Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -190 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (BLOOD-BATH) - also like ML if can't get PUCKLINE. We've played on the Kraken on the puckline option over the first two games of this series and we're 2-0 so far. This series is tied up 1-1 as it heads to the Pacific Northwest, and once again we're expecting a very tight and defensive battle between these evenly matched clubs. Colorado is in fact lucky to come away with the 3-2 victory in Game 2, after going down 2-0 to start with. We see no clear advantage for either side in this one, and that once again makes the extra 1.5 runs of insurance the prudent wager in our opinion; lay the price, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on LA in Game 1, and a play on the Grizzlies in Game 2. We think this back and forth series continues in this pattern, as we look for the Lakers to bounce back in Game 3 and revenge the Game 2 setback. LA is 24-18 at home this year, while Memphis is a poor 16-25 on the road. Having achieved the split in Memphis, we now look for the Lakers to take advantage here at home; lay the points, the play is LA. AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Devils v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers are in the drivers seat after identical 5-1 victories in Game's 1 and 2 of this series. Now back home, New York has to be feeling very confident. Both totals went "over" the number. These were two of the best defensive clubs in the league in the regular season, and while the Rangers have looked great on the defensive end, the Devils' complete collapse is a bit confusing. But with their backs against the wall here, we are expecting a much better effort from New Jersey here in Game 3; while the first two games of this series flew "over" the number, everything points to this Game 3 war in The Big Apple staying "under" it! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (ROUT) We had the Heat in Game 1 and the Bucks in Game 2. Now back at home, we like Miami to, at the very least, keep this one tight enough to comfortably cover once the final horn sounds. While 26-15 SU on the road, the Bucks were just 21-18-2 ATS. The Heat were 28-15 SU at home. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Look for Miami to ride the wave of emotion at home and grab a solid cover; the pla is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Bolts (BLOCKBUSTER) We played Toronto in both Game's 1 and 2, and we're 1 and 1 in this series now as it shifts to Tampa. Both games flew well "over" the number in Toronto, but with the shift in venue and taking into account the "tied" dynamics of this series, we're now finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 3. Note that Tampa Bay has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a five goals or greater loss to an opponent. Everything points to Game 3 being a classic, hard-hitting, but lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Golden Knights +104 v. Jets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 104 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
10* Vegas (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a big play on Vegas in Game 2 and the Knights pulled away for the relatively simple 5-2 victory, after stumbling and losing Game 1 by a score of 5-1. The Jets were great at home this year (26-13-1-1), but the Knights were exceptional on the road (26-7-5-3.) Remember, the Jets sneaked into the No. 8 spot on the final day of the regular season. After the Game 2 letdown, we're exepcting another one here from Winnipeg. In every metric the Knights are superiors, and now they also have the momentum. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is the Knights! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Clippers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Clippers managed a win in Game 1 by a score of 115-110l, but they've since lost back-to-back contests, including a 129-124 setback here at home in Game 3. All three games have gone "over" the number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair here in Game 4 in our opinions. Continued injury issues to Kawhi Leonard and Paul George cast shadows of doubt for LA moving forward. Either way, this O/U line is now inflated, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
8* Yankees (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) After yesterday's series opening 6-1 loss yesterday, we're expecting Gerrit Cole and company to bounce back here and set the tone early in the Bronx on Saturday afternoon. The visitors hand the ball to Alek Manoah, who is coming off an incredible season, but who is just 1-1 with a 6.98 ERA this year. Cole is 4-0 with a 0.95 ERA. Cole is back on track showing his elite form, while regression seems imminent for Manoah this season. Also note that the Yanks are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less runs in; lay the price with confidence, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 208 | Top | 96-88 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER 76ers/Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, the Nets will have to push the pace from start to finish. Note that Brooklyn has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. The 76ers have played near perfectly, but overall we're expecting a faster-paced affair here in Game 4. This number is now a little TOO low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) The Oilers only loss in their last ten games came in Game 1 at home in a 4-3 OT loss to the Kings. The Oilers then rebounded with the 4-2 win in Game 2. Now tied and with a shift in venue, we're expecting the tightest, and most defensive affair of the series so far. Note as well that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH) Denver has a choke-hold on this series after a 2-0 start right? Well, not so quick in our opinions. The Nuggets' cryptonite this year was their play on the road, where they are just 19-22 SU/ATS. Minnesota is 23-19 SU at home. The Wolves are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with the Wolves! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Stars v. Wild +102 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 102 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOCKBUSTER) We had the Wild in Game 1. We then took the Stars in Game 2, which was our NHL Western Conference Playoff Round 1 GAME OF THE YEAR. Congrats to the many that joined us with those two "rocking chair" victories. Now the "zig-zag" theory continues here, as we get great value on the hungry home side. The Wild come off the 7-3 beatdown, but note that they're 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a loss in which they allowed six or more goals in. The bottom line here is we feel we're getting great line value on a really good home team here in the Playoffs; the play is indeed on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
10* OVER Cavs/Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) All tied up at one game apiece, we're expecting a shift in venue to help in driving Game 3 "over" the posted number. The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 3 O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Finally note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Bruins -147 v. Panthers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* BRUINS (MONEY-BOMB) The Bruins won Game 1, but stumbled in Game 2 by a score of 6-3. Boston went 31-8-1-1 on the road. Boston is a near-perfect 6-1 in its last seven in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent. At this price, we're getting fantastic value on the best team in the league. Look for a decisive bounce-back here and lay the price with confidence; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -113 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
10* Islanders (BLOCKBUSTER) The Islanders got blown away by the Hurricanes in Game 1 by a score of 2-1, and they almost evened it up in Game 2's 4-3 OT setback. Now back at home and with the biggest game of the season right here, we're expecting the Isles to indeed bounce back here in Game 3. Overall this is great value on the hungrier and desperate home side. These first two games were much tighter than anticipated, as a PUCKLINE play on NY would have delivered in each contest. But for this one here, the price is just fantastic, so we'll be hopping on board the Islanders for sure here in Game 3! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Tigers v. Orioles -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) The discrepancy in talent and form between these starting pitchers absolutely justifies in laying this larger price in my opinion. Tyler Wells is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA for the Orioles. In his most recent outing he gave up three runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the hard-hitting White Sox. Detroit is just 3-6 on the road and it counters with Michael Lorenzen, who is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA. He most recently was shelled for six runs off eight hits over four innings vs. the Giants in his season debut on Saturday. We don't love Wells or anything overall as a starter, but we sure do love him here in this matchup; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Orioles! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 228 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta managed to upset the Heat 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog in the Play In Tournament, but it's lost the first two games of this series. The Hawks have seen the total go "under" in all three playoff games so far, but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With the home side pushing the pace from the outset to avoid the 0-3 hole, we're expecting Game 3 to finally fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 129-124 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Clippers (BLOCKBUSTER) All ties up at one apiece, we're expecting thing to "tighten up" now that the series shifts out West. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This one has the feel of an "all out war" until the final horn; this number is a little high in our estimation, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -140 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* Vegas (U OF THE U) Las Vegas won the Pacific division, but it fell 5-1 in Game 1. With their backs against the wall, and looking to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole before having to go North of the border, we're expecting the Knights to risk life and limb here getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure a victory. Las Vegas has to be feeling confident in this spot though, as it's responded well by going 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Golden Knights! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) I successfully played on the Kings in both Games 1 and 2, but I like the defending champs to bounce back here at home in this essentially "must win" scenario. Golden State was 33-18 at home this year, and the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Look for "home cooking" to be the difference-maker for Stephen Curry and company; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
10* Kraken (PUCKLINE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on Seattle on the puckline in Game 1, and if you haven't had a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning behind that pick, also directly applies to this one: Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! For all the reasons listed above, the play is Seattle on the puckline option in Game 2 as well! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NL WEST GOY) We feel that that home side has a very real shot of winning this game outright, but at this price, we're getting fantastic value on the runline option here. Guess who leads the NL West rigth now? It's not the Padres, the Giants or the Dodgers. It's the D-Backs at 11-8. San Diego is 9-11. Earlier in the year these teams split a two-game series in San Diego. Arizona though is tied for sixth in the league in steals with 19. That's bad news for a Padres team that allows a lot of steals. Michael Wacha gets the nod for SD and he's 2-1 with a 6.06 ERA, while the home side counter with Ryne Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA. Half of Nelson's six career starts have come against the Friars, so this is a team that he knows well (1-1, 3.12 ERA.) Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA lifetime vs. the D-Backs. Wacha had a bounce-back season last year, but regression seems imminent, epsecially after a slow start in 2023. Tatis returns finally for the Padres, but we expect him to come out slow here in his very first game back. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, we're expecting the Nets to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the points. The Nets are a lot better at home, 23-18 SU. Note as well that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU losses against an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Devils (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in the Rangers' Game 1 5-1 upset, but everything points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" here in Game 2 in our opinions. Note that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league and all signs point to a tight and lower-scoring "war" here in Game 2; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -155 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) I had Toronto in Game 1, and while the Leafs came out flat in that one, we're expecting a complete turn-around as far their performance here. Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. The Leafs play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after getting eliminated in the first round last year by the Bolts. With their backs against the wall in what is essentially a "do or die" game, clearly their biggest of the entire season, look for the Leafs to find a way to get the job done and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Angels v. Yankees -155 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
8* Yankees (MISMATCH) We have a couple of really good starters going head-to-head here, but we say that the "home field advantage" will prove to be the difference-maker in the end. LA won the opener by a score of 5-2, before dropping yesterday's contest 3-2. Note that Shohei Ohtani has looked human vs. the Yanks, going just 13 of 67 lifetime at the plate, which translates to a .194 average. He's also hitting just .140 (6 for 43) at Yankee Stadium. Sandoval is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA for the Angels, while Cortes Jr. is 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA for the Yanks. Cortes Jr. though is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career starts vs. the Angels. Look for the Yanks to build off yesterday's victory and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Kings on the "puckline" in Game 1, and if you didn't get a chance to read that analysis, it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning and stats that anchored that play, are also directly attributable to this one in Game 2 for us as well: 10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! So, another great value play here, the play is indeed on the Kings on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 223.5 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
8* OVER Wolves/Nuggets. The Wolves have seen all three of their "Playoff" games go "under" the number, losing 108-102 (in OT no less!) to the Lakers in their first "Play In" game, before then upsetting the Thunder 120-95 in the second. They then got clobbered 109-80 in Game 1 of this series in Denver. Note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 85 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Wild v. Stars -146 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
10* Stars (WEST-CONF RND 1 GOY) We had a play on the Wild in Game 1, and while that underdog play hit, we now expect the Stars to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes here in Game 2 to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole heading back to Minnesota. Dallas responded well in this spot for bettors all season, going 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite against an opponent. We're expecting this recent and strong trend to carry over here. All things considered, this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, and for us, that does indeed swing the value in favor of the his undervalued and revenge-minded home side; lay the price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Bucks. Miami earned the split already here in Milwaukee by taking Game 1 by a score of 130-117. The Heat though perhaps had a bit of an advantage coming into that one, as they were much more prepared and "game ready" so to speak after two "Play In Tournament" games, losing 116-105 to Atlanta as a 5.5-point favorite, before pulling away for the 102-91 win over the Bulls. Milwaukee was hands down the best team in the East during the regular season, but clearly the extra rest did in fact lead to some RUST for the Bucks in Game 1. But now Giannis and company are going to be fighting tooth and nail here to avoid the 0-2 hole. Miami was just terrible on the road this year, going 18-24 straight up and just 16-24-2 against the spread. The Bucks were 32-10 straight up at home and a more modest 23-19 against the spread, but Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After the emotional victory in the Play In Tournament, followed by the upset victory in Game 1, I think the overachieving Heat have a predictable letdown here. While at the same time, look for the Bucks to bounce back big and keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros -109 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Astros (ASSASSIN) The Jays go with Jose Berrios, who is 1-2 with a 7.98 ERA after three games. Berrios was crushed on the road over his first two starts by allowing 14 runs and 15 hits, but he did look better in his last start at home against the Rays by allowing one run over five innings to earn his first victory. Last year Berrios was just 5-5 with a 6.40 ERA on the road so I think he's going to struggle again here in this difficult road venue. Houston counters with Luis Garcia, who is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA afer three starts. The slow start is surprising considering Garcia was 11-3 with a 4.01 ERA at home last year. So the bottom line here is we think Garcia is going to finally settle down, as we're not overreacting to the early results. We also really do think that the Jays continue to be overvalued early on in the season here, especially on the road. Great value on the hungrier home side; lay the short price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 227 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Lakers/Grizzlies. The Lakers managed a 108-102 OT win over the Wolves in the Play In Tournament, and they kept the momentum rolling with a 128-112 win in Game 1 of this series in Memphis. While Game 1 went "over" the number, we're expecting a much more methodical pace in Game 2. Memphis will be much more aggressive defensively, especially guarding the perimeter. Finally note that Memphis has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -124 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Bruins (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the "under" in Game 1, and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the exact same reasoning behind that one, also goes into this one: 10* UNDER Florida/Boston (EAST-CONF RND 1 TOY) These teams faced each other four times, and they went 2-2. They're very familiar with each other. In what we expect to be a tight and competitive series, we look for each side to batten down the hatches early on the defensive end, as each waits for the other patiently to make the first mistake. Yes, all four regular season games went "over" the number between these clubs, but that fact has only added value finally here in going the other way. The regular season, and the post-season are two different animals. All signs point to a classic, hard-hitting, tons of back-checking combined with smothering defensive play as players risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes; while the majority goes one way, we're going the other as the play is indeed on the "under!" Same goes for Game 2, the play is the "under" once again! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Isles/Canes. The first game went well "under" the number in Game 1, with the Hurricanes holding on to the 2-1 victory, but we're expecting a more wide-open, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome here in Game 2. Note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. It was a war of attrition in Game 1, with each team waiting for the other to make the first mistake, but we're banking on a much more fluid contest here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -176 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Cardinals (MISMATCH) The Cards have lost the first two games of this series, but we're expecting them to salvage the finale with what we believe is the superior starting pitcher on the hill for them today. Arizona returns home for a four-game set with San Diego tomorrow. The visitors hand the ball to Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA, while the home side counters with Jake Woodford, who is 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA. Bumgarner is 5-7 with a 5.46 ERA in 15 career starts vs. St. Louis, while Woodford is coming off a gem, allowing seven hits and no runs and striking out three in a no-decision to the Pirates. Expect Woodford to get the better of his veteran counterpart and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kracken PUCKLINE (U OF U BLOODBATH) Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Phoenix in Game 1, and while that pick lost, we're absolutely expecting KD, Chris Paul and Devin Booker to bounce back here in Game 2. Despite KD being a veteran, the Suns are still trying to get a "feel" for each other. Phoenix had its opportunity right at the end of the game and came up short. The Suns played from behind the entire night. LA is loaded with experienced talent, but is thin beyond it's star players. Having achieved the split already, we're expecting LA to take a step back here. Conversely, it was a great learning experience for KD and company, who now have something to build off. I expect that progression to be quick; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Cubs -170 v. A's | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
6* BLOOD-BATH on the Cubs. The A's have yet to see one of their starting pitchers win this year, and I don't think it's happening today either. The home side hands the ball to Ken Waldichuk, who is 0-2 with a 10.20 ERA, while the visitors counter with Marcus Stroman, who is 2-1 with a 1.00 ERA. Oakland has lost five straight, including yesterday's contest 10-1. Stroman is 1-1 with a 4.21 ERA in six career starts vs. Oakland and we expect him to easily deliver the goods in this spot; lay the price with confidence, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Knights (WEST-CONF RND 1 TOY) The Knights defeated the Jets 4-1 back in the 2018 Western Conference Final. Since then Vegas has suffered two conference final losses. Winnipeg won five of six towards the end of the season to clinch a spot. Vegas took all three regular season meetigs, but two of three were decided by just one goal. Connor Hellebuyck started a league-high 64 games for the Jets this season and was one of two goalies to stop over 1,800 shots. Laurent Brossoit went 7-0-3 with a .927 save percentage down the stretch for the Knights. We're not expecting Vegas to give the Jets much room to operate; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -160 | 8-7 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
8* Cardinals (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Two decent starting pitchers here, but after yesterday's loss, I like the Cardinals to bounce back here at home on Tuesday. The D-Backs start Drey Jameson, who is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA, who has earned both of his wins coming out of the bullpen this year. Now starting, regression is imminent in my opinion. Jordan Montogmery is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA for St. Louis. So far he has 17 K's and five walks over 18 1/3's frames of work: "I'm going to go out there and try to eat up as many innings (as I can), save our bullpen, throw a hundred and whatever pitches," Montgomery said. "It's a little early now, but I want to be a horse going out there, give them 110, 115, every game." Lay the price, the play is St. Louis! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -152 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -152 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
10* Leafs (EAST-CONF RND 1 GOY) Toronto won two of three in the regular season. The Leafs have an opportunity to get a big monkey off their backs if they can get rid of TB here in the first round. I think they can do it. TB has reached the SC Finals in three straight years, but there's no question that the Lightning finally took a small step back this season. And we're expecting that regression to continue here in the postseason. Toronto is deperate, as the organization hasn't won a playoff series since 2004. Finally, this is revenge for the Leafs, who were eliminated in the first round in seven games by the Bolts last season. All things considered, I think we're getting great line value here; lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a big play on the Cavaliers in Game 1, and while that play did come up short, we're expecting a complete bounce back here for Cleveland in Game 2 as the home side pushes the pace to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole (note that the Cavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent.) Having achieved the "split," look for New York to contentedly head home as it prepares for Game 3; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Hawks +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) I had the Celtics in their Game 1 blowout win and cover, but I think the Hawks will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the cover with the ample spread that they've been afforded here in the second game. The Celtics got their big Game 1 victory, but now that advantage of being well-rested is negated. I say the Hawks get a lot more room to operate here in Game 2, especially from range. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but all signs point to this Game 2 being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Rangers v. Devils -124 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -124 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
10* Devils (SUPER BLOWOUT) It's the Playoff edition of the Hudson River Rivalry, and in our opinions, home ice advantage will prove to be crucial here in this first game. These teams played four close games during the regular season, with two of them going to OT. With an opening line like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe these teams are very evenly matched. But New Jersey is also a near-perfect 7-1 in its last eight after three or more days of rest. This line should/could in fact be a bit larger, so the value here swings to the home side; the play is the Devils! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings -113 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 37 h 31 m | Show |
10* Kings MONEYLINE (ASSASSIN) We handicap the regular season differently than we do the Playoffs. We're keeping our direction simple here in Game 2. We believe that "home floor advantage" will be crucial in this series. The Kings are 24-18 SU at home, while the Warriors are just 11-31 on the road. GS threw its best shot at the Kings in Game 1 and was unable to hold onto a significant early lead. Look for Sacramento to set the early tone and grab a second straight win in this series; avoid the spread all together and take the Kings on the moneyline option! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Wild +125 v. Stars | Top | 3-2 | Win | 125 | 36 h 41 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOOD-BATH) Dallas got bumped out of top spot in the Central by the Avs on the final day of the season. Their reward is a much tougher matchup here against a much better team in the Wild. This is a bad series matchup for Dallas in our opinions. The Stars are a great defensive team, but lack offensive punch still. The Wild are a much more balanced all-around team. These two Central Division opponents match-up well against each other, but that, in our professional opinions, swings the value here to the underdog; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -144 | 6-3 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Cardinals (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We have two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head here, but it's a matchup that favors the home side in my opinion. The D-Backs hand the ball to Merril Kelly, who is 0-2 with a 2.93 ERA, while the home side counters with Jack Flaherty, who is 1-1 with a 1.76 ERA. Flaherty allowed one run over six innings in a victory at Colorado last time out. He's 0-1 with a 2.77 ERA in two career starts vs. Arizona. Kelly has struggled with control over his last two starts, walking eight batters over his last 11 innings. While 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA lifetime vs. the Cards, "recent performance" is the big indicator of regression for Kelly in this instance. Look for the hungry Cards to keep the foot on the gas in this favorable matchup and lay the price with confidence; the play is St. Louis! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER Florida/Boston (EAST-CONF RND 1 TOY) These teams faced each other four times, and they went 2-2. They're very familiar with each other. In what we expect to be a tight and competitive series, we look for each side to batten down the hatches early on the defensive end, as each waits for the other patiently to make the first mistake. Yes, all four regular season games went "over" the number between these clubs, but that fact has only added value finally here in going the other way. The regular season, and the post-season are two different animals. All signs point to a classic, hard-hitting, tons of back-checking combined with smothering defensive play as players risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes; while the majority goes one way, we're going the other as the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Nets/76ers (EAST-CONF RND 1 TOY) Game 1 flew well OVER the number in the 76ers' 121-101 win and cover, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well in Game 2, as the Nets will look to pull off the upset and avoid the 0-2 hole. It's interesting to note though that that Brooklyn has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Philadelphia will have even more room to operate here, with the Nets forced to push the pace. Look for Game 2 to follow suit here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Islanders +154 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
10* Islanders (LIVE-DOG DESTRUCTION) New York is going to throw its best shot at Carolina here in Game 1, and we're predicting the minor upset. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league. Carolina narrowly edged out the Devils for top spot in the Metro. The Isles are back in the playoffs though after missing out last season. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are really almost identical. In what we believe will be a competitive series that goes six or seven games, we look for New York to get it done here in Game 1! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 224.5 | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) While the Wolves two "Play-In" Tournament contests both went UNDER the number, we're expecting a faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring affair here between these Western Conference opponents on Sunday night. The season series was actually tied 2-2, so this is a matchup that does suit Minnesota fine. BOth teams are loaded with offensive talent. The last time these teams played against each other, they totaled 258 points. We're expecting another "barn-burner" here as well in Game 1; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We're expecting the "home floor advantage" to be a very real factor in this series. The Clippers were 21-20 on the road, while the Suns were 28-13 at home. Funny enough, that wasn't the case for these teams during the regular season, going 2-2 against each other and each winning on the others floor. But with that said, LA hasn't faced Phoenix with Kevin Durant in the line-up. Phoenix is 8-0 in games that Durant has played in and we're expecting that streak to continue here with a convincing win for the home side in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Heat +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) The Bucks have been sitting idle for a few days, but we believe that "rest" is going to lead to "rust" here in Game 1 of this series. We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game coming "right down to the wire" in our opinions. These teams went 2-2 against each other in the regular season, as Miami does in fact match up well in this series. These teams are experienced and loaded with similar talent. We feel that this is a great situational play, and as stated, no outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF RND 1 GOY) The Grizzlies have Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., while the Lakers have Anthony Davis and LeBron James. It comes down to the supporting cast, and this is arguably the best supporting cast that AD and The King have had. Ever. Both are also healthy for the first time in a long time. LA has gotten better defensively since the trade deadline, and we feel that Morant will have a difficult time finding a lot of room to operate vs. this improved LA defense. While the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the pla is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals -160 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (CENTRAL DIVISION GOM) St. Louis had a three-game win streak going until yesterday's 6-3 upset loss as a -183 favorite. I like the Cards to bounce back here in the finale of this four game series though on Sunday. The Pirates hand the ball to Mitch Keller, who is 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA so far. The home side counters with Miles Mikolas, who is 0-1 with a 10.05 ERA after alowing six runs over five innings at Coors Field in his last outing: "In some odd parallel universe, I'm not super upset with today," said Mikolas afterwards. "The team won. The offense really picked me up. We made some great defensive plays. This is a team game. I didn't pitch as well as I would have liked to or anyone would have liked me to, but some days you have bad games. I don't get the win, the team does. The way we've been scuffling out of the gate, that's just the most important thing." St. Louis was an uncharacteristic 2 for 13 with runners in scoring position in Saturday's loss and it left nine runners on base. Don't expect that to happen again here. Look for Mikolas to settle down at home and for the Cardinals to salvage the finale of this four-game set; lay the price, the play is St. Louis! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Twins v. Yankees -154 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
10* Yankees (ASSASSIN) Minnesota took the first two games of this four-game series, but the Yanks bounced back with a 6-1 win yesterday. I expect another blowout victory here in the finale now, as the clear talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying this mid-sized price. Gerrit Cole is 3-0 with a tiny 1.40 ERA for New York and he has to be feeling confident here in this matchup, as he's 4-0 with a 3.21 ERA in five career starts vs. Minnesota. Pablo Lopez is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA for the Twins. He's looked solid in the early going, but the sample size is just too small. Look for Cole to take advantage; this price should/could in fact be much larger, which swings the value in favor of New York in this one! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Cubs v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Dodgers (ASSASSIN) I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this one. The visitors hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA after allowing five runs over five innings in a loss to Texas in his last outing. So far Taillon has been a disaster this year and I think he's going to struggle here in this difficult road venue. The home side counter with Michael Grove, who is 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA after allowing nine runs over three innings after coming in in relief vs. Arizona last time out. This will be a bullpen game here for Grove and the home side, which is also an advantage that LA enjoys over Chicago. There is no starting pitching advantage here, and that swings the value to the hard-hitting and much deeper home side; lay the price with confidence, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Kings (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) Golden State had the third best home record in the league, but the fourth worst record on the road. It's difficult to imagine the Warriors repeating this season. Clearly, the last thing that the Warriors want to do is to turn this into a "track meet" for the home side, as that would play directly into Sacramento's game plan. These two teams were two of the highest scoring teams throughout the regular season, but I believe that Golden State will look to the slow the pace of this one down from the outset, and as such, I think this number is high for sure; the play is "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF RND. 1 GOY) The Knicks went 3-1 in the season series, but I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor advantage" will be in this series. For both teams. New York was 24-17 on the road, while Cleveland was 31-10 at home. Bad news for Knicks backers here today as star Julius Randle is listed as questionable, and if he does play, he'll be far from 100% health. Emotions will be running high for the Cavs as they make the Playoffs for the first time since 2018. Cleveland has the most efficient offense in the league and everything points to a comfortable win and cover as this one comes down the stretch; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Guardians -144 v. Nationals | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
10* Guardians (IL BOB) Ultimately I believe that Zach Plesac and the visiting side could/shoud in fact be much bigger favorites in this spot. Plesac has so far gotten out to a slower start, going 0-0 with an 8.00 ERA after allowing two runs over seevn innings along with six K's in an unfortunate setback to the Mariners in his last outing (note that Plesac owned a 5.29 ERA in all night games last year, compared to just 3.28 ERA in all day games. The Nationals counter with the erratic Chad Kuhl, who is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA after allowing five runs over five innings in a loss to Colorado last time out. Kuhl was a pedestrian 2-4 with a 5.05 ERA at home last year and I believe he'll struggle in this difficult matchup; lay the price, the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Mets -175 v. A's | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Mets (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) The talent discrepancy between these starting pitchers absolutely makes the visiting side worth the price of admission in this one. Carlos Carrasco is coming off a big bounce-back season for the Mets, but he'll be looking to bounce back this year now after starting 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA. He most recently allowed six runs over five innings in a loss to the Fish. Carrasco finished 6-4 with a 4.57 ERA on the road last year and he couldn't have asked for a better opponent to face here the anemic A's. The home side counters with the erratic Shintaro Fujinami, who is 0-2 with a 17.55 ERA after allowing five runs over four innings in a loss to Tampa Ba last time out. Look for Carrasco to be the one to finally settle down here and lay this price with confidence; the play is the Mets! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -9 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta upset the Heat in the Play-In tournament on the road, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here. ATL is still just 18-24 away from friendly confines, while Boston is 32-9 at home. Boston won all four regular season games, and all signs point to a blowout here in Game 1 as the C's will look to send n early message. ATL was unable to contain Boston's 3-point shooting in the regular season, and nothing will be different here; lay the points with confidence, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) Brooklyn went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS vs. the 76ers during the regular season, but I think the scrappy nets comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch of this one. Philadelphia has consistently done poor in the playoffs over the last few years, and I think the 76ers are getting too much respect here against the Nets, who are 15-9 ATS as a road dog and 12-3 ATS when getting +5 or more points this year. Outright victory is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -5.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wolves (TOP SIDE) The bottom line here is that beyond Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC just is not very deep. At this point, I believe that becomes a major factor finally for the Thunder. Also note that Rudy Gobert will be back in the line-up tonight after serving a one-game suspension for an altercation he had with a teammate in the final regular season game. Minnesota went 3-1 SU in the regular season in this series and I expect it to make the most of this matchup once again; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE) I had a play on the Rays yesterday in their 9-3 win over the Red Sox. Tampa is now 13-0 and the longer this winning streak continues to open the season for the Rays, the more unrealistic and unsustainable it becomes. Tampa is also clearly being overvalued now at this point by the bookmakers, as the majority of the public, along with seasoned pros are now essentially "blind betting" the Rays, without any real thought put into it at all. These starting pitchers are a "wash." I can make a good argument for either of these talented sides to win, but this comes down to the fact that the public and the oddsmakers have overvalued Tampa now at this point because of the unreal start. Regression is imminent Tampa fans. Regardless, at this price and with the extra 1.5 rums of insurance, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* MIAMI FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: I also like the Heat for the entire game if you do not have access to FIRST HALF lines.) For the first time in play-in tournament history, the two lower seeds won in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls upset the Raptors 109-105, but I believe they'll have a much harder time of it here in South Beach. Miami comes in off a 116-105 upset loss to Atlanta. Chicago swept the season series 3-0, meaning that the "revenge" factor definitely comes to play here. The Heat are one of the worst teams in the league ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving today's spread a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Miami is as healthy as its been all year and with most of the early money on Chicago, I feel we're getting tremendous value on the undervalued home side. As stated off the top, I like the Heat for the entire game as well, but I look for them to take the early lead into th half; the play is Miami in the first half! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Phillies -141 v. Reds | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Phillies (ASSASSIN) I like the Phillies to bounce back here after three straight losses. Note that Philadelphia is 6-2 in its last eight after three or more straight losses in a row. The Phillies go with Taijuan Walker (0-1, 6.00 ERA), while the home side counters with Connor Overton (0-0, 10.13.) The Reds have somehow managed to win both of Overton's starts despite allowing nine runs over 14 innings of work. Walker on the other hand is 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA vs. the Reds, while Overton is fortunate to have two no-decisions vs. the Phillies, as he's posted a combied 10.80 ERA in those contests. Look for Philadelphia to "dig deep" here with the superior starter on the hill; la the price, the play is the Phillies! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -150 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Marlins (SPECIAL) Miami lost the opener of it three game series in Philadelphia by a score of 15-3, but then it won the next two games. Now back home, I like the Fish to keep the momentum rolling here. The D-Backs are 8-5, but they hand the ball to erratic veteran Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA, most recently going four innings and getting shelled for five runs in a loss to the Dodgers. Miami's offense has hit Bumgarner hard as well (Luis Arraez is 2-3, Stallings is hitting .429 in 7 ABs, Garcia is 2-6, and Hampson is hitting .222 in 27 ABs.) Miami goes with Trevor Rogers, wh is 0-2 with a 6.0) ERA, most recently allowing three runs over five innings to the Mets. Both starters now catch a break facing inferior lineups for the first time. Miami has been better offensivel though and it's always crushed Mad-Bum. Good value here on Rogers bouncing back at home; lay the price, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -175 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
10* Rays (AL EAST GOY) I bet underdogs. I bet totals. I also bet favorites. I'm never afraid to "lay chalk," especially when I believe that my "play on" side should in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case here. Boston hands the ball to the erratic Corey Kluber, who is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA after allowing one run over five innings in a loss to Pittsburgh. Note that Kluber was just 3-7 with a 5.08 ERA on the road last year. The home side counters with the red hot Jeffrey Springs who is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Rays after going seven innings and scattering three hits with seven K's in an 11-0 win over Oakland. "Recent performance" is HUGE here in my break down of this contest. I look for Springs to keep the good times rolling here, as Tampa punishes Kluber early and often; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Rays! AAA Sports |
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04-12-23 | Royals v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Off three straight victories, the Rangers will look to keep things rolling here against the Royals. Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, which is significant to note as the Rangers have in fact seen the total "under" the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. KC enters off three straight losses, which is also important to take note of here, as the Royals have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA for the Royals, while Nate Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA for the Rangers. Look for these competent starting hurlers to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-12-23 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 215 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Raptors (PLAY-IN TOY) We have two really defensive-minded clubs here, but that fact has only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. Public perception has also driven the opening number down as well. But with the majority going one way, we're going to go the other on this one. Toronto plays much better at home than on the road, as the Raptors are 27-14 North of the border. The Bulls are just 18-23 on the road, and they're going to have to match pace with the home side in this one. Of course, the other interesting factor is DeMar DeRozan playing a possible "revenge" game as well here in Toronto for the Bulls. Chicago lost both regular season games here, but in what I expect to be a faster-paced affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, I expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-12-23 | White Sox v. Twins -158 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Twins. In the early going in baseball, a good place to start to break down a matchup is with the starting pitching, nd in this case, not only is it the starting point for me, but it's also the ending point. I'm basing this pick on recent form and feel that Sonny Gray and the home side could or should in fact be larger favorites in this spot. The White Sox opened with a slim 4-3 series win, before the Twins responded with a 4-3 win yesterday. So far White Sox' starter Lucas Gioltio has struggled. He's 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA after two starts, most recently he lasted just four innings and allowed 12 hits and seven earned runs in a 13-9 loss to the lowly Pirates on the road. Last year Giolito was good on the road, but this season after two starts he's been terrible. Gray though is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA after two starts to go along with a 14 to 5 strikeout to walk ratio. Most recently he went seven innings and allowed one run here at home over the Astros. That's saying something for sure in my books. Gray is locked in and on top form and at this price, I think he's well worth the price of admission; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -6 | Top | 102-108 | Push | 0 | 39 h 55 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PLAY IN GOY) For a number of different reasons, I like the way this one sets up for the Lakers. The majority of the early money is on Minnesota, so as a contrarian at heart, that auto makes me like LA here. But the Wolves will be without Jaden McDaniels, who broke his hand foolishly punching a wall. Big man Rudy Gobert punched Kyle Anderson in a heated moment in the huddle. Minnesota is a mess coming into this game, while LA is at full strength. I look for the Lakers to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on the Lakers! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Dodgers -141 v. Giants | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -141 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
10* Dodgers (END OF NIGHT BLOWOUT) I think that Dustin May and the Dodgers are well worth the price of admission in this spot. Ma is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA after his second straight strong start, going six innings and allowing one run with five K's in a victory over Arizona. May looks to return to his 2021 form after an injury shortened 2022, in which he finished 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Alex Wood, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA after going three innings and allowing three runs in a fortunate no-decision vs. the White Sox in his season debut. Wood was pedestrian last year, including just 3-5 with a 4.70 ERA at home. These divisional contests are always exciting, but most lop-sided. In all honesty, I feel that this line should/could in fact be much larger. Great value here on the undervalued visiting side; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN. Note: I also like for the ENTIRE game if you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines.) The Heat took three of four regular season meetings with the Hawks. Atlanta has been decent ATS on the road this year, but Miami is very tough at home. The Heat rank second in the league on the defensive end, and I expect that defense to be on top of its game from the "get go" in this one, as to not allow ATL to dictate the tempo; as I say, I like Miami for the whole game as well, but the official call is the Heat in the First Half! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -149 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -149 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
10* Phillies (BOB) I think that Aaron Nola and the Phillies are well worth the price of admission in this one. Nola is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA after back-to-back shaky starts. In his last one he did go six innings and struck out five, while allowing three runs though in a no-decision vs. the Yanks. Nola now returns home for the first time this year, and I expect the veteran to be at his best in this one (note that he was 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA at home last season.) The visitors counter with Jesus Luzardo, who is 1-0 with a 0.71 ERA after back-to-back strong outings, ost recently going seven innings and allowing one run in a win over Minnesota. I expect Luzardo to come back down to Earth here finally, while at the same time, all signs point to Nola now stepping up and taking advantage here; lay the price, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Astros -171 v. Pirates | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -171 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
10* Astros (IL GOM) I think that Christian Javier and the Astros are well worth the price of admission on Tuesday. Javier is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA after going six innings and allowing one run and striking out five in a victory over Detroit. Javier was great on the road last year, finishing 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA away from friendly confines. He'll be opposed by Mitch Keller, who is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA after going seven innings and allowing one run in a victory over Boston. Keller was just 1-7 with a 4.01 ERA at home last year. After B2B decent road showings, I think Keller regresses here. Houston's pen is superior and so is Javier, so lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on the Astros! AAA Sports |
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04-10-23 | Royals v. Rangers -165 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Rangers (ASSASSIN) I think that Andrew Heaney and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this one. The Royals hand the ball to veteran Zack Greinke, who is 0-2 with a 2.38 ERA. Heaney is 0-1 with a 23.63 ERA. Suffice it to say, I look for Heaney's second start of the season to be much better. This is a matchup that the doctor ordered for Heaney, as the KC offense has been inconsistent at best. Note that KC is just 15-37 in its last 52 meeting here. The Rangers are also 4-0 i their last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP over 1.30, and Greinke's is currently 1.41. Look for Texas to improve to 5-2 at home this season; the play is the Rangers! AAA Sports |
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04-10-23 | A's v. Orioles -165 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (PITCHING MISMATCH) I think that Kyle Gibson and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this one. JP Sears is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA for the A's, while Kyle Gibson is already 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA for the Orioles. Gibson allowed just 2 runs over 7 innings in a win over the hard-hitting Rangers in his last outing, and I expect him to make short work of this pathetic A's line-up as well. Sears should be in the bullpen, but he's being pressed into a starters role out of necessity; lay the price with confidence, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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04-10-23 | Yankees v. Guardians -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* Guardians (AL GOW) I like the way this one sets up for the Guardians. The Yanks go with Domingo German, who is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA after allowing four runs off four hits over four innings in a loss to the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Shane Bieber, who enters 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA. He gave up three runs and struck out seven in a no-decision vs. the A's in his opener. Bieber has had success vs. the Yanks at past, and at this price on his own field, I feel we are indeed getting tremendous value from the home side; lay the price, the play is CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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04-09-23 | Royals v. Giants -153 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
8* Giants (SPECIAL) I think the home side could/should in fact be much larger favorites in this particular instance. The Royals hand the ball to Kyle Bubic, who is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA after allowing two runs over five innings in his season debut vs. the Jays (note that Bubic was just 2-7 with a 5.39 ERA On the road last season.) The home side counters with Anthon DeSclafani, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after scattering three hits over six innings in a 12-3 win over the White Sox in his season debut. He looks to return to his 2021 form, after an injury-shortened 2022. Look for the Giants' bullpen to be a difference in this one as well; lay the price with confidence, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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04-09-23 | Yankees -145 v. Orioles | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
10* Yankees (BLOOD-BATH) For a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors Nestor Cortes Jr. and the Yankees. Cortes Jr. is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA this year after going five innings in a win over Philadelphia in his season debut. Cortes Jr. was sharp both at home and on the road last year, finishing 6-3 with a 3.08 ERA away from friendly confines. The home side counters with Tyler Wells, hos is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after going five innings and striking out two vs. the Rangers. Last year Wells was just 2-2 with a 5.01 ERA at home. Look for Cortes Jr. and the hard-hitting visiting side to take advantage; lay the price, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-09-23 | Reds v. Phillies -171 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -171 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
10* Phillies (ASSASSIN) I feel that Philadelphia is well worth the price of admission in this one. I play dogs, totals, and I'm also not afraid to lay chalk, especially when I feel that my "play on" side should in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the definitely the case in this one. Connor Overton gets the nod for the Reds, and he's 0-0 with an 11.25 ERA over five runs off eight hits over four innnings. He'll be opposed by vetrean Taijuan Walker, who enters 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA after allowing four runs off four hits over four innings vs. the Yanks in his season debut. Walker has the experience and pedigree to make an immediate return to the winner's circle here and I have no problem laying this larger price on what I expect to be a lop-sided destruction from start to finish. AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -130 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
10* Rockies (NL BOB) I think that Austin Gomber and the home side could/should in fact be much larger favorites in this one. The visitors go with Trevor Williams, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA after allowing four runs over five innings in a 6-2 loss to Tampa Bay in his opener. Note that Williams was 0-4 with a 4.10 ERA on the road last season. The Rockies' Gomber is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA after allowing three runs over six innings in a tight 3-1 loss to San Diego. Considering how weak this Nationals' bullpen is, I feel Gomber for sure should be favored by more at home here; great value on Colorado! AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Devils v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Bruins (EAST-CONF TOW) There's just a couple of games left in the NHL's regular season, and I expect an all out war here between two of the best. The Devils are 50-21-4-4, while the Bruins are 32-4-1-2. Each is gearing up for a big playoff run. New Jersey has won three of its last four and it enters off a 5-1 win over Pittsburgh. These teams played on December 28th, and Boston won by a score of 3-1. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Bruins are 61-12-2-3, including 32-4-1-2 at home and I'm expecting this one to have a "play-off like" atmosphere. We can then expect that pace to help in translating into a very tight and defensive affair here in Boston tonight; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Padres v. Braves -153 | 4-1 | Loss | -153 | 26 h 25 m | Show | |
8* Braves (BLOOD-BATH) We have an excitig NL matchup here, but it's one that favors Charlie Morton and the home side in my opinion. In fact, I don't think you can underestimate how important the home field advantage will be in this particular matchup. Michael Wacha is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA for the Padres after allowing four runs over six innings with two K's in a fortunate win over the Rockies in his opener. Charlie Morton gets the call for the home side and he's 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA after allowing three runs over five innings in an 8-4 victory over the Cardinals in his season opener. A battle of veterans here, but as stated off the top, hom field advantage will prove to be the difference for Morton today; lay the price with confidence, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Marlins v. Mets -138 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Mets (MOUND MISMATCH) The talent discrepancy between these starters makes the home side well worth the price of admission in my opinion. Trevor Rogers is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA for the Marlins after going four innings and allowing four runs in a setback to the Mets in his opener. Rogers was just 2-5 with a 5.00 ERA on the road last season and I think he'll struggle in this difficult away venue. The home side counters with the underrated Kodai Senga, who enters 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA after going 5.1 innings and allowing one run to go along with eight K's in a victory over Miami. Now back at home, I think Senga could/should in fact be a much bigger fav in this one; lay the price with confidence, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-08-23 | Reds v. Phillies -137 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (ROUT) I think Bailey Falter and the home side are worth the price of admission in this one. Falter is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA after going 5.1 innings and allowing two runs to go along with three K's in a tight 2-1 setback with the Rangers. Now at home, I like Falter to settle down and take advantage. Nick Lodolo is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA after going five innings in and allowing two runs with nine K's in a 6-2 victory over Pittsburgh. Lodolo was just 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA on the road though and I think he'll struggle here in this difficult road venue; all things considered, I believe we're getting great line value here on the Phillies! AAA Sports |
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04-07-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers -153 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) I think Brandon Woodruff and the home side are worth the price of admission in this spot. Woodruff is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA, while his counterpart Jack Flaherty is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Cardinals. The Brewers have won five straight, including 10-0 and 9-0 destructions of the Mets earlier this week. The Cards enter off three straight losses in Atlanta. That's bad news for St. Louis, as dating back to last year finds Woodruff having gone 8-1 with a 2.33 ERA over his last 19 starts (he was 2-1 with a 1.20 ERA in three starts vs. the Cards last year.) Flaherty hasn't fared as well vs. the Brewers, going 3-6 with a 5.00 ERA in 16 appearances vs. them (he's also just 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA in eight starts at Milwaukee.) All things considered, I feel this line could/should in fact be much larger; lay the price, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -9.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Hawks (BLOWOUT) The Hawks have earned a spot in the playoffs, but they're still in a fight with Toronto for eighth spot with just two games remaining. They've lost two of three to the 76ers this year, so they'll look to even up the season series here today with a big win. Philadelphia is locked into its spot, so it's expected to now rest starters over the final two games. Atlanta is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one; lay the points with confidence, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets -145 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
10* Mets (ASSASSIN) At this time of year, I'm looking for value in starting pitching, and in my opinion, Tyler Megill and the home side should/could in fact be much larger favorites in this home matchup. Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) will face off against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50.) This is the second time they've faced each other, with Megill having already beaten the Fish in Miami to kick off the 2023 campaign. The rain-out/delay from Thursday only works in the Mets favor here in my opinion. Megill is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three games vs. the Marlins, while Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA in five starts vs. the Mets; look for New York to take advantage early here and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-06-23 | Padres v. Braves -171 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* Braves (NL GOM) We're going to have an exciting series here in Atlanta, and we have a good pitching matchup to open things up between the Padres' Blake Snell, and the Braves' Spencer Strider. That said, I feel this is a contest that favors the home side. Snell enters 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP, lasing only four innings and allowing six hits and three runs in a 7-2 loss to the Rockies. Strider is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after scattering three hits and no runs over six innings in a 7-1 win over the Nationals. Strider was 6-1 with a 2.18 ERA at home last yera, and in my professional opinion, he could/should in fact be a much larger fav in this spot. I don't trust Snell on the road; lay the price, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-06-23 | Blue Jays -173 v. Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
8* Jays (BLOWOUT SPECIAL) Because it's still so early in the season, I'm looking for value with starting pitching most of the time. And in my opinion, Kevin Gausman and the Jays could/should in fact be much larger favs here in this matchup on the road in KC vs. veteran Jordan Lyles. Guasman enters 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA after going six innings and allowing three runs and striking out seven vs. the Cardinals. Gausman excels on the road, last year he was 8-3 with a tiny 2.30 ERA away from friendly confines. Lyles is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA after going five innings and allowing two runs with two K's in a 2-0 loss to the Twins on April 1st. Look for Gausman's road dominance to continue to open up 2023 and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-06-23 | Red Sox -134 v. Tigers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
8* Red Sox (MOUND MISMATCH) At this point of the season, I'm looking for value in starting pitching, and in my opinion, I think Chris Sale and the visiting side offer great value here. Both starters got crushed in their respective openers, but I believe Sale has everything in place for a bounce back effort. Spencer Turnbull gets the nod for the Tigers, and he was rocked for seven runs off eight hits over two innings in a loss to Tampa in his opener. Sale gave up seven runs over three innings to the Orioles. Sale though is 10-8 with a 2.96 ERA in 33 career appearances vs. Detroit. Look for Sale to get the better of his counterpart and lay the price with confidence; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-05-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) It's GO time for the Raptors. They're off the 120-100 win at Charlotte last night, easily covering the massive 15.5-point spread. Toronto is essentially in Playoff mode already though, as it's tied with Atlanta for eighth spot in the East, 17 games back of the Bucks. This is the start of two straight between these teams here in Boston. The Bucks have a three games lead up on Boston, which sits two games ahead of Philadelphia. The Celtics can't afford to take the foot off the gas either, but the Raptors also play with revenge here after falling 106-104 to the Celtics at home on January 21st. That however is significant to note, as the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU home loss vs. an opponent. In what I expect to be a very tight and competitive affair, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-05-23 | Angels -148 v. Mariners | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
10* Angels (DESTRUCTION) Two really good starters here, but I like the way this one sets up for Shohei Ohtani and the visiting side. Ohtani is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Angels, while Chris Flexen is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA for the Mariners. Flexen is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Angels, but Ohtani is 4-0 with a 1.66 ERA in six career starts vs. the Mariners. He received a no-decision in his opening start, despite striking out ten. The Angels line-up is healthy and I expect them to take advantage here; lay the price, the play is the Angels! AAA Sports |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -156 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
10* Yankees (BLOOD-BATH) The Phillies got off the schneid to move to 1-4 with a victory here yesterday, but I like the home side to bounce back and take this three-game interleague series. Gerrit Cole is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Yanks after allowing three hits over six innings, striking out 11 in a victory over the Giants. He's 5-3 with a 3.12 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Phillies. Who are still missing many key pieces in their lineup. Aaron Nola is 0-0 with a 12.27 ERA after struggling in his opener vs. the Rangers, allowing five runs over three innings. Nola is 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three career starts vs. New York, but I say he's in over his head here in this difficult road venue. Up until last year, Nola's kryptonite has been his play on the road. I think regression is in order for Nola this season and overall we're getting great value on New York! AAA Sports |
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04-04-23 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 236 | Top | 135-133 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lakers/Jazz (BLOOD-BATH) Utah won't be in the playoffs, sitting four games back of the Lakers, who are currently in seventh. Utah has covered in three straight, but it dropped the final two games of its road trip. The Lakers have won three straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. WIth a game "at" the Clippers tomorrow, followed by home games vs. Phoenix and then the Jazz again in their finale, I say the Lakers continue to play tough defense here on the road. With the playoffs in its sites, I look for LA to double down defensively; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 1-3. Both really need a win here, but in a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Both teams have struggled at the plate so far. I give the slight nod to Kris Bubic in this starting pitching matchup though. He was 3-13 with a 5.58 ERA last season, but he looked great in the Spring, going 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA spannning 11 innings, with 15 K's over five appearances. Yusei Kikuchi was just 6-7 with a 5.19 ERA last year. In five career starts vs. the Royals he's a pitiful 0-2 with an 8.69 ERA. The outright is possible, but the value here lies with the runline; and that's indeed the play here, KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |