Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-01-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Jets | 4-8 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on Montreal. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Edmonton Oilers won five straight when Jay Woodcroft took over, and now the Habs have a winning record under interim coach Martin St. Louis. The Jets have lost four of their last five, with the one win coming against the Arizona Coyotes. Montreal has won five straight head to head versus Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Oilers -155 v. Flyers | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Edmonton. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Edmonton Oilers won five straight when Jay Woodcroft took over, and now they are 6-3 in their last nine games. The Flyers are in last place in the Metropolitan Division, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. Philly won their last game by a score of 2-1 versus Washington, but they are 7-22 in their last 29 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. Nobody has won at Wyoming this season. Not Boise State, not Colorado State, and not Utah State. San Diego State has lost five of eight road games, losing at Colorado State, Utah State and Boise State. Given their resume, the Cowboys deserve to be a favorite here at home. The Aztecs will come in as a road favorite despite averaging just 60..5 points per game on the road. Wyoming has averaged 82.2 points per game at home. Expect a close game and I got my money on the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | Northwestern v. Iowa OVER 151 | 61-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won six of their last seven, and they have averaged 88 points in those wins. They have scored an average of 87.6 points while going 14-3 at home. The Northwestern Wildcats aren't shy about playing high scoring games either, and they have scored an average of 73.3 points per game. The over is 21-8-1 in Hawkeyes last 30 overall, and they have gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. Both meetings between these teams last season saw more than 155 points, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in either of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | Canucks +105 v. Devils | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vancouver. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs.With each win, the next game becomes all that much more important for Vancouver. They are playing the second game of a back to back on the road in New Jersey, but their opponent has nothing left to play for. The Devils are 8-26 in their last 34 games playing on 2 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-22 | Islanders v. Ducks -110 | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Anaheim Ducks. The Ducks are just two points out of a Wild Card spot, while the Islanders are 19 points back of Washington in the Eastern Conference Wild Card race. This is a must win game for the home team, and the Ducks have won 15 of their last 20 against teams with a losing record. The Ducks are 12-4 in their last 16 games as a favorite, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Islanders are 7-20 in their last 27 games as an underdog, and they have lost five of their last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State OVER 137.5 | 93-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Nebraskas is just 1-16 in the BIG10, and they rank dead last in scoring defense allowing 79.6 points per game. Penn State ranks last in the conference in scoring, but they should get their points here in a home game against Nebraska. Last year the Nittany Lions won both meetings versus Nebraska, going over 137 in each of those games. The total for tonight's game is at least eight points lower than it was in those games last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-22 | Tulane v. Temple -135 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Temple. The Owls have won four straight home games, and one of those came against SMU. Tulane has lost six of nine road games, and they are coming off a double digit home loss to Houston. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall. Tulane recently defeated Temple 92-83 in overtime in New Orleans, and I expect the Owls to avenge that loss here in Philly. GL, Jesse |
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02-26-22 | Wild v. Flames -139 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Calgary. The Flames were the hottest team in the NHL until they lost 7-1 at Vancouver. They are back home tonight, looking to get that awful taste out of their mouths. The Minnesota Wild are playing their fourth game on this road trip, and they have lost four of their last five overall. The Flames are 10-1 in their last 11 home games, while the Wild have lost four of their last five on the road. The Flames have won five of the last seven head to head meetings, and they are likely to scorch the Wild here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Arizona State v. Utah OVER 137 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Utah Utes and the Arizona State Sun Devils are two of the bottom feeders in the PAC12, but each of them have shown signs of life late in the season. The Utes won back to back games at Stanford and California, before losing their last game to Arizona. The Sun Devils have won four of their last five games, and they scored an average of 69.2 points per game during that span. Utah has averaged 70 points per game over their last five overall. Utah has gone over in four straight home games, while the Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last seven as an underdog. Utah scored 98 points in their last home game versus Arizona State, and the listed total of 147 went over the number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1 | 116-110 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. Chicago has won six straight overall, and DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in nine straight games. The Bulls host the Memphis Grizz Saturday, in a game that features two of the league's biggest stars. The Grizz have lost back to back games and Ja Morant hasn't been at his best lately. He battled a hip injury while scoring 20 points on 7-of-25 shooting in a loss to Minnesota in his last start. He was forced to leave the game in pain in the third quarter, but was able to return. He's listed as questionable, and while he's expected to play he might not be 100%. Not great timing for a head to head duel versus the MVP front runner. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Senators | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Edmonton Oilers won five straight when Jay Woodcroft took over, and now the Habs have a winning record under interim coach Martin St. Louis. Ottawa will be a big favorite at home tonight depsite losing five of their last six in Canada's capital, and the Habs look good on the puckline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Vols and the Tigers are two of the top dogs in the SEC, and between the two of them they are 29-0 at home. Auburn has a decent road record (7-2), but a close examination of their last four road games suggests they are in big trouble here at Knoxville. They lost at Florida and Arkansas, and prior to that wins at Georgia and Missouri came by a combined three points. History favors the Vols, as the home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Clippers v. Lakers | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. At the age of 37, LeBron James played a career high 37 minutes in the NBA All Star game on a bad knee. He's listed as questionable for tonight's game against the Clippers. AD is out for sure, and so is Avery Bradley. The Clippers won three of four before the break, and they have managed to remain competitive without PG and Kawhi. The Clippers are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. History favors the Clippers who are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Northwestern v. Penn State -1.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. Penn State will host Northwestern Friday, and these two teams have plenty in common. They each have six wins in the BIG10. and both these teams are far better at home than they are on the road. The home team has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Wildcats are 0-4 at Penn State during that span. The Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have covered in four of their last five as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-22 | Bruins -195 v. Seattle Kraken | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
5* |
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02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +9.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Cavs are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East, but they lost back to back games heading into the All Star break. They have three starters sidelined by injury, and they still come into Detroit as a big favorite. The Pistons have won their last two home games against Cleveland, and two of their last three home losses against the Cavs came in games decided in overtime. Before the break the Pistons upset the Celtics in Boston, with Cunningham, Grant and Bey all scored 20+ points. The young guns are starting to come together, and a competitve game at home against a banged up opponent seems likely here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Wyoming +6.5 v. Colorado State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-23-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa State. The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost 11 of their last 12 games, and that one win came in a home game against Iowa State. Well it's payback time for the Cyclones, who are 13-4 at home. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers might be looking ahead to a home game against Texas this Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Wake Forest -155 v. Clemson | 69-80 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. Clemson has lost six straight overall, and they are banged up with their leading scorer (PJ Hall) leaving their last game in the opening minute, and another starter (Hunter Tyson) done for the season. The Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Tigers are 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games overall, and the Favorite has covered in six of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -125 v. Burnley | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Spurs. Tottenham sits eighth in the Premier League table, which would have to be considered a disappointment. Harry Kane has only scored seven goals, but two of those came in a win over Manchester City over the weekend. Spurs come in on top form, looking to finish the season strong. Burnley is sitting in the relegation zone, and they have just two wins so far this season. History favors Spurs who have outscored Burnley a combined 12-1 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-22 | San Diego State v. Boise State -135 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BSU. The Boise State Broncos sit in first place in the Mountain West, just a half game ahead of Wyoming. They host San Diego State tonight, and the Aztecs are a formidable opponent. The Broncos already beat the Aztecs 42-37 in San Diego, and they are 11-3 at home. San Diego State has a losing record on the road, and they have lost at Utah State and Colorado State. The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-22 | Arkansas -110 v. Florida | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. The Gators are coming off an upset win over Auburn, with fans storming the court at the buzzer. This sets up a classic let down here as they host an Arkansas team that is damn close to as good as anyone in the country. Florida's win over Auburn might say more about how the Tigers played than how well Florida played. I don't think they can count on the Razorbacks sleeping here in Gainesville. Florida has failed to cover in five straight coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-22 | Lille OSC v. Chelsea -0.25 | 0-2 | Win | 109 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chelsea. After finishing at the Top of League 1 in France last year, Lille sits 11th in the table this season. Chelsea sits third in the Premier League table, and they come in on top form with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. While they aren't really in the running to to win the Premier League, I think Chelsea may be better suited to win the Champions League. They have the best goalkeeper, and they are incredibly efficient on defense. The Blues have posted a clean sheet in three of their last four matches in all competitions, and I expect another clean sheet here. Looking for a 2-0 win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Canucks -160 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on VAN. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 16-31-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected from an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. This is a huge game for Vancouver with the trade deadline looming large. The Canucks still need to figure out if they are buyers or sellers, and a win tonight would go a long way in helping them decide which direction they are headed. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 133.5 | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-21-22 | Penn State v. Maryland -2.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD. Maryland only has four wins in the BIG10, but they have lost a couple big games that could have gone either way. Losing by two versus Michigan State, and losing to Purdue by one point doesn't show up in the standings. They host a Penn State team that has lost seven of eight road games, with the one win coming at Northwestern in a close game. Penn State won at College Park last March (rallying from a double digit halftime deficit), but the home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-22 | Team Durant v. Team LeBron UNDER 325 | 160-163 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This line opened at 318.5 ... already pretty high. They scored 320 last year, and less than that in two of the previous three years. Nobody cares, everyone is betting the over and there is no end in sight. I can't help but get in at 325 an hr before game time. FADE THE MOVE! |
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02-20-22 | Washington State v. USC -5.5 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USC. The Cougars come into this game as losers of four straight, while USC has won five of six. The Trojans are 12-2 at home, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The favorite has covered in seven of the last nine meetings. USC has averaged over 77 points per game at home, and they have won 10 straight versus Washington State. The Cougars only covered in two of those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-22 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -145 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WISC. The Badgers are just a half game out of first place in the BIG10, and they are a slight home favorite here against Michigan. The Badgers are 10-3 in Madison, while the Wolverines have lost six of 10 on the road. Michigan is just 1-4 versus Top 25 ranked teams this season, with the one win coming at home versus Purdue. Even though Michigan has won three of their last four visits to Madison, this year the Badgers are a lot better than they were the last few years. I like the home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAL. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 16-30-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected from an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. The Flames have won eight straight, and they have won by 2+ goals in six straight games. Calgary ranks 1st in the NHL in goals against, and they have one of the league's top penalty killing units. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Tennessee v. Arkansas -163 | 48-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. The Vols are coming off a double digit hom win over Kentucky, moving to 14-0 at home. This sets them up for a let down here on the road at Arkansas, and they are just 4-4 on the road. The Razorbacks are 14-1 at home, and they have won 10 of their last 11 overall. The home team has won six straight head to head meetings, and the Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last five as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Auburn -165 v. Florida | 62-63 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Auburn. The Tigers are ranked #2 in the nation, and they have only lost twice so far this season. They are 7-1 on the road, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Gators have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they look to be overmatches here. The Tigers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Florida has lost five straight against Top 25 ranked teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -120 | 54-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU. The Cyclones ended a four game losing skid with a road win at TCU in their last game, and a home game against Oklahoma looks like a good spot to make it back to back wins. Oklahoma has lost six of eight on the road, and the Cyclones are 12-4 at home. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. The Cyclones defense has been light out at home, holding opponents to just 58.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Newcastle United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Newcastle has won three straight matches, moving them out of the relegation zone. They still need to earn points to hold off the likes of Norwich and Watford who are just a few points back. Points will be hard to come by against West Ham, who are sitting in 5th in the Premier League. The Hammers have scored 44 goals in 25 matches, and Newcastle has allowed 44 goals in 23 matches. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-22 | Wright State v. Oakland -3 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies, Oakland is still undefeated at home, and they host the Wright State Raiders on Friday night. This will be a revenge game for the Grizzlies, who lost by double digits at Wright State a few weeks ago. The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. The Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six as an underdog. Oakland has score an average of just 75.9 points per game this season, but they have scored a whopping 87.5 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-22 | Stars -145 v. Blackhawks | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Stars are one point out of the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference, but they do have games in hand. Chicago has just three wins in their last 12 games overall, and they are closer to a top draft pick than they are to a playoff spot. The Stars are 5-0 in their last five road games, and they are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite. The Blackhawks got blown out by Colombus last night, and they are just 2-8 in their last 10 games playing on back to back nights. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-22 | Washington v. USC OVER 138.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Trojans are a 10.5 point favorites at home versus Washington, and they scored 95 points in a home win over the Huskies last year. The Huskies allowed 92 points in a loss to Arizona on Saturday, they gave up 87 points to Stanford a week earlier, and they allowed 84 points in a loss to Oregon at the end of January. That's an average of 88 points in their last three losses. The over is 19-7 in the Huskies last 26 road games, and the over is 10-4 in the Huskies last 14 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-22 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -130 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 15-0 at home, and that includes a win over Kansas. They host the #7 ranked Baylor Bears tonight, and this looks like a tough game. The Bears suffered a big blow this weekend, losing their leading rebounder J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua to a season ending knee injury. The Red Raiders are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. Texas Tech has held opponents to just 58 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-22 | Raptors -119 v. Wolves | 103-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Raptors are coming off back to back losses, following an eight game winning streak. They will be on the road in Minnesota tonight, and the Wolves are coming off an overtime win over Charlotte. The Raptors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have won five of their last six on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing on back to back nights, and coming off an overtime might be even more significant. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -1 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols host Kentucky in a revenge game in Tennessee tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. Tennessee is 13-0 at home, and yet just a slight favorite here versus the Wildcats. They have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during their unbeaten run at home. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Volunteers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +8 | 76-57 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Missouri. The Razorbacks will be a well deserved favorite here at Missouri, coming into this game as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. Missouri has lost two of their last three at home, but those losses each came by a single point versus #1 ranked Auburn and the Florida Gators. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and they have covered in each of their last five home games. The home team has been the better bet in this series, covering in seven of the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Wyoming -5.5 v. New Mexico | 66-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are now in first place in the Mountain West, and they come into tonight's game at New Mexico with a 10-1 conference record. The Lobos are just 2-6 in conference play. While New Mexico has won three of their last four, those wins came against weaker opposition (0-12 San Jose State and Northern New Mexico. The Cowboys are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 road games, and they are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-22 | Rams -195 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 257 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAR. The Bengals have had an impressive run, and I don't want to suggest that they don't deserve to be in the Super Bowl. That being said, it would be naive not to admit that they caught more than a few breaks along the way. Joe Burrow was sacked nine times in the win over Tennessee, and the Titans handed them the game by turning the ball over three times. They were trailing by double digits in the final minute of the first half at Kansas City, and the Chiefs failed to get any points with a 1st and goal at the 1. The Bengals weakness is their offensive line, and they match up against the scariest pass rush in the NFL. It seems like it's asking a hell of a lot of Joe Burrow to stay cool under pressure here in the Super Bowl. The Bengals have to try to contain Cooper Kupp, and they haven't been very successful against opposing WR1 in the playoffs. Hunter Renfrow had eight catches for 58 yards in the Wild Card Game. In the Divisional round it was A.J. Brown going off with five catches for 142 yards and a TD. In the AFC Championship Game Tyreek Hill caught seven passes for 78 yards and a TD. Now it's asking a lot of Eli Apple to cover the league's best receiver in the Super Bowl. My money is on the Rams and I don't think it will be close. I also have the following props: - Cooper Kupp Anytime TD - Rams 1st Half Alternative ATS -6.5 - Burrow over 0.5 INT - Rams Team total over 27.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-22 | Colorado State v. Boise State OVER 130.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Boise State Broncos will be a slight favorite at home against Colorado State, and the total for this game is at least 10 points lower than it was in the previous 10 meetings. The Broncos have allowed 60 or more points in each of their last five games overall, and they face a Colorado team that has averaged 72 points per game on the road. The over is 10-2-1 in the Broncos last 13 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-22 | West Ham United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. West Ham and Leiceser have a history of playing high scoring games. The last five head to head matches have all seen at least three goals combined. Leicester has conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, while West Ham is one of four clubs in the Premier League to have scored 40 or more goals. West Ham has scored 10 goals in their last three matches versus Leicester, and I expect both teams to score here on Super Bowl Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | Islanders v. Flames -165 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Flames. The Flames are hot, and they host the Islanders playing on the back end of a back to back Saturday. The Isles are in Edmonton Friday, and they are 1-6 in their last seven when playing on back to back nights. The Flames have won five straight, five straight at home, and five of their last six head to head versus the Isles. Calgary ranks second in the NHL in goals against and owns the league's 3rd best penalty killing unit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | Penn State v. Minnesota -120 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Gophers. Two of the bottom feeders of the BIG10 will meet in Minnesota this Saturday, and despite the Gophers 2-10 conference record, I actually like them as the home favorite here. Penn State has lost five of six overall, and the Nittany Lions only road win came against a 3-18 PAC12 team (Oregon State). The home team has covered in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Nittany Lions struggle to score at the best of times, but they have averaged less than 60 points per game on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | Ole Miss v. Missouri -125 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Missouri. In a battle of the bottom feeders in the SEC, I like Missouri at home versus Ole Miss. The Rebels have lost back to back games since losing Freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Ruffin was second on the team in scoring, and a huge part of the offense. The Tigers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven coming off a loss. Missouri won by a whopping 25 points at Mississippi earlier this season, and they look good for the sweep of the season series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington -115 | 79-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seahawks. UNCW has reigned supreme in the CAA for years, and they occupy the top spot in the standing again this season. They host the Charleston Cougars Saturday, and they have already won at Charleston earlier this season. The Seahawks are 9-1 at home, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall and they have covered in six straight on their home court. The Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Watford +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Watford. Brighton Hove Albion sits in the top 10 in the Premier League table, despite winning just six of their 22 matches. They have played a Premier League leading 12 draws, making it twice as likely they draw than actually win, and three times as likely to lose or draw rather than win. They face a Watford club fighting to avoid relegation, and another draw here seems likely. Watford has played to a draw twice in their last four matches, and two of the last four head to head versus Brighton have been draws. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a free play on ANA. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 15-28-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected as an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. Seattle was roughly a 3-1 favorite in their last game, and they lost ourtright by a score of 5-2 versus Arizona. They are on the road tonight at Anaheim, and the Ducks are fighting for a playoff spot. Anaheim should be a bigger favorite versus Seattle, than the Kraken should be against Arizona (IMO). I'll take the home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-22 | St Bonaventure v. St. Louis -5 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bilikens. The Bonnies are an underdog on the road at Saint Louis tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. The hosts have won four of the last five meetings, and the Bonnies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Bonnies were briefly in the Top 25 early in the season, but the have struggled in conference play sitting in the middle of the pack in the A-10. Saint Louis is 11-3 at home, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The favorite has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Purdue v. Michigan OVER 146.5 | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The opening total looks a little low here, as both these teams have been scoring plenty in their last five games. Purdue comes in averaging 83.6 points per game, while the Wolverines have scored 75.8 points per game at home. Purdue has gone over in each of their last five games, and the over is 35-16 in the Boilermakers last 51 games as a favorite. The Wolverines have gone over in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin +3 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Martin. The Cougars are the last place team in the OVC, and yet they are a favorite here in a home game against UT Martin. This would be a tough ask at the best of times, but they haven't won a game since losing leading scorer Ray'Sean Taylor for the rest of the season. They scored just 47 points in a home loss to SEMO in their last game. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, as the road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Cougars have failed to cover in six straight overall. Looks like the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland UNDER 149.5 | 110-87 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, but things have changed. I think the bookmakers are mistaken here with an opening total just under 150 points. Neither of these two teams has averaged 70 points in their last five games overall, and both teams have held opponents to an average of less than 70 points per game during that span. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 road games, and the under is 14-5 in the Terrapins last 19 home games. Bet this one early because I expect money to come in on the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +5.5 | 97-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Leeds United v. Aston Villa -121 | 3-3 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Aston Villa. Steven Gerrard has Villa playing on top form, coming off a 1-0 win over Everton and a 2-2 draw versus Manchester United. They host Leeds United Wednesday, and this is a game they should win. Leeds has failed to score in two of their last three matches, and they have a -12 goal differential while going 2-2-7 in away matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Utah State v. Wyoming -118 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are half a game back of first place Boise State in the Mountain West, and they are 10-0 at home. Tonight they host Utah State, who they have already beaten once this season in Logan. The Aggies have a losing record on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games following a three game home stand. The Cowboys last home game was a win over Boise State, and prior to that they beat Colorado State. Wyoming should be a far bigger favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State OVER 138.5 | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Badgers were fortunate to have avoided an upset at home against Penn State, shooting just 37.5 percent from the field, 6-of-21 from beyond the arc and 3-of-6 from the charity stripe. They will have to be much better here on the road at East Lansing, and we should expect both teams to score their share of points. The over is 6-1 in the Badgers last seven games as an underdog, and they have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the Spartans last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Manchester United -161 v. Burnley | 1-1 | Loss | -161 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester United. The Red Devils sit in fourth in the Premier League table, nine points behind Chelsea. They are coming off a disappointing loss to Middlesbrough in the FA Cup. They look to get back on track here against Burnley, who sit dead last in the Premier League. Burnley is coming off a scoreless draw at home versus Watford, a game that was entirely uninspiring. They would be thrilled to earn a draw here today, but given that they have scored a Premier League low eight goals in 19 matches, and have just one win, it's hard to like their chances. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +13.5 | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State UNDER 143.5 | 91-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-22 | Houston v. Cincinnati +6.5 | 80-58 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The over is 20-8 in the Badgers last 28 overall, and they have gone over in five of their last six home games. This number should be a lot higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Auburn v. Georgia OVER 152 | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. There were 100 points scored in the first half of Georgia's last game, a home loss to Arkansas. They host #1 ranked Auburn Saturday, and another shootout should be expected. The Tigers took a 52-27 lead to the locker room at halftime in a home win over Georgia earlier this season, but we should expect more scoring from the Bulldogs here at home. The over is 7-2 in the Tigers last nine overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Bulldogs last 13 overall. Georgia has gone over in seven of their last 10 as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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02-02-22 | Wisconsin v. Illinois OVER 139.5 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers come into Illinois averaging 74.8 points over their last five games, and Illinois averages 81.6 points per game at home. The over is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 home games, and the over is 7-3 in the Badgers last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders -160 | 3-0 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYI. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 14-27-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected as an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. The Islanders are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite, and they catch the Kraken playing on back to back nights. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-22 | Arkansas v. Georgia OVER 152.5 | 99-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Razorbacks come into Georgia as a double digit favorite, and I am expecting this game to be a shootout. Arkansas has won six straight, and they have won four of their last five head to head meetings versus Georgia. These teams played last January, and the Razorbacks won by a score of 99-69. The Bulldogs won by a score of 99-89 at home versus Arkansas in 2020. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 20-6 in the Razorbacks last 26 road games, and the over is 9-4 in the Razorbacks last 13 games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Nevada v. UNLV -145 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Nevada Wolfpack tonight, and history tells us that Nevada has had a big edge in recent head to head meetings. The Wolfpack have won eight straight in this series, and they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. This year's aquad isn't as talented as the Nevada team we've seen over the last few years, and they come in with a record of 1-4 on the road. The Wolf Pack are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Rebels are 10-3 at home, and they have only allowed 61.9 points per game at home. The Wolfpack have give up and average of 80.4 points per game on the road. This looks like a great spot to back the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Kansas v. Iowa State UNDER 138.5 | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jayhawks just barely beat the Cyclones 62-61 at home a few weeks ago, and they are coming off a blowout home loss to Kentucky on Saturday. It won't get any easier on the road at Iowa State Tuesday. The Cyclones are holding opponents to just 56.4 points per game on their home court. Kansas has failed to cover in four straight overall. Ochai Agbaji leads the Jayhawks in scoring averaging over 20 points per game, but he shot just 4-of-14 from the field and scored just 13 points in the loss to Kentucky. We saw these teams play a defensive battle in Lawrence, and I expect to see another close, low scoring game in Ames. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Spartans are just a half game out of first place in the conference, and they will be a favorite on the road at Maryland Tuesday. The Terps are just a game above .500 at home, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. One of the reasons they have struggled at home is a lack of scoring. They scored just 55 points in a home loss to Indiana on Saturday. These two teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Spartans have held the opposition to 63.2 points per game on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-22 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington -125 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are back on top in the CAA, and they are coming off an impressive home win over Hofstra. They are now 8-0 in the conference and 8-1 at home. The history favors the home team in this series, with the hosts winning outright in seven of the last eight meetings. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams -165 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 167 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Rams lost their final game of the regular season at home to San Francisco, but I expect it to play out differently here in the NFC Championship Game. It's a QB driven league, and Mathew Stafford just out-dueled The Goat. Jimmy G on the other hand has throw a pair of picks without any TD passes in the Playoffs so far. He's thrown six INTs in his last four starts. The Rams star studded defensive front terrorized Tom Brady last week, and they will have Jimmy G running for his life here in LA. San Francisco has gotten this far by playing a tough, physical brand of football, forcing turnovers and stealing games late. They are over-matched here and I don't think they can stop the Rams with all their weapons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 91 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. The Bengals managed to win on the road at Tennessee last week despite QB Joe Burrow getting sacked nine times. They will have no hope here in Kansas City if they fail to protect Burrow, despite the fact that they beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The Chiefs had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game, and we could see both teams score their share of points here in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 782 yards and eight TDs on 76 percent passing in the Playoffs so far. The Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, and they have gone over the total in seven straight overall. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this one in a blowout 42-24. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 91 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bengals managed to win on the road at Tennessee last week despite QB Joe Burrow getting sacked nine times. They will have no hope here in Kansas City if they fail to protect Burrow, despite the fact that they beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The Chiefs had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game, and we could see both teams score their share of points here in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 782 yards and eight TDs on 76 percent passing in the Playoffs so far. The Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, and they have gone over the total in seven straight overall. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this one in a blowout 42-24. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Jets v. Blues -170 | 4-1 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STL. The Winnipeg Jets are coming off a home loss to Vancouver, and it's become crystal clear that this team is not going to be competitive this season. It was an ominous sign when their head coach abruptly resigned earlier this season. The Jets are 3-14 in their last 17 games as an underdog, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. The Blues are 14-2 in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Miami-OH v. Eastern Michigan OVER 141 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Eastern Michigan Eagles will be a home dog against Miami-Oh, and we should expect plenty of scoring in this matchup. The Eagles have scored an average of 78 points per game at home, and the Red Hawks have allowed opponents to score 80+ in each of their last three games. The over is 23-11 in the Eagles last 34 overall, and the over is 15-6 in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The last time the Eagles hosted the Red Hawks they lost by a score of 85.63. Neither of these teams are known for their defense, so expect another shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MD. Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-22 | UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 141 | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-26-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -175 | 84-81 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on OKST. The Cyclones started the season with 12 straight victories, but have since lost five of their last seven overall. They are 0-3 in BIG12 road games, and they have had trouble scoring. Iowa State scored just 44 points on 30.9 percent shooting in a home loss to TCU in their last game, and they went 3-of-26 from beyond the arc in that game. The Cowboys have won two of three home games in the BIG12, and the one loss came to first place Kansas. The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3 | 68-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sparty. Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-22 | Arizona State v. USC OVER 134 | 56-78 | Push | 0 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I recently bet over on the Trojans game at Colorado. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478)." They have been far better at home, scoring an average of 81.1 points per game. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-22 | Blues v. Flames -135 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a free play on CAL. Calgary is eight points out of first place in the Pacific Division, but they have five games in hand on the 1st place Vegas Golden Knights. The Blues are coming off a 3-1 win in Vancouver last night, and they catch the Flames on the back end of a back to back. Ville Husso got the start last night, which could be an indication that Jordan Binnington will be in the net tonight in Calgary. Binnington has been lit up in his last four starts, allowing a total of 16 goals. The Blues are just 4-8 in their last 12 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | 36-42 | Loss | -109 | 88 h 51 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-23-22 | Michigan v. Indiana -165 | 80-62 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indiana. The Wolverines are just 8-7 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. They play on the road at Indiana Sunday, and the Hoosiers are 12-0 at home. Indiana has held opponents to just over 57 points per game at home, and they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Michigan's last two road games were losses at Rutgers and Illinois by a combined 23 points. They have lost four of five road games this season, with the only win coming at Nebraska (0-8). This woild be a tough game for Michigan at the best of times, and these are NOT the best of times. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -140 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -140 | 135 h 17 m | Show |
DO NOT PLAY **ERROR** |
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01-23-22 | Cyril Gane -142 v. Francis Ngannou | 0-1 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gane. Ciryl Gane is undefeated with a 10-0 record, and he's coming off impressive victories over Derrick Lewis and Alexander Volkov. The win over Lewis is significant, because Lewis beat Ngannou and since his loss to Gane he had an impressive showing in a KO win over Daukaus. The rumor mill is swirling about a knee injury that will require surgery for Ngannou. His sparring partner told reporters that it was an inssue in training, it would require surgery and could even result in the fight being postponed. Now I wouldn't go to the bank on that information alone, but it adds fuel to the fire with a play that I liked enough already. Ngannou is a KO specialist, with a 12-0 KO record. He runs into trouble if he can't score the early KO though, and he's fighting a guy who's more athletic, and has more experience going the distance in big fights. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers -5.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Packers. The 49ers dominated the first half in their win at Dallas last weekend, but they just barely held on in a game that went down to the wire. Playing on the road in a cold weather game in Green Bay is going to be a far tougher test. The Packers are well rested, and they are as healthy as they have been all year. San Francisco picked up a few injuries against the Cowboys, none more significant than QB Jimmy Garoppolo. He complained about a shoulder injury after taking hit in the first half, and his first half quarterback rating was healthy 106.3 (11/14, 133 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT) but after the shoulder injury, the second half QB rating was a paltry 4.0 (3/11, 39 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT). He's been picked off five times in his last three starts, and if the Packers get a sizeable lead, it will put a ton of pressure on him. The Packers won at SF during the season, and Davante Adams had 12 catches for 132 yards and a TD. There's no defense for the Rodgers/Adams duo, and that's bad news for San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-22 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -109 | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wake Forest. The Tar Heels are coming off an ugly 85-57 loss at Miami, and they may have lost their leading scorer to an injury in that game. To be fair, the injury happened late when the Tar Heels already trailed by as many as 33 points. Wake Forest is 10-1 at home, and they have held opponents to just 65.2 points in those games. They have also scored over 80 points per game at home. The Tar Heels are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 road games versus a team with a winning home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -178 | 19-16 | Loss | -178 | 61 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Titans. The Bengals were impressive in a home win over the Raiders on Wild Card Weekend, however the Raiders were just nine yards away from tying the game in the final minute. That is despite the fact that both Cincinnati's TD drives came with controversy. The first TD came after a missed call on what appeared to be offensive PI, and the officials missed an inadvertent whistle on their second TD. The Bengals defensive line suffered a few injuries in the game, and that could be a huge weakness against a well rested Titans team that welcomes back Derrick Henry. The Bengals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight playoff games. Cinci might have the better QB, but that may not matter if they can't stop Derrick Henry. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-22 | West Ham United v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 56 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. There are only three teams in the Premier League that have scored 30 or more goals as well as conceded 30 or more goals. Two of those teams will play each other on Saturday when Manchester United hosts West Ham United. The Hammers have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches, and they have scored 41 goals in 22 matches in the Premier League this season. These two teams are fighting for a spot in the Champions League, and we should see an exciting game with both teams scoring here at Old Trafford. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last two games, including 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before that game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers beat Northwestern 82-76, and they have gone over in seven straight. The over is 18-6 in the Badgers last 24 overall. The bookmakers have yet to make the necessary adjustments for Wisconsin's current style of play. GL, Jesse Schule |