Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-06-21 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 9 | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Bronx Bombers aren't exactly living up to all the hype this season, ranking 25th in the majors in scoring. They could be due to break out tonight in Seattle against a struggling starting pitcher. Justus Sheffield will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lit up lately. Sheffield (5-7, 5.88 ERA) has allowed 10 runs on 14 hits over 9 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. The Yankees hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has an ERA over 11.00 on the road. He allowed five runs on nine hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the Angels his last time out. The over is 7-2 in the Yankees last nine games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix to win the Finals. The Milwaukee Bucks finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference in both 2019 & 2020, but each of those seasons ended with post-season disappointment. Are they really any better this year than they were the last two years... or have they just been fortunate that James Harden, Kyrie Irving and Tre Young all got hit by injuries? Their luck may have run out here in the Finals, facing a healthy Phoenix team that finished with the second best record in the NBA this season. Giannis might play, but it's highly unlikely that he will be anywhere near 100 percent. Even when healthy, he's had plenty of struggles, especially at the free throw line. The Suns have won five of their last six versus Milwaukee, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the Bucks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-21 | Phillies +1.5 v. Cubs | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
8* |
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07-06-21 | Spain v. Italy | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Italy. Spain has survived extra time and penalty shootouts in their last two matches, while Italy is coming off an impressive 2-1 win over Belgium. If you've been betting on Spain in this tournament, you lost a lot of money. Their only regulation win came against Slovakia. Draws against Sweden and Poland were a huge disappointment. Italy has been spectacular defensively, conceding just one goal (from the penalty spot) in their last 12 matches. There's a meme going around that kind of says it all about their veteran defenders: "They aren't 19 year olds with cool haircuts, they don't have 50 million followers on Instagram, They don't have great cards on FIFA, they only know one thing and that's proper defending." GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-05-21 | Lightning v. Canadiens +149 | 2-3 | Win | 149 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. After watching the first three games of this series, it seems pretty clear that Tampa is the better team. Then again, they probably said that about the San Jose Sharks when they had a 3-0 series lead versus LA in the first round in 2014. The Kings went on to beat the Sharks and win the Stanley Cup that year. While that was the last time we saw a team come back from a 3-0 series deficit, you have to go even further back to find the last time a team was swept in the Stanley Cup Finals. The last team to win 4-0 in the Stanley Cup Finals was Detroit in 1998. I'm not ready to call for another epic comeback, but I do think that the Habs are more than capable of extending this series and forcing it back to Tampa for Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-05-21 | Cardinals v. Giants -177 | 5-3 | Loss | -177 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on San Francisco. The Giants come into Monday's Game 1 versus St. Louis with a half game lead over the Dodgers in the NL West. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's having a hell of a season. Only Jacob deGrom has a lower ERA in the majors this season. Gausman is 3-0 with a 2.31 ERA in five home starts. The Cardinals hand the ball to Kwang Hyun-Kim, who hasn't had much success on the road. He's 0-4 with a 4.44 ERA in four road starts. The Cardinals are 3-13 in their last 16 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-21 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Orioles have lost back to back games in LA, and they will be an underdog in Game 3. I expect to see fireworks on the 4th of July. Tom Eshelman will toe the slab for Baltimore and he's still looking for his first win of the season. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks in 3 2/3 innings in a no decision at Houston his last time out. The Halos hand the ball to Patrick Sandoval, who has won his last three starts. He allowed eight runs on 12 hits and six walks over 16 2/3 innings in those games. The over is 7-3-1 in the Orioles last 11 road games, and the over is 19-7 in the Angels last 26 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -146 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado. The Rockies have won five of six on this current home stand, and they look good in Game 3 against St. Louis. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dominant at home. Marquez is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 11 starts at Coors Field. The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who hasn't missed many bats this season. He's 1-6 with a 7.52 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Cardinals are 2-10 in their last 12 road games, and they are 7-16 in their last 23 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Royals have scored 13 runs in back to back home wins over the Twins, and we should see another slugfest in Game 3 Sunday afternoon. Kenta Maeda will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's lost four of his last five starts. Maeda (3-3, 5.56 ERA) allowed seven runs on eight hits and five walks over 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Chicago. The Royals hand the ball to Brad Keller, who has allowed five or more runs in four of his last five appearances. He hasn't pitched well at home, going 2-4 with a 7.97 ERA in eight starts. The over is 22-8-2 in the Twins last 32 road games, and the over is 12-5-4 in the Royals last 21 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Mariners have won eight of their last 10 home games, and they are just a small favorite in Game 2 versus Texas. The Rangers are just 12-29 on the road this season. Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off a couple solid starts. The southpaw has allowed five runs while striking out 11 batters in 11 1/3 innings in home wins over the Rays and Twins in his last two starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who is just 1-4 with a 5.10 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks | 118-107 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog, and the Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. I expect Atlanta to make the necessary adjustments, and Game 6 should look a lot like Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Twins v. Royals -135 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Royals. Kansas City won Game 1 of this home series versus Minnesota, and I like them as a small favorite in Game 2. Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's pitched well at home. Duffy (4-3, 2.44 ERA) allowed one run on two hits, striking out seven in seven innings in a win over Minnesota earlier this season. The Twins hand the ball to Griffin Jax, who has an ERA of 7.82 in four appearances. The Twins are 8-22 in their last 30 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | England -227 v. Ukraine | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on England. England has not allowed a goal in four matches in this tournament, and they draw a favorable matchup in the quarterfinals. The Ukraine lost two of three matches in the group stages, with their one win coming against the biggest underdog in the entire tournament. They were so lucky to have advanced to the round of 16, and then their luck continued in their win over Sweden. Emil Forsberg scored his fourth goal, and he struck the post twice on chances that should have found the back of the net. England is a big favorite, but I think this is a mismatch of epic proportions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-21 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Orioles are coming off three straight wins, scoring 27 runs in a sweep at Houston. Their pitching staff has struggled though, ranking 30th in ERA and 29th in WHIP. Keegan Akin will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's coming off three straight disastrous starts. He has been torched for 19 runs on 21 hits over 14 innings in those games. The Angels hand the ball to Griffin Canning, who has an ERA over 5.00 at home. The over is 15-7-2 in the Orioles last 24 overall, and the over is 19-7 in the Angels last 26 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-21 | Lightning v. Canadiens +119 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. The Habs were outscored 8-2 in the first two games of this series, but it hasn't been as one-sided as it seems. They dominated Game 2, especially in the second period. One mistake with two seconds left on the clock resulted in Tampa scoring the game winning goal with 0.3 seconds left in the period. They had a 43-23 advantage in shots on goal, but at the end of the day Andrei Vasilevsky was better than Carey Price. If Montreal plays the way they did in Game 2, they will be hard to beat on home ice. It feels like all the luck has been with the lightning in the first two games, but if things start bouncing in favor of Montreal this series could change in a hurry. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-21 | Spain v. Switzerland +1 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Switzerland. Spain will once again be a big favorite in the quarterfinals versus giant-killers Switzerland. The Swiss have just upset tournament favorites Frances, while Spain has just one win in four matches at this tournament. Their win over Croatia in the round of 16 was a draw as far as bettors are concerned, as the score was level after 90 minutes. They also played to a draw in matches versus Poland and Sweden. Spain is just 1-1-2 in their last four matches versus Switzerland, and the one win came by a score of 1-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -132 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks are reeling after losing Giannis to a knee injury in Game 4, but after seeing the Hawks dominate from start to finish with Trae Young on the bench, it's up to the Bucks to respond in similar fashion. Mike Budenholzer didn't have the troops prepared for Game 4, but I expect him to get his house in order for a must win game at home. Remember the last game in Milwaukee was a blowout, with the Bucks winning by 34 points. Jrue Holiday scored 22 points on 9-of-14 shooting, and the Bucks shot over 52 percent from the field. They will miss Giannis, but if everyone else does their job... they can do this. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-21 | Mets -154 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -154 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYM. The Mets have split the first two games of this series in Atlanta, but they look good in the rubber match with the best pitcher in baseball on the mound. Jacob deGrom (7-2, 0.69 ERA) allowed one hit, tossing five scoreless innings in a home win over Atlanta a couple weeks ago. He was 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts versus the Braves last year. Atlanta will hand the ball to Ian Anderson, the baseball player not the guy from Jethro Tull. He's 1-2 with a 3.71 ERA in his last five starts, and Atlanta lost four of those five games. The Mets are 22-7 in their last 29 games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-21 | Suns -103 v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHX. The Clippers caught a break in Game 5, in fact they caught quite a few breaks. Paul George scored 41 points on 15-of-20 shooting, Reggie Jackson and Markus Morris also scored 20+, both shooting for an extremely high percentage. The Suns came out flat, with low energy and Chris Paul was 0-of-6 from beyond the arc. So can LA count on all those things going right in Game 6? I seriously doubt it ... The Suns should come out with a killer instinct here, and prove they are still the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | 1-3 | Loss | -155 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Montreal. So the Habs were blown out by a score of 5-1 in Game 1, so what does that tell us about this series moving forward? I don't think it tells us a damn thing. Montreal lost Game 1 of their series versus Vegas by a score of 4-1, and they went on to dominate the remainder of the series. They lost three of the first four games against Toronto, and then won three straight to erase a 3-1 series deficit. I still think this team has a lot of fight left, and I expect them to come out a lot stronger in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-21 | Mets v. Braves -145 | 2-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Mets won Game 1 in Atlanrta, but I like the Braves in Game 2 on Wednesday. Max Fried will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been solid recently, especially at home. Fried (4-4, 4.21 ERA) allowed one run on two hits over seven innings in a home win over St. Louis his last time out. The Mets hand the ball to David Peterson, who is winless on the road. He's 0-3 with a 7.03 ERA in eight appearances on the road in 2021. The Mets are 21-48 in their last 69 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-29-21 | Rangers v. A's -176 | 5-4 | Loss | -176 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oakland. The A's are 1.5 games out of first place in the AL West, and they play Game 1 of a home series versus Texas on Tuesday. Texas is just 10-27 on the road, which is almost three times more losses than wins. Mike Foltynewicz will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's coming off his first win of the year. He allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a home win over Oakland, but hes 0-3 with a 7.40 ERA in five starts on the road. The A's hand the ball to James Kaprielian, who has been dealing. He's 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two home starts. The Rangers are 6-25 in the last 31 meetings in Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-29-21 | Pirates v. Rockies -165 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. After winning Game 1 of this home series versus Pittsburgh, the Rockies are 26-16 at home. The Pirates are 13-27 on the road. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been solid at home. He's 5-1 with a 3.56 ERA in 10 home starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Chase De Jong, who is winless in his last five starts. He's 0-2 with a 4.94 ERA in his last five appearances. The Rockies are 10-2 in their last 12 home games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Suns. The Clippers have had an impressive run since Kawhi Leonard went down, but it could all be over in Phoenix tonight. Chris Paul told reporters after Game 4 that he isn't taking anything for granted with a 3-1 series lead. He's seen how quickly a series can turn around, and he's focused on punching his ticket to the finals right here and now. The Suns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They opened up a nine point lead in the first quarter of Game 4, and extended the lead to 14 by halftime. We should expect another fast start for the home team in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | 1-5 | Loss | -160 | 49 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5*play on Montreal +1.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning will be a big favorite in the Stanley Cup Finals, and there is a damn good reason for that. They have been the best team in the NHL for almost a decade. They won the Stanley Cup in 2020, and the President's Trophy in 2019. That being said they were on the wrong side of one of the biggest upsets in NHL history when they were swept in the first round by the Columbus Blue Jackets in 2019. They just barely escaped with a 1-0 win in Game 7 against the New York Islanders, and it's not going to get any easier against an even tougher Montreal team. With perhaps the best top four defense in hockey, and the world's best goaltender, Montreal is in prime position to pull off an upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Phillies v. Reds -153 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Reds. Cincinnati earned a split in a four game home series versus Atlanta this weekend, and they will be a favorite in Game 1 at home versus Philly Monday. Spencer Howard will toe the slab for Philly, and he's still looking for his first win of 2021. Howard (0-2, 5.59 ERA) has allowed five runs on four hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. The Reds hand the ball to Wade Miley, and the veteran is having a fine season. Miley (6-4, 2.85 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out six in seven innings in a win at Minnesota his last time out. The Phillies are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Cincinnati. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks were downright awful in Game 2 in Milwaukee, but I expect to see a different team at home in Atlanta tonight. The Bucks might be liking their own smell after they blew the doors off in Game 2, and they could get caught flat footed early on the road here. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | A's v. Giants OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants host Oakland in a matinee by the bay on Sunday, and I am expecting fireworks. Sam Long will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been far from perfect in his three appearances this season. He's allowed six runs on nine hits over 11 innings in two home starts. Oakland will hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who has won his last four starts. He's given up eight runs on 16 hits over 10 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | Czech Republic v. Netherlands -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Netherlands. Anything can happen in the round of 16, as witnessed with Austria pushing Italy to the brink yesterday. I expect a more commanding performance from the Dutch here against a Czech team that was quite fortunate to lose by just one goal in their match versus England at the end of the group stages. The Dutch finished the group stages strong with back to back wins by a combined score of 5-0. Their 2-0 win over Austria looks even better after the Austrian's surprise performance yesterday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Suns -113 v. Clippers | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix. The Suns came into Game 3, flying high with a 2-0 series lead. Chris Paul was back, and they were selling "Suns in Four" T-shirts in Phoenix. Well after shooting just 38.8 percent from the field, and 10-of-32 from three-point range, they are in danger of heading home with the series tied at 2-2. Paul George put up big numbers in Game 3, and he even made a half-court shot. He didn't shoot that well though, hitting just 3-of-11 from three-point range. In fact if he didn't miss a pair of free throws in the dying seconds of Game 2, the Clippers might be leading this series. Chances are that we will see a better performance from Chris Paul and Devin Booker in Game 4, but it's tough to ask for more from Paul George. The Suns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Cubs v. Dodgers -187 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAD. The Cubs have earned a split in the first two games in LA, but I like the Dodgers in the rubber match Saturday. Alec Mills will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's been far better at home than he has been on the road. He's 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA at Wrigley, and 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA in seven appearances on the road. The Dodgers hand the ball to Julio Urias, who has been solid at home. The Dodgers are 49-20 in their last 69 home games. The Cubs are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Austria v. Italy -183 | 0-0 | Loss | -183 | 99 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Italy. I had Italy in their first match versus Turkey, and they won that game 3-0. Here is what I had to say before kickoff: "The Italian national team has seen dark times over the last decade, but I think this group has a chance to put some respect back in the name “Azzurri”. They come into this tournament as winners of five straight matches, posting a clean sheet in all five of those games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 win over the Czech Republic on June 5. Ciro Immobile opened the scoring, and Barella, Insigne and Berardi also scored." They have now gone over 1000 minutes without conceding a goal, and 30 matches without suffering a loss. Italy should move on with a convincing win over Austria. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -144 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on STL. The Pirates are in last place in NL Central, and after winning back to back games in St. Louis, I don't like their chances in Game 3. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been quite solid of late. The veteran is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates hand the ball to JT Brubaker, who is coming off three straight losses. He's 0-2 with a 6.75 in two starts against the Cardinals this year. The Pirates are 14-29 in the last 43 meetings in St. Louis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Cubs v. Dodgers -165 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAD. The Dodgers are 23-13 at home, but they were on the wrong end of a no-hitter in Game 1 of this home series versus Chicago. The Cubs are just 16-20 on the road, and I don't like their chances in Game 2. Tony Gonsolin will toe the slab for LA, and he's coming off a solid performance. He allowed one run on three hits over 3 2/3 innings in a win at Arizona his last time out. The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who hasn't been missing many bats this season. The veteran was torched for six runs on six hits in three innings in an 11-1 loss to Miami his last time out. The Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 games as a road underdog, and they are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. |
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06-25-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -160 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the TB Lightning. The Lightning had a 2-0 lead in an elimination game in New York in Game 6, but the Islanders battled back to force a Game 7. Tampa hasn't lost back to back games in these playoffs, and they appear destined to prevail in Game 7, giving them a chance at repeating as Stanley Cup Champions. The Islanders are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay, and the Lightning are 47-19 in their last 66 home games. The officiating has been well below average in the 2021 playoffs, and the missed call favored the home team in Game 6. Nikita Kucherov suffered a serious injury from a crosscheck that went unpunished. As much as the Bolts will miss Kucherov, they have plenty of depth on offense. If the officials are going to be biased here, I expect that it would once again favor the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +101 | 92-106 | Win | 101 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. So the Clippers are down 0-2 heading in to Game 3 in LA, exactly the same situation they faced against Utah and Dallas. They actually looked better in the first two games in Phoenix than they did in the first two game of their previous series. Paul George scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting and was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in Game 1. History favors the home team as the Suns are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles, and they are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings. I like LA to come out like gangbusters in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens +130 | 2-3 | Win | 130 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MTL. I liked Montreal as the underdog in this series from the beginning, and after earning a split in Vegas, I have decided to double down. "The Golden Knights are a huge favorite in the Stanley Cup semifinals, but they face a Montreal team that has won it's last seven games. Carey Price is more than capable of stealing a game or two in this series, and the squad in front of him has been outplaying the opposition throughout the playoffs. If you don't think this series is going to be close, just look at the history between these teams. The Habs have won five of the six meetings all time, and all five of those wins came in games decided by one goal." GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-21 | Indians v. Twins -162 | 4-1 | Loss | -162 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. The Twins have won five of their last six, and they look good as a home favorite with their ace on the mound against Cleveland Thursday. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's dealing in recent starts. Berrios (7-2, 3.56 ERA) is 3-0 with a 3.03 ERA in his last five starts, and he's 4-1 with a 4.29 ERA in six home starts. The Indians hand the ball to J.C. Mejia, who has lost three of his last four appearances. He allowed six runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss at Pittsburgh his last time out. The Indians have lost six straight at Target Field. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks host the Hawks in the East Finals, and I expect this to be a short series. Atlanta found a way to get past a banged up Sixers team that had it's fair share of problems. The Bucks are whole different animal. This is a team that has been favorites to come out of the East for a few years now, and it looks like they may have exercised their demons in Game 7 versus Brooklyn. The Hawks have lost four straight at Milwaukee, and they were a double digit underdog in all four of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over The Isles try to pick up the pieces after an 8-0 loss in a pivotal Game 5 in Tampa. This will be particularly tough for their goaltender, who was pulled after allowing three goals on 16 shots. The over is 7-3-2 in Islanders last 12 overall, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine as a home underdog. This being an elimination game, we can expect it to be a lot closer than the 8-0 blowout in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Rockies v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners won a pitcher's duel in Game 1 versus the Rockies, but I expect more scoring in a matinee in Game 2. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's what I like to call a Jeckyll and Hyde pitcher. He's 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA at home, but he's 0-5 with an ERA of 5.74 on the road. The Mariners hand the ball to Justus Sheffield, who has been torched for 12 runs on 17 hits over nine innings in his last two starts. The GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -153 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Mariners have won six of seven on their current home stand, and Tuesday they host the team with the worst road record in the majors. Colorado will also send a struggling starter to the mound. Kyle Freeland (0-2, 9.58 ERA) has been torched for 18 runs on 27 hits over 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts. The Mariners hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who has been better at home. He's 4-2 with a 2.16 ERA in seven home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MTL +1.5. I liked Montreal as the underdog in this series from the beginning, and after earning a split in Vegas, I have decided to double down. "The Golden Knights are a huge favorite in the Stanley Cup semifinals, but they face a Montreal team that has won it's last seven games. Carey Price is more than capable of stealing a game or two in this series, and the squad in front of him has been outplaying the opposition throughout the playoffs. If you don't think this series is going to be close, just look at the history between these teams. The Habs have won five of the six meetings all time, and all five of those wins came in games decided by one goal." GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Clippers pushed Phoenix to the brink in Game 1, and Paul George played out of his mind. Playoff P scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting, and he was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc. So does that mean they are in good shape moving forward? I don't think so! They had a chance to take advantage of a team coming off a long layoff, and they couldn't get it done. They can't count on Paul George to deliver night in, night out. I expect Game 2 to be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | England v. Czech Republic +1 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 38 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Czech +1. England has long been the most overrated team in international football, and their impressive showing in World Cup 2018 only added fuel to the fire. So far in this tournament, that previous success appears to be the exception rather than the rule. Harry Kane came in as the favorite to win the Golden Boot, and he has yet to score. In fact he was taken off the field for a substitute in the draw against Scotland. England has put together a string of less than impressive results, winning four straight one goal games against inferior opposition prior to their embarrassing result against Scotland. They could be settling for another draw here against a far better Czech team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Arizona has lost 17 in a row, and they rank 30th in the major leagues with a team ERA of 5.36. I expect to see plenty of scoring in Game 1 versus Milwaukee. Brett Anderson will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he hasn't has much success against Arizona. The D'Backs lineup is hitting a combined .301 over 64 at bats against him. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, who has lost five straight starts. Kelly allowed five runs on six hits in six innings in a loss to the Brewers earlier this season. Milwaukee is batting a combined .395 over 39 at bats versus Kelly. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On Saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -182 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TB. The Lightning return home with the series tied 2-2, and they are a big favorite in Game 5. The Islanders lost Game 2 in Tampa by a score of 4-2, and I expect a similar result here tonight. The Islanders are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay, and they are 8-18 in the last 26 meetings. The Lightning are 45-19 in their last 64 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-21 | Denmark v. Russia UNDER 2.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Russia is in a position to qualify for the next round, and a draw in their match versus Denmark would likely be enough. Denmark lost their leading scorer in their opening match, when Christian Eriksen collapsed on the field and was brought back to life by medical staff. Between these two teams, they have each scored just one goal in their first two matches of the group stages. They both played Finland, and the final score in each of those games was 1-0. I expect the Russians to be very careful here, and a low score is to be expected. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
I liked Montreal as the underdog in this series from the beginning, and after earning a split in Vegas, I have decided to double down. "The Golden Knights are a huge favorite in the Stanley Cup semifinals, but they face a Montreal team that has won it's last seven games. Carey Price is more than capable of stealing a game or two in this series, and the squad in front of him has been outplaying the opposition throughout the playoffs. If you don't think this series is going to be close, just look at the history between these teams. The Habs have won five of the six meetings all time, and all five of those wins came in games decided by one goal." |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Atlanta. I had Atlanta in the last game, and they came up short. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta." Philly hasn't played well enough to justify a big point spread here in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Rays v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have scored 17 runs while winning the first three games in this home series versus Tampa. I expect Game 4 to be another slugfest. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. The over is 13-2-2 in the Rays last 17 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 9-8 | Win | 101 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers handed Arizona another loss on Saturday, winning Game 2 by a score of 9-3. With both teams turning to the back of the rotation, or really the bullpen in Game 3, we can expect another high score. The over is 10-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 home games, and the Dodgers are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. On saturday 11 of 16 games saw combined scores in double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants host the Phillies in Game 3 of a home series Sunday, and I expect to see another slugfest by the bay. Zach Eflin will toe the slab for Philly, and he's lost four of his last five starts. Eflin (2-5, 3.99 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to the Dogers his last time out. The Giants hand the ball to Sammy Long, who is making his third start in the majors. He allowed four runs on five hits in five innings in a no-decision versus Arizona his last time out. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Rays v. Mariners OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have scored 11 runs while winning both the first two games in this home series versus Tampa. I expect Game 3 to be another slugfest. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and the rookie has been hit and miss. Gilbert (2-2, 4.13 ERA) is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in three home starts. The Rays hand the ball to Josh Fleming, who got rocked in his last appearances on the road. He gave up five runs on 10 hits over seven innings in a loss at Texas. The over is 12-2-2 in the Rays last 16 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -111 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Brooklyn. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." I still don't think Brooklyn is in great shape as far as winning the championship, but KD is still the best player in this series, and James Harden has improved with each game back. Home court, and a healthier Harden might be too much for the Bucks in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Marlins v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Cubs lost 10-2 at home to Miami in Game 1, and we have every reason to expect another slugfest in Game 2. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. The veteran has allowed 16 runs on 20 hits over 15 2/3 innings while losing three of his last four starts. The Marlins hand the ball to Pablo Lopez, who has also lost three of his last four starts. He allowed 10 runs on 20 hits over 22 innings in those games. Pitchers have been struggling since MLB banned sticky substances, and scoring has gone up dramatically. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Germany v. Portugal +0.25 | 4-2 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* prop bet on Germany not to qualify. The Germans have plenty of work to do in order to move on to the next round. Sure they are favorites against Portugal on Saturday, but only slightly. There is an argument to be made that Portugal has a superior squad with the likes of Bruno Fernandez, Ruben Dias and Christiano Ronaldo. Germany would be eliminated with a loss, and while the price of Portugal to win outright is roughly 2-1, the payoff on this prop bet is twice as good. What about a draw? Well win lose or draw, this prop bet is still alive. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +111 | 119-131 | Win | 111 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LA. I had Utah in Game 5, and here is what I said before tipoff:"This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah." After coming up short in a must win game, I have no faith in Utah, and I'll go with the Clippers in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants scored 37 runs while sweeping the the D'Backs in a four game series at home this week, and I expect another slugfest in Game 1 versus Philly. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Velasquez (2-1, 4.25 ERA) has allowed 11 runs on 15 hits over 12 innings in his last three starts. The Giants hand the ball to Johnny Cueto, who is coming off back to back losses. Cueto (4-3, 4.00 ERA) has allowed nine runs on 15 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. There is no question that scoring is up significantly since the ban on sticky substances for major league pitchers. GL. Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MTL. I liked Montreal as the underdog in this series from the beginning, and after earning a split in Vegas, I have decided to double down. "The Golden Knights are a huge favorite in the Stanley Cup semifinals, but they face a Montreal team that has won it's last seven games. Carey Price is more than capable of stealing a game or two in this series, and the squad in front of him has been outplaying the opposition throughout the playoffs. If you don't think this series is going to be close, just look at the history between these teams. The Habs have won five of the six meetings all time, and all five of those wins came in games decided by one goal." GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +135 | 104-99 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -195 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SF. Arizona has lost 12 straight, and they face one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in a matinee by the bay today. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for San Fran, and he has the second best ERA in the majors. He allowed two runs on two hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a win over the Cubs in his last home start. The D'Backs hand the ball to Caleb Smith, who makes his first start in over a month. He might be on a pitch count, and when he's done Arizona will turn to the 30th ranked pitching staff in the majors (5.29 ERA). Arizona has lost a major league record 22 straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-21 | Belgium +107 v. Denmark | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Belgium. Denmark will return to action at the Euros after a terrifying start to the tournament. Christian Eriksen collapsed early in the match versus Finland, and actually died before being brought back to life by medical staff. After losing their best player (leading scorer in the Nations League) they went on to lose 1-0 to Finland. Now they take on Belgium, a team that is as talented as any in Europe. These two teams played twice in the Nations League, and Belgium won both those matches by a combined score of 6-2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-21 | North Macedonia v. Ukraine -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 85 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Ukraine. A 3-2 loss to Netherlands in their opening match was actually quite an impressive result for Ukraine. After going down early, they battled back to draw even at 2-2. Even though they lost on a late goal, the two goals will put them in good standing to advance from the first round. Northern Macedonia lost their first match by a score of 3-1, and they are likely over their heads in this tournament. Not only is Northern Macedonia 0-1-2 in their last three matches versus Ukraine, but they didn't score a single goal in those matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -136 | 119-111 | Loss | -136 | 36 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jazz. This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The azz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -170 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* |
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06-16-21 | Switzerland v. Italy -153 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Italy. I had Italy in their first match versus Turkey, and they won that game 3-0. Here is what I had to say before kickoff: "The Italian national team has seen dark times over the last decade, but I think this group has a chance to put some respect back in the name “Azzurri”. They come into this tournament as winners of five straight matches, posting a clean sheet in all five of those games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 win over the Czech Republic on June 5. Ciro Immobile opened the scoring, and Barella, Insigne and Berardi also scored." Switzerland had to settle for a draw against Wales, and even thought they have fared well in recent meetings with Italy, I don't think they have the quality to compete with this team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Wales v. Turkey | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Turkey. Coming off a 3-0 loss to Italy, I think it's too soon to write this team off. Here is what I said prior to their loss to Italy: "Turkey also comes in undefeated in their last five matches, although draws against Latvia and Guinea fail to impress. While the Turkish side has plenty of star power up front, a younger and less experienced defense could be their undoing." Wales is a whole new kettle of fish, and so far their draw versus the Swiss fails to impress. Switzerland scored a game winning goal late in the contest that was ruled offside after VAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Bucks -147 v. Nets | 108-114 | Loss | -147 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." There is still no guarantee that Brooklyn won't pull off a miracle, but at this point that's what it's going to take. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -195 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TB. I love the Isles, and I've cashed in on a few bets on NYI as an underdog in these playoffs. I'm not going to bet on them taking a commanding 2-0 series lead here on the road against the reigning champs. By hook or by crook, I expect Tampa to even the series at 1-1 heading back to Long Island. The Lightning are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite, and they are 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Isles. Prior to losing Game 1 of this series, they had lost three times in these playoffs. They bounced back with a win in all three of those situations, and expect that to be the case here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Cubs v. Mets -141 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mets. The Mets have the best home record in baseball, and yet they are just a slight favorite at home versus the Cubs tonight. Chicago has a losing road record, and they are 5-11 in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Alec Mills will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's worked primarily out of the bullpen. Mills (2-0, 6.08 ERA) has appeared in 13 games, and started only one of those contests. He's 0-0 with an 8.76 ERA on the road. The Mets hand the ball to Taijuan Walker, who has been lights out at home. Walker (5-2, 2.07 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, striking out nine in seven innings in a win over the Orioles his last time out. The Cubs lineup has hit a combined .163 over 53 at bats versus Walker. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Portugal -225 v. Hungary | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portugal. Christiano Ronaldo is 36 years old, but he's in far better shape than many players in their prime. He scored 29 goals for Juventus in Series A this season, and he scored a goal in Portugal's last qualifying match. He's still one of the best in the world, but he's also surrounded by plenty of younger talented players from some of the biggest clubs in Europe. Ruben Dias might be the best defender in the world at the moment, and Bruno Fernandez, Dioga Jota and Joao Felix all play staring rolls in their domestic leagues. Hungary will have a tough time matching that kind of quality, and that's reflected by the fact that they are 0-4-1 in the last four head to head meetings. Hungary failed to score in four of those five matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -195 | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal +1.5. The Golden Knights are a huge favorite in the Stanley Cup semifinals, but they face a Montreal team that has won it's last seven games. Carey Price is more than capable of stealing a game or two in this series, and the squad in front of him has been outplaying the opposition throughout the playoffs. If you don't think this series is going to be close, just look at the history between these teams. The Habs have won five of the six meetings all time, and all five of those wins came in games decided by one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Red Sox | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Jays are swinging some hot bats lately, scoring 30 runs while winning two of three in Boston. The series wraps up Monday, and I like Toronto in Game 4. Nate Eovaldi will toe the slab for the Sox, and he didn't miss many bats in his last start. Eovaldi (7-3, 4.11 ERA) allowed five runs on 11 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to Houston his last time out. He's been far better on the road than he has been at home, and he's struggled in previous starts versus Toronto. The Jays lineup is batting a combined .327 over 55 at bats versus Eovaldi. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Sweden v. Spain OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Spain will be a big favorite against Sweden in their opening match at the Euros, and they will play in front of a home crowd. Sweden isn't going to be an easy opponent, and I expect both these teams to score in this match. Both teams have scored in two of the last three head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings went over the total. Sweden has won five matches in a row heading into the tournament, and they scored at least twice in three of their last four matches. I predict a 2-1 victory for Spain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2.5 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bucks. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Croatia v. England -134 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 157 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on England. The Three Lions come into the Euros hoping to avenge a disappointing loss to Croatia in the semifinals of the 2018 World Cup. England has won five straight matches heading into the tournament, and they won their last match versus Croatia by a score of 2-1 back in 2018. Croatia hasn't look good at all in recent matches leading up to the tournament. They are 2-1-2 in their last five matches, with losses to Belgium and Slovenia, and a draw against Armenia. England on their home soil, should be able to get a win here over Croatia team that isn't on top form. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Marvin Vettori v. Israel Adesanya OVER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Adesanya will be a big favorite coming off his first loss, but I don't expect this to be an easy fight. Vettori has gone the distance in four of his last five fights, and he should be able to use his wrestling ability to hang in there with Izzy until the later rounds. He's lost four fights in his UFC career, and all four of those losses came by decision. Don't be surprised if this fight goes the distance as well. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -184 | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. This isn't the first time the Clippers have been down 2-0 in a series in these playoffs, and I think they still believe they can beat Utah. With the series shifting to LA for Game 3, we should see a better performance from the favorites. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-21 | Russia v. Belgium -120 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Belgium is a heavy favorite in their opening match versus Russia, and for good reason. History suggests that this game should be a hgih scoring match with Belgium coming out on top. Belgium is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings, and they have scored 10 goals in the last three meetings. Only Christiano Ronaldo scored more goals in Series A this season than Romelu Lukaku. The striker scored the game winner in a 1-0 win over Croatia in Belgium's last match. Russia is just 1-1-1 in their last three matches, inlcuding a loss to Slovakia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-21 | Giants -154 v. Nationals | 0-2 | Loss | -154 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Giants. The Giants have the best record in baseball, and it might be time to start taking them seriously. They still appear undervalued here against a Nationals team with a losing record. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's sporting one of the lowest ERA's in the majors. Gausman (7-0, 1.27 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on a pair of hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a win over the Cubs his last time out. The Nationals rank 28th in the majors in runs scored. The Nationals are 4-9 in their last 13 overall, and they have lost seven of their last eight versus right handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -118 | 116-102 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. The Nuggets are coming off a brutal loss in Game 2 in Phoenix, losing by 25 points. Denver's head coach Mike Malone told the media that his team quit, and that's not going to sit well in the locker room. The Nuggets are desperate to get back into this series, and I expect them to get off to a much better start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Denver. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver, and the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Denver appears to be undervalued in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +111 | 127-111 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks jumped all over the Sixers in Game 1 in Philly, and I expect them to get off to a good start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Atlanta. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win, and they are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings in Atlanta. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 meetings versus Philly. The 76ers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 road games versus a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | Giants +1.5 v. Nationals | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SF +1.5. The Giants are coming into Game 1 in Washington with a road record of 20-13. The Nats have a losing record at home, but they will be the favorite with Mad Max on the mound. Scherzer is a big name pitcher, but he hasn't had a great season by his standards. He's lost two of his last three starts, and he's 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA overall. The Giants hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani, who is having a career year. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA in seven starts on the road this season. The Giants are 7-0 in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | Italy -158 v. Turkey | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 115 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Italy. The Italian national team has seen dark times over the last decade, but I think this group has a chance to put some respect back in the name “Azzurri”. They come into this tournament as winners of five straight matches, posting a clean sheet in all five of those games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 win over the Czech Republic on June 5. Ciro Immobile opened the scoring, and Barella, Insigne and Berardi also scored. Turkey also comes in undefeated in their last five matches, although draws against Latvia and Guinea fail to impress. While the Turkish side has plenty of star power up front, a younger and less experienced defense could be their undoing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-09-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -133 | 8-3 | Loss | -133 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. The Red Sox lost Game 1 of this home series versus Houston by a score of 7-1, but I like them in a revenge spot in Game 2. Nate Eovaldi will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's having a fine season. Eovaldi (7-2, 3.78 ERA) allowed two runs on eight hits, striking out seven in six innings in a win at the Yankees his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Jake Odorizzi, who hasn't won a game in 2021. Odorizzi (0-3, 7.16 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits and three walks in three innings in a loss to Boston his last time out. The Red Sox have hit a combined .324 over 83 at bats versus Odorizzi. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Cubs v. Padres -157 | 7-1 | Loss | -157 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on San Diego. The Padres won Game 1, handing the Cubs their fourth loss in five games on this road trip so far. The Cubs are 12-17 on the road, while the Padres are 21-12 at home. Zack Davies will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's winless on the road this season. Davies (2-3, 4.94 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at San Francisco his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in six starts on the road so far. The Padres hand the ball to Dinelson Lamet, who has been stellar so far. Lamet (1-0, 2.50 ERA) allowed one run on four hits over four innings in a no decision versus the Cubs his last time out. The Padres are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. |
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06-08-21 | Nationals v. Rays -190 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. The Rays are in first place in the AL East, but with just a half game lead over the Yankees they can't afford to slip up in a home series versus Washington. Tyler Glasnow will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's dealing in 2021. Glasnow (4-2, 2,69 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits, striking out eight in seven innings in a loss to the Yankees his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to Jon Lester, who is still looking for his first win of the season. Lester (0-2, 4.37 ERA) is 0-1 with a 5.04 ERA in his last five starts. The Nationals are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Tampa Bay. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Rockies v. Marlins -162 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Miami. The Marlins are just a .500 team at home, but the Rockies are a woeful 4-22 on the road. This appears to be a highly favorable matchup for the Marlins. Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Fish, and he's having a solid season. Lopez (1-3, 2.82 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over four innings in a no decision versus Toronto his last time out. The Rockies hand the ball to Antonio Senzatela, and not surprisingly he's struggled on the road. He's 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA in three starts on the road. The Rockies are 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Miami. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -118 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Padres. The Cubs are coming off a four game series in San Francisco, losing the first three games in that series. They are just 11-16 on the road heading into Sunday, and this looks like a favorable matchup for San Diego. Albert Alzolay will toe the slab for Chicago, and he beat the Padres in his last start. His split stats show that he's better at home (3-1) than he is on the road (1-3), and his ERA under the lights is twice as high as it is in day games. The Padres hand the ball to Ryan Weathers, who has an ERA under 2.00 in six appearances at home. The Padres pitching staff as a whole ranks 1st in the majors with a team ERA of 2.82. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. I had the Habs in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: "The Habs dominated Game 1 of this series, and much of the credit will go to Carey Price who stopped 27-of-30 shots. Price is the best goaltender in the world, and he did steal a few games in the series versus Toronto. A convincing win for Montreal was overshadowed by an injury to rookie Jake Evans, which resulted in a suspension for Mark Scheifele. The Jets could have a hard time replacing their leading scorer. The Jets are 0-6 in their last six playoff games as a favorite, while the Habs have won four straight as an underdog. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here in Game 2." No Schiefele, no answer for Carey Price, the Jets have no hope heading into Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -136 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. I had the Habs in Game 2, and here is what I said before the game: "The Habs dominated Game 1 of this series, and much of the credit will go to Carey Price who stopped 27-of-30 shots. Price is the best goaltender in the world, and he did steal a few games in the series versus Toronto. A convincing win for Montreal was overshadowed by an injury to rookie Jake Evans, which resulted in a suspension for Mark Scheifele. The Jets could have a hard time replacing their leading scorer. The Jets are 0-6 in their last six playoff games as a favorite, while the Habs have won four straight as an underdog. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here in Game 2." GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Blue Jays have split the first two games of this home series versus Houston, and we could expect a slugfest in the rubber match. Stephen Matz will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been pretty inconsistent this season. Matz (6-2, 4.22 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits over five innings in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Luis Garcia, who has been on a bit of a roll. His split stats suggest he's far better at home (2.10 ERA) than he is on the road (4.34 ERA). The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 road games, and the over is 10-1-1 in their last 12 versus left handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +2.5 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 58 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers managed to get past Washington in five games, even as Joel Embiid sat on the bench in Game 5. Embiid is officially listed as day to day, but a torn meniscus is expected to keep him out of Game 1. Philly won 77 percent of their games with Joel Embiid in the lineup this season, but had a losing record (10-11) in games that he missed. The Hawks won their first rounds series versus New York in five games, winning twice on the road. They closed out the series with a 103-89 win at The Garden in Game 5. The Hawks are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Without Embiid there is no doubt that Tre Young is going to be the best player on the floor in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |