Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-25-23 | Padres -170 v. Nationals | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SD. The Padres have split the first two games of this series in Washington, but they have a favorable matchup in Game 3. Blake Snell will go for the Friars, and he was 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts versus the Nationals last year. Washington will hand the ball to Jake Irvin, who is 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA in three home starts. The Padres are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Hurricanes face elimination in Game 4, and Florida is riding a hot goaltender. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped all 32 shots he faced in a 1-0 win in Game 3, and he's been standing on his head this entire series. We should see another low score tonight, as the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams. The Panthers have failed to reach the total in eight straight overall. Clearly the key here is the play of the Panthers veteran goaltender. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-24-23 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion +280 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Brighton. So Manchester City has already won the Premier League, and they have FA Cup and Champions League Final matches upcoming. Looking at a potential "Treble", there is no way Pep is going to want to risk any of his star players in what is a meaningless match for the Champions. Brighton on the other hand has a chance to entertain the fans in a home game against perhaps the best team in the world at the moment. Brighton has 10 wins at home this season, one fewer than Manchester City has on the road. Manchester City has Brighton to thank for their clinching the Premier League title, as it was a 3-0 Brighton win over Arsenal that really ended the Gunners hopes of catching City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-24-23 | Diamondbacks -108 v. Phillies | 5-6 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs come into Game 3 in Philly as winners of nine of their last 11 overall. The Phillies have lost seven of their last nine overall. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been better at home than he has been on the road. Rather than fret over his splits, we can take some comfort in the fact that he was 6-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 16 road starts last season. The Phillies hand the ball to Ranger Suarez, who is 0-1 with a 10.51 ERA in two starts. In two starts versus Arizona last year, he was rocked for 10 runs on nine hits and six walks in just eight innings in two starts. The Diamondbacks are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-23 | LA Galaxy v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3.25 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Historically we have seen high scoring games in the "Trafico" series, but things are different this year. The LA Galaxy sit in last place in the West, and they have only scored 10 goals in 13 matches. LAFC has allowed the fewest goals of any team in the West, conceding 10 goals in a dozen matches. The under is 7-0 in LAFC's last seven matches in MLS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Rockies won Game 1 of this home series versus Miami, which comes as no surprise since Miami ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. Austin Gomber will toe the rubber for the Rockies in Game 2, and he's 3-0 with a 3.54 ERA in his last five starts. Miami will hand the ball to 20 year old rookie Eury Perez who is making just his third appearance in the major leagues. The Marlins are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I said prior to both Game 3 of this series, and Game 4 of the WCF that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. It was no surprise to see Denver win Game 4, as NBA teams up 3-0 in a series win Game 4 roughly 68 percent of the time historically. The Nuggets did it on the road, and the Heat can do it here at home. It's so clear that Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the superior coach. I been riding the Heat this entire post-season, and if it ain't broke don't fix it! GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Rockies return home off after getting swept in Texas, and they will be an underdog here against the Fish. Both teams are 10-12 in the home/away splits, and I don't see any reason for the Fish to be favored here. Edward Cabrera will toe the slab for Miami, and he was pulled from his last start because of a blister. He comes in with a WHIP of 1.59, and he's 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA on the road. Chase Anderson will go for the Rockies, and he's been at the top of most people's fade list in recent years. After his last call up he tossed five scoreless and gave up just one hit in a home game against the Reds. Miami has the disadvantage with a lineup that ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Lakers | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Denver. My comments about Game 3 in Miami are just as applicable here in Game 4 in LA. Here is what I said prior to last night's game: Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. IMO this is another example of the Wrong Team Favored! GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-23 | Marlins v. Giants UNDER 8 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Marlins won 1-0 in Game 2, and they lost Game 1 by a score of 4-1. We expect another pitcher's duel in San Francisco today. Alex Wood will toe the slab for San Fran, and he's only allowed four runs in his last four appearances. He faces a lineup that ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. The Fish hand the ball to Jesus Lazardo, who is 3-2 with a 3.16 ERA. The under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season, but two of those wins came in shootouts. Game 1 won't be decided by a shootout, that is one thing I can promise you. The Knights have had the more impressive journey to the Conference Finals, and they really appear to be destined to make another Finals run and maybe take home the cup. Adin Hill comes in ranking among the top goaltenders in the playoffs, with a 2.19 GAA and a .934 save percentage. The Golden Knights are 16-5 in their last 21 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAL. Call me a conspiracy theorist if you want to, but the NBA Finals are about to be a ratings disaster with the Denver Nuggets versus Miami Heat matchup looking more and more likely. If the Lakers can't get back in this series, a lot of money goes up in smoke. I think you're going to see the refs calls fouls for even looking at AD and LeBron in tonight's game. LA won Game 3 against the Warriors 127-97, and they had an edge in free throws to the tune of 37-17. In Game 3 against the Grizzlies they won 111-101. It's not like the first two games in Denver weren't close, and the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Los Angeles. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAR. Just the second game of the Eastern Conference Finals and the Hurricanes are already facing a must win situation. They haven't lost back to back games in these playoffs, and they catch the Panthers off back to back OT wins. The Panthers are 15-37-2 in the last 54 meetings in Carolina, and the Hurricanes are 42-16 in their last 58 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-23 | Marlins v. Giants -154 | 1-0 | Loss | -154 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SF. The Giants have won four straight, and they beat the Marlins ace in Game 1 of this series in San Francisco. Braxton Garrett will go for the Fish in Game 2, and he's not fooling anybody. He owns a WHIP of 1.53, and he's allowed 24 hits in his last 14 innings pitched. The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb, who is 2-2 with a 2.03 ERA in four home starts. Webb will face a Miami lineup that ranks 29th in the majors in scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-23 | Aston Villa v. Liverpool -184 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -184 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. Never mind the high price, this is a very high percentage situation. Liverpool at home this season are 13-4-1, and they have won five straight versus Aston Villa. Perhaps the most significant is the magnitude of this game for Liverpool, who can still move ahead of Manchester United for a spot in the Champions League. Aston Villa on the other hand have already achieved everything they could have achieved this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-23 | Marlins v. Giants -112 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Giants. Miami comes to town riding a four game winning streak, but those wins came against bottom feeders Washington and Cincinnati. The Fish send their ace to the mound in Game 1 in San Francisco, but Alcantara has been struggling. He was rocked for six runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in a loss to Cincinnati in his last start. He's 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA in three starts on the road. The Fish aren't likely to provide a lot of run support as they rank 28th in the major leagues in scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 84 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VGK. Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season, but two of those wins came in shootouts. Game 1 won't be decided by a shoutout, that is one thing I can promise you. The Knights have had the more impressive journey to the Conference Finals, and they really appear to be destined to make another Finals run and maybe take home the cup. Adin Hill comes in ranking among the top goaltenders in the playoffs, with a 2.19 GAA and a .934 save percentage. The Golden Knights are 16-5 in their last 21 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS. As much as I disagree with how big a favorite Boston was in Game 1, and here in Game 2, I just think this is a spot where they are gonna come out swinging and they will get all the calls. I have joked about a script in the league office that has the Celtics playing the Lakers in the Finals, but if you saw the referee in Game 1 react to Jimmy Butler scoring a key bucket, you would believe it. Check it out on Twitter it's going viral. The Celtics lost Game 1 at home versus Philly, and they came back and won 121-87 in Game 2. Don't be surprised if we see something similar here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was a high scoring affair, and because of that the total for Game 2 is five points higher than it was in Game 1. The series opener saw Denver dominate the first half, but the Lakers made adjustments that allowed them to come storming back. When they stuck Rui Hachimura on the Joker, the REAL MVP was held to just 3 points on 0-of-2 shooting in the 4th quarter. Don't be surprised if things tighten up in Game 2, and keep in mind that both teams shot better than 54 percent from the field when both teams are averaging under 50 percent in these playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The #8 seed Panthers have been giant killers in these playoffs, and they find themselves as just a slight underdog on the road in Game 1 versus Carolina. The price seems a bit low considering it's an #8 seed versus a #2 seed. The Panthers turned things around when they went to Sergei Bobrovskty, and the veteran has turned back the clock. The Canes though have Freddy Anderson, who is 5-0 with a 1.80 GAA in the post-season. Carolina has also won 42 of their last 57 home games. The over/under trends for these teams may not be relevant, as they include mostly games with different goaltenders. Both these teams come into this series in great shape between the pipes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Miami Heat. This is a rematch of last year's Eastern Conference Finals, and the Celtics won that series in a Game 7 that was decided on the final shot. Yet the bookmakers have installed Boston as a huge favorite here in Game 1 and for the series. Miami closed out the #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks in just five games in the first round. They needed six games to eliminate the New York Knicks. That has them playing two fewer games than Boston so far. The team that has played fewer games heading into the Conference Finals, has advanced to the Finals in 16 of the last 17 such occasions. Coming off a big Game 7 win over Philly, with Jason Tatum scoring 51 points, could set the Celtics up for a let down in Game 1. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Twins +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-7 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Twins have split the first two games of this series in LA, and they will be an underdog in the rubber match. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been dealing so far this season. Gray (4-0, 1.39 ERA) has owned the Dodgers. The LA lineup is batting a combined .196 over 112 at bats versus Gray, with 22 hits and 38 strikeouts. Dustin May will go for the Dodgers, and he's been solid. This game could come down to the bullpens, and the Dodgers have struggled in that department ranking 22nd in ERA by reliever (4.22). GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Real Madrid +1 v. Manchester City | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on RMA +1. As good as Manchester City is, and while I do think they deserve to be a favorite, I feel the line is a little inflated. The fact is that in the last five head to head meetings only one team has a win by more than one goal. That game was the second leg last year when Real Madrid scored in added time to win on aggregate. The score after 90 minutes was 2-1, so technically would not have covered the 1-goal handicap. The first leg showed what appeared to be little separation between these teams, and scoring chances were at a premium. The way I see it, the score could be tied after the 90, or either team could be winning. Two of those three scenarios get me paid with this bet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Pirates v. Tigers -153 | 8-0 | Loss | -153 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Pirates had a fairy tale start the season, jumping out to an early lead in the NL Central. The clock may have struck midnight, and their carriage has turned into a pumpkin. They come into Game 2 in Detroit as losers of 12 of their last 14 overall. This appears to be a troublesome matchup, as Rich Hill starts opposite Tigers ace Eduardo Rodriguez. Hill has been roughed up pretty good in his last two starts, and that's no surprise. Rodriguez has allowed just one run in his last five starts, and he sports a WHIP of .079. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers could suffer a let down here off a big win over the Warriors in Game 6 in LA. This is Denver, probably the toughest place to play in the league. The home team won all four meetings in the regular season series. While the Lakers are coming off a high scoring series versus Golden State, and Denver is coming off a high scoring series versus Phoenix, this matchup features two teams that are ranked above average in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets ranked near the bottom of the league in pace of play. The under is 8-3 in the Nuggets last 11 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven off a double digit win. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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05-16-23 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Despite winning 10 of their last 14 overall, the Rockies are still sitting dead last in the NL West. Take a glance at the pitching matchup for this game, and it looks like a slugfest waiting to happen. Rookie Brandon Williamson will make his debut for the Reds, and while I can't say I know a lot about him, I can tell you he's not one of their top pitching prospects. It really looks like he's being tossed into the fire as a sacrificial lamb here. The starter for the Rockies will sound familiar, as Chase Anderson will make his debut for Colorado. Yes, the same Chase Anderson that has spent more time in the minors than the majors over the last three seasons. Posting an ERA over 6.00 in his last three seasons doesn't inspire much confidence. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 42 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Kraken have already won a Game 7 on the road in the first round. They beat Colorado 2-1 in overtime, and I have to think they can give Dallas a run for their money here. The Kraken are 13-6 in their last 19 road games, and they won Game 1 of this series in Dallas. Phillip Grubauer stopped 33-of-34 shots in the win in Game 7 versus Colorado, and he's been solid throughout the playoffs. Jake Oettinger had his confidence rattled after allowing four goals on 18 shots in just 24 minutes in Game 6 in Seattle. Oettinger is just 24 years old, while Grubauer is a seasoned veteran with a ton of playoff experience. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Traditionally we see lower scores in elimination games in the NHL Playoffs, but the Edmonton Oilers are a different beast. They own by far the best power play in the NHL, but their goaltending and subpar defense always lets them down. Vegas won Game 5 by scoring three goals in just over a minute. The Oilers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games, and they have scored 49 goals in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-23 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 9-1 | Push | 0 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Red Sox boast a lineup that ranks 3rd in the Majors in runs scored, but their sad sacked pitching staff has them sitting in the AL East cellar. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the Sox, and his days as a starter in the majors might be numbered. He's 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA in four starts at Fenway. The Cardinals hand the ball to Miles Mikolas, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a WHIP of 1.66. The Red Sox have gone over in five of their last six home games, and the over is 6-1 in the Cardinals last seven versus the American League. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS. The Celtics have all the momentum heading into Game 7 at the Garden. Boston is 26-9 all time in Game 7s, and the Sixers are 6-11 all time in Game 7s. Home teams have won 79 percent of Game 7s all time in the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 11 versus Philadelphia. The home team might get the calls here, and the Sixers could end up on the wrong side of a one-sided Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Arsenal -130 | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Arsenal. The Premier League Title is still on the table for Arsenal, and they should plenty of fight in a 2-0 win over Newcastle in their last match. Brighton wasn't nearly as impressive in their last match, losing 5-1 to an Everton team facing relegation. Brighton will not finish in the Top 5, but they are cruising to a solid position in the top half of the table, and a potential entry into the Europa League. A complacent Brighton team should be no match for an Arsenal squad fighting for the title. Arsenal is 13-1-3 at home this season, with a +26 goal differential. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-13-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -164 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the D'Backs. Arizona has split the first two games of this home series versus San Francisco, but they turn to their ace in the rubber match. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's only allowed one run in over 27 innings at home so far this season. The Giants hand the ball to Anthony Desclafani, who has been pretty solid. He wasn't sharp allowing five runs on 10 hits over seven innings in a loss to Washington his last time out. The Giants are 1-6 in their last seven road games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-13-23 | Charlotte FC v. Atlanta United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. We should expect a high score when Atlanta United hosts Charlotte. Atlanta leads the Eastern Conference in scoring with 20 goals in 11 matches, while Charlotte ranks dead last in MLS in goals against, conceding 21 goals in 11 matches. Atlanta United has gone over the number in four straight matches in all competitions while Charlotte has gone over in three of their last four matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-13-23 | Royals v. Brewers -153 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. The Brewers took over first place in the Central with a win over Kansas City in Game 1. Adrian Houser will toe the slab for Milwaukee in Game 2. The right-hander will be making his second start of the season. The Royals hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who looks every bit his age at 39. He's 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA in two starts on the road. The Royals are 1-7 in their last eight interleague games. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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05-13-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -149 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BAL. The Orioles are just four games out of first place in the AL East, and the Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11. Roansy Contreras will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he's been roughed up in recent starts, He's allowed nine runs on 15 hits in 10 1/3 innings in back to back losses. The Orioles hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who has an impressive record of 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA. What's more impressive is his WHIP of 0.78. The Pirates are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-23 | Warriors +122 v. Lakers | 101-122 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. I said prior to Game 5 that the Lakers had enjoyed a disparity in free throw attempts to the tune of 103-51 in the first four games. I wasn't the only one talking about it, and I speculated that we'd see it even out. That's exactly what happened in Game 5, as both teams had 15 free throw attempts. I expect this trend to carry over into Game 6, and I really think the Lakers are in trouble here after AD and LeBron got banged up in Game 5. Buckle up, because I think this series is going to a Game 7! GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-23 | Oilers -130 v. Golden Knights | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Oilers. So far the Zig Zag theory has worked in all four games in this series, I am going to go the other way here in Game 5.The Oilers are lethal on the power play, converting on more than half of their chances in the playoffs so far. They had by far the best power play in the league during the regular season. The over is 9-3 in the Oilers last 12 Conference Semifinals games, and they have gone over in the first period in 9-of-10 games in these playoffs. The Golden Knights will be without their top defenseman in Game 5, and they may not have goaltender Laurent Brossoit either. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-23 | Rangers -168 v. A's | 7-9 | Loss | -168 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. The first place Rangers come into Game 2 of this series versus last place Oakland as winners of five of their last six. Martin Perez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's picked up right where he left off last year. He was 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three starts versus Oakland last year. The A's hand the ball to Ken Waldichuck, who sports a WHIP of 1.75 in seven starts. He faced Texas once last year, allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings in a no decision. The Athletics are 8-24 in their last 32 home games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-23 | Knicks v. Heat -195 | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIA. The Knicks were able to extend the series and force a Game 6 in Miami. They won Game 5 at the free throw line, with 21 more attempts than Miami. It's unlikely that they will get those calls on the road here in Game 6. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games, and Jimmy Buckets is averaging over 35 points per game at home in these playoffs. The Knicks are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami, and as much as many would like to see a Game 7, I just don't see it in the cards. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -149 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Baltimore. While the Pirates are still in first place in the NL Central, they have lost nine of their last 10 overall. The Orioles on the other hand are 11-1 in their last 12 series openers. Kyle Bradish will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's 1-1 with a 5.95 ERA. Those numbers are skewed by one bad start, allowing seven runs on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings in a home loss to Boston. Other than that, he's been pretty solid. The Pirates hand the ball to Johan Oviedo, who has been absolutely crushed in his last three starts. During that span he allowed 19 runs on 25 hits over 12 2/3 innings in three straight losses. The Pirates are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 226.5 | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So I am going to focus on Devin Booker here. He shot 79 percent from the field in the two games in Phoenix, scoring over 80 points. Of course the total went over in both Games 3 & 4. Booker cooled off in Game 5 in Denver, shooting just 42 percent from the field. Asking him to make 4 out of every 5 shots here in Game 6 doesn't seem realistic to me. These teams went under in two of three regular season meetings, with the exception being a 128-125 overtime win for the Nuggets at Phoenix. This number appears to be inflated for an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAR. The Hurricanes can close out this series here at home in Game 5, and that seems like a likely outcome given the Devils goaltending situation. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: “The goaltending situation is on shaky ground for both teams in this series. The Devils will most likely start Vitek Vanecek, who had lost the starting job halfway through the first round series versus New York. The Hurricanes chased Akria Schmidt from the net early in both the first two games of this series. The Canes have had their #1 goaltender sidelined by illness, and both Freddy Anderson and Pyotr Kochetkov struggled in an 8-4 loss in Game 3. All three games have gone over the number, and yet the bookmakers haven't budged offering 5.5 instead of 6. I think this is a mistake. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.” After Anderson allowed just one goal on 22 shots in Game 4 the Hurricanes have a decided advantage. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Royals | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CWS. The Royals sit dead last in the AL Central, and the Chicago White Sox are just two games head in the standings. Kansas City won 9-1 in Game 2 of this series, but I expect them to bounce back here in Game 3. The Sox have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games. Brady Singer will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's allowed at least five runs in five of his last six starts. The Royals are 5-17 in their last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -182 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Oilers. So far the Zig Zag theory has worked in all three games in this series, and each of the last two games saw the home team lose by a score of 5-1. This has the bookmakers jacking the total up to 7, and the Oilers are a huge favorite to even the series at 2-2 with a win in Game 4. The best bet here may well be the TT over for the Oilers, as they should respond after getting blown out in Game 3. The Oilers won Game 2 by a score of 5-1. It was 4-0 after the first period, and 5-0 after the second period. While the game went under the total, the Oilers had gone over in four straight prior to Game 2. Neither of these two teams are leaning on their goaltenders, as both Laurent Brossoit and Stuart Skinner have posted a GAA over 3.00 in the post-season. The Oilers are lethal on the power play, converting on more than half of their chances in the playoffs so far. They had by far the best power play in the league during the regular season. The over is 9-3 in the Oilers last 12 Conference Semifinals games, and they have gone over in the first period in 8-of-9 games in these playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-23 | Heat +4 v. Knicks | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Heat closed out the Bucks in Game 5 in Milwaukee, and they are an underdog here in a potential close out game in New York. I pity the fool who bets against Jimmy Butler in the playoffs! I said this before Game 4: "This isn't the same Heat team we saw during the regular season, and this isn't the regular season version of Jimmy Butler. Playoff Jimmy is a different beast all together. Butler scored 28 points, leading all scorers in Game 3. This is despite playing on a bad ankle. He's likely to be even better here in Game 4. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight overall. Giannis and the Bucks couldn't win in Miami, and I think it's asking too much for the Knicks to win on the road here." GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX +1.5. The Rangers have split the first two games of this series in Seattle, and Game 3 looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and the Mariners are 0-5 ATS in their ace's last five starts. He allowed four runs on five hits in six innings in a 6-4 home loss to Houston his last time out. The Rangers hand the ball to Dane Dunning, who comes in with a record of 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA. He tossed five scoreless in a no decision at LA in his last start, and the Rangers have covered the runline in each of his last five starts. The Rangers are still in first place in the AL West, and they have won seven of their last 10 overall. GL. Jesse Schule |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. So the story in Phoenix was Devin Booker scoring 83 combined points on 79 percent shooting in Games 3 and 4. He's a career 46 percent shooter, and he shot 49 percent during the regular season. If the Suns need Booker to make every shot he takes to win close games in Phoenix, that's likely a recipe for disaster in Denver in Game 5. Kevin Durant scored 39 points in Game 3, and 36 points in Game 4. He got to the free throw line for 29 attempts in those games. He averaged just 26.5 points per game in the first two games in Denver, and only shot six free throws in those games. The last Game in Denver the Suns were held to just 87 points. The home team is 9-1 straight up and Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-23 | Astros v. Angels -126 | 3-1 | Loss | -126 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAA. The Astros come into Game 2 in LA as losers of five of their last six overall. They might have a tough time snapping that streak against the Angels ace. Shohei Ohtani (4-0, 2.54 ERA) has had success against the Astros. He was 3-1 with a 1.21 ERA in five starts versus Houston last year. They Angels are 6-0 in his last six starts. Houston hands the ball to Framber Valdez, who is coming off back to back losses. He's allowed 21 hits in 20 innings in his last three starts. The Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 home games versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 103 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The goaltending situation is on shaky ground for both teams in this series. The Devils will most likely start Vitek Vanecek, who had lost the starting job halfway through the first round series versus New York. The Hurricanes chased Akria Schmidt from the net early in both the first two games of this series. The Canes have had their #1 goaltender sidelined by illness, and both Freddy Anderson and Pyotr Kochetkov struggled in an 8-4 loss in Game 3. All three games have gone over the number, and yet the bookmakers haven't budged offering 5.5 instead of 6. I think this is a mistake. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-23 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Over. It should come as no surprise that these two teams have gone over the total in each of the last five meetings. Manchester City leads the Premier League in scoring with 89 goals in 34 matches, and Real Madrid leads the Spanish La Liga in scoring with 69 goals in 33 matches. Erling Haaland is the favorite to win the Ballon d'Or, and Karim Benzema is the reigning Ballon d'Or winner. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring in this first leg match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Rangers v. Mariners -151 | 2-1 | Loss | -151 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners got off to a slow start, but they come into Game 1 of this series versus Texas as winners of six of their last seven overall. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he owned Texas last year. Gilbert was 1-0 with a 1.90 ERA in four starts versus the Rangers in 2022. Texas will hand the ball to Jon Gray, who struggled versus Seattle going 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in three starts against the Mariners last season. The Rangers are 17-40 in the last 57 meetings in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The D'Backs host the Marlins in Game 1 on Monday, and Arizona sends it's ace to the mound. Zac Gallen (4-1, 2.53 ERA) has his scoreless innings streak snapped in Texas in his last start. He's still flawless at home, with a record of 3-0, 0.00 ERA in three starts. The Marlins hand the ball to Braxton Garrett, who is coming off a terrible performance. He was torched for 11 runs on 14 hits in 4 1/3 innings in a loss to Atlanta. The Marlins are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Arizona, and they rank dead last in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -133 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Oilers come back home with a split, and all the momentum in the series after winning Game 2 by a score of 5-1. It was 4-0 after the first period, and 5-0 after the second period. While the game went under the total, the Oilers had gone over in four straight prior to Game 2. Neither of these two teams are leaning on their goaltenders, as both Laurent Brossoit and Stuart Skinner have posted a GAA over 3.00 in the post-season. The Oilers are lethal on the power play, converting on more than half of their chances in the playoffs so far. They had by far the best power play in the league during the regular season. The over is 9-3 in the Oilers last 12 Conference Semifinals games, and they have gone over in five of their last six versus Las Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Cubs host the Cardinals in Game 1 at Wrigley, and with the wind blowing in the bookmakers are expecting a pitcher's duel. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for the Cubs, and while he appears to have good numbers I don't think this is a good spot for him. He was 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts versus St. Louis last year. Paul Goldschmidt is 8-for-18 with three home runs lifetime versus Stroman, and he went yard three times on Sunday against the Tigers. The wind might keep the ball in the park, but the last time I checked you can still manufacture runs with singles, doubles and walks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Knicks v. Heat -170 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. This isn't the same Heat team we saw during the regular season, and this isn't the regular season version of Jimmy Butler. Playoff Jimmy is a different beast all together. Butler scored 28 points, leading all scorers in Game 3. This is despite playing on a bad ankle. He's likely to be even better here in Game 4. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight overall. Giannis and the Bucks couldn't win in Miami, and I think it's asking too much for the Knicks to win on the road here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Suns are back in this series after Devin Booker shot out the lights in Game 3. He scored 47 points on 20-of-25 shooting. I don't like his chances of hitting almost every shot he makes here in Game 4. After the total went over in the series opener, we saw Denver hold the Suns to just 87 points in Game 2. I think we see another low scoring defensive battle here in this pivotal Game 4. The under is 9-4-2 in the Nuggets last 15 Conference Semifinals games, and they should bring the defensive intensity here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. If the Leafs played baseball they would the Cubs. If they were in the NFL they would be the Buffalo Bills team that lost four Super Bowls. In other words, this team is cursed, haunted by years of past failure. Now they are up against a hot goaltender here in Florida, as Sergei Bobrovsky has turned back the clock. He's playing like he did when the Blue Jackets swept the Lightning in the first round. The Leafs have gone under in four straight, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four versus Florida. The under is 6-0 in the Panthers last six Conference Semifinals games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | White Sox v. Reds -116 | Top | 17-4 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CINCI. The Reds are a solid 10-7 at home, and they have split the first two games of this series versus Chicago. The White Sox are just 5-13 on the road, and they face a hot pitcher here in Game 3. Graham Ashcraft comes in with a record of 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA, but a look at the competition he has faced so far makes that so much more impressive. He's faced four first place teams in his six starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Michael Kopech, who has been rocked on the road. He's 0-2 with a 5.63 ERA in three road starts. The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle United. Just when you thought that Arsenal was going to win the Premier League, they crumpled under the pressure. They come into Sunday's away match at Newcastle with just one win in their last five games. The Magpies have won four of their last five, and they have only lost once at home in the Premier League this season. Arsenal played here last May and lost by a score of 2-0. The Gunners destiny is out of their hands, and their only hope to win the league is if Manchester City slips up. Newcastle is in a three way battle for a Champions League spot with Manchester United and Liverpool. I like the home team to get the win in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-23 | A's v. Royals -158 | 5-4 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KC. The A's won Game 1, and it was just their 7th win of the season. All six previous wins were followed up with a loss, and that trend should hold true tonight in Kansas City. While the pitching matchup appears to feature two struggling pitcher's, it's actually the Royals ace going against the Athletics 5th starter. Brady Singer did go 8-2 with a 2.76 ERA at home for the Royals last season. The A's rank dead last in the majors in ERA by reliever, with a team ERA of 6.80. This game is likely to be decided by the bullpens, and that's not good news for Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -150 | Top | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 83 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA ML. The Knicks won Game 2, but their performance was far from convincing. The expression on Jimmy Butler's face said it all, he knows he's going back to Miami and winning Game 3. Butler scored 56 in Game 4 at home, and then scored 42 in the series clinching win in Milwaukee in Game 5. Even without Jimmy Buckets, the Knicks just barely won Game 2 at the Garden. Miami has the most valuable player in this series, and they are well coached. I think the coaching matchup is a mismatch in favor of the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-23 | Chelsea v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. So Chelsea comes into this away match at Bournemouth as a huge favorite, despite losing five straight matches in all competitions. During that span the Blues conceded 11 goals. Bournemouth is now tied on point with Chelsea, and they have four of their last five matches. Only Leeds United has conceded more goals than Bournemouth (64) so far in the Premier League this season. Cheslea has gone over in three straight matches at Bournemouth, and that trend should continue here today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-23 | Brewers -135 v. Giants | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL. The Brewers got swept in a three game series in Colorado, but they are still just 1.5 games out of first place in the NL Central. The send their ace to the mound in Game 1 in San Francisco, and Corbin Burnes has owned the Giants. He was 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three starts versus the Giants last year. The Giants hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who hasn't missed many bats this season. He was torched for five runs on five hits and four walks in just two innings in a home loss to San Diego his last time out. The Giants are 1-7 in their last eight during game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Sixers. The Sixers got their rear ends spanked in Game 2 despite the return of Joel Embiid, but that was really no surprise. The series heads back to Philly tied 1-1 and the Sixers are still in the driver's seat. They should come out strong in the first half here on their home court. Philly has a home record of 31-12 (regular season and playoffs combined). While these two teams split the season series and the home team went 2-2, the home team was 3-0-1 straight up in the first half. The Sixers were 3-1 ATS in the first half in the regular season series. I think the Celtics will be fortunate just to weather the storm here in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -195 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 41 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. We saw the Lakers win Game 1 on the road in Memphis, and they came out and lost 103-93 in Game 2 to a Grizzlies team without Ja Morant. They were outscored 30-19 in the first quarter, and trailing by 15 at halftime. I expect to see a similar result here against a Warriors team that rarely loses at home. The Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games, and they have covered in five of their last six coming off a loss. Even in a loss in Game 2 of their series versus the Kings, they came out and outscored Sacramento 23-17 in the first quarter. Expect the Warriors to come out swinging here in Game 2 at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. So I said yesterday that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, and that's even more true after Colorado won last night by a score of 7-1. The Rockies have won three straight and five of eight, while the Brewers have lost three straight and six of nine. At first glance, Wade Miley (3-1, 186 ERA) looks worthy of being a big favorite here. His numbers against the Rockies tell a different story. The Rockies lineup is batting a combined .343 against him in over 100 at bats. Jurickson Profar is 5-for-7 lifetime versus Miley, and Kris Bryant is 9-for-20 (.450) with a pair of home runs. Colorado will send Connor Seabold to the mound, and he's allowed just a pair of runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. He's coming out of the bullpen so we only expect him to go a few innings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-23 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion +105 | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brighton Hove Albion. Brighton has been great at home this season, with a record of 8-3-4 and a +17 goal differential. Manchester United has a -10 goal differential in away matches, but they are shorthanded coming into this match. Injuries to several key defenders leave them thin at the back. Both Raphael Varane and Lisandro Martinez are injured, leaving Luke Shaw, Victor Lindelof and Harry McGuire as likely starters. They face a Brighton team off a 6-0 thrashing of Wolverhampton. Brighton has outscored United by a combined score of 6-1 in the last three meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-23 | Orioles -148 v. Royals | 0-6 | Loss | -148 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. So we must ask ourselves how on earth a Kansas City Royals team that is 1-13 at home could possibly be priced in the +130 range here against an Orioles team that has won 12 of it's last 14 overall? Is it because Zack Greinke is starting for the Royals? He did win a Cy Young, although that was 13 years ago. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing seven runs on eight hits in a loss to Minnesota. The Orioles lineup is batting a combined .340 over 53 at bats versus Greinke. When the 39 year old right-hander runs out of gas, the Royals will turn to their 27th ranked bullpen with an ERA of 5.50. Kyle Gibson (4-0, ERA) might not have to be great today against a Royals team that is batting a combined .152 over 72 at bats against him. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -180 | 117-112 | Loss | -180 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Warriors are riding high after Steph scored 50 in Game 7 in Sacramento. They won two of three home games in the series, and they were 33-8 at home during the regular season. The Lakers lost two of three in Memphis, and the Grizzlies won Game 2 without Ja Morant. The crowd is going to be all fired up at the Chase Center, and the Lakers might struggle early in Game 1. The Lakers trailed at halftime in all three road games in the first round. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-23 | Diamondbacks -133 v. Rangers | 4-6 | Loss | -133 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs are still in first place in the NL West, and they look good with their ace on the mound in Game 1 in Texas. Zac Gallen is working on another scoreless inning streak. Remember last year he went 44 1/3 scoreless innings over a six game stretch. He comes into Texas riding a 28 inning scoreless streak, striking out 41 batters in his last four starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has allowed seven runs on 10 hits and seven walks in 11 1/3 innings while losing his last two starts. The Rangers are 1-5 in their last six versus the National League. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYK. So the Knicks face a must win game at home in Game 2 at the Garden, and the status of Jimmy Butler is up in the air. The line would indicate that he's not expected to play, but even if he comes in and plays hurt, it's unlikely to benefit an already shorthanded Heat team. Butler has carried the Heat in the absence of Tyler Hero and Victor Oladipo. The Heat should probably wave the white flag here, let Butler rest up and make his return in Game 3 at home with the series tied 1-1. I'll take the Knickerbockers to win by double digits here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -175 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. I had the Nuggets in Game 1, and here is what I said prior to the game: "So the injury to Kawhi allowed the Suns to escape from the first round unscathed, but lets not forget that they got exposed in Game 1. This team has no depth, and Durant and Chris Paul are injury prone vets on the downside of their careers. Denver finished first in the West, with a 34-7 home record. These teams split the season series and the home team won all four games. The Suns were just 17-24 on the road, and I expect them to struggle in Denver in Game 1 at altitude." Game 1 wasn't close, and I don't think it gets any better for the Suns here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-23 | Giants v. Astros -185 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Houston. Houston has won seven of their last 10 overall, and they now trail first place Texas by just two games in the AL West. They host San Francisco, who played last night in Mexico City and lost both games against the Padres in the series. San Francisco's bullpen ranks 28th in the majors in ERA by reliever (6.07), and they turn to Ross Stripling coming out of the bullpen tonight. Stripling is 0-1 with a 6.89 ERA, and his average start has lasted less than five innings. The Astros hand the ball to Luis Garcia, who has tossed 13 scoreless innings, striking out 16 batters in his last two starts. The Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games, and they are 3-8 in their last 11 versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. The best team in NHL regular season history faces a do or die Game 7 in the first round. Their starting goaltender has struggled, and I wouldn't be surprised if a change is made between the pipes. The road to the Stanley Cup often has bumps along the way, just ask the LA Kings who trailed 3-0 in a first round series versus Tampa Bay. The Kings went on to win the series and eventually the Lord Stanley's mug as well. The Calgary Flames went to overtime in a Game 7 against the Vancouver Canucks, and after surviving that scare they cruised the rest of the way to a Stanley Cup victory. Boston is bigger, stronger, faster... and the Panthers should be in over their heads here in this Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Reds -142 v. A's | 4-5 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CIN. The Reds might be three games under .500, but they come into Game 3 in Oakland as winners of five straight. The A's have lost five straight, they are 2-12 at home, and they rank dead last in the majors in team ERA, WHIP and BAA. Ken Waldichuk will toe the slab for Oakland, and he's the 5th starter on the worst staff in the majors. The Reds hand the ball to Nick Lodolo, their number two starter. This will be his second start on the road, and he tossed seven scoreless innings striking out a dozen in a win at Philly. The Athletics are 11-30 in their last 41 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So the first half total has gone under in five of six games, and now the bookmakers have made the adjustment. I don't think they have adjusted enough for a Game 7 though. There have been 15 Game 7s played in the NBA since 2018. The combined total fell short of 200 in 12 of those games. Only one of those 15 games went over the listed total for this game, when the Clippers beat the Mavericks 126-111 in 2021. We saw 109 points scored in the first half of Game 6, and I can't see them scoring more than that here in a Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool -185 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. The Spurs are struggling, and they have recently sacked their manager. Their defending has been shocking, conceding 11 goals in their last three matches. Liverpool is still one of the best in the Premier League on their home pitch, losing just once at Anfield this season. Their +26 goal differential at home is second to Manchester City. Liverpool is undefeated, with a record of 3-0-2 in their last five versus Tottenham. Expect Spurs to struggle here in this fixture. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAK. The home team has scored first in all five games in this series, and LA probably should have won both home games. They blew a 3-0 lead, losing in overtime in Game 4. Now they need to win tonight to force a Game 7, and they should have a puncher's chance. We have already seen overtime three times in this series, so don't be surprised to see another close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -135 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. So the injury to Kawhi allowed the Suns to escape from the first round unscathed, but lets not forget that they got exposed in Game 1. This team has no depth, and Durant and Chris Paul are injury prone vets on the downside of their careers. Denver finished first in the West, with a 34-7 home record. These teams split the season series and the home team won all four games. The Suns were just 17-24 on the road, and I expect them to struggle in Denver in Game 1 at altitude. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Giants v. Padres -167 | 11-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SD. The Padres haven't yet lived up to expectations, but Fernando Tatis is back and he's hot at the plate over the last week. Joe Musgrove is back in the rotation and his first start was encouraging. Musgrove will go in Game 1 of this home series versus San Francisco, and he was 2-0 with a 1.07 ERA in five starts versus the Giants last year. San Francisco will hand the ball to Sean Manaea, and he hasn't missed many bats so far this season. He's been torched for eight runs on nine hits over 8 1/3 innings in his last three appearances. San Diego is 7-1 in their last eight versus the Giants. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Pirates -148 v. Nationals | 16-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The Pirates have the best record in the NL, and they are a slight favorite in Game 2 versus a cellar dwelling Nats team. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for the Bucs, and he's coming in hot off three straight wins. He allowed just three runs and struck out 23 batters in 19 innings during that span. The Nats hand the ball to Chad Kuhl, and the former Pirate has struggled. He's walked a dozen batters in just 18 innings in his four appearances so far. The Nationals are 15-43 in their last 58 home games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the BLUE JAYS. The Mariners are struggling, and they come into Game 2 of this series in Toronto ranked 27th in the majors with a team batting average of .222. The pitching matchup surely favors the Blue Jays here. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's coming off a seven inning shutout win over the Yankees. He gave up three hits and struck out 11 batters in that game. The Mariners hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who has struggled mightily. He's been lit up for 18 runs on 25 hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Vladdy Jr is 4-for-6 lifetime versus Flexen, and the Jays are 42-16 in their last 58 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -190 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on LAL. I had the Lakers in Game 4, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record." On top of everything else, expect the Lakers to get favorable treatment from the officials here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Bruins -169 v. Panthers | 5-7 | Loss | -169 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. So I called for Boston to win this series in five games, and obviously that didn't happen. If you think I am going to backtrack, pivot and reverse course.... THINK AGAIN! I am gonna double down: "Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers." Sergei Bobrovsky replaced Lyons in goal, and he gave up five goals on 25 shots in Game 4 in Florida. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-23 | Rays v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 14-5 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rays rank #1 in the majors in runs scored, team batting average, slugging and on base percentage. They come into Chicago off back to back shutouts, and their struggles at the plate could continue against a red hot pitcher. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five starts. The Rays counter with their ace, and Shane McClanahan is 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA. McClanahan allowed a pair of runs on three hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a win over Chicago in his last start. Cease was on the losing side of that game, but he was 1-0 with 0.87 ERA in two starts versus Tampa last year. Chicago has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the Rays have gone under in each of McClanahan's last four starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-23 | Newcastle United -130 v. Everton | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. The Magpies sit 3rd in the Premier League table, tied on points with Manchester United. They have to keep winning games down the stretch if they want to secure a spot in the Champions League next season. They face an Everton squad that sits in the relegation zone, and certainly you have to consider this a "must win" game for the Toffees. The thing is, you don't find yourself in the relegation zone unless you consistently lose the games you should have won. Newcastle has won four of the last five versus Everton, and they have the 3rd best away record in the Premier League. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -165 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on on MEM. The Grizzlies face elimination in Game 5 at home, and I expect them to respond after losing back to back games in LA. Memphis was an NBA best 35-6 at home during the regular season. The Lakers are in a good spot, and they will come into Game 5 knowing that even if they lose they go back home with a chance to to close out the series in Game 6. The Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies had a 30-19 lead at the end of the first quarter in the last game in Memphis. Expect a fast start for the home team as they look to avoid elimination. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -225 | 4-3 | Loss | -225 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS (Regulation). I called for a gentlemen's sweep prior to Game 3, and here is what I had to say: "Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers." The prophecy comes to fruition here in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Cavs face elimination in Game 5, and we should expect them to out swinging early here on their home court. The Cavs were 32-11 at home during the regular season, and they were the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking #1 in opponent scoring average. Donovan Mitchell is coming off a terrible Game 4 in New York, but we expect him to bounce back here at home. He averaged 31.8 points per game in four regular season games against the Knicks, and he scored 38 points in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Royals got a rare win in Arizona last night, but I look for them to get back to their losing ways as they face the D'Backs ace in a matinee in the desert on Wednesday. Zac Gallen is working on another scoreless inning streak. Last year he went 44.5 innings without allowing a run, and he comes into today's game off 20 2/3 scoreless innings. He's racked up 29 strikeouts during that span. The Royals hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who is winless on the season. He's allowed six runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings in his last two appearances. He's 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA overall in seven appearances. The Royals rank 27th in the majors in runs scored, and 28th in team batting average (.222). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” With Minnesota facing elimination once again, don't be surprised if Game 5 in Denver looks a lot like Game 4 in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -155 | 8-6 | Loss | -155 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Orioles. Baltimore might be the hottest team in the majors, coming into Game 2 of this home series versus Boston as winners of seven straight. They have a favorable matchup on the mound here, so we expect them to take full advantage. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the Sox, and Kluber has been clobbered so far this season. He allowed seven runs on six hits and a pair of walks in just five innings in a loss to Minnesota his last time out. He's lost all four of his starts, and he really looks like the next great pitcher to have lost their battle with father time. Just as Dallas Keuchel and Madison Bumgarner have over the last year. The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Bradish, who has yet to allow a run. The 26 year old has picked up right where he left off in the second half of last season. Anthony Santander is 8-for-19 (.421) with five RBIs lifetime versus Kluber. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAL. Here is what I said before Game 3: "The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record." The Grizzlies simply have no answers for AD, and I expect them to go back to Memphis trailing 3-1 in the series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets -102 | 4-2 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Jets. I had the Jets in Game 3, and it was a bit of a disaster as they went down 2-0 early in the 1st period. They were the better team from that point on, but ended up coming up short in overtime. Here is what I said before Game 2: "The Jets didn't just win Game 1 of this series, they dominated. They held the Golden Knights to just 17 shots on goal. Vegas will be a big favorite in Game 2, but I don't expect it to be easy for the Knights moving forward. Connor Hellebuyck was 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts of the regular season, and he is a proven playoff performer. He's started 36 playoff games, and his record of 17-19 with a 2.42 GAA is solid, but what really stands out is his .921 save percentage. The Jets are 6-3 SU, and 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings" I like the Jets to get the win and send this series back to Sin City tied at 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYR. I had the Rangers in Game 1 of this series, and I said this before the puck dropped: "The Devils come in as the #3 seed with 112 points in the regular season, and they host the #5 seed New York Rangers who finished the regular season with 107 points. Both these teams had more wins on the road than they did at home this season. so you have to wonder how important home ice advantage will be in this series. The Devils won the regular season series 3-1, and three of those four games were decided by one goal. The Rangers made a splash at the trade deadline acquiring 3 x Stanley Cup champions and Conn Smythe winner Patrick Kane. The Rangers have a superior power play, and Igor Shesterkin was statistically better than Vitek Vanecek during the season. I'll take the underdog in Game 1 and for the series." Heading into Game 4 the Rangers have already chased Vitek Vanecek from the net, and the Devils have turned to 22 year old rookie Akira Schmid. I expect New York to take a stranglehold on the series with a win in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays -160 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Blue Jays have only played six games at home, compared to 16 games on the road. They open a home series versus Chicago on Monday, and this looks like a favorable matchup for the home side. Chris Bassitt will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's coming off three consecutive quality starts. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and fanning five in a win over Houston in his last start. The Sox hand the ball to Lance Lynn, who is really looking past his prime. The 35 year old is winless in four starts, and his WHIP of 1.83 looks particularly ugly. The Blue Jays are 22-8 in their last 30 during Game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |