Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-22 | Nets -145 v. Spurs | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BKN. Kyrie can only play in road games, and he's now played just five games this season. His most recent game was his best so far, scoring 30 points on 13-of-23 shooting in a 119-118 win at Washington. The Nets will be at San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs are just 9-13 at home. San Antonio is coming off a home win over Oklahoma City, but they have gone 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Former Spur Patty Mills has averaged over 17 points per game in his last four starts, and he could be primed for a strong performance against his former team. I like Brooklyn to get the win here even without KD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-22 | USC v. Colorado OVER 137 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478). Both teams should score their share of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Wolves v. Hawks -115 | 122-134 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ATL. The Timberwolves have won six of their last eight, and none of those wins were bigger than last night's thriller at MSG. Karl Anthony Towns (who grew up in New Jersey) had this to say after the game: "I told my dad everyone's going to get a chance to have their Madison Square Garden moment and I felt that was for me tonight. That was the biggest moment that I've had in MSG," Towns said. "Great crowd, great atmosphere, great energy and I got to silence everybody, so that makes it even better." Now they play on the back end of a back to back on the road at Atlanta, and this looks like a helluva let down spot for Minny. The Hawks are coming off a home win over Milwaukee, and they have covered in four straight versus Minnesota and they are 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Leicester City has scored 31 goals this season, which is eight more than Tottenham. They have also conceded 33 goals, which is 13 more than Spurs. These teams have each scored their share in recent head to head meetings. Spurs won the last meeting by a score of 4-2 at King Power Stadium last May, and four of the last five meetings have seen a total of three or more goals. Leicester has scored at least one goal in 10 straight matches, and I expect to see goals from both teams here at King Power on Wednesday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern OVER 138 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last game, a 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before the game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." Northwestern has scored an average of 75 points per game over their last five overall, and during that span they have allowed opponents to average almost 80 points per game. The Badgers have gone over in six straight overall, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have made the necessary adjustments. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -186 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 89 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR. The Cardinals come into the playoffs losing four of their last five regular season games, while the Rams won five of their final fsix games. LA stacked the roster, going "All In" for the Super Bowl. The addition of Odell Backham Jr. has paid dividends, the former Cleveland Brown has scored five TDs in eight games since joining the team. That's five more than he had in six games in Cleveland. The Cardinals are a bit banged up, with James Connor dealing with sore ribs and Chase Edmonds sitting out the season finale with a rib injury. The biggest loss is DeAndre Hopkins, who hasn't played since mid December. The Rams have home field, more weapons, and they played better football down the stretch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Blackhawks -104 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-3 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chicago. The Hawks have won four straight, keeping their playoff hopes alive. The Kraken on the other hand have lost nine straight, and trade rumors are buzzing about their veteran talent. The Kraken rank 31st in the NHL in goals against, while Chicago is riding a hot goalie. Marc Andre Fleury has won eight of his last 10 starts. This game appears to be a mismatch, but that isn't reflected in the betting line. I'll take the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2.5 | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Warriors have struggled without Draymond Green, losing four of their last five road games. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Memphis, and the Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Golden State is expected to be missing Steph Curry who is dealing with a sore hand, and fellow splash brother Klay Thomspon is still working his way into shape. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Minnesota. The Wolves are at full strength, and they have won four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on Under. The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl favorites at times, but they haven't been at their best lately. Don't be fooled by their big win over the Eagles, in a game that Philly rested all their starters. Perhaps a more accurate indicator would be their home loss to Arizona a week earlier. They host a San Francisco team that poses a similar challenge. The Niners are going to try to punch the Cowboys in the mouth. What that means is, they will look to run the ball and control the clock, keeping the ball out of the hands of Dak Prescott. The Niners have failed to reach the total in five of their last six playoff games. The under is 8-3 in the Cowboys last 11 games overall, and Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games. The total for this contest is higher than it had been in each of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | Eagles +9.5 v. Bucs | 15-31 | Loss | -119 | 57 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 17.5 (team total). The Bucs are a 7.5 point favorite at home versus Philly, and with all the injuries for Tampa this game might be closer than some would expect. The Bucs beat the Eagles 28-22 in Philly during the regular season, and Leonard Fournette ran for 81 yards and two TDs on 22 carries. Fournette won't play in this game due to a hamstring injury. Antonio Brown caught nine passes for 93 yards and a TD, and we know he's no longer on the team. Mike Evans is the last man standing in what was a stacked receiving corps, and with a thin backfield he should get plenty of work today. The Eagles offense ranks below average in the league scoring just over 22 points per game, but in the 11 games since losing to Tampa, they have averaged 28 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE. The Patriots ran for 222 yards and two TDs in a 14-0 win in a snow storm in Buffalo in December, and that game exposed the flaws of this Bills team. They rely too heavily on the arm of Josh Allen, and it cost them. They likely won't have to deal with snow this time around, but the forecast calls for temperatures of -12. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and they are getting more points in this game than they were in their last visit to Orchard Park. In a game that has a high probability of being decided by a field goal, I am getting the team with the better coach and I am getting 4+ points? Sign me up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +5.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vegas. Everyone is talking about Joe Burrow and the Bengals. They won three of their final four games, clinching the division. Keep in mind only one of those wins came by more than five points. The Raiders aren't getting much hype at all, despite ending the season on a four game winning streak. Joe Burrow might be the more talented QB (remains to be seen), but at 30 years of age Derek Carr has 30 game winning drives under his belt. He holds an NFL record with 24 fourth quarter comebacks. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven Wildcard games, and the fact that they are favored by more than a FG suggests that recency bias is at play here. I'll take the points with the veteran QB on a team with the exact same record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Wake Forest v. Virginia UNDER 129 | 63-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on under. The Cavs have won nine straight head to head meetings against Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons scored an average of 55 points in those games. The last two meetings went over the total, but the number in those games was far lower than the total we see here today. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavs have played three home games in conference play, and all three of those games fell well short of 129 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Watford v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. At this point in the Premier League season, a match between two teams at the bottom of the table can be just as exciting as a match between two of the top teams. Watford is just two points clear of relegation, and Newcastle is currently tied with Burnley and just one point clear of last place Norwich. That makes this a must win for both these teams as they look to aviod relegation. Newcastle has the advantage, with deep pockets they have been buying players to improve their squad. Watford has scored at least one goal in seven of their last eight matches, and they have conceded at least two goals in seven of those eight games. This one should be a thriller. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -8 | 108-140 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. With Damian Lillard looking to have surgery, the mission for the Blazers might be to secure a lottery pick. They come into Denver with a road record of 2-13. When you are struggling on the road, the last place you want to play is in mile high city. The Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Denver has covered the spread in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Blazers might as well throw in the towel, and they just might do exactly that. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Canadiens v. Blackhawks -185 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games, and the Buckeyes have averaged exactly the same amount of points over that span. The over is 16-5 in the Buckeyes last 21 road games, and the Badgers have gone over in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -183 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. I've been fading the Kraken for the majority of the season, and here in Big D they face a team fighting for a playoff spot. The last place Kraken have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they are 4-9-1 overall on the road. Seattle ranks 30th in the NHL in goal against, allowing 3.68 goals per game. The Stars are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a favorite, and they are 19-7 in their last 26 home games. Dallas could easily be a 3-1 favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Philly. The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV UNDER 151.5 | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rebels host the last place New Mexico Lobos, who are coming off back to back losses to Utah State and Nevada. The Lobos have lost six straight head to head meetings versus UNLV, and they have failed to cover in seven of the last eight meetings. Four of the last five head to head meetings went under the total. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in both meetings in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | Red Wings v. Sharks -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Sharks. The Sharks went 2-2 on a four game road trip, with one of the losses coming at Detroit. They host the Red Wings tonight, and they look good at home in a revenge game. The Red Wings are just 4-11-2 on the road, and they coming off back to back losses at LA and Anaheim. The Red Wings are 13-62 in their last 75 games as a road underdog, and they are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in San Jose. The Sharks have won four in a row as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -135 v. Alabama | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 90 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA. The Bulldogs were heavily favored in the SEC Championship game, but Bryce Young threw for 421 yards and three TDs in a 41-24 win for Alabama. With the two teams meeting again in the National Championship game, I am reminded of the words of an infamous American President. "There's an old saying in Tennessee, I know it's in Texas probably too... that says: fool me once, shame... shame on you. You fool me, you can't get fooled again!" I think what George W Bush was referring to is that it's difficult to get away with the same trick twice. It's not easy to beat a team twice in a season, especially when the other team is the betting favorite. Georgia's defense hald opposing QBs to an average of fewer than 160 passing yards per game before the loss to Alabama. The Bulldogs defense held Michigan QB Cade McNamarra to 106 yards, no TDs and two INTs on 11-of-19 passing in the Orange Bowl. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -9.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -153 v. Raiders | 32-35 | Loss | -153 | 17 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chargers. The Chargers will be in Sin City for what looks like a play in game versus the Raiders. The winner of this game will go to the post-season, and the Chargers appear to be in a good spot to get the win on the road. The Raiders lost 28-14 at LA earlier this year, and Justin Herbert threw for 222 yards and three TDs on 25-of-38 passing. Austin Ekeler ran for 117 yards and a TD and caught three passes for 38 yards and a TD. Ekeler comes into Week 18 with 18 TDs, and chances are he will add to that total here tonight. The Raiders have failed to cover in five of their last six home games versus LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6 v. Dolphins | 24-33 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on New England. Not only is Miami eliminated from the playoffs, and the Patriots still have plenty to play for, but this is also a revenge spot for New England. The season opener at Foxboro was a 17-16 win for Miami. The Patriots were about to score the go-ahead TD when Damian Harris fumbled in the final minutes, allowing Miami to run out the clock. Tua Tagovaloa threw for 202 yards with a TD and an INT on 16-of-27 passing. Tagovaloa has thrown four picks in his last three starts, and New England's defense ranks second in the NFL with 23 INTs this season. The Dolphins have won seven of their last eight overall, but not one of those wins came against a team that is currently in a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -5.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The Cardinals wrap up the season at home against division rivals Seattle, and this looks like a huge let down spot for the Seahawks. Russell Wilson threw four TD passes and Seattle scored 50+ points in a win over the Lions in their final home game last week. The Seahawks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Seahawks are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Vegas Golden Knights have battled their way into first place in the Pacific Division, and they will be a heavy favorite at home versus Chicago Saturday night. The Blackhawks are coming off an ugly 6-4 loss to the Arizona Coyotes, and they have lost six straight overall, They have gone over the total in five straight, and the over is 7-0 in the Blackhawks last seven games as an underdog. The over is 18-8-2 in the Golden Knights last 28 overall, and they have gone over in six of their last eight versus Chicago. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -120 | 78-72 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Eastern Michigan. The Eastern Michigan Eagles are just 6-6, and three of those wins came against Illinois State, Western Illinois and Fliorida International. What is the significance of three non-conference games when they are playing at home against a team from the Mac? Well all three of those teams are common opponents with Ball State, and the Cardinals went 0-3 versus those teams. The Cardinals are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Texas -155 v. Oklahoma State | 51-64 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Longhorns are 12-2 overall, and they rank 1st in the nation allowing just 52.3 points per game. They will be a favorite on the road here in Stillwater, facing a Cowboys team that has lost four of their last five overall. They are just 4-4 at home, and they have only scored an average of 68.8 points in their last five games. Texas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest -175 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wake Forest. Wake Forest is off to a strong start, with a 12-3 overall record and coming off a home win over Florida State. The Deacons are 9-0 at home, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams, and the Favorite has covered in five of the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Jazz v. Raptors +3.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-22 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 147 | 78-87 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers are coming off an upset win at Purdue, holding the Boilermakers under 70 points on their home court. Wisconsin has allowed just 63.3 points per game while winning six of seven at home. They host the Iowa Hawkeyes who have only averaged 66 points per game on the road. The Hawkeyes last road game was a 73-53 loss at Iowa State. The under is 9-1 in the Hawkeyes last 10 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -160 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones won 12 straight before suffering their first loss of the season at the hands of #1 ranked Baylor. It was a close game, with the Bears winning 77-72. Iowa State looks to get back on track with a home game against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four coming off a win. The Cyclones have been a defensive powerhouse, only allowing 57.7 points per game this season. They have held opponents to just 56 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -121 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Nashville Predators will be in Sin City Tuesday, and they bring one of the top power play units in the NHL. Nashville is coming off a 6-1 win over Chicago, and they scored twice on the power play in that game. They are converting on over 26 percent of their power play chances this season. That's bad news for Knights netminder Laurent Brossoit who owns a save percentage of just .900 (40th in a league of 32 teams). The over is 18-7-1 in the Golden Knights last 26 overall, and they have gone over in five of their last six home games. The over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State -180 | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KSU. This looks like a mismatch with the LSU Tigers coming into the Texas Bowl without their starting QB, and an interim head coach. The Wildcats on the other hand are getting back their super senior starting QB Skyler Thompson, and his coach expects big things: "I think he's as healthy as he's been all year, to be honest with you, coming off the couple of injuries that he's had," Klieman said Saturday. "I see no ill effects of anything that has gone on." I'll take KSU as I feel they want this victory more than their opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-22 | Browns -164 v. Steelers | 14-26 | Loss | -164 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-03-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United -173 | 1-0 | Loss | -173 | 36 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MUTD. The Red Devils remain undefeated since Ralf Ragnick replaced Ole Gunnar Solsksjaer as head coach. They are coming off a 3-1 home win over Burnley. Manchester United struggled defensively under Solksjaer, but they have conceded just three goals in five matches under Ragnick. Wolverhampton doesn't pose much of a threat, only cellar dwelling Norwich has scored fewer goals than Wolves. The visitors will try to play for a draw, but I don't like their chances of stopping the mighty Red Devils at Old Trafford. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-22 | Flames -145 v. Blackhawks | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Calgary. The Flames have had eight games postponed due to to Covid, and now they are in a great spot to win the Pacific Division. They sit six points out of first place, but they have the highest win percentage and several games in hand. With all their big guns back in the lineup, they will have a huge advantage when they get back on the ice. The situation is not so optimistic for Chicago, who sit 17 points back of first place St. Louis in the Central Division. Chicago has won 11 games, and Marc Andre Fleury was in the net for all but two of those wins. With Fleury on the Covid list, the Hawks options in the net are not great. The Flames are 8-2 in their last 10 versus the Hawks, and they have won four straight in Chicago. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins v. Titans -170 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Tennessee. This is a huge game for the home team, as the Titans are looking to clinch the AFC South. The Dolphins come in as winners of seven straight, but those wins are as phony as a $3 bill. They bet the Jets twice, the Giants, Texans, Panthers, Ravens and Saints. Last week's win over New Orleans started with a fourth string QB (Ian Book) throwing a pick six. Tua hasn't played all that well, even when the Dolphins have been winning. He faces an opportunistic Titans defense, and I expect him to struggle here in this road game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-22 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +5 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS. The Washington Football team is coming off one of the ugliest losses in their history. They were completely out-classed by the Cowboys, trailing 42-7 at halftime. That loss effectively ends any hope of making the playoffs, so you might expect them to give up on the season. I seriously doubt that Ron Rivera has any interest in laying down in a home game against division rivals Philly. The Eagles are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win, and they scored just three points in the first half against New York last week. Jalen Hurts has thrown as many picks (3) as he has TDs in his last three starts. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs -180 v. Bengals | 31-34 | Loss | -180 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. The Bengals are coming off their most impressive game of the season, a 20-point win over the Ravens. The Bengals have only beaten one team with a winning record all season, and that's Baltimore. Keep in mind that the Ravens had their 3rd string QB Josh Johnson running the offense last week. This week they face Super Bowl favorites Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes. The Bengals are an exciting young team, but this looks like a tough game in a let down spot. The Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win, and the Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-22 | Canucks -108 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vancouver. The Canucks are back to .500 after winning six of seven under Bruce Boudreau. The only loss came in overtime at LA, and they will look to get back in the winners column tonight at Seattle. The last place Kraken have lost seven of their last eight overall, and six straight at home. Seattle ranks 31st in the NHL in goal against, allowing 3.63 goals per game. The Canucks are riding a hot goalie, as Thatcher Demko was 7-1 with a 1.72 GAA in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-22 | West Ham United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. West Ham will visit Crystal Palace on New Years Day, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring matches. They have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Hammers have gone over in each of their last three matches, while Palace has gone over in four straight matches. Patrick Vieira's side is missing some top players, but they still managed to score three goals in their last match versus Norwich. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas -135 v. Penn State | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. Both these team come into this bowl game without their top WR, but that's not going to stop the Razorbacks. Arkansas ranked 3rd in the SEC in rushing averaging 217 rushing yards per game. The same can't be said for the Nittany Lions who ranked at the bottom of the BIG10 in rushing averaging just over 100 yards per game. Only Purdue averaged fewer yards per game than Penn State. This Nittany Lions team lost five of it's last seven games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus SEC teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA. The last thing I am going to do heading into the playoffs is judge these teams based on their last performance. Rather than rush to a judgement influenced by recency bias, I will look at each team's entire body of work. Georgia was by far the best team in the country all year long, and because of that they came into the SEC Championship game as a 7-point favorite versus Alabama. Bryce Young lit them up, with the majority of the damage coming in the second quarter of a 41-24 loss. The Michigan Wolverines are coming off back to back blowout wins over Iowa and Ohio State, but their QB threw more INTs (2) than TDs (1) and failed to throw for 200 yards in either of those games. They don't have a Heisman winner at QB like Alabama, and they could going up against a brick wall if they can't get their running game going. Georgia only allowed three rushing TDs in 13 games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +14 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cinci. The last thing I am going to do heading into the playoffs is judge these teams based on their last performance. Rather than rush to a judgement influenced by recency bias, I will look at each team's entire body of work. Alabama lost to Texas A&M, barely escaped with a win over Florida, and were so close to losing to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Because of that they entered the SEC Championship game as a 7-point underdog. Cincinnati on the hand was consistent every week, finishing 13-0 and becoming the first non Power Five team in the playoffs. The Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered five straight as an underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-21 | Ducks v. Golden Knights -184 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vegas. The Ducks are just 1 point behind first place Las Vegas in the Pacific Division, but it would be a mistake to think these teams are close. The Knights had to survive an extended streak without forwards Marc Stone, Max Pacioretty and William Karlson. Now that they are back, Vegas has won nine of their last 11 games. History certainly favors Vegas here, as the Ducks are 4-18 in the last 22 meetings. They have lost eight of their last nine at Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Flames -140 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CAL. The Flames have had eight games postponed due to to Covid, and now they are in a great spot to win the Pacific Division. They sit six points out of first place, but they have the highest win percentage and several games in hand. With all their big guns back in the lineup, they will have a huge advantage when they get back on the ice. The Kraken lost last night at home versus Philly, and they have lost six of their last seven overall and five straight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Utah v. Oregon State UNDER 140.5 | 76-88 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-10 overall, and 0-2 in the Pac12. They have really struggled on offense, scoring just 67 points per game. They have been pretty average on defense, allowing 72 points per game, very close to the national average. Utah comes in with an 8-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in the Pac12. The under is 2-2 in the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in those previous four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -135 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on MSU. The Pittsburgh Panthers won't have star QB Kenny Pickett in the Peach Bowl, and that could be a problem in a game that could likely be a shootout. Pittsburgh's defense ranked 11th in the ACC versus the pass, and the Michigan State offense may be able to take advantage of that. The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five bowl games. The Spartans are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sooners. I don't think the Sooners brought back Big Game Bob (Stoops) to take an L here in this bowl game. They will play Oregon in the Alamo Bowl, and the Ducks will have outgoing offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead as interim coach. Their best player on defense, and potential first overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft Keyvon Thibideau has opted out of the Alamo Bowl. The Sooners are 6-1 all time versus the Ducks, and they are in better shape ahead of this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-21 | West Virginia v. Minnesota -4.5 | 6-18 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIN. The total for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl is pretty low, and even though both these teams are great defensively, I think we will see closer to 50+ points. Minnesota won six of their last eight games, and they've scored an average of 27 points during that span. Minnesota has been quite successful in recent bowl games, covering in four straight. Most recently they defeated Auburn 31-24 in the Outback Bowl in 2019. I like the Gophers to win in similar fashion here in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-28-21 | West Virginia v. Minnesota OVER 44.5 | 6-18 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The total for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl is pretty low, and even though both these teams are great defensively, I think we will see closer to 50+ points. Minnesota won six of their last eight games, and they've scored an average of 27 points during that span. Minnesota has been quite successful in recent bowl games, covering in four straight. Most recently they defeated Auburn 31-24 in the Outback Bowl in 2019. I like the Gophers to win in similar fashion here in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State -9.5 | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are a favorite in the Liberty Bowl, and Mike Leach might enjoy lighting up his former team in this bowl game. The Bulldogs won four of their final six games in the SEC, while Texas Tech lost four of their final five games in the BIG12. Texas Tech will have Sonny Cumbie as an interim head coach, and Donovan Smith at QB. Their receiving corpse will be depleted with several injuries and their leading WR opting out. The Red Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games, and they are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada OVER 55.5 | 52-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Western Michigan will be a significant favorite here in the Quick Lanes Bowl, and we should see plenty of scoring. The Broncos averaged over 30 points per game this season, and they gave up almost as many. Nevada won't have QB Carson Strong, who opted out as he prepares for the draft. The Wolfpack will also have a running backs coach leading them in this game. The over is 5-2 in the Broncos last seven games overall, and the over is 8-3 in the Wolf Pack's last 11 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-21 | Bucs v. Panthers +10.5 | 32-6 | Loss | -113 | 83 h 49 m | Show | |
The Panthers have lost four straight games, losing twice at home and twice on the road. Their home losses came by single digits, and both home losses came by a double digit margin. Tampa Bay is coming off a 9-0 loss to the Saints, and they have been hit hard by injuries. Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette and Chris Godwin are all out. Only the Buffalo Bills have allowed fewer yards per game than Carolina, and the Panthers have allowed just 178 passing yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-21 | Rams v. Vikings +140 | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 83 h 47 m | Show | |
The Vikings have won back to back games, and they might be the best 7-7 team in the NFL. They will miss RB Dalvin Cook this week against the Rams, but backup Alexander Mattison might be able to pick up the slack. He ran for 90 yards and a TD on 22 carries in a win over the Lions the last time Cook sat out. The Vikings are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -130 | 33-21 | Loss | -130 | 83 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NE. I bet on the Pats a few weeks ago when they rolled into Buffalo, and here is what I said before that game: "Bill Belichick has the Patriots back on top in the AFC, and they roll into Buffalo as a three point underdog. The Bills are coming off a Thanksgiving Day win over New Orleans, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Historically the Pats have owned the Bills, the Patriots are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo. The road team is 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 meetings." This might be a revenge spot for the Bills, but I just think this is a bad matchup for Buffalo. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-21 | Arsenal v. Norwich City OVER 2.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-25-21 | Colts +104 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 104 | 66 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals UNDER 49 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers -7 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. We saw Cleveland really struggle against a below average team last week, and now they face the mighty Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Christmas Day. The Packers are a heavy favorite, and this should be quite a mismatch. Baker Mayfield is back, but there are still a long list of players on the covid list, especially on defense. The Packers are 6-0 at home and all six of those wins came by double-digits. Aaron Jones has scored three TDs in his last two starts, and he should get plenty of touches here in what should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Ball State v. Georgia State -5 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Georgia State. |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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12-23-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans UNDER 44 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Titans offense has struggled since losing Derrick Henry, averaging fewer than 15 points in their last four games overall. Their defense has continued to play well, allowing fewer than 20 points in those games. They rank 2nd in the NFL versus the run, allowing just 86.9 rushing yards per game. The Titans have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight home games, and with all the injuries points could be hard to come by here against the 49ers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCF. Forida is a better team, with more talent and more resources. They may not be the more motivated team here, and their talent and resources have been decimated by opt outs, and injuries. They are expected to start Emory Jones at QB despite the fact that he has already decided to enter the transfer portal. The Gators won a close game at home 24-21 in their season finale versus FSU to become bowl eligible. They face a UCF team that won five of their final six games. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in six straight non-conference games. The wrong team might be favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee UNDER 149.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Wildcats are still undefeated coming into Knoxville with an 11-0 record. Playing on the road at Tennessee will be the toughest test they've faced so far, as the Vols have allowed just 54 points per game at home. The Vols are 6-0 at home, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. This will be the second time Arizona will play a ranked team, and their win over Michigan saw a combined 142 points, well under the listed total here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State v. UTSA OVER 49 | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The UTSA Road Runners bring a high powered offense into this Bowl Game. They scored 49 points in a win over the Hilltoppers in the C-USA Championship game. They averaged 38 points per game this season, and the over is 5-1 in the Roadrunners last six games overall. San Diego State was a defensive powerhouse in the Mountain West, but they might not be motivated to grind it out on defense in a Bowl Game. The Aztecs have allowed an average of 27 points in their last three bowl games, and two of those went over the total. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in the Frisco Bowl. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 137.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Villanova Wilcats have lost back to back games, scoring an average of just 47.5 points. They shot just 22 percent from the field against Baylor, and just 33 percent from the field against Creighton. They are 3-0 at home and they have allowed fewer than 50 points per game in those wins. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and they have gone under in three of their last four versus Xavier. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 45.5 | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Seahawks and the Rams are relatively lucky to come into this game with most of their players healthy. A couple extra days have allowed the Rams to get several players back from the Covid list. Both these QBs come in hot, with Russell Wilson throwing for six TDs and just one INT in his last three starts, and Mathew Stafford throwing for nine TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. Seattle still ranks dead last in total defense allowing almost 400 yards per game. When these teams played earlier this season the total was set at 53.5, and now in LA we see a much lower number. Expect Russell Wilson to score enough to keep this game interesting and push the total over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Vikings -6.5 v. Bears | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minny. The Bears have lost seven of their last eight games overall, and injuries are a huge concern heading into this Monday night matchup versus Minnesota. The Vikings are 6-7 overall, and the majority of their losses have come in games decided by just a few points. The Bears defense has given up 78 points in their last two games, and they face a Vikings offense that is firing on all cylinders. Dalvin Cook ran for 205 yards and two TDs in a win over the Steelers in his last start. He should have another big game coming off plenty of rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Raiders +3 v. Browns | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vegas. We saw this line move several points with the Raiders the favorite, and after being re-scheduled the Browns have gone to -3. So far the indication is that the majority of the Cleveland players on the Covid list remain out, and therefore the Raiders should still have an advantage. Nick Mullens is presumed to be the starter for the Browns, and he's had plenty of trouble protecting the football. Mullens has thrown eight INTs in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9.5 | 30-17 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Old Dominion. After a 1-6 start to the season, nobody expected the Monarchs to be playing in a bowl game. They turned things around when Blake Watson stepped up at running back and freshman Hayden Wolff took over at QB. The Monarchs finished the season with five straight wins, and they scored an average of 36 points in those games. Tulsa will be a big favorite in this game, but in the six games they won this season five of those were decided by seven points or less. The Monarchs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Saints. The Saints beat the Bucs earlier this year despite losing Jameis Winston early in that game. The Bucs defense is strong against the run, but New Orleans ran for 152 yards and a TD in their 36-27 home win over Tampa. Taysom Hill has been a threat in the running game, and we have already seen Josh Allen run for 109 yards and a TD against the Bucs. Hill ran for over 100 yards versus Dallas, and scored a pair of rushing TDs against the Jets last week. I expect another big game from Taysom Hill. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 56 m | Show |
10* |
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12-19-21 | Blues v. Jets -125 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WPG. The Jets came into the season as a serious Stanley Cup contender, but they have had a rather lackluster start. Despite a winning record, head coach Paul Maurice announced his resignation. Dave Lowry will take over, and this will be his first game as the new head coach. We have already seen what kind of an impact a new coach can have, with the Canucks winning six straight since Bruce Boudreau took over. The Blues have lost six of their last seven road games, and they can't be too thrilled to be on a three game road trip north of the border that doesn't see them return home until Christmas Eve. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars -4.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jags. Urban Meyer was not popular with the Jaguars players, and they might be eager to prove that he was the problem. James Robinson is one player that will have something to prove. He saw his workload dramatically reduced in recent weeks. He draws a favorable matchup this week against the Texans who rank dead last in the NFL versus the run. With Carlos Hyde out with a concussion, Robinson should get plenty of work. The Texans defense has allowed 147.9 rushing yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Liverpool leads the Premier League in scoring with 48 goals, eight more than Premier League leaders Manchester City. The Spurs have had limited success this season, but they have score five goals while winning their last two matches. Liverpool has scored five goals while winning their last two versus Spurs 3-1 and 2-1. Liverpool has conceded at least one goal in four of their last five matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Oilers -120 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on EDM. I had this to say about the Kraken a few days ago: "The betting public appears to be supporting Seattle's expansion team, perhaps due to the success of the Vegas Golden Knights just a few seasons ago. Such success for an expansion team is certainly not the norm, and I believe it's naive to think Seattle can do what Las Vegas did." They have lost four of their last five, and they host an Edmonton team that just snapped a six game losing streak. The Oilers NEED to follow up a 5-2 win over CBJ with another win over an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -130 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indy. The Patriots are on top of the world after beating the Bills in spectacular fashion in a bad weather game in Buffalo. Their winning streak sits at seven games, and if they are ever going to suffer a let down this would be as good as spot as any. This is a huge game for the Colts, and Jonathan Taylor. The NFL's leading rusher has 10 rushing TDs in his last five games, and while the Patriots have one of the league's best defenses, they are better against the pass than they are versus the run. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Arsenal v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Over. I bet the over in the Gunners last game, and fell short after a missed penalty. Here is what I said prior to that match: "The big news out of Arsenal is that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been stripped of the captain's arm band. They did just fine without him in a 3-0 win over Southampton in their last match. It won't be so easy today as they face 4th place West Ham." They are at Leeds on Saturday, and Leeds is coming off a 7-0 loss to Manchester City. Leeds has conceded 32 goals this season, only two teams have conceded more (Newcastle and Norwich). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Appalachian State -134 v. Western Kentucky | 38-59 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Appalachian State. Western Kentucky gave up 49 points in a loss to UTSA in the C-USA championship game. The Hilltoppers defense has been torched often this season, and this is not a favorable matchup facing a well rounded App State team. The Hilltoppers can score their share of points, but their defense can't stop anyone. Western Kentucky is 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus Sun Belt teams, and the over 7-3-1 in their last 11 versus teams from that conference. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, and I expect them to score their fair share here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs -160 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. What do the Lions, Jets and Jaguars have in common? Well they all rank better than the Chargers at defending the run. LA is allowing over 140 rushing yards per game, only the Houston Texans rank worse against the run. We expect Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards Helaire to have a big night. He ran for 37 yards and two TDs on 10 carries in the win over the Raiders on Sunday. He didn't get much work in the second half of a blowout, and should come in with fresh legs. The Chiefs have won seven of their last eight games, allowing an average of just 11 points per game in those wins. It has been their defense and their running game that has carried them. This is a revenge game for KC, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-21 | 76ers +105 v. Nets | 105-114 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHI. The Nets will once again be shorthanded due to Covid protocols, but their B-team is coming off an overtime win over the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Another win here at home versus Philly might be too much to ask. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-21 | Kings v. Panthers -142 | 4-1 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on FLA. The Panthers are coming off a home loss to Ottawa, just their second home loss of the season. They are 14-2 at home, and starting goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 9-0 with a 2.40 GAA on home ice. The Kings are expected to go with their backup goaltender, and Cal Peterson is 1-3-1 with a 3.58 GAA on the road. The Kings are 4-9 in their last 13 overall, and they are 7-16 in their last 23 games as an underdog. The Panthers are 5-0 in their last five games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ANA. I had this to say about the Kraken last night: "The betting public appears to be supporting Seattle's expansion team, perhaps due to the success of the Vegas Golden Knights just a few seasons ago. Such success for an expansion team is certainly not the norm, and I believe it's naive to think Seattle can do what Las Vegas did. The Kraken have lost three straight, and they rank 30th in the league in goals against. For some reason they are just a small underdog here on the road in San Jose." I am going to double down with the "fade the Kraken" strategy here with the last place team playing on back to back nights versus the first place Ducks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-21 | Capitals v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CHI. The Blackhawks will be a home dog versus Washington tonight, and the Caps have seen four of their last six games decided by one goal. The Blackhawks are 3-3 in their last six overall, and four of those games were decided by one goal. The home team is 12-4 in the last 16 head to head meetings. Marc Andre Fleury is coming off a 30 save shutout, and he's won three of his last four starts. One of those was a 4-3 OT win over the Capitals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-21 | West Ham United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The big news out of Arsenal is that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been stripped of the captain's arm band. They did just fine without him in a 3-0 win over Southampton in their last match. It won't be so easy today as they face 4th place West Ham. The Hammers have scored 28 goals in 16 matches, and recent history between these teams suggests we could see a high score here. The last meeting was a 3-3 draw, and three of the last four meetings have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Sharks -140 | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 47 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SJS. The Sharks are six points out of first place in the Pacific Division, and 10 points clear of last place Seattle. The betting public appears to be supporting Seattle's expansion team, perhaps due to the success of the Vegas Golden Knights just a few seasons ago. Such success for an expansion team is certainly not the norm, and I believe it's naive to think Seattle can do what Las Vegas did. The Kraken have lost three straight, and they rank 30th in the league in goals against. For some reason they are just a small underdog here on the road in San Jose. GL, Jesse Schule |