1.08. He's held opponents to a .210 batting average during that time as well. His WHIP on the road this season is 1.05. But the problem for Quantrill is that before yesterday's 8-4 win, the most runs scored in any game by the Padres in the last two weeks was 5. That's music to the ears of Arizona starter Leake, but what's not is that his team scores fewer runs at home than on the road. Leake does have a 3.60 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home, however. He's coming off a quality start in San Francisco. Play UNDER San Diego-Arizona AAA |
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09-01-19 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 105 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Taking the Over in a game that involves Miami might sound dicey, but Washington can do all the heavy lifting if need be in this one. The Nationals have gotten ridiculously hot at just the right time as they've gone 15-3 in the last 18 games. Carrying them has been an offense that has scored seven or more runs 14 times during that stretch! They've scored 7 runs in both games of this series, one a shutout (yesterday) and the other a one-run game (Friday). Expect this one to be more along the lines of the opener even though the Marlins did virtually nothing at the plate in last night's game. The Over is 7-3-2 the past 12 times Miami failed to score more than two runs in its last game. Pat Corbin has had their number this year, but Washington is just 4-6 after a shutout win and their bullpen is still pretty suspect. Caleb Smith has struggled on the road for the Marlins this year and has a 6.32 ERA his past three starts overall. He's given up five runs in each of his last two and that's how many he gave up the last time he started here in D.C. as he lasted only three innings. Play OVER Miami-Washington AAA |
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09-01-19 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER For the second day in a row, the Reds and Cardinals will play a doubleheader. This unusual circumstance was brought on by Friday's rainout and will undoubtedly take a toll on the position players. Yesterday's doubleheader also took a toll on the Reds as they lost both games. The first was a high-scoring affair (10-6) while the second was more in line with what you expect from these two teams (3-2 final). St. Louis won the second game in the final at-bat after holding Cincy to just three hits. Both teams are exceptional at limiting runs as they rank 2nd (Cardinals) and 4th (Reds) in runs allowed among National League teams. Cincinnati definitely has problems scoring, however. They are averaging only 4.4 runs/game. We don't see them getting too many off Miles Mikolas, who starts this first game for the Cardinals. The Under had been 8-3 in his first 11 home starts before the Over hit in the last two. The Under is 8-1-1 in Mikolas last 10 division starts. The Under is also 20-9-1 in the Cardinals last 30 games overall and 29-12 their last 41 home games. While Reds starter Mahle has a shocking 0-11 team start record on the road, the Under is 7-3-1 in those 11 games. The Under is also 20-8-1 the last 29 times the Reds have played a road game against a team with a .600 or better home win percentage. Play UNDER Cincinnati-St. Louis AAA |
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08-31-19 | Duke v. Alabama UNDER 58 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Alabama plays Duke Saturday afternoon in Atlanta as part of the Chic Fil-A Classic. We do not expect the game to be close, nor do the oddsmakers, but we're not in the business of laying this many points in a season opener either. With Duke breaking in a new starting QB, they are really going to struggle to score points here. Making matters more challenging is that the Blue Devils lost a starting wide receiver (Jake Bobo) to injury three weeks ago. So expect very few points to be scored on the Duke side against what is still one of the best defenses in College Football. As for the other side, Alabama scored at will (until running into Clemson in the Championship Game) last season, but often called off the dogs late when the game got out of hand. We can see a similar situation arising here, which obviously helps when holding an Under ticket. Also, Duke does have eight of last year's starters on defense back, plus a former All-ACC CB (Mark Gilbert) that missed virtually all of last season. "I'm more excited about this defense than any defense we've had in the 12 seasons," head coach David Cutcliffe said. That defense won't be enough to keep Duke in this one, but this will be a lower-scoring affair than anticipated. Play UNDER Duke-Alabama AAA |
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08-31-19 | A's v. Yankees OVER 11 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The Yankees didn't score many runs last night, just two to be exact, but should do a lot more damage at the plate this afternoon against Homer Bailey, who often struggles on the road. Bailey has a nice 6-2 record since coming over from the Royals, but he actually hasn't pitched all that well for the A's as his ERA in those eight starts is 5.52. As already mentioned, he often struggles on the road where his ERA is above 6.00 and the Over is 7-4. Bailey did pitch pretty well on August 20th against the Yankees, but that was at home. He will once again start opposite Domingo German. German is having a great year record-wise (he's 17-3), but his ERA (4.09) is higher than what you'd typically expect from a pitcher with that kind of record. German gave up six runs when he faced the A's 11 days ago and has never beaten them in three tries, ending up with an ugly 6.91 ERA. In playing the Over here, we have to mention that the Yankees average 5.8 runs/game, 2nd most in the majors. Oakland's scoring average rises on the road to 5.5 runs/game, which is a top five average. The Over is 25-12-1 the last 38 times the Yankees allowed at least five runs in their last game. Play OVER Oakland-New York AAA |
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08-29-19 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 61 | Top | 14-52 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER It might be unheard of to lay this many points in a season opener against a conference opponent. But if ever there were a time for it, it would be here with #1 Clemson facing Georgia Tech. The Tigers are defending National Champions and will be favored by double digits in every game this season. The Yellow Jackets are going through a transition. They're going from the triple option to a more pro scheme, run by 1st year coach Geoff Collins. Expect growing pains and for Ga Tech to be the worst team in the ACC this year. Clemson beat Ga Tech by 28 last year and that was in Atlanta with Kelly Bryant at quarterback against a team running the triple option. Now its Trevor Lawrence in at QB for Clemson and a Ga Tech offense with pieces fit for a different scheme. The Yellow Jackets simply aren't going to score many points here and with the game in little doubt in the 4th quarter, expect Dabo Swinney to call his dogs (or Tigers as it may be) off. Play UNDER Georgia Tech-Clemson AAA |
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08-29-19 | Vikings v. Bills UNDER 35.5 | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Don't look for much in the way of scoring in this preseason finale between the Vikings and Bills. One of these teams is going to finish its preseason unbeaten. But what we see on the field Thursday won't resemble what we've seen in each team's first three games. Minnesota has been especially aggressive in scoring 26.3 points/game, but they've made their point and are going to be content to "go through the motions" here. The same rings true for Buffalo, who has scored at least 24 points in all three of its games, all of which have gone Over. Tyree Jackson is expected to take all the snaps at QB for the Bills and so far the rookie has completed only 33 percent of his pass attempts. So look for Buffalo's offense to struggle in what should be an ugly game overall. Play UNDER Minnesota-Buffalo AAA |
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08-28-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER St. Louis has taken the first two games from Milwaukee and goes for the sweep Wednesday afternoon in Miller Park. There is no denying that the Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. They're 15-3 their last 18 games and that surge has them in first place in the NL Central. We started this series by cashing the Over Monday as the Cardinals rolled to a 12-2 victory that day. Last night's game was not quite as high scoring with St. Louis coming out ahead by a score of 6-3. For this day game, we like the Under as the Brewers have had some obvious issues scoring of late and they've got to face one of the hottest pitchers in baseball right now, Jack Flaherty. Since the All Star Break, Flaherty has a 0.73 ERA in eight starts. Opponents are hitting just .152 against him in the second half and in August he's 4-0 with a 0.28 ERA and 40 strikeouts! He's allowed a total of one run in his last 32 innings just five runs in his last 56 1/3 IP. In five of his last seven starts, Flaherty has not given up a single run. Giving Milwaukee a chance here is Jordan Lyles. Acquired from Pittsburgh before the trade deadline, Lyles has proven be a solid addition to the starting rotation with a 3-1 record and 2.67 ERA in five outings. He just held Arizona hitless for six innings in his last start. This game has all the makings of a pitchers' duel. Play UNDER St. Louis-Milwaukee AAA |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER It was a very good weekend for St. Louis, who not only swept a four-game series against the Rockies, but also watched as the Cubs suffered a rare sweep at Wrigley, at the hands of the Nationals. That leaves the Cardinals up 2.5 games in the NL Central, a division race which Milwaukee also remains a part of as they are 4.5 back after taking two of three this weekend from Arizona. The Cardinals and Brewers just met last week in St. Louis with the home team taking two of three. The Cards did a pretty good job in that series in terms of limiting runs, but they are typically less effective in doing so on the road. Just look at tonight's starter Adam Wainwright. He has a 2.67 ERA at home, but a 6.87 ERA on the road. Not to mention a 1.66 WHIP as well. Milwaukee's Gio Gonzales has watched as his last three starts have all gone Over as he has a 4.61 ERA and 1.54 WHIP during that time. He'll have to deal with a St. Louis offense that just scored 31 runs in the four-game sweep of the Rockies. Lastly, the Over is 24-9-1 the past 34 times Milwaukee has been coming off a game in which they were held to two runs or fewer. Play on OVER St. Louis-Milwaukee AAA |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 54.5 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the Over There's no denying that Toronto is the worst team in the league this year. They've scored only 129 points in eight games, by far the fewest. Only British Columbia, who they lost to and has played one more game, has allowed more points. Last week's defensive effort was very poor as they gave up 41 points and over 500 yards in a loss to Edmonton. This all has to make this week's opponent, Montreal, quite happy as the Als are searching for a second straight win after hanging 40 on Calgary last week. That performance was just was the doctor ordered after the Alouettes had dropped consecutive games for the first time since an 0-2 start. One area of concern that remains is that they are giving up 31.5 points/game on the road. This will be the first time the teams have met in 2019 (excluding preseason). With Montreal off a huge game offensively and Toronto's defense in flux, we know the visitors will put up plenty of points this week. The Argos should also score enough to help this one go Over the total. Play OVER Montreal-Toronto AAA |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL UNDER 50.5 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 509 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Florida had a big jump in wins under Dan Mullen, going from 4 to 10 in his debut year in Gainesville. Mullen had some fortuitous things go his way though, such as inheriting 19 starters from the Jim McElwain regime and a +12 turnover margin. This year's Gators look like they'll be stronger on the defensive side of the ball. The same holds true for the opening week opponent, Miami, who sees Manny Diaz making the jump from defensive coordinator to head coach, replacing the retired Mark Richt. The Hurricanes only gave up 19.5 points/game last year as it is and didn't allow more than 21 in any of Diaz's three years here as the defensive coordinator. Florida enters #8 in the country. Miami is breaking in a new starter at QB with transfer Tate Martell coming over from Ohio State. This isn't an easy first start. Mullen engineered a tremendous offensive turnaround in his first year with the Gators jumping 86 spots in points/game, the second largest jump ever in FBS. Even with QB Franks back, we're not confident they match last year's number (just five offensive starters return). The Under is 7-1 in Miami's last eight neutral site games and 6-0-1 in the last seven games overall. Play UNDER Florida-Miami AAA |
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08-24-19 | Cardinals v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 9-20 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER If you're wondering why the spread for this early game on Saturday has jumped so high, well, it probably has to do with the fact that Minnesota is leading all teams this preseason with an average of 433 yards/game. They've covered against both New Orleans and Seattle, but we're not about to lay this many points. But the total is still there, ripe to be exploited, in light of the Vikings offensive success so far. Arizona is banged up in the secondary and will start the year without both of its starting cornerbacks as Patrick Peterson is suspended. In other words, the Vikings should continue to pile up yards and points. Look for the Cardinals to follow their lead though as rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury isn't about to take his foot off the gas pedal with his starters likely playing the entire first half of this one. The Cardinals did score 26 points last week in Oakland, but also gave up 33, so we're looking for another shootout on Saturday afternoon. Play OVER Arizona-Minnesota AAA |
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08-22-19 | Tigers v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Unbelievable! For the second time in 10 days, the Astros suffered a historic loss as a huge favorite. This time it was 2-1 to the Tigers, ironically with Justin Verlander on the mound. Houston closed at -530 on the money line, which was not the first time they've lost at -500 or higher. Ten days ago, it was to Baltimore. Those aren't the Astros only losses as big favorites recently. Because they're always priced so high, there have been four losses total at -350 or higher. Making matters more difficult to swallow from last night is that Detroit had just two hits, but both were home runs. The Tigers still have scored the fewest runs in baseball. We wouldn't expect them to score many tonight either. They're going against Gerrit Cole, who also could end up closing north of -500. Cole has a 2.87 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. His last five starts have resulted in just six runs allowed in 34 innings. Good thing for Detroit then that they have Jordan Zimmerman going. Zimmerman threw five shutout innings himself his last time out and allowed only one hit. It'll be another low-scoring affair tonight in Houston as the Astros look to make amends for yet another historical loss. The Under is 11-5-1 the L17 times the Tigers have played the finale of four-game series. Play UNDER Detroit-Houston AAA |
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08-22-19 | Jaguars v. Dolphins OVER 36.5 | Top | 7-22 | Loss | -125 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER Jacksonville-Miami It has not been a good start to the preseason in Jacksonville. After being shut out 29-0 by Baltimore in the first game, things didn't go much better in a 24-10 loss to Philadelphia last week. But with this being the dress rehearsal game, we'll start to get a better feel for what the Jaguars have to offer. Coach Doug Marrone has gone on record as saying almost all starters will play Thursday, most notably QB Nick Foles. So you can expect more points here than the 10 total the Jags have scored the first two games. Miami is a team that's rebuilding, but the players are looking to impress new coach Brian Flores. Last week, the Dolphins lost 16-14 in Tampa Bay. But they were a lot better in the first home game, beating Atlanta 34-27. With a QB competition very much alive (Josh Rosen vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick), the Dolphins will have someone under center looking to score points virtually the entire game. Fitzpatrick will start. Rosen has led five scoring drives against backup defenses in the first two games. Play OVER Jacksonville-Miami AAA |
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08-21-19 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Twins can scored with the best of 'em, but they failed to do so Monday night in a surprising 6-4 loss to the White Sox. You'd expect them to bounce back Tuesday, but in Wednesday's early game they are going to have to contend with Chicago's best pitcher. That would be Lucas Giolito. The White Sox may not be a good team, but they are 15-9 this year when Giolito pitches. Though his last start vs. the Twins was not good, we expect Giolito to pitch well here. Back in May, he threw five shutout innings against the Twins, holding them to one hit. While keeping the Twins offense in check might be easier said than done (we still expect Giolito to do so!), Jake Odorizzi should have no such difficulty with the anemic White Sox. Odorizzi's last three starts have all brought victory for the Twins as well as a 3-0 mark with Unders. Odorizzi has faced Chicago only once this year and he held them scoreless for 5 1/3 innings, allowing just one hit (sound familiar?). The Under is 13-3-1 in Odorizzi's last 17 starts vs. the AL Central. It is 13-6 in Giolito's last 19 starts overall. Play UNDER on White Sox/Twins AAA |
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08-19-19 | 49ers v. Broncos OVER 40.5 | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER For Denver, this is the third preseason game, so they've had a chance to work out the kinks. Well, at least in theory. The Broncos have scored just 14 points in each game, winning one and losing one. It was the Hall of Fame Game they won, thanks to a late touchdown. They weren't as fortunate last Thursday in Seattle. Again, they scored a late TD though. The Broncos had a lot more yards in the second game (298 vs. 188), which is a positive sign. As for the 49ers, they were 17-9 winners over Dallas in their only game. They scored 10 points in the fourth quarter to "steal" the win. Even though neither team has shown much penchant for scoring thus far, we like this one to go Over the total. Starters will play more this week than we've seen previously. There's also depth at quarterback. Denver has Drew Lock (17-28 for 180 yards) and Kevin Hogan to backup Joe Flacco. The 49ers have Nick Mullens and CJ Beathard, both of whom started regular season games last year in the wake of the Jimmy Garoppolo injury. Play OVER San Francisco-Denver AAA |
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08-17-19 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 10 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER We called for the Yankees to bounce back from an ugly 19-5 defeat on Friday and that's exactly what they did, beating Cleveland 3-2. As you can tell from the respective scores, it was a much different game Friday night as the Indians were held to only four hits as opposed to the 24 they unleashed on Thursday. New York also got 6 1/3 strong innings from Masahiro Tanaka. We think Saturday starter James Paxton is in line for a similar performance as he's gone 3-0 over his last three starts with a 2.89 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The problem for the Yankees though is that Cleveland's Zach Plesac has not lost since being recalled from Triple-A Columbus in June and the Indians are 7-0 his last seven starts. Plesac has a 3.12 ERA in those seven starts and has allowed no more than three runs in six of them. The Under has hit in the third games of the Indians last five series. Play UNDER Cleveland-New York AAA |
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08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 43.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Both teams games went Over last week. Miami beat Atlanta 34-27 while Tampa Bay lost to Pittsburgh 30-28. The Bucs actually outgained the Steelers by 130 total yards and had 12 more first downs, but had to score two late touchdowns just to cover the spread. Backup QB Ryan Griffin threw for 330 yards, which seems pretty incredible, but most of that was garbage time as he directed the two scoring drives (both 65+ yards) in the final five minutes. Also incredible was Josh Rosen's performance in Week 1 as he threw for 191 yards and led three Miami scoring drives. These kind of numbers shall not be repeated here, however, as we look for both defenses to show up with some pride and atone for last week's miserable efforts. Griffin had the big numbers last week for the Bucs, but the primary backup Blaine Gabbert led the offense to just three points in four drives. Play the UNDER AAA |
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08-15-19 | Dodgers v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER This series has gone exactly as you might expect with the Dodgers taking the first two games 15-1 and 9-1. This is after all a matchup of one of the best teams in baseball against one of its worst. It seems to be a foregone conclusion that Miami won't score much this afternoon as not only are they the lowest scoring team in the National League (by a mile), they are also set to go up against Walker Buehler. Buehler is having himself an outstanding year with a 3.08 and 0.99 WHIP in 22 starts. He's 10-2 and just threw six shutout innings in his last start. Before that, it was a complete game effort where he allowed only one run on five hits. Miami has already proven that it can't hit Dodger pitching (2 runs in 2 games and just seven hits), so that half of the equation is a given. It really can't be understated how inept the Marlins are offensively. All but five teams have scored at least 100 more runs than them over the course of the year. All but two have scored at least 89 more. This Under boils down to if LA's bats are kept in check and Miami does have Caleb Smith on the mound. Smith has been good, particularly at home, and we believe will get the job done. He has a 3.12 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home. The Under is 20-8-2 in Miami's L30 home games. Play UNDER LA-MIAMI AAA |
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08-14-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 7-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER There haven't been too many highlights this season for Toronto, but they've looked really good in this series with Texas. They won Monday's opener 19-4 and despite a late pitching change were able to win last night's game in shutout fashion (3-0). We think things are likely to revert back to a high-scoring affair for Wednesday's finale. While the Rangers haven't been doing much scoring lately, they certainly did have their chances last night. But they left 10 men on base. The first inning saw them have the bases loaded with one out, but obviously they failed to score. Look for them to cash in more of those opportunities today against Sean Reid-Foley, who has a very misleading 2.95 ERA as his WHIP is 1.641. That means he's been getting away with putting a lot of runners on base. Since joining the rotation, he has issues 10 walks and allowed 13 hits in 14 innings. Texas goes with Allard, who is making only his third career start (second this year). He lasted only 4 1/3 innings last week in Milwaukee and while he gave up only two runs on three hits, he did walk three batters. This will be a high-scoring game. Play OVER Texas-Toronto AAA |
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08-10-19 | Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 36.5 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Lots of star players won't see the field at all in this one - for both teams. While that's not unusual for the preseason, here the absences will be a little more noticeable. 49ers quarterback Garoppolo is still working his way back from an ACL injury, so he won't play at all. Nick Mullens and C.J. Beathard will be taking the majority of the snaps instead. Their receiver group has not looked all that great in camp. Dallas never treats the preseason too seriously, so we should see even less of their star players. They averaged only 10.7 points/game in the preseason last year and lost all four games. The Under is 25-9 their last 34 preseason road games. Play UNDER Dallas-San Francisco AAA |
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08-09-19 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 7-0 | Win | 102 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER The A's and White Sox play a daytime affair on Friday and this is one where Oakland has to take advantage. They are in a competitive Wild Card race and taking on a team that has generally played very poorly in the second half of the season. But our focus is on the total. The good news for the A's is that you have to figure starter Michael Fiers will pitch well here. He's unbeaten in his last 16 starts (8-0) with a 2.26 ERA. Fiers has never lost to Chicago in his career as he's 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA in seven starts and the ERA is even lower at Guaranteed Rate Field. He shut them out for 7+ innings at home last month as well. The White Sox are 28th in runs scored, so it's definitely a favorable match for Fiers. But we don't look for the A's to score all that many runs either today. They scored just one run on Wednesday in a loss to the Cubs across town. The Under is 23-7-1 their last 31 games vs. the AL Central. Under is 6-1-1 for the White Sox following an off day. Play UNDER Oakland-Chicago AAA |
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08-08-19 | Jaguars v. Ravens OVER 31 | Top | 0-29 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Baltimore's preseason prowess under Jim Harbaugh is well documented. They've gone a perfect 9-0 straight up the last two years, including a win in the 2018 Hall of Fame Game. So it's not a surprise they're laying more than you usually see this time of year. But what is surprising is how low the total is. It doesn't take much for a game to go Over a number this low, so we're taking full advantage. Lamar Jackson won't play much for the Ravens, leaving the QB duties to Trace McSorley and Joe Callahan. The Ravens averaged 25.4 points/game in the preseason last year. These teams practiced against one another during the week, so there's some familiarity. Jacksonville has a good defense, but don't expect to see much of the top talent on the field Thursday. Same for QB Nick Foles on offense. Foles was acquired to help resurrect an offense that was last in the league in points per game last year. The Jags offense should be a little motivated here to show improvement. Play OVER Jacksonville-Baltimore AAA |
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08-07-19 | Padres v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER The Padres will be going for a season sweep of the Mariners here. Back in April, they took two games at home, 6-3 and 1-0. Seattle has fallen way off since then and is now 21 games below .500 after losing at home to San Diego last night, 9-4. It doesn't seem like the Mariners will be all too an inspiring choice looking forward, but tonight we like their chances of at least keeping San Diego's offense in check. The Padres may have scored nine runs last night and 10 the game before that (still lost to LA), but such production at the plate is irregular for them. Kikuchi has allowed no more than three runs in five of his last seven starts. San Diego's Lucchesi has done the same in four of his last six starts. So we're looking for this to be a low-scoring affair. The Under is 7-2-1 the L10 times San Diego has been off a win. The Under is 7-3-1 in the Mariners last 11 games vs. a lefty starter including 4-0-1 at home. Play UNDER San Diego-Seattle AAA |
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08-06-19 | Lynx v. Dream OVER 145.5 | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The two coldest teams in the WNBA meet Tuesday night in Atlanta as the Dream host the Lynx. The hosts have lost seven in a row to fall to 5-17 on the year, which is the worst record in the league. Minnesota isn't accustomed to being this bad, but has lost four in a row. They're favored to win this game, but the better bet is to play this one Over as Atlanta is having major problems stopping other teams from scoring while Minnesota hasn't been much better in that department. The Lynx have allowed an average of 83.5 points/game during their losing streak and just gave up more than that in a road loss to a bad Indiana team on the road over the weekend. Atlanta allowed 87 points in its last game. Minnesota turns the ball over more times per game than any other team in the league, so that should help Atlanta's scoring. The last time these teams played, it was the lowest scoring game of the season as Atlanta won 60-53. The rematch will be much different. Play OVER Minnesota-Atlanta AAA |
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08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER What a difference a week makes. At this time last week, Boston was going for a four-game sweep of the Yankees at Fenway Park. They failed, losing the Sunday nighter by a score of 9-6. They haven't won since with the losing streak now at seven games and it's the Yankees going into this week's Sunday nighter with a chance to sweep. Making this seven-game skid even more painful is the fact all those losses came against either the Yankees or the Rays, the two other contending teams in their own division. One bit of positive news for the Red Sox is that David Price is returning from the paternity list to pitch tonight. While his recent numbers aren't great, Price did hold the Yankees to just two runs in a win back in June, his lone start against them this year. The Yankees have Happ on the mound and he has a 3.18 ERA in two starts vs. Boston in 2019. He too is coming off the paternity list (congrats to both pitchers!) Happ held Arizona to three runs in six innings his last start. We project this to be a low-scoring affair. Play UNDER Boston-Yankees AAA |
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08-03-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER We had the Braves as they won a rain-shortened affair Thursday, 4-1. But last night saw the Reds turn the table with a 5-2 win. Cincy is by far and away the top Under team this season with a 65-39-4 record in all games. A lot of that has to do with the fact their pitching staff has allowed the fifth fewest number runs per game. That pitching staff just got a lot stronger too with the addition of Trevor Bauer at the trade deadline. Bauer is set to make his Reds debut Saturday night and should excel here in the National League with the weaker lineups where the majority of opposing hitters aren't as familiar with him. Unfortunately for Bauer and the Reds, they'll be up against Dallas Keuchel tonight. Keuchel was the Braves' big mid-season acquisition as he's treated the Atlanta faithful to a 2.66 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in three home starts so far. He struck out 12 in his last start here at SunTrust Park. The first two games of this series were both low-scoring and this is the strongest starting pitching battle of the series. So this game follows suit. Play UNDER Cincinnati-Atlanta AAA |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 46.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The first of three meetings this year between rivals Edmonton and Calgary goes down Saturday with both teams at 4-2. Whomever wins this game will be tied with Winnipeg for first place in the Western Division as all of a sudden the Blue Bombers have dropped two in a row. While we have no opinion on the side of this game, we do think the total is too low. While these are two of the better defensive teams in the league and each side has seen its last four games go Under, you normally don't see totals this low in the CFL. At least not this year where scoring continues to rise. Edmonton has scored 32 or more points in half of their games and only twice have they been held to below 26 points. Even though they won last week in Ottawa, Calgary didn't score a touchdown in a 17-16 win. But don't be fooled by that as they moved the ball at will, racking up a season-high 474 total yards. Both teams faced weak offenses last week and will be challenged more here. Look for this game to go Over the total. Play OVER Edmonton-Calgary AAA |
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07-31-19 | Diamondbacks v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Arizona-Yankees Arizona is a team that scores more on the road than they do at home. The increase is pretty drastic. They go from 4.5 runs/game at Chase Field to 5.7 on the road. This series finds them playing with the designated hitter as they're matched up with the Yankees, who obviously have little difficulty scoring themselves. The Yanks are #2 overall in runs/game at 5.8. Now last night's game ended up as a 4-2 final. But this one figures to be a lot more high scoring. Interestingly enough, New York is now 0-3 vs. Arizona this year following last night's loss. Their pitching staff has been giving up a lot of runs lately (83 in the L9 games) and no starting effort was worse than the last time Masahiro Tanaka hit the mound as he allowed 12 runs in just 3 1/3 innings. Tanaka now has a 9.55 ERA his last four starts and a 7.02 ERA his last nine. Not good. Zack Greinke will be on the mound for the Dbax and while we usually equate him with the best pitchers in the league, he does have a 5.16 ERA in 14 career appearances vs. New York. This is a much stronger lineup than Greinke is used to seeing over in the National League. The Yankees are 6-0 to the Over the last six times they've been off a loss. Play OVER Arizona-Yankees. AAA |
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07-29-19 | Tigers v. Angels UNDER 10.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER What looked to be a favorable homestand for the Angels did not get off to a good start. They had Baltimore for four games over the weekend, but lost the first three. They did win 5-4 Sunday (in walkoff fashion), but that series was a golden opportunity down the drain. Fortunately, they'll now welcome in the Tigers, who might be even worse that the Orioles, if you can believe it. Detroit has lost six in a row and 14 of 16 games since the All Star Break. They have scored the least number of runs in all of baseball this year. So trust us when we say that the Angels deserve to be big favorites in this spot, especially going against Jordan Zimmerman, who has not won in almost a full calendar year. Detroit won't score much Monday as Angels starter Jaime Barria has given up all of four runs in his last three starts (15 IP). The key is going to be how much will the Angels score. We're willing to bank it won't be too large of a number as the Under is 17-8 the last 25 meetings between these two teams. Play UNDER Detroit-Los Angeles AAA |
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07-28-19 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Apparently it wasn't just London that brings out the scoring between the Yankees and Red Sox. This series has seen Boston explode for 38 runs so far as they've now scored 59 in the last five games vs. New York. All five games have easily gone Over as yesterday's contest - which had 14 total runs scored - was actually the LOWEST scoring. We'll call for today's to be even lower scoring though as Yankee pitching HAS to improve and the Red Sox have Chris Sale on the mound. Domingo German starts for NY and he'll be looking to bounce back from his worst start of 2019. Before that, it had been three straight quality starts for him. Sale is off two straight quality starts as he continues to get back on track after a disappointing 1st half. We expect the "World" to be on the Over tonight as this is the lowest posted total for any of the four games in this series. But there's value on the Under with Sale pitching as he should keep the Yankees in check and you should look for German to pitch better than expected as well as the Under is 5-1 his last six starts. Play UNDER New York-Boston AAA |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER These Western Division rivals just met last week with Saskatchewan beating British Columbia 30-23. The rematch, set to take place in BC, won't be as high scoring. The Rough Riders got to 30 points in spite of pretty pedestrian yardage. This time they won't have the luxury of coming off a bye. The week before the bye saw them get held to 10 points and 234 yards. As for the Lions, they've topped 25 points in a game only one time this season. In two home games, they've scored a TOTAL of only 29 points. They had just 179 total yards in an ugly home loss to Edmonton two weeks ago. In spite of last week, the Under is still 41-19-1 the previous 61 meetings between these long time foes. It's also 7-3-1 in the Lions last 11 home games. Last week's total was bet down several points. This week's has not been (yet) ... Play UNDER Saskatchewan-British Columbia AAA |
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07-25-19 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 11 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER This is the first time the Yankees and Red Sox have met since that silly series they played in London. It was pretty clear from the first inning of the first game that stadium was "a little different" from your standard MLB park (fence was too short!) and the hitters took full advantage in games that ended with scores of 17-13 and 12-8. The Yankees won both and are now 6-1 against the Red Sox this season. That's why they're in first and the Red Sox are in third place. Though back stateside, we do expect the teams to continue to score in bunches tonight. The Yankees are averaging 6.4 runs/game on the road and just scored 24 times in the last two days alone, at Minnesota. They had 20 hits in Tuesday's game and 15 more last night. They've scored at least 10 runs in three of the last five games. Now they are set to face Rick Porcello, who has an 8.64 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in his last three starts. Boston is also one of the top offensive teams as they average 5.7 runs/game. They'll be going against Masahiro Tanaka, who has struggled on the road (5.40 ERA) where he's won just once. The Over is 22-5-1 in the Yankees last 28 road games vs. a team that has a winning record. Play OVER Yankees-Boston AAA |
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07-22-19 | Marlins v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play on the UNDER We anticipate this being a low-scoring affair despite neither starter being anything remotely special. Miami comes into this Interleague series as the lowest scoring team in the National League. Every NL team has scored at least 77 more runs this year than have the Marlins. The White Sox have scored fewer runs this year than all but two teams. Miami is one and Detroit is the other. True to form, the Marlins were shutout on Sunday while the White Sox scored only four runs in a pair of losses over the weekend. The starting pitching matchup for this game is actually better than it looks considering Chicago's Ivan Nova is perfect in four career starts vs. Miami (4-0), posting a 0.98 ERA! Trevor Richards of the Marlins has an 0-7 team start record his last seven times out, but don't put all the blame on him as six of the seven losses saw him get no more than three runs of support. In his last 11 starts, Richards has given up three runs or less eight times. Play UNDER Miami-Chicago AAA |
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07-22-19 | Indians v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND The Indians are playing well right now. They've taken advantage of a really easy schedule to go 12-3 this month and their lone loss since the All Star Break was 1-0 to the Royals on Saturday. They bounced back from that to win 5-4 Sunday and now head to Toronto to face a Blue Jays team they swept earlier in the season. Toronto is just the next bad team on the Indians' schedule as they've won less than 38% of their games this year and are just 18-30 at home. They even lost yesterday to the Tigers, who had previously dropped 22 of 25 games. While Mike Clevingers' numbers on the road might be worrisome to some, it's a very small sample size (just three starts) and his last three starts overall have resulted in only two runs allowed in 17 innings. That includes six shutout innings on the road. Here he'll be facing a Blue Jays lineup that doesn't hit well at home (.221 average). Ryan Borucki is starting a major league game for the first time all year as injuries have limited him to just four minor league assignments. It's a tough spot for him facing a team that's won 28 of its last 39 games. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-21-19 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Houston has won the first two games of the series, 4-3 and 6-1. Texas has now lost six in a row after opening the second half with a couple of wins against these Astros. One of those two wins came with today's starter, Lance Lynn, on the mound. Lynn blanked Houston for seven innings that day, giving up only six hits while striking out 11. His only other start against Houston this year was an odd one as he gave up three solo home runs in a 3-0 loss back on May 10th. So it's been two quality starts with very different results due to three pitches. Despite a loss in his most recent start, Lynn is tied for the most wins among American League starters, so we should expect another quality effort here. The problem for the Rangers is they had only two hits yesterday against a pitcher that had not looked good in his first big league start. So there's no reason to think Rogelio Armenteros can't pitch well today, even though this will be his first career start. As a reliever, he did toss four scoreless innings earlier in the week. Play UNDER Texas-Houston AAA |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER Scoring is up this year in the CFL to about 55.3 points/game. That's a 9% increase from last season. But don't tell this to Ottawa as their last two games have resulted in only 33 points scored - total - and now they're saddled with a backup QB (Jonathon Jennings). But if you recall, the last time we played an Over with the Redblacks, things turned into a real "shootout" as they beat Saskatchewan 44-41. They actually went Over the total themselves. That isn't going to happen here, but once again they figure to give up a lot as they face the unbeaten Blue Bombers, who are 4-0 and averaging 34.5 points/game. Winnipeg scored a season-high 48 points last week vs. Toronto as QB Matt Nichols continues to play well. He's thrown for 10 touchdowns already. One key with Jennings is that while this is his first time starting for Ottawa, it's not his first "rodeo" in the CFL. He's actually gone 5-1 against Nichols as a starter, throwing for more yards and touchdowns in those head to head battles. Play OVER Ottawa-Winnipeg AAA |
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07-15-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER The Pirates got swept over the weekend (in Chicago) while the Cardinals are off a successful series with the Diamondbacks (took 2 of 3) right here at home. This looks to be a crucial series in the crowded National League Central where all five teams are separated by only 6.5 games. St. Louis looks to be in better shape though coming out of the break and their pitching staff tends to be a lot better at Busch Stadium. Miles Mikolas has a 2.48 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home, far better numbers than what he's produced on the road. A 2.96 ERA his L9 starts vs. Pittsburgh is also nice as is the fact he has 18 strikeouts against only two walks his past four starts. Meanwhile, the Pirates have won each of Joe Musgrove's last four starts as he's on a bit of a hot streak (1.64 ERA in last 22 IP). This sets up to be a rather low-scoring affair as every Cardinals game over the weekend saw seven or fewer total runs scored (Under was 3-0) and the Under is 3-1-1 when Musgrove starts on seven or more days rest. Play UNDER Pittsburgh-St. Louis AAA |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | Top | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa Montreal stunned the CFL community last week with a 36-29 upset of Hamilton. The Als were 12.5-point home underdogs in the contest and somehow beat an undefeated team that had looked unstoppable its previous two games. One of those two games was a 41-10 win over the Als. That was in Hamilton and the Als are back on the road this week to face Ottawa, who suffered their first loss of the season last week as well. It was not an impressive showing from the Redblacks as they managed just 14 points at home against the unbeaten Blue Bombers. This game figures to be another low-scoring affair as we just can't see Montreal duplicating its surprising offensive success from last week. After all, they scored just 35 points the first two games combined. William Stanback had a huge game rushing the ball last week, but the Redblacks' front seven should be up to the challenge. We're not sold on either QB in this matchup either. The Under has hit in the last nine meetings between these East Division rivals. Play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa AAA |
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07-05-19 | Angels v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The Angels made a pitching change as they'll now open with Ramirez, who will quickly give way to Felix Pena. The move had no effect on our read on the total for this game as the Angels figure to give up plenty of runs no matter who is on the mound for them. Houston seems to have found its stride again, winning five in a row. They'll send Justin Verlander out today, but before you mark this as an automatic 'W' for the Astros, be aware that Verlander has allowed at least three runs in each of his last five starts. He allowed 10 home runs in June. So don't be surprised if the Angels score more runs than expected Friday. Whether or not it's enough to win is a different matter altogether. Pena has a 4.92 ERA in the relief role this year and the Astros have scored 24 runs in just two games vs. the Angels this season. The Over is 14-6-3 in the Angels last 23 road games and it is 7-0-1 for the Astros if they allowed two runs or less in their previous game. (They are coming off a 4-2 win at Colorado). Play OVER Los Angeles-Houston AAA |
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07-04-19 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 10 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Not that many runs have been scored in this series so far. Nor do we expect many runs to be scored in today's early start between the Marlins and Nationals. The home team is 2 for 2 in the series thus far, winning 3-2 and 3-1. That's par for the course of late for both teams with Washington now winning 7 of 8 overall and Miami losing 6 of its last 8. That time has seen the Nationals go 5 for 5 head to head with the Marlins. This game sees the Fish having more of a chance due to Elieser Hernandez, who has a 0.985 WHIP after four starts. Hernandez has allowed three runs or less every time out so far. For the Nats, Sanchez has allowed 2 or less runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. He's 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA in those six starts. The Under is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 road games. This is of course a team that is last in the National League in runs scored. Play UNDER Miami-Washington AAA |
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07-03-19 | Twins v. A's UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER We missed with Minnesota yesterday as Oakland won its fourth straight. The difference was a grand slam from Chris Herrmann, who was suiting up for the A's for the very first time. Take that grand slam away and the Twins would have won 6-4. Tonight's game figures to be a lower-scoring affair as Oakland has made a pitching change from Anderson to Fiers and this should work in our favor. Fiers has a 0.93 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last three starts and his numbers at home are quite impressive for the year. Fiers has made seven straight quality starts and during that time you're looking at a 2.45 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The Twins have lost four of five and the offense has started to taper off. Kyle Gibson was one of several starters overachieving for them early on, but he's definitely come back down to Earth his last two starts. But we expect Gibson to get back on track here as he's working on plenty of rest and the Under is 5-1 his last six starts vs. the AL West. Play UNDER Minnesota-Oakland AAA |
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07-03-19 | Liberty v. Storm OVER 152 | Top | 84-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER in New York-Seattle Seattle has been hit with a ton of adversity this year, from injuries to coach Dan Hughes being diagnosed with cancer. Initially, the reigning WNBA Champs were able to persevere, but now it looks as if everything is starting to catch up with them. They just lost at home for the first time all year as Phoenix beat them 69-67 on Sunday. With starters Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart (last year's MVP!) still out, as well as guard Jewell Lloyd, things may only continue to get worse before they get better. Defense has kept the Storm afloat, but don't be surprised to see them allowing more points moving forward. Today they host the Liberty, who come in averaging 79.2 points per contest. But if there is one silver lining for the Storm it's that the Liberty are also allowing a league-high 82.7 points per contest and that number jumps to 86.8 on the road. Play OVER New York-Seattle AAA |
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07-02-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on the UNDER While still technically "international," the Red Sox have to be thankful to be out of London where the runs kept coming in MLB's first ever series contested in Europe. They and the Yankees played two ridiculous games, one a 17-13 final that took nearly five hours to play nine innings. The dimensions of Olympic Stadium were way too favorable to the hitters and Boston took advantage by hitting six homers and scoring 28 runs in two games. But they still lost both! Canada should bring a sharp decline in scoring, not just on the Boston side, but the runs allowed side of the ledger as well. Toronto is hitting only .212 at home this season. That's the lowest team batting average at home in all of baseball. Being at home didn't stop the Jays from scoring 11 times in yesterday's win over the Royals, but tonight they are against arch nemesis David Price, who is 22-3 with a 2.37 ERA in 31 career starts vs. Toronto. Price is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA his last eight starts overall. He's allowed more than two runs only twice in his last 10 starts. Toronto's Thornton faced Boston on June 21st and held them to two runs in 6 1/3 innings. Play UNDER Boston-Toronto AAA |
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07-01-19 | Royals v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Kansas City comes into Monday afternoon's contest with a chance to earn themselves a four-game split here in Toronto. They won Sunday, 7-6, thanks to one big inning as they scored five times in the 3rd. Such a big inning is unlikely to occur again for a team that is unaccustomed to delivering significant offense on a consistent basis. As for Toronto, while they have scored five or more runs in every game in this series, they also have a .211 batting average at home this year. No team has a lower batting average at home and the next lowest team (Giants) are actually at .226. So expect the hitters to struggle in this Canada Day matinee. That's even though neither starter is anything special. But at times, Glenn Sparkman has been quite good for the Royals. Two starts ago, he held baseball's top offense (Minnesota) to one run in seven innings. Clayton Richard turned in a quality start his last time out, allowing just three runs (all solo home runs) to the Yankees. We anticipate this being a low-scoring affair as the Under is 10-3-2 the L15 times KC has played the fourth game of a series while Toronto is 6-2-1 Under in that same role. Play UNDER KC-TORONTO AAA |
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06-30-19 | Mercury v. Storm OVER 152 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER Seattle leads the Western Conference with an 8-5 overall record and they are 5-0 at home. They are giving up the fewest points per game in the league too (72.1), helpful because they actually haven't been scoring that much. Their last result, a 79-76 win over Chicago, snapped a string of five straight Unders. Tonight they face the team they opened the season against, Phoenix. The Storm beat the Mercury back on May 25th, 77-68. We look for this to be a higher scoring affair. The total for the rematch is several points lower than the first go around, which makes sense. Seattle is without several key players, but keeps trudging along. The Over is 7-2-1 the past 10 meetings here in Seattle. Phoenix is off a win in which it scoring 91 points. They are 8-3 Over off a straight up win. Play OVER Phoenix-Seattle AAA |
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06-28-19 | Cardinals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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06-25-19 | Storm v. Aces OVER 156.5 | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Seattle is 2-0 since coach Dan Hughes returned from cancer treatment. A third straight win here would be a season best streak. Las Vegas is the closest team to the first place Storm in the West, just two back in the win column. The Aces get to play host Tuesday night for what we figure will be a pretty high scoring affair. LV was a part of our *10* Total of the Week play on Thursday, which came through with flying colors as they allowed Washington to score 95 points in an ugly loss. They have since bounce back to defeat Dallas 86-68. The Aces trail only the Mystics in points per game. They've scored at least 80 in six of their nine games. Seattle games have been lower scoring on average as they've held the last two opponents to an average of 61.5 points/game. But those were also home games. The Storm have allowed at least 71 points the last five times they've played on the road (81, 71, 82, 78, 83). So look for them to give up the most points since Hughes' return. Play OVER Seattle-Las Vegas AAA |
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06-23-19 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Cincinnati-Milwaukee We had Milwaukee on Saturday and they were able to win a back and forth game over the Reds, 6-5, thereby snapping a five-game losing streak. The win also ended Cincinnati's six-game win streak. Including Yasmani Grandal's first career leadoff home run, the two teams combined for seven runs in the first inning alone yesterday afternoon. From there, the scoring did slow down considerably, but look for it to pick back up again for this final game of the series. Brandon Woodruff may have a 12-3 team start record for the Brewers, but you wouldn't know it by the way he's pitched lately. In his last four starts, he's surrendered 16 runs in 23 innings. Cincy's DeSclafani has much better recent numbers, but over the course of the season he hasn't been anything special. The Over is 5-0 his last five Sunday starts. This should be a high-scoring affair. Play OVER Cincinnati-Milwaukee AAA |
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06-20-19 | Mystics v. Aces OVER 164.5 | Top | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER Both teams enter this game on long Under streaks. Washington has gone Under in four straight games while Las Vegas has done them one better with a five-game streak. But look for those streaks to end tonight even as the total is in the same range as most of the teams' recent games. Washington doesn't have any trouble scoring, that's for sure. They put up 81 points in their last game, a 29-point win over Los Angeles, who shot just 29.9% from the field. It was easily the Mystics best defensive effort of the season and won't be repeated here. They are giving up 75 points/game while at the same time scoring 84.4 points/game. That's tied for the highest scoring average in the entire league ... with Las Vegas! The Aces have scored at least 80 in five of their seven games, including 100 in their most recent game at home. Washington also hit 100 in a game earlier this year and has scored at least 80 in five of their games as well. Play OVER Washington-Las Vegas AAA |
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06-20-19 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 44 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Saskatchewan and Ottawa experienced very different starts to their respective seasons. The Rough Riders lost 23-17 out in Hamilton while Ottawa pulled a nice upset of Calgary in a Grey Cup rematch. The Redblacks were nine-point underdogs in their 32-23 win over the Stampeders, a very impressive way to begin 2019. It was a bit of a wild game as there were seven total turnovers. Four were interceptions from Dominique Davis, the first time starter at QB for Ottawa. But Davis also scored the go-ahead TD with just over a minute left for the win. We think the Redblacks will again find plenty of ways to score this week against a Saskatchewan team that is hurting - literally. QB Zach Collaros was just placed on the six-week injury list, a big blow to start the season. But no matter who ends up starting this week - either Cody Fajardo or Isaac Harker - will likely perform better than in Week 1 when they were each called into surprise duty (Fajardo also left wiith an injury). The Over is 6-2 the last 8 times these teams have played. With the number dropping so much (Riders QB situation), there's now plenty of value in playing this game that way. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Ottawa AAA |
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06-17-19 | Astros v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER A Reds game actually went Over yesterday. They (the Reds) did all the lifting themselves, scoring 11 runs on Texas, thereby ending an 11-game Under streak that began on June 1st. By winning, they also avoided a sweep. Now they welcome in Houston for a second straight interleague series. The Astros will surely be in a foul mood after getting beat 12-0 by Toronto on Sunday. The first two games of that series went much differently with the Astros scoring 22 runs and winning both. But the offense could very well struggle again here as they face Luis Castillo, who is 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.09 WHIP for the Reds. The Under is 10-4 in his 14 starts. Castillo has allowed just two runs, both solo homers, in his last two starts and only six hits total. The Astros have quite the limited lineup right now with a number of key players out. The pitcher must also hit in this game because it's a NL park. That pitcher will be Wade Miley, who threw six scoreless innings his last start. He's allowed more than three runs just one time in his 14 starts. This will be a low scoring game. Play UNDER Houston-Cincinnati AAA |
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06-16-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Cubs-Dodgers The Cubs denied us a second straight win in this series (won with the Dodgers Friday) with a two-run rally in the ninth last night (we had the Dodgers Friday). That would have also been the Dodgers third straight win over the Cubs had Anthony Rizzo not connected on a 2-run HR. Nevertheless, we're going to continue playing this series, only this time looking at the total. While last night's game certainly featured little in the way of scoring, the first two games saw 10 and 8 total runs scored. The Dodgers are averaging 5.6 runs/game at home while the Cubs average 5.5 on the road. The key here will be the Cubs getting a few at the expense of Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has been just incredible this year. In his last seven starts, Ryu has allowed all of three runs in 50 2/3 innings! He's walked only five batters all year. But we think the Cubs can get a few off him (Ryu has a 4.24 ERA in three previous starts against them) and their starter Jose Quintana is 0-3 over his last four starts with a 5.48 ERA. Play OVER Cubs-Dodgers AAA |
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06-16-19 | Aces v. Lynx OVER 158 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -124 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Las Vegas is off its best game of the season. The Aces clobbered New York by a score of 100-65, easily their largest margin of victory in any game this season. (But all three wins have been by at least 13 points). Despite scoring 100 points, the game still stayed Under, which was the fourth straight Under for LV. Here they're matched up against a Minnesota team on a three-game losing streak, which you don't see all that often. The Lynx are usually one of the league's better teams, but they're giving up a lot of points in 2019. The last two home games have seen them allow at least 85. Las Vegas is allowing 81 PPG on the road. The Over is 7-3 the last 10 meetings here in Minnesota. Number is too low for this Sunday night affair. Play OVER Las Vegas-Minnesota AAA |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 51.5 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 18 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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06-15-19 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UNDER Rays/Angels Tampa Bay came back from an early 4-0 deficit to easily down the Angels last night. Their nine runs were scored across two innings. That isn't likely to repeated this afternoon. The Rays' previous five games had all stayed Under as had 9 of their last 10. But the Angels are even more likely to struggle to score here as they have to go up against Charlie Morton, the surprise Cy Young contender who is still unbeaten (8-0) after 14 starts. Morton has a 2.10 ERA and 1.02 WHIP on the year and hasn't allowed a run in June with 14 scoreless innings under his belt. Remember that the Rays have allowed fewer runs this year than every other team. They allow just 3.3 per game. Before losing yesterday, LA had won three in a row, all by the same score of 5-3. All three games stayed Under. They're sending out Jose Suarez, whose only two starts both came against Seattle, a high-scoring team that hits lots of home runs. The Rays are a very different type of offense. Play UNDER Angels-Rays AAA |
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06-14-19 | Royals v. Twins OVER 10 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER KC-MINNESOTA The Twins are a team that certainly needs little help in going Over the total. They lead all of baseball in runs scored at 404. They average 6.0 per game, so it shouldn't take much assistance from the Royals here to cash this ticket. Luckily, KC put seven runs on the board last night in a win over Detroit. That game was played in Omaha (to hype the College World Series) and what was most impressive about the Royals offense is that they scored four of those seven runs against a very competant starter in Matthew Boyd. Here they'll face Kyle Gibson. In his last start, Gibson surrendered five runs in five innings (two home runs) to a Tigers team that is dead last in MLB in runs. The Twins have gone Over five in a row and are 7-0-1 Over their last eight. Facing a starter that has a 4-10 TSR (Brad Keller) should lead to them at least hitting their average, if not exceeding it. The Over hit both times these teams faced off earlier in the year and is 27-11-2 the previous 40 meetings. Play OVER Kansas City-Minnesota AAA |
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06-14-19 | Sun v. Lynx OVER 152 | Top | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Connecticut has started the season red hot as they're 6-1. Minnesota is just 4-3 after dropping back to back decisions to New York and Los Angeles (both losses by 6 points or less). What's been most impressive about the Sun's strong start to the season is that it's come despite them shooting below 40% from the field. There was a game last week in Atlanta where they shot 28.4% and still won (65-59). We look for a much higher scoring game today vs. the Lynx. Not only has Connecticut scored 80 or more five times this season, but the last time Minnesota played at home, they scored 85. Of course, they also gave up 89, which makes our belief in the Over even stronger here. The Sun scored 50 in the second half of Tuesday's 83-75 win over Washington. The Over is 8-2 the last 10 times the Sun have been off an ATS win. Play OVER Connecticut-Minnesota AAA |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210.5 | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER Golden State has yet to its season scoring average in any of the five Finals games and now faces the reality of being without Kevin Durant the rest of the way. But the closing stretch of Game #5 showed to us that they may not need Durant after all. At least not to find offense. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson took over, making three straight three-pointers to win the game 106-105. The game still stayed Under, albeit barely though. The Over is still 9-4 in the previous 13 meetings. On the other side, Toronto only made 25% of its three-point attempts in the last game. Even playing on the road, that's a number that's sure to go up in Game #6. Note it was 62-56 at halftime in Game #5, so things were well on their way for an Over. Four of the five games have seen at least 211 total points scored. Play OVER Toronto-Golden State AAA |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton OVER 48 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER SAS-HAM It's time to kick off the CFL season with a cross-division matchup between Saskatchewan and Hamilton. The Ti-Cats (Hamilton) went just 8-10 last season, but fortunately for them they're in the East Division and that record was good enough to make the playoffs. The Roughriders were a solid 12-6, good for second in the West, but they didn't make it as far in the playoffs as Hamilton. The Ti-Cats made it one step further, winning their first playoff game while Saskatchewan was "one and done." For this first game of 2019, we like things to be a little higher scoring than expected. Both teams have first year head coaches. Roughriders QB Zach Collaros is returning to Hamilton to face his former team, so look for an inspired performance there. The Over has hit in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 22 season openers. Hamilton closed last season by going Over in five of its last six games. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Hamilton AAA |
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06-11-19 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER DET-KC Even though Kansas City is looking up at Detroit in the standings (as well as every other team), there's a case to be made that the Tigers have played worse. Detroit's -109 run differential is 2nd worst in all baseball with only Baltimore being outscored by a wider margin. Kansas City has "only" been outscored by 72 runs, by comparison. The primary reason that the Tigers have four more wins is that they are 5-1 head to head with the Royals this year. But KC can change that here. Detroit has scored the least amount of runs of any team in MLB. But this probably isn't the best spot to bet against them as Spencer Turnbull has been one of their better starters, if not the best. Turnbull has faced the Royals twice this year and both were quality outings. He's allowed more than three runs just one time in 13 starts. The Royals have dropped 8 of 9 and have topped three runs in only two of those games. A bit of positive news for them is that starter Junis is 6-1 with a 3.27 ERA in nine previous appearances vs. Detroit. Play UNDER Detroit-KC AAA |
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06-11-19 | Storm v. Fever OVER 156.5 | Top | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER SEATTLE-INDIANA Indiana did not have a good 2018 season. They won only six games (lost 28!) and finished in last place in the league. Just five game into 2019, they've already won half as many games as they did a year ago and now have a chance to finish 3-1 on this homestand if they can beat Seattle Tuesday night. The Storm come into this one at an even 3-3 and are off a poor performance as they never led in a 78-71 loss to Chicago. We expect them to shoot a lot better here, especially from three-point range. They were just 3 of 18 from behind the arc in Chicago. Scoring really hadn't been an issue before that, even without injured stars Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird, as the Storm had scored at least 79 points in each of the three games prior. Defensively though, things are a bit of a mess. They've given up almost 80 PPG the last three games. Indiana just gave up 94 points in its last game. But they've scored at least 77 in every game this season. Play OVER Seattle-Indiana AAA |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER It's do-or-die for the Bruins, who are facing elimination here. Each of the first three rounds saw the Blues clinch here on home ice. So history is on their side, although they've gone just 6-6 at the Enterprise Center this postseason. Three of the first five games in this series have gone Over, but it's important to note that two of them only went Over because of late goals on an empty net. Game #5 was the lowest scoring affair of the entire series with St. Louis winning 2-1. We had the Under there and will play this one the same as six of the last eight games have seen the Blues allow two or fewer goals. The Bruins top line may have accounted for 106 points in the regular season and 55 in the playoffs, but they have just two assists the last two games. Blues goalie Jordan Binnington had 38 saves in Game #5. For Boston, Tuukka Rask still has a .937 save percentage in the playoffs. Play UNDER Boston-St. Louis AAA |
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06-08-19 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Pittsburgh-Milwaukee The Brewers really beat up on the Pirates Friday night, winning 10-4. They figure to put up a lot more runs this weekend against this beleaguered Pittsburgh staff. In their last 10 games, the Pirates have given up 10 or more runs FIVE times. Not good. Nor are the numbers of Saturday starter Jordan Lyles. His last three outings have produced a 7.47 ERA. One of those was against Milwaukee (the last one) and he gave up four runs in six innings. Lyles again goes up against Zach Davies, who got the better of him last Sunday. Davies went eight innings in the 4-2 win. But the last time he started at Miller Park was a a disaster as he allowed six runs in three innings. If there is a saving grace for Pittsburgh, it's that the Brewers have given up 7.1 runs/game over the past week. Also, Davies has a 5.40 ERA in 10 previous starts vs. Pittsburgh. But Milwaukee is hitting .300 in five games against Pirates pitching this year, hitting 14 home runs and scoring 41 runs. The Over is now 26-8-1 the Pirates last 34 games. Play OVER Pittsburgh-Milwaukee AAA |
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06-08-19 | Sparks v. Lynx OVER 149.5 | Top | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Los Angeles-Minnesota Minnesota is 4-1 straight up, but has gone 0-2-1 ATS the last three games including the lone SU loss, which was in Seattle. The Lynx are the top defensive team in the WNBA right now as they are giving up 67.8 points/game. But they were shredded in that lone loss, letting the Storm shoot almost 60 percent and score 84 points. Thursday was a nice bounce back as the Lynx allowed only 56 points in a two-point win over Phoenix. We look for this to be a lot higher scoring than that game. The Sparks are Minnesota's long time rival and have scored at least 70 points in all four of their games. Problem is they've also allowed at least 70 in every game. Twice they've given up more than 80. They allowed a season-worst 89 in Thursday's loss to Connecticut. Play OVER Los Angeles-Minnesota AAA |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | Top | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Toronto-Golden State The Warriors have scored exactly 109 points in all three games in this series. That's under their season average and can easily be explained by a number of factors. Kevin Durant hasn't played at all. Klay Thompson missed Game #3. The team still scored the same number of points even minus Thompson because Steph Curry went for 47 on Friday. That was his all-time playoff high and we wouldn't look for a repeat of that performance. Nor shall we look for a repeat of what Toronto did offensively in the last game. They shot 52.6% with all five players scoring in double figures (plus reserve Van Vleet) and they made 17 three-pointers. The last time the Raptors were off a win, they came back and shot 37.2% and were 11 of 38 from three-point land. Assuming they see a major drop in scoring here, you also have to figure Golden State won't top 109 points here either. Only four times in the playoffs has a Raptors opponent scored more than that. The Under is 6-2 the last 8 times Toronto has been off a double digit win. Play UNDER Toronto-Golden State AAA |
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06-06-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 55 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER St. Louis-Boston The Stanley Cup Finals are finally back on Thursday with the series knotted up at two games apiece after St. Louis took Game #4 (at home) by a score of 4-2. While three of the previous four games have gone Over (Game #2 being the exception), two of them went Over late. In Game #1, it was an empty-netter in the final two minutes from Boston. In Game #4, St. Louis did the same. Hopefully, we won't be in a position where either goalie gets pulled tonight, but no matter what we're taking the Under for Game #5. Boston simply isn't getting a lot of shots on goal in this series with only 23, 24 and 23 the last three games. What they do have though is goalie Tuukka Rask and he has a .937 save percentage in the playoffs. They may not have their captain, Zdeno Chara, tonight. The defenseman sustained what has been reported to be a broken jaw in the last game. Not to be overlooked is Blues goaltender Binnington (2.52 GAA, .909 save percentage in playoffs). Boston is 17-9 to the Under this year after giving up four or more goals the previous game. Play UNDER St. Louis-Boston AAA |
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06-06-19 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER Cincinnati-St. Louis These teams got washed out on Wednesday, so the pitching matchup of DeSclafani vs. Hudson has been moved back a day. Hudson had a strong May for St. Louis, posting a 2.80 ERA in six starts. But there are signs that his recent rash of success (3-0 TSR L3) may not last. First off, he has a 1.59 WHIP overall. That means he's putting a lot more runners on base than he should. The WHIP is even higher at home where the Over has gone 3-1-1 his past five turns. DeSclafani has been the least effective member of the Reds rotation so far as he has a 4.97 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. He'd allowed three home runs in back to back starts before losing to the Pirates 7-2 on May 29th. He finished with a 5.59 ERA in May. The Over is 4-1 his last five division starts and a perfect 4-0 the last four times he's gone up against St. Louis. Play OVER Cincinnati-St. Louis AAA |
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06-05-19 | Giants v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER SF-METS Talk about your misleading final scores. The Giants won here at Citi Field Tuesday night, beating the Mets by a score of 9-3. But that game went 10 innings. They scored as many runs in the top half of the final inning as were scored in the previous nine frames - combined. Even though last night's starting pitching matchup (Bumgarner vs. Syndergaard) was more "marquee", we look for tonight's game to end up lower scoring. Things were certainly on a low-scoring trajectory for most of the game last night. San Francisco has now won three straight, scoring eight runs or more in every game, but let's not forget it wasn't that long ago that they couldn't score more than four runs in a game (six straight). The Mets offense hasn't done much recently either. But it'll help having Jason Vargas starting. He has a 1.80 ERA at home. He has a 2.12 ERA in five previous starts vs. the Giants. He's allowed exactly one run in five of his previous six starts. Tyler Beede is making just his third career start here for San Francisco. He pitched well in the last one, giving up only one run to the Marlins in seven innings. Play UNDER Giants-Mets AAA |
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06-03-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 107 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER LA-ARIZONA The Dodgers and Diamondbacks last met in March, the very first series of the year. All four of those games went Over and the Dodgers won three of them, scoring at least eight runs in every victory. But the series was also played at Chavez Ravine where LA has been almost unstoppable this year. Case in point, the Dodgers just swept Philly at home this past weekend, scoring 18 runs in three games. On the road, the Dodgers scoring average does go down to 5.1 runs/game and in games started by lefties it drops to 4.4 per game. They face a lefty on the road today in Robbie Ray, who just so happens to have had the "Dodgers number" in his career. Ray is 7-3 with a 2.82 ERA in 16 prior starts vs. LA. But starting opposite Ray will be Walker Buehler. Buehler still has a 1.09 WHIP (5th best in NL) even after giving up five runs in his last start, which was highly uncharacteristic. He has allowed no more than three earned runs in 8 of his 11 starts this year. The Under is 9-3-1 his last 13 starts vs. the NL West. Play UNDER Los Angeles-Arizona AAA |
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06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Boston-St. Louis The Under is 4-1 the last five times St. Louis has been off a loss. This includes Game #2 of this series. Jordan Binnington cannot possibly be worse than he was in Game #3 when he was chased after giving up five goals on just 19 shots. Nor are the Bruins likely to go 4 for 4 on the power play ... on only four shot attempts ... again. That's the good news for St. Louis. The bad news is that they must still find a way to beat Tuukka Rask, who continues to be exceptional in goal for the Bruins. Rask has a .939 playoff save percentage. In the last 16 games, Boston has given up more than two regulation goals just TWICE. Of course, St. Louis has been stingy in its own right, the last game aside. They've allowed two goals or less in 8 of their last 11 games. The Under had been 5-0 in Boston's last five road games before Game #3. St. Louis is 8-1 Under after giving up five or more goals in the last game. Play UNDER Boston-St. Louis AAA |
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06-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on UNDER Red Sox-Yankees The Yankees go for the sweep Sunday night and if they pull it off, that means they'd be 5-0 against the Red Sox this year. That's a big reason why the teams are "at where they're at" in the AL East standings. In four games vs. Yankees, Boston has scored just seven runs. They lost 5-3 on Saturday, the 4th time in 4 games that the Under hit with these rivals on the field. Look for the Under trend to continue tonight on "Sunday Night Baseball" (on ESPN) even though we have two veteran pitchers starting that the opponents know well. David Price didn't pitch well against the Yankees last year, but he also has not permitted a single earned run in his last 11 2/3 innings of work. Going back seven starts, he's not allowed more than three any time out. CC Sabathia goes for the Yankees, certainly not his first time starting opposite Price. He's also coming off a short stint on the DL. Over his last eight starts vs. Boston, Sabathia is 6-0 with a 2.09 ERA. So the timing is right for his return. The Under is 34-16-2 in Boston's last 52 Sunday games. Play UNDER Red Sox-Yankees AAA |
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06-02-19 | Astros v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Houston-Oakland After winning with the Under in this matchup on Friday, we made the mistake of going with the Over last night. Houston's lineup did its job, scoring five runs, but Justin Verlander proved to be too tough for the Oakland hitters as he held them to just one run (a solo HR) over eight innings. Let's then go back to the Under today. This, even though Khris Davis returned Saturday for Oakland. He's their best hitter, but not enough alone to overcome Gerritt Cole, who silenced the Cubs in his last start. He held the Cubbies to just two runs and three hits, also finishing with 12 strikeouts. Cole, a native Californian, is 10-3 all-time pitching in the Sunshine State (including 2-0 here). Let'ss not forget Houston is without several big names in its every day lineup too, such as Correa, Altuve and Springer. That'll make the job easier here for Oakland starter Chris Bassit, who already has a 2.81 career ERA vs. the Astros. A quick note on the A's hitters here. Their only three runs in this series have all come on solo home runs. Davis was 0 for 4 in his return yesterday. Play UNDER Houston-Oakland AAA |
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06-01-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 101 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Mets-Arizona With deGrom vs. Greinke, the automatic response is to take the Under. But with deGrom that would be a bad move as his last three starts have all gone Over. Not all of that is his doing mind you, but it is certainly worth bringing to light. Arizona is stuck in a five-game losing streak, but all but one loss was by one run. Greinke has come out on the short end of two one-run decisions his last two starts and the Diamondbacks are actually only 1-4 the last five times he's started. The one win was the last time he pitched at home when they scored 11 runs. While unlikely to get that many tonight, this is a lineup averaging 5.2 runs/game for the year. With the pitching matchup, the oddsmakers obviously going to set a low total, but it's too low in our eyes as the Over is 6-1 the last seven times the Mets have been off a win. The Over is also 6-2 in Greinke's last eight starts at home. Play OVER NY Mets-Arizona AAA |
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06-01-19 | Astros v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Houston-Oakland We went with the Under in this same matchup yesterday, so why the switch today? Justin Verlander is pitching for the Astros, so he should take care of business, right? Maybe as he's yet to allow more than four runs in any start this year and has allowed no more than 1 eight times. But we also think it's time for this Houston lineup to explode. They've only scored four runs total the last two games. They are averaging more than five per game for the season. Sure the lineup is without some key players right now (Correa, Springer). However, Brett Anderson (starting for Oakland) has a 6.97 ERA in five previous starts vs. the Astros. But the biggest reason we are switching gears here is that the A's should have Khris Davis back in their lineup. That's a gamechanger and their offense should wake up too. The A's previous series (vs. the Angels) was all Overs. Play OVER Houston-Oakland AAA |
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06-01-19 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Washington-Cincinnati Safe to say, not many expected the Reds to be better than the Nationals this season. But that's the case entering June as Cincy has the better record. Both teams have losing records mind you, but the Reds have played a lot better than you might think. They've allowed the fewest number of runs among National League teams while Washington is near the very bottom of that list. Yesterday saw the Reds deliver a 9-3 win. It was the 8th time in the last 9 games they finished with 10 or more hits. Their offense is really heating up right now as they've scored at least six runs in 7 of those last 9 games. Tanner Roark will start for them today and he really isn't one of the bigger reasons the Reds have allowed so few runs. He did just hold the Cubs scoreless for five innings in his last start, but his WHIP is above 1.40 this season. Washington is his former team and quite frankly Roark never did really pitch well for them. Speaking of not pitching well, the Nationals are starting Erick Fedde and he has a 5.42 ERA in 21 big league appearances, 16 of them starts. He's made just two starts so far in 2019. Both went pretty well, but were against weak offenses. The Over is 5-0 his last 5 starts overall. Play OVER Washington-Cincinnati AAA |
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05-31-19 | Astros v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Houston-Oakland This figures to be a low-scoring affair as the Astros travel to Oakland to face the Athletics. The A's are in off a high-scoring series vs. the Angels where the Over cashed in all three games. But it's a much better pitching staff that they'll be facing this weekend, starting with Brad Peacock, who has a 0.56 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his previous three trips to the mound. Peacock has allowed one run or fewer in five of the last six starts, the lone exception coming against a Minnesota team that has the top scoring lineup in baseball. Peacock's last four starts have yielded just one run in 23 innings! Not to be outdone, Michael Fiers of Oakland has also been great of late. He's got a 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP his last three starts, which includes a no-hitter! Fiers has allowed no more than three runs in five consecutive trips to the mound. This shapes up to be a good old fashioned pitchers duel. Play UNDER Houston-Oakland AAA |
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05-31-19 | Indians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Cleveland-Chicago Trevor Bauer has been shockingly bad for the Indians recently while Dylan Covey has yet to pitch well for the White Sox. Given how last night's game between the two teams went (Chicago won 10-4), the Over seems like a very logical call for Friday. Cleveland has gone Over in five straight going back to Sunday and it had just scored 14 runs on a season-high 18 hits the game before this series got underway. Chicago is riding a season-best four-game win streak and has totaled 18 runs the last two days. Bauer has a 7.41 ERA his past three starts and has given up 29 runs in his last six starts. Covey may have seen the Under hit in each of his last four starts, but his ERA is 5.75 in that time and he allowed four runs in three of those starts. In their last four games, Cleveland has allowed 36 runs the last four games. Play OVER Cleveland-Chicago AAA |
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05-30-19 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Mets-Dodgers It was a downright BRUTAL loss for the Mets last night as they blew an 8-3 lead and lost 9-8 to the Dodgers. LA scored six of its runs in the final three innings, four of them coming in the ninth. The teams combined for 61 total bases in the game, which is a lot. Unlike yesterday, the Mets won't have Noah Syndergaard starting tonight. Instead it will be Jason Vargas who has pitched poorly on the road. He has a 6.75 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Dodgers have been just awesome offensively, scoring 5.8 runs/game at home (for the season) and 7.1 runs/game the last seven days. They are the NL's highest scoring team. The trick here will be the Mets getting some runs against Hyun-Jin Ryu. Ryu has been tremendous in 2019, never allowing more than two runs in any start! He's allowed only two total in his last four starts. But three of those four still went Over (thanks Dodgers offense!) and the Mets are averaging more than six runs per game over the last week themselves. Play OVER Mets-Dodgers AAA |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Golden State-Toronto The Raptors have played unbelievable defense on their way to the NBA Finals. They are giving up less than 100 PPG in the playoffs. In cashing the Under in each of the last two games of the Eastern Conference Finals, we talked extensively about this. At home, they are giving up slightly less than 96 PPG and it is the Raptors that have the home court advantage in this series. There have been just seven games in the playoffs where Toronto allowed more than 100 points, one was a double overtime game. Take that away and there are only three times they've allowed more than 108. Golden State has plenty of firepower, but will be without Kevin Durant for Game #1. Holding the Bucks in check was a very good sign for the Raptors as the Bucks averaged more points per game than the Warriors. Golden State has given up less than 100 in three of its last six games. In their only regular season visit to Canada, they only scored 93 points though (lost by 20). Play UNDER Golden State-Toronto AAA |
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05-29-19 | Cardinals v. Phillies OVER 10.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER St. Louis-Philadelphia These teams combined to score seven runs in the first four innings yesterday, but after that it was all zeroes on the scoreboard. The Phillies won 4-3, their 8th win in the last 11 games as they continue to pace the NL East. St. Louis has been a moderate disappointment (1 game under .500), though right now the city's bigger concern lies with the Blues. Still, a 7-17 WL record this month definitely isn't good. Despite what we saw Tuesday, both bullpens can be shaky. The Cardinals blew a game in spectacular fashion Sunday night against Atlanta while the Phillies relivers were hardly stellar in the last series (vs. Milwaukee). Starting here for the home team will be Aaron Nola. The Over is 9-2 in his 11 outings as he started the season pretty poorly. He's settled down his last few times on the mound, but his WHIP is still 1.75 over the last three trips. The Over has cashed each of the last six times Nola has started on five or more days rest. He last pitched on Thursday. St. Louis is going with Genesis Cabrera, who is taking Michael Wacha's spot in the rotation for his big league debut. But it's not like Cabrera was dominant down in the minors as he had a 6.35 ERA at Triple-A Memphis. Play OVER St. Louis-Philadelphia AAA |
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05-29-19 | Indians v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 14-9 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Cleveland-Boston For Cleveland, it was a case of "good things come to those who wait." They sat out a 1+ hr rain delay last night in Boston and rallied late for a 7-5 victory. They hadn't scored at all prior to the eighth inning and then the bottom of the order delivered a stunning five-run rally in the ninth to win. We had the Over in Monday's game (won 14-5 by the Red Sox), so the Over is 2 for 2 so far in this series. Today it's time to go the other way however as Shane Bieber should certainly keep the Indians competitive while Ryan Weber was certainly impressive in his 1st big league start for the Red Sox. Bieber has 25 strikeouts in the last two starts alone, which have seen him allow only one run in 14 innings. He has a 0.99 WHIP on the road. As alluded to, Weber's debut in the starter's role couldn't have gone any better as he held Toronto to one run and three hits. Let's not forget Cleveland came into this series having scored three runs or less in six straight games. The Under is 6-0 in Bieber's last six starts. Play UNDER Cleveland-Boston AAA |
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05-28-19 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER San Francisco-Miami The Giants and the Marlins have the two worst records in the National League and should already both be considered non-contenders at this points in the season. The Giants bring up the rear in the NL West while the Marlins do the same in the East. Miami's played better of late (7-3 L10) while San Fran has lost five in a row and is coming off what manager Bruce Bochy called "their worst series of the season" as they were swept at home by Arizona and outscored 34-8 in the process. But the Marlins still have scored fewer runs than every other team making it ideal that the G-men are sending out Jeff Samardzija (lowest ERA among team's starting pitchers) today. Samardzija has allowed more than three earned runs only twice this year (10 starts) and never more than four. Miami goes with Trevor Richards, who has pitched better at home than on the road. So it was a really positive sign that Richards allowed just one run in his last start, which came at Detroit. We don't look for either team to score much here. Play UNDER San Francisco-Miami AAA |
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05-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Texas-Seattle These teams just played a three-game series last week in Arlington. As we wrote back then, "a matchup between these teams should almost be an automatic green light to take the Over." Little has changed then to sway our opinion. Yes, two of the three games in that series did stay Under (we won the Over in the opener though) and seven of Seattle's last nine games have stayed Under as well. But that's just some predictable "leveling off" as they are still 36-16-3 Over in all games, the top Over record in baseball. Yesterday's game, when we went against them (10* Game of the Week winner on the Angels) went Over as the final score was 7-6. Now the Mariners are back home where they're giving up 6.5 runs per game. Texas is giving up 5.6 runs per game on the road. Both teams average more than 5.0 runs per game with the Rangers averaging 5.7, which is second most overall. We don't like either starter's chances tonight as this will be the third time Seattle has faced Lance Lynn and second in a week. Same with Texas against Tommy Milone. Both bullpens have ERA's above 5.00. Play OVER Texas-Seattle AAA |
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05-27-19 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Mets-Dodgers Runs should be scarce here with a pitching matchup of deGrom vs. Kershaw. The former continues to have some poor luck (dating back to last season), but he happened to outduel Max Scherzer last week in a 6-1 win over Washington. DeGrom gave up just one run (a solo HR) and two hits. That was a game where the Mets - now winners of six of their last seven - scored all of their runs in the bottom of the eighth. As for Kershaw, after missing the first few weeks of the season (injured), he has returned as his usual dominant self. The Dodgers have won all seven of his starts and he's posted a 0.98 WHIP. The home team has the edge here due to the game being at Chavez Ravine where they sport a 19-6 record and allow only 3.3 runs/game. The Mets offense usually isn't very good on the road and Kershaw is 8-0 all-time against them (13 starts) with a 1.98 ERA. The Under has also hit the last four times deGrom has pitched in this park. Play UNDER Mets-Dodgers AAA |
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05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDER play on St. Louis-Boston Give credit to St. Louis. They easily could have folded after the controversial "hand pass loss" to San Jose in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. Instead they wound up outscoring the Sharks 12-2 the rest of the way and took the series in six games. The Blues have played very well on the road in the playoffs and have won 8 of their last 11 visits to Boston. The Bruins, who are coming off a long layoff, have lost four times at home in the playoffs. But they have also won the last two Game 1's while St. Louis has lost their last two. Our nod is to the Under here as both teams have goaltenders playing superbly. Jordan Binnington for St. Louis has stopped 75 of the last 77 shots he's seen. Boston's Tuukka Rask has been even better as he stopped 109 of the 114 shots he saw in the four-game sweep of Carolina and has a .942 save percentage in the postseason. The Under is 7-3 in Boston's last 10 games. Play UNDER St. Louis-Boston AAA |
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05-27-19 | Indians v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Cleveland-Boston The Indians are off a dreadful homestand, one in which they finished just 3-7 and two of the wins came against last place Baltimore. Unfortunately, the job gets no easier for the Tribe as they now have to visit Fenway Park for Memorial Day. After their own awful start to the year, the Red Sox have actually surged past Cleveland for the AL's second Wild Card spot, but obviously there's still a long way to go. Today's game should be a lot higher scoring than usual, especially from the Cleveland perspective, as neither team will be sending its best pitcher to the mound. While the Under is 6-0 in starts made by the Indians' Jefry Rodriguez this season, that's generally been due to poor run support. Rodriguez has a 4.07 ERA and 1.36 WHIP, subpar numbers, and allowed nine runs in his last two starts. Boston goes with Porcello and while he's pitched better of late, he's still given up at least one HR in all but two starts. The Over is 8-2 when Porcello pitches. The Red Sox just got done playing three low-scoring games (all Unders) in Houston, but they average 5.6 runs/game at Fenway. Play OVER Cleveland-Boston AAA |
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05-26-19 | Orioles v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Baltimore-Colorado It almost seems unfair to stick this terrible Orioles pitching staff in Coors Field. No staff has given up more runs per game (6.1) than Baltimore's and Coors is once again shaping up to be the highest scoring venue in either league. The Rockies are tied for the MLB lead, averaging 6.0 runs/game at home. But they are also dead last in runs allowed at home, giving up 7.0/game. One of the more culpable starters on the Orioles staff has been David Hess, who goes today. Hess has 7.06 ERA in eight starts (6-2 Over) and just allowed nine runs total and three home runs the last time he pitched. We like Rockies starter German Marquez, but even he is not immune to the "Coors effect." He has a 5.34 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home, which is way up from his numbers on the road (2.08, 0.74). Baltimore's last six games have all gone Over and before that they gave up 10 runs in a shutout loss. It figures to be another very high scoring affair today in Denver where the Over is 10-1 the last 11 games. Play Over Baltimore-Colorado AAA |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Bucks-Raptors We were all over the Under in the last game, which was our *10* NBA Total of the Year. It cashed by double digits and that wasn't a surprise to us at all. But what did catch most by surprise was the fact Toronto won the game 105-99. The Raptors have now taken the last three straight games and have a chance to eliminate Milwaukee tonight. It figures to be another low-scoring affair considering the defense both teams are capable of playing. The Raptors are allowing just under 100 points/game in the playoffs and at home they're allowing an even 96 points/game. Remember though that number would be even lower if not for the 2 OT game earlier in this series where they held the Bucks to ... 96 points in regulation. Milwaukee led the league in defensive efficiency in the regular season and only two times in the entire playoffs have they allowed a field goal percentage above 43.2! The Under had been 14-4 when the Bucks were off a SU loss coming into this series. Play UNDER Milwaukee-Toronto AAA |
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05-25-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER Seattle-Oakland Let's try this again. Seattle & Oakland failed to go Over yesterday (as we'd predicted them to) and that makes it three straight Unders for the Mariners, which is actually unprecedented this season. In a year where they are 35-15-3 in all games, at no point have the Mariners gone Under in three straight ... until now. Yesterday was actually just the second time they'd come in off two straight Unders! They still lost for a 4th straight time last night, 6-2, increasing their MLB-worst runs allowed to 315 for the season. Despite 10 hits, they could only manage two runs. Today should be a higher-scoring affair. While A's pitcher Michael Fiers' recent numbers are strong, thanks to a no-hitter he tossed against Cincinnati on May 7th, he still carries an overall ERA of 5.21. He has a 6.36 ERA in 10 previous starts vs. Seattle, which includes a 6-5 loss in his last start. Oakland is averaging 7.4 runs/game during its seven-game win streak and should again find success vs. Seattle's Kikuchi, whom they homered three times off of back on May 13th. Kikuchi's last three starts have all gone Over. Play OVER Seattle-Oakland AAA |
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05-24-19 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER Texas-LA Angels Very different is how the last series went for these AL West teams. Texas swept Seattle (at home), making it seven wins in the past eight games. Los Angeles was swept (at home) by Minnesota. They've lost 6 of 8. But it's a break for the Angels on Friday, at least for the hitters, going against Drew Smyly. The Rangers starting pitcher has a 6.26 ERA and 1.74 WHIP and those numbers get downright ugly on the road (10.81 ERA, 2.70 WHIP). Granted, it was just one start. But Smyly's overall body of work tells us not to expect a quality start. He's actually yet to deliver one of those as he hasn't pitched longer than five innings in any start. The Angels Griffin Canning is off the best of his four starts so far, seven shutout innings of three-hit ball, but that was against Kansas City. Texas is averaging 5.8 runs/game, second most in baseball. But they also are giving up 5.5 runs/game. Angels home games have been pretty high scoring too as they average 5.3 runs per game but also give up 5.1. The Over is 20-6-1 following an off day for the Rangers. Play OVER Texas-LA Angels AAA |
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05-24-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Seattle-Oakland It is pretty crazy to think the Mariners started the season by winning 13 of their first 15 games. Since then, no team has a worse record. It's been 27 losses in the last 37 games for Seattle as they were just swept by Texas. Given how hot Oakland has been (six straight wins), the weekend doesn't exactly shape up nicely. Seattle is now giving up 5.9 runs per game. That's second most overall. The last seven games have seen that number skyrocket to 8.1 per game. Over the same time, the A's are scoring 7.0 runs per game. Starting for Seattle, Wade LeBlanc does not appear to be the man fit for the job tonight. He has a 7.36 ERA and 1.91 WHIP and good for us is that all four starts have gone Over. They haven't just gone Over, they've flown Over with an average of almost 19 total runs per game scored! The A's are starting Mengden, whose only other home start yielded four runs in 5 1/3 innings. Seattle can still score. They are averaging 5.7 runs per game on the road. The Over is 35-14-3 in all of their games. Play OVER Seattle-Oakland AAA |
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05-24-19 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER Atlanta-St. Louis Atlanta has played well of late, winning seven of nine. They wrapped up a 4-game series in San Francisco (won 3 of 4) yesterday by winning 5-4. St. Louis did not play Thursday and has won just three times in its previous nine games. But at home, we expect the Cardinals bats to "wake up" today, much in the same way they did the last time they faced Atlanta. These teams just played down in Atlanta last week and the Cards opened that series by scoring 14 runs in the opener. They did so mostly at the expense of the same pitcher they'll see today, Mike Foltynewicz, who has struggled mightily since returning from injury. Foltynewicz gave up eight runs in that last start vs. St. Louis and has an 0-5 team start record with a 6.91 ERA. The Cardinals go with Mikolas, who has pitched well at home, but has also lost his last two starts. His last one was a real disaster as he failed to get out of the second inning before allowing seven runs. The Over is 3-0-1 the last four times St. Louis had the previous day off. Play OVER Atlanta-St. Louis AAA |
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05-24-19 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Tampa Bay-Cleveland We had the Over on this matchup yesterday. The Rays won 7-2, getting four home runs and one of them (an inside the park job) was pretty indicative of how Cleveland has played of late. The inside the park HR, the first allowed by the Indians since '08, saw two outfielders collide. Three runs scored and it was pretty much over from there. It was the Indians 4th straight loss, all of them coming here at Progressive Field. Perhaps even more embarrassing is that they could do little against Rays "opener" Ryan Yarbrough, who wound up going a career-high 7 1/3 innings as Indians hitters were totally ineffective. Par for the course we're afraid as the Tribe are near the bottom of the American League in runs scored. Today they have to face Blake Snell, which likely means another tough night at the plate. Snell, last year's Cy Young winner, has a 1.53 ERA and 0.79 WHIP his last three times out. Tampa Bay doesn't figure to score as many here either as they won't get the gift that was the three-run inside-the-park HR. Their hitters also have to contend with Shane Bieber, who has a sub 1.00 WHIP on the year. Bieber went the distance in his last start, striking out 15 and allowing only five hits. Play UNDER Tampa Bay-Cleveland AAA |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Toronto-Milwaukee The last three games of this series have all gone Over. Game #3 shouldn't have of course (2 OT's), but that's all water under the bridge now. The series is even at two games each as the home team has gone a perfect 4-0 straight up and against the spread. Milwaukee should probably feel a little fortunate in that - save for Game #2 - they've been trailing most of the way. They were blown out in Game #4, 120-102, which was the most points allowed in any game by the Bucks this entire playoffs (yes, even the 2 OT game). Now we head to back to Milwaukee though. The Bucks have played seven home games in the playoffs. They've allowed more than 103 points only once. Let us not forget that this was the #1 team in defensive efficiency during the regular season as well. Toronto is also more than capable of turning it on defensively. In the first two rounds there were only three three games where they surrendered more than 100 points. Milwaukee may have topped 100 in all four games in this series, but the Raptors can still slow them down. Problem is Kawhi Leonard is hurt, they averaged just 101.5 points the first two games in Milwaukee and the bench isn't going to shoot as well here as it did in Game #4. Powell-Ibaka-Van Vleet went 18 of 36 for 48 points. A repeat of that will not happen on the road. The Under has cashed 13 of the last 19 times the Bucks have been off a loss. It has also cashed 5 of the last 7 times Toronto has been off a win by 10 or more points. Play UNDER Toronto-Milwaukee AAA |
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05-23-19 | Rays v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Tampa Bay-Cleveland Cleveland catches a major break here in that Tampa Bay decided to push Blake Snell's start back a day. Snell is probably the last pitcher the Indians would want to see, given their current ineptitude at the plate. They should have more luck against Rays "opener" Ryan Yarbrough, who is being recalled from Triple A to pitch Thursday. While Yarbrough has looked good "down on the farm," that hasn't been the case here in the big show where he has an 8.10 ERA in five prior relief appearances. We had the Over in Cleveland's game yesterday (vs. the A's) and despite them allowing seven runs, it still stayed Under by half a run. Again, the Indians' offense should be more productive today. But the Rays figure to give Cleveland more of a problem than Oakland just did. The A's scored 18 runs in a three-game sweep here at Progressive Field and the Rays are coming off a game where they put eight on the board against the Dodgers (no DH). Tampa's last three games have all gone Over and while they face a pitcher (Adam Plutko) that allowed only one hit in his 2019 debut, it was a home run. Play OVER Tampa Bay-Cleveland AAA |
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05-22-19 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Cincinnati-Milwaukee The Reds and Brewers went Under again on Tuesday. We use the term "again" because it was the eighth straight meeting to do so, going back to last season. But this time (meaning Tuesday), the Reds won, 3-0. It was Cincy's first win over Milwaukee this season after being swept at home back in early April. It was also their MLB leading seventh shutout. But the first time all season the Brewers were shutout comes with a caveat as they were without Christian Yelich (back spasms). His absence resulted in the team being unable to get any runner past second base the entire game. Now we realize that today's pitching matchup hardly seems like the one to break the trend of Unders when these teams meet. Cincy's Castillo has a 1.90 ERA while Milwaukee's Davies has a 1.54 ERA. The Under has gone a combined 16-3 in their 19 starts. But, with or without Yelich, I'll call for the Brewers to have a bounce back game at the plate. The Over is 10-3-1 the last 14 times they've been off a game where they scored two runs or less. Castillo is 11-5 Over the last 16 times he's started on five days rest. Play OVER Cincinnati-Milwaukee AAA |
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05-22-19 | A's v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on OVER Oakland-Cleveland The Indians have dropped to 1-5 vs. the A's this season after taking back to back losses to open this series. One would have thought this might be a golden opportunity for the Tribe to get some revenge for dropping two of three in Oakland earlier this month as they had Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Bauer start the first two games. But that has obviously not been the case. The A's, now winners of five straight, have scored 39 runs during the course of that win streak. They figure to score plenty more today against the weakest of the three Cleveland starters they'll have faced in the series, Jefry Rodriguez, who just allowed season-highs in both runs and home runs allowed in his previous start. Frankie Montas pitches here for the A's. While he looked good his last time out, that was due to facing a very weak Tigers lineup. The Over is 12-1 in Oakland's previous 13 Wednesday games. Play OVER Oakland-Cleveland AAA |