Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-26-20 | New York v. Toronto FC +130 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto FC. New York City appeared to be on their way home, but some extraordinary circumstances helped them become the last team to qualify for the knockout round. While their departure may have been delayed, friends and family should rest easy. They should be back in New York soon enough. Toronto has scored an Eastern Conference best nine goals, and they are still undefeated. New York City has scored just one goal in their last five matches, in their only win which came against expansion team Miami. Toronto is 3-0-1 since 2018. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oakland +1.5. The A's have split the first two games of this season versus LA, and they look good as an underdog in the rubber match. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for LA, and he's listed as the team's ace. He has battled injuries since arriving in LA, so I expect him to be on a short leash. The A's hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who is coming off a solid 2019 campaign. He was 9-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 17 home starts, and 3-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts versus LA. The Angels have lost eight of their last 10 versus Oakland. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -119 | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SD Padres. The Padres have had their way with Arizona so far in this series, and I expect more of the same Sunday. Garrett Richards will for for the Friars, and he's been great against Arizona. He's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career starts versus the D'Backs. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Gallen, who split last season between the Marlins and Arizona. He has proven to be tough to hit, but control problems have plagued the youngster. If he puts men on base, this Padres lineup will surely punish him. Arizona was one of the worst teams in the Cactus League, and we see they continue to struggle as the season has started. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Brewers +1.5 v. Cubs | 1-9 | Loss | -185 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee +1.5. The Brewers and the Cubs have split the first two game of this series, and I like Milwaukee as an underdog in the rubber match. Freddy Peralta will toe the slab for Milwaukee in Game 3, and he had himself an outstanding spring. The 24 year old did face the Cubs in a 4-3 win in March, tossing three scoreless innings. The Cubs hand the ball to Tyler Chatwood, who has great numbers at home in Chicago. Chatwood also pitched well against the Brewers last year. The under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Chicago, and I am expecting another close game here on Sunday. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals -151 | 5-1 | Loss | -151 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on St. Louis. The Cardinals have crushed the Pirates in this home series, and they look to break out the brooms on Sunday. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Bucs, and the 24 year old appears to be the future ace in Pittsburgh. He was scheduled to start on Saturday, but was pushed back. He's likely going to be on a pitch count, and an innings limit. The Cardinals hand the ball to Dakota Hudson, and he's owned the Pirates. He was 9-2 with a 2.97 ERA in 17 home starts in 2019, and 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA in four appearances versus Pittsburgh. The Pirates were by far the worst team in spring training (3-18 with a run differential of -48). Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -159 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Houston -1.5. The Astros have roughed up Seattle in this series in Houston, and expect more of the same Sunday. Yusei Kickuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's got his work cut out for him. He was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA against Houston last year. The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who is still one of the best in the business. He only faced Seattle once in 2019, but he tossed 8 1/3 scoreless innings in a win. The Astros are 20-1 in their last 21 versus Seattle and 12-0 in their last 12 home games against the Mariners. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami +1.5. The Marlins have split the first two games of this series in Philadelphia, and they will be an underdog in the rubber match. Jose Urena will toe the slab for the Fish in Game 3, and he is coming off a solid outing in summer warmup games. He tossed three scoreless innings against Atlanta last week. Urena didn't have a great season in 2019, but he did pitch well against Philly. He logged a 1.80 ERA in three appearances versus the Phillies. Vince Velasquez will go for the home side, and he's the team's 5th starter. He was 0-1 with a 7.06 ERA in five starts against the Marlins last year. Miami was 13-7 with a +18 run differential in Grapefruit League this spring. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | AFC Bournemouth v. Everton OVER 3 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Bournemouth comes into the final day of the Premier League season needing a victory to give themselves a chance to avoid relegation. While their fate is not in their own hands, they can take some comfort in the fact that Watford and Aston Villa will be playing tough matches. Given that a draw simply will not do for Bournemouth, expect them to be on attack for a full 90 minutes. This should result in a wide open game with plenty of scoring chances. Four of the last five meetings between these two clubs have resulted in three or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Darren Till v. Robert Whittaker UNDER 4.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 89 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under 4.5. Darren Till has only fought five full rounds once in his career, when he defeated Wonderboy by decision. He's fighting a much bigger, much harder hitting Robert Whittaker here tonight. His last fight was a win by decision over Kelvin Gatselum, but he had previously lost to Jorge Masvidal and Tyronne Woodley, both of those fights ending in the secondf round. Till should know his best chance to win this fight is to finish Whittaker early, and he has a reputation as a finisher. He has 21 career fights, and only seven of those contests went the distance. Whittaker has 26 career fights, and 18 of those were decided before the final bell. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Angels +1.5 v. A's | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAA +1.5. The Halos forced extra innings in Game 1, and I expect another close game here on Saturday. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for LA, and he was 3-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four starts this spring. He's gotta feel like he won the lottery getting out of Baltimore. The A's hand the ball to Sean Manea, who only made four starts in 2019. He was 0-2 with an ERA north of 10.00 in spring and summer. The Angels have won four in a row versus left handed starters. Take LAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 1-7 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami +1.5. After a solid spring, the Marlins won their season opener on the road at Philly. Caleb Smith will toe the slab for the Fish in Game 2, and the Marlins will once again be an underdog. Smith pitched well against Philly last year, going 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA. The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler, who's last major league start was a loss to the Marlins last September. Miami has won three of the last five, and six of their last 10 versus Philly. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | 1-4 | Loss | -144 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto +1.5. The Blue Jays had a solid spring, and they won at Tampa on Opening Day. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for Toronto in Game 2, and he's coming off a very impressive spring. The Rays hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who is listed as the team's 4th starter. He has good numbers against the Jays, but he may only be used as an opener. The Jays are going for a fourth straight win against Tampa. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-24-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -125 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 33 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SD. |
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07-24-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals -190 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Louis. |
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07-24-20 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 10-5 | Loss | -119 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@CHI to go Under. |
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07-23-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Chicago Fire -175 | 2-0 | Loss | -175 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Fire. The Vancouver Whitecaps aren't officially eliminated from the MLS is Back Tournament, but their chances of making up a goal differential to advance are nearly zero. The Whitecaps lost 4-3 to Kansas City, and 3-0 to Seattle. A poor showing here should be expected for a team that finished last in the Western Conference last year with a goal differential of -22. Chicago opened the tournament with a 2-1 win over the same Seattle team that crushed these Whitecaps. There have been plenty of complaints about the bubble life in Orlando, and for a team on the brink of elimination, a trip home might not be a bad result. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-22-20 | Kansas City v. Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Real Salt Lake. Salt Lake hasn't conceded a goal yet at this tournament, and that really should come as no surprise. Last year LAFC was the only team in MLS to concede fewer goals that Real Salt Lake. A draw would ensure that both these teams advance, so we could see that influence the pace here in this game. It's also worth pointing out that scoreless draws have been somewhat of a trend in the early fixtures, and scoring average in the early matches is far lower than in the evening games. I like the under, and I like Salt Lake to earn at least a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-22-20 | Kansas City v. Real Salt Lake UNDER 3 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 3. Salt Lake hasn't conceded a goal yet at this tournament, and that really should come as no surprise. Last year LAFC was the only team in MLS to concede fewer goals that Real Salt Lake. A draw would ensure that both these teams advance, so we could see that influence the pace here in this game. It's also worth pointing out that scoreless draws have been somewhat of a trend in the early fixtures, and scoring average in the early matches is far lower than in the evening games. I like the under, and I like Salt Lake to earn at least a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-20 | DC United v. Montreal OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Montreal Impact will need a win in their final match of the group stages versus DC United, and we should see both teams playing full speed here today. Montreal has been pretty poor defensively under first year head coach Thierry Henry, conceding four goals in a loss to Toronto in their last match. DC United has played to a draw in each of their first two matches, scoring three goals in the process. I expect this game to be a high scoring affair between two teams that really need a result. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-20 | New England v. Toronto FC OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Toronto has had no trouble scoring goals in this tournament so far, with a pair of first half goals in their opening match versus DC United, and then four more in their second match versus Montreal. The problem has been their defense, as they have also conceded five goals in those two matches. They blew a 2-0 lead in the final six minutes against a DC United squad that was down to 10 men. This match versus the New England Revolution may be their most difficult to date, and I expect to see both teams score here. The last time these teams faced off, the result was a 1-1 draw. The previous four meetings all saw three or more goals combined. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-20 | Crystal Palace v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -196 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wolverhampton. While everyone is talking about Manchester United and Chelsea moving up the table, Wolverhamton has quietly been one of the hottest teams in the Premier League. A win here against Crystal Palace could put them level on points with sixth place Tottenham. Palace has nothing really to gain here, already safe from relegation and nowhere to move up to. Palace has failed to score in four of their last five matches, and they lost every one of those games. Another loss seems likely for Palace. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Seattle Sounders FC -154 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 62 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Sounders. The Sounders really need a win here if they want to advance to the round of 16. If Chicago can beat San Jose earlier in the day, that will give Seattle a chance to move on. If the Earthquakes earn points in their match versus Chicago, the Sounders situation really becomes desperate. Vancouver failed to impress in their opening match, jumping out to a 3-1 lead before losing 4-3 to San Jose. The Whitecaps finished dead last in the Western Conference in 2019, with a goal differential of -22. This Vancouver team really struggles defensively, and that's likely going to lead to another loss here in this tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-20 | Chelsea v. Manchester United | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -137 | 52 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Manchester United. The hottest team in England right now is Manchester United. The come into Sunday's FA Cup Semi Final versus Chelsea undefeated in their last 19 matches in all competitions. They have had Chelsea's number winning four of the last five meetings, with one draw. Chelsea has also been moving up the table since the restart, but they have looked awfully sloppy at times. They have lost twice in their last five matches, falling 3-0 to Sheffield United, and 3-2 to West Ham. While Chelsea has a one point lead in the Premier League standings, the goal differential tells a different story. Manchester United is +28 compared to Chelsea's +15. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-18-20 | LA Galaxy v. Los Angeles FC OVER 3 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 105 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. LAFC opened the tournament with a 3-3 draw versus Houston, while the Galaxy lost 2-1 to Portland. We have seen this rivalry yield it's fair share of high scoring games, and I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this game. Last year this series saw both teams going 1-1-1 in three meetings, all of those matches saw at least five goals. LAFC scored a total of 85 goals in 2019, that's 22 more than the second highest scoring team in the MLS that season. This should be the most entertaining game of the tournament so far. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-18-20 | Joseph Benavidez v. Deiveson Figueiredo -200 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 104 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Figueiredo. It was just a few months ago that Figueiredo knocked out Benavidez, and I see no reason why the rematch is going to be any different. The 32 year old Brazilian is 18-1, and has never been knocked out. Of his 19 professional fights he has finished his opponent in 15 of those fights. Benavidez is a tough customer, but he's 0-4 in title bouts. We should see another highly entertaining battle, but Benavidez is likely to come up short once again. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-16-20 | FC Cincinnati v. Atlanta United -200 | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 100 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta United. I bet against Cincinnati in their opening game of the tournament, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Crew were off to a solid start before the league was paused, and they finished the 2019 season 14 points higher in the standings than the expansion team Cincinnati. This might be an improved Cincinnati team from last season, but they did start the season with a pair of losses before play was stopped. It's tough to imagine that Cincinnati's players believe they can win this tournament, so we aren't expecting them to be the most motivated side we see in Orlando." They went on to lose 4-0 to Columbus, and that should take all the wind out of their sails heading into this match versus Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-16-20 | Dan Ige v. Calvin Kattar OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Dan Ige will be the underdog in this fight, but he's not going to be an easy out. He boasts a 14-2 record, and both of his losses have come by decision. He comes in riding a six fight winning streak, and four of his last five fights have ended in a decision. Kattar has knocked out a lot of guys, but the fact is that nine of his last 13 fights have gone the distance. Neither fighter has been knocked out, so I expect this to be a competitive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-13-20 | Real Madrid -200 v. Granada | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Real Madrid. Madrid and Barcelona continue to battle it out at the top of La Liga, and every point from here on out is crucial. Madrid has been on top form of late, and the opening line here was just too good to pass up for a small wager on a 2-1 favorite, when it should be priced higher. That is evidenced by money continuing to come in on Madrid. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-12-20 | Leicester -137 v. AFC Bournemouth | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -137 | 103 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Leicester. AFC Bournemouth is facing relegation, so you would think they would have plenty of motivation. That would be true in most circumstances, but with the return to play during a global pandemic, not everyone is putting top priority on football. Given that they have just four matches remaining all against challenging opponents, their chances of avoiding relegation appear to be slim to none. They are winless in their last nine matches, and the only reason they salvaged a draw against Spurs the other day was due to a poor call from VAR. Harry Kane should have had a penalty in the first half, but for some reason VAR controversially ruled no penalty. Leicester is now just one point ahead of Manchester United for the final Champions League spot, so this is a must win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-12-20 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arsenal. Tottenham is a complete mess at the moment, winning just twice in their last 11 matches in all competitions. During that span they have played to a draw four times, and they have scored more than one goal just four times. They host Arsenal, who come in unbeaten in their last five matches. The Gunners have conceded just two goals during in those games. These teams have played to a draw in each of the last two meetings, so the underdog looks like a solid play here in a stadium without fans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-20 | Jose Aldo v. Petr Yan -220 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 466 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Peter Yan. This looks like just another fight for Jose Aldo to grab a paycheck. At the age of 33, he's nowhere near the fighter he used to be. He's coming off consecutive losses, both by decision. Petr Yan comes in with a 6-0 record in the UFC, and he's won nine straight pro fights. His most recent fight was a KO win over Urijah Faber. I'll take the younger fighter here as this appears to be a set up for bigger fights to come for Yan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-20 | Columbus -106 v. FC Cincinnati | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Columbus Crew. The Crew come into this tournament widely considered to be a solid dark horse to win outright. The Crew were off to a solid start before the league was paused, and they finished the 2019 season 14 points higher in the standings than the expansion team Cincinnati. This might be an improved Cincinnati team from last season, but they did start the season with a pair of losses before play was stopped. It's tough to imagine that Cincinnati's players believe they can win this tournament, so we aren't expecting them to be the most motivated side we see in Orlando. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-20 | New York v. Atlanta United UNDER 3 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 3.5. So far in the MLS is back tournament we have yet to see any of the early matches go over the total. Without any exhibition matches prior to the tournament, these players still aren't in game shape. The result has been a scoreless draw, a pair of 1-0 games and a 2-1 win for Orlando when Nani scored the winner in the seventh minute of added time. Atlanta lost prolific goal scorer Joseph Martinez in their first match of the season, and they haven't gone over in any of their last five matches. Four of the last five time these teams have faced each other, one of the two teams failed to score. Two of the last three meetings finished with a score of 1-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-20 | Atalanta v. Juventus OVER 3 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The hottest team in Italy right now isn't Juventus, or Lazio, or Inter Milan. No it's Atalanta that has won 11 in a row. They also lead the Serie A with 85 goals scored and a goal differential of +46. Juventus is comfortably in first place in Serie A, despite losing 4-2 to AC Milan in their last match. They defeated Atalanta by a score of 3-1 in the most recent meeting, and three of the last four meetings have seen 3+ goals combined. This one smells like a 2-2 draw to me. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-20 | Newcastle United v. Watford OVER 2.25 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. |
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07-09-20 | New England v. Montreal OVER 2.75 | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Montreal defeated New England 2-1 early on in the MLS season, and the Revolution look to execute revenge for that loss here in their opening game of the MLS is Back Tournament. There is plenty of firepower on each of these teams, and neither side is known to play strong defensively. They each finished with a negative goal differential in their last full MLS season. Montreal conceded 60 goals in 34 matches in 2019, while New England conceded 57. Montreal has gone over the total in four of their last five matches overall, and we should expect to see 3+ goals scored in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-20 | Sampdoria v. Atalanta -1.25 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atalanta. The hottest team in Italy right now isn't Juventus, or Lazio, or Inter Milan. No it's Atalanta that has won 10 in a row. They also lead the Serie A with 83 goals scored and a goal differential of +44. They host Sampdoria on Wednesday, who have a goal differential of -15. Sampdoria is particularly bad away from home, with an away record of 49-1 with a -11 goal differential. This has all the signs of another blowout win for Atalanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-20 | Lazio -1.25 v. Lecce | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Lazio. Coming off a loss to AC Milan, Lazio needs to get back on track in order to salvage any hope of catching first place Juventus. They couldn't have asked for a better opponent, as Lecce has conceded a Serie A worst 70 goals. Immobile and Caicedo did not play on the loss to AC Milan, but they are back with fresh legs for this match. We should expect Lazio to win comfortably. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-20 | Norwich City v. Watford -146 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 59 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Watford. Norwich City will be relegated, there is little doubt about that. The question is who will be joining them. At the bottom of the table you have Bournemouth, Aston Villa and Watford separated by a single point. Watford is winless in their last five matches, with their last win coming by a score of 3-0 over Liverpool. They come into this match needing a win, and their opponent isn't likely to provide much resistance. Norwich has been held scoreless in five of their last six matches, and they have scored the fewest goals in the league this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-20 | Everton v. Tottenham Hotspur +117 | 0-1 | Win | 117 | 37 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs are coming off a terrible 3-1 loss to Sheffield United. Harry Kane scored a pair of goals in the loss, yet one was erroneously called back by VAR. Everton on the other hand is coming off a 2-1 win over Leicester, in a match where they were awarded a controversial penalty early in the first half. We should expect a spirited effort from Tottenham in this match, and with all their stars back from injury, it's only a matter of time before things start to click. Everton is 0-3-2 in their last five matches versus Spurs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-05-20 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 81 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. West Ham is coming off a shocking 3-2 win over Chelsea, putting them three points clear of relegation. Newcastle is also coming off a favorable result, beating Bournemouth by a score of 4-1. We can expect plenty of chances in a match featuring two teams that aren't known for their defending. Newcastle won the last meeting between these teams by a score of 3-2, and I expect a similar score here on Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | AC Milan v. Lazio | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 64 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Lazio. The title race is still on in Serie A, with just four points seperating Lazio and Juventus. Lazio needs a win here against AC Milan in order to keep the pressure on Juventus. Lazio has yet to lose at home, with a record of 12-0-3 in 15 matches. They have the second best goal differential in the Serie A (+38) while Milan has conceded one more goal than they have scored. This is a match where I would be wary of a draw, but I can't see Lazio losing here against Milan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Bayern Munich -1.5 v. Bayer Leverkusen | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 62 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich isn't just the best team in Germany, in my opinion they are the best team in Europe. They have won 16 straight matches in all competitions, and 10 of those wins came by 2+ goals. Bayern Leverkusen was disappointing when the Bundesliga returned, They won three of six matches, but a 2-0 loss to Hertha Berlin in their second to last match ensured they would miss out on the Champions League next season. I don't expect that Munich will have any trouble with Leverkusen in the German Cup Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Arsenal +0.5 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 60 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arsenal +0.5. Wolverhampton is having a hell of a season, but seeing them listed as favorites against Arsenal makes me think there is a little recency bias at play. Technically a home game for Wolves, but without fans that might not be very significant. These teams have a history of playing close games, with three of the last five head to head meetings ending with a final score of 1-1. Arsenal has won three straight, posting a pair of clean sheets. I like their chances of earning a point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Crystal Palace v. Leicester -137 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 58 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester City. So far Leicester has been unable to capture the magic they seemed to have before play was suspended in March. They are now in a dogfight for a Champions League spot, and desperately in need of a win here versus Crystal Palace. Leicester has scored more than twice as many goals (60) as Palace (28). Leicester won their last match versus Palace by a score of 2-0, and I expect a similar result here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Norwich City UNDER 2.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 55 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 2.5. Norwich City appears to be facing imminent relegation, while Brighton looks safe from relegation at the moment. Neither of these two teams have scored a lot of goals this season. Norwich ranks dead last in goals scored with a total of 25 goals in 32 matches. Brighton has failed to score in four of her last five matches, including a pair of scoreless draws. Norwich has also failed to score in four of their last five matches. One goal might be enough to win this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-20 | Napoli v. Atalanta OVER 2.75 | 0-2 | Loss | -117 | 95 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Atalanta will host Napoli on Thursday, and both these teams come in firing on all cylinders. Atalanta has won eight straight matches, and they lead the Serie A with 80 goals in just 28 matches. Napoli comes in as winners of four of five, and they are also quite capable of scoring goals. The most recent meeting between these teams was a 2-2 draw, and four of the last five meetings have seen at least three goals. Atalanta has been a good bet to go over, with at least three goals scored in each of their last 11 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-20 | Leicester v. Everton | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester +0.5. After struggling in three matches since the restart, we find Leicester as underdogs in this match at Everton. Leicester has just two draws and a loss since the return to play, and they need to right the ship if they want to hold down a spot in the Champions League next season. They have been quite successful in recent matches versus Everton, with a record of 2-0-1 in three meetings in 2019. Everton has only scored twice in four matches since the return to play, and they have scored 21 fewer than Leicester this season. The Toffees are in no mans land in the Premier League table, with nothing to lose and not much to gain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-20 | Luton Town v. Leeds United -1.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Leeds United -1.25. Leeds United is coming off a 3-0 win over Fulham, putting them top of the table. Next up are bottom feeders Luton Town, who come in with the worst goal differential in the League Championship. Leeds has won six of their last seven matches, and they posted a clean sheet in all six of those victories. This appears to be a mismatch of epic proportions, and we should expect Leeds to win by 2+ goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-20 | Real Madrid -201 v. RCD Espanyol | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Real Madrid. The fix is in? That's what Spanish football fans are saying after a string of controversial calls that have gone in favor of Real Madrid in recent matches. Madrid now sits top of the table, tied on points with rivals Barcelona. That makes this match against Espanyol a must win, and anything less than maximum points will open the door for the Catalans. Espanyol sits dead last in La Liga, and has lost four of their last five versus Real Madrid. They failed to score in three of those four losses, and they have failed to score in three of their last five matches overall. Only Leganes has scored fewer than the 26 goals that Espanyol has tallied in La Liga this season. Even Leganes has a better goal differential than the -24 mark of Espanyol. This should be an easy win for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-20 | Atalanta -1 v. Udinese | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 51 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atalanta. We get plus money taking Atlanta on the Asian handicap line (-1.25), and this match looks rather one-sided. Atalanta has the best goal differential in Series A, after just 27 matches they are +40. They come in as winners of five straight, while Udinese is winless in it's last five. They have scored just twice during that span, and Udinese has scored a Series A low 21 goals in 27 matches. Atlanta has won four straight against Udinese, and all four of those matches were decided by two or more goals. This appears to be a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-20 | Fiorentina v. Lazio -169 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 80 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Lazio After going up 2-0 early against Atalanta, Lazio went on to lose by a score of 3-2 in their last match. Atalanta might be the only team in the Series A capable of such a stunning comeback, and the result was a major setback for Lazio's title hopes. They enter today's match sitting seven points back of first place Juventus, and that makes this a must win. Lazio is 4-0-1 in it's last five matches versus Fiorentina, and the underdogs don't have much to play for. Safe from relegation, Fiorentina might just throw in the towel against a highly motivated opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers -119 v. Aston Villa | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 52 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wolves. I had Wolves in their win over Bournemouth, and here is what I said prior to the match: "Both these teams picked up right where they left off in their first game back in the Premier League. Wolverhampton won 2-0 over West Ham, putting tham that much closer to a Champions League spot, and Bournemouth lost by the same score to Crystal Palace. Bournemouth is winless in it's last five Premier League matches, putting them at risk of relegation. Wolverhampton sits tied on points with 5th place Manchester United, so I expect them to be the far more motivated side today. Injuries to several key plays could also take their toll on Bouremouth." Aston Villa is ranked dead last in the Premier League with 59 goals against in 31 matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -170 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wolves. Both these teams picked up right where they left off in their first game back in the Premier League. Wolverhampton won 2-0 over West Ham, putting tham that much closer to a Champions League spot, and Bournemouth lost by the same score to Crystal Palace. Bournemouth is winless in it's last five Premier League matches, putting them at risk of relegation. Wolverhampton sits tied on points with 5th place Manchester United, so I expect them to be the far more motivated side today. Injuries to several key plays could also take their toll on Bouremouth. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-20 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -140 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tottenham Spurs. A 1-1 draw versus Manchester United puts Tottenham a step closer to clinching a Champions League spot. They are now just four points back of Manchester United who sit in the fifth spot in the Premier League table, with plenty of football yet to be played. West Ham is facing a very different battle, trying to avoid relegation. They didn't do themselves any favors losing 2-0 to Wolverhampton in their first game since the restart. The Spurs have won three of the last four matches versus West Ham, and they look like a solid bet here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-20 | Burnley +2.5 v. Manchester City | 0-5 | Loss | -117 | 40 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Burnley +2.5. Manchester City is coming off a 3-0 win over Arsenal in their first game since the restart, but the final score in that game was a little misleading. City scored just before halftime, and then an early red card in the second half changed the game. Pep says that moving forward he will look to rest players, as there is nothing left for his club to achieve in the league this season. Burnley still has plenty to play for, but won't have two of their best players (Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes). Jay Rodriguez will likely start, and he's found the net five times in a dozen starts this season. Burnley comes in undefeated in their last five matches, and I like them to compete against City in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-20 | Liverpool -141 v. Everton | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 336 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Liverpool. Liverpool should be more motivated to return to play than most teams, and a win over Everton in the Merseyside Derby will put them that much closer to a championship. They have had the edge in recent meetings versus Everton, winning three of the last four. Everton has far less reason to be excited about the return to play, with nothing to really gain. Normally the home team would have a decided advantage in this derby match, but that's not really a factor without fans. "The fact that we play home without supporters is a disadvantage for us, it will be a disadvantage for Liverpool, this is for sure. "Nobody knows how the players are going to react without supporters. We will see," said Carlo Ancelloti. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | Alexander Volkov v. Curtis Blaydes UNDER 4.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -290 | 69 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Curtis Blaydes to win by KO,TKO, Sub or DQ. Blaydes is coming off a dominant performance against Junior Dos Santos, and he's won 10 of his 15 fights by KO. Four of his last five fights have ended by knockout, and if his showing against Dos Santos is any indication, this could be a quick finish against the journeyman Volkov. The Russian has a KO record of 20-2, so we don't expect this one to be decided by the judges. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | Marion Reneau v. Raquel Pennington -175 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Raquel Pennington. Pennington has lost three of her last four fights, but when you take a look at the opposition it says a lot. Among those three losses was a decision versus Holly Holm, and a fifth round KO loss to Amanda Nunes. She looks to get back on track tonight against a 43 year old fighter that has lost her last two fights. The 31 year old Pennington should be in far better shape than her opponent tonight, and I expect this to be a very one sided fight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | SC Freiburg +2.25 v. Bayern Munich | 1-3 | Win | 50 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Freiburg +2.5. Bayern Munich has very little to play for in this match, after clinching the Bundesliga title in a win over Werder Bremen mid week. They will surely rest players, and should be in cruise control. Freiburg has been playing well, with just one loss in their last five matches. Two of the last three times these teams have faced each other, the result has been a draw. Bayern is coming off three straight wins by just one goal, so asking them to win this match by three goals seems a little far fetched. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. Lokomotive Leipzig +123 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leipzig. Borrussia Dortmund is already assured a top four finish in the Bundesliga, which might explain their 2-0 loss to bottom feeders Mainz on Wednesday. They face an RB Leipzig team today that is still battling for a spot in the Champions League. Leipzig comes in undefeated in their last five matches, and they need two points here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | Leicester -0.25 v. Watford | 1-1 | Loss | -55 | 288 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester City. The return to play in the Premier League is not well received by everyone. Watford's leading scorer Troy Deeney has been very outspoken about his decision not to train with the team. He has very good reasons for his decision, with a young child who has health concerns. Watford may need all hands on deck if they are going to avoid relegation. Leicester City have a lot more motivation to return, as they look to secure a spot in the Champions League next year. Leicester has won three of their last four matches against Watford, and they should be in far better shape here for this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-20 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester United. This is a huge match for both teams, as they are both looking to secure a Champions League spot. Manchester United comes in undefeated in their last five matches, while Spurs come in winless in their last five matches. Granted that Tottenham was without several key players such as Harry Kane and Son Heung-Kim, who are now fit to play and are expected to start versus Manchester United. They might hit the ground running, but it is far more reasonable to expect it to take a few matches before they really start clicking again. Manchester United has won four of their last five versus Spurs, and I like their chances here in the first game back. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-20 | Real Sociedad -110 v. Deportivo Alaves | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on Real Sociedad. I bet on Real Sociedad in their first game back, and they did dominate time of possession in a disappointing 1-1 draw versus Osasuna. Here is what I said prior to the match: "The trend of top teams coming in more prepared than the bottom teams after a long layoff is expected to continue here on Sunday. Real Sociedad is sitting fourth in the table, with several teams on their heels. They need maximum points here against a Osasuna team that they have beaten in each of the last four head to head meetings." I expect a far better result here on Thursday against another bottom feeder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-20 | Arsenal +1.5 v. Manchester City | 0-3 | Loss | -107 | 322 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on Arsenal +1.5. It's been a disappointing season for Manchester City, and they really have nothing to gain in the Premier League when it returns. They are so far behind Liverpool, that they might as well just focus on the Champions League. Rumors have several star players leaving the team after this year, so they might not have a lot invested in these remaining games. Arsenal on the other hand has a chance to finish in the top five, and they come in as winners of four of their last five matches in all competitions, and are undefeated in their last five Premier League matches. Man City hasn't won any of it's last five games by more than one goal, and Arsenal hasn't lost any of it's last five games by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-20 | Sheffield United v. Aston Villa | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 82 h 33 m | Show | |
5* |
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06-14-20 | Osasuna v. Real Sociedad -134 | 1-1 | Loss | -134 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Real Sociedad. So far it's been a perfect start to La Liga, with a pair of winners on Sevilla and Barcelona by a combined score of 6-0. The trend of top teams coming in more prepared than the bottom teams after a long layoff is expected to continue here on Sunday. Real Sociedad is sitting fourth in the table, with several teams on their heels. They need maximum points here against a Osasuna team that they have beaten in each of the last four head to head meetings. Osasuna will also come into this match with several key players unavailable. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-20 | Barcelona FC -1.75 v. Mallorca | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Barcelona -1.5. The gap in talent between the bottom teams and the top teams in La Liga is as wide as it gets, and Mallorca is up against a monster when they face Barcelona in the first game back. Both Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez have been ruled fit to play on Saturday, and there is no shortage of firepower for the Spanish Giants. Barcelona has outscored Mallorca 10-2 in the last two head to head matches, and they have won the last five meetings by 2 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt v. Hertha Berlin +115 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 163 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hertha Berlin. Hertha Berlin was on a roll until they fell 1-0 to Borrussia Dortmund in their last match. They had been undefeated in their previous six matches, and they had scored 2+ goals in all six games. This Saturday they face a Frankfurt team coming off a 2-1 loss to Bayern Munich on Wednesday. Both these teams have been poor defensively, each allowing more than 50 goals in 30 matches. This figures to be a good spot for Hertha Berlin to get back on track, and I expect a convincing win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt v. Hertha Berlin OVER 3 | 4-1 | Win | 106 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Hertha Berlin was on a roll until they fell 1-0 to Borrussia Dortmund in their last match. They had been undefeated in their previous six matches, and they had scored 2+ goals in all six games. This Saturday they face a Frankfurt team coming off a 2-1 loss to Bayern Munich on Wednesday. Both these teams have been poor defensively, each allowing more than 50 goals in 30 matches. This figures to be a good spot for Hertha Berlin to get back on track, and I expect a convincing win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-20 | AC Milan v. Juventus -155 | 0-0 | Loss | -155 | 242 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Juventus. When football resumes we will see clearly which teams have taken training seriously over the last three months. I feel quite certain that top tier teams and elite players would be far less likely to pack on extra pounds, and party too hard during the lockdowns. Juventus is just one point ahead of Lazio in Series A, and Christiano Ronaldo is still the best player in the world. He's scored 21 goals in 22 matches in Italy so far this season. AC Milan returns from the break without their most dangerous scorer, after Zlatan Ibrahimovic suffered a serious injury in training. Juventus is 4-0-1 in the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-20 | Betis v. Sevilla -106 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 113 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Sevilla. Real Betis has a losing record, and a negative goal differential this season. They are not in any real danger of relegation, so I would expect them to be in cruise control when the league resumes. Sevilla on the other hand sits third in the table, with real aspirations moving forward. These teams met twice in 2019, with Sevilla winning both matches. Sevilla is just two points ahead of the sixth place team Atletico Madrid, and they will need all the points they can get if they hope to hang on to a Champions League spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-20 | Alex Caceres v. Chase Hooper -144 | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 156 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chase Hooper. We have the 20 year old undefeated fighter Chase Hooper matched up against a journeyman in his 30s, that is going nowhere. This fight looks like a setup to me, put together to get the up and coming star another victory. His last fight ended in the first round with a KO win over 32 year old veteran Daniel Teymur. Caceres has lost more fights than he's won over the last six years, and he's also lost seven times by submission. All of his wins in recent years have come against nobodies. I expect the 31 year old to show up to cash a paycheck, and take another L. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-20 | Hertha Berlin +1.5 v. Borussia Dortmund | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 109 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hertha Berlin +1.5. Dortmund is coming off a 6-1 win over the last place team in the Bundesliga, in a game that was scoreless at halftime. They are a massive favorite here this week against a Hertha Berlin side that is undefeated in their last five matches. Dortmund has lost twice in their last five matches, and they have not defeated Hertha Berlin by more than one goal in each of the last four head to head meetings. Two of the last four meetings ended in a draw. Hertha Berlin has scored two or more goal in each of their last five matches. I think it's asking too much of Dortmund to expect them to win this game by two or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-31-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. SC Paderborn 07 OVER 3 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 3. Borussia Dortmund has failed to impress in their last two matches, after winning their first game back by a score of 4-0 versus Schalke. Erling Haaland has been playing hurt, and he won't be available for tonight's match versus last place Paderborn. Inserting a healthy body in the lineup should pay dividends again one of the worst defensive teams in Germany. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, and Dortmund has scored 19 goals in the last four meetings. Paderborn doesn't score a lot of goals, but still have averaged more than one goal per match this season. GL, Jesse Schul |
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05-30-20 | Gilbert Burns v. Tyron Woodley OVER 4.5 | 5-0 | Win | 155 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 rounds. Woodley lost his last fight (vs Kamaru Usman) by decision, and he's gone five rounds in four of his last five fights. He has only been knocks out once in his career, back in 2012. His last three losses have all come by decision. Burns is another tough customer, with a record of 18-3. Two of his three losses came by decision. He comes in as a winner of his last five fights, and three of those fights went to a decision. This should be a good fight, and I would expect it will be decided in the later rounds, if not by the judges. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-20 | FC Augsburg v. Hertha Berlin OVER 2.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -125 | 69 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 goals. Hertha Berlin enters this match undefeated in their last five overall, and they have scored at least two goals in all five of those matches. FC Augsburg is 1-1-1 since the return of the league, and they are coming off a 0-0 draw versus the last place team in the Bundesliga. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with each of the last four head to head meetings going over the total. Poor defending is a problem for both teams. Both teams have conceded at least 50 goals in 28 matches this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-27-20 | Hertha Berlin v. Lokomotive Leipzig OVER 3 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 97 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on both teams to score. Hertha Berlin has scored seven goals in back to back wins since the return to action, but they will be a huge underdog against Leipzig. After a disappointing 1-1 draw in their first game back, Leipzig won 5-0 against Mainz in their last match. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, and we should expect plenty of goals here in this match. Hertha Berlin has scored 12 times in their last four matches, while Leipzig have scored nine times in their last three matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. SV Werder Bremen OVER 2.25 | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on over 2.25. Bremen has been miserable defending this season, only Mainz has conceded more goals than Bremen. Monchengladbach has scored more that their fair share, tallying 53 goals in 27 matches. Bremen has scored four goals in their last three matches, so a clean sheet for either of these teams seems rather unlikely. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-20 | Borussia Dortmund -129 v. VfL Wolfsburg | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 105 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Borussia Dortmund. I bet on Dortmund in there first game back, and they didn't disappoint in a 4-0 win over rivals Schalke. Here is what I said prior to the match: "This looks like a mismatch on paper, when you consider Dortmund has scored more than twice as many goals (68) as Schalke (33). While momentum seems to have been lost, it might be logical to expect a team competing for the top spot in the Bundesliga to have taken their fitness more seriously during the layoff. Without fans there won't be much of a home field advantage..." This week they face Wolfsburg, and they need maximum points to keep pace with first place Bayern Munich. Wolfsburg didn't look sharp in their first game back, playing to a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes, but scoring the match winner in injury time versus FC Augsburg. Wolfsburg is 0-4-1 in their last five matches versus Dortmund, and they haven't scored a single goal in any of those five contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-20 | Bayer Leverkusen -144 v. SV Werder Bremen | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Bayer Leverkusen. It's been a tough season for Werder Bremen, conceding a league worst 55 goals and sitting just one point ahead of last place SC Paderborn 07 (honeslty can't tell you anything about them). Bremen is 0-4-1 in their last five matches, and they host a Leverkusen side that is 4-0-1 in their last five matches. Home field isn't expected to have much significance without any fans in attendance, and as I have noted in recent days, the teams competing at the top of the table are expected to have taken their fitness more seriously during the long layoff. An additional week of training should also benefit Leverkusen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-20 | Bayern Munich -1.75 v. Union Berlin | 2-0 | Win | 50 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Bayern Munich. The Bundesliga returned on Saturday, and we saw that the biggest blowout on the board was a 4-0 Borussia Dortmund win over Schalke. Despite injury woes, I noted that teams competing for the top spot in the league will likely have taken their training more seriously during the break. Bayern averages three goal per game, and they won their last four matches by a combined score of 12-0. The home side won't have any fans to cheer them on, so I like Bayern to win this game by a wide margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-20 | Schalke 04 v. Borussia Dortmund -163 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 78 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Borussia Dortmund. The Revier Derby will feature second place Dortmund hosting a Schalke side that was winless in it's last seven matches. This looks like a mismatch on paper, when you consider Dortmund has scored more than twice as many goals (68) as Schalke (33). While momentum seems to have been lost, it might be logical to expect a team competing for the top spot in the Bundesliga to have taken their fitness more seriously during the layoff. Without fans there won't be much of a home field advantage, and Dortmund has mounting injury concerns. It looks like the bookmakers are pricing all these factors in, and perhaps over compensating. I don't expect much from Shalke here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | North Carolina -135 v. Syracuse | 53-81 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8 play on the Tar Heels. I had the Tar Heels versus Virginia Tech last nigtht, and here is what I said before that game: "North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC." The Tar Heels have won nine straight against Syracuse. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Vanderbilt +9.5 v. Arkansas | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points. Take Vanderbilt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Borussia Dortmund +0.75 v. Paris St Germain | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dortmund. Dortmund is making plenty of noise in Germany this year, sitting four points back of 1st place Bayern Munich. They have won five straight in all competitions, and they have perhaps the most exciting young player in the game. Erling Haaland has scored nine goals in just five starts. PSG will have to make up for a 2-1 aggregate deficit, while Dortmund will have the luxury of playing for a draw. Even if PSG takes a 1-0 lead, then they would have the luxury of playing it out and going for the win on away goals. PSG has exited the Champions League early in the past, and it might just be deja vu all over again. Take DORTMUND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Atletico Madrid +1 v. Liverpool | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atletico Madrid. Liverpool has really not been sharp lately, losing to Watford and Chelsea and just barely beating Bournemouth. They scored a grand total of just three goals in those games, and now they need to beat Madrid by two goals to advance in the Champions League. It's a tall order, and I just don't like their chances when their opponent knows it can sit back and defend. Take ATLETICO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies -127 | 120-115 | Loss | -127 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-10-20 | Predators -108 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nashville Predators. The Habs have played hard lately, but injuries have taken their toll. Despite their best efforts, they are due to miss the playoffs once again in 2020. The Predators still have a lot of work to do if they hope to reach the post-season, but they are on the right track. They are coming off back to back shutout wins over Dallas in a home and home series. The Habs have lost back to back games by a combined score of 8-1 in Florida versus the Panthers and the Lightning. Leading scorer Thomas Tatar didn't play in either of those games, and his status remains in question. It's all a little too little too late for Montreal. Take NAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -180 v. Virginia Tech | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Tar Heels. North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU -4 | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | Bucks v. Nuggets -190 | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. After the Lakers beat the Clippers last night at the Staples Center, they cemented themselves as a consensus favorite to win the NBA Championship. But did you know that Denver actually has a better home record than LA? In fact over the last five seasons, Denver has the best home record in the NBA. Tonight they host the Milwaukee Bucks without Giannis, and they should be ready to make a statement here. The Bucks have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Milwaukee is 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Denver. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | San Francisco +13 v. Gonzaga | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | Coyotes v. Jets -118 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Jets. I had the Jets in a recent home game against Buffalo and they came through for me. Here is what I said prior to their win over the Sabres: "The Buffalo Sabres will play their fourth game on this current road trip, looking to end a three game losing streak. It won't come easy in Winnipeg, where the Jets have won three straight. The Sabres are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Winnipeg, and they have lost six of their last seven versus Western Conference teams. This is a must win game for the Jets who are involved in a crowded race for the final playoff spot in the West. This is also a revenge game after losing 2-1 at Buffalo in the last head to head meeting. " A home game against Arizona in a similar spot, and I expect a similar result. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Raptors -5.5 v. Kings | 118-113 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Kings are coming off a double digit win at Portland last night, setting them up for a let down here at home in the second game of a back to back. The Raptors have won 19 of their last 23 games overall. Here is what I said about Toronto prior to their season opener: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." That looks like a pretty solid read right about now. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Elon v. William & Mary -4.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -135 | 112-103 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clippers. The Clippers have won both previous meetings, and they come into today's game looking far stronger than they have all season. They picked up Marcus Morriss, and Pat-Bev is back in the lineup. They are coming off a double digit win over Houston, holding James Harden to 16 points on 4-of-17 shooting. He was 0-for-8 from beyond the arc in the loss. The Lakers really need this game, but the Clippers are going to want it just as bad. I bet on the Clippers in the last two meetings, and I still think they are the better team. I expect Kawhi to be better than LeBron, and the Clippers to make it a 3-0 sweep. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Manchester City v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 0-2 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 2.5. The Manchester Derby should be a classic. City is coming off five straight wins while United has three wins an a pair of draws in their last five matches. Bruno Fernandez has really turned things around for the Red Devils, scoring in three of his four starts. Manchester United scored a dozen goals in those games. They will need all the goals they can get against a Manchester City club that leads the Premier League in scoring. The last Manchester Derby at Old Trafford saw City win by a score of 3-1, and I think we'll see a similar high score here this Sunday. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Pepperdine v. St. Mary's OVER 144.5 | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 144.5. Pepperdine is coming off an 84-73 win over Santa Clara, and I expect to see another high score here in Las Vegas when they play St. Mary's. The Gaels won 78-69 at Pepperdine earlier this season, the over is 19-7 in the Gaels last 26 overall. St. Mary's is coming off an 86-76 loss to Gonzaga, and the over is 6-1 in the Gaels last seven games following a straight up loss. The over is 5-1 in the Waves last six neutral site games, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 as an underdog. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-20 | Devils v. Rangers -183 | 6-4 | Loss | -183 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the New York Rangers. The Rangers are back in the hunt for a playoff spot after winning six of their last nine overall. They are two points back of the eighth place New York Islanders heading into Saturday's home game versus New Jersey. The Devils are coming off a home win over St. Louis on Friday, setting them up for a let down here in the second game of a back to back. They have lost four in a row at MSG, and the home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The Devils are 17-37 in their last 54 games following a win. Take NYR. GL, Jesse Schule |