Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-04-21 | West Virginia -115 v. Oklahoma State | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on West Virginia. The Mountaineers have lost back to back road games, but they have traditionally played pretty well in previous trips to Stillwater. They won here last year by a score of 55-41, and the home team is just 2-7 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. West Virginia has played a tough schedule, with losses to Kansas and Gonzaga. They should handle a lesser opponent here on the road tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-21 | Mavs -1 v. Rockets | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Rockets are still dealing with disgruntled superstar James Harden, who sat out the last game with an ankle injury. Harden is still demanding to be traded, so we aren't expecting him to play hurt or give 100 percent for the Rockets on his way out the door. The Mavericks are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Dallas has covered in four of their last five visits to Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team +4 v. Eagles | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 167 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington. The Redskins are desperately trying to hang on to first place in the NFC East, and they finish the season on the road at Philly. Alex Smith should be back, and Washington is 4-0 in his last five starts. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 35-16 | Loss | -115 | 163 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chicago. The Bears host the Packers on Sunday, and this game should mean a lot more to the home team. The Packers are coming off a blowout win over the Seahawks, and they could be due for a let down. Technically the Packers are still looking to clinch home field throughout the playoffs, but they are still reeling after the loss of David Bakhtiari. The Bears absolutely need to win this game or there will be no playoffs. The Bears are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys +3 v. Giants | 19-23 | Loss | -120 | 160 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Dallas comes into the final game riding a three game winning streak. They need to beat the Giants and hope for some help if they want to get into the playoffs. Andy Dalton got off to a slow start, but he's thrown seven TD passes and just one INT during this three game winning streak. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the Giants. The Giants are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Michigan State -8.5 v. Nebraska | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. The Cornhuskers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall, they are also 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games. This should be a get right game for Michigan State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | California v. Oregon State -159 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -4.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cyclones. The Oregon Ducks won the PAC12 Title by default, because the Washington Huskies had to forfiet their spot in the Championship Game due to Covid. Oregon looked good in their upset win over USC, but that was only their fourth win of the season. It was their only game against a ranked team. The Cyclones on the other hand won eight games in the BIG12, with wins over Oklahoma and Texas. The Ducks are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games, while the Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss +10 v. Indiana | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | 49-28 | Loss | -113 | 47 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Buckeyes are currently unhappy about the different Covid-19 protocols that seem to apply to Clemson, rather than the draconian measures imposed by the BIG10. This is the difference between these two teams. The Buckeyes have played just six games, while Clemson played a full schedule. The BIG10 tried to destroy this football season, while the SEC and the ACC were successful in saving it. Anything short of an ACC vs SEC Final would be an injustice IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. Everyone seems to agree, the question is not whether Alabama will beat Notre Dame, the question is by how much? The last time these teams played the Irish lost by a score of 42-14. There is reason to believe that this year's squad is more talented than the team that has been on the wrong side of several lopsided Playoff games in recent years. The bad news is that Alabama looks even better than they have in past seasons. They have averaged almost 50 points per game, scoring over 40 points in every game since Week 1. The Irish simply aren't built to compete with the likes of this SEC powerhouse. This should be another blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati (outright). The Bearcats are another undefeated team that was snubbed by the College Football Playoff Commitee. Reminds me of UCF, and how pissed off they were heading into their Bowl Game when they stomped Auburn in the Peach Bowl back in 2018. Kirby Smart is trying to do damage controll, denying reports that as many as nine starters will opt out of the bowl game. Cincinnati has confirmed that not a single player has opted out as of Wednesday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-20 | Nevada v. New Mexico UNDER 147.5 | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Nevada has played strong defense so far this season, and in two games in the Mountain West they held their opponent to fewer than 70 points in each contest. The Lobos have played twice in the league and have failed to score 54 points in both of those games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Lobos last eight overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-20 | Knicks v. Raptors -8.5 | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raptors. The Raptors are still winless after three games, and I bet against them in their loss at San Antonio. Here is what I said: "The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio." The Knicks aren't quite the same level of opposition as the Spurs, Pelicans or 76ers. The fact that they won back to back games might just make them like their own smell even a little more than they should. It's time of the Dinosaurs to fight back, or risk extinction. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -1 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oklahoma. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado +8.5 v. Texas | 23-55 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. Texas played a nine game schedule in 2020, and went 6-3 in those games. The majority of those games were close, six of the nine decided by seven points or less. Colorado only managed to play in five games, winning four of the five. Texas is expected to be thin on the offensive line with a couple of starters sitting for this game. The Buffaloes never had any higher expectations than playing in the Alamo Bowl, while Texas was hoping for a BIG12 Championship and possibly a Playoff spot. I think Texas is far too overvalued here and I'll take the points. G Jesse Schule |
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12-29-20 | Purdue v. Rutgers -2.5 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equiped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-20 | West Ham United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Southampton has scored 25 goals in just 15 matches, and West Ham has scored 23 goals in 15 matches. Neither side is particularly strong defensively, and history tells us that we can expect plenty of scoring when these teams meet. Four of the last five meetings have seen at least three goals combined, with the most recent meeting ending in a 3-1 victory for the Hammers at home. West Ham has conceded five goals in their last two matches, and we should expect both teams to score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Colorado v. Arizona | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. In the past 10 head to head meetings between the Buffaloes and the Wildcats, the home team has won ALL 10 GAMES! The Wildcats have won 19 of their last 23 home games, while the Buffaloes have lost eight of their last 13 on the road. The Buffaloes are 13-39 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Home court should be huge here, as the home team has also covered in four straight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets won 26 games at home last year, one fewer than the LA Clippers who had the best home record in the Western Conference. This came after winning 34 home games (NBA best) the previous season. Now they have started the season with back to back home losses, and they host a shorthanded Houston team on Monday. James Harden wants a trade, but he scored 44 points in the season opener almost beating the Blazers in Portland. If he continues to put up MVP numbers, the Rockets might not be in a hurry to get a deal done. I wouldn't want to count on getting 100% from Harden moving forward, and with Ben Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall out of the lineup, it's going to be tough to ask them to hang in there in Denver. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and the Nuggets are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -140 | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chelsea. The Blues are in the middle of a rough patch, but that was preceded by a 17 game unbeaten run. Their loss to Arsenal at the Emirates on Boxing Day was due to an unfortunate set of circumstances. The Gunners won 3-1, with their goals coming on a pair of set pieces and an intended cross that went into the top corner. Being back home against Aston Villa, we should expect the Blues to be far better here this afternoon. Chelsea has won five straight meetings versus Villa, and the Blues own the second best home record in the Premier League. Villa has an impressive record so far, but it's important to consider that their last seven matches all came against teams in the bottom half of the table. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 54.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine OVER 135 | 56-75 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. These two teams have historically played low scoring games, but because of that we see a low total for tonight's contest. The low number doesn't really reflect what we've seen from these teams so far this season. The Ant Eaters are averaging just under 90 points per game, and they rank 5th in the Big West with a field goal percentage of .484. They have also hit more than 70 percent of their free throws. The Gauchos rank second in the Big West in scoring, and they have a field goal percentage of .542. The over is 4-1 in the Anteaters last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Bears -7 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The Bears now have their destiny in their own hands with a chance to make the playoffs if they run the table and win their final two games. They aren't likely to face much resistance here in Jacksonville, as the Jags are currently winning the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes. Leading rusher James Robinson won't play for the Jags, sitting out with an ankle injury. They will have their 3rd string quarterback (Mike Glennon) under center, and he's thrown three INTs and just one TD pass in his last two appearances. Mitch Trubisky has the Bears offense firing on all cylinders, scoring 30+ points in three straight games. This should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 101 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. West Ham United is sitting right in the middle of the Premier League table (10th), even though they have scored 21 goals in 14 matches. Their defense has been below average, conceding 19 goals so far this season. They host Brighton Hove Albion Sunday, and these two teams have played to a draw in each of the last three meetings. Both teams have scored six goals in their last three head to head matches, an average of four goals per match. The Hammers don't often play low scoring games, with four of their last five going over a total of 2.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs +1.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio. Prior to last season the Spurs had owned the best home record in basketball for almost a decade. They might be a lot better this season, and they got off to a good start with a win on the road at Memphis. The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Antonio, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight against the Spurs. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Raiders. The Dolphins will be a favorite in Las Vegas, but the Raiders have been competitive even in games that they have lost. Marcus Mariota stepped in to replace Derek Carr last week, and he threw for 226 yards with a TD and an INT on 17-of-28 passing. Whoever is at QB for the Raiders, offense isn't expected to be a problem. It's defense that has been the concern for the Raiders, who have allowed over 30 points per game this season. Tua Tagovailoa has only played twice on the road this season, in a loss at Denver and a three point win over Arizona. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Virginia v. Gonzaga -7 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 team in the country, and they haven't had any trouble so far when playing quality opponents. They have wins over Iowa, West Virginia and Kansas by an average margin of nine points. Virginia has yet to play a ranked team, and they have failed to impress against lesser opponents. The lost to San Francisco, and came close to losing to Kent State in a game that was decided in overtime. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 62 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal has struggled of late, losing back to back games by a combined score of 6-2. They will be tested here on Boxing Day, hosting a Chelsea team that has scored 29 goals in just 14 matches. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with each of the last four meetings going over the total. Chelsea has the second best goal differential in the Premier League (+15). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Vikings. Despite the fact that the Saints have been the better team in recent seasons, the Vikings have had their number. Minnesota is 3-1 straight up in the last four head to head meetings versus New Orleans, and two of the last three games were decided by less than a TD. Minnesota has had a tough season, but they have scored plenty of points. They are 5-3 in their last eight overall, and only once during that span did they lose by seven or more points. The Saints have struggled lately, coming off back to back losses. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in New Orleans, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -182 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulls. The Bulls were a heavy favorite in the MAC Championship Game, but they lost outright to the Ball State Cardinals. They turned the ball over five times in the loss, and star running back Patrick Patterson wasn't able to get anything going. Patterson leads the nation averaging 178 yards per game, and he's expected to be 100 percent for this Bowl Game against Marshall. The Herd have scored just 13 points in their last two games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Bulls are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Maryland v. Purdue -5 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boilermakers. Purdue is coming off a 70-55 loss at Iowa, but I like their chances of bouncing back at home against Maryland. The Boilermakers have won 16 of their last 22 home games, while the Terps are 5-7 in their last 12 road games. The Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they haven't covered in four straight road games. Maryland is 5-2 with losses to Rutgers and Clemson, and all five of their wins came against inferior opposition. This looks like a tough ask for the visitors on Christmas Day. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Heat | 98-111 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pelicans. New Orleans started the season with a win on the road versus the Raptors. Zion Williamson only scored 15 points in 30 minutes, but he was quite efficient shooting 7-of-9 from the field and pulling in 10 rebounds. Brandon Ingram lead the way, scoring 24 points on 10-of-19 shooting. This is a young team that is on the rise, coming off an undefeated pre-season. The Heat are coming off a 113-107 loss at Orlando in their opener, and they may be suffering an NBA Finals let down. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-20 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 229 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -8 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-23-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -135 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buckeyes. Ohio State has lost it's only BIG10 game so far, losing by a score of 67-60 at Purdue. They look to bounce back with a home game against Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights haven't been as strong on the road as they are at home. Last year Rutgers was 18-1 at home, but they lost eight of 10 on the road. The Buckeyes won 16 of 18 home games last year. The Buckeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, and the home team in 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-20 | Clippers v. Lakers -136 | 116-109 | Loss | -136 | 114 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lakers. This time last year we were all wondering if it would be the Lakers or the Clippers that would win the NBA Championship. As it turned out, the Clippers suffered an epic meltdown in the bubble, and there was clearly a group of players that weren't buying into the idea of playing during a pandemic. Lou Williams legendary trip to Atlanta for the wings at Magic City was a clear example of a team in disarray. The Clippers are trying to regroup with a new coach, and more personnel moves are expected to be imminent. Montrezl Harrell has already landed on the other side of town with the Lakers. I would expect LeBron and company to be far more focused here on Opening Night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-20 | West Virginia v. Kansas UNDER 140.5 | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are 7-1 and ranked #3 overall. They have been strong defensively, allowing just 59.3 points per game at home. They host West Virginia tonight, and this will be the third meeting between these teams in 2020. The previous two games each went under the total, with Kansas winning 63-50 at home, and 58-49 at West Virginia. The under is 21-10-1 in Mountaineers last 32 overall, and the under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last five overall. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was the last time these teams played last February. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida +6.5 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UCF. The Cougars season ended in disappointment, as their playoff hopes went up in smoke when they lost at Coastal Carolina a few weeks ago. They followed up with a win over San Diego State at home, but they come into the Boca Raton Bowl with an 0-8 record in the state of Florida. They face a tough opponent in Central Florida. The Knights lost three games this year, but losses to Memphis and Cincinnati came by a combined four points. They ranked fourth in the country in scoring averaging 44 points per game. The Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Missouri State UNDER 146 | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. These teams played last season and the Trojans won by a score of 67-66. The total for that game was set at 140, and the total in the previous five meetings was lower than 130. This appears to be an inflated number based on season averages on both offense and defense. The Missouri State Bears have held four of their last five opponents to fewer than 70 points, and I expect them make life difficult for the Trojans. Little Rock shot just 3-of-14 from beyond the arc in last year's game against the Bears. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Redskins. Washington has a chance to win the NFC East, and a home win over Seattle would keep them in the driver's seat. The Seahawks have recently lost to another NFC East team, losing at home to the Giants by a score of 17-12. Washington is 5-2 in their last seven overall, and both losses during that span came by three points. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -180 | 33-27 | Loss | -180 | 156 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have won five of their last seven, and last week's loss at Tampa Bay might be blamed on the kicker who missed three field goals and an extra point PAT. Kirk Cousins gets plenty of criticism, but all he does is complete 70 percent of his passes, for almost 300 yards per game with a mediocre TD/INT ratio. He's thrown 10 TDs and just one INT over his last four starts. The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, and the home team has covered in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Chicago might have the better defense, but on the road I just don't see them scoring enough points to keep up with the Vikings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Lions v. Titans -8 | 25-46 | Win | 100 | 156 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Titans are in a dog fight with the Colts for first place in the division, and they face another must win this week against Detroit. The Lions are a mess, coming in as losers of three of their last four. Matthew Stafford is playing through a rib injury, and he's been sacked 15 times in his last four starts. He may be just one hit away from a season ending injury. The Titans have won and covered in each of their last three meetings versus the Lions. Derrick Henry ran for over 200 yards in a win over Jacksonville last week, and he should have a big day against a Lions defense that struggles against the run. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-20 | Illinois v. Rutgers +2 | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights will be a home dog Sunday against Illinois, and Rutgers has won 22 of their last 23 home games. Illinois on the other had is 7-7 on the road dating back to the beginning of last year. Rutgers won the last meeting by 15 points last February, and the home team has won seven of the last nine head to head meetings. The Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games versus a team with a winning record. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Alabama v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 239 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. After the Gators lost to LSU last week, nobody is giving them a chance here in the SEC Championship against Alabama. It was obvious that the Gators were not prepared last week, probably already looking ahead to this game. I expect them to be better this week, and I think that this is a team well designed to cause problems for Alabama. If you look at the teams that have beaten Alabama in recent seasons (Clemson, Ole Miss, Texas A&M) they all had a gunslinger at QB. The only time Alabama didn't look like they were in complete control in a game this season was when they allowed 48 points in a win over Ole Miss. As much as Nick Saban will want to win this game, his team is in the playoffs either way. I like the Gators to score enough points to keep this game relatively close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Arizona v. Stanford -136 | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Stanford. Stanford finished just 9-9 in conference play last season, and 20-12 overall. They were 14-4 at home, and Arizona was just 4-6 on the road. The Wildcats have a youthful team after losing the majority of their starters from last season, while Stanford is bringing almost everyone back. Senior forward Oscar Da Silva leads the team averaging over 20 points per game. Daejon Davis is the team's assist leader, and he is also in his senior season. The Wildcats are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 Saturday games, and the Cardinal are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +5.5 | 48-19 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Denver. I had Buffalo in their big win over Pittsburgh last week, but I think they come into Denver a little overvalued. This is a potential let down for a team that is on top of the world right now, and Denver hasn't been an easy opponent. While they are just 2-2 in their last four games, one of those losses came at home against the Saints when they were forced to play without a quarterback. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings between these teams. Drew Lock is coming off an outstanding performance in Carolina, throwing for 280 yards and 4 TDs on 21-of-27 passing. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Purdue v. Notre Dame +6 | 88-78 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. Purdue comes into Saturday's game with a 5-2 record, and both of their losses came against ACC teams. The Irish are 2-3, but all three of their losses came against Top 25 teams. Notre Dame has won three of their last four against Purdue, with the lone loss coming at Purdue by a five point margin. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games, while the Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. I'll take the points here in a game that I expect to be pretty close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Youngstown State v. Northern Kentucky -148 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Northern Kentucky. The Norse finished two games out of first place in the Horizon League last year, with an overall record of 23-9 and a home record of 11-4. They won both their games against Youngstown State, and they have won seven straigt against the Penguins since 2017. The Norse are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss, and the home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. The Norse are very much the same team they were a year ago, and they should still be able to handle a home game against the Penguins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Ball State v. Buffalo -13 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bulls are by far the best team in the MAC, coming into the championship game with a perfect 5-0 record. It's not just that they won all their games, but they won them all by at least 19 points. Ball State is 5-1, but their one loss came against Miami-Ohio, a team that lost to Buffalo by 32 points. The Bulls are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference game, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Davidson v. Rhode Island UNDER 140 | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Davidson Wildcats are coming off a loss to Charlotte, in a game that they scored just 52 points on 34 percent shooting. They will be at Rhode Island Friday, taking on a Rams team that is coming off back to back losses averaging 63.5 points in those games. The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime, which pushed the total over the number. They came up short of the number in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 8-1 in Wildcats last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, and the under is 10-3 in the Rams last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. Union Berlin OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Borrussia Dortmund and Union Berlin have each scored 25 goals in 12 matches so far. Dortmund has not posted a clean sheet in any of their last six matches, while Berlin has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. These two teams have played high scoring games in recent meetings, with each of the last three head to head matches seeing at least four goals. The last time Dortmund played at Berlin, they lost by a score of 3-1. I expect a similar score here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders -162 | 30-27 | Loss | -162 | 95 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raiders. The Raiders have been wildly inconsistent this season, going from a game where they nearly beat the defending champion Chiefs to losing by 37 points to the Atlanta Falcons a week later. The Chargers on the other hand have been far more consistent, especially when it comes to blowing leads. LA has lost five straight on the road, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Derek Carr has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 12 TDs and four INTs at home this year. A healthy Josh Jacobs will give the Raiders a boost, Jacobs is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has scored nine rushing TDs in 12 appearances this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-20 | St. Joe's +2.5 v. Drexel | 77-81 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Joes. The Hawks are 0-2, with losses to Kansas and Auburn. They will be looking for their first win of the season here against a Drexel team that they have won six straight against dating back to 2011. Drexel is coming off a double digit home loss to La Salle. Ryan Daly was the Hawks leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game last year. Taylor Funk only played seven games, but he was third on the team in scoring. Both players are back in 2021, and the Hawks should be stronger than they were last year. Each of the last three meetings have been close games decided by three points or less, with the last two meetings decided by a single point. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-20 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -5 | 77-76 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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12-16-20 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Liverpool | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Spurs +0.5. Jose Mourino has downplayed the fact that Spurs are sitting in first place in the Premier League, and that Liverpool has been hit hard by injuries. "Van Dijk is injured and he is a very good player of course, but give me Liverpool's list of injuries and compare with a list of Liverpool's best team," said Mourinho. "I can give you a list of 10 injuries at Tottenham." Pay no attention to those remarks, that is just coachspeak. Both these teams have more draws than wins over their last five matches, and Mourino likes his chances of at least earning a draw here at Anfield. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. SV Werder Bremen OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Borrussia Dortmund hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, and they are coming off a 5-1 loss to Stuttgart. They might be in for another high scoring game versus Werder Bremen this Tuesday, and Bremen has conceded 19 goals in 11 matches this season. These two teams have played high scoring games in four of the last five meetings. Dortmund has scored at least twice in each of their last five versus Bremen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 47-42 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills -1 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Steelers perfect record went up in smoke in last week's loss to the Redskins, and playing on the road in Buffalo this week looks like a let down spot for a Steelers team that is a little banged up. With an 11-1 record the Steelers can afford to be complacent, and they might not be able to match the intensity of a hungry Buffalo team. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in December, while the Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Colts -145 v. Raiders | 44-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indy. The Raiders have been a bit of a Jeckyll and Hyde team, playing like world beaters against the Chiefs, but losing by 27 at Atlanta. The only thing that prevented them from losing last week against the Jets was a curious call on the final play of the game when the Jets sent everyone on a blitz when only a TD could beat them. There won't be any margin for error against the Colts, a team that ranks in the top of the NFL in most defensive categories. The fact that Josh Jacobs isn't 100% is another tough blow for the Raiders. I like the Colts to rise to the occasion. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Broncos +3.5 v. Panthers | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Broncos. The Broncos are likely a better team than their 4-0 record would indicate. That certainly appeared to be the case last week in a one-score game against Kansas City. The previous week they played without a quarterback against the Saints. Now they are on the road against a banged up Panthers team who's best player will not suit up. The Broncos are getting healthier, and they are hungry for a win. The Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Seattle Sounders FC v. Columbus | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Sounders are the defending champions, and they are coming off an impressive win in their Semi Final match versus Minnesota. After a disallowed goal, they found themselves trailing with just a minute remaining in regulation. After scoring the equalizer in the 89th minute, they got the game winner in the third minute of extra time. Columbus has had an outstanding season, but with a pair of key midfielders set to miss the Final, they are at a disadvantage. Seattle may also find an advantage in set pieces, as they ranked second in the MLS in scoring off such plays. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +3 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Virginia. The Hokies are a small favorite at home versus rivals Virginia, but I like the underdog here. The Hokies have lost three of five home games this year, including an upset loss to Liberty. They have been plagued by injuries at the QB position, and their defense is ranked among the worst in the ACC. Virginia has won four straight, including a 44-41 upset win over North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Hokies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Alabama v. Clemson +1 | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Clemson. I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Alabama with a 4-0 record. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, while the Tigers have covered in five straight at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oregon. The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year and they come into tonight's hoime game against the Ducks with just one win in four games. The Ducks lost their opener to Missouri, but have since won three straight. Oregon has won nine of their last 10 against the Huskies straight up, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing record (below .400). There have been a lot of people asking questions about why they should even play college basketball at a time like this, and it's likely the Huskies will be a lot less enthusiastic about playing than a Ducks team with a lot more to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -137 | 62-26 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIAMI. The Tar Heels are an impressive team when it comes to scoring points, but their defense hasn't impressed. They gave up 53 to Wake Forest, 44 against Virginia, and 45 against Virginia Tech. They are on the road at Miami this week, and the Hurricanes are better than all three of those teams. The Tar Heels offense was held to just 17 in a loss to Notre Dame a few weeks ago, and Miami plays a lot more like the Irish than they do like the seven teams North Carolina has beaten this year. The home team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Canes have covered in four of their last five home games against UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | Marquette v. UCLA OVER 139 | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The UCLA Bruins opened the season with a 73-58 loss to San Diego State. They shot below 40% in the loss, but they have since won four in a row, averaging 86 points. They host Marquette on Friday night, and the Golden Eagles are off to a good start despite the loss of Markus Howard. The over is 8-3 in the Golden Eagles last 11 road games, and the over is 16-7 in the Bruins last 23 games following an ATS win. Marquette is averaging 77 points per game after winning four of five. We should see a close game with both teams scoring 70+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona UNDER 57 | 70-7 | Loss | -117 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | West Ham United +0.5 v. Leeds United | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on West Ham. West Ham will be an underdog on the road this week, despite sitting in the top half of the table in the Premier League. They face Leeds, a team ranked 14th with an overall record of 4-2-5 with a -4 goal differential. The Hammers are coming off a 3-1 loss to Manchester United, in a match that they were leading 1-0 at halftime. Leeds has just one win in five home matches this season, and they've played to a draw in three of their last four matches versus West Ham. The visitors are expected to field a stronger side, and I fancy their chances of coming away with at least a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-20 | North Dakota State +9 v. South Dakota State | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on North Dakota State. |
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12-09-20 | Maryland v. Clemson -136 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Clemson. I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Maryland with a 3-0 record. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Syracuse +4 v. Rutgers | 69-79 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Syracuse. The Orange are 3-0, but they will be an underdog at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise, but they haven't had any success in recent meetings versus the Orange. Syracuse is 8-0 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings dating back to 2007. The Orange are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered in six of their last seven as a road underdog. I think the Orange are too good of a team to be getting this many points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +5.5 | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. Notre Dame lost it's season opener by a 10-point margin on the road at #13 ranked Michigan State, but I am not sure I would ask #22 ranked Ohio State to come into South Bend and cover a big spread. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Irish were 15-4 at South Bend last year, despite playing the likes of Louisville, Florida State and North Carolina. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | North Carolina v. Iowa -150 | 80-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa. It might seem odd to see the Tar Heels as an underdog in this spot, but Iowa has a huge advantage in experience. Luka Garza is a senior averaging 34 points per game. He's not the only senior in the starting lineup, Jordan Bohannon gives them experience at the guard spot. Junior Joe Wieskamp was the team's second leading scorer last season, and he returns for what could be a huge year for the Hawkeyes. I like the home team to win and win big. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-20 | Boston College +7.5 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston College. The Eagles have lost three of their first four games, but two of those losses came in close games against tough teams. They lost their opener by single digits versus #3 ranked Villanova, and then lost by just four points in a shootout versus St. Johns. I don't expect an unranked Minnesota team to win here by double digits. The Golden Gophers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-20 | Minnesota United v. Seattle Sounders FC -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. |
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12-07-20 | Morehead State v. Eastern Kentucky OVER 145.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are 3-1, and their lone loss came in a 99-96 loss to Xavier. They have averaged 83 points per game so far, and they will be a double digit favorite here against Morehead State. The Eagles are coming off a 77-44 loss to Ohio State, and the over is 8-3 in the Eagles last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. These two teams played twice already in 2020, and both of those games saw more than 145 combined points. The total for this game is lower than it was in those previous meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Steelers | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington. The Steelers are the only undefeated team in the NFL, putting their 11-0 record to the test t home versus Washington on Monday Night Football. While Pittsburgh is coming off another win over the Ravens, they barely held on against an undermanned Baltimore team with RGIII at QB. The Redskins have won three of their last five, and both losses during that span came by just three points. The Steelers win over the Ravens was a costly one, losing OLB Bud Dupree to a knee injury. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-20 | Rams -145 v. Cardinals | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 134 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Cardinals are a good football team, but perhaps still a few years away from reaching their full potential. They have a tough matchup this week, facing a Rams defense that ranks among the NFL's best. The Rams are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Cardinals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. With Kyler Murray banged up, another loss seems likely for Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-20 | Colts -150 v. Texans | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Colts. The Colts have one of the NFL's best defenses, but they couldn't stop Derrick Henry last week in a double digit home loss to Tennessee. They should have little trouble getting back on track this week against a Texans team that ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing. The Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Texans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-20 | Raiders -7.5 v. Jets | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raiders. Las Vegas is coming off a historically bad loss, losing 43-6 at Atlanta after scoring 31 points in a game that they nearly won at home versus Kansas City. If they are looking for a team to beat up on they have the right opponent in the lowly New York Jets. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and they 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | UCLA v. Arizona State -140 | 25-18 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils lost by one point on the road at USC in Week 1, in a game that ended with a miraculous comeback. They haven't played since, and they should be fired up to get back on the field. UCLA is 2-2, and both their wins have come at home. The Sun Devils are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Chase Griffin has started the last two games for UCLA, failing to throw for 200 yards in either of his starts, and he's thrown as many INTs (2) as he has TDs. The home team has won the last four head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | South Carolina v. Houston UNDER 141 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | Indiana +14.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 14-6 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers have only lost once, in a game that was decided on the final play on the road at Ohio State. Last week their starting QB Michael Penix Jr. was lost for the season with a serious injury, and that has resulted in the line for this week's game at Wisconsin swelling to a whopping 14.5 points. This game was never expected to be a shootout, with the emphasis always going to be defense and pounding away with the running game. Wisconsin scored just seven points last week in a loss to Northwestern, and QB Graham Mertz threw for 230 yards, a TD and three INTs in a losing effort. After completing 20-of-21 pass attempts in the season opener, he's failed to complete 55% of his attempts since. The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | Leeds United v. Chelsea -189 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chelsea. Surely we expect Liverpool to drop points over the next few weeks, without any experienced defenders and striker Mo Salah unable to even return to England after getting Covid in Egypt. When he returns to the UK he will then need to be quarantined for 10 days. This opens the door for the likes of Spurs, Manchester City, Leicester and Chelsea. Of that group I think Chelsea has the best chance to build a big lead. The Blues are really starting to benefit from their off-season spending spree, and they are undefeated in their last 15, posting 11 clean sheets in those matches. With fans back in Stanford Bridge in December, a home game against Leeds should result in full points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | North Dakota v. Minnesota UNDER 149 | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Minnesota looks impressive after three games, and they are a huge favorite against North Dakota. These teams met earlier last season, and the Gophers won that game of 79-56. The total for that game was listed at 138, more than 10 points lower than this year's meeting. This number looks a little inflated and I am making a value play by fading the big number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -137 | 24-21 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Mountaineers. The Ragin Cajuns are all the rage, the first place team in the Sun Belt. They score more points than the Moutaineers, and they are ranked in the Top 25. History is certainly not on their side, they have lost to the Mountaineers in seven straight meetings. The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. The Mountaineers are undefeated at home, and their defense is still ranked among the best in the country. The weather is expected to be nasty on Friday night in Boone, and that might make life even harder for the Ragin Cajuns. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | Wisconsin -175 v. Marquette | 65-67 | Loss | -175 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers are off to a good start, heading into Friday's game against Marquette with a perfect 3-0 record. They have played excellent defense in all three of those games, allowing an average of 55.7 points per game. This success is not surprising given the experience in the starting lineup. Their top three scorers are all seniors, and all three are scoring in double figures. Marquette is missing Markus Howard, who averaged almost 28 points per game last season. So far nobody has stepped up to fill in anywhere near that kind of production. I expect the Eagles to struggle against this veteran team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11 v. Utah State | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Air Force. |
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12-03-20 | Minnesota United v. Sporting KC UNDER 3 | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +1 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USC. |
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12-03-20 | Celtic v. AC Milan -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-02-20 | Montana State v. Pacific UNDER 137 | 70-74 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Pacific Tigers have a win and a loss so far, and they went under in both of those games. A combination of strong defense and not so strong offense seems to be a recipe for low scoring games. Hitting less than half of their free throws certainly has been a factor. Montana State scored 91 points in a win over UNLV in their opener, but they have gone under in nine of their last 11 after scoring 90 or more points. The under is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-20 | Ravens +10.5 v. Steelers | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Baltimore. This drama has turned into quite a sh!t sh@w, but over the years we have learned that in the NFL anything can happen. Lamar Jackson (the reigning MVP) will not play, but I have never been a fan. I am not a believer in RGIII either, but the line swelling to double digits has tempted me to gamble on the Ravens to make it interesting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-20 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. PSG has been dropping points in recent matches in the French league, coming off a draw versus Bordeaux and a loss to Montpellier. They also conceded five goals in those two matches, and they have conceded eight goals in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester United has won four of their last five Premier League matches, scoring 12 goals in those games. Recent head to head meetings between these teams have also been high scoring, with United winning 2-1 and 3-1 in the last two matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-20 | Michigan State +4 v. Duke | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MSU. Duke is loaded with freshman talent, but lacks experience early in the season. This was quite evident in their opening game against Coppin State. They turned the ball over a whopping 22 times, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite in an 81-71 win. The Spartans lost a lot of star power from last year's squad (Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman), but Rocket Watson and Aaron Henry are back, and the addition of Joey Hauser gives them plenty of experience in their starting five. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between these teams. I think it's to early in the year to back Duke's freshman as favorites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada UNDER 150 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Nevada Wolfpack have played excellent defense during a 2-0 start, holding their opponents to an average of just 57 points. A home game against Pacific should be a defensive battle, as the Tigers can also play strong defense. The under is 12-5 in the Tigers last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wolfpack's last two games against teams from the WCC were losses to St. Mary's (68-63) and to BYU (75-42). Nevada has failed to reach the total in five straight against teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |