Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -158 | 37-17 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are undefeated coming into Virginia, but they have yet to face a team like the Cavaliers. They are coming off a win over Florida State, but the Seminoles are 0-3 and that perhaps isn't as impressive as it sounds. They play on the road for the first time facing a high flying Virginia offense led by QB Brennan Armstrong. While the Cavs lost to North Carolina last week, Armstrong threw for 554 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 39-of-54 passing. This is a huge step up in competition for Wake Forest, and they are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Cavs have covered in five straight as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Panthers. Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans OVER 43 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Marshall v. Appalachian State UNDER 59.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Mountaineers will host Marshall on a short week, and the total for this game looks a little inflated. They have held opponents to an average of 18 points per game so far, including a 25-23 loss at Miami. Marshall is coming off a loss to East Carolina, and the Pirates had previously lost 33-19 at Appalachian State. The under is 7-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 10 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven when playing on a short week. Marshall won 17-7 at home versus the Mountaineers last September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-21 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +7 | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a late breaking play on Ottawa. |
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09-21-21 | Dodgers v. Rockies +189 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. The Rockies have won seven of their last nine overall, and they have won more games at home than the Dodgers have won on the road. Antonio Senzatela will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's won four straight starts. One of those wins came against LA. He tossed seven scoreless innings in a 5-0 win. The Dodgers hand the ball to Julio Urias, who has faced the Rockies three times this season. He allowed 10 runs on 17 hits over 18 2/3 innings in those games. The Rockies have won six straight against left-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lions. Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers OVER 48.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-19-21 | Cowboys v. Chargers -175 | 20-17 | Loss | -175 | 89 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chargers. I bet against the Cowboys in their season opener at Tampa, but I was shocked with how well Dak Prescott played. Cowboys fans are full of optimism, but I would caution that the old saying is still true. Good teams find a way to win, and bad teams find a way to lose. The Chargers defense is one of the best in the NFL with Derwin James and Joey Bosa. Dallas is going to be short-handed on defense with DeMarcus Lawrence injured and Randy Gregory in Covid protocols. The Chargers are 3-0 straight up, and 3-0 ATS in the last three head to head meetings. I'll take the home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +4 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 99 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Carolina. Seasoned sports bettors will tell you that one of the most important things to keep in mind heading into Week 2, is not to overreact to the results in Week 1. Perhaps the most surprising result was the Saints blowout win over Green Bay. Jameis Winston threw five TD passes in the win, and some are saying that his turnover problems might have been solved by laser eye surgery. I will point out that Jameis has a history of making poor decisions, including a pair of high profile sexual assault allegations, and a shoplifting charge for stealing crab legs. As far as I know laser eye surgery doesn't prevent you from making poor decisions, and poor decisions are what leads to turnovers. In his last season in Tampa, he played the Panthers twice. He threw five INTs in those two games. I'll take the Panthers plus the points at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 50 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 84 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Under. I had the under in the Eagles opening game at Atlanta, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Eagles offense ranked 28th in the NFL in passing last season, averaging just 207.9 yards per game. They come into 2021 hoping that Jalen Hurts can bring their offense back to life, but that sure seems like a longshot. I can remember Hurts as the same quarterback that lost his job as the starter for Alabama. Last season he completed just 52% of his passes for 1,061 yards with six TDs and four INTs while appearing in 15 games. He isn't exactly surrounded by an all star receiving corps and the Eagles don't exactly have the most dynamic stable of running backs either." Now they went on to win 32-6, but that might say more about the Falcons defense than it does about the Eagles offense. The under is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Two of the top teams in the Premier League will meet in London on Sunday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring when the Hammers host the Red Devils. West Ham has not lost in four Premier League matches so far, and they have scored 10 goals in those games. Manchester United has scored 11 goals in four matches, settling for three wins and a draw. Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice in a 4-1 win over Newcastle in his Red Devils debut (2nd stint), and he's sure to find the net here in London. Manchester United won 3-1 the last time they played at West Ham. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Winnipeg. I had the Bombers in their win over the Riders last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bombers won big at Saksatchewan in the Labour Day Classic, and they look good as a pickem in the rematch just five days later. Cody Fajardo took a beating in the loss, throwing for 211 yards and three INTs on 23-of-39 passing. The Blue Bombers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They have covered in six of their last seven versus Saskatchewan." They are taking on Edmonton who will miss starting QB Trevor Harris, who was the CFL's leading passer. The Elks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Giants | 0-2 | Loss | -175 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ATL. The Braves blew a lead in the bottom of the ninth in a 6-5 loss in San Francisco last night, and another close game seems likely tonight. Alex Wood will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's won four of his last five starts. He's returning from a stint on the DL. The Braves hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who has better numbers on the road than he does at home. He's 8-2 with a 2.91 ERA in 13 starts on the road. The Braves are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Oklahoma State v. Boise State -165 | 21-20 | Loss | -165 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Boise State. The Broncos blew a big lead in Week 1, losing 36-31 at Central Florida, but they bounced back by scoring 54 points in a home win over UTEP. Junior QB Hank Bachmeier threw for 340 yards and a pair of TDs on 17-of-24 passing in the win. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. The Cowvboys are 2-0, but neither of their wins were all that impressive. They were a 33 point favorite in Week 1, and they won by just seven points. Last week they beat Tulsa 28-23, failing to cover as a double digit favorite. The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State UNDER 53 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Auburn Tigers will play on the road at Penn State in what figures to be the toughest test they have had in quite a while. The Nittany Lions are heavily favored, but I am expecting a close, low scoring game. The under is 15-6 in the Tigers last 21 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games. Penn State has gone under in five of their last seven versus SEC teams. The Nittany Lions defense looked sharp in a 16-10 upset win at Wisconsin in Week 1. They held the Badgers under 200 passing yards and forced a pair of INTs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Tigers v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-18-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Florida | 31-29 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Bama. The Tide have not missed a beat since Bryce Young stepped in to replace Mac Jones. Young has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 571 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs in two starts. Alabama will be a big favorite on the road at Florida, but history suggests the Gators are overmatched here. The Gators have lost seven straight to Alabama, and three of those games were in Florida. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin. The Gators starting QB has thrown four INTs and just two TDs in his first two starts despite facing inferior opponents. He could be in for a rough ride against the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Twins v. Blue Jays -156 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blue Jays. Toronto lost Game 1 of this home series versus Minnesota, but they look good to bounce back in Game 2. Stephen Matz will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been solid in recent starts. He's 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA in his last five starts. The Twins hand the ball to rookie, who is coming off a loss in his last start. He allowed three runs on five hits in 3 1/3 innings in a 5-3 loss to Kansas City. The Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Dodgers lost Game 1 at Cincinnati by a score of 3-1, and another low score in expected in Game 2. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for LA, and he's looking like a Cy Young candidate. He's 4-0 with a 026 ERA in his last five starts overall. The Reds hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who hasn't been bad either. He's 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last five starts. The under is 19-6-4 in the Dodgers last 29 overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Reds last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Miami Hurricanes are off to a disappointing start, getting blown out by Alabama in their season opener, and nearly missing another loss to Appalachian State in Week 2. D'Eric King doesn't look like himself coming off an ACL injury, and they haven't had any success running the ball. The loss of Donald Chaney is a big blow to their backfield depth. They are a big favorite against Michigan State, but I am not sure they can score enough to cover here. The Spartans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, and the under is 4-1 in the Hurricanes last five non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Buffalo +14 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. I had the Bulls last week, and they failed to cover on the road at Nebraska. Here is what I said before kickoff: "Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog." The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog, and they have covered in five straight when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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09-18-21 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Draw. Brentford has impressed since being promoted to the Premier League, with a win and two draws in their first four matches. There is no doubt they will be playing for a draw here on the road versus Wolves this week. Both teams have been strong defensively, and this game sets up as a defensive battle. Wolverhampton has failed to reach the total in four of their last five matches, including a 1-0 home loss to Manchester United. Brentford has conceded just two goals in four matches. All four of their games have gone under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Braves v. Giants -150 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a free play on the Giants. The Giants are desperate to get back on track after losing back to back games to the Padres. They have a tough matchup in Game 1 of home series versus Atlanta. Logan Webb will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been dealing lately. He's 4-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his last six starts. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson, who has lost his last three starts on the road. He gave up nine runs on 16 hits over 10 1/3 innings in those games. The Braves are 16-35 in their last 51 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Central Florida -6.5 v. Louisville | 35-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Central Florida. The Knights were quite impressive in their season opening win over Boise State. They came out a bit flat, and trailed 21-0 early in that game. They didn't stop fighting though, battling back to take a 30-24 lead early in the fourth quarter. The Cardinals opened the season with a blowout loss to Mississippi, allowing 43 points on 569 yards of total offense. They face a similar challenge here against UCF, and the trends seem to suggest they could see a similar result. The Cardinals are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home underdog, and they are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. The Blue Jays bats are on fire, and they come into Game 1 of a home series versus Minnesota as winners of 13 of their last 15 overall. Hyun Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's shown signs of fatigue lately. He allowed seven runs on eight hits over 2 1/3 innings in a no decision at Baltimore. The Twins hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who has been hit hard by the Blue Jays. Toronto has hit a combined .367 over 72 at bats versus Pineda. The over is 30-11-3 in Twins last 44 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Calgary +2 v. Hamilton | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Stampeders. The big story here will be the starting QB for both teams. Bo Levi Mitchell is back for Calgary, and he threw for 276 yards with a TD and an INT on 23-of-42 passing in a blowout win at Edmonton last week. The Ticats will start their third string QB David Watford, who threw for 78 yards on 6-of-10 passing after coming in to replace the injured Dane Evans last week. It's going to be tough to replace Evans, who threw for 644 yards with 5 TDs and just one INT appearing in four games. The Stampeders are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight at Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Washington Football Team lost at home to the Chargers in their season opener, and they also lost starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick for an extended period of time. Despite the fact that backup Taylor Heinicke will come in to start versus the Giants, Washington is still a significant favorite. As well as Heinicke has played in his brief stints starting for Washington, he hasn't actually won any games. The Giants looked pretty bad in a home loss to Denver in Week 1, but there were positives to take away from that game. The Giants swept Washington last year, winning 23-20 at Washington, and 20-19 at home. They have actually won five straight versus Washington, and they are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. They have covered in four of their last five at Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Ohio v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57.5 | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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09-16-21 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rays | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tigers. Detroit has won five of their last six, and that includes taking 2-of-3 in a home series versus Tampa. I like them as the underdog in Game 1 at Tampa Thursday. Tyler Alexander will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been pretty solid in his last five starts. The Tigers won three of the last five games he appeared in, but they are 5-0 ATS in those games. The Rays hand the ball to 31 year old reliever Louis Head, who will be used as an opener. The Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 games versus teams from the AL East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a free play on the Dodgers. The Dodgers have been playing about as well as you could possibly expect, but still haven't gained any ground against first place San Francisco. That could change tonight, as LA is a heavy favorite while the Giants are an underdog at home versus the Padres. Julio Urias will toe the slab for LA, and he's been dealing. He's 4-0 with a 1.14 ERA in his last four starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, and he's lost his last three starts. One of those was against the Dodgers, and he gave up four runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings in an 8-3 home loss. The Diamondbacks are 9-45 in their last 54 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-21 | Reds -135 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati. Despite losing four of their last five, the Reds are just a half game out of a playoff spot. They need to stop the bleeding with a win here at Pittsburgh. Vladdy G will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's been better on the road than he has been at home. He's 6-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 11 road starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Mitch Keller, who has been lit up in past meetings versus Cincinnati. The Reds are batting a combined .417 over 58 at bats versus Keller. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-21 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have gone over the total in 11 straight games, and we can expect another slugfest in Seattle today. Tanner Houk will toe the slab for Boston, and he's struggled on the road. He's 0-1 with a 4.12 ERA in five appearances on the road. He's also walked nine batters in nine innings in his last two road starts. The Mariners hand the ball to Marco Gonzales, who hasn't had much luck against Boston. The Red Sox are batting .462 against him over a small sample size of 42 combined at bats. The over is 14-3 in the last 17 head to head meetings, and they have gone over in seven straight in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -164 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blue Jays. Toronto is still the hottest team in baseball despite losing Game 2 of this home series versus Tampa. We have every reason to expect them to bounc back in Game 3. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for the Jays, and he's starting to emerge as a Cy Young candidate. He's 2-0 with a 1.91 ERA in his last five starts. The Rays hand the ball to Michael Wacha, who has been hit hard of late. He's 1-3 with a 6.28 ERA in 13 appearances on the road. The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAD. The Dodgers have won 17 of their last 24, but they haven't gained any ground on the Giants in the NL West. They face another must win against Arizona tonight. Tony Gonsolin will go for the Dodgers, and he's allowed just three runs in his last three appearances. He's 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA in five home starts this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Luke Weaver, who has really struggled on the road. Despite a 1.95 ERA at home, he's 0-3 with a 8.20 ERA in four starts on the road. The Dodgers own Weaver, batting a combined .334 against him. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers have won 17 of their last 24, but they haven't gained any ground on the Giants in the NL West. They face another must win against Arizona tonight. Tony Gonsolin will go for the Dodgers, and he's allowed just three runs in his last three appearances. He's 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA in five home starts this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Luke Weaver, who has really struggled on the road. Despite a 1.95 ERA at home, he's 0-3 with a 8.20 ERA in four starts on the road. The Dodgers own Weaver, batting a combined .334 against him. The over is 13-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 17 games as an underdog GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-21 | Padres v. Giants -153 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-14-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -129 | 2-0 | Loss | -129 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball, and they look good as a small favorite tonight versus Tampa. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's on a roll. He's 3-1 with a 3,49 ERA in his last five starts. The Rays hand the ball to Drew Rasmussen, who has looked sharp in recent starts. He doesn't go deep into ball games though, lucky to go five innings. The Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-21 | Ravens -190 v. Raiders | 27-33 | Loss | -190 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 50.5 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-13-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -125 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball, and they look good as a small favorite tonight versus Tampa. Alek Manoah will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's undefeated at home this season. He's 3-0 with a 2.97 ERA in seven home starts. The Rays hand the ball to Colin McHugh, who has been used as an opener. He's got great numbers, but he normally only pitches the first inning or two. The Blue Jays are 9-1 in their last 10 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -103 | 68 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rams had the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense last season, while the Bears ranked #1 in scoring defense back in 2018. We should expect a low score here on Sunday night. The Rams brought in Matt Stafford, and he brings high expectations of an improved offense. The Rams offense has struggled since Todd Gurley left, and their current stable of running backs looks a bit lackluster with Cam Akers out and Darrell Henderson banged up. The Bears are trotting out Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1, and that looks like a recipe for disaster against this Rams pass rush. The under is 13-5 in the Bears last 18 games as a road underdog, and the under is 14-3 in the Rams last 17 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Yankees v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Yankees have split the first two games of this series versus the Mets, and both games saw double digit totals. Game 3 goes tonight, and I expect another slugfest. The Yankees send a rookie to the mound. The Yankees recalled Schmidt from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Sunday. The Mets hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has been lit up in recent starts. He's 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA in his last five starts. The over is 6-1-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Browns +6.5 v. Chiefs | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 1266 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Browns open as a big underdog on the road at Kansas City, and I gonna make a move here taking the points. Baker Mayfield versus Patrick Mahomes is an intriguing matchup, one that we've seen plenty of times in the past. Most recently in last year's playoffs, when the Chiefs survived with a 22-17 win at Arrowhead. The most memorable head to head meeting came back in 2016 when Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma won 66-59 in historic shootout versus Mahomes and Texas Tech. This is a lot of points for a Chiefs team that is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 overall. The history between these teams shows the road team covering in four straight and the underdog covering in six of the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Packers -173 v. Saints | 3-38 | Loss | -173 | 64 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Green Bay. Jameis Winston takes over at QB for the Saints, and we will see if he can do a better job protecting the football. He threw for over 5000 yards and 33 TDs in his last year in Tampa, but he also threw a whopping 30 INTs. His receiving corps here in New Orleans without Michael Thomas isn't quite as dynamic as it was in Tampa. The Saints open the season in Jacksonville against the Packers, and Green Bay is expected to be a legit Super Bowl contender. The Packers won in New Orleans last year by a score of 37-30, and Rogers threw for 283 yards and three TDs on 21-of-32 passing. Expect history to repeat itself here in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 1259 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. Washington is considered by many to be the favorite to win the NFC East, but that's not saying much. They won seven games last year, and not one of those wins was anything to brag about. Wins came against Andy Dalton twice, Nick Mullens, Ryan Finley, Nate Sudfeld, Carson Wentz, and the Steelers without any running backs. No wonder their defense ranked so well, they were facing backup quarterbacks and banged up teams every week. The Chargers come in with one of the hottest young QBs in the NFL. Justin Herbert threw for over 4,300 yards and 30 TDs as a rookie last year. The Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September. The Chargers are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -155 v. Colts | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Seattle. The Seahawks will be at Indianapolis in Week 1, and the Colts are in a tough spot. Carson Wentz missed the pre-season and is rushing back after off-season surgery. It's a new coach, a new system and new personnel. The Seahawks are hoping that Russell Wilson will be the same QB he was threw the first eight games of last season, when he averaged 318 passing yards per game. Chris Carson has battled injuries, but when healthy he's as good as it gets. He looks good in Week 1 with his team listed as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Cardinals v. Titans -149 | 38-13 | Loss | -149 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Titans ranked 4th in the NFL in scoring averaging over 30 points per game last year. The addition of Julio Jones is going to make them even better. They will need to score a lot of points, because they have struggled on defense allowing over 27 points per game last season. The Cardinals come in with a formidable offense, but losing a pair of stars in their secondary this off-season might hurt them defensively. The over is 15-5-1 in Titans last 21 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Hawaii v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rainbow Warriors have given up 79 points while going 1-1 in their first two games of the season. They are on the road at Oregon State this week, and the Beavers are a double digit favorite. The total for this game looks a little inflated, when you consider that neither of these teams are great in the passing game. Hawaii has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and the under is 5-0 in their last five on the road. The Beavers have gone under in four of their last five versus Hawaii. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Jacksonville State v. Florida State UNDER 57 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Seminoles lost their home opener against Notre Dame, but it was a feel good story even in defeat. McKenzie Milton stepped in to lead a fourth quarter comeback bid that fell just short. Jordan Travis threw for 130 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 9-of-19 passing versus the Irish. FSU catches a break with a favorable matchup at home versus Jacksonville State this week. The Gamecocks were shutout in a loss to UAB in their first game of the season. The under is 8-1 in the Gamecocks last nine games overall, and they have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The number looks a bit too high considering that this should be a one-sided contest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Portland State +31 v. Washington State | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland State. The Cougars got off to a horrible start, losing their home opener to Utah State. There is no way they deserve to be a 31 point favorite against a Portland State team that can really put points on the board. Davis Alexander threw for 400 yards and three TDs on 23-of-47 passing in a 49-35 loss to Hawaii last week. They are likely to be just as competitive here against the Cougars. The last time these teams met, the Cougars lost outright as a 30-point favorite back in 2015. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -115 | 9-33 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bombers, The Bombers won big at Saksatchewan in the Labour Day Classic, and they look good as a pickem in the rematch just five days later. Cody Fajardo took a beating in the loss, throwing for 211 yards and three INTs on 23-of-39 passing. The Blue Bombers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They have covered in six of their last seven versus Saskatchewan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Buffalo +14.5 v. Nebraska | 3-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. The Cornhuskers are 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 home games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Giants -191 v. Cubs | 15-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Giants. San Francisco is still holding on to first place in the NL West, and they look good as the favorite here at Wrigley today. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for the Giants, and he's undefeated in his last six starts. He's 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA in six appearances over the last 30 days. The Cubs hand the ball to Zack Davies, who has been clobbered at home. He's 0-1 with a 4.68 ERA in his last five starts. The Giants are 35-16 in their last 51 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Rutgers v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 66 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Rutgers scored 61 points in a blowout win over Temple in Week 1, but we can expect a much closer game here against Syracuse. History tells us that this might be a defensive battle. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the Scarlet Knights have gone under in four straight at Syracuse. The under is 11-5 in Scarlet Knights last 16 road games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus ACC teams. The Orange have gone under in four of their last five in the month of September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Norwich City v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal sits dead last in the Premier League table, and coach Mikel Arteta is on the hot seat. They host Norwich City, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Both clubs are winless in the Premier League with a -9 goal differential, and both teams won by a score of 6-0 in their respective Carabao Cup matches against Championship clubs. I wouldn't fancy either of these teams to post a clean sheet, and I expect a high score here in London. The last three head to head meetings all went over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners -160 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Mariners are on fire of late, putting them just two games out of a Wild Card spot. A home game against Arizona is a must win. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been lit up in his last three starts. He allowed five runs on five hits and five walks in six innings in a loss to the Mariners his last time out. Seattle had listed Marco Gonzales as the starter, but it looks like he might be swapped out for a replacement. The D'Backs have lost five straight at Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | North Dakota v. Utah State UNDER 53.5 | 24-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Utah State Aggies are coming off their first win over a Power Five team since 2014, and their first road win versus the Power Five in 50 years. They needed two TDs in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter to complete the comeback in a 26-23 win over Washington State. Their defense did a fine job against the Cougars, and we can expect another defensive battle here against North Dakota. The Aggies have gone under in eight of their last 10 when coming off a win, and the Fighting Hawks have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 47 | 16-17 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Argos lost the Labour Day Classic at Hamilton by a score of 32-19, and we can expect another high score here in Toronto just four days later. Both defenses are a little banged up, and Argos pass rusher Charleston Hughes is questionable to play in the rematch. Dane Evans had his way with the Argos, throwing for 248 yards and two TDs on 21-of-29 passing in the win. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight meetings, and the total for tonight's game is lower than it was in seven of those eight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | 29-31 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. The Bucs are a big favorite in the season opener versus Dallas, and the game script suggests that Tampa will be doing plenty of scoring. Their team total is set at 30.5, and if they hit that then there will be a few TDs to go around. The main man in the red zone is Mike Evans, who caught 13 TD passes in 2020. With Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin each entering this game with an injury designation of "questionable", Evans could see even more touches. If this game does go according to script, the Bucs should open up a healthy lead which will result in a heavy dose of run plays in the second half. With Ronald Jones splitting the workload with Leonard Fournette, both backs have pretty low rush yard totals. Bruce Arians seems to favor Jones, who averaged over five yards per carry last season. He should have no problem running for 50+ yards. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 51.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs ranked 3rd in the NFL in scoring last year, and they come into their season opener with all their starters back and at full strength. They are a huge favorite against a Dallas team that allowed opponents to average almost 30 points last year. Dak Prescott is back, and when healthy the Cowboys offense was firing on all cylinders. Dallas averaged 33 points per game in the games Prescott played last year. The over is 8-2 in the Buccaneers last 10 games as a home favorite, and the Cowboys have gone over in four straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta -1.5. The Braves have a 2.5 game lead in the NL East, and they look good as a home favorite versus Washington tonight. Huascar Ynoa will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been sharp at home. Ynoa is 3-2 with a 2.29 ERA in six home starts. The Nats hand the ball to Erick Fedde, who has been lit up in his last two starts. He allowed 13 runs on 17 hits over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses to the Mets. The Nationals are 6-21 in their last 27 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-21 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -148 | 8-5 | Loss | -148 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. The D'Backs have lost nine of their last 10 overall, but they are a sizeable favorite today against Texas. Luke Weaver will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been lights out in recent starts. He's allowed one run on nine hits over 16 1/3 innings in his last three appearances. The Rangers hand the ball to Kohei Arihara, who hasn't gone past the fourth inning in any of his last four starts. He's been torched for 17 runs on 17 hits over 11 2/3 innings in those games. The Rangers are 9-43 in their last 52 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-21 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Brewers lost Game 1 of this home series versus Philly, but they look good as the dog in Game 2. Eric Lauer will toe the slab for Milwaukee, and he's been solid in recent starts. He's allowed two runs or less in four of his last five starts, posting an ERA of 3.15 during that span. The Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who has been roughed up in back to back starts. He's 0-1 with a 4.78 ERA in his last five starts. The Brewers are 36-15 in their last 51 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary -5.5 | 32-20 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Calgary. There's a new sheriff in town for the Stampeders, and rookie QB Jake Maier has thrown for 611 yards on 46-of-68 passing. He's showed the poise of a seasoned pro, and the Stamps are in good shape moving forward. The same can not be said for the Edmonton Elks, who have been sidelined for weeks due to a Covid outbreak. Edmonton is coming off a win at BC, but they are 0-8 ATS coming off a win. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 at Calgary. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-21 | Reds -149 v. Cubs | 3-4 | Loss | -149 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Reds. The Reds lost two of three in a home series versus the Tigers, and now they are a half a game back in the Wild Card race. They catch a break this week with a series versus the Cubs in Chicago. The Reds are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings, and they have won four of their last five at Wrigley. Sonny Gray will toe the rubber for the Reds, and Cincinnati is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. He's 3-0 with a 2.28 ERA in his last five starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who has lost back to back starts at home. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 8 2/3 innings in those games. The Cubs are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-21 | Toronto +115 v. Hamilton | 19-32 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Argos are coming off a bye, and the Ticats are coming off their first win of the season. Something's gotta give here in Hamilton on Labour Day, and the bookmakers are saying this could be anybody's game. Nick Arbuckle stepped in at QB for the Argos in Week 3, and he threw for 310 yards and a TD on 23-of-32 passing. The Ticats also made a change at QB, and Dane Evans played well in Hamilton's first win. The Argos have lost six in a row versus Hamilton, but the pieces are in place for them to end that streak here on Labour Day. Toronto has covered in seven straight versus Eastern Conference teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. The Seminoles were 3-6 last season, but they come in with high expectations that Mike Norvell can turn things around. It won't be easy in Week 1 hosting the Notre Dame Irish. Brian Kelly has won 32 straight against unranked opponents, and the Irish have won the last two versus Florida State by a combined 45 points. As much as the Seminoles might be improved, they are going to struggle to make up for a disparity of talent on both the offensive and defensive line. Jack Coan had himself a solid season with Wisconsin in 2019, completing 70 percent of his passes for 2727 yards, 18 TDs and just 5 INTs. There will be enough talent around him to allow Notre Dame to be a contender again in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Winnipeg +5.5 v. Saskatchewan | 23-8 | Win | 100 | 38 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WPG. The Riders have the best record in the CFL, but they face their toughest test yet when they host the defending champions Winnipeg. The Bombers are coming off an 18-16 win over Calgary, and they have the top ranked defense in the CFL. History tells us that we can expect this to be a close game, and Winnipeg looks like a solid bet getting points. Winnipeg has won four of the last six meetings, and they have covered the spread in five of those six games. Andrew Harris is back, and he ran for 81 yards and a TD on 17 carries in the win over Calgary. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Mariners -127 v. Diamondbacks | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Mariners have won five of their last six overall, and they are just four games out of a wild card spot. Chris Flexen will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been on fire in the second half of the season. He's 1-0 with a 2.67 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Tyer Gilbert, who is coming off a poor performance. He allowed five runs on eight hits in five innings in a home loss to San Diego his last time out. The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in their last 10 interleague games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Utah State v. Washington State UNDER 67 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Washington State Cougars have been involved in plenty of high scoring games over the year's, but this year's squad ain't you're daddy's Cougars. The Mike Leach era has ended, and the Air Raid offense will be replaced by Nick Rolovich's more balanced offensive approach. We should see Max Borghi and fellow senior Deon McIntosh do a lot of the heavy lifting. They host the Utah State Aggies in Week 1, and Utah State was 1-5 last season. The Aggies scored an average of 10 points in those five losses. The total for this game has been bet up, and now sits in the high sixties. I think that's a little over optimistic for these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -175 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -175 | 1075 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Georgia Bulldogs finished last season strong after making a change at QB, and they are expecting to have a big year with JT Daniels as the starter. Daniels threw for over 1200 yards, 10 TDs and just two INTs while winning the last three games of the regular season, then won a close game in the Peach Bowl versus Cincinnati. He didn't see any Top 10 ranked teams last year, and Clemson is considered by many to be the favorite heading into 2021. D.J. Uiagalelei takes over for Trevor Lawrence, and the Tigers offense didn't miss a beat in the two games he started last year. He could have an improved offensive line, and with 10 starters back on defense the Tigers have the peices in place to win another National Championship. Last year Mac Jones and Kyle Trask each lit up the Georgia secondary each throwing for over 400 yards. Uiagalelei might do the same here in Week 1, handing the Dawgs a loss in their opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Tigers v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog today. Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in six appearances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been hot lately. This could be a pitcher's duel. The A's have lost six straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Texas UNDER 58.5 | 18-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Longhorns will have a tricky matchup in Week 1, facing a ranked team at home. New head coach Steve Sarkisian will have to have his team on their toes to avoid an upset at the hands of the #23 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. Last year the Ragin Cajuns opened the season with a road win over a BIG12 team when they defeated Iowa State in Ames by a score of 31-14. They are returning 10 defensive starters from a unit that was 1st in the Sun Belt versus the pass last year, allowing opponents to average just 170 yards per game. Sarkisian isn't likely to have his offense humming at full speed this early in the season, so we should see both teams lean heavy on the run. I don't think these teams will combine to score 60 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | Astros v. Padres OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Padres will host the Astros in Game 1 in San Diego Friday night, and we expect the series opener to be a slugfest. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he's making his first appearance since June. He won't likely log a lot of innings in his first start in several months. The Padres hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who has been lit up in five straight starts. He allowed five runs on seven hits over 3 1/3 innings in his Padres debut, and you have to wonder how long he will last in the rotation. The over is 44-18-3 in the Padres last 65 interleague home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | Montreal -7 v. Ottawa | 51-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. Both Montreal and Ottawa are 1-2, but the Als have a lot more to be positive about. They scored 30 points in a Week 2 win over Edmonton, before losing a close game at Calgary in Week 3 and then last week they lost to a desperate Hamilton team. They draw a favorable matchup here on Friday night, playing the RedBlacks. Ottawa ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring, and QB Matt Nichols has yet to throw a TD pass. He can lay the blame on a poor offensive line, and that could be a recipe for disaster here against an opportunistic Montreal defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech UNDER 64 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. North Carolina comes into a hostile environment at Virginia Tech as a significant favorite. Quarterback Sam Howell is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, but he's got his work cut out for him. The loss of Dyami Brown, Dazz Newsome, Javonte Williams, and Michael Carter will not be easy, and it could take some time to work out the offensive chemistry. Howell had a fantastic season a year ago, but he didn't exactly light it up in his first two starts. He threw for 620 yards, three TDs and three INTs in wins over Syracuse and Boston College. Neither of those games saw more than 50 points combined. The Hokies scored a ton of points in a loss at North Carolina last year, and that game was a high scoring shootout. With all the turnover I really don't see that happening here in the season opener in Blacksburg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Buckeyes ran the table in the BIG10 last year, but after three games were cancelled due to Covid, the conference had to change the rules midway through the season in order to allow Ohio State to play Northwestern in the Conference Championship Game. Three of their six wins came by less than 14 points, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. This team was 11-2 in 2019, and last year's 3-4 record can be written off as a product of delays and interruptions during a pandemic. With all the talent returning in 2021, there is every reason to expect PJ Fleck to field a highly competitive team. The Buckeyes last game at Minnesota came by a score of 31-24, and I expect a similar story here in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-21 | A's v. Tigers +1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog today. Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in six appearances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been hot lately. This could be a pitcher's duel. The A's have lost six straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-21 | A's v. Tigers +1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog tonight. Wily Peralta will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four apperances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Jame Kaprielian, who was lit up by the Yankees in his last start. He's allowed twice as many runs on the road as he has at home. The A's have lost five straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-21 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Houston Astros rank first in the majors in batting average, and second in runs scored. We might see plenty of scoring here in Seattle in Game 2. Yusei Kikuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lit up this season when facing Houston. He's 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in four starts versus the Astros this season. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who is facing Seattle for the second time in 10 days. He's 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two previous starts versus the Mariners this season. These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-21 | Twins v. Tigers +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tigers. The Tigers are 2-3 in their last five overall, but all five of those games were decided by one run. If it wasn't for such a terrible start to the season, this could be a playoff team. Casey Mize will to the slab for Detroit, and he's been solid at home. He's 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA in 11 home starts this season. The Twins hand the ball to Bailey Ober, who is winless in seven starts on the road. The Tigers have won four straight at home, and five of six overall versus the Twins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -6.5 | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Winnipeg. The Bombers lost on the road at Calgary last week, but they draw a favorable matchup this Saturday with a home game against Calgary. The Stampeders lost Bo Levi Mitchell to injury, and last week they started rookie Jake Maier, who completed just 55 percent of his passes for 304 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs. Despite Montreal out-gaining the Stamps 418-384 in total yards, Calgary hung on for the win. He's facing a far tougher team here on the road in Winnipeg this week, and it's bound to be tough sledding. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-21 | Royals v. Mariners -145 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have lost three straight at home to Kansas City, possibly killing their playoff chances. That said, I do like Seattle to avoid a sweep here this afternoon. Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been sharp in the second half of the season. He's 2-0 with a 1.36 ERA in his last five starts. The Royals hand the ball to Brady Singer, who has lost four of his last five starts. He's 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA in nine starts on the road. The Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-21 | Manchester United -126 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester United. The Red Devils came into the season as a serious contender to win the league, but after acquiring Cristiano Ronaldo they are probably now the favorites. Confidence should be high heading into this Sunday's away match at Wolves. It's been a rough start for Wolves losing both their first two league matches, and failing to score a goal in those games. United scored twice against Southampton last week, but unfortunately one of those was an own goal. The Red Devils are 29-9-7 all time at Wolverhampton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Southern Utah v. San Jose State UNDER 57.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The San Jose State Spartans will be a big favorite in their season opener versus Southern Utah, and money has been coming in the total. With the number bet up several points from the opening line, there looks like some value in fading the movement. The underdogs weren't great on defense last season, but they did lead their conference and finish in the top 20 of FCS with three sacks per game. It would be no surprise to see these offenses struggle to get off the ground in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 13-0 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 5* play on Under. The Cardinals have split the first two games of this series in Pittsburgh, and Game 3 on Saturday looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been stellar in recent starts. He's 4-1 with a 1.70 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Steven Brault, who has also been sharp. He's only allowed four earned runs in his last four starts. The under is 8-2-2 in the Pirates last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska v. Illinois +7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 118 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Illinois. Nebraska was a -15 point favorite at home versus Illinois last year, and they got their butts whipped in a 41-23 loss. That sets up a revenge spot here at Illinois in Week 1. It makes sense that Nebraska is favored to win this game, but asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little questionable to me. The Illini are bringing back the majority of last year's starters, including Senior QB Brandon Peters. Brett Beilema takes over at coach, and he should be able to get the running game going at full tilt. The last time Nebraska played at Illinois they came in as a nine point favorite, and failed to cover winning by a score of 42-38. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Arsenal v. Manchester City -1.75 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 94 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester City. The Gunners come into this game off a high, beating West Brom 6-0 in the Carabao Cup. It's time for a reality check though, as they have been outscored 4-0 in their first two Premier League matches. That includes a 2-0 loss at home to newly promoted Brentford. Mancehster City is the favorite to repeat as champions, and they are coming off a 5-0 home win over Norwich. Arsenal has given no indication they can do what few teams can, and that's come away with points at the Etihad. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-21 | Vikings v. Chiefs -185 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chiefs. |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton -125 v. Montreal | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hamilton. The Ticats are 0-2, and this has forced them to make a change turning to Dane Evans at QB. They are coming off a bye week, giving them plenty of time to get their ducks in a row. Jeremiah Masoli had thrown four picks and just one TD in back to back losses to start the season, which resulted in him being benched in the loss to Saskatchewan in Week 2. Evans was the starter in 2019, throwing for over 3,700 yards with 21 TDs and 13 INTs. Hamilton finished first in the East and had the best record in the CFL (15-3) with Evans under center. He's more than capable of leading them to a win on the road at Montreal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-21 | Reds -132 v. Marlins | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati. The Reds have moved into a Wild Card spot after winning five of their last seven, and they look good as a small favorite here in Miami. Wade Miley will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA in his last five starts. His last start was a win over The Fish. Miami will hand the ball to Zach Thompson, who has lost four of his last five starts. His last start was a 7-4 loss at Cincinnati. The Reds are 29-11 in their last 40 games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-21 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Blue Jays are looking to earn a split with a win in Game 4 versus the White Sox. All three games in this series have gone under, and today's pitching matchup suggests another low score. Hyun Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's lived up to expectations this season. He's 3-1 with a 3.90 ERA in his last five starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who has been as good as anyone in 2021. He's 6-2 with a 2.21 ERA in 11 starts on the road this season. The Jays have gone under in seven straight versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-25-21 | Rockies -120 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. You know I really hate to back the Rockies on the road given their terrible record, but this game sets up perfectly for a play on the visitors at this price. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's having a solid season. He's 3-2 with a 5,02 ERA in his last five starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Zach Davies, who has really been torched in recent starts. He's 0-4 with an 8.25 ERA in his last five starts. The Cubs are 1-11 in their last 12 games as a home underdog, and they are 5-16 in their last 21 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-24-21 | Rangers v. Indians -150 | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Indians. Cleveland is coming off a three game sweep in a home series versus LA, and they host the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of a home series Tuesday. Eli Morgan will toe the slab for the Tribe, and while his overall numbers look terrible, that doesn't tell us the whole story. He tossed six scoreless innings in a win at Minnesota his last time out, and he's delivered a quality start in four of his last five appearances. The Rangers hand the ball to Taylor Hearn, who has lost four of his last five starts. He failed to make it into the 5th inning in four of those games. The Rangers are 9-42 in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-21 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. West Ham got off to a cracking start, beating Newcastle by a score of 4-2 in their season opener, and they host Leicester City on Monday. West Ham scored 62 goals in the league last year, that's four more than Chelsea, and seven more than Arsenal. Their defending however is nowhere near the quality of the top teams in the Premier League, and I don't like their chances of posting a clean sheet here against Leicester. These teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -205 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on the Cardinals. The Pirates have shocked the Cardinals in the first two games in St. Louis, setting up a big revenge spot in Game 3. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been dealing lately. He's 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA in his last five starts. The Bucs will hand the ball to Brault, who has only appeared in three games this season. The Pirates are 26-73 in their last 99 road games, and the under is 8-2 in the Cardinals last 10 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-21 | Chelsea -125 v. Arsenal | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 62 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. Chelsea finished fourth in the Premier League last season, but they won the Champions League Final versus Manchester City. They were a different team after Thomas Tuchel took over for Frank Lampard. They went on a spending spree last summer, and have since added more big names ahead of this season. The likes of Werner and Havertz should be better in their second year at the club, while Romelu Lukaka is a familiar face in the Premier League. Arsenal is a bit of a mess, and they aren't at a level that would allow them to compete with the top five clubs in the league. The Gunners haven't won in five matches, and they have only scored once in their last three matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -154 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Colorado. The Rockies have won 42 games in Colorado, tied with San Francisco for the most home wins in the National League. They are just a small favorite against Arizona tonight, despite a favorable pitching matchup. Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been sharp in recent starts. The southpaw is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zac Gallen, who has lost four of his last five starts. He's 0-3 with a 7.09 ERA in those games. The Diamondbacks are 12-40 in their last 52 games as a road underdog, and they have lost five straight in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |