Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-25-23 | Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks | 130-143 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Indiana. The Hawks host the Pacers and both Tre Young and DeAndre Hunter are questionable to play on Saturday. The line indicates they will both be in the lineup, but regardless it seems like 10.5 points is a bit much. The Pacers have covered in three of their last four versus Atlanta, and they lost 131-128 in their last game at Atlanta. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Hawks have failed to cover in seven of their last eight after a two day layoff. I'll take the points here with a Pacers team that is technically still alive in the playoff hunt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-23 | Sabres v. Islanders -170 | 2-0 | Loss | -170 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYI. The Isles lost in overtime at Columbus on Friday, but they earned a valuable point as they look to hold down a playoff spot. The Sabres won on home ice versus New Jersey, just their second win in their last 10 games. Buffalo has all but killed their playoff chances by losing eight of their last 10 overall. Playing on the road on back to back nights might set the Sabres up for a let down, and the home team is a PERFECT 10-0 in the last 10 head to head meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas UNDER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 232.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Clippers just lost 101-100 to Oklahoma City on Monday, and this is a spot where I usually look to take the team with revenge in the second game of a two game series. In this spot though I am focused on the total. LA didn't just lose the game, they lost Paul George to a knee injury that will keep him out for several weeks. Despite the 201 total points scored in the first game, and the fact that these teams haven't combined to score 230 points in any of the last 10 meetings, we see the total listed over 230. The under is 30-10 in the Clippers last 40 home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine home games versus the Thunder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 132 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Penguins +1.5 v. Stars | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT +1.5. Did you know that there have been 15 games in the NHL the last 2 days, and the puckline dog cashed in all but one of those games. The Anaheim Ducks home loss to Calgary was the only exception, and just my luck that I bet the Ducks. Here I am looking at a Penguins team that is fighting for a playoff spot, and they are an underdog in Dallas. The Stars have 14 overtime losses this season, one fewer than San Jose and Calgary who lead the league in that category. The Penguins are a PERFECT 10-0 on the puckline in their last 10 versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut UNDER 140.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. The under cashed at a rate of 27-9 in the first round of the tournament, and heading into Sunday's action the trend was at 33-11. We did see some higher scores and the over cashed in six of eight on Sunday, but those numbers had been bet down quite a bit. This number still seems a little high when you consider that Arkansas has gone under in five straight at the NCAA Tournament, and they trended under at a 58.8 percent clip during the regular season. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six, and they have gone under in five straight off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt -115 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vandy. I picked Vandy at 28-1 to win the N.I.T. before the tournament started, and I bet on them in their opening game against Yale. Here is what I said before they beat the Bulldogs: "The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss." They needed a miracle to get past Michigan, and of course to me that felt like destiny is on their side. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-23 | Flames v. Ducks +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ANA +1.5. The Ducks are just 6-6 straight up in their last 12 overall, but they are 10-2 ATS during that span. The Ducks are 4-2 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between these teams, and three of the last six meetings have gone to overtime. This is a tough spot for the Flames, who play the second game of a back to back after getting blown out (8-2) in LA Last night. The Flames are 4-9 in their last 13 overall, and they are 6-32 in the last 38 meetings in Anaheim. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -120 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies will miss Ja Morant, but here in this game against the Mavs it might be no Ja, no problem. It looks like Luka is still out, and Kyrie is doubtful to play. The Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a win. The Mavs are just 14-21 SU on the road, while the Grizzlies are 29-5 at home. The Grizzlies are 42-18-1 ATS in their last 61 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-23 | Panthers -175 v. Red Wings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on FLA. The Red Wings were sellers at the trade deadline, and the playoffs are out of reach. The Panthers are still battling for a playoff spot. coming into tonight's game in the Motor City sitting one point out of the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. History favors Florida, as the Panthers are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, and they have won four of their last five at Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SJST. My CBI Game of the Year was a winner on San Jose State, and they didn't disappoint. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Screaming Eagles: "I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch." This Radford team has taken a major step back since their improbable NCAA Tournament run, and I think they are biting off more than they can chew here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Canucks v. Ducks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ANA +1.5 This is a tough spot for Vancouver, coming off an overtime loss in Arizona last night. They play on back to back nights on the road at Anaheim, and history tells us that the Canucks struggle in these situations. The Canucks are 18-47 in their last 65 games playing in the second game of a back to back. The Ducks have had the Canucks number, going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Rockets | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NO. So the Pelicans are coming off a 114-112 loss at Houston, and they play the second of a two game series at the Toyota Center. Even after winning three straight home games, the Rockets still have twice as many home losses as they have wins. The Pelicans had won seven of eight straight up versus Houston prior to Friday's game. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Rockets, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven at Houston. I like the visitors in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Creighton v. Baylor UNDER 146.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 8-3 in the Bluejays last 11 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. I had Arizona in their last game, a win against the Vancouver Canucks. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Coyotes continue to be undervalued at home, as the Canucks come to town as favorites. Vancouver has five fewer road wins than Arizona has at home, and when you consider that several of Vancouver's wins and several of Arizona's losses came in games decided by one goal, the puckline looks good even at a high price. The Canucks are 4-11 in their last 15 road games, while the Coyotes have won four straight at home." Now they face a Blackhawks team that has traded away all their veterans and are in full rebuild mode. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -108 | 42 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Auburn. If Houston was healthy there would be no way I would want Auburn here. Houston is not healthy, so here I am taking an underdog in the NCAA Tourney. The Cougars just barely escaped their first round matchup versus Northern Kentucky, and leading scorer Marcus Sasser left the game after re-aggravating his groin injury. He says he will play today, but he won't be 100 percent. Jamal Shead is the Cougars starting PG, and while he does not appear on the injury report, he claims to have tweaked his knee against NKU. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas v. Kansas -165 | 72-71 | Loss | -165 | 40 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KAN. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #1 seeds have won all but one of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 22 points per game. History suggests that one of these teams is likely to make the Final Four, and it ain't the Razorbacks. Arkansas has been inconsistent, losing six of nine heading into the tournament, and failing to score 65 points in four of those six losses. Only the best version of the Razorbacks can compete with Kansas, and that version only shows up 1/3 of the time. GL. Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJST. I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -8.5 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. The Wildcats are the #3 seed in the East Region, ahead of Duke, Kentucky and Tennessee. We all know that underdogs shock the world in the first round of the NCAA Tournament year after year, but judging by conversations I hear at the water cooler in the office, I don't think you're average Joe actually knows the historical prevalence of such upsets. The fact is that #3 seeds have won 85% of their first round matchups since 1985. The Wildcats come in as one of the top teams in the best conference in the country. They have wins over Kansas, Baylor, Texas and TCU. Montana State won the BIG SKY, but their non conference schedule included two games against an opponent from a major conference. They lost by 20+ points to both Arizona and Oregon. It's hard for me to justify a single digit point spread in this matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -130 | 66-65 | Loss | -130 | 78 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Memphis. The Tigers upset the #1 ranked Houston Cougars in the AAC Tournament Final, and they are 9-2 straight up in their last 11 overall. Both losses during that span came against the #1 ranked team in the country, and the most recent loss came on a buzzer beater. FAU won a bunch of games in the C-USA, but they haven't played a ranked team all season. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they won six of seven straight up at neutral sites. Unlike the Owls, they have wins versus the likes of Auburn, VCU and Texas A&M. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 231.5 | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Grizzlies come into San Antonio as a road favorite, but the Spurs have been pretty competitive of late. They are 4-4 straight up in their last eight overall, and they have scored 120+ points in three of their last four overall. The Grizzlies are coming off a 138-119 loss at Miami, and they have gone over in three straight versus the Spurs. The total in this game is lower than it was in each of the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 81 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAY. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #3 seeds have won 85 percent of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 14 points per game. I expect a major correction on Day 2 of the tournament, and I'll take one of the top teams from the best conference in the country as a double digit favorite in a spot where they should be asked to cover a 15 point spread (IMO). The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Seattle Kraken -154 v. Sharks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Kraken have lost three straight on home ice, but they head out on the road where they have actually have a much better record. In fact Seattle has a Western Conference best 21 wins on the road, and the San Jose Sharks have the worst home record in the entire NHL. San Jose has just a half dozen home wins, the only team in the league that doesn't have 10+ wins on home ice. The Sharks are 13-41 in their last 54 home games. This is a big game for Seattle as they need to snap out of a slump to stay in a playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Sharks on the other hand are polishing their golf clubs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -155 | 76-59 | Loss | -155 | 69 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies finished second in the SEC ahead of Tennessee, Kentucky and Auburn. They don't get a ton of respect from bettors or bookmakers, but they just keep winning games. They play solid defense, ranking 3rd in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 66 points per game. Penn State finished the season strong winning eight of nine before falling to Purdue in the BIG10 Tournament Final. Finishing the season strong was the only way the ninth place team in the BIG10 managed to sneak into the tournament. The Aggies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -10.5 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEN. The Vols were 10-3 in their non-conference schedule, with wins over Kansas, Maryland and Texas. They are one of just five teams that beat Alabama this year, and they ranked first in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 58 points per game. Tennessee didn't finish the season strong, and they look vulnerable to an upset at some point in the tournament, but I don't think it's gonna happen against a Sun Belt team in the first round. The Ragin Cajuns played one ranked team this year, losing by 28 to Texas. Asking the Vols to win this game by double digits seems reasonable. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -6 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Wildcats won their PAC12 Semi Final game against Arizona State by 19 points. They then defeated UCLA in the Final to become PAC12 Champions. Their non conference schedule was no cake walk, with games against Tennessee, Indiana, Creighton and San Diego State. That didn't stop them from going 12-0 in non-conference games. Princeton didn't play any ranked teams, in fact they didn't play any teams from a Power Five conference. This should be a mismatch from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | West Virginia -130 v. Maryland | 65-67 | Loss | -130 | 59 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WVU. The Mountaineers finished the season strong, winning four of five before falling to Kansas in the BIG12 Tournament. The covered the spread in five of those six games. Maryland comes in as losers of three of four, with the one win coming against last place Minnesota. The Terrapins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 5-11 straight up in neutral and road games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-23 | Wild -135 v. Blues | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN. The Wild are coming off a 5-4 loss at Arizona on Sunday, and they have had a few days to prepare for tonight's game in St. Louis. Backup goaltender Filip Gustavsson allowed five goal on 23 shots in the loss. We will see Marc Andre Fluery back between the pipes tonight, and he's 3-0 with a 1.68 GAA so far in March. The Wild are 10-3 in their last 13 overall, and they have won four of their last five road games. The Blues are just 3-9 in their last 12 overall, and they are 1-5 in their last six home games. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-23 | Flames v. Coyotes +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Coyotes +1.5. So Calgary will be a big favorite on the road in Arizona, despite the fact that the Coyotes have more wins at home than Calgary has on the road. The Flames are 3-6 straight up in their last nine, and just 1-8 ATS in those games. The Flames are 2-8 in their last 10 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Calgary is 1-6 in their last seven versus a team with a losing record. The home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-23 | Yale v. Vanderbilt -170 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vandy. The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-23 | Pacers -150 v. Pistons | 97-117 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on IND. Normally in the second game of a two game series, I would look to back the team playing with revenge in Game 2. That's not going to happen here in Detroit tonight, as this team has a lot more going on. They have four key players out of the lineup, and they are just a half game behind Houston for the race to finish with the worst record in the NBA. The Pistons are tanking, and the Pacers seem to be less concerned about the draft lottery. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and they have covered in four of their last five on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Wild v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Coyotes +1.5. So both teams will play in the second game of a back to back in Arizona, and the Wild come in as a heavy favorite. The line doesn't jive with the fact that Minnesota's record on the road is identical to the Coyotes record at home. History suggests this game could be close, as these teams have played three times this season and all three games were decided by one goal. The Coyotes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Memphis. The Cougars have won seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, but they have failed to cover in all but one of those games. These teams played just a week ago, and Memphis lost by two with Houston hitting the winner at the buzzer. Leading scorer Marcus played 37 minutes in that game, but he missed yesterday's game against Cincinnati. He will either miss this game, or he will be limited by a groin injury. With Houston's spot in the tournament secure, I see no reason for them to rush him back. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. I'll take the points, and sprinkle a little on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 145.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aggies have won seven of eight overall, and prior to yesterday's win over Vanderbilt they had played seven straight games with neither team scoring 70 points. One game during that span was a 67-61 home win over Alabama in the final game of the regular season. Three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and Alabama has failed to read the total in nine of their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The Aggies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. This game should look a lot like the last meeting which was played just last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Newcastle has fallen on tough times, failing to score a goal in three straight matches. They are winless in their last five matches, with just two goals in those games. The only points they have to show for themselves come from a pair of 1-1 draws. They host Wolverhampton Sunday, and three of their last five versus Wolves ended with a final score of 1-1. Four of the last head to head matches went under the total. Wolves is coming off a 1-0 win over Spurs, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-23 | Kings v. Suns -145 | 128-119 | Loss | -145 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. No KD, the Suns are still the better team here. After his injury they went on to win by 30+ in a home game against the scrappy OKC Thunder. They got Chris Paul and Devin Booker back, and Booker scored 44 against the Thunder. The Suns are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Suns have won four of five straight up in the last five meetings versus the Kings, and four of those games were in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-23 | Oilers +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 4-7 | Loss | -190 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on EDM. So I had the Oilers on the puckline in their last game, and here is what I said before they beat Boston: "The Edmonton Oilers have lost by more than one goal just twice since January 11th, which makes them 21-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 23 games." The Leafs have won four of their last six games overall, but they are just 1-5 as a puckline favorite during that span. The Oilers come in with the best road record in the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. Texas A&M | 75-87 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VANDY. I had Vandy yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their game against Kentucky: "Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games." Now I also had Texas A&M yesterday, and I do think the Aggies deserve to come into this game as the favorite. I am not about to step in front of the hottest team in the country here, so I'll take Vandy plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-23 | Raptors -125 v. Lakers | 112-122 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Lakers and the Raptors each have 32 wins, but Toronto comes in as the better team in recent weeks. The Raptors had won eight of 10 before this current road trip. They have dropped three of four games, losing some close contests that ended in controversy. Fred Van Fleet let his emotions get the best of him in a post game press conference, and he was fined $30,000 for remarks about the officials. This Raptors team comes into LA looking to lay the smack down, the Lakers are still banged up. To say that history favors Toronto would be an understatement. The Raptors are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and they are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-23 | Vanderbilt +7 v. Kentucky | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, while the Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The underdog is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M UNDER 138.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Texas A&M Aggies finished in 2nd place in the SEC, and their success comes in part because of their elite defense. They come in allowing just 62.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have won five of their last six overall, and neither team scored 70 points in ANY of those six games. They held #2 ranked Alabama to 61 points, #11 Tennessee to 63 points, and they held Arkansas to 56 points. The Aggies won their last game 67-61 at home versus Alabama, and the under is 10-4 in the Aggies last 14 games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Villanova +5.5 v. Creighton | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Villanova. These two teams split the season series, but even when Villanova lost at Creighton it was a close game decided by five points. The Wildcats at the end of the season were not the same team as they were at the beginning of the season. Villanova won six of it's last eight games, and the Wildcats covered the spread in four of their last five. History favors Villanova as the underdog is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | LSU v. Vanderbilt -175 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vanderbilt. |
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03-09-23 | Oilers +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on EDM +1.5. The Edmonton Oilers have lost by more than one goal just twice since January 11th, which makes them 21-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 23 games. The Oilers have a history of playing close games against Boston. While they are just 5-5 straight up against the Bruins, they are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. The Oilers have actually won outright in five of their last six at Boston. I'll take the dog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 142.5 | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Both BIG12 games failed to go over 140 points in the conference tournament yesterday. The Cowboys won 57-49 in their game versus Oklahoma. They lost 89-75 at Texas back in January, but each of the previous three meetings between these teams fell well short of the total. The total in each of the last four meetings had been set below 140. I am expecting another low scoring affair here at a neutral site in the conference tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -155 | Top | 62-50 | Loss | -155 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Michigan. The Wolverines finished the season winning three of their final five games, and one of those wins was a 59-48 win at Rutgers. They covered the spread in all five of those games, losing by a combined six points in road games at Illinois and Indiana. Rutgers won just two of their last five games of the season, and those wins came by a combined four points at Penn State and Wisconsin. The Scarlet Knights come in averaging 57.8 points per game in their last five, exactly 20 points fewer than Michigan has averaged during that span. The Wolverines are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 neutral site games. The Scarlet Knights are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-23 | Ducks +1.5 v. Canucks | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Ducks +1.5. At first glance it looks like a good spot to back the home favorite, but history says otherwise. The Ducks are 7-3 straight up in the last 10, 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last six at Vancouver. Both teams have played well despite being out of the playoffs. The Ducks are 4-2 straight up in their last six overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in those games. The Canucks are also 4-2 straight up in their last six overall, but only one of those games was a win by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-23 | Oklahoma +2 v. Oklahoma State | 49-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Oklahoma. The Sooners already lost twice to the Cowboys this season, but things could be different here. Oklahoma State lost five of their last six games, with the only win coming by three points against a Texas Tech team that just suspended their coach. The Cowboys have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game in their last five. The Sooners were 3-3 in their final six games of the season, five of those games versus ranked teams. They beat #12 K-State, #23 Iowa State, #22 TCU and they lost by just two points at #6 Texas. The Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, while the Cowboys have failed to cover in four straight at neutral sites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-23 | Virginia Tech v. NC State -142 | 77-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on NCSTATE. The Hokies won the ACC Tournament last year, and if they want to go to the NCAA Tournament they probably have to do it again this year. The won their final three games of the season, but against three of the bottom four teams in the conference. The Wolfpack lost back to back games at the end of the year, but there is no shame in losing by four at Duke in their last game. They had won 11 of 14 prior to that. The Hokies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MTL +1.5. The Habs have lost three straight one goal games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. They host Carolina, and the Canes might be due for a let down coming off a 6-0 win over Tampa. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hurricanes are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Montreal. This looks like a good spot to take the home dog plus money on the puckline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-23 | Club Brugge KV v. Benfica UNDER 3 | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Benfica is a big favorite here at home versus Club Brugge, but they will start the contest with a 2-0 lead on aggregate. There is no urgency for Benfica to score, especially given how solid they are defensively. They have conceded just one goal in their last four matches in all competitions, posting three clean sheets during that span. I like Benfica to post another clean sheet here in the second leg at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-23 | Georgia Tech -110 v. Florida State | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Georgia Tech. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. Georgia Tech won four of their final five games, while FSU lost four of five at the end of the season. The Yellowjackets come in averaging 80 points per game over their last five, while the Seminoles have scored just 68.8 points per game during that span. The Yellow Jackets are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Seminoles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-23 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 6 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Canucks have remained competitive despite being sellers at the trade deadline, winning four of their last seven. The same can be said for tonight's opponent, as Nashville has won five of their last six. These teams have gone over in each of the previous two meetings this season, and the over is 15-6-5 in the Canucks last 26 overall. The over is 12-3 in the last 15 head to head meetings, and six of the last seven in Vancouver have gone over the total. I will ride those trends here given that the number sits at 6 instead of 6.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-23 | Raptors v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Raptors come in as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they have been getting it done with their defense. Toronto has held their last five opponents well below the NBA average in points per game (110) giving up just 107 ppg during that span. They haven't been scoring though, averaging just over 103 points per game on offense. Denver can play defense as well, and I expect these teams to play hard here tonight. The total of 227.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The last time Toronto played at Denver (March last year) the total was just 221.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-23 | BYU v. St. Mary's OVER 129.5 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So St. Mary's is one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they did win 57-56 at BYU back in January. BYU score 65 in the rematch at St. Mary's though, losing by just six points. The Gaels come in allowing over 63 points per game in their last five overall. BYU comes in scoring over 76 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks a little low for a neutral site game, considering the over is 146-118 in college basketball games played at Orleans Arena (prior to WCC Tournament). There has been several high scores here in this venue since the tournament started, and we have yet to see a game with less than 136 points scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -6.5 | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. I gotta fade the Grizzlies in this spot, as this team is in complete shambles. Ja Morant is suspended for not just playing with a gun in a nightclub, but posting it on Intagram like an ever bigger fool. Dillon Brooks and Brandon Clarke are out with injuries, so there goes three of their top five scorers. Additionally leading rebounder Steven Adams hasn't played since January. The Clippers are healthy, but they've lost five straight since bringing in Russ Westbrick. I didn't like the move, and I still don't like it. That said a motivated team at full strength at home looking to break out of a slump should get it done against a shorthanded Memphis team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | Houston v. Memphis +6 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. I like the home dog here. I really think the Tigers will be up for this final home game against Conference champs Houston. I don't see any reason for the Cougars to get fired up about this game as they get geared up for tournament season. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and last year Memphis won at home by a score of 75-61. They lost at Houston by just eight points a few weeks ago, asking them to cover six here seems very reasonable. Don't be surprised if the Tigers win outright, a sprinkle on the ML is probably a good idea. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. As inconsistent as Liverpool has been this season, they are still a force to be reckoned with at Anfield. They have just one loss at home, and they have scored 24 goals in just a dozen home matches this season. They will likely need to score a few to beat a Manchester United team that has scored two or more goals in 11 straight matches in all competitions. History suggest we are in for a high score here, with the over going 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara -147 | 93-87 | Loss | -147 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SCU. Santa Clara swept the season series, winning both games by double digits. The finished the season on a roll, winning their final seven games. One of those was an 84-70 win at San Francisco. The Dons are coming off a win over Pacific, but they are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win. The Broncos come in averaging over 85 points per game in their last five overall, and I don't think the Dons have the firepower to keep up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 138-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SAC. Both these teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but the Kings won at home 128-127 versus the Clippers last night, and they don't have to travel. Minnesota played in LA, and will be playing a fourth straight game on the road tonight. The Kings are a young team that might not mind playing on back to back nights, as evidenced by the fact that they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing the second of a back to back. Minnesota has failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-23 | Tennessee v. Auburn -135 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Auburn. The Vols are looking forward to the NCAA Tournament, while the Tigers might need a win here today if they want to get in. Auburn is coming off an overtime loss at Alabama, but they are much stronger on their home floor than they are on the road. The Tigers are 13-2 at home, while the Vols are just 4-5 on the road. Auburn has won five of the last seven head to head meetings, and all three home meetings since 2018. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss, while the Vols have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -188 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYI. The Red Wings have dealt away much of their top talent at the trade deadline, while the Islanders have brought in high end talent from other teams to gear up for a playoff run. That means these two teams are heading in different directions, and they have different goals for the remainder of the season. The home team has won seven straight in this series, and the Red Wings have lost five straight at Long Island. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester City -175 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MCI. Newcastle's time in the Top 5 in the table may be short lived. They have failed to score in their last two matches versus Liverpool and Manchester United. They have failed to score in four of their last seven matches in the Premier League, and they have just one win during that span. They did earn a draw at home versus City earlier this season, but they had lost four in a row versus City prior to that. They failed to score in three of those four losses. They lost their last game at the Etihad by a score of 5-0. This should be a one sided affair. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DEN. It's tough to bet against a Denver team that is 28-4 at home, and in a series that has seen the home team win seven of the last eight meetings. The Nuggets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, while Memphis has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the West, so both teams should get up for the game. That doesn't bode well for the Grizzlies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-23 | Memphis v. SMU +7 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SMU. The Mustangs got off to a rough start in the American, but they've been playing a lot better down the stretch. They catch Memphis at the end of the season with a home game against #1 ranked Houston on deck, and the Tigers could get caught looking ahead here. The Mustangs are averaging over 75 points per game in their last five overall, just slightly more than Memphis during that span. While they have won just twice in their last six overall, their only loss during that span that came by more than five points was against Houston. The Tigers are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall and they have failed to cover in eight of their last 10 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-23 | Predators v. Panthers -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FLA. The Panthers and the Predators are each currently sitting a few points out of a Wild Card spot. The Panthers probably have a far better chance of clinching a playoff spot, and the Predators intentions look pretty clear as they dealt a bunch of their top players at the trade deadline. Home ice has been kind to Florida, as they are 64-25 in their last 89 home games. A win over Nashville could pull them within two points of a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid -105 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on RMA. In the United States they say "It's all about the Benjamins", but in the Coppa del Rey in Spain it's all about Karim Benzema! The Ballon Dor winner has returned to form, and he's netted four goal in his last three games played. The first leg will be a home game for Real Madrid, and Barcelona comes limping in off back to back losses and leading scorer Robert Lewandowski is out with a hamstring injury. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-23 | Penn State v. Northwestern -168 | 68-65 | Loss | -168 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats don't get much respect when you consider they have 20 wins and are tied for second place in the BIG10. They host Penn State tonight, and they are just a small favorite against a Nittany Lions team that has lost seven of 10 on the road. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings between these teams, and the Wildcats have already beaten Purdue, Indiana, Illinois and Iowa at home this season. Northwestern is 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall, and they have covered in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-23 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics have allowed a whopping 118.8 points per game over their last five overall. That is out of character for this team though, and they still rank among the top teams in the NBA in opponents scoring average. They host the Cavs, who currently rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed (106.5PPG). These teams went over in each of the last two meetings, but both those games went to overtime. The listed total hasn't been higher than 220 in any of the previous five meetings. I expect both teams to bring it on defense here in a battle between two of the top teams in the East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-23 | Xavier v. Providence -165 | 94-89 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PROV. The Friars are undefeated at home this season, with a record of 15-0. They host the Xavier Musketeers, and this is a revenge spot after losing 85-83 at Xavier earlier this season. Providence had won four of the previous five meetings between the two teams. The Friars are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 home games. The Musketeers won by 22 on the road at Seton Hall in their last game, and that could set them up for a let down here. They are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-23 | Colorado State v. San Jose State -145 | 46-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SJST. The Spartans have long been the whipping boys of the Mountain West, but they have some swagger in their step this season. San Jose State is 11-3 at home, with wins over Conference big boys Utah State and Boise State. They play their final home game tonight against a Colorado State team that is 5-11 in the Mountain West. The Rams are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games versus a team with a winning record, and the favorite is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. The Spartans have covered in five of their last six home games, and they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-23 | Wolves v. Clippers UNDER 233.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Clippers have gone over the total in four straight games, but that is out of character for this team. For the first half of the season they ranked near the bottom of the league in scoring, and one of the top team in opponent scoring. We have a high total in tonight's home game against the Timberwolves, and I expect to see some regression to the mean. The under is 22-7 in the Clippers last 29 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games against Minnesota. The number in tonight's game is almost 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting back in January. Neither of these teams scored 100 in the last meeting in LA back in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-23 | Kings v. Jets -137 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jets. Winnipeg is gearing up for the playoffs, and picking up Nino Niederreiter at the trade deadline says plenty about their intentions. They come into tonight's game against LA as losers of five of their last six, but they have won four of their last five versus LA. This is a tough spot for the Kings who are the end of a long road trip. The Kings have lost seven of their last 10 versus teams with a winning record, and they are 3-8 in their last 11 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. The Kings are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-23 | Magic v. Pelicans -175 | 101-93 | Loss | -175 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on N.O. The Pelicans are currently flirting with a play-in spot in the Western Conference, despite battling injuries all season. They are finally getting healthy (with the exception of Zion) and it looks like time for this team to go on a run. The Magic have been covering more games than they have been winning, going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. They are still just 10-20 SU on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five overall. This looks like a good spot to back the Pelicans at home, as they should be the more motivated side here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-23 | Rutgers v. Penn State -150 | 59-56 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PSU. The Scarlet Knights have lost four of their last five overall, while Penn State has won three straight. The Nittany Lions lost at Rutgers by a score of 65-45 back in January, setting up a revenge spot here at home. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series, and the Nittany Lions are 12-2 SU at home. Rutgers has only scored an average of 59 points per game in their last five overall, and that's not likely gonna be good enough. Rutgers has failed to cover in five straight road games, and the Nittany Lions are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-23 | Nets v. Hawks -5 | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Hawks. So after firing their coach, the Hawks came out of the All Star break and crushed a very good Cleveland team winning 136-119 at home. The Nets on the other hand lost by 40+ at Chicago. Often when a team gets blown out like that, you want to come back with them in their next game. Perhaps not a team with a completely new starting five that hasn't had time to gel. Not a team that is in the middle of a chaotic rebuild after trading away Kyrie and KD. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Brooklyn, and they have covered in seven of the last nine overall meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -58 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. So Manchester United comes into the Carabao Cup Final on a roll. They have scored at least two goals in 10 straight matches in all competitions. We saw Liverpool and Chelsea play a 0-0 draw in last year's Carabao Cup Final, but history tells us that we should expect more scoring here. Since 2020, the over has hit in 15 of the 23 Finals. Five of those games involved Manchester United, and three of those games saw 3+ goals. I am predicting a 2-1 win for United over Newcastle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-23 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ. |
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02-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -150 | 121-108 | Loss | -150 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ORL. The Magic are just .500 at home, but I gotta love them here against a Pacers team that is 8-20 SU on the road. The home team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings between these teams, and the Magic won two of three home games during that span. The one loss came in overtime. The Pacers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games playing on 1 days rest. The Magic are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have covered in eight of their last nine off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-23 | Arsenal -142 v. Leicester | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arsenal. So Arsenal is battling to stay top of the table in the Premier League, with Manchester City just two points behind. They need to pick up all the points they can from here on out, and an away match at Leicester might look like a tricky spot. Actually it might be more favorable than you would think. Leicester ranks 19th in the Premier League in home/away splits, while Arsenal has the best away record among the 20 Premier League clubs. The Gunnars are 9-1-2 in away matches, with a +15 goal differential. They have won four straight against Leicester, and two of those wins came at King Power Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-23 | Thunder v. Suns UNDER 232.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Six of nine games went under the total in the first day back from the All Star break. One of those was the Thunder losing 120-119 at Utah in overtime. Both teams scored just 106 points in regulation. The Thunder play the second game of a back to back in Phoenix, and the Suns have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The total of 232.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. None of those games saw a number as high as 225. These two teams haven't scored a combined 230 points in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-23 | Canadiens v. Flyers OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Habs are coming off a 5-2 win at New Jersey, their third straight game going over the total. They are in Philly tonight, and these two teams went over in all three meetings in 2022. Montreal hasn't played since Tuesday, and the over is 5-0-1 in the Canadiens last six games playing on 2 days rest. Philly has gone over the number in four of their last five overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Flyers last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-23 | St. Peter's v. Canisius -190 | Top | 53-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Canisius. The Golden Griffins have won eight of their last 10 versus MAAC rivals St. Peters, and even last year's talented squad that went to the Sweet Sixteen lost at Canisius. This Peacocks team has taken a major step back, going 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and when you look at the recent play from the Griffins it inspires plenty of confidence. Prior to a one point loss on the road at Mount St. Mary's, they won outright over Rider and Quinnipiac. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham UNDER 2.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So Fulham is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and four of those five games went under the total. They host Wolverhampton, who ranks dead last in the Premier League in scoring with 17 goals scored in 23 matches played. The last time these teams played it ended in a scoreless draw. Each of the previous three meetings ended in a score of 1-0, and before that they played to a 1-1 draw. Wolverhampton would love a draw here, so expect them to be very pessimistic in their play. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-23 | Bruins v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Kraken are coming off a 4-0 loss at San Jose, but they have won four of their last five home games. They host the Boston Bruins, who come in as winners of four straight. This will be the fourth time these teams have met, and Boston has won two of three meetings. Both of those wins came in gamed that ended with a final score of 3-2. The Kraken are 11-4 in their last 15 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. They should give the Bruins a run for their money here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-23 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -172 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Sixers are 23-8 at home, and the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams. The Grizzlies have a losing record on the road, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The 76ers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus Memphis. The Grizzlies are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 3 or more days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5 | Top | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Drexel. The Dragons host Northeastern in their final home game of the season, and they have owned this team in recent years. Drexel defeated the Huskies by 21 points on the road earlier this season. They won at home versus Northeastern by 16 points last February. They are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series over the last three seasons. The Huskies are coming off a home win over Conference bottom feeder CWM, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win. Drexel lost it's last game at Hampton, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 146 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. New Mexico beat Boise State by a score of 81-79 in overtime earlier this season, but only 144 points were scored in regulation in that game. We see a total of 146 here in the rematch, despite the fact that the under is 5-2 in the previous seven head to head meetings. New Mexico is averaging over 81 points per game this season, but they have lost four of their last five averaging just over 75 points per game during that span. They face a Boise State team that is holding opponents to less than 60 points per game while going 12-1 at home. In their last three games at Boise, the Lobos have scored 52,53 and 61 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Fordham -132 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Fordham. The Rams are just 2.5 games out of first place in the A-10, and they come into Loyola as winners of eight of their last 10. During that span they have road wins at Duquesne, La Salle, Davidson and St. Bonaventure. They are a small favorite here on the road versus the last place team in the conference, and Loyola has lost it's last two home games by double digits. The Ramblers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and have failed to cover in 19 of their last 27 overall. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games versus a team with a losing home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Vanderbilt -132 v. LSU | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -132 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vanderbilt. Vandy comes in red hot, winning their last five games. They are now in a position to possibly make the NCAA Tournament, but they likely need to run the table. It starts tonight at LSU, a team that has lost 13 straight games. Vandy has won back to back road games at Florida and South Carolina, and they are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 road games. The Tigers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games and they have failed to cover in 16 of their last 21 overall. Two teams trending in opposite directions, I know who I'll put my money on. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | Providence v. Connecticut UNDER 143.5 | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Friars won at home by a score of 73-61 over UCONN back in the beginning of January, falling well short of the total listed at 142.5. We see a similar total for tonight's rematch in Connecticut, despite the fact that these teams haven't scored a combined 140 points in any of the last five head to head meetings. The Friars have gone under in five of their last seven road games, and seven of their last 10 coming off a loss. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-23 | FC Porto v. Inter Milan UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 60 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I expect to see a cautious approach from both these teams in the first leg of this Champions League Round of 16 tie. Porto comes in as winners of five straight matches in all competitions, and they posted a clean sheet in four of those games. Inter is also undefeated in their last four matches, and they posted three clean sheets during that span. Porto has posted a clean sheet in three of it's last four matches in the Champions League. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 136 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Spartans are 10-2 at home, and they have allowed fewer than 60 points per game during that span. They have gone under in six straight home games, and the under is 6-0 in their last six coming off a loss. The Hoosiers have gone under in four straight overall, and five straight on the road. Both teams come in averaging well below 70 points per game in their last five overall, and I don't expect either team to score 70 here in East Lansing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wildcats are the underdog at home here versus Baylor, despite a 14-1 home record. Kansas State has held opponents to just 60 points per game at home, and they have only scored an average of 67 points per game in their last five overall. When these two teams played in Manhattan last season, the bookmakers set the total at 136. They came up short of the number in that game, and the total for tonight's game is almost 10 points higher. They under is 5-0 in the Wildcats last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-23 | Napoli v. Eintracht Frankfurt OVER 2.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Napoli has scored a Champions League best 20 goals in six matches in the competition, and they lead the Series A in scoring with 56 goals in 23 matches. Frankfurt is capable of scoring their share of goals as well, averaging two goals per game in the Bundesliga. The over is 5-1 in Napoli's six Champions League matches so far, and I expect to see at least three goals scored here in this Round of 16 match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-23 | Jets v. Rangers -165 | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYR. The Jets are coming off a 4-2 loss at New Jersey on Sunday, and they play the second game of a back to back on the road at New York on Monday. The Rangers had won seven straight before losing in overtime at Calgary on Saturday. New York has won five straight at home, and the Rangers are 12-1 in their last 13 versus Western Conference teams. The Jets have lost four straight versus Eastern Conference teams, and they are 9-25 in their last 34 versus the Metropolitan Division. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +1.5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats sit above Iowa in the BIG10 standings, and they are 12-4 overall at home. Their last two home games were outright wins over Purdue and Indiana, and yet unranked Iowa comes in as a favorite. It might have something to do with the fact that Iowa has won nine straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2017. That's something not likely lost by the Wildcats who look like they should be the favorite in this game. The Hawkeyes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Iowa is just 3-5 SU on the road. Wrong team favored! GL, Jesse Schule |